Video-on-Demand versus P2P?
aisnota at aisnota dot com asks: "VOD, the First Skirmish in the Battle seems to be the story of cable and satellite MSO's finally accepting PVR technology. The real question is why it took so long for those companies to recognize consumers with peer to peer networking have effectively created, 'Video on Demand', and they are a bit late to the table. Slashdot readers are invited to chime in to determine if cable/satellite operators are just in time or too late incorporating VOD as compared to peer to peer technologies, licit as well as illicit. The real question though is competing with your own video content to effectively create your own VOD channel with Gnutella or similar peer to peer software. Who has done this?"
...Unless they lower prices to something reasonable that reflects the fact that they only have to pay for royalties and bandwidth, and not packaging, profits of useless intermediaries, and retail stores' profits. But right now all the Video-On-Demand services that I know (including cable PPV), charge about the same amount as it would cost to BUY the VHS tape of the movie at wal-mart. That's ridiculous. Having a copy to keep, or watching it once on PPV for the same price... Hmm, that's a tough one.
Repeal the DMCA!
The subject of the article isn't VOD, though it mentions VOD capabilities in two places as buzzwords for the industry. The article is about how the set-top manufacturers want their boxes to be the home network conduit of the future, and are trying (in many cases successfully) to replace the computer as the hub of your digital world. The analogy is of course a false one, as the set-top box is merely functioning as the digital-video hub of the house, rather than the fileserver or the highly trafficed websurfing box. Of course, scrambling to become the "hub" just reminds me of how we had to replace our actual hub a few weeks ago, which was a painless procedure costing $20. Why anyone would see that as a desireable business position to be in is beyond me.
I'm very happy with set-top boxes coming with additional capability assuming they can be made with the capacity to handle it, which obviously wasn't true of the painfully slow 1st generation digital set-top boxes. My hope is that cable operators will continue to offer vanilla devices, in order to aviod redundant hardware and unnecessary noise in the house. But additional capabilities for an entertainment device that can still output over RCA and co-ax can only be a positive thing... I don't see why it is even an issue.
And no, Gnutella isn't VOD. To think so is somewhere between Naieve and MPAA propaganda. Demand means I want it now, Gnutella / FastTrack means it may or may not be finished in three days.
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I work in that industry, developing a Linux based STB. I think that the P2P is not a competing technology to the operator based VoD services. It is complementary.
First of all true mass VoD services *can* be cheaper than renting movies, buying storage, hazzle around with ripping software and computers in general. Just imagine the non-nerd comming home from work, (s)he turns on the TV, selects a movie at $2.99 from an archive of hundreds or thousands of titles. Compare this with the extra work and hazzle setting up and utilize a computer not talking about the noice.
Secondly, streaming movies aint that easy so any P2P solution must involve a download and storage procedure, hence using a noicy computer. Which non-nerd likes todo that in the longrun? Also what download times would you get retrieving commercial titles from a leaf node in a network? Compare that with Gigabit fiber backbones of the operators.
I belive that P2P will be used by the same persons that use P2P today who seem willing to spend hours of preparation to watch a handy CAM captured asian bootleg of TTT instead of wait until the real version is available in the renatal stores or at the cinema. A normal user will most of the time sit back in the sofa with a beer, some snacks and silently get the movie from the operator at a relativelly low cost. We can see that happeining today in the music industry where the CD burner forced down the prices on the second line music, and that is good!
P2P can be used to spread movies that doesn't fit in the mainstream audiences and holiday documentaries to friends and relatives. An operator would be able to support that too by offering a public streaming service at the headend etc etc
My punch line is that most people doesn't want to fool around with computers at all. They want to watch movies.
Bit-torrent was on slashdot quite some time ago. Here is a place to download some Anime (unlicensed in the US). Notice how seven or eight terrabytes have been served over the last couple months. 250 gigabytes have been served today. The load on the server is almost non-existant. And the load on the server would remain the same if slashdot posted the link to its front page. The current video released today is averaging 8.21Mb/s as everyone downloads it at once. My DSL connection is maxed out as I download. Now, that's video on demand.
I just got the two new VOD services for Time Warner here in NYC. One, the normal movies on demand, is basically just pay per view that you can pause and rewind and fast forward. Nothing too exciting.
The Subscription Video on Demand, which has channels for each of the premium channels, is very cool. The HBO channel, for instance, has entire seasons of the Sopranos and Six Feet Under, along with a fair selection of movies, dennis miller, and comedya specials and whatnot. And it came free with the cable package I already have.
Showtime also has lots of Red Shoe Diaries on their channel. Good Times.
"Moderate drinking can help prevent amputated limbs" -- Abigail Zuger, NYTimes, 12/31/02
I'm actually surprised that the big media giants haven't announced something like this already (of course they would have to admit they were wrong about the evil nature of P2P). They could sell a set top PVR box with XGb allocated to sharing. They do a Freenet style encrypted network but with a central set of directory servers like Napster. Then they save huge chunks of bandwidth when customer A streams his copy of Attack of the Clones" to customer B across the street. I'm pretty sure AT&T could pull something like this off quite easily but they would have to ease the upstream bandwidth limits. They would get the benefits of P2P (huge library, distributed infrastructure, etc.) with the control of "VOD".
VOD on demand is no big deal really. Show me everything on demand from the cable company and I will be (fairly) impressed. For example, I work weird hours and can't watch my favorite sitcom cause I am never home. Show me the ability to choose from a pool of everything say, NBC, is showing today on demand. Now that is worth a mention. The present VOD system? Big deal. With PPV the way it was(is), the same content plays over and over all day anyways. The ability to rewind and fast-forward is no great achievement. Show me network TV on demand!
You'll have that sometimes...
What I want to know:
Is there any software that will allow me to backup my DVD collection, and access them via a nice interface on my TV?
I also work for a new entrant on Service provider side of this industry. We do DTV including VOD over ADSL not Cable. Streaming video in a glitch free manner requires a clear low latency path to your peer, the skill to produce a very high availability & robust network, robust servers and disks, expensive equipment and skills. These are things most P2Pers dont have, never mind consumers. The big advantage a Service provider is capital, economies of scale, robustness and locality.
However despite these I agree with the above VOD and PVR are complementary. The networking capability to the home required for P2P PVR will be provided by value added service providers. The simple fact is most consumers are ordinary people not geeks, most ordinary people are not prepared to pay the full real cost of a 4Meg DSL line, without services.
There is the content issue, we have a healthy revenue from adult content, movies, cartoons and music, but what consumers really like and use much more is the fast changing content like news and weather and that cannot be local enough. This is something P2P VOD cannot provide, yet, this will allow a whole new sector of local service providers, and these are likely to come in part from the P2P network users.
There is also the issue of content innovatations coming with VOD technology, viewer directed story lines, multiple view points, hyperlinked content streams. We are conducting trials of these new ideas. Thunder Road an Interactive soap with a dramatic fly on wall documentary and true documentary all in parallel, with the BBC. And it was our most popular VOD item yet.
firstly there's no way that the current generation of residential BB nets would be capable of serving broadcast quality video on demand from peers. P2P networks could be useful in serving video in a store & forward fashion , but this isn't 'on demand' - VOT ( Video On Tomorrow ) maybe ;) .
the proposition that theres an imminent threat to VOD from p2p systems is silly