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Updated Information On Columbia Shuttle Tragedy

Thanks to all the readers who have sent links related to today's shuttle disaster. An Associated Press story carried on Salon says that an independent board (with members from the Air Force, Navy, Transportation Department and other federal agencies) has been appointed to investigate the disaster. CNN is carrying official statement from President Bush. Rediff.com has an article on the life of Indian astronaut Kalpana Chawla. borisonanovitch points to "more info on the science aboard Columbia and links to other NASA research." fabel reminds us "Most of the media is focusing on the slight damage that ocurred at takeoff (that NASA discounted at the time) but STS-107 was *delayed* for 6 months (original launch date 19 Jul 2003) Update: 02/01 23:51 GMT by T : [Note, should read "2002."] because of cracks in the propellant feed lines to the 3 main engines. A defect that could have caused catastrophic failure. Did the fix work or not?"

26 of 1,273 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Fix by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 4, Informative

    OMS does have motors and fuel, but the OMS do not use the same lines and fuel as Main Engines.

    "orbital maneuvering system provides the thrust for orbit insertion, orbit circularization, orbit transfer, rendezvous, deorbit, abort to orbit and abort once around and can provide up to 1,000 pounds of propellant to the aft reaction control system. The OMS is housed in two independent pods located on each side of the orbiter's aft fuselage. The pods also house the aft RCS and are referred to as the OMS/RCS pods. Each pod contains one OMS engine and the hardware needed to pressurize, store and distribute the propellants to perform the velocity maneuvers. The two pods provide redundancy for the OMS. The vehicle velocity required for orbital adjustments is approximately 2 feet per second for each nautical mile of altitude change."

    "Before the deorbit thrusting period, the flight crew maneuvers the spacecraft to the desired deorbit thrusting attitude using the rotational hand controller and RCS thrusters. Upon completion of the OMS thrusting period, the RCS is used to null any residual velocities, if required. The spacecraft is then maneuvered to the proper entry interface attitude using the RCS. The remaining propellants aboard the forward RCS are dumped by burning the propellants through the forward RCS thrusters before the entry interface if it is necessary to control the orbiter's center of gravity.

    The aft RCS plus X jets can be used to complete any planned OMS thrusting period in the event of an OMS engine failure. In this case, the OMS-to-aft-RCS interconnect would feed OMS propellants to the aft RCS.

    From entry interface at 400,000 feet, the orbiter is controlled in roll, pitch and yaw with the aft RCS thrusters. The orbiter's ailerons become effective at a dynamic pressure of 10 pounds per square foot, and the aft RCS roll jets are deactivated. At a dynamic pressure of 20 pounds per square foot, the orbiter's elevons become effective, and the aft RCS pitch jets are deactivated. The rudder is activated at Mach 3.5, and the aft RCS yaw jets are deactivated at Mach 1 and approximately 45,000 feet.

    The OMS in each pod consists of a high-pressure gaseous helium storage tank, helium isolation valves, dual pressure regulation systems, vapor isolation valves for only the oxidizer regulated helium pressure path, quad check valves, a fuel tank, an oxidizer tank, a propellant distribution system consisting of tank isolation valves, crossfeed valves, and an OMS engine. Each OMS engine also has a gaseous nitrogen storage tank, gaseous nitrogen pressure isolation valve, gaseous nitrogen accumulator, bipropellant solenoid control valves and actuators that control bipropellant ball valves, and purge valves.

    In each of the OMS pods, gaseous helium pressure is supplied to helium isolation valves and dual pressure regulators, which supply regulated helium pressure to the fuel and oxidizer tanks. The fuel is monomethyl hydrazine and the oxidizer is nitrogen tetroxide. The propellants are Earth-storable liquids at normal temperatures. They are pressure-fed to the propellant distribution system through tank isolation valves to the OMS engines. The OMS engine propellant ball valves are positioned by the gaseous nitrogen system and control the flow of propellants into the engine. The fuel is directed first through the engine combustion chamber walls and provides regenerative cooling of the chamber walls; it then flows into the engine injector. The oxidizer goes directly to the engine injector. The propellants are sprayed into the combustion chamber, where they atomize and ignite upon contact with each other (hypergolic), producing a hot gas and, thus, thrust."

  2. Re:Question... by s20451 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Apollo 1 fire occurred on January 27, 1967, killing three astronauts on the launchpad. The next flight was Apollo 7, which lifted off on October 11, 1968, a delay of one and a half years. Bear in mind that the US space program was under intense pressure to meet a December 31, 1969, deadline to land a man on the moon.

    The Challenger disaster (STS-51L) occurred on January 28, 1986, killing seven astronauts shortly after launch. The next mission (Discovery, STS-26) took off on September 29, 1988, a delay of two and a half years.

    At the present time there is pressure to continue construction of the International Space Station. Unless the ISS is to be mothballed, this will probably mean that at least one launch will have to happen within a year or so.

    --
    Toronto-area transit rider? Rate your ride.
  3. weather radar image by acroyear · · Score: 4, Informative

    Not sure of its been posted by anyone on the two threads, but here's a Radar Image of the debris rain being picked up by weather stations.

    --
    "But remember, most lynch mobs aren't this nice." (H.Simpson)
    -- Joe
  4. Re:S - Roll by eericson · · Score: 5, Informative

    Basically it's the same thing you do when you're skiing and want to bleed off speed. It's a pretty common aviation maneuver used to bleed off speed, or in the case of general aviation, to check your blind spots before landing.

    Essentially, it's a series of slow, lazy turns from side to side in a sort of half figure eight (resembling and S, ergo: S turns).

    -E2

    --
    The evil monkey commands you to dance.
  5. NASA Asks for help by C60 · · Score: 5, Informative
    From the NASA press releases mailing list:
    NASA ASKS FOR HELP WITH COLUMBIA INVESTIGATION

    Robert Mirelson
    Headquarters, Washington Feb. 1, 2003
    (Phone: 202/358-1600) 5 p.m. EST

    Eileen Hawley
    Johnson Space Center, Houston
    (Phone: 281-483-5111)

    RELEASE: 03-033

    NASA ASKS FOR HELP WITH COLUMBIA INVESTIGATION

    NASA has established a telephone hotline and electronic
    mail address for the public to use for reporting information
    that may help investigators studying today's Space Shuttle
    mishap.

    Anyone who discovers debris from the accident or who has film
    or video evidence that may be of value to the investigation
    team is urged to use these contacts. Please avoid contact with
    any debris, because it may be hazardous as a result of toxic
    propellants aboard the Shuttle.

    Telephone reports should be directed to the following number:

    281/483-3388

    Text reports and images should be e-mailed to:

    nasamitimages@jsc.nasa.gov

    The e-mail address is:
    columbiaimages@nasa.gov

    All debris is U.S. Government property and is critical to the
    investigation of the mishap. All debris from the accident is
    to be left alone and reported to Government authorities.
    Unauthorized persons found in possession of accident debris
    will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.
    --
    Karma: 0 (But I wield a mean +10 Vorpal Apathy)
  6. OMS and RCS for dummies by dark-br · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Space Shuttle OMS engines provide the thrust to enter and exit low-earth orbit, and allow adjustment of the altitude and minor inclination changes while on orbit. The two major orbital operations, orbit entry and deorbit, are made with the two OMS engines. On-orbit propulsion thrust is also available for rendezvous maneuvers and altitude changes using the OMS engines with attitude control from the RCS thrusters. While attitude control and close-proximity maneuvers are provided principally by the RCS, the OMS can augment these operations with both fuel and thrust since both the OMS and RCS use the same fuel and oxidizer.

    The primary OMS/RCS structures are the forward RCS section and the two OBS/RCS pods in the aft section which contain the two OMS engines and RCS thrusters. The two OMS/RCS pods on the aft fuselage contain the OMS engines, RCS thrusters, fuel, pressurization system and associated distribution and control systems.

  7. Video: Columbia's Last Transmission by crashnbur · · Score: 5, Informative
    This Fox News video of their first airing of the last transmission from the astronauts around 9:00am ET also provides insight into what might have happened. (If using Windows Media Player, right click on the preview-ad, click "Navigate", then "Skip Forward" to jump to the actual coverage.)

    Shawn Shephard discusses the potential "tire pressure problem". From the video:

    A tire explosion could very well take a door off. Underneath the tires would be all sorts of hydrolics ... which could have caused massive problems.
    1. Re: Video: Columbia's Last Transmission by Black+Parrot · · Score: 5, Informative


      > Shawn Shephard discusses the potential "tire pressure problem".

      The spokesman at the extended NASA press conference this afternoon indicated that the "pressure problem" was simply a loss of signal from those sensors... just like all the other sensor failures. (He originally said that they had detected some high temperatures at the wheels, but during the questioning he explicitely corrected himself and said that the sensors went to zero rather than showing high.)

      All the symptoms indicate a progressive burn-through of the wing. I suppose it could have been caused by an exploding tire, but other sensors had already died by the time the tire sensors did. Look for explanations elsewhere.

      The order of the sensor failures will ultimately tell where the burn-through occured.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  8. Last Message by ParisTG · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here is a link to the last audio received from Columbia: http://www.canada.com/toronto/globaltv/info/video/ 020103audio.ram

    1. Re:Last Message by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've transcribed the video from he link.

      He thought it odd that there was very little information being exchanged between the shuttle and ground, so Randy Attwood, an amatuer astronomer started recording around 9:00 Eastern Time. The realplayer video superimposes the tape with video of the shuttle's disintegration.

      1:05 (On the RP video) Houstan: "End Columbia Houstan, we see your tire pressure messages and did not copy your last."

      1:12 Shuttle: "Roger, ah b---"

      1:25-onwards static

  9. An old problem by toxic666 · · Score: 5, Informative

    First, this is a tragedy for the astronauts and their families. I extend condolances to all who have been affected.

    However, this problem is nothing new. The insulation material on the external fuel tanks was changed in 1997 and immediately caused problems. Lockheed-Martin was recently contracted to provide an external camera to monitor insulation loss. I have not found any documentation of the insulation problems from late 1997 until the cameras were installed.

    See:
    http://spacelink.nasa.gov/NASA.News/NASA.N ews.Rele ases/Previous.News.Releases/97.News.Releases/97-03 .News.Releases/97-03-28.Shuttles.New.ET.Completes. Tests
    http://www-pao.ksc.nasa.gov/kscpao/status/s tsstat/ 1998/sep/9-10-98s.htm
    http://ltp.arc.nasa.gov/spa ce/updates/sto32.html
    http://www.arnold.af.mil/ae dc/newsreleases/1999/99 -041.htm
    http://www1.msfc.nasa.gov/NEWSROOM/news/ releases/2 002/02-234.html

    for details about NASA's work on the problem.

    1. Re:An old problem by kzinti · · Score: 5, Informative

      You can't just "park" at the ISS like you're checking into a Motel 6. If you're going to rendezvous with the station, that has to be planned way in advance and built into the mission design. Docking at the station is an enormously complex maneuver and it isn't something you do unless that's what the mission plan calls for. Even if you could get to the station, it can't handle a crew of 10 (its 3 plus the Columbia 7).

      The Columbia crew didn't even know if there was any damage. There's no way to see that region of the craft; I'm not sure they could see it even if they had a remote manipulator aboard. NASA did an extended analysis of the debris impact, but didn't believe there was any cause for concern. Maybe they were wrong but if not there was nothing the crew could have done. Nothing. There's nowhere else to go. You bring the crew home and hope for the best.

      As for NASA's "groupthink", what the fuck do you know about the people who work for NASA, or the way they think? The people that I work with in the shuttle program are some of the best and brightest people I've ever worked with, and that includes both the graybeards and the baby engineers. They bring a variety of viewpoints, experience, opinions, and creativity to bear on every problem NASA encounters. To suggest that these people don't think for themselves is the height of ignorance.

      So now you post your solution to the problem even though you clearly don't have a clue about how the shuttle works. Hell of a way to do Slashdot.

      --Jim

  10. Re:Human Remains Found ?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
    Here's the AP report on this:
    Report: Human Remains Found In Shuttle Debris
    Posted: 6:00 p.m. EST February 1, 2003
    Updated: 6:15 p.m. EST February 1, 2003

    Human remains have reportedly been found in the Texas wreckage of space shuttle Columbia Saturday night.

    A hospital employee on his way to work said that he found what seemed to be a charred torso, thigh bone and skull on a rural road in Hemphill, Texas, near the Louisiana line.

    Pieces of the spacecraft have been found in several east Texas counties and in Louisiana. NASA is sending out crews to recover the debris for the investigation.

    The spacecraft had just re-entered the atmosphere and had reached the point at which it was subjected to the highest temperatures when it disintegrated Saturday morning.

    All seven astronauts were killed.

  11. Re:The media wants quick answers by lommer · · Score: 4, Informative

    Actually, there's a fairly interesting piece up on the TIME website where they discuss the three most probable (in their opinion) causes for the crash. Their 3 leading suspicions are improper piloting leading to a roll which caused structural breakup, the heat tiles that fell of during launch, and the possibility that what little fuel is reserved for the maneuvering engines ignited somehow.

    They also toss some juicy quotes like: "The shuttle was built as a space truck, and then the International Space Station was built to give it something to do. Both programs are likely to suffer as a result of this disaster. " and "it's unlikely that NASA will undertake any further shuttle missions or any other manned space flights for the next two years."

  12. Re:No way out? by Kymermosst · · Score: 4, Informative

    Has anybody explained why they couldn't have done a spacewalk to inspect the damage from the insulation strike?

    Yes, they have. It was not possible to inspect the bottom of the shuttle during this flight because (1) the cargo bay was being occupied by the science package and had no remote manipulator, (2) there are no handles or tethers on the bottom of the shuttle, and (3), shuttles are simply not equipped nor is it recommended for spacewalks to occur without tethering or the robotic arm. Thus, no spacewalks to the bottom of the shuttle.

    All I've heard is that it wouldn't have made any difference if they had done one, since they weren't equipped to repair it.

    I think also that the Columbia is too heavy to make the higher orbit of the ISS, and OMS and RCS thrusters would not have been enough to boost it to that level. The Columbia is heavier because it was overbuilt... the later shuttles are much lighter. This is why the Columbia has *never* gone to the ISS.

    Even if they did find the damage, they also have no way to fix it. All of the tens of thousands of tiles on the surface of the shuttle are unique. Each one has different dimensions, and fits in only one place. Obviously, it would be impossible to carry a replacement for every one.

    Lastly, if they discovered the problem during reentry maneuvers, it was still too late. The best NASA could have done was say "It was nice knowing you. God be with you." Once the reentry sequence has started, there is no way to abort. Either they make it, or they don't.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  13. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  14. Re: Profiteers by RedWizzard · · Score: 3, Informative
    All day on TV they've been saying "Don't touch it, its toxic!". If that was really the only reason, I'd take my chances.

    Comments to the effect that scavenging would hinder the investigation were few and far between.. and I didn't hear anyone say it was against the law.

    Not that I'm disagreeing with you, I just found it strange, the way TV kept saying "TOXIC! TOXIC!" and little else.

    Blame that on media sensationalism. It is almost certainly illegal to remove debris from the crash site. Most likely it's covered by FAA regulations. Note that NASA's emergency notice states that:
    All debris is United States Government property and is critical to the investigation of the shuttle accident. Any and all debris from the accident is to be left alone and reported to Government authorities. Unauthorized persons found in possession of accident debris will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.
    In a situation as serious as this I would tend to believe that they aren't making idle threats.
  15. Not Air Resistance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well, they would have been partially protected if the cabin didn't break up... but it's hard to say what happened.

    In any case, air resistance isn't what causes the really high temperatures. It's air compression. It's the same thing that allows refridgerators to work. When a gas is compressed it will get hotter, if it is expanded it will get cooler. That's also why spray cans get cold when you use them.

  16. Re:Human Remains Found ?? by waimate · · Score: 4, Informative
    Completely? I doubt it. They were inside a structure designed to handle those temperatures.


    No they weren't. The Orbiter is built largely from very normal aluminium. The thermal protection is provided by tiles. There are two types of tiles: black and white. Only the black ones can stand the full temperature of re-entry, and they are placed over the nose and flat bottom of the craft. The white tiles on the top and sides can only deal with the lesser temeratures that leak around.


    The shuttle re-enters "bottom first", not in a glide like an aircraft (that bit comes later). The black tiles on the flat bottom create the same effect as an Apollo or Soyuz capsule, and cause an area of ionisation which actually takes the brunt of the heat like a buffer.


    So it requires fairly precise alignment to make the whole thing work. Once a wing rips off, the structure will tumble and rapidly decelerate. If there are organic remains, it is because the temperatures were not very high for very long, not because the crew were encased in something that was designed to withstand that temperature from any orientation.

  17. Re:The media wants quick answers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I couldn't believe they would pre-emptively publish this, and thought the above must be a joke, but google news remembers it was there, and also found a place where it is still up: http://www.boston.com/dailynews/032/nation/Columbi a_streaks_toward_Florid:.shtml we know not to trust the media, but this is crazy

  18. Shuttle Disaster Scenarios from 1988 sci.space by Baldrson · · Score: 3, Informative

    jim@angband.s1.gov
    Date: Mon, 26 Dec 88 15:45:52 PST
    Subject: Shuttle Disaster Premises

    Here are the premises of the Shuttle disaster scenarios (my apologies
    to those who find all this painfully obvious, but the noise level
    around here has made it necessary that I belabor these points):

    1 The SSME turbine pump blades have been found to be a weakness
    in the SSME design that has yet to be dealt with adequately.

    2 The failure of these blades would result in a failure mode that
    has not been adequately tested, thus the turbine blade containment
    ring may not succeed in fully containing the debris.

    3 The 3 APU's have been found to be a weakness in the Shuttle
    system design as 2 of the 3 have failed in a single mission
    with the 3rd found to be near failure after landing.

    4 According to James Fletcher, the NASA Administrator appointed
    by President Reagan to reform NASA's Shuttle program after the
    Challenger disaster, the Space Transportation System is on
    the verge of becoming "economical". (While I may not agree with
    this opinion, it is certainly reasonable to assume the statements
    of such a person to be "plausible" in these scenarios.)

    5 An "economical" launch system is what the military needs to
    launch its crushing backlog of spy satellites and Vandenburg
    is the only launch site which can make polar orbit without
    going over populated areas.

    6 The trajectory of a Shuttle launched to the south into a polar
    orbit (which is the typical orbit of spy satellites) from Vandeburg
    reenters over the major western Soviet cities in the event that
    an abort to once around option is attempted and falls short due
    to inadequate thrust (such as OMS engine failure secondary to
    SSME failure).

    7 RTG's are a far less vulnerable power source for spy satellites than
    solar cells and the military is increasingly concerned about
    solar panel vulnerability.

    8 Unavoidable clear air turbulence is common over the Shuttle
    landing site at Edwards AFB.

    9 The OMS fuel and pressurization lines are in reasonable proximity
    to the SSME turbine blades.

    10 The Pu239 oxide cannisters have not been adequately tested since
    when they were subjected to an explosive test, they did fail and
    NASA proceeded to proclaim them flight ready because the explosive
    test was "invalid".

    11 We have no way of rescuing Shuttle astronauts stranded in orbit.

    Some other facts, pointed out to me privately, that could be used for
    future Shuttle disaster scenarios:

    12 Orbital debris is a significant threat to the Shuttle as we have
    already experienced damage during one flight.

    13 The SSME bell is not being adequately inspected for hairline cracks
    which could fail catastrophically during launch.

    There are many classes of plausible disaster scenarios based on these
    premises. I've chosen to write on just a few exemplary cases which
    are particularly horrific. They are worth contemplating because they
    are so horrific.

    NASA is intransigent when it comes to pursuing important technical
    activities that have little immediate political import. Therefore,
    it invested in SRB redesign only AFTER catastrophic SRB failure.
    Now that it is "safe", NASA continues to invest more and more money
    in SRB research to the exclusion of other areas of far greater
    weakness in the Shuttle system. Obviously, it will not invest adequate
    money in those areas until they, too, fail catastrophically.

    Tom Neff, Bob Pendleton, Jim Merrit, et al, start educating the
    net for a change. Maybe you should start by reading some nonfictional
    accounts of space technology and history rather than continuing to
    worship mythology authored by such great story-tellers as Hans Mark, Gen.
    Abramson, Isaac Asimov, Robert Heinlein, Barney Roberts, Jessco Von
    Puttkammer, James Fletcher, et al.

    PS: If NASA ignores reality in its largest, currently most important
    and most immediate program -- the Shuttle program -- how do you think
    it is doing on future systems like Shuttle C, NASP, Space Station,
    lunar bases, space resource utilization and mars missions?

    Date: Fri, 11 Nov 88 18:17:25 PST
    From: jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery)
    Subject: Stranded in LEO due to APU failure

    In order to prepare for the next Shuttle disaster, we need to examine
    the various scenarios that may occur, their likelihood, consequences
    and what work should be done, in advance to prepare ourselves, our
    space program and our citizenry.

    For example, consider what would happen if an orbiter were stranded
    in LEO due to total APU failure. The logic of the situation would
    unfold in this scenario:

    Hundreds of millions of people on Earth would watch every detail
    of the dramatic situation unfold over several days (assuming they
    have that much life support). During the first few days, there
    will be many attempts to repair the problem with ground crews working
    round the clock on a simulated orbiter in a similar failure
    mode. They will come up with any of a number of futile attempts
    to fix the problem which the astronauts will, at first, dutifully
    carry out. This work will proceed even though there is little or no
    possibility of an actual fix. The public, the astronauts and NASA
    personnel will feel hope and dispair in cycles at each attempt,
    until, eventually, the charade will wear thin. At that point, the
    astronauts, the ones who are facing certain death, will be under
    enormous psychological pressure to end the charade.

    Such a break-point will carry with it the likelihood of one or more
    astronauts venting frustration and hostility -- possibly built up
    over many years of disillusionment as part of the crippled US space
    effort.

    NASA will attempt to blank-out all communications with
    the astronauts at or before this point. Some or all astronauts will
    not want to cooperate with this black-out and will refuse to allow
    the their communications to be encrypted. Ham radio operators and
    others around the world will band together to pick up the transmissions
    of the doomed astronauts and make them available to the public.

    After breaking from the bureaucracy's authority, the astronauts
    may become extremely critical of specific individuals in NASA and
    its contractors. They will have nothing to lose and will finally
    have a chance to right what they perceive as the wrongs in the
    space program.

    A few weeks after the dying words of the astronauts are heard,
    the shuttle will reenter the atmosphere at 5 or 6 miles per second.
    It will break up. A few large fragments will scatter widely and
    unpredictaby, hitting the ground before total disintigration due
    to the ablative coating. The public, ignorant of probability theory,
    will be in terror at the thought of the shuttle crashing into their
    communities causing mass destruction. The fireball could easily be
    visible from large population centers and will most likely be viewed
    on television broadcasts around the world.

    Date: Tue, 15 Nov 88 21:52:48 PST
    From: jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery)
    Subject: Possible consequence of terminal approach APU failure

    Another possible Shuttle disaster:

    During reentry 2 of the APUs fail and the third has some problems (as
    has occured before). But unlike the previous instances, the Shuttle
    comes into the terminal area energy management manuver a little bit high
    and a little bit fast. It encounters a little clear air turbulence
    while in a tight turn to bleed off this excess energy. As the pilot is
    lining up on the runway, the third and last APU gives out due to the
    buffetting. Unfortunately, the APU failed before he completed the final
    turn. The control surfaces go dead. The Space Shuttle, now out of
    control, impacts at supersonic speed into the waiting crowd which never
    hears it coming. Thousands perish.

    Date: Wed, 30 Nov 88 21:17:18 PST
    From: jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery)
    Subject: Secret Shuttle Launch Disaster Scenario

    Here's another possible Shuttle disaster:

    The DoD reopens the Vandenburg Shuttle launch facility. A payload
    with a plutonium radioactive thermal generator needs to be placed in
    an LEO polar orbit. About 2 minutes after SRB separation, a main
    engine pump turbine blade fails causing the turbine to fly apart
    at supersonic speed. The containment works pretty well but a few
    blades get out. One of them nicks the pressurization system for
    the fuel oxydizer tanks in one of the OMS pods. The astronauts sense a
    loud THUD and the loss of one of the main engines. They opt to abort
    once around using the remaining two main engines. Everything goes
    according to the contingency plan. All fuel is consumed from the
    main tank. The tank separates. The OMS engines start up. Only
    one of them lights. Since this produces an off center thrust, the
    RCS consumes excessive amounts of fuel to keep stability. The OMS
    system, only capable of using half its fuel, fails to put the Shuttle
    into a once around trajectory. It reenters short, somewhere near
    the Persian Gulf. In the early phase of reentry, when the aerodynamic
    control surfaces are insufficient to orient the spacecraft, the already
    overtaxed RCS runs out of fuel. The Shuttle begins tumbling somewhere
    over the Caucasus Mountains. By the time the control surfaces could
    be used, the Shuttle is in a fatal spin. It breaks up. When it
    breaks up, the RTG canister, designed to withstand reentry, is struck
    by one of the structural members of the Shuttle. Not being designed
    to withstand this, it shatters. 22 kilograms of Pu238-dioxide are
    distributed in the atmosphere over Moscow, Kalinin and Lenningrad.

    The Soviet ballistic missile warning radars, primarily facing north,
    are briefly treated to the spectacle of hundreds of reentering
    objects coming down around Moscow and Lenningrad. The two largest,
    most economically important and strategically significant cities in
    the Soviet Union.

    Pu238 is 284 times more radioactive than the fissionable isotope Pu239
    due to its relatively short half-life of 86 years. It decays by alpha
    emmission of 5.5Mev. While this is somewhat higher than the decay
    energy of Pu239, it is far higher than the decay energy of U235 and
    not similar to the decay energy of any other common nuclide. Thus
    to the relatively unsophisticated instruments initially used to
    evaluate the sudden release of radioactive material, it will appear
    as though 5.5 metric tons of weapons-grade Pu239 has suddenly reentered
    over Moscow.

    5.5 metric tons of Pu239 is enough to support on the order of 500
    warheads. Areasonable surmize would be that a US secret launch out
    of Vandenburg was to illegally emplace a facility containing 500 or
    so nuclear warheads into an orbit where it would pass over the
    Soviet Union 4 times per day from the south whre their early warning
    radars could not detect it until it was far too late.

    Vandenburg is a highly secured facility. Due to the local geography,
    neither the launch pad nor the assembly building can be viewed from
    sites not on the base. The Soviets will have very limited intelligence
    about launch preparations and the launch itself. Our belated
    protestations that it was merely a routine Shuttle launch will be met
    with a great deal of skepticism.

    The Soviets, sensitized by the Chernobyl disaster to nuclear
    catastrophe, will be react unpredictably.

    Date: Tue, 6 Dec 88 08:24:13 PST
    From: jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery)
    Subject: Brilliant Soviet Rescue of Astronauts Stranded in LEO

    As in the "Stranded in LEO Due to APU Failure" scenario, all 3 APU's fail,
    leaving the astronauts helplessly adrift.

    The Soviets, hearing Tom Neff's idea of a rescue effort, come up with
    a brilliant plan. They launch an unmanned Soyuz from Space City
    with the stated intent of making a rendevous with the drifting Shuttle
    and rescuing some of the astronauts (the Soyuz wouldn't have capacity
    for all of them). Space City, being at a much higher latitude than
    KSC, gives the Soyuz craft a much higher inclination orbit than the
    Shuttle. The Soyuz, being incapable of correcting its inclination
    by the required amount, intersects with the Shuttle's orbit at a few
    miles second or so.

    Thus the Soyuz saves our brave astronauts from the senseless torture
    of a slow death.

    Why would the Soviets would go along with such an imbicilic
    rescue attempt when it requires the sacrifice of a launched Soyuz
    (worth $15 to $20 million)? The Soviets draw attention and blame
    for the disaster away from NASA. This allows NASA to contain the
    political damage and maintain its appearance of conducting a space
    program, leaving the Soviets free to develop space without competition.

    ---------------
    And now for a little space policy...

    Date: Wed, 7 Dec 88 21:43:32 PST
    From: jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery)
    Subject: Diversity vs Monolithism

    Humanity can promote the richness and diversity of life by providing a
    greater variety of habitats in space rather than encroaching on existing
    terrestrial habitats. We can enhance richness and diversity in systems
    at all levels -- technological, economic, governmental, cultural, and
    biological. We can bring this gift to our world and, indeed, our
    universe, if we adhere to the principle that it is better to
    err on the side of diversity than on the side of monolithism.

    In a series of seminars with environmental groups over a period of
    years, space activists in the San Diego area have succeeded in laying
    a foundation of trust with these groups based on the above vision.
    This trust is a fragile one, more prone to misunderstandings than
    the internal factions of the National Space Society.

    As guardians of the biosphere, environmental groups are particularly
    sensitive to the issue of diversity and quality of life. The vision
    of space habitats usually comes wrapped in conventional aerospace
    concepts such as "the space program" and the National Commission on
    Space's "50 year plan". Unfortunately, for too many of us, this
    wrapping is an accurate reflection of our values. Environmental groups
    reject our vision, and rightfully so.

    Until we clean up our own act, and recognize that large government
    projects are not the way to a diversity of space activities, we will
    fail to make inroads with grass-roots America, and our gift will be
    rejected by those in the environmental movement who can lend it
    deeper ethical and moral credibility.

    We are desparate for things to happen in space. We are easy prey for
    the agents of monolithic space programs who would use us to
    prop up funding for such dubious big projects as Space Shuttle
    and now Space Station. These projects do more than waste money, they
    sap the will of our people to take responsibility for space activities
    into their own hands. Like monocropping, they displace the richness
    and diversity of natural selection with the errors of monolithism.

    We were willing to wait a decade for NASA to build Shuttle. It failed
    miserably to live up to our expecations. Now, 15 years later, NASA is
    asking us to, again, wait a decade for Space Station. It will have
    been 25 years of waiting from Skylab to a pig-in-the-poke Space Station.

    25 years.

    Think about it.

    The monolithism of our government's "X year plans" is as abhorrent
    as the "5 year plans" of totalitarian bureaucracies of communist nations.
    Do we really need the government's "help" in the form of "the space program"
    in order to realize the potential of space?

    No!

    "The space program" is merely the decaying carcas of Apollo which
    monolithists keep around like a psycho with his long dead mother.
    The stench is becoming unbearable.

    If we are going to wait 5, 10, 25 or 50 years for something, let it be for
    something of real and abiding value. Just as it takes several years
    for a dispoiled environment to regain its biodiversity, so it will take our
    economy several years to fill the markets dispoiled by government encroachment.
    Let us abandon the idea of "the space program" for the atavism it is. Let us
    not wait for yet another miracle from Uncle Sam. Instead, let us wait for the
    life force, as embodied on our free enterprise economy, to grow and flourish,
    filling all the territories that "the space program" has dispoiled by its
    decaying presence. Let us no longer accept morsels of opiated carrion from
    NASA to satiate our craving for space activity. Let us, instead, get back
    in touch with our true needs which are the mother of invention.

    Beyond business regulatory functions, let government restrict itself
    to the support of basic research through a wide variety of independent
    agencies that have their own reasons for being interested in space.
    Leave technology development and services exclusively in the hands of
    the citizens, buying technology and services on the open market when needed.

    When our people see groups of other citizens getting together to do things
    in space on their own initiative, without government help or interference,
    the life force will speak to them. Then, the National Space Society's
    mission will be accomplished and only then will we the people understand
    that space is a place to live work, play and grow.

    Jim Bowery
    PO Box 1981
    La Jolla, CA 92038

    INET: jim@pnet01.cts.com

  19. Auxilary power units most likely cause by RockyJSquirel · · Score: 3, Informative

    I just heard a report on NPR that the most likely cause of the loss of the shuttle was a auxilary power unit exploding and causing a quick loss of control.

    The APU's are turbines that use hydrazine fuel. It's highly explosive and there's been talk of finding a safer power source, but the problem is that batteries would be much heavier, and coming up with a lightweight replacement would be a multi billion dollar research project.

    Anyway the turbines were due to come on line about the time the shuttle broke apart.

    Scientist Michio Kaku said that the explosion was "par for the course" in that "about 1 in 75 space launches explodes" and this was columbia's 102 mission. Which is only to say that rockets are a dangerous form of transportation.

    His next point was that this is a reason to think that the nuclear powered rockets that some (who?) are considering are a bad idea.

    Rocky J Squirrel

  20. Re:She's AMERICAN, dammit by pamri · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here is a better collection of stories than the rediff one on kalpana chawla. Incidentally, chawla was the most experienced of the crew, this being her 2nd trip & she is is the 2nd Indian in space after Rakesh sharma did it with the Russians in 1984.
    BTW, this is just in: Columbia crew remains found

  21. Re:The media wants quick answers by StJefferson · · Score: 3, Informative

    Uhm, it looks to me like this is the "they're on their way home" story, not a "they've returned safely story." Note the time stamp, too -- perfectly appropriate story to post 48 minutes prior to the scheduled landing.

  22. Re:What could they do? by pongo000 · · Score: 3, Informative

    I am not an engineer but I would say no. The tiles probably were damaged on the left wing where the big chunk of ice hit at take off. At 12k miles an hour there is nothing you can do.

    It was a piece of insulating foam, not ice, that hit the wing during the shuttle's ascent.

    The rudder probably flipped voilently upward or downward due to the lack of hydro fluid which probably boiled away if the left wing really did infact overheat.

    Rudders control yaw, not pitch. They move left to right, not up and down.

    And this post was modded up? C'mon, people, don't be so quick to believe everything you read on the net.

  23. Re:No way out? by Kaz+Riprock · · Score: 3, Informative

    Thus they probably didn't even bring up EVA suits.

    Actually, in the news conference it was noted that they had the ability to EVA, but only in case of a latch problem in shutting the cargo bay doors...they had no way to leave the bay though.

    Also, to answer your other question, there was no arm on the Columbia for STS-107.

    --
    Mordor...a magical, mythical land where women are more rare than dragons--but where every man would rather find a dragon