I bet this is just the Hawthorne Effect. I bet that if they had another school and told them that they were going to start an hour earlier, as they believed that this would allow pupils to get the work done and have more free time in the evenings, this school would also have shown an improvement.
Who supervises them at 2am when the parents are sleeping? Why don't you start installing security cameras in their bedroom while you're at it? Oh, wait.
I already do, and the camera in my daughter's bedroom is a nice little earner on the internet.
Well, a firewall is usually configured to let some things in; if you give your users internet access then you are at risk of them downloading a virus form the internet, similarly emails may tempt people to open executable attachments.
Virus writers are constantly trying to find ways to circumvent antivirus programs. Regularly applying updates helps, but you could still be one of the first people hit by a new virus. Once infected some viruses interfere with AV programs so that they can't be removed even by later versions.
US military computer specialists, over the objections of the CIA, mounted a cyberattack that dismantled an online 'honey pot' monitored by US and Saudi intelligence agencies to identify extremists before they could strike, after military commanders said that the site was putting Americans at risk.
Reading between the lines, someone in the military had a brilliant idea on how to find people liable to be extremists. "Lets make our own extremist site", they said. "Just to make sure we get them all we'll make it really fan the flames of Jihad, and tell Muslims why they should join in". What happens. A few people who would be terrorists come a long... fine. A large number of moderates come along and leave comments like "you're a disgrace to Islam" and move on.. fine. But a sizeable number of Muslims who are not extremists hit the site and become radicalised by it. Some continue to use the site, but some inevitably find other "real" sites.
Someone does an analysis and says "Look, the number of people being radicalised by us who we lose track of is now larger than the number of people who are already radical who come along and get tracked". The military intelligence guys say "what do you mean doing no good, we have dozens of people here talking about extremist acts, and we only lose track of a quarter of them!", totally missing the point that they now have a dozen untracked extremists, and three dozen who are currently tracked whereas without the site they would have had half a dozen untracked ones!
Re:A false choice, of course...
on
Health Care Reform
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· Score: 5, Funny
I think the issue the OP has with Fox has nothing to do with the Healthcare bill. A position that I also support.
maybe not nothing, if Fox raises your blood-pressure that much you might have a personal interest in health care provision.
Do you really want "there's a 80% chance that you have a cold, but a 7% chance this is flue, a 0.1% chance that it is early stage HIV infection, and a 0.01% chance it is lung cancer". This is based on the assumption that your chances of having these diseases is in line with the general population.
I'm waiting for some clever clogs to take the 77.28% and perform a baysian analysis based on your 70% observation and tell us what the modified expectation level should be.
It certainly does. It's about time someone made fun of the crowd who parrot "correlation doesn't imply causation" after finding this it in their introductory stats course. Someone should maybe remind them that causation does imply correlation.
People often get caught assuming that Correlation == Causation.
I'm not sure whether you have a super-dry sense of ironic humor, or whether you didn't get the xkcd strip.
You have to be very careful in saying that correlation even implies causation. You could be looking at two effects of an underlying cause. For example you could look at people coming out of a pub and conclude that there is a strong correlation between having a stumbling gait and slurred speech. It would be wrong to conclude that one of the observed phenomena caused the other.
She goes on to argue that the low conviction rate of alleged rapists is proof, in itself, that too many men are getting away with rape (might be true), but fails to acknowledge the alternative explanation, that too many false allegations of rape are being submitted by women.
Harriot is one awful tub of man hating menopausal angst.
I'm sure that marketing companies have known this for years. The give-away is when they get it wrong. I get lots of adverts for cheap calls to India and for services to "send money home". I'm not Indian but most of my friends are.
A trip to the store can take more than a day if you happen to want a movie on a day when the city buses are not running. In some cities, buses don't run on Sundays or about six major holidays.
That's nothing. A trip to the store could take weeks if you get taken hostage by an arm gang on the way and released later after lengthy negotiations by Jimmy Carter. Of course we always take this sort of scenario into account when deciding whether to download or buy from the store.
Since its Harriet Harman involved I expect that the pressing of the button will result in the immediate rounding up of all males over 12 involved in the conversation for incarceration without trial. And it obviously won't matter what was said, because it will be the "emotion affect" on the kid pressing the button that counts, not the actual words.
Who the hell leaves their gun loaded and out in the open, ESPECIALLY WITH CHILDREN AROUND????
Americans. seriously, if this happened in most countries would people be saying "he's been punished enough" and "there's no intent". The extremes would be the other way, should they chop his bollocks off or flail him alive.
Slashdot Mirror
and what if evil munchkins land on the wing to sabotage the engine and the only one who sees it is a guy who every one thinks is crazy? what if...
Well, at least you could throw your GPS receiver at him
I bet this is just the Hawthorne Effect. I bet that if they had another school and told them that they were going to start an hour earlier, as they believed that this would allow pupils to get the work done and have more free time in the evenings, this school would also have shown an improvement.
Who supervises them at 2am when the parents are sleeping? Why don't you start installing security cameras in their bedroom while you're at it? Oh, wait.
I already do, and the camera in my daughter's bedroom is a nice little earner on the internet.
Well, a firewall is usually configured to let some things in; if you give your users internet access then you are at risk of them downloading a virus form the internet, similarly emails may tempt people to open executable attachments.
Virus writers are constantly trying to find ways to circumvent antivirus programs. Regularly applying updates helps, but you could still be one of the first people hit by a new virus. Once infected some viruses interfere with AV programs so that they can't be removed even by later versions.
My First First Post! I'm such a proud Pappa!!! Cigars?
It appears that the news of the delivery was premature
US military computer specialists, over the objections of the CIA, mounted a cyberattack that dismantled an online 'honey pot' monitored by US and Saudi intelligence agencies to identify extremists before they could strike, after military commanders said that the site was putting Americans at risk.
Reading between the lines, someone in the military had a brilliant idea on how to find people liable to be extremists. "Lets make our own extremist site", they said. "Just to make sure we get them all we'll make it really fan the flames of Jihad, and tell Muslims why they should join in". What happens. A few people who would be terrorists come a long ... fine. A large number of moderates come along and leave comments like "you're a disgrace to Islam" and move on.. fine. But a sizeable number of Muslims who are not extremists hit the site and become radicalised by it. Some continue to use the site, but some inevitably find other "real" sites.
Someone does an analysis and says "Look, the number of people being radicalised by us who we lose track of is now larger than the number of people who are already radical who come along and get tracked". The military intelligence guys say "what do you mean doing no good, we have dozens of people here talking about extremist acts, and we only lose track of a quarter of them!", totally missing the point that they now have a dozen untracked extremists, and three dozen who are currently tracked whereas without the site they would have had half a dozen untracked ones!
I think the issue the OP has with Fox has nothing to do with the Healthcare bill. A position that I also support.
maybe not nothing, if Fox raises your blood-pressure that much you might have a personal interest in health care provision.
Do you really want "there's a 80% chance that you have a cold, but a 7% chance this is flue, a 0.1% chance that it is early stage HIV infection, and a 0.01% chance it is lung cancer". This is based on the assumption that your chances of having these diseases is in line with the general population.
And 77.335% of all statistics claim more accuracy than their expected deviation warrants.
Luckily, only 34.48% of the public ever pays attention to statistics. Only 54.13% of which can properly understand what they mean.
The world of the average Joe is mean.
And the result is only relevant to 27.765% of those.
I'm waiting for some clever clogs to take the 77.28% and perform a baysian analysis based on your 70% observation and tell us what the modified expectation level should be.
As with everything, xkcd delivers.
It certainly does. It's about time someone made fun of the crowd who parrot "correlation doesn't imply causation" after finding this it in their introductory stats course. Someone should maybe remind them that causation does imply correlation.
People often get caught assuming that Correlation == Causation.
I'm not sure whether you have a super-dry sense of ironic humor, or whether you didn't get the xkcd strip.
You have to be very careful in saying that correlation even implies causation. You could be looking at two effects of an underlying cause. For example you could look at people coming out of a pub and conclude that there is a strong correlation between having a stumbling gait and slurred speech. It would be wrong to conclude that one of the observed phenomena caused the other.
That since a dead clock is right twice a day, those two times cause the clock to work again?
No, the clock is right all of the time, it just shows local sidereal time and is often in the wrong place
And I thought he was a Hindu swami
Jewish law doesn't prohibit anything involving pigs except for eating them, and praying in places where you can smell them.
Thank G-d for that. I was worried that the Rabbi wouldn't like it if he found out I was screwing them.
She goes on to argue that the low conviction rate of alleged rapists is proof, in itself, that too many men are getting away with rape (might be true), but fails to acknowledge the alternative explanation, that too many false allegations of rape are being submitted by women.
Harriot is one awful tub of man hating menopausal angst.
Actually it is proven that there are a large number of false allegations.
I'm sure that marketing companies have known this for years. The give-away is when they get it wrong. I get lots of adverts for cheap calls to India and for services to "send money home". I'm not Indian but most of my friends are.
Lengthy download instead of a trip to the store.
A trip to the store can take more than a day if you happen to want a movie on a day when the city buses are not running. In some cities, buses don't run on Sundays or about six major holidays.
That's nothing. A trip to the store could take weeks if you get taken hostage by an arm gang on the way and released later after lengthy negotiations by Jimmy Carter. Of course we always take this sort of scenario into account when deciding whether to download or buy from the store.
If you're a British politician, you automatically go on "Arsebook".
Most British politicians could not distinguish this from Elbowbook.
She would probably save the girl children given half a chance
Since its Harriet Harman involved I expect that the pressing of the button will result in the immediate rounding up of all males over 12 involved in the conversation for incarceration without trial. And it obviously won't matter what was said, because it will be the "emotion affect" on the kid pressing the button that counts, not the actual words.
Actually she probably can't
Who the hell leaves their gun loaded and out in the open, ESPECIALLY WITH CHILDREN AROUND????
Americans.
seriously, if this happened in most countries would people be saying "he's been punished enough" and "there's no intent". The extremes would be the other way, should they chop his bollocks off or flail him alive.
what a load of shit.
Having read the article I think this is one of the few cases where that comment might be insightful. It reads like sociological gobeldygook.
Anything bar a physical entity can be replicated as a number
Not everyone is sure of the "bar a physical entity" either.
So would it make sense to have a business model that tried to charge people money for telling each other a number ? Obviously not.
Try telling that to the horse racing punters, they have essentially being doing that for years