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Intel RoadMap with P4 Stats To Boot

Anand reader writes "In the Intel Desktop CPU & Chipset Roadmap, AnandTech details the Intel roadmap before the Pentium 4 hits the streets next week. The article includes the desktop CPU and chipset strategy. They discuss and answer the questions. Does the Pentium 4 have a chance or is it doomed from the start? What will become of the Pentium III? And will Intel ever speed up the Celeron's FSB? and more including analysis of Intel's current 2000/2001 roadmap." Also see their official P4 stats and benchmarks.

34 of 79 comments (clear)

  1. Pentium4 by buttfucker2000 · · Score: 2

    Pentium4 does of course have a place. In x86 servers, for example, Intel chips will hold >90% of the market. This is because AMD chips are not fully compatible with Intel - I have entrusted servers to AMD in the past, and they've been awful. [Perhaps an AMD-compiled version of Windows would be good.]

    In terms of corporate, companies will continue to buy Intel for similar reasons (reliability). Pentium 4 will take the place of previous Intel chips as prices fall, as has happened in the past, and Intel will simply stop producing P-III.

    The heatsink/motherboard/memory issues are red herrings - these things have happened in the past - slot 1/socket 7, memory chips have changed, etc. It just takes time for these things to happen, but happen it will, and in 2 years will be having a similar conversation about P5, albeit with an even smaller market share for Intel.

    In the home, however, Intel is dead - but we knew that already - they're unable to compete on price, and that's all that matters to users, who know nothing of chipsets, heatsinks and processor cores.

    --
    Free Anne Tomlinson!!
    1. Re:Pentium4 by matthew.thompson · · Score: 2
      In the home, however, Intel is dead

      I'm not too sure about this. Remeber that "in the home" is not necessarily the same as "in the home of a slashdot reader". With the P4 Itel will have faster sounding chips - and a lot of people - especially when buying things to impress children or workmates who may be as equally uninformed will go for the faster sounding chip. It's the educated and people who buy from sepcialist vendors who end up buying the Athlon and Duron chips.

      The only way I can see for Interl to be dead in the home is if PC vendors stop using Intel chips in the home environment - and let's face it, if that happens Intel will just make it financially more acceptable for those vendors to turn back to Intel.

      --
      Matt Thompson - Actuality - Insert product here.
  2. available? by abdulwahid · · Score: 3

    they are currently the two highest clocked x86 CPUs available

    Since when were high performance Intel chips available? Someone at Intel has managed to redfine "available". Does available mean we can go down to our local h/w shop and buy it? Available in the Intel sense means that some h/w review companies might get hold of some if they are sponsored by Intel.

    Intel should look at AMD...they have the fastest available chips!

    --
    perl -e 'print $i=pack(c5, (41*2), sqrt(7056), (unpack(c,H)-2), oct(115), 10);'
    1. Re:available? by FFFish · · Score: 2

      Oh no - there's got to be a better way
      Say it again
      There's got to be a better way - yeah

      What is it good for?
      P4! has caused unrest
      Among the geeky generation

      Induction then destruction
      (bunnypeople)
      Who wants to upgrade?

      P4 - huh
      What is it good for?
      Absolutely nothing
      Say it again

      P4 - huh
      What is it good for?
      Absolutely nothing
      Yeah

      P4 - I despise
      'Cos it means destruction
      Of innocent tournament lives

      P4 means tears
      To thousands of motherboards
      When their circuit traces
      glow from overvoltage
      And lose their power regulator

      I said
      P4 - huh
      It's an enemy of all geekkind
      No point of P4
      'Cos you're a smart man

      Give it to me one time - now
      Give it to me one time - now

      P4 has shattered
      Many young men's dreams
      We've got no place for it today
      They say we must use it to keep our framerates up
      But Lord,
      there's just got to be a better way
      (AMD)
      There's just got to be a better way

      It ain't nothing but a heartbreaker
      P4
      Friend only to the revenue-maker
      P4

      P4

      P4 - Good God, now

      Now
      Give it to me one time now
      Now now
      What is it good for?

      (sung by Hector Goes to Hollywood...)

      --

      --

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      Don't like it? Respond with words, not karma.
  3. P4 Review on Tom's Hardware by samadhi · · Score: 3

    A review has been posted on Tom's Hardware with benchmarks comparing performance verses the Athlon and PIII.

    Some of these the P4 performs excellently in, however AMD still have a few tricks up their sleeve in other benchmarks equalling or surpassing the P4 clocked up to 1.7GHz.

  4. No to both... by bero-rh · · Score: 2

    All of my servers so far (3, 1 of them high-traffic) are using AMD chips, and I've never had a problem with them, and that's without recompiling everything with AMD optimized CFLAGS.

    Also, Intel in the home is all but dead. Users who don't know much about computers will get whatever they heard of - and that's usually Intel. Even if they had no technical merits at all, they'd continue (just like Microsoft - and unlike M$, Intel actually has some advantages, such as SMP support).

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  5. Benchmarking Timeframe by onion2k · · Score: 4

    For the most part AMD certainly seemed to have topped the Pentium 4 chip on those benchmark tests. This seems to be a bit weird, but..

    At CPU speeds more than about 1GHz theres little to choose between the various options on clock speed alone. At these speeds the chips are limited by memory bandwidth, code optimization, and instruction sizes. Once a CPU is going faster than the maximum memory throughput of the RAM then any increase in clock speed is going to go to waste. As the article mentions, the code that was run on the P4 wasn't optimized for it at all. This is another limiting factor. If you optimize code for a 286 instruction set and then run it on an Athlon it won't go as fast as it possibly could. And thirdly, AMD have some instructions that do more than those on the P4, thus appearing to go quicker.

    Until memory technology, compilers, and applications start really using the new parts of the P4 chips then there'll not be any quantum leaps forward in 'speed'. But once they do expect benchmarks like these to look very different. (Mind you, by that time AMD should have some new toy out, and the field will be level once again).

    1. Re:Benchmarking Timeframe by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 3

      Well now if AMD had ever had a optimized compiler this might make more sense to me, but their are currently (their is at least one in the works though) no compilers that compile to an athlon. All current compilers compile to P3 standards. The benches do prove 1 thing though: the athlon emulates a P3 better than a P4 does. I think that alone says something...

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    2. Re:Benchmarking Timeframe by Patrik+Nordebo · · Score: 2

      What instructions does the Athlon have that "do more" than instructions in the P4? 3DNow (even the extended version in the Athlon) should be roughly comparable to SSE, and since the P4 has SSE2, it should have approximately the same capabilities.
      As for memory technologies, the P4 was designed for Rambus memory, and that's what they're using in these benchmarks.
      There is also (AFAIK) no compiler that has real support for optimising code for the Athlon, at least not comparable to Intel's compilers, which do support the P4 (although there probably aren't very many apps compiled for the P4 available yet :). The P4 will probably benefit more from compiler support, though.

    3. Re:Benchmarking Timeframe by Auckerman · · Score: 2
      "but (there) are currently no compilers that compile to an athlon"

      This is actually incorrect. There is a compiler for Linux that we use for in house development that does HEAVY athalon optimizations, at least a 10X increase in fpu calculations over gcc. I don't recall the name of it and our main developer is out to lunch, so I can't ask him. Watch this thread for more info.

      --

      Burn Hollywood Burn
  6. Re:Huh? by f5426 · · Score: 2

    > I've been using AMD forever and I never had trouble using them in servers. They're rock solid for me.

    *You* had no troubles. I, for one, had many troubles with AMD (Cache disabled on K7M mobo with default BIOS, random crashes with more than 128Mb of memory on Gigabyte mobo)

    The fact it worked seamlessly for you don't imply that anyone that had problem is a liar. Maybe you are just smarter than us when it come down to motherboard choices, or you have a better luck factor...

    Cheers,

    --fred

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  7. Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by oingoboingo · · Score: 4

    i don't really follow compiler technology, but a lot of the speed improvements in the K7 and P4 look like they will depend on compiler specific optimizations. i'm sure the Intel provided C/C++ compiler will properly support all the new SIMD instructions in the P4, as will Visual C++ probably...but does gcc/egcs?

    are linux users missing out on a big chunk of the potential performance available in the newer CPUs because their compilers are more tuned to cross platform availability than to x86 specific optimization, or do the GNU compilers already do a good job of supporting 3DNow! and SIMD?

    i don't know...someone please tell me.

    1. Re:Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by jmcneill · · Score: 2

      GCC doesn't, but ld from GNU Binutils 2.9 and above should support 3dnow! extentions. You might want to check out PGCC, http://goof.com/pcg/, it optimizes quite well for non-Intel processors (I've used it with Cyrix and AMD processors on NetBSD).

    2. Re:Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by Patrik+Nordebo · · Score: 2

      I don't think any C/C++ compilers support SIMD (whether 3DNow, SSE or something else). Possibly on Cray vector computers, but I don't think even they do, at least not without special extensions. Fortran compilers, OTOH, have had support for that kind of stuff on vector computers for a long time, and that technology has probably been adapted for use with at least SSE, since Intel has a pretty good compiler team. Compaq's Visual Fortran compiler may support it, but their web site doesn't actually say it does.
      If you want to use 3DNow or SSE in assembly, however, that is supported with recent binutils.

    3. Re:Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by Patrik+Nordebo · · Score: 3

      Wow, I was wrong, the Intel C++ compiler does do automatic vectorisation of code, which supposedly gives significant speedups for the P4.
      I doubt any compiler supports 3DNow, though, since AMD doesn't do in-house compilers. Though I guess they may have cooperated with, say, Metrowerks, to get 3DNow optimisations in their compiler.

    4. Re:Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by Hard_Code · · Score: 2

      I'm pretty sure *some* compiler supports 3DNow, because there are applications that use those instructions. Some MP3 players and FPS games to name some.

      --

      It's 10 PM. Do you know if you're un-American?
    5. Re:Do gcc/egcs support the new SIMD/3DNow! stuff? by Patrik+Nordebo · · Score: 3

      AMD has provided libraries containing 3DNow code for various applications, and there are quite a number of people who write 3DNow! assembly for at least games and video card drivers. This probably gives you a lot better performance than a compiler that automatically generates SIMD code from C/C++, assuming you're clever enough, though it incurs a significant extra expense.

  8. Is it just me or is this all very boring? by Goonie · · Score: 4
    As a computer buyer, I couldn't care less about the details of the coming lineup from Intel. Both price/performance and absolute performance are going to continue to improve, but when I come to buy my next computer, I'll have a look at what's available *then*. Trying to pick the optimal time for a computer purchase by reading roadmaps like these is like chasing the rainbow.

    As a software developer, I don't care a great deal either, as the ABI isn't going to change. Games developers might care slightly, but even they are probably more interested in what video cards are likely to be mainstream in one or two years time as.

    If I was involved in the computer hardware business, particularly, say, the memory business, this might be somewhat interesting, but these articles are not written for that audience.

    Similarly If I was interested in guess what Intel's and AMD's stock was going to do, I might be interested in this article - but then again there are myriad other factors likely to impinge on their stock price, and it's not written for a financial analyst either.

    So could somebody explain to me who seriously reads this stuff anymore?

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
  9. More and more computing power... What for ? by Vapula · · Score: 2

    I'm sometimes wondergin why should we upgrade our computing power ?
    In practice, I usually play the same old games... mostly Starcraft (yes, not so old...). And a P166 is really enough for it...
    I've also a small server, running apache, postgres, proftpd, exim and bind on a debian 2.2 and serving 3 small web sites... These are not big sites with 100+ hits a day... but my cable modem internet connexion won't allow such a trafic...
    And that server is a 486DX2-66 with 32Mb Ram. And it has much free CPU time available... No need to upgrade it... he's able to hold the full bandwidth I've with my internet connexion.
    So, why should I upgrade my system ? To play those full 3D games ? Most of them make me seasick !!! To play full movie adventure games ? I'm playing the adventures from the if-archive (text-mode only) and spend much more time solving these adventures than these full graphical one...
    All is done to have you buy these P4, then the P5,... Not because YOU need them... but because Intel and such needs your money !!!
    And when you try to run one of these old programs you'd enjoyed several years ago, you get a message "your computer is too fast" or the game is simply unplayable because it's too fast.
    So, I'll leave these computing-power hungry people buying these machines and remain with my good old P233... bought when Pentium I were disappearing...

    1. Re:More and more computing power... What for ? by jon_c · · Score: 3

      Things I use my machine for that you wouldn't want to do on a P166

      - Run Linux and Win2k at the same time in VMware
      - Watch DVD's in software mode.
      - Play MP3s while doing anything else (like browsing the web)
      - Compile any project. While large projects do take longer, even small projects will get anoying if you have to wait longer then 5 seconds.
      - Play 80% of the games that came out this year.
      - Play 100% of the games that come out next year.
      - Get kewl demos from Nvidia and "whip-it-out" in front of my geek friends

      And I'm sure i'm missing something else.

      --
      this is my sig.
  10. does the speed really matter? by garcia · · Score: 2

    a lot of discussion yesterday (about a somewhat related topic) on the clock speed being elevated to the actual performance and how users will probably just go after what "looks" faster...

    just b/c AMD has a faster chip for right now does NOT mean that they are going to win out in desktop market share. Like everyone is saying a lot of the code isn't P4 optimized and it is showing...

    I really think that people are going to stick to Intel for now. It may not be the P4 but it will still be Intel. The CeleronII's are fast enough for what most people need (and are in the correct price range).

    I honestly believe that most people are going to buy whatever comes in their systems from "such and such a store". If Intel can market this damn chip correctly (and I am sure that they are looking to b/c of the major fact that marketing made the push for the higher clock speed in the first place) it is going to be the bigger winner like always.

    Just my worthless .02

  11. Re:Huh? by f5426 · · Score: 2

    > Uhmm .. that looks a lot like memory problems ...

    I don't know. I tried almost any RAM combination on that motherboard: every 128Mb or 2x64Mb I used worked (I tried about 6 different 128Mb, 100Mh and 133Mh)

    As soon as I put 2x128 or 128+64, then the machine crashes after a few minutes of work (ie: between 1 and 10 minutes). It never crashed with only 128Mb of ram (had uptimes of 15 days doing seti@home computations)

    When I first got the machine, it only supported 64Mb (I wanted to do a 128Mb machines). Brought it back to the vendor. He said it was the processor (was skeptic, but what can I do ?). He gave it back with a 650 in it working with 128Mb. A few weeks later, I wanted to go to 256Mb. No way.

    I suspect the motherboard. Maybe I should play with timings (but I already lost soo much time with this puppy). I want to try a 256Mb ram in it one of those days...

    Cheers,

    --fred

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  12. And the winner is... by mirko · · Score: 2

    Look at the bottom of the Q3 test page.
    In 640x480 we have :
    Athlon 1,2GHz -> 170 (fps/GHz=141.66)
    P4 1,5GHz -> 191 (fps/GHz=127.33)
    Winner: AMD

    In 1024x768, we have :
    Athlon 1,2GHz -> 100 (fps/GHz=83.33)
    P4 1,5GHz -> 101 (fps/GHz=67.33)
    Winner: AMD

    --

    --
    Trolling using another account since 2005.
  13. Re:Huh? by f5426 · · Score: 2

    > Nowadays there are some pretty goodmotherboars available for the AMD processors. In other words, don't blame AMD for the that crappy VIA chipset...

    The discussion is slipping a bit there. The original comment was a guy saying that he had 'entrusted servers to AMD in the past, and they've been awful'. Someone replied he was 'using AMD forever and I never had trouble using them'. I pointed that I had problem too.

    All those discussionas are about things of the past. At the time I bought those AMD systems, there was not much avalaible mobos (at least in France). Everyone I tried gave me headaches.

    It is no longer the case, but in those time using AMD implied a lot potential problems.

    (Sure, I could have waited a bit before switching to AMDs, but I wanted to stop paying the intel tax as soon as possible. The reason of it was the CPUID. Someone implementing such a feature don't deserve my money anymore)

    Cheers,

    --fred

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  14. I forgot something... by mirko · · Score: 2

    Look at the UT test :
    The new P4 even gets poorer performances than the P3...
    --

    --
    Trolling using another account since 2005.
  15. The order of things by H*rus · · Score: 2

    The order of things

    Pentium I
    Pentium II
    Pentium III
    Pentium IV
    ,........ wait, that's to difficult, they won't understand. Pentium 4 is better.

    Mark
    "Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former."

    --

    - if you love something, set it free; if it doesn't come back, hunt it down and kill it
  16. Why don't they just dump the Celeron? by Global-Lightning · · Score: 3

    The Celeron is dead meat against the Duron, even with a the extremely belated FSB increase to 100mhz.
    As the Celeron increases speed, it begins to cut into the middle of the P3 range. P3 won't go beyond 1.133 Ghz to compete against the P4.

    Wouldn't it be cheaper to discontinue the Celerons, and instead readjust the costing of existing P3's? The bulk of the savings would come from the back-end, such as avoiding retooling the Celeron lines and logistical support for two product families versus three. They could also realign Celeron production facilities into P3 or P4 production.

  17. Re:Huh? by f5426 · · Score: 2

    > What I was trying to say is, if you're going to advise people on what to buy, you should base your advice not on how things were, but on how things are the moment the hardware is going to be purchased. That's the only moment that really matters. The past is hardly worth mentioning, the future questionable at best.

    You are right. It definitely wasn't an buy advice. I hope that there is no slashdot reader stupid enough to buy an Intel today (other than the moderators, of course)...

    Cheers,

    --fred

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  18. Try photo editing or molecular modeling by edremy · · Score: 3
    There's always a use for more CPU. You need to go find it.

    For example, I got an Athlon-750 a few months back. What's that good for, other than playing Quake at 100FPS?

    Shortly afterwards, my grandmother-in-law commented how badly one of her pictures had faded. My wife mentioned that you could computer enhance them...

    I've now got a stack of photos by my desk at home. I've bought more memory and a better printer, but the Athlon-750 seems slow when playing with 60MB picture files.

    I'm busy generating some molecular model animations at work right now. More CPU would be great- I've had to cut down the number of points to get models to build quickly while testing code. I got irritated when working on a lab with Mathematica and found that some of the Eigensystem commands took forever.

    There's always a use for more CPU. And, of course, Unreal is liquid smooth...

    Eric

    --
    "Seven Deadly Sins? I thought it was a to-do list!"
  19. A processor without a point by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 3

    In response to these kind of articles, someone usually posts about how they don't know what to do with all their current processor speed, and they're not sure what the benefit of upgrading is. Usually they get shouted down by people citing "video compression," "3D modeling," and "solving systems of equations with tens of thousands of unknowns."

    CPU speed aside, the Pentium 4 introduction is marking the beginning of the end for constant upgrading. It is:

    1. expensive
    2. very power hungry & puts out a lot of heat
    3. the first link in a chain requiring other components to be upgraded (need a new motherboard and power supply; only a matter of time until "Pentium 4 optimized" application start showing up).

    What do were get for all of this? From the benchmarks being posted, the answer is almost nothing. In the best case you get a pointless speed increase in some 3D games, but we're talking about going from Way Too Many Frames Per Second to Way Too Many Frames Per Second Plus A Few More. The increase is buried in a lot of noise.

    Review sites that even bother reviewing the P4 should find themselves another business. This processor has no practical value to anyone.

    I fully expect this to be tagged as flamebait, but there's not much I can do about that.

  20. every new chip was doomed to... by pjrc · · Score: 3
    Does the Pentium 4 have a chance or is it doomed from the start? What will become of the Pentium III?

    Haven't we heard this same old line, over and over again, every time Intel releases a new generation of microprocessor.

    The PPro (now Pentium 3) was doomed to a server nitch market, likewise the original Pentium, and even statements for the 486 and 386. Each one, very expensive and running much hotter than those before it, and so far the story ends up the same every time. You'd think people would get used to the idea of Moore's Law and, come on now, six generations of x86 processors, it's a lot more like clockwork.... but I suppose the ordinary doesn't make for interesting headlines.

  21. Why buy a P4 now? by ackthpt · · Score: 2
    This is the real question. It's already a white elephant when you take the RDRAM limitation into account. The P4 isn't even realistically attractive until it does SDRAM or DDR SDRAM. (And when the hell is that Micron/Rambus suit going to go to court, I thought that was this month, give those Rambus lamphreys a boot to the head and let's all move forward, eh?) Adding memory to a P4 purchased this week will be a painful option, so buyers should get what they're going to need at the outset, with whatever subsidy Intel is giving (though IIRC it doesn't go much beyond dropping their chip prices, so beyond a certain amount of RDRAM it'll be bloodletting.)

    Through the reviews I'm reading, including the one at Motle y Fool, I'd say any immediate buyer is throwing money away , best held in their savings account until the memory, optimization and speed give a better accounting.

    --

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  22. Re:UT benchmarks are irrelevant. by AFCArchvile · · Score: 2
    Unreal Tournament is still technically in the beta stages. Right now it is at version 436, while Q3 is at 1.25. That proves that Id is better at quality control than Epic is. Also, Tim Sweeney never bothered to ditch the original input code from Unreal; he just improved upon it (and not by enough, I might add). In UT, the mouse lags even in local botmatches; in comparison, there is never any input lag in Q3. Also, UT still has the aging Galaxy sound system (which can't handle instrument-based Impulse Tracker modules [the files for the music in UT]; which would've made the music sound a whole lot better). Galaxy is worse than FMOD, a sound engine which has similar (but even better and more) capabilities to Galaxy. Given the tools, I'd hack Unreal to accept FMOD.

    Furthermore, in the original Unreal, Epic ditched a weapon at the last minute which would've been excellent: a four-barreled shotgun which fires gatling-gun style. To see the weapon, go into the Mesh Editor in Unrealed and take a look at "QuadShotHeld" and "QuadShotPickup". In Unreal1, you can even summon it (console command: summon quadshot), but it won't work since they didn't put in the code.

    --
    "Ancillary does not mean you get to rule the world." --U.S. Circuit Judge Harry Edwards, speaking to the FCC's lawyer
  23. Pentium 4 is being over-analyzed by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 3

    Pentium 4 previews and reviews leave me with the same funny feeling I get when armchair tech wannabes discuss the architecture of the PlayStation 2. You see lots of buzzwords and mumbo jumbo and speculation, but it's not at all clear why or how any of it is relevant. Do microarchitectural decisions have any real connection with end performance or usability? They often _sound_ like they do, when laid out on the table, but it's so much noise. For example, wouldn't it make more sense to discuss internal architectural decisions inside of performance demanding applications, like C++ compilers and video compressors? It's not like the performance of an application is initimately tied to the processor. With retooling, you could make most any application several hundred percent faster, which is more significant than the 10-15% increases we're seeing from expensive CPU pissing contests. But we never see articles tearing apart the reasons why major applications are so slow, for example.

    In general, these elaborations of the Pentium 4 design sound like so much marketing, like phony tech-oriented car ads you see in Scientific American. Heck, you could make Linux sound like a piece of crap by trotting out the old "microkernels are more modern and beautiful" debate, but is it relevant?