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The Future of Leap Seconds

@10u8 writes "Since 1972 precision clocks around the world have ticked using atomic seconds, but earth rotation is slowing down. Leap seconds have been inserted in order to keep noon happening at noon, but they upset some timekeepers. Recent discussions have considered discontinuing leap seconds in UTC, and a colloquium in Torino next month will present results. It is a matter of international significance."

27 of 345 comments (clear)

  1. Why? by k-0s · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I can't see why they hate leap second. I'll be damned if I am going to eat lunch at what is called 8:00 in the morning because they don't want to keep leap second. Grow up, we have leap years and human time keeping is not an exact science as the Earth tends to spin the way IT wants not the way we want.

    1. Re:Why? by Jason1729 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem with leap days has nothing to do with the Roman calendar. It is because the time it takes the Earth to revolve around the Sun is not an integer multiple of the time it takes the Earth to rotate on its axis. The Lunar calendars you mention have leap-months.

      Jason
      ProfQuotes

    2. Re:Why? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I don't think that is accurate. the concept of leap years is because the roman calendar sucks.

      The concept of leap years is because the ratio of the length of a year divided by the length of an earth day is not an iteger. No calendar can get around that fact. You either add intercalation days whenever the remainders of your divisions exceed 1, or you keep track of huge numbers and cycles that greatly complicate your timekeeping.

      The Julian roman calendar did suck because they didn't get the ratios quite right and it drifted. (The Gregorian calendar fixed this for all practical purposes.) However, prior to Julius Caesar, it sucked even more because there was no mathematical formula. Instead, priests were supposed to observe the sun each year and decide when leap days were needed.

      The priests were also involved in politics, so they chose to shorten political terms more often than not by omitting leap days. IIRC, by the time the Julian calendar was instituted, the Romans were off by several months due to these partisan shenanigans.

    3. Re:Why? by Bob+Fr · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There is time as used by humans vs other measures. Its purpose was to define the time that the trains ran on and is very convenient and has only passing relationshipt to the position of the sun -- those at the edges of timezones can be off by an hour or two or more.

      Leap seconds are a fine correction for gear that, unlike humans, cares about nanosecond accuracy.

      The serious problem with leapseconds is that they make minutes context sensitive and essentially all computer software presumes seconds are not context sensitive.

      The simple fix is to keep leap seconds as a correction factor but not confuse it with the time that humans and their computers use for normal use.

      The leap second is the kind of bug that appears when you have experts who know too much and are totally clueless about any usage other than what the care about.

      It was simply a stupid mistake to foist it on humans and there. They should apologize and simply keep their mitts of social mechanisms like the clock.

    4. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Because time is crucial to all sorts of physical and scientific endeavors, such as planetary motion, navigation, GPS, etc. We need an accurate standard, or stuff quits working.

    5. Re:Why? by Okonomiyaki · · Score: 5, Funny

      Interesting. So is there any way that we can use a similar technique to get Nov 2004 to arrive a little sooner? Please?

    6. Re:Why? by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 4, Informative

      IIRC, all leap seconds when inserted or deleted, is well planned in advance. IIRC, GPS is prepared for these events also. Here's a link.

      --
      You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
    7. Re:Why? by Guppy06 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      One word: Longitude. Generally speaking, you determine your longitude by comparing what the local solar time is (determined by looking at the position of the sun in the sky) and comparing it to the time in some reference point (say, the Prime Meridian). Every hour's difference is 15 degrees of longitude.

      Obviously, there have been all sorts of tweaks and modifications to this formula in the past 200+ years or so, but the basics are the same: You need to know what time it is to know where you are. Your precious little GPS receivers wouldn't work if they could get as accurate a time measurement as possible from the US Naval Observatory.

      (Some historians have suggested that the US won the war in the Pacific because US ships had more accurate clocks.)

    8. Re:Why? by renard · · Score: 5, Informative
      Your precious little GPS receivers wouldn't work if they could [not] get as accurate a time measurement as possible from the US Naval Observatory.

      Not true. GPS receivers get all the information they need directly from the GPS satellites - which track their own "GPS Time" that dispenses with the leap-seconds.

      You're right that having an accurate astronomically-relevant time is important for navigation - if you are determining your position with a sextant. It's the decreasing relevance of sextants to the world of navigation, and the increasing need to keep electronic equipment of all sorts in lock-step, that is driving this movement away from the leap-seconds.

      See a summary of the issues from one of the US Naval Observatory scientists in charge of this stuff: PDF, Postscript.

      -renard

    9. Re:Why? by rocketlawyer · · Score: 5, Informative
      The fundamental root of the problem is that time is one of those concepts that we all THINK we understand, but frequently we are talking at crossed purposes. Here the problem is a tension between those who use time to measure the duration between two events and those who use it in its more historically traditional role as a metric describing the orientation of the Earth.

      Initially the precise measurement of time was the province of astronomers and ship navigators. Time was fundamentally the measurement of the orientation of the Earth. Time was a function of location. Noon was when the sun was at zenith. If you could know the difference in time measurements at two locations, you could determine the difference in longitudes of the two locations. In order to determine the differences in time systems, mankind developed precise mechanical time measuring systems. The new time measuring systems allowed man to measure the durations between events very precisely.

      Eventually man developed atomic clocks that could use the decay of atoms to provide an incredibly stable time reference. However, some time ago, we reached a point where the mechanical time measuring systems became more stable than the Earth's rotation. So the atomic clocks which were counting down seconds very accurately were now getting out of synch with the Earth's rotation which was slowing down (and not smoothly slowing down, either).

      Since no one who was concerned with the durations between events wanted seconds that varied in length, which is what would happen if you fixed the varying length of the day at 86400 seconds, the concept of using seconds of fixed duration (based on an atomic standard) was developed. The ever accumulating count of these seconds is TAI (Time Atomique Internationale aka International Atomic Time). The time which represents the orientation of the Earth is Universal Time (UT). (This is a simplification, there are a number of subtle variations on UT that I'm not going to go into, but which aren't important for the purposes of this discussion.)

      If left alone, the difference between UT and TAI would grow. So, many years ago the concept of UTC (Universal Time Coordinated) was invented. This time standard uses the standard TAI second, but at irregular intervals, an additional second may be added (on either June 30th or Dec. 31st) to always keep UTC and UT to within half a second of each other.

      The bottom line is that for people who have to deal with durations, especially long durations, having those irregular additional seconds is a bookkeeping pain and for those who need to be very concerned about the orientation of the Earth, a half second isn't nearly accurate enough. The latter group are undoubtedly using much higher resolution correction data that is produced by the IERS (International Earth Rotation Service). For most civilians, the fact that noon is shifting off by a second every couple of years just doesn't matter. (Especially since the railroads introduced the concept of time zones a little over a hundred years ago, which means that the sun is rarely at zenith when the clock says its noon.)

      A lot of people in the field have questioned for some time whether in the era of modern computers where using the higher resolution IERS corrections is trivial, the leap second has any use. Now it may finally be going away.

      Now if you want to get really esoteric, here is something to ponder: For astronomy and celestial mechanics, time is defined as the independent variable in the equations of motion of the universe. For physicists and those who use atomic time standards, time is defined as the independent variable in the decay of atomic particles. Noone, to my knowledge, has ever been able to detect a difference in these two independent variables, but it is not a given that they are the same.

      For those who'ld like to know more, the University of Texas teaches a graduate level course in the Aerospace Eng. Dept. on the "Determination of Time".

      --
      This is not a legal opinion, no representation is expressed or implied.
  2. Obligitary Hitch Hiker quote by Zerbey · · Score: 4, Funny

    Time is an Illusion. Lunchtime doubly so.

  3. Time measuerments that make sence... by Eric_Cartman_South_P · · Score: 5, Funny
    I've said this before, but I think Maxtor Hard Drive MTBF rates and Iomega tape drive MTBF rates are good, consistent, short time measuerments (both very shitty products that fail reliably).

    Me: Wanna go have sex?
    Hot Girl: OK! When?
    Me: I'm on lunch break in 3 Maxtors and a Tape.
    Hot Girl: I'll pay for the Hotel room.

    1. Re:Time measuerments that make sence... by Wanker · · Score: 4, Funny

      The problem is he's finished in only half a Maxtor...

  4. For Those Interested About Leap Seconds In General by PipianJ · · Score: 5, Informative

    This site may be more helpful, especially in clearing up some of the problems with leap seconds (and their ultimate creation of an offset from both TAI and GPS time)

  5. The easiest solution to all this is by happyhippy · · Score: 4, Funny
    SPEED UP THE EARTH!

    I propose we keep the earth spinning at a constant rate by detonating thousands of nukes at certain places once every four years. This will produce a Catherine Wheel effect and the earth will speed back to its original spin rate.

    I am going to patent this idea but I fear itll be 500 years before I get it processed.

  6. an attempt at a summary.... by Malor · · Score: 5, Informative

    If I understand what I read correctly, essentially the problem they're trying to solve is this: the Earth's rotation is slowing, but they can't predict exactly how much it's going to slow at any given time. It is a real, physical thing, and while they can model its orbit with extreme and unchanging accuracy (things are widely separated enough that the mathematical abstractions work fine), modeling its rotation isn't really possible. There's all sorts of liquid sloshing around everywhere, both liquid water on the surface and molten rock in the center. All they can do is measure it, and every once in awhile, determine that sunrise is happening just a little late.

    There are two major timekeeping systems: TAI, which is "absolute time" and is never adjusted, and UTC, which is "civilian time". Because UTC is used by normal people, they try to keep it synced to the Earth's rotation, which in theory at least makes it more useful for us mere mortals. (knowing that the sun will rise at exactly X time on X date at sea level, for instance.). So, gradually, UTC diverges from TAI, because one rotation of the Earth is just a little longer than 24 hours, and over time this divergence adds up to be greater than a second. When it's getting close, they add a leap second. These additions are not at regular intervals, because they can't predict exactly when any given second should be added.

    There are occasional problems when they add the leap seconds (programs that don't expect 61 seconds in a minute, for example), or programs that don't realize that there are X number of seconds (15 or so?) that simply didn't exist since 1970. (sometimes this stuff matters).

    Thus, they're debating about doing away with leap seconds altogether. One possible substitute is a 'leap hour' every thousand years.

    It seems like a rather anal-retentive thing to argue about, but these people are paid to be precise to a degree we can't even imagine.

    A worthy slashdot story. This is serious geekery. :-)

    1. Re:an attempt at a summary.... by Tackhead · · Score: 4, Funny
      > Thus, they're debating about doing away with leap seconds altogether. One possible substitute is a 'leap hour' every thousand years.

      Why not?

      Asshats from the Industrial Revolution days make us do a frickin' "leap hour" twice a year anyways, one of which violates causality. Fuckin' Daylight Savings Time.

      What drooling asshat decided that it'd be a good idea if, every year, there was one day when everyone's heart/respiration rates slowed down to one beat/breath per hour, and about six months later, these same people should be able to start a 20 minute download that finishes 40 minutes before it started?

      Fine if you've got a black hole nearby for the former, and fine if you can travel faster than light for the latter.

      The day we have those technologies, fine. Until then, no, no, no, no, no, these are bad, bad, bad, bad, bad ideas.

  7. precision timekeeping is real interesting stuff by foog · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And why do we care?

    Read the article!

    It's important for systems programmers, and lots of folks here are at least systems programming fanboys.

    It's important for navigation. Yeah, that includes your GPS toys.

    It's important for a number of scientific disciplines, including a number of subdisciplines of radio astronomy.

    It's also really interesting that the change in the Earth's rotation can't yet be predicted with enough accuracy to set a schedule in advance for adding leap seconds, but must be measured. This is relatively prosaic stuff that's nonetheless at the limits of our current understanding. Doesn't anyone get excited or curious about science anymore?

  8. Accuracy isn't everything... by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And just think, if no leap seconds were added since 1972, you'd be having your Noon Lunch at 11:59:38!

    Oh the horror... :)

    Accuracy isn't everything...

    --
    "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
  9. What are leap seconds? by Phroggy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Leap years work like this:

    One year = the time it takes for the Earth to revolve around the Sun.
    One day = the time it takes for the Earth to rotate on its axis.

    The problem is, there are really about 365-1/4 days in a year - it doesn't work out evenly to 365 days. So, every four years we add an extra day (Feb. 29), and then it all averages out. Otherwise, if we only had 365 days in a year, over many years seasons would start getting earlier and earlier on the calendar.

    One day = the time it takes for the Earth to rotate on its axis
    One second = the time it takes for Cesium 133 to oscilate about 9.19 billion times (because it's something constant we can measure)

    The problem, again, is that there aren't exactly 86400* seconds in a day. So, we add leap seconds periodically to account for it. As I understand it, this isn't necessarily done at fixed intervals, but rather whenever it's decided that it needs to be done. The Network Time Protocol used to synchronize clocks over the Internet supports leap seconds; they can be announced over NTP in advance, so everybody adds them at the correct moment.

    Why is it important? It's not important to most people, but computers like things to be precise and accurate for various reasons, and that means we have to agree on exactly what time it is.

    * BIND now lets you write "1d" in a zone file, but how many of you still have this number memorized? ;-)

    --
    $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
    $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
  10. Time zones by cperciva · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The stated problem with leap seconds is that some software gets confused by them. Guess what? That same software probably gets confused if the time zone changes, or when it moves into daylight savings time.

    The Right Way to solve this problem is for computers to work with TAI internally, and treat the difference introduced by leap seconds as part of the time zone, for human consumption only. Instead of defining PST to be UTC - 08:00, define PST = TAI - 08:00:22.

    Computers can keep their straightforward time system, humans can keep our astronomically synchronized system. No need to lose either of those qualities.

  11. Oh, but it is... by smartfart · · Score: 4, Funny
    "It is a matter of international significance."

    It's about time someone did something to correct these errors.

    /me runs off before he gets thwapped.

    (it's funny, go ahead and laugh, willya?)

  12. Enough Earth-centrism! by Okonomiyaki · · Score: 4, Insightful

    With a manned mission to Mars possibly less than 20 years away, shouldn't we start looking at timekeeping systems that aren't tied to this rock?

  13. Big Deal by teslatug · · Score: 4, Funny

    OK, we can slashdot a webiste, surely we can fix this. Ok, on 3 let's all start running west. 1...2...3...

    running though is not so popular among this crowd...

  14. leapsecond.com by jeffmock · · Score: 5, Informative

    A really interesting guy on this topic is Tom Van Baak, the fellow that runs leapsecond.com. As a measure of the level of obsession a person can obtain, this guy has multiple cesium frequency standards, but he had to go out and buy a crazy russian hydrogen maser so he could get better than a microsecond a year accuracy. He's also got some interesting information about the leapsecond debate on his website.

    Me, I'm a simple guy, I just need to keep NTP locked to a couple of microseconds to sleep well.

    jeff

  15. America Is To Blame by istartedi · · Score: 5, Funny

    America is to blame! We are only 5% of the Earth's population, but we use 80% of the angular momentum. Scientists have warned us for years about global slowing, but big business Republicans, and Democrats with large angular momentum consuming projects in their districts refuse to address the issue. The only viable solution is to make papier mache puppets and parade them down Pennsylvania Avenue.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  16. several timescales by darthtuttle · · Score: 4, Informative

    There are several timescales. There is already one that does not have leap seconds, and one that does. What is important for the average person is that when the beep, beep, beeeeeeeeep goes beeeeeeeep it's the same for *all* people. While 22 seconds isn't a big deal for most people, it's a huge difference in a lot of other areas from financial trading to shipping. There's a hint of the fact that a USBN (submarine) hit something because a leap second got inserted in to a clock that no one was prepared to handle and they went a second to far.

    The leap second reconizes the fact that the "second" is defined in terms of particle physics (a quantity of state changes) which is very stable (it's always going to take the same amount of time for the same quantity of state changes), where as the idea of time really comes from the cosmos. When the sun is directly overhead it's 12:00.

    Where the earths orbit around the sun is very stable, 265.24 days, the rotation of the earth is very unstable. In fact, there's a provision (though never used) to remove a second from the day! The speed of the rotation is constantly changing. Over the long term it's pretty stable with a stable decay, but in the short it could be necessary to add a second rather quickly to keep the civil time within .9 seconds of cosmic time.

    The long term average is that we need to add a second to the day about every 18 months, but we haven't needed a leap second since the end of 1998 (over four years!) so in the short term the stability of the earths rotation is low compared to the order of magnitude we measure.

    In order to handle this a desicion is made every six months as to a new leap second at the end of June or December (or to remove a second). This is a problem because some systems can't handle the addition of a second on six months notice such as the submarine!

    One proposed solution is to allow UT1 (cosmic time) and UTC (civil time) to be out of sync by as many as 10 seconds. This would allow for ample time for warnings to be produced and everyone to know exactly what is going to happen and how to handle it. I don't know if the protocol would add 10 seconds at once, or warn everyone a few years in advance that a second is going to be added at several different points in time.

    One interesting side note. Most computer systems don't handle leap seconds. Time keeping software slows the computers clock down (since it's important not to have events which have happened (past) in the future (future). This means that if your measuring anything else based on time that measurement is going to be wrong. The theory being that the accuracy in what time it *is* is more important than what time it *was*. The reason I bring this up is that time is something that can be measured with amazing percision, where as other things can't be measured as well. If you can convert one measurement to time you can measure it more percisely. For example, how fast does the ISS move? If you know it's altitude by measuring how long it takes to bounce a light off of it, and you know how long it takes to get from A to B (or from A to A again), you know how far it moved and how long it took to move and voila, speed, all by measuring time. If a leap second got thrown in while you weren't paying attetion during your measurement, your speed will be wrong.

    --
    Darthtuttle
    Thought Architect