Chaos theory applies to molecules but that doesn't mean that it is impossible to make any sort of prediction of fluid flow around an airplane even though there are much more than 10^23 molecules flowing around it. The solution? We use another description, the Navier-Stokes equations that describe very accurately laminar fluid flow even though we lost any perspective of individual molecules.
While increasing the size of the flow field, chaotic effects show up again in the form of turbulence which can be modeled up to a certain degree and these models can predict the flow around airplanes and other large Reynolds numbers turbulent flows or predict the weather for a few days. This sure is limited by chaos as was the prediction of the paths of individual molecules. Again, you can go further out and come up with other models that deal not with weather but with climate. These models do not predict the weather but they are useful in predicting large scale (in both space and time) phenomena of climate.
The point is that there are quantities such as energy, matter or momentum that get conserved, whatever scale you are dealing with - from molecules up to galaxies, you just have to take the right perspective. You might loose all the small scale details but you can capture fairly well the larger (and usually the most important ones from this perspective). If all was chaos, the universe would be a very boring place, probably made up of a homogeneous mixture of simple atoms randomly flying by.
As for paranormal investigation, this comment just shows how ignorant you are. Just because you don't understand something, it doesn't mean that corruption is involved. By the way, Climate Science is an extremely multidisciplinary area involving physicists, chemists, geologists, biologists, engineers and scientists from several other fields, who usually do good work in correlated fields and are not considered fraudulent by their peers (who you probably consider to be honest scientists). So, what is it? Do they get corrupt once they start working on climate? I would guess that you are simply too ignorant to know better.
You could be right but maybe this is similar to the use of multiple monitors in desktop computers. If pads were very cheap might we not do the same thing? The cost (and fragility and weight) does limit how we use such devices. Eliminating these restraints we might see other use patterns. Maybe not.
The most interesting aspect of this link is the difference between earth/federation PADDs and alien PADDs. Every earth/federation PADD has the same basic design, which is surprisingly similar to the iPad design. On the other hand, alien PADDs have all sorts of weird shapes.
What does this mean? The rectangular PADD with rounded edges are something very basic in earth design. Anything different is too weird (or not very practical...). If you want alien design, the first thing you need is to remove the rectangular shape!
Actually, if you think about, an independent judicial system is supposed to hold the general public in disdain. That's why it is independent. The problem is that specific parts the the general public is not held in disdain: corporations, Judges appear to be hypnotized by them. I wonder why...
Just imagine if Greenpeace did not get these fundings from Big Oil. They would be sending commandos to apprehend this Soon guy and send him off to Greentanamo bay.
There are two kinds of of tea partiers: the rich ones and the dumb ones. If someone is applying for a job that does this sort of screening we know for certain to what category of tea partiers this person belongs and dumbness certainly is a good criteria to eliminate someone on a job interview.
There are several reasons why this idea doesn't work. First the quantities of contaminants needed to ruin the water for consumption are much smaller than the quantitites needed to generate any useful amount of energy. Along with methane there are several other chemicals that contaminate the water and if they are dissolved in the water, it is not always easy to separate them and some of them can be very nasty.
If someone actually tried to do this, in a few days there would be some kind of regulation requiring people to pay for the gas. And in a couple of months, they would charge everyone whether using the tap gas or not because they are letting useful gas get lost. And the government would charge people because of greenhouse gases emission, hey the environment should be protected...
At the most basic level, there is a certain incidence rate of mutations upon a section of DNA. You can construct a statistical model for how often and where these mutations will occur. (In fact, scientists have done exactly that in order to determine how far back two species diverged by looking at their genomes.) If a given species' genome is grossly out of line with the statistical model, the test will reveal it.
You are missing the point. You keep insisting on DNA mutation. Darwin didn't know about DNA. Hell, he didn't even know about genetics but he came up with the theory evolution by natural selection. Whatever the mechanism that generate changes, once an individual is born, natural selection kicks in and that is what drives evolution.
Even if we could get DNA from millions of years ago and found the large "statistical deviations" in the DNA that doesn't imply that there is someone interfering with the process, simply that there might be some other mechanism that we don't know about.
By the way, your method certainly is useful for one thing: assessing evidence *for* ID. It is not proof that there is someone messing around but those statistical anomalies (if they could be determined somehow) would be considered evidence for a tamperer. But the concept is still not falsifiable.
Let me give you a scenario: natural selection takes its course (no constant supervision of the designer/interferer as happens in a farm). Of all mutations, a beneficial mutation is extremely unlikely, so therefore it is a rare event. The designer knowing all mechanisms involved in the process could simply interfere in a very small amount that can not be detected from all the statistical noise. For instance, the interference could be such that after all calculations (assuming we know all information) the probabilty of someone interfering in the process is about, I don't know, 5%. I wouldn't be able to show that there was a designer but I wouldn't be able to disprove it either. That is the nature of probability. In your casino, we can not know certainly that there was tampering, only how likely that there was and even if extremely unlikely observations happened we can't just rule out luck.
What I mean is that even if there is no evidence of interference, no statistical anomalies or whatever, that is not necessarily inconsistent with interference. I can not prove that there was no one interfering. That is why it is not falsifiable.
No need to encourage Egyptians, they are encouraged enough, just watch the news... Just don't support corrupt, brutal dictatorships and repression as the USG has done in Egypt since 1977.
If there is no evidence how con you use the scientific method? If there were some unexplained phenomena someone might put forward the hypothesis of an older earth civilization and the discussion would be what kind of evidence should we look for to establish the existence of a previous civilization. As it is, your hypothesis is science-fiction. It might be interesting and I will even accept that this kind of discussion helps exercising creativity but it is not scientific.
Well, the people taking vaccines are children, or even babies! They don't have a choice on the matter. Vaccines are not a 100% effective. Not only that, for some reason or other some people *can not* take the vaccine but they still benefit from vaccination. Herd immunity is the important result from the vaccine. Once a certain percentage of people does not take the vaccine, you lose herd immunity.
So a completely different vaccine has the same effect: autism! I have another explanation that is much more plausible: people who tend to believe in wild conspiracy theories have a 3 times higher risk of having children with autism.
I don't know if they should be held to a higher standard but it was only one year ago that corporations in the US were allowed to contribute directly to election campaigns and therefore some moral responsibility should be expected.
It is difficult to know what would happen without the GPL but what the parent says does have some merit: the counter culture was very important and it is possible that all those projects are so successful because of this "counter culture". In this sense the Free Software foundation and GPL are Stallman's greatest contribution.
So basically I am paying for shit I don't even know I did? I feel better already. I only have to wait until I'm born in a Hindu family and then I may have an opportunity to progress? Well, it is better than going straight to hell eternally.
Who said Iran is even remotely a nice place? With all the threats (It is almost 30 years of threats or outright aggression - Iran-Iraq war) the Iranian government doesn't need to conjure anything. The threats are there and they are real. So based upon your arguments the best thing the west could do is leave them alone! The population is already fed up with them.
I couldn't agree less! Iran will *never* be able to compete with US in air superiority. The most they can expect is to make things more difficult. For instance, reducing the ability of carriers to operate near Iranian coasts. This sort of UAV does just that. I'm not simply imagining this. Israel used to bomb Lebanon from the sea. Very cheap, very easy and safe. Until the 2006 war, that is, when Hezbollah used small UAV to almost sink one these boats. What happened after that? No more bombing from the sea.
Building a fighter is no easy task. They would have problems building decent gas turbines. Their only option would be to buy aircraft which is not exactly cheap. How many would they be able to gather? I would guess about a 100 or so. The US could have 100 *flying* at any one time. It would be just a waste of resources. Big and expensive targets to shoot.
The UAVs on the other hand are small, easy to store and move and can be very effective on specific targets such as ships. It would be a good deterrent against ship movements on the Persian Gulf (including tankers).
I'm no military expert but if there is country that has bombers being launched from carriers or airfields in neighbouring countries flying over Iran with complete air superiority what are the Iranians supposed to do? Be quiet and "get bombed to the stone age"? Or maybe the only admissible weapons are surface to air missiles? I'm kind of lost on this one...
By the way, this is no hypothetical situation. Iran has been threatened by two major nuclear powers for sometime.
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Chaos theory applies to molecules but that doesn't mean that it is impossible to make any sort of prediction of fluid flow around an airplane even though there are much more than 10^23 molecules flowing around it. The solution? We use another description, the Navier-Stokes equations that describe very accurately laminar fluid flow even though we lost any perspective of individual molecules.
While increasing the size of the flow field, chaotic effects show up again in the form of turbulence which can be modeled up to a certain degree and these models can predict the flow around airplanes and other large Reynolds numbers turbulent flows or predict the weather for a few days. This sure is limited by chaos as was the prediction of the paths of individual molecules. Again, you can go further out and come up with other models that deal not with weather but with climate. These models do not predict the weather but they are useful in predicting large scale (in both space and time) phenomena of climate.
The point is that there are quantities such as energy, matter or momentum that get conserved, whatever scale you are dealing with - from molecules up to galaxies, you just have to take the right perspective. You might loose all the small scale details but you can capture fairly well the larger (and usually the most important ones from this perspective). If all was chaos, the universe would be a very boring place, probably made up of a homogeneous mixture of simple atoms randomly flying by.
As for paranormal investigation, this comment just shows how ignorant you are. Just because you don't understand something, it doesn't mean that corruption is involved. By the way, Climate Science is an extremely multidisciplinary area involving physicists, chemists, geologists, biologists, engineers and scientists from several other fields, who usually do good work in correlated fields and are not considered fraudulent by their peers (who you probably consider to be honest scientists). So, what is it? Do they get corrupt once they start working on climate? I would guess that you are simply too ignorant to know better.
You could be right but maybe this is similar to the use of multiple monitors in desktop computers. If pads were very cheap might we not do the same thing? The cost (and fragility and weight) does limit how we use such devices. Eliminating these restraints we might see other use patterns. Maybe not.
The most interesting aspect of this link is the difference between earth/federation PADDs and alien PADDs. Every earth/federation PADD has the same basic design, which is surprisingly similar to the iPad design. On the other hand, alien PADDs have all sorts of weird shapes.
What does this mean? The rectangular PADD with rounded edges are something very basic in earth design. Anything different is too weird (or not very practical...). If you want alien design, the first thing you need is to remove the rectangular shape!
Actually, if you think about, an independent judicial system is supposed to hold the general public in disdain. That's why it is independent. The problem is that specific parts the the general public is not held in disdain: corporations, Judges appear to be hypnotized by them. I wonder why...
Just imagine if Greenpeace did not get these fundings from Big Oil. They would be sending commandos to apprehend this Soon guy and send him off to Greentanamo bay.
There are two kinds of of tea partiers: the rich ones and the dumb ones. If someone is applying for a job that does this sort of screening we know for certain to what category of tea partiers this person belongs and dumbness certainly is a good criteria to eliminate someone on a job interview.
There are several reasons why this idea doesn't work. First the quantities of contaminants needed to ruin the water for consumption are much smaller than the quantitites needed to generate any useful amount of energy. Along with methane there are several other chemicals that contaminate the water and if they are dissolved in the water, it is not always easy to separate them and some of them can be very nasty.
If someone actually tried to do this, in a few days there would be some kind of regulation requiring people to pay for the gas. And in a couple of months, they would charge everyone whether using the tap gas or not because they are letting useful gas get lost. And the government would charge people because of greenhouse gases emission, hey the environment should be protected...
So you say.
Why are they not demanding the bombardment of Bahrain military, or better, Saudi Arabia military?
At the most basic level, there is a certain incidence rate of mutations upon a section of DNA. You can construct a statistical model for how often and where these mutations will occur. (In fact, scientists have done exactly that in order to determine how far back two species diverged by looking at their genomes.) If a given species' genome is grossly out of line with the statistical model, the test will reveal it.
You are missing the point. You keep insisting on DNA mutation. Darwin didn't know about DNA. Hell, he didn't even know about genetics but he came up with the theory evolution by natural selection. Whatever the mechanism that generate changes, once an individual is born, natural selection kicks in and that is what drives evolution.
Even if we could get DNA from millions of years ago and found the large "statistical deviations" in the DNA that doesn't imply that there is someone interfering with the process, simply that there might be some other mechanism that we don't know about.
By the way, your method certainly is useful for one thing: assessing evidence *for* ID. It is not proof that there is someone messing around but those statistical anomalies (if they could be determined somehow) would be considered evidence for a tamperer. But the concept is still not falsifiable.
Let me give you a scenario: natural selection takes its course (no constant supervision of the designer/interferer as happens in a farm). Of all mutations, a beneficial mutation is extremely unlikely, so therefore it is a rare event. The designer knowing all mechanisms involved in the process could simply interfere in a very small amount that can not be detected from all the statistical noise. For instance, the interference could be such that after all calculations (assuming we know all information) the probabilty of someone interfering in the process is about, I don't know, 5%. I wouldn't be able to show that there was a designer but I wouldn't be able to disprove it either. That is the nature of probability. In your casino, we can not know certainly that there was tampering, only how likely that there was and even if extremely unlikely observations happened we can't just rule out luck.
What I mean is that even if there is no evidence of interference, no statistical anomalies or whatever, that is not necessarily inconsistent with interference. I can not prove that there was no one interfering. That is why it is not falsifiable.
No need to encourage Egyptians, they are encouraged enough, just watch the news... Just don't support corrupt, brutal dictatorships and repression as the USG has done in Egypt since 1977.
If there is no evidence how con you use the scientific method? If there were some unexplained phenomena someone might put forward the hypothesis of an older earth civilization and the discussion would be what kind of evidence should we look for to establish the existence of a previous civilization. As it is, your hypothesis is science-fiction. It might be interesting and I will even accept that this kind of discussion helps exercising creativity but it is not scientific.
Actually in yesterday's protests the Muslim brotherhood stayed at home. It is secular.
Well, the people taking vaccines are children, or even babies! They don't have a choice on the matter. Vaccines are not a 100% effective. Not only that, for some reason or other some people *can not* take the vaccine but they still benefit from vaccination. Herd immunity is the important result from the vaccine. Once a certain percentage of people does not take the vaccine, you lose herd immunity.
So a completely different vaccine has the same effect: autism! I have another explanation that is much more plausible: people who tend to believe in wild conspiracy theories have a 3 times higher risk of having children with autism.
I don't know if they should be held to a higher standard but it was only one year ago that corporations in the US were allowed to contribute directly to election campaigns and therefore some moral responsibility should be expected.
It is difficult to know what would happen without the GPL but what the parent says does have some merit: the counter culture was very important and it is possible that all those projects are so successful because of this "counter culture". In this sense the Free Software foundation and GPL are Stallman's greatest contribution.
As Dan Dennet would say, a deepity!
So basically I am paying for shit I don't even know I did? I feel better already. I only have to wait until I'm born in a Hindu family and then I may have an opportunity to progress? Well, it is better than going straight to hell eternally.
Well, there are millions of Palestinians whoa re not allowed to vote. The ones that are, are constantly harassed in every sort of way.
Who said Iran is even remotely a nice place? With all the threats (It is almost 30 years of threats or outright aggression - Iran-Iraq war) the Iranian government doesn't need to conjure anything. The threats are there and they are real. So based upon your arguments the best thing the west could do is leave them alone! The population is already fed up with them.
I couldn't agree less! Iran will *never* be able to compete with US in air superiority. The most they can expect is to make things more difficult. For instance, reducing the ability of carriers to operate near Iranian coasts. This sort of UAV does just that. I'm not simply imagining this. Israel used to bomb Lebanon from the sea. Very cheap, very easy and safe. Until the 2006 war, that is, when Hezbollah used small UAV to almost sink one these boats. What happened after that? No more bombing from the sea.
Building a fighter is no easy task. They would have problems building decent gas turbines. Their only option would be to buy aircraft which is not exactly cheap. How many would they be able to gather? I would guess about a 100 or so. The US could have 100 *flying* at any one time. It would be just a waste of resources. Big and expensive targets to shoot.
The UAVs on the other hand are small, easy to store and move and can be very effective on specific targets such as ships. It would be a good deterrent against ship movements on the Persian Gulf (including tankers).
And if you don't actually win, you pull out and declare victory and brag about how ruined the country is.
I'm no military expert but if there is country that has bombers being launched from carriers or airfields in neighbouring countries flying over Iran with complete air superiority what are the Iranians supposed to do? Be quiet and "get bombed to the stone age"? Or maybe the only admissible weapons are surface to air missiles? I'm kind of lost on this one ...
By the way, this is no hypothetical situation. Iran has been threatened by two major nuclear powers for sometime.