EXACTLY! Telomeres are a cancer control mechanism, and (likely) not much more. Cells (probably) proliferate from stem cells which decline as a side effect of aging. If you could find what causes them to decline, you might be able to wipe out the whole process at once.
I guess the second law doesn't apply to naked mole rats. Maybe someone should see if we can make a perpetual motion machine out of them? Or maybe we should learn a little more about thermodynamics before citing them in ways that don't make any sense at all (people who don't age still eat).
Cancer isn't random. If it were, incidence would be spread throughout the life rather than being concentrated in the later years of life.
Far more likely (IMO) that cancer is a side effect of aging. We have merely reduced mortality from other diseases (including some other age related disease), which has left more people getting cancer.
I kinda doubt that telomeres are the key to aging. Rather, I think they are strictly a method for preventing cancer. Instead, I think that something is happening to cause a decline in the number of stem cells in the body as you get older, likely something to do with NAD.
I don't know about the 3000 children part, but I do know that he was feeding the Emperor a lot of heavy metals in his potions, which is probably what killed him.
I am also useless on a snowy Manhattan road, at least until someone trains me. After I leave, someone else will have to be trained again. But once some nn figures it out, it will never need to be taught again.
Talking about how nns have limited uses is like saying that the internet has limited uses back in 1993.
Saying strong ai isn't commercially viable is like saying having a literal license to print money isn't financially viable.
Strong AI shatters all current assumptions about everything. There's a reason they call it "the Singularity."
Be very careful when saying what can't be done, especially with something like this where every advance is "historical" (ie it is something that only happens one, ie machines only need to learn to process images once, after which they can simply replicate the module).
Once people see the promise here, there will suddenly be a lot more effort in the field. Ten years is a long time for game changing techniques to take hold.
Neural nets are doing amazing things TODAY. Already there is a group that has trained one to identify scenes in photographs (a photo of a girl playing with a dog will be labelled as such). The methodology behind this will be used to train ever more advanced neural nets to do more and more tasks at or above human levels. The concept of technology companies will be moot in 20 years, and they will be on the decline in ten. Instead we will consume technology produced by autonomous computing resources.
The singularity will not be far behind.
And your second point is exactly correct. Not only will they compete on price, but a premium will be placed on human interaction, just like it is today.
Monetary policy explains it better. Automation is what is preserving our standard of living right now, and is probably the only reason we haven't gone full Zimbabwe yet.
Yeah, but it's all invisible, and doesn't cost YOU anything. One person buying something, or commissioning some bit of man-made art will pay for 1000 people to have access to free goods and services.
NASA pays plenty for it, in orbit. Imagine then that we stop living in our "space station" and instead return to Earth where things as mundane as food, clothing, shelter, transportation, and communication are as free as air.
That is a no brainer answer. They are either living inside the far more interesting dream world created and guarded by said superintelligence, or they were killed off by the superintelligence because they didn't program it correctly.
Yeah, because you know those bastards made the internet and computers and such and just kept it all for themselves. The bastards!
EXACTLY! Telomeres are a cancer control mechanism, and (likely) not much more. Cells (probably) proliferate from stem cells which decline as a side effect of aging. If you could find what causes them to decline, you might be able to wipe out the whole process at once.
I guess the second law doesn't apply to naked mole rats. Maybe someone should see if we can make a perpetual motion machine out of them? Or maybe we should learn a little more about thermodynamics before citing them in ways that don't make any sense at all (people who don't age still eat).
Cancer isn't random. If it were, incidence would be spread throughout the life rather than being concentrated in the later years of life.
Far more likely (IMO) that cancer is a side effect of aging. We have merely reduced mortality from other diseases (including some other age related disease), which has left more people getting cancer.
I kinda doubt that telomeres are the key to aging. Rather, I think they are strictly a method for preventing cancer. Instead, I think that something is happening to cause a decline in the number of stem cells in the body as you get older, likely something to do with NAD.
I don't know about the 3000 children part, but I do know that he was feeding the Emperor a lot of heavy metals in his potions, which is probably what killed him.
We'll all be speaking machine language, you insensitive clod!
Excellent selection, since this is just what has been done, only even more general than that.
You can't reason with them until you make one with reason, but that's the Singularity.
I am also useless on a snowy Manhattan road, at least until someone trains me. After I leave, someone else will have to be trained again. But once some nn figures it out, it will never need to be taught again. Talking about how nns have limited uses is like saying that the internet has limited uses back in 1993.
Saying strong ai isn't commercially viable is like saying having a literal license to print money isn't financially viable. Strong AI shatters all current assumptions about everything. There's a reason they call it "the Singularity."
Be very careful when saying what can't be done, especially with something like this where every advance is "historical" (ie it is something that only happens one, ie machines only need to learn to process images once, after which they can simply replicate the module). Once people see the promise here, there will suddenly be a lot more effort in the field. Ten years is a long time for game changing techniques to take hold.
Neural nets are doing amazing things TODAY. Already there is a group that has trained one to identify scenes in photographs (a photo of a girl playing with a dog will be labelled as such). The methodology behind this will be used to train ever more advanced neural nets to do more and more tasks at or above human levels. The concept of technology companies will be moot in 20 years, and they will be on the decline in ten. Instead we will consume technology produced by autonomous computing resources. The singularity will not be far behind.
Both energy and material costs are nothing but obfuscated labor costs.
Thorium fission, fusion, or cheap solar.
And your second point is exactly correct. Not only will they compete on price, but a premium will be placed on human interaction, just like it is today.
The basic resources produced by robots with ultra cheap energy inputs?
Yeah, and someone will, just like they do now. Did YOU ever click on a \. add? Yet here they are. Nevermind the concept of making your own stuff.
Monetary policy explains it better. Automation is what is preserving our standard of living right now, and is probably the only reason we haven't gone full Zimbabwe yet.
Yeah, but it's all invisible, and doesn't cost YOU anything. One person buying something, or commissioning some bit of man-made art will pay for 1000 people to have access to free goods and services.
Probably not since I don't know that that is.
NASA pays plenty for it, in orbit. Imagine then that we stop living in our "space station" and instead return to Earth where things as mundane as food, clothing, shelter, transportation, and communication are as free as air.
Why don't you just go live in a 3d printed high rise apartment? They're free, you know. Robot maintained, even.
I don't know, maybe the owners of every internet server ever might be able to tell you.
How much do you pay for the air you are breathing? Now imagine most goods and services are like that. This is where things start "growing on trees".
3d printers are cheap and getting cheaper. Same with robots. When they are built at zero marginal cost, they will be free, just like internet content.
That is a no brainer answer. They are either living inside the far more interesting dream world created and guarded by said superintelligence, or they were killed off by the superintelligence because they didn't program it correctly.