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New Antiviral May Cure Common Cold

Max Karpiak writes "CNN is reporting on a new antiviral which may cure the common cold as well as many other viral infections. What's especially cool is the way this drug was created: it was designed specifically to counter viruses, not just discovered in a hit-or-miss fashon. Geeks designing molecules to attack viruses? Awesome!" Neat stuff. So, what other "fantastic" science applications are on the verge of actually entering the market?

53 of 246 comments (clear)

  1. Blue screen of DEATH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Beta testing on the general population just like software.

    If there's a bug, you die.

    5 people have died allready while takeing the popular and heavily advertised Influenza drug "Reflenza".

    1. Re:Blue screen of DEATH by Hallow · · Score: 2

      They died while taking relenza not because the drug killed them, but because of secondary bacterial and viral infections and severe cases of the flu. Relenza was misprescribed by their doctors when other treatments were more appropriate (hospitalization, iv fluids, etc.). Relenza at it's best shaves a day or two off of flu symptoms. That's it. It's not a cure.

    2. Re:Blue screen of DEATH by tgd · · Score: 3

      So?

      How many people worldwide in a given year die from Influenza?

      In 1996, 3.6 percent of all the deaths in the US were of either Influenza or Pneumonia brought on by Influenza.

      That's greater than the number of deaths by AIDS, homicide and suicide put together according to the CDC.

      Five deaths? What a horror!

  2. Re:Truth and Effects by Brynn · · Score: 2

    >but I would suggest that something added to the "living equilibrium", such as a (relatively) >spontaneously created medication, has the >potential to unbalance many of the delicate >chemical systems we need to live a healthy, >darwinian fit, happy life.

    I get somewhat annoyed by people who imply that the things humans do aren't "natural", as if beaver dams are more "natural" than the Hoover dam because they're made of wood rather than concrete. This "living balance" is *caused* by changes we (along with everything else on this planet) make and made, starting with amino acid formation and evolving into modern tech via microbes that made this world oxygen-laden. We just happen to be more observant of our changes because they tend to be large-scale (although microbes and virii can certainly beat us out for changing the environment, they're just less visible (pardon the pun)).
    As for this "delicate chemical balance", I don't buy it. It's delicate in the sense that very little chemical things can do great damage (e.g. many atoms of cholrine in gaseous form). The *balance*, however, is not delicate, because the system is very flexible and efficient (efficient in the "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and "if it isn't in use, ditch it" senses). It will readjust to the new situation - the new virii will evolve around this medication (kinda similar to the Internet routing around censorship ;P).

    Brynn, who believes that since evolution gave us this nice big brain, we might as well use it

    --
    "Any sufficiently advanced form of Magic is indistinguishable from Technology." - Gnomish Technomancer
  3. Re:Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by Griim · · Score: 2

    As said in a previous response, it's not so much *if* evolution will occur for the viruses to adapt to the drug, but *when.* However, with this newer approach to developing a cure, where the drug is tailored to the infection, we should (hopefully) be able to counter adaptations of the virus to keep pace with it. I envision a future where you may even be able to receive nanite injections (read: Hemos) and set the nanites to simply disassemble the infecting agent.

    However, the main reason we seem to be devloping superbugs at such an alarming rate, is because in western civilization, we tend to declare all-out war on the simplest infections. If you're feeling a little under the weather, or you have a minor infection, you shouldn't be taking antibiotics right off the bat. This can be just as hard on your system as the infecting agent. I'm for more homeopathic remedies for minor things, and then breaking out the big guns when things get serious. Just my silly rant though.

  4. Re:keep the common cold around? by orabidoo · · Score: 2

    that was my first reaction too. curing meningitis and other serious viral diseases is great. taking medicine to cure a common cold, well, I'd rather just wait for it go away on its own, it just takes a week usually anyway. if we help the body by getting rid of even the small nasties on its behalf, it'll end up weakening us.

  5. resistance and drug policy by jetson123 · · Score: 2

    It seems likely that some viruses will be able to develop resistance to this drug. The rational thing would be to reserve it for life threatening infections, rather than use it for the common cold. But no matter what would be best for society, I suspect in the current corporate-friendly environment, that is an impossibility. But, then, given the cost, maybe HMOs won't cover it.

  6. Doctor's Opinion by Grond · · Score: 2
    Disclaimer: I am not a doctor, but my father is, so I asked him.

    His opinion on the new anti-viral drug (this isn't the only one, there is one other (Relenza) that has been on the market this year as an anti-flu/anti-cold drug) is that it is costly and relatively ineffective. The reason that it has been prescribed much at all this year is that the most common flu vaccine is proving to be ineffective itself. Combined with a lot of people deciding not to get said vaccine, Relenza has seen a fair bit of use, especially since many people can ask for it by name because of television and print advertising.

    In any case, he wonders if the study presented in the article was manufacturer-sponsored. If it was, it is highly suspect. We suggest waiting until it is fully approved by the FDA before deciding if it's the miracle drug that the company claims it is, and even then he would wait until independent researchers publish their findings before prescribing it himself.

    Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and a CNN article is not extraordinary evidence, even one that has a chart. *g*

  7. I'm a bad biologist...in fact I'm a molecular biol by crush · · Score: 2
    Good biologists laugh, cry and bang their heads in frustration when people worry about whether resistance against some deadly substance will happen

    The point is that there is no need to provide a "cure" for the common cold except in extreme cases: for people that are immune compromised due to being old,young or HIV+. As things stand there is a population of very rapidly mutating viruses providing a huge amount of variation for selection to act upon. The result of this is that there will be a rapid response to any new pharmaceutical

    The result of handing out cold cures to those who don't need them is that there will - as the poster at the top of this thread suggested - be a suite of resistant forms. These will then be a threat to those that need something to cure them. The emergency, critical treatment for those people will be much less effective then it might be.

    The promise of carefully designed drugs is that we can keep pace with evolution better.

    Not if we don't use them intelligently. Would you for example favour the idea of spraying plane-loads of anti-virals over major urban centers before the start of each flu season?

    Viruses are not living according to the biologists I know. They probably would not call them organisms.

    This is really an old and pointless debate and it is a non-sequitur as far as this argument (should we use new drugs indiscriminately without considering epidemiology?) goes. The point is that viruses form a population, they reproduce with variation, thus selection takes place as with what might be unambiguously defined as "life" and with "non-life" like memes or teddy-bears (Journal of Systematic Zoology (I think it was) had a great article on teddy-bear morphology and how aesthetic selection affected the population!). As viruses have the highest rate of mutation known, they are going to adapt much more quickly even than bacteria have to antibiotics (and that has been pretty damn quick).

    You seem to think that ther e is little or no problem with Multiple Drug Resistant bacteria - well, talk to any health-care professional to hear about the appalingly needless problems caused by MDR.

    All of this comes about from a careless attitude to population genetics and epidemiology.

    I'm not disputing that we should try and understand the mechanisms involved, I want more than that, I want us to understand and use evolution against these problems. Careful application, restricted use would see us controlling a lot of these problems. The alternative is a race between us and evolution, needless and benefiting no-one except drug companies who always have a new miracle drug available at only $50.

  8. Re:Truth and Effects by QuMa · · Score: 2

    1) Why? It seems to clash with what we call ethics. Kill all those that are born with disabilities? Let's just say some people may object.

    2) Why? Who says we can't keep up with evolution? Germs became resistant to antibiotics, but that doesn't mean we're worse of than before we had antibiotics.

    3) Argh. What, the human brain runs IIS? ARGH.

  9. Re:Truth and Effects by QuMa · · Score: 2

    1) You claim you want evolution. But you don't want any casualities... the only way of doing that is stopping the weaker specimens from reproducing. (Wait, don't we have the internet for that? :-). And somehow I doubt the common cold is going to seriously stop someone from reproducing. Personally, I say bugger evolution, let's all get extinct. It doesn't matter for us personally, and it's nice for the conscience...

    2) Yes, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't use it. Using it doesn't harm anyone without antibiotics. And, as the AC said, antibiotics only work against micro-organisms...

  10. Re:How about... by dartboard · · Score: 2

    Don't blame the antibiotics -- they've saved hundreds of millions of lives. Blame your doctor for prescribing them when you didn't need them.

  11. Re:Yes, and it's "viruses," not "virii." by MrHugo · · Score: 2

    Of course evolution happens when selective pressures are significant enough to kill off most of the viral types that aren't specifically resistant. But the belief that the Red Queen's race (that we're caught in a cycle of developing drugs that only give rise to new resistant strains which then require new drugs, etc.) is inevitable is a little naive.

    One of the problems with early HIV drug therapy (specifically straight forward azt treatment) was that only a single piece of the virus was targeted. It was relatively easy for the virus to find the mutation that blocked a single drug. The more recent approach has been to use multiple drugs at once (the triple cocktail, HAART) because its significantly harder for the viral population to find a set of mutations to develop resistance to multiple drugs at once.

    Similarly, the major problem with antimalarial drugs is that people don't often take them for the full length of time that they're prescribed. The result is that the infection isn't entirely destroyed and returns, but with a higher proportion of slightly resistant variants. When this happens through a series of hosts, the ultimate result is a fully resistant strain (which is why neither mefloquine nor chloroquine will help you in much of Thailand).

    Both of these considerations are important with regard to this antiviral. A viral species can indeed be wiped out by drug therapy, just as smallpox was wiped out by vaccination. But when a drug is so frequently prescribed for so many afflictions (which will no doubt be the case with this one), there's little chance that it will remain effective for long. It's unclear whether resistant viruses will be more or less virulent then the current strains, but the people who need these drugs (immuosuppressed patients) will be the ones who lose out.

    With well researched and controlled treatment, this could be a very beneficial treatment and could, for instance, rid ourselves of rhinovirus. But that's not likely.

  12. Re:Truth and Effects by 0xdeadbeef · · Score: 2

    Luddite paranoia coupled with social darwinism?

    How do you know that these viruses aren't in fact modifying our genetic code to cause us "to grow wings?" The inablity to forsee all posiblities is not an excuse for inaction, and certainly not an excuse to submit people to pain and death for your "darwinian fitness".

  13. Re:Truth and Effects by debrain · · Score: 2
    Luddite paranoia coupled with social darwinism
    Not many luddite paranoids use Slashdot, partially by definition. Whereas social darwinism may be an accurate observation, I honestly can't say what it means. :)
    How do you know that these viruses aren't in fact modifying our genetic code to cause us "to grow wings?" The inablity to forsee all posiblities is not an excuse for inaction, and certainly not an excuse to submit people to pain and death for your "darwinian fitness".
    The implication I was incinuating was that by using drugs may lower the overall quality of life for us all, that by using synthetic means of human-preservation we may undermine the things we take for granted and value. Contrast the cost of lives now with the cost of the quality of life. Do we really need a larger number of people to lead a happier life? (Not to say we should murder people, or let them die when we have a choice, but it is an interesting question.)

    A cure for influenza may be somewhat like the spice from Herbert's Dune: it allowed many people to live their lives for longer and in unimaginable ways, but was a deadly addiction. Granted, the influenza cure probably isn't addictive, but the duality between truth and worth, effect and consequence is not clear. Administering a cure of unknown consequence may have worse consequences than not administering it at all. From a personal perspective, the choice is obvious: we give the cure, but from a holistic perspective the choice is not clear at all, and not to be made lightly.

  14. Re:Truth and Effects by debrain · · Score: 2
    It directly kills very few (those who were really on the edge) but the most devastating effects are against the strong and healthy. The victim's own immune response is responsible for their death in many if not most cases.
    That is something that was hinted at here (on Slashdot), and I must say that it adds an interesting twist to any ethical question. Suffice to say that the survival of the fittest is an odd thing to say, since it would be the physically unfit that would possess darwinian fitness (the ability to continue life and breed).

    I do know that common diseases, including influenza, do cause death in AIDS patients, as up until 1993 (IIRC - see WHO) influenza was the largest killer in the world - a statistic consisting mostly of those with advanced HIV, until strains of antibiotic resistent TB started making a comeback in 3rd world countries. (TB now being the largest killer in the world)

  15. Re:Truth and Effects by debrain · · Score: 2
    The context is the definition of "nature" as follows:
    A primitive state of existence, untouched and uninfluenced by civilization or artificiality: couldn't tolerate city life anymore and went back to nature.
    In which case, by definition, natural is the state that exists disjoint of artificial (or synthetic, or manufactured, or conditioned, etc.) entities, such as the cure we have created for influenza.

    We must acknowledge two circumstances, first that a single chemical entity could end the world as we know and accept in a catalyst form, and second that our own industrialized chemical production could spread harmful entities (see DDT and tobacco) to all places where humanity exists. Failure to accept these possibilities is a most highly dangerous ignorance.

    Also of note: nature is only efficient in terms of generations. Intragenerational modifications to a species are relatively minute, but generational natural selection is what makes nature so adaptable. Without generational selection, evolution is stagnated, which is the state of homo sapiens as we read this.

    As humans, our main selection criteria are poverty and deadly addictions (and isolated modifiers). The fact that we can reason about this sort of thing does not change the fact that at some point, something will curb our growth. If not ourselves, then something else. (Unless we explore altenative habitats, like space and oceans).

  16. Re:The Microbe's Banquet by hey! · · Score: 2

    Sorry I wasn't clear, and didn't respond earlier.

    The link between global warming and viral diseases is this.

    Viruses don't live and reproduce on their own. They are dependent upon another organism to provide the machinery for replication. Also, some viruses do not infect people directly, but through a "vector" organism, such as a kissing bug or mosquito.

    The range of the natural host and vector organisms change with climate change (human or natural) and with ecological disruption. Furthermore not just any mosquito can carry, say, encephelitis. The viruses that infect people via mosquitoes require specific bits of biological machinery to amplify within the mosquito. This is why you can't get AIDS from a mosquito bite.

    Mosquito ranges are exquisitely temperature sensitive. A change of half a degree or so can create pockets of viable habitat within temperate areas of tropical species.

    Also, another example purely of ecological disruption is Lyme disease, which probably existed in deer population for thousands of years. In the Northeast, farmers cleared the land and removed natural predators. When the land reverted to suburbs, the deer population close to humans increased, without a significant top level predator such as wolves.

    A friend of mine lives on an island with deer, and every one of his family has gotten Lyme disease. About a decade ago,the western coyote, moving into the abandoned ecological slot in New England, swam to the island and killed almost the entire deer population and much of the rodent population. Now the deer herds are much smaller. Last time I visited for about four or five days of tramping around, I didn't get a single tick on me.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  17. I am skeptical, but hopeful by Invicta{HOG} · · Score: 2

    First of all, I have yet to see mention of this medicine in either JAMA or the New England Journal. I don't know where or if the Phase I trials were ever published. So, as far as this particular thing ever materializing, there's a lot of doubt in my mind.

    However, I do say that eventually we will see something that will work. The ability to use x-ray and other techniques to probe the 3-D structure of viral receptors and recent advantages in immunology make "smart" drug design the clear way to go. The article unfortunately does not mention specific points the drugs attack, but there are many vulnerable points on all viruses. And where they attack will, in my mind, make a difference as to whether we'll ever see the extinction of these viruses.

    The small RNA viruses (picornaviruses - which actually include the two genuses mentioned - enteroviridae and rhinoviridae) do mutate at a rapid rate. However, many if not most of them have humans as their only host. If a drug struck at the appropriate point in the viral life cycle, it would be possible to wipe it out. Now, this drug is far too expensive and the rhinovirus is far too mild to warrant the necessary world-wide attack. But other members (poliovirus, hepatitis A), even though they have relatively cheap vaccines available, might benefit from having a product which affect viral transfer after infection.

    In the end, this development probably isn't too significant. Some people in the developed world will have a way to fight off some symptoms of a bad cold. Shorten their suffering by a few days. Now, I'd like to see this technique applied to something important like the rotavirus, which kills more than a million children worldwide with its diarrhea. Of course, most companies would rather be known as the people who cured the common cold rather than the people who stopped deadly diarrhea in some far off place. So it goes.

    Invicta{HOG}

  18. Re:What about HIV? by Will+Dyson · · Score: 2

    I remember seeing an article a year or two ago about how the 3d structure of HIV had finally been mapped. I think the article even mentioned that the researchers who did the mapping had identified a few potential targets for new drugs.

    If there aren't a few startups working on it already, I'd be quite surprised. However, remember that the 3d structure of the viruses that this drug targets was mapped back in 1985 and it has taken until now to get a drug ready...
    --
    Will Dyson

    --
    Will Dyson
    "We can't stop here ... This is Bat Country!" - Hunter S. Thompson
  19. What about HIV? by damyan · · Score: 2

    Surely this technique can be applied to more fatal diseases such as HIV or Hepatitis?

    Any reason why not?

  20. please, god, let it be effective on cold sores! by imac.usr · · Score: 2

    AKA herpes....I get them pretty regularly in droves (lips, tongue, back of the throat) and they suck fucking rocks. No doctor or dentist has been able to suggest anything other than hydrogen peroxide and various antifungal medications, but something that would wipe them out after a day or so would be worth just about any price to me (and probably lots of others)...



    --
    I use Macs for work, Linux for education, and Windows for cardplaying.
  21. keep the common cold around? by The+Shrubber · · Score: 2

    okay, i feel stupid posting this (enter the obvious reply, "that's because you are") but i've always sorta felt that of all the diseases in the world, the common cold should be one of those that we really just shouldn't bother to cure For adults at least, it's just a nuiscance, a small suffering. Seems like something people in the cushy part of the world should learn to endure, some amount of minor suffering.

    Curing the cold is one more step towards us growing soft and useless. Of course, there are plenty of good reasons for doing this (such as learning about curing stuff in general), but it's just a feeling.

    1. Re:keep the common cold around? by znu · · Score: 4

      The cold is just one of the many diseases this can supposedly stop. The article says "Pleconaril (prounounced plah-CONN-ah-rill) is the latest in a short list of medicines that kill viruses. This drug, in fact, blocks an entire category of them, a collection of 169 distinctly different nasties that together cause more human disease than any other."

      This sounds like it could be a very big deal for developing nations, not just "the cushy part of the world". The problem is the price -- the company wants $50-100 for a single treatment. I wonder what their costs actually are, and if they'll lower prices once they've paid for development.

      --

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      This space unintentionally left unblank.
  22. Re:Hope I'm wrong... by Mr+Donkey · · Score: 2

    That is an interesting point.

    From what I remember from Immunology I believe that the immune system will respond to even just a few virus particles.

    So what this drug probably does is reduce the number of active virus particles to which the immune response has to mount a response, reducing the severity and length of the disease.

    So, I do believe that the patient will still gain immunity against the virus.

    --
    -----Transmission Complete----- If you want to email me...Don't
  23. Re:Truth and Effects by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 2

    I remember an interesting story where the viruses in a planet's ecosystem had evolved in such a way that they ended up HELPING their hosts (reprogramming their genes to give them superior physical & mental abilities) instead of hurting them (on the basis that if the host was physically dominant, the virus would also benefit in ITS reproduction).

    Note that the story did not say that the viruses were intelligent - just that evolution had decided that it was a competitive advantage for them to help their hosts.

    If we end up with the ability to nullify all vectors which are harmful to ourselves (and keep up with their rate of evolution), then will it become evolutionary necessary for the bacteria & viruses to be HELPFUL to us (so that we don't eliminate them)?

  24. Think lost productivity by Greyfox · · Score: 2
    If you can gain just an hour or two of productive work back, this stuff would pay for itself, even if you don't take into account the fact that the medical insurance co-pay on drugs is generally around $10 to $20.

    And if it can help you get over the flu any faster, sign me up!

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  25. This is the same reason why HIV evolves so fast by aswang · · Score: 2
    While HIV and the rhino virus aren't particularly homologous, I would imagine the principles would be the same. As soon as we started using protease inhibitors against HIV, multiple resistant strains quickly developed. And these drugs were designed in a similar fashion as Pleconaril, through molecular modeling of binding sites. This same type of rapid evolution is what is foiling drugs that are trying to block HIV's entry, which were also developed through molecular modeling. And this rapid evolution occurs even though HIV has a very limited genome, such that genes even overlap each other. You would think that minor mistakes in copying the genome would inactivate the virus, but it doesn't.

    The rhino virus also exhibits rapid genetic change. This is the main reason why we never develop immunity to them. We never get hit by the same one twice. I don't even want to imagine how much Pleconaril will accelerate their evolution.

  26. Another reason the Human Genome Proj. is important by aswang · · Score: 2
    From the CNN article:

    "Usually the major problem with antiviral drugs is safety," [Dr. Catherine Laughlin] says. "It's hard to find something that kills the virus and doesn't kill the cell.... There are no similar cellular processes in the body. But you never know."

    Once we have the entire sequence, we WILL know (well, realistically speaking, probably not until we figure out how to predict protein folding, too, but it's a big step to getting there), and it'll make designing drugs like this even easier. Add in the technique of DNA shuffling (sexual PCR), and we might actually have a chance at keeping pace with evolution.

  27. Re:Truth and Effects by tve · · Score: 2
    What you're saying here (as I read it) is 2 things:

    1. We should also be carefull about the 'genetic' health of the human race as a whole.

    2. We should be carefull that viri don't keep on evolving up to a level that we entirely loose control.

    Good point there. I guess we should start debugging humans then using genetic engineering. I wonder what the first bugtraq-post would look like...
    Saying ........????.ida will reveal the directory structure of the human brain. This isn't a big security problem in itself, but could be a serious problem in combination with other vulnerabilities.

    --

    If there is hope, it lies in the trolls.
  28. Re:Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by tve · · Score: 2

    The article states that it fits neatly into a groove on the surface of the virus. That sounds to me like the only selection process here is that of the form of this groove. So the only thing that could happen is that viri that have a different kind of groove will survive and that the others will not. Should this happen, I think that they should be able to make another 'plah-CONN-ah-rill' targeting this new string.

    I could be entirely wrong however. Does anyone have a more specific knowledge of the subject? Does Dustin Hoffman or any of the other guys from 'Outbreak' read /.?

    --

    If there is hope, it lies in the trolls.
  29. Re:Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by Lardy · · Score: 2
    Far be it from me to be the voice of doom and gloom, but I'd be very surprised if a drug like can have a significant long term impact on viruses such as the common cold. I used to work on the structures of picornaviruses, and reading a bit between the lines, I think the drug that the CNN article talks about probably works the same way as many other drugs which have been tried in the past. The only difference appears to be that someone has "designed" this one, rather than stumbled upon it with the "shotgun" approach.

    The major problem with all drugs which target the picornaviruses is the high mutation rate of the virus. As the other reply to this message points out, it's not a question of whether a virus will learn how to avoid a particular drug, but when. Mutations will happen and the viruses which come into contact with the drug will. Just like bacteria become resistant to drugs, viruses will too. It won't take long before subtle changes to the virus structures will render any drug useless, especially if it's thrown about with gay abandon, like antibiotics have been.

    Another doubt that I have surrounds the blanket statement that the drug will be effective against the "common cold": the last time I checked there were 102 distinctly different viruses which fitted that bill, and they were divided into two groups. Antibodies - the sharp end of the immune systems response to a viral infection - which recognise members of one group won't have any impact on members of the other group. Yet we're to believe that a single, simple drug molecule is going to knock out every type of common cold virus, plus polio, plus enteroviruses, plus a handful of other viruses ?

    Maybe I'm just a sceptic, but I find it hard to see how this drug can live up the hype which will undoubtedly surround it.

  30. Re:Hope I'm wrong... by sistar · · Score: 2

    There should be no problem with this. The drug would normally be used after the first symptoms of the infection arised. At this point the immune system is allready in an alerted state. The drug would just reduce the strength and the duration of the illness. In fact a combination of the fully pathogenic virus and the drug could possibly be used as an vaccine and therefore establish protection against the virus without further need for the drug...

  31. Beta Test... by TangoChaz · · Score: 2

    Hey, if Microsoft can beta test on the general populous, why can't the rest of us?

    TC

    -----
    "The statistics on sanity are that one out of every four Americans is suffering from some form of mental illness. Think of your three best friends. If they are okay, then it's you." --Rita Mae Brown

    --

    TangoChaz

    --------------------
    Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools because the
  32. Eh, WHAT?? by GIZM0 · · Score: 2

    Ok, "Anonymous Coward", whoever you are, maybe I'm just confused, but I'm having trouble making the jump from a cure for the common cold, to previously flourishing neighborhoods becoming dens of thieves, drug addicts and the lowest form of society imaginable. Perhaps you're basing your assumptions on information I'm not aware of, but that seems like quite a change jsut because the cure for the common cold may have been found. You yourself seem "out-of-touch and obtuse" perhaps you should clarify for those of us not deeply entrenched in conspiracy theory. Even given the assumption that say, a cure for AIDS was found, and this in turn encouraged those with deviant lifelstyles to continue in the same fashion, are you saying we should withhold the cure as a moral slide-rule? Who made you religion? Should we then simply tell those who contract deadly (but curable diseases) by innoncent means; "Sorry, we have the cure, but we can't give it to you because we're trying to control sexual deviancy."? Are you insane? Also, you seem to think the cure for the common cold will become something like the addiction of 'Soma' in "Brave New World." Apparently we're all going to become so afraid of sneezing that we'll have this stuff continuously pumped into oour veins. Even if that were the case, the appeal of this new drug would not last, because, as you would know if you understood the nature of medicine, the more widely used a drug becomes, the less effective it becomes. Why? Because, as organisms, viruses strive to adapt and survive, and in order to do this, they must develop into new strains (which they do) and therefore become unaffected by the drug. This very thing is happening with penacillin. It's been so widely used for so long that the viruses it was once intended to fight have developed and it has not. Simple as that. An entire population taking a drug 24/7 would simply herald this obsoleteness of the new drug even faster. Not to mention, I doubt this will be an over-the-counter medicine, but more likely a prescription drug, so you'd have to see a doctor to get any. Not that the cure for the common cold and potentially other diseases is not a big deal, but you've blown it so far out of proportion in the wrong direction, that I question your grip on reality.

  33. Hope I'm wrong... by SLi · · Score: 2

    I'm no expert in medicine, so I don't really know if I've got something wrong. But, isn't it that blocking viruses in a GENERAL way means that our immune systems never get the chance to develop real immunity to them?
    Imagine a 30-year old cured against common cold from his childhood, having not developed immunity. Exactly what is going to happen when he simply doesn't get the drug anymore and all the common cold viruses strike him simultaneously?

  34. Just curious by tjstork · · Score: 2

    Seems like this anti-viral agent strives to attack at a common point within a virus molecule. That is, it's a static agent and in terms of breakthrough, it really is not stupendously significant. It will save lives, it will save people, but it won't change fundamentally the arms race between virus maker and virus. So long as we use static agents, human intervention will be required every time the virus evolves. We may forestall the intervention with clever attacks like this new drug, but, the virus will change, and we will have to again interven. This static model of medicine remains the same.

    The dynamic model seems to be the real breakthrough. At some point we will develop medicines that can themselves evolve to match their viral and bacteriological enemies. Adaptability is essentially what nano-technology promises in medicine, but it does not have to be nano-technology. We may some day engineer our own anti-virus virus, our own anti-bacteriological bacteria.

    How far away is this dynamic medicine? What will be the consequences of it? Will we have to take drugs to stop the cure from curing us? Will our existence become a continual juggling act of cure management?

    --
    This is my sig.
  35. Re:Truly a good thing? (Sigh!) by Windigo+The+Feral+(N · · Score: 3

    Shanep dun said:

    Beef *does* kill. People that eat red meat often, usually are found to suffer bowel and colon cancer much more than vegetarians. And no, I'm not reading this from a Health Food Store catalog, every western doctor from GP's to hospital surgeons have also said this to me in reply to my 14 years being vegetarian.

    From what I've read, most of the possible increased colon cancer risk isn't so much from the meat itself as from ways of preparation (specifically, grillng meat till it's charred and/or frying it can form nitrosamines, which are potent carcinogens). Most of the other risks of meat-eating come largely from human bungling (there is probably some risk of cancer from the hormones moos and other animals are pumped full of, there is the risk of antibiotic-resistant bacterial infection from people pumping animals fulla antibiotics to fatten them up [one of the side effects of some antibiotics happens to be animals put weight on faster] and if one lives in the EC there is the risk of new-variant Creutzfeld-Jakob disease [which recently was proved to be caused by the same prion that causes mad cow disease] from eating beef because humans made the positively stupid decision to feed cows rendered sheep remains which just happened to have died from scrapie).

    There are some cases where people live on a diet almost entirely consisting of meat and don't regularly die of cancer; the Inuit, for one, live almost entirely on meat but don't die of cancer (largely because a lot of their food is eaten raw or boiled) the way we do in the West.

    As a minor aside--a lot of colon cancer in the US is actually due to genetic factors that increase the tendency. Most of the genetic errors that have been found in familial colon cancer have directly to do with cell repair farging up (one cancer syndrome points to the P53 oncogene, which when damaged increases the chances of cancer radically; there have been several others found).

    Incidentially--I wouldn't count vegetarianism out entirely for risks of cancer, either. Japan and other Asian countries have a drastically higher rate of stomach cancer, which is thought to be possibly related to the fact they eat polished rice as a large part of their diet; it is also suspected by some doctors that the rise in rates of breast and prostate cancer in the US are related to herbicides used on the majority of plants (many of the herbicides used are "estrogen-mimics"; this has had especially bad effects in Florida, where the land is so polluted from agricultural runoff that feminised male alligators and Florida panthers have been found in the Everglades) and some also suspect herbicides to be responsible for the drop in sperm counts in most Western countries.

    I will grant, though, that most vegetarians do tend to take care of themselves better than most other folks; probably responsible for your rapid healing. Then again, I consider that part of being smart about one's health anyways (myself, I have to be careful about checkups because of strong family histories of colon cancer and diabetes--so I don't overload on fatty stuff (which is where most nitrosamines are stored as well as cancer-causing pesticides that are still in the food chain), I try to go organic-beef when possible (so the cows aren't pumped full of chemicals--better for you AND the moo), and I eat stuff with antioxidants like broccoli (which can help out a fair amount with beating genetic problems with cell repair such as those that cause familial colon cancer).

    Going to EITHER extreme (total carnivore or total herbivore) prolly isn't real healthy, though; humans are obligate omnivores (there are some vitamins we do require from animal foods, and vegans have to be VERY careful to balance B vitamins for example; we are also obligate fruit-eaters, since we can't synthesize vitamin C like other non-primate animals) and pretty much have been since the ancestors of all apes (including humans and our closest relatives chimps and bonobos) evolved from monkeys. (Chimps and bonobos both share around 98 percent of our DNA and are omnivorous; so was, likely, Australopithecus. Gorillas are really the only apes adapted for a largely herbivorous lifestyle and have a much larger gut than other apes to digest plant matter; maybe in a few million years if a society of humans walls off and goe entirely vegan we'll have gorilla-bellied Homo who can live entirely off plants. :)

    Of all the mammals on Earth, we are the only ones that not only continue to drink milk after being weened of it at a young age, but we drink the milk of another species! A practice that also harms our own young when we force it onto them. We consider ourselves to be pretty smart. Our arrogance far out weighs our knowledge, showing just how unintelligent we can be.

    Oddly, milk-drinking (and, more to the point, the ability to properly digest milk) is actually a wonderful example of evolution (since the thread is largely on concerns of rhinoviruses and picornaviruses (the targets of Pleconaril) becoming resistant to Pleconaril eventually)...

    Most milk-drinking started among people who raised moos in Europe, parts of sub-Saharan Africa, and parts of Asia (specifically India). These populations generally have a high percentage of people who can digest lactose (milk-sugar) after infancy, because they've been drinking milk for so long as a population that there's been enough time and "mutation pressure" that there aren't a lot of lactose-intolerant folks left.

    In cultures that generally have not raised moos for milk or have not raised moos at all (largely Native Americans, Australian Aboriginals, much of Asia, parts of Africa where they never raised moos for milk, and people who are descended from those groups) there is a much higher rate of lactose intolerance (enough that in the US, they actually sell lactose-free milk and lactase pills), and folks who don't have the ability to produce lactase after infancy tend to get all bloaty and farty and have diarrhea if they attempt to drink milk or eat non-fermented dairy products (cheese and yogurt are easier for them to eat). They never had the gene selected for, so it's not all that common. (For that matter, a lot of African-Americans and especially Native Americans also lack genes selecting for breakdown of ethyl alcohol and for rapid breakdown of sucrose--because until fairly recently those genes weren't selected for. So Native Americans have a much higher incidence of type II diabetes (sometimes shockingly so--something like ninety percent of the Pima people who are adults have type II diabetes) and problems in drinking alcohol.)

    As a minor aside--most animals don't produce lactase after infancy, either. This includes--of all animals--cats, who we feed cream to on occasion. (Cream actually has less lactose in it than milk does.) You really shouldn't feed too much milk to kitties, because if one does kitty WILL get the runs and fart (and trust me, kitty farts are NOT the most pleasant thing in the world). There are kitties on occasion that CAN produce lactase and can handle milk ok (and maybe in a few thousand years most kitties will be able to handle it--it's only the last few hundred years that kitties have been seen more as pets than as gods/demons/the little furry things what eat the mousies), but one does have to be careful about it.

    This is not to say I don't agree that we've not been arrogant at times (like with mad cow disease or filling animals fulla chemicals)...I think in a way it's probably been mean how we breed dairy cows, for example (they get so full they can barely walk, the poor things...and then they moo pathetically, as if saying "MILK ME BEFORE I BLOW UUUUP!" as they go from show-ring at the fair to the milking station [they usually show moos with full udders, btw--at cow shows they wanna see the "capacity" of the moo] dripping milk or even streaming sometimes...and the poor moos look SOOOO relieved when the milking starts and they get fifty pounds of milk off of a poor Holstein who looks as if ALL of her feed went straight to her udders). I'm the first to agree that we should live more in balance with our fellow creatures and the planet, and Western civilisation probably eats more meat and milk than it should.

    All the same, though...we have been determined enough (or stupid enough, your call) to breed animals to the point that we aren't going to just be able to release them into the wild. With dairy cows, for instance, they now intimately depend on humans to milk them precisely because humans have bred for big-uddered moos that give fifty pounds of milk in a setting (yes, I've actually seen this with a champion Brown Swiss at the Kentucky State Fair--it STILL amazes me that the poor moo can have THAT much milk in her)...if they DON'T get milked, the milk turns infectious and they get mastitis (humans sometimes get it too and it's called "milk fever"--nasty stuff; pus gets in the milk and it turns yellow) and they can well die from it if it's not treated (because it can go into septicemia or gangrene) and at the very least it makes moos VERY ill. Yes, it's the humans' fault for making them basically milk machines, but since we have we've got the responsibility to make sure they don't get sick from it (and maybe in time to breed them to something a little more sensible--there are no wild moos anymore, the closest there are to wild moos are the half-feral pointed cows of Ireland, and I seriously doubt moos would be able to survive in the wild--it's been bred out of them).

    Of course, I also think that one has a responsibility to be kind to the cow as one can (making sure it's comfy and treated kindly, and not pumped fulla chemical crap) and to use all of the cow if one must kill it...and to be thankful to the cow and remember that you ARE taking a life or getting a gift from the cow (in the case of milk). (Then again, I have weird morals on that. I think eating meat is ok if one uses all the animal one can and is thankful and one does right by the animal that gave the gift of life so you might survive. I do NOT approve of trophy hunting, and to be honest I don't like the extremes to which some dairy cows have been bred because it looks bloody uncomfortable for the moo in question--but if one is thankful to the moo, I don't see a problem with, say, milking a Jersey and using the milk.)

    Now, as for harming the young...the only things I can think of are lactose intolerance and milk allergy. The first is genetically determined, and no, I don't think lactose intolerant folks should have to drink milk. As for milk allergy, that's largely caused by introducing milk too early to kids; realistically, though, ANYTHING can cause a food allergy if fed too early to a kid. (In a lot of non-Western cultures, kids are regularly breast-fed all the way to the age of two or even later, and parents MIGHT start introducing solid food at age one or when the kid starts showing interest. In Western cultures, kids are often bottle-fed and solid food introduced as early as three or four months of age...sometimes I wonder if this is the cause of increases in food allergies, as most maternal antibodies start going away at three or four months if kids aren't breast-fed and this is when kids' immune systems start really kicking in; this is why baby shots also typically start around 3-4 months).

    Then again, an issue could well be made over parents bottle-feeding kids period. :) (I understand there are some cases where one has to--like if a baby has a rare metabolic disorder like PKU or maple-syrup urine disease, or if a mother CAN'T give milk [me and my sis were bottle-fed for this reason--my mother had polycystic breast disease, where there are hardly any milk glands to GIVE milk in the first place]. But if one can, breast-feeding really IS best; babies handle it much better, it gives stuff like antibodies and other substances like colostrum that babies need. A lot of the ire at pharmaceutical companies in fact involves them donating formula to third-world countries (humans tend to dry up if their babies don't regularly nurse, and this gets them "hooked" on formula; also, most water supplies in third-world countries would put one at risk of Moctezuma's Revenge at best, and it's thought that dirty water used in making formula contributes to thousands, if not millions, of babies dying from diarrhea and dehydration from the runs in third-world countries; it's also been proven that breast-feeding as traditionally practiced in these cultures (up to the age of two-three, very slow introduction of solid food) actually has a protective effect against severe infant diarrhea)...that's probably for another thread, though.

    --
    -Windigo The Feral (NYAR!)
  36. Re:So what's the diff? by Windigo+The+Feral+(N · · Score: 3

    JohnL dun said:

    It seems to me that epidemic disease has pretty much been a non-event in the western world, despite all of the supposedly drug-resistant microorganisims that modern health care has produced. If what you say is true, then why haven't we seen it yet? Or, why haven't we seen a "reverse plague" -- drug-resistant bacilli from the western world invading the third world countires, who have no modern meds, poor sanitation, malnutrition, etc?

    Well...actually...we HAVE seen some epidemics of drug-resistant microorganisms both here and in the third world. Specifically, there have been many cases of strep resistant to several of the commonly used drugs to treat it, and there have been several cases in hospitals of strep and staph that are resistant to even the last-line (not in clinical trials) drug, vancomycin...there is a new drug that was recently approved specifically to deal with this, and the FDA now has antibiotics specifically on the "fast track" to deal with antibiotic resistance.

    This isn't restricted to staph and strep, btw; multidrug-resistant TB is becoming a major problem in larger cities, with some TB strains literally resistant to every approved drug to treat TB; they've had to go to the idea of setting up "sanitarium wards" in hospitals and sending public health workers directly to homes to make sure people take their TB medicine (which often runs over a year in treatment). From what I have read, it is also a fairly major problem in Russia and the third world...to the point that multidrug-resistant TB, strep and staph are considered emerging infectious diseases.

    The problem isn't restricted to antibiotics, btw; antiviral resistance has been documented (there are strains of HIV that are resistant to zidovudine [AZT] and cases of multidrug-resistant HIV have been found--this is why HIV patients are typically given a cocktail of upwards of three or four different antivirals, each with different mechanisms of action...there are also some cases of acyclovir-resistant herpes infections, which is why there are so many herpes drugs), as well as antifungal (strains of Candida (yeast infections) are known that are resistant to literally every drug short of amphotericin B and drugs still in experimental trials such as nikkomycin Z; amphotericin B is literally so toxic that one must typically be hospitalised for treatment, and until nikkomycin Z is approved it is possible that Candida strains may arise that are resistant to ALL known antifungals, azoles and amphotericin B alike), and especially antimalarial drugs (chloroquine resistance is common throughout Africa, Asia and South America, many of the malaria strains (including falciparum malaria, which is really the worst kind of malaria you can get) in Southeast Asia are resistant to mefloquine, most of these are becoming resistant or are already resistant to quinine, and some strains from Thailand and Vietnam are literally resistant to every antimalarial drug not in clinical trials for safety including doxycycline). (Multidrug-resistant malaria is an especially serious problem, as malaria is still one of the largest killers (around two million a year), there is no real vaccine for it, and pretty much the only way to keep from getting malaria other than killing every mosquito on the planet [good luck!] is to take antimalarial drugs...most of which are also used to treat malaria, alas :P).

    As a minor aside...some epidemics that are indirectly antibiotic-related are the epidemics of food poisoning that regularly occur in the US now. What with the rise of antibiotics in feed, often as much to fatten animals up as to be able to crowd more animals into factory-farming arrangements (which are ripe for breeding disease; animals tend not to be quite so hygenic, especially livestock), both farms and meat processign plants have been increasingly lax in enforcing standards meant to keep food from being contaminated. (This is especially bad in chickens, who are often put in buildings five and six cages high and bred for the maximum number of chickens in a room; they are often altered (beaks blunted, large amounts of antibiotics fed both for increased weight gain and to keep the chickens from dying of infections from the obviously unhygenic conditions). I think we all know of the risks of salmonella as a result [one must be EXTREMELY careful to make sure the chicken is completely done, anything using raw eggs is a no-no, and many doctors recommend to folks with HIV not to eat eggs at all because of the risk of salmonella]. For that matter, same deal with ground beef and E. coli infections.)

    --
    -Windigo The Feral (NYAR!)
  37. Re:The Microbe's Banquet by ansible · · Score: 3

    Yeah, it's interesting to think of us (humanity) as an ecosystem that other creatures live in.

    What makes us a bigger target (so to speak) for virus and harmful bacteria is simply our sucess at propagating. As I recall, our biomass (number of individuals times average weight) is now greater than any other vertebrate species (mammals, birds, reptiles, fish). Combine that with our habit of living in large, crowded cities, and you've got a recipe for disaster.

    The only thing saving us currently (until more anti-virals and antibiotics come along) is good hygine. So wash your hands after you've gone to the bathroom, dammit!

    If you're interested in the evolutionary biology view on all this, I recommend Laurie Garrett's "The Coming Plague".

  38. I wonder when this will get here by Kaufmann · · Score: 3

    As I tend to mention in just about all of my posts, I'm in Brazil. I'm just wondering whether this drug will ever get here. The thought of a horribly healthy North-American population conquering and enslaving the drug-ridden Third World comes to mind.

    Oh wait, that already happened. Sorry :)

    --
    To the editors: your English is as bad as your Perl. Please go back to grade school.
  39. Side effects? by Linux+Freak · · Score: 3

    I think we'll need to be cautious about these new drugs. Why, just the other day I saw a rerun of ``Bewitched'' where Dr. Bombay came up with a cure for the common cold. The side effects when used on humans, however, were horrendous!

    (Score: -1, Oh...my...god!)

  40. Truth and Effects by debrain · · Score: 3
    As far as influenza is concerned, it is about time that we saw a new Spanish Flu. This deadly strain would likely kill the weak and those already sick (ie. HIV/AIDS), in the long term leading to a healthier population.

    With the advent of a vaccine or cure to any given case of the flu, we can completely circumvent a pandemic instance of influenza. But the side effects of wide-spread population usage of any particular high-concentration drug could have drastic long-term effects on a population that we simply cannot forsee. We might all grow wings, I honestly don't know, but I would suggest that something added to the "living equilibrium", such as a (relatively) spontaneously created medication, has the potential to unbalance many of the delicate chemical systems we need to live a healthy, darwinian fit, happy life.

    We must then weigh, should a pandemic influenza arise, the benefits of a cure versus the benefits of not using a cure. But if a cure exists, and people are dying, they will desire said cure, side effects be damned. At least, I would desire said cure.

  41. Truly a good thing? by Silas · · Score: 3
    Curing such things may very well be good for the individual, but what about for our society at large? Less of these illnesses means a longer life span, which means a higher population, which means a denser population, which means a more fertile breeding ground for the development and spread of more fatal diseases and virii.

    Nature tends to "find a way" to create balance (often through chaos and destruction) in the world's systems of life. As has happened with many other kinds of virii and bacteria, when we find a "cure" for one strain, another strain emerges that is resistent to our medicine, and is often stronger and more effective.

    Curing the common cold is great, but I'm scared that the common cold as we know it may then become a disease that gives us much more to worry about than a few days home in bed.

  42. Re:Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by Jerm · · Score: 3

    Just FYI, you have in essence defined an antibiotic (though this isn't an antibiotic, it's an antiviral). Most antibiotics work by "gumming up" the bacteria's reproductive ability. Actually, ALL the ones I can think of work this way.

    On a slight tangent, next time anyone wonders why we should keep our "basic science" research budget, I saw a talk on this very subject by Dr. Michael Rossman of Purdue University. In 1992. I specifically remember the "comfort index" slide, where they measured grams of snot blown out of patient's noses with and without the drug. Yum.

    Which leads to my next even more off subject rant, the fact that they "designed this from scratch." The truth is, no drugs have yet to enter the market that way, even this one. Don't get me wrong, this is an extremely powerful technique, and being an x-ray crystallographer, I'm very glad the drug companies are interested in protein structure and dynamics.

    That being said the way it really works is this:

    - Solve the structure of the virus or protein of interest which you hypothesize is causing the disease or symptoms of the disease.
    - Using the structure of the protein, try to figure out the mechanism of "how it works," and localize it to a particular area of the protein.
    - Try to find "pockets" in the protein near this area where you could design a drug to bind which would then disrupt the function of the protein
    - Ask your theoreticians (computer geeks with doctorates in physics or chemistry who look like the "pulsing head" aliens in the old Star Trek) to design a drug to fit in the pocket.
    - If you are CNN, you have a drug, viola! If you are in the real world, here is where the real work begins.
    - Through an iterative process, design the drug, find out it doesn't bind quite the way you thought it should, or with a viable affinity, and turn it back over to the chemists, who then stick every chemical group known to humankind on it to try to get it to bind tighter. You then reassay it's activity, solve the structure again, but this time bound to the new drug, and see how the changes you made affected how well it binds to the protein, and try to correlate these changes to the difference in affinity you observe.
    - If you are lucky, you find one that binds with a suitable affinity and specificity (doesn't help if it binds the viral protein but also binds proteins in the body needed to reproduce).
    - Years later, your drug passes clinical trials (actually, in most cases it doesn't, because your designs don't take things like toxicity into account, only how well it binds the protein of interest) and you are now the proud parent of an antiviral, or in most cases making the news lately, an HIV protease inhibitor.

    Also keep in mind when I say "you," I mean a large team of scientists with an incredible array of backgrounds.
    Jerm
    Oh, you're not a real doctor, are you?

    --
    Jerm
    Oh, you're not a real doctor, are you?
  43. Re:Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by Amaranth · · Score: 3

    My uninformed opinion, from what I read in the article, is that this isn't an antibiotic. It doesn't kill the virus, it just gums up it's reproductive abilities. I'm no biologist, I don't know if the viruses will be able to evolve a new "groove" that this drug doesn't fit into, but if they do, it seems quite possible that the people who designed this drug could just redesign it to fit the new groove. I don't see how viruses can become permanently immune.
    Of course I'm probably wrong, in which case there's no real reason to correct me. I know I'm an idiot.

    --
    "Help make the world a better place. Kill a moron."
  44. Related and other stuff by exekewtable · · Score: 3

    Yes as far as i know viruses do evolve and become stronger/different etc. That is the reason we keep getting colds, it is a different cold all the time. However the way this drug works, is by blocking a general mechanism, one that the virus is going to have to do considerable evolving to get around. Not that this capacity is beyond viruses - they can do many wierd and wonderful things. So this drug may indeed help in that regard, however like all biological systems, viruses will eveltually find a way to get around it. Although there is a sense you can create a drug so devastating that evolution is not possible. Probably unlikely tho. In related news, scientists have found that a virus may well be the cause of the motor-neuron disease that Stephen Hawking and a friend of mine have! link is here exe

  45. Re:Yes, and it's "viruses," not "virii." by luke_ · · Score: 3

    The promise of carefully designed drugs is that we can keep pace with evolution better. Much drug development is still done with a shotgun.

    That's part of the significance of this type of drug, that it was specifically designed based on knowledge of the 3D structure of a viral protein. Resistance mutations will obviously occur, but these mutations can only go so far. If the drug is intelligently designed and binds to a part of the protein that is critical for its proper function, for example, resistance mutations will give rise to defective viruses. I read a while ago that this had been observed by people developing neuraminidase inhibitors; I'm not sure if this new drug might be one of those (I'll have to read the paper).

    In terms of resistance mutations, it's also important not to confuse viruses with bacteria, which are much more complex and become resistant in different ways.

  46. Fifty Bucks to Cure a Cold? by locutus074 · · Score: 3
    This certainly is a breakthrough. I never imagined that I would see "the cure for the common cold" in my lifetime. It is truly remarkable.

    As the articles says, however, the cold is not the most exciting application. This will certainly do a lot of people a lot of good.

    One thought, though... Who would pay $50-$100 to get rid of a cold three or four days sooner?!!? I can certainly understand painful meningitis, but a cold? Come on!

    OTOH, it certainly is great to see the hardworking medical geeks finally getting some recognition!

    --

    --
    We have fought the AC's, and they have won.

  47. Re:Hey, I want those nano-devices! by Accipiter · · Score: 4
    Custom programmed by a thiny central computerunit they fight diseases and keep your body in optima forma. This unit could be upgraded once in a while to gain the latest knowledge about virusses/bacteria and other threats to your earthly shell.

    Hmm...

    Norton AntiVirus (Organic Edition)
    Peter Norton's guide to Home Health.

    # shiver # - No thanks. :)

    -- Give him Head? Be a Beacon?

    --

    -- Give him Head? Be a Beacon?
    (If you can't figure out how to E-Mail me, Don't. :P)

  48. Any chance this could lead to tougher virii? by Greyfox · · Score: 4

    A problem we're currently seeing with bacteria and common antibiotics and anti-bacterial products in the house is that you're enforcing natural selection rather rigorously and the bacteria that survive do so because they're naturally resistant to the drug. You end up getting antibiotic immune superbacteria. Any chance this could happen with the virii too? How many virus molecules do you get in a given cold? How prone are they to evolve a defense for this stuff? Though I suppose it doesn't matter since there's no way to cure them now anyway...

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  49. Yes, and it's "viruses," not "virii." by yet+another+coward · · Score: 5

    Don't try to outsmart yourself with Latin. The correct plural is "viruses".

    Natural selection happens. It will happen with this drug. It will happen without this drug. It will happen on a train. It will happen on a plane. It is impossible (or nearly so) to stop. Unless biology changes drastically, evolution will keep going until every strain of every organism is obliterated.

    Good biologists laugh, cry and bang their heads in frustration when people worry about whether resistance against some deadly substance will happen. The evolution of many organisms is hard to track because we do not notice great survival pressures bearing down on them. Provide enough pressure, and the organisms will evolve. If a drug, pesticide or herbicide is good enough, it will provide selective pressure. Evolution will happen. It happened against superpesticides that farmers thought would work forever. It happened against our miracle drugs.

    The smart doctors and farmers have stopped thinking ridiculous thoughts such as, "Will evolution happen this time?" They know that, somehow, it will. Even if they drive one species to extinction, another one can take its place. They concentrate on finding methods that make their weapons as effective as possible for as long as possible.

    Viruses are not living according to the biologists I know. They probably would not call them organisms. Many viruses carry DNA, just as living organisms do. Some carry RNA, and it functions similarly. All DNA and RNA molecules are subject to damage and to errors in base pairing. Mutation is going to happen. When mutation happens, evolution can and will happen.

    The promise of carefully designed drugs is that we can keep pace with evolution better. Much drug development is still done with a shotgun. Researchers expose the bugs to chemicals and pick out the effective ones. We do not understand how many antimicrobials work. We just know that they do work and that they are not too toxic. By understanding disease mechanisms, more drugs can be designed and not just discovered. Even when a new bug appears, researchers will be able to discover how it works and to design chemicals that interfere.

  50. The Microbe's Banquet by hey! · · Score: 5

    What's especially cool is the way this drug was created: it was designed specifically to counter viruses, not just discovered in a hit-or-miss fashon.

    It's not just cool. We're going to need this capability.

    In some ways you can view viruses such as influenza or hantavirus as a kind of natural defense. They live for generations in natural populations of birds and rodents with little or no ill effects, and in some cases have been incorporated into the genese of the hosts. Humans probably have hundreds, if not thousands of viruses that are passed down through our stem cells. When an immunolgically naive population tries to muscle in on the terrirtory -- blamm! They're infected,like they were hit by a biological land mine. Disrupting a natural ecosystem can cause a species, for example deer, to explode, with their endemic diseases like Lyme disease to explode.

    People are moving places they didn't go before (because of what we used to call "pestilence"), peturbing the natural ecology there, and moving with unprecedented speed across the globe. This means that completely novel viruses like Ebola or can be uncovered. Also, disease once endemic to limited areas such as West Nile encephelitis can be spread rapidly to new areas such as the Northeast US. It's no different from Kudzu or Zebra mussels except that it's on the microscopic scale and the ecosystem being colonized is us.

    While there is at least a little doubt about global warming, what is clear is that climate is warming around inhabited parts of the planet. This increases, or at least changes the range of disease carrying organisms like certain mosquito species in places where they come into proximity with people. Mexico city is protected by its altitude from Malaria, but as the city expands and the region warms, the vertical range of Malaria bearing mosquitoes is increasing.

    We don't take this very seriously, but a disease like Yellow Fever can kill thousands. At the end of the 18th century, Philidelphia almost collapsed because of a Yellow Fever epidemic. In the 1890s ten percent of the population of Jacksonville and something like half the population of the city fled. This led to the start of mosquito control programs in Florida; however it's not clear whether we've just had blind luck so far that it hasn't happened again. Historically, Yellow Fever has struck as far North as New York City.

    Also, increasing population makes more aggressive "tactics" work better for these infectious agents. Remember the Volterra predator prey equation in Diff EQ? It's a microbe's banquet out there.

    We either have to develop the ability to quickly tailor medicines to completely novel infectious agents, perhaps combined with vector control, OR we have to radically change our civilization to reduce population growth, restrict population movements into virgin territory (especially tropical), reduce our impact on environment, and generally reduce the level of global travel. These things might be worth doing in themselves, but speaking as someone who has at least a bit of a leaning towards environmentalism, I'm not optimistic about our ability to set the direction of our civilization out of our own volition.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.