I thought about it a little more. The traditional species concept is probably a holdover from a pre-scientific era, basically a biblical concept. If God did it, it's a species. If man did it or if it was observable how it came to be then it's not a species. Hence wolf and coyote are different species, while dobermann and chihuahua aren't.
Well mangling "theory" and "fact" in your first sentence shows that you're not too familiar with the scientific method. I should have stopped reading at that point.
A species is rarely singular, like a line or even like a river. It's more as if there was a continuum, like a flooded plain, and what we see is mainly determined by our own narrow views of organisms (or their remains) in spatial, temporal or cognitive terms. Simple things like the fact that wolves and coyotes are so close genetically that they should be called one species. Or many large cats. Or earlier subspecies of humans. Paleontologists only see the world as if it was lit up by small flashbulbs every now and then. Yes we've seen a lot of snapshots but how much is that compared to billions of years of evolution all over the Earth?
Cutting down power consumption by some factor == "Almost zero"? This reduction in power will easily be made up for by more and bigger applications. I think this is a shot against ARM. If anybody should talk about low power computing it's them. ARM with new tech like 22nm 3D multi-gate transistors will be *really* low power. Not Haswell & co.
That's BS. Regressions in HW support are extremely rare and get fixed soon (OK sometimes it may take 2 or 3 kernel releases.) If you run into one of those you can always go back to an older kernel or even full OS. Microsoft and HW vendors, on the other hand, have dropped a large number of drivers from XP to today and if your hardware is no longer supported (i.e. tested) by the vendor chances are you'll get a persistent BSOD after a Windows update sooner or later. That has happened to me on roughly a third of elderly Windows systems. Of course they were all converted to Linux.
Sorry, if Eric Lerner is your first topic you've outed yourself as a dreamer or a crackpot. The US government is even supporting EMC2's Polywell research which doesn't seem to be going anywhere. Lerner is very close to Andrea Rossi reality-wise.
Yup. The mechanical stress from plugging it in and pulling is quite a bit. Power plugs failed on three laptops/netbooks of mine and the connector on my current phone has started to move a lot more than it used to. I wonder how long the solder connection will last.
That's a cute story but nothing but a radical shift in the entire industrial system would change anything. That radical shift will only come as the result of overwhelming force.
Yup, I've been reading Tom Murphy's blog since it started. However, recently I've been more influenced by Guy McPherson and George Mobus. Both exaggerate a bit but I think fundamentally they're right.
We'll keep burning as much fossil fuel as we can produce (which means shifting to ever dirtier fuel as oil and gas slide down the Hubbert curve) until the warming is so bad that it'll destroy the industrial civilization. Nothing else will have enough power to stop anything. There are many scenarios that are plausible but so far out that nobody will touch them with a pole, like 1000 ppm CO2 and 10C warming. So far we've consistently surpassed the worst case scenarios, which means the climate science consensus (e.g. IPCC) is extremely conservative.
ROFL. How much energy is that going to save, and how will it compare to the rise in energy consumption in Chindia and other developing countries? FWIW, I gave up the car some time ago, haven't flown in years and am an almost-vegetarian but I don't think that's going to change anything. I have moved from being a climate change and peak oil activist to the doomer camp. I like to be out in front:)
Correct. Hence nothing will be done and people will have to learn the hard way. That's why I became a doomer over the last hew years. 1,000 ppm CO2, +10C, a hard slide down the Hubbert curve, what's not to like? Hollywood is boring compared to this.
And the food prices rose because the government couldn't afford to subsidize them any more. Why? Because Egypt used to be an oil exporter but turned into an importer. Oh and Mexico will be in the same spot soon. Their exports are dropping fast.
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I thought about it a little more. The traditional species concept is probably a holdover from a pre-scientific era, basically a biblical concept.
If God did it, it's a species. If man did it or if it was observable how it came to be then it's not a species. Hence wolf and coyote are different species, while dobermann and chihuahua aren't.
Well mangling "theory" and "fact" in your first sentence shows that you're not too familiar with the scientific method. I should have stopped reading at that point.
Huh?
I think your tinfoil hat is too tight, restricting blood flow to your brain.
A species is rarely singular, like a line or even like a river. It's more as if there was a continuum, like a flooded plain, and what we see is mainly determined by our own narrow views of organisms (or their remains) in spatial, temporal or cognitive terms. Simple things like the fact that wolves and coyotes are so close genetically that they should be called one species. Or many large cats. Or earlier subspecies of humans.
Paleontologists only see the world as if it was lit up by small flashbulbs every now and then. Yes we've seen a lot of snapshots but how much is that compared to billions of years of evolution all over the Earth?
I can fly, you insensitive clod!
But my glide angle is pretty bad so I need some help slowing down for the landing.
No, evely molning.
Others are only a couple of months behind. TSMC and GloFo are working furiously on their new processes.
You're about 3 orders of magnitude off my gut says. 1m^3 gives you a buoyancy of more than 1 kg/g0, enough to lift the drive.
Well you can always use Solar or one of these.
Cutting down power consumption by some factor == "Almost zero"?
This reduction in power will easily be made up for by more and bigger applications.
I think this is a shot against ARM. If anybody should talk about low power computing it's them. ARM with new tech like 22nm 3D multi-gate transistors will be *really* low power. Not Haswell & co.
If they make them bigger, with more helium, they'll float!
That's BS. Regressions in HW support are extremely rare and get fixed soon (OK sometimes it may take 2 or 3 kernel releases.) If you run into one of those you can always go back to an older kernel or even full OS.
Microsoft and HW vendors, on the other hand, have dropped a large number of drivers from XP to today and if your hardware is no longer supported (i.e. tested) by the vendor chances are you'll get a persistent BSOD after a Windows update sooner or later. That has happened to me on roughly a third of elderly Windows systems. Of course they were all converted to Linux.
Srsly. That would invalidate the cost/margin argument.
If you don't want crapware, download an ISO and reinstall, just like you can with Win7.
Look up Jevons Paradox.
It's very depressing. I run on the beach every day and see the little kids playing in the sand. They'll live to close to the end of the century.
Sorry, if Eric Lerner is your first topic you've outed yourself as a dreamer or a crackpot.
The US government is even supporting EMC2's Polywell research which doesn't seem to be going anywhere.
Lerner is very close to Andrea Rossi reality-wise.
Yup. The mechanical stress from plugging it in and pulling is quite a bit. Power plugs failed on three laptops/netbooks of mine and the connector on my current phone has started to move a lot more than it used to. I wonder how long the solder connection will last.
Lower population and lower consumption will come - just not voluntarily.
Famine is one way, the other is war.
Then you need to start smoking obviously.
That's a cute story but nothing but a radical shift in the entire industrial system would change anything. That radical shift will only come as the result of overwhelming force.
Yup, I've been reading Tom Murphy's blog since it started.
However, recently I've been more influenced by Guy McPherson and George Mobus. Both exaggerate a bit but I think fundamentally they're right.
We'll keep burning as much fossil fuel as we can produce (which means shifting to ever dirtier fuel as oil and gas slide down the Hubbert curve) until the warming is so bad that it'll destroy the industrial civilization. Nothing else will have enough power to stop anything. There are many scenarios that are plausible but so far out that nobody will touch them with a pole, like 1000 ppm CO2 and 10C warming.
So far we've consistently surpassed the worst case scenarios, which means the climate science consensus (e.g. IPCC) is extremely conservative.
ROFL. How much energy is that going to save, and how will it compare to the rise in energy consumption in Chindia and other developing countries? :)
FWIW, I gave up the car some time ago, haven't flown in years and am an almost-vegetarian but I don't think that's going to change anything. I have moved from being a climate change and peak oil activist to the doomer camp. I like to be out in front
Correct. Hence nothing will be done and people will have to learn the hard way.
That's why I became a doomer over the last hew years.
1,000 ppm CO2, +10C, a hard slide down the Hubbert curve, what's not to like? Hollywood is boring compared to this.
Thank $DOG that much of my food comes in round cans or rectangular packages.
But if you eat TV dinners, watch out!
And the food prices rose because the government couldn't afford to subsidize them any more.
Why? Because Egypt used to be an oil exporter but turned into an importer.
Oh and Mexico will be in the same spot soon. Their exports are dropping fast.