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When Bad Software Can Kill

bhoman writes "A wrist computer that tracks and calculates safe diving times and limits for SCUBA divers had a dangerous software bug that may have been covered up by company executives. This SF Chronicle Article details the problem, product, company, and some of the lawsuits. According to the Chron article, company execs tried to cover up and deny the problem for years, but their official website makes it look like they did a voluntary recall."

31 of 354 comments (clear)

  1. I wear an insulin pump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    And it has extensive safety measures built into it to prevent insulin over delivery. Obviously, when you put your life in the hands of a machine, you want to make sure it works, and that when it doesn't, you're notified. If a company is guilty of covering up a problem like this, I hope they get sued out of existence and the people guilty spend some time in jail.

    1. Re:I wear an insulin pump by fidget42 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I know some people will hate to hear this, but, like your insulin pump, maybe these types of devices should be considered medical devices. These things are not simple devides like a heart rate monitor, or bicycle trip computer. When you life is a product's hands you need someone like the FDA looking out for you.

      --
      The dogcow says "Moof!"
    2. Re:I wear an insulin pump by CatPieMan · · Score: 5, Informative

      However, your insulin pump probably has a warning (or the doctor who gave you the instruction on how to use it) that says if you do item A and item B, don't do item C.

      As a certified diver (of about a year and a half), I know that they specifically say that you should never go flying less than 12 hours before you take a plane ride (even a small cesna), and, if you do multiple dives you should wait at least 24 hours.

      This is not to say that the company was not at fault on this one, but, the divers themselves said that they finished the one dive at 10pm for a flight at 6:30am. I know that the absolute minimum is 4 hours (I did a flying after diving study with DAN), but, this is the limit of the dive tables and should NEVER be approached. All of the major certifying organizations will tell you this.

      -CPM

      --
      ---You're all I need, When the water runs deep, You're all I need, Now I cry my soul to sleep -- Collective Soul, Needs
    3. Re:I wear an insulin pump by mindstrm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah.. it's not like divers are taught that you use a computer to augment your diving, and that you should still fill out your dive tables or anything.

      It's not like you aren't supposed to fly on a plane within 24 hours of diving, or anything.

      It's not like every diver knows that the dive computers and dive tables are approximations, and that they can vary drastically for a number of reasons.

      Pushing the absolute limits of what your computer says you are allowed is dumb.

      I'm not saying the company is not responsible to a degree... they absolutely had an obligation to make their gear as safe as possible, and not informing the diving world that their gear had a flaw was totally unacceptable.

      There is a large element of recklessness involved in this situation.

  2. Man... by Azureflare · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This kind of story makes you want to stick your head in the sand and not buy any critical applications from corporations...Unfortunately, for some "leaders of industry," protecting image is more important than the safety of the users. Users are expendable; image is not.

    Fortunately, there are still (I hope) some companies out there that are honest and worry about the safety of their users, particularly in life-critical applications.

    What a slimy guy though, to prevent any notice of the fault from getting out, and firing managers for trying to get the word out! Man. Makes me angry. *Fumes*

    1. Re:Man... by Idarubicin · · Score: 4, Insightful
      This kind of story makes you want to stick your head in the sand and not buy any critical applications from corporations...

      From whom would you buy your critical applications software (and hardware)? What if the guy down the street starts building them in his garage? Would you trust him? Would you trust your life with him?

      Let's say he's very responsive to customer issues. Whenever there's a serious incident, he tracks down the bug in the software, issues a patch, and moves on. Unfortunately, there are a lot of bugs, and a lot of deaths, because he couldn't do proper QA by himself in his garage...

      Well, you say, let him hire some QA people. Maybe a few marketing guys--he has to make a living, after all. Perhaps an engineer or two. Pretty soon, it starts to sound like he's running a *gasp* corporation.

      You're right--directors and executives of companies that suppress reports of safety concerns should be drawn and quartered. To suggest that all corporations are reckless, deceptive, and grossly irresponsible is unfair.

      Then there are some damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't cases. I'm familiar with the Therac-25 accidents in the mid-1980s, but I'm not going to ask the pharmacy for cobalt-60 so I can do home radiotherapy. I have to accept that there is a probability that somewhere, someone screwed up--and my life might be at risk because of it, and there is little (if anything) I can do about it.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
  3. Diving Computers by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There are two major diving computer companies with "original" systems-- UWATEC and SUUNTO. Uwatec (named in the suit) has been known for less conservative systems; they let a diver stay down longer.

    This is attractive to people who do decompression diving, because it means that they don't have to hang out shivering at 5-10m with nothing to see as long at the end of the dive.

    Suunto takes a different approach, has a more conservative model, and makes it easier to force your computer to be more conservative still. Most divers don't use that function, because it is contrary to their desire to have maximum bottom time.

    Proper diving procedures recommend using two different computers, and always relying on the more conservative unit for your decompression limits. (Assuming that you are doing a computer-only dive and not a table dive.) When your life is at stake, you have to assume that equipment has problems, and act accordingly.

    1. Re:Diving Computers by skroz · · Score: 5, Informative

      Agreed. Personally, (and according to PADI recommendations, I believe,) I don't trust computers at all. I have one, yes, but I still trust the tables a whole lot more. Someone recently showed me the wheel, which is apparently easier to screw up than the tables but far more accurate.

      Checks and balances. I use the computer to make sure I'm doing the manual calclations correctly, and the manual calculations to keep the computer honest.

      Then again, I'm strictly a recreational diver. Pros and semi-pros are a completely different story.

      --
      -- Minds are like parachutes... they work best when open.
    2. Re:Diving Computers by lgftsa · · Score: 5, Interesting

      He forgot to mention that the divemaster manually checks everyone's calculations after each dive - and that's after each buddy pair checks each other's calculations first.

      You have to remember that it doesn't matter why you're diving - sport, recreation, pro sport, commercial/industrial - it's all happening in a hazardous environment which the human body has no defences against.

      What the dive tables[1] represent is a boundary to which most humans can push their bodies and not suffer a critical failure(embolism/bends/nitrogen narcosis[2]). Past that boundary, bad things happen. Some people don't reach that boundary before they happen. An identical stress applied to two people may not affect one person, but kill the other.

      [1] Originally created by trial and error(diving and bending) by the US Navy, then becoming more accurate and conservative over time.

      [2] NN is akin to getting high - and getting high is *NOT* a good idea when you're at 20m and breathing through a regulator! People who offer their regulators to passing fish, or loose track of time/depth die.

  4. This is not lethal but ... by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I had a friend in the US who underwent LASIK surgery. He told me that his wife, who was computer-savvy, and was watching him being operated on, saw a Win95 box dedicated to controlling the laser and the mount's stepper motors, and that the operator was repeatedly hitting ENTER to make that recurring message box with a red X disappear. She got worried but the surgery was already under way, so she didn't say anything.

    Fortunately, his LASIK succeeded. Later on however, he went back to the hospital and asked about the operator's behaviour : the response was "well, we were worried at first, but that error message comes back every five minutes and the machine always works anyway".

    Scary ...

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:This is not lethal but ... by Enonu · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Thanks for your insightful post. As somebody who's constantly considering lasic, but fearing that I would be the screwed .5% who's vision would be completely destroyed, this gives me an extra security check that I can perform before I opt for the surgery. I'll be asking:

      * What software do you use?
      * How do I get a safety report on this software for as long as it's been used?
      * How many revisions/updates has it had in the past year?
      * What's the underlying hardware and OS platform it runs on?
      * What kind of training do the operators of this software have to go through.

      If I get ANY BLANK stares or anything less than definitive answers, I'll be going somewhere else. If it's the difference between a place that charges $500 an eye and one that charges $1000 an eye, so be it.

  5. Probability of punishment? by Altima(BoB) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    On the issue of punishing companies for unsafe practices like this, sometimes it's 50/50. Depends how much sway they have. I'm not anti-capitalist über-left cynical jaded moron, but after reading Fast Food Nation recently, I don't have a whole lot of faith in the government's ability to control this kind of activity on a large scale. The government used to have a lot more power over companies since Theodore Roosevelt's time, but the book seems to point the finger at the Reagon era for the change.

    Anyway, it wouldn't have been bad PR to admit a mistake, hell it's only human to make mistakes, even when something is as serious as this. The problem shouldn't have been there at all, but it was caught before anyone was hurt, so they should have just apologised and fixed it. Cover-ups make me sick.

    --
    Yup...
    1. Re:Probability of punishment? by praksys · · Score: 4, Interesting

      More government control doesn't necessarily help that much.

      Some of the most serious problems with defective products in recent history have occured when government was entirely in control. In some cases they screw up because, like business executives, they want to cut costs (providing HIV/AIDS infected blood for example). Sometimes they wind up killing people because they are too cautious. Scandals usually occur when actions kill people, not so much when inaction kills people (delays in FDA approval for new treatments cost thousands of lives).

      If you think this is a problem with Capitalism then you should take a look at the sorts of things that went on in Communist countries like the USSR and still go on in places like Communist China.

      Cover-ups make me sick.

      I think that the only effective remedy for this sort of problem is greater transparency in both business and government. These kinds of problems thend to occur when the people involved think that they can get away with a cover-up.

  6. MOD PARENT DOWN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is slashdot... you have to be an anti-capitalist über-left cynical jaded moron to be here.

    1. Re:MOD PARENT DOWN! by Pharmboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      amen. As a conservative (read: pro business) individual, I am smart enough to know that in order for government to not smother corporations, they must act responsibly, and the punishments for violations of the public trust should be severe. That is the trade off.

      We don't want government getting too involved with businesses, but we want them to kick them in the ass hard when they do something that not only can hurt/maim/kill someone, but also creates an adverse environment for corporations who DO act responsbibly.

      In the end, you are correct: both left and right do not want companies to get away with 'hiding' a recall that could potentially hurt someone. That is not politics, its common sense. If they DID hide this recall or information about flaws in the product, they need to be taken out to the proverbial woodshed, even if it puts them out of business.

      --
      Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
  7. Healthcare Software by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have dealth with Healthcare Software for Pharmacy and Lab systems where a delay or missed processing of an order can be fatal to a patient. One thing I found before leaving that industry was that there was a massive migration of these systems from reliable-high uptime servers (VMS, Unix, Mainframe) to Windows client server enviroment. If you think that the Klez virus is bad in a regular office, try working in an enviroment where it brings down a server critical to patient care.

  8. Exposure. by Renraku · · Score: 4, Informative

    Exposure is a good fictional title about a certain floating-point bug in a mainstream CPU by a popular fictional chip maker. Doesn't matter if the software is perfect if the hardware isn't.

    --
    Job? I don't have time to get a job! Who will sit around and bitch about being broke and unemployed then?
  9. Ethics Lectures by Poofat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've always wondered why the Engineers had to sit through the ethics lectures, and the Comp Sci people didn't. In this day and age, we are relying on automated systems and programs enough so that the people making them should be aware of the consequences of failure.

  10. It's only a matter of time... by craenor · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Until one of the software packages that controls the new-ish electronic traction, suspension and stabilization systems bugs out killing a family of 6 in their SUV.

    The sad part is that for an error like this, multiple people will have to die or risk death before anyone will clue into what the error could be.

  11. Missing Dive Equipment: A HyperIntelligent Dolphin by Nova+Express · · Score: 5, Funny

    Of course they died, because they were missing the single most important piece of dive safety equipment: A hyperintelligent dolphin with miraculous capabilities of interspecies communication.

    Flipper: Ennnhhhhhh! Ennnhhhhhh! (backs up)

    Diver: What's that Flipper? There's a software bug in my wrist diving computer that could lead to my grisly death?

    Flipper: Ennnhhhhhh! Ennnhhhhhh! (backs up)

    Diver: Well thank God you told me! Otherwise I never would have known!

    Flipper: Ennnhhhhhh! Ennnhhhhhh! (back up)

    Diver: What? There's a Russian sub off the coast?

    In short, never go diving without your near-omniscient dolphin.

    --
    Lawrence Person (lawrencepersonh@gmailh.com (remove all "h"s to mail)

    http://www.lawrenceperson.com/

  12. Re:The main flaw of modern computer science. by entrox · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Who are you? The apprentice of "PhysicsGenius"? That would at least explain the pseudo-intellectual gibberish you are writing.

    That being said: what makes you believe that it was a programming error? If you had bothered to read the article instead of spouting some nonsense about mathematics and the "flaw of modern computer science", you would have seen that it was a design error, meaning the specification itself is in error. You can answer "the equivalence" problem, but if the specification is flawed you're going to get flawed code. Garbage in, garbage out.

    --
    -- The plural of 'anecdote' is not 'data'.
  13. Mandatory Open Source for life endangering apps by Crashmarik · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would have to say that the above is the best argument I have ever seen for open source software. If your life is on the line, if you may be damaged by software, then that software sourcecode should be forced to be open source. At the very least it would prevent weasly scumbags from thinking they could cover up their misdeeds, at best it might insure that companies would try and get the product right when peoples lives are at stake.

  14. Blowing it all out of proportion! by beyonddeath · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ok, I work at a dive shop in Toronto Canada, I am a certified rescue diver. No diver should _EVER_ rely strictly upon a dive computer, they should always have a backup depth and pressure gauge. Not only that but they should plan their dive using Naui or padi (or similar) dive tables and follow their plan. If at that point their computer thinks they can stay longer.. thats good but follow your plan anyway, better safe than sorry! The point is, get trained properly, and use ur brain not a computer to do the thinking.

  15. Re:The main flaw of modern computer science. by almaw · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Oooooh, you're so wrong!

    You can prove the correctness of a bit of code, but it's very hard, takes a long time and is highly skilled work. It becomes especially hard if you're trying to do it with a grammar for any real-world programming language and the code is anything approaching complex. For most real world cases it's simply imppossible.

    Mathematical proof of a program's correctness is simply too hard and costs too much money to be applicable in the real world.

    If you did a real CompSci course, such as the one I did at Cambridge University, you'll discover that "CS people" are very very far from being "code nerds". I was supervised by a couple of mathematicians for some courses who could code no Java, C++ or Perl (although one of them knew much ML). Proper Computer Science folk are seriously academic and embrace the mathematical side of the field. You can't write an optimising compiler without doing so, to name but one thing.

    People don't "ignore this issue" - it's just virtually inapplicable to real world problems. Exteme programming is not "management rubbish". If you'd ever actually read a book about it and tried some of the methodology you'd appreciate that. You forget that the driving force for commerical products is pretty much how much it costs, against the feature set and speed. Provided it doesn't crash very often, that's Good Enough. Unless you're the sort of type who doesn't pay for Windows, I'd suspect most people would rather have a version for $100 that crashes once a month than a version for $1000 that crashes only once a year.

    Get down off your pretentious high horse and get a clue.

  16. Looks like the "padi dive tables" are your friend by zakezuke · · Score: 4, Informative

    I don't dive much, but I still have my padi dive table.

    "For flying up to 8,000 feet after diving: Less then one hour TBT (Total bottom time) , wait 4 hours; less then 4 hours TBT, wait 12 hours." *PADI tive tables (C) 1983

    [where TBT = RNT Residual nitrogen time) + Actual Bottom time ]

    I dont have my padi manual onhand to estimate how long the folks were down as my table doesn't cover flight, only covers up to 24hours reccomended desaturation time, and doesn't cover this Nitrox stuff.

    http://www.stud.ntnu.no/~playboy/diving/diving.h tm l

    My old PADI book wouldn't cover Nitrox either, so if I were to use it, I would have no choice but to accept their information as fact, or buy new tables.

    --
    There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
  17. My favourite story about dangerous bugs... by sopuli · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The story has been around for a while (core memory...), and I'm not sure whether it's an UL or not, but here goes:


    Six or seven years ago, I worked with a fellow with the very British
    name of Ken Appleby. He had a Spitfire, I had my '74 B, and we used
    to motor out to Pickwick's Pub and throw darts after work on occasion.


    Ken used to work for Lucas in the UK, specifically for a division
    of Lucas that did military electronics. My favorite of his stories
    was about the time he had been working on a computer-controlled
    torpedo. It used magnetic core memory to store the programs, which
    had the advantage of being very non-volatile as well as not susceptible
    to EMP discharge.


    So Ken got to ride on the boat for the first test of the torpedo that
    used the computer with his program in it. Somewhere out in the North
    Sea, on an R. N. cutter, Ken and his crew launched the first ever run
    of this new weapon, and Ken learned a new respect for debugging...


    The program was supposed to make the torpedo shoot off the boat, dive
    to a depth at which it couldn't be easily detected, then circle
    toward the target, climb to striking depth, and hit the target. There
    were on-board sensors to detect sea level, and the torpedo was supposed
    to travel at a preset distance below sea level, with constant feedback
    keeping it on track.


    Somehow, somewhere, Ken had multiplied one of the 3D coordinates by
    a negative number, and this error soon propagated through the
    transformation matrix (the mathematical construct that models 3D
    space), with predictable results.


    Within instants of hitting the water, the torpedo -- instead of
    sinking out of visible range -- blasted up and out from the water in
    a great silver fountain, then continued skipping across the surface of
    the blue like some sort of deranged wingless flying fish. Worse yet,
    instead of circling toward the target, it circled all right, but began
    to return to the ship that launched it. Fortunately it was not armed,
    but they still detonated the self-destruct on it rather than let it
    slice through their ship at 50 knots or whatever rate it travelled.
    Because of the non-volatile core memory, Ken was able to debug the
    program from what the Royal Navy frogmen could recover from it, and
    he fixed the problem for Rev 2.0.


    But I must admit that the image of the torpedo, splashing happily
    above the surface of the water like an aroused porpoise, is one that
    returns to me in idle moments such this. What else would a Lucas
    torpedo do but try to fly?

  18. Scuba dive the right way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting



    I had a scuba instructor for my first certification, Di Dieter, who had experience diving with Coustou (hope I spelled that right), he also dove the Andrea Doria on several occasions, and basically has been around. I'm sure he's had thousands of dives, perhaps approching or even exceeding the ten thousand mark, under his belt (close to forty years of diving, multiple daily dives, several hundred dives a year, including a grueling dive schedule with Coustou, and he's a dive instructor). He's a no-nonsense guy with a good dose of common sense, and has little patience with screwups.

    He did it right. He taught us to dive the navy dive tables, one up, one over, plus a safety margin. This was when the recreational tables had just come out. My friend and I dove for some years after that, and never had a problem. At that time, dive computers were out for a few years, and all the dive shops, through their "train with really expensive gear so you buy it" training programs had all their students diving with computers throughout their training.

    Di Dieter did it right. He trained us with the old fashioned, and RELIABLE mechanical guages, waterproof clocks/watches, and tables on waterproof material. No computers.

    While computers can extend dive times because you don't spend all your time at maximum depth, you also increase risk in doing so. Whether you decide to use the dive computers or not, you should ALSO have the mechanical pressure and depth guages, and manually calculate your dives.

    Solely relying on a computer for diving is sheer stupidity and absolutely reckless. The minimal increase in bottom time is not worth the risk of an embolism, or the bends, which can be a debilitating condition for the rest of your life, or even fatal.

    Do it right. Manually calculate your dive, and rely on your brain, not a computer, to stay safe and not risk your life. Bring that fancy computer with you if you want, but don't trust it over basic guages.

    And Di, if you're reading this, this is the dude with the 43 lbs of lead on his weight belt! Hope you're still diving. And enjoying life. Peace.

  19. Uh, have you ever used Z? by arevos · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Attacked by mathematical methods?! I've just spent another 4 hours revising Z, a horribly evil formal language designed to almost exactly the system you propose. Unfortunately, it doesn't work, at least not for the vast majority of software programmed.

    I don't know about most other CS students, but the reason I despise mathematical formal proofs in computer is because they are infeasible, and, frankly, you're more likely to make a mistake with the math then you are with the code, once the project gets big enough.

    Have you ever used formal methods such as Z to prove your software? Believe me, it's not something you'd do willingly. The only possible uses for mathematically proved software is with simple, but important code, like in an ATM, for example. Anything larger and it all falls apart.

    My point is that mathematical methods aren't the answer. Even my lecturer on this subject, who co-wrote the language, would use such techniques on a large software project. You'd have to be insane.

  20. Dive computers = false sense of security by Dolphinzilla · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In my experience as a diver for the last 15 years, I have seen many divers who rely on dive computer technology to get closer to the edge and get more bottom time, longer dives, deeper dives, etc. The original "paper" dive tables were based on the experience and testing by U.S Navy diver's and are VERY conservative. The advent of widespread use of dive tables for recreational diving resulted in diving being a lot safer. The advent of computerized tables has promoted a false sense of security to the diver (kind of like having a radar detector in car - you might avoid more tickets, but you may speed more also) - I myself have dove profiles I would never have attempted based on the dive tables but the computer "said" it was OK so we did it. Here is a story about a dive computer specifically designed to be used with mixed gas diving (nitrox) adding yet another element of risk over regular diving. I think that dive computers should come with a waiver that says "if you trust you life to this device you do so at your own risk". Based on what the story said I would never have gone flying so soon after diving using regular dive tables - they threw the dice and lost, and now they want to pretend that what they were doing was risk free and the dive computer caused all the problems - Its nice that the dive computer maker is recalling the units to make them more conservative. Too bad those divers didn't buy the "common sense" computer too.

  21. Diving Computers vs. Dive Tables. by fmaxwell · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Don't forget that, for years, the PADI dive tables were Navy Dive Tables. For a very good history of dive tables, click here. Dive tables are based on the same theories and technology as dive computers. The biggest difference is that they are more prone to human error than are dive computers.

    It's great to say "plan your dive and dive your plan", but people are fallible. Your buddy may go a little deeper than he/she intended. You may, because of narcosis, get confused about the maximum time or depth. You or they might have problems that slightly delay your ascent. If you plan to go to 90 feet and you drop a video camera to the bottom at 110, unless you're Bill Gates, you're probably going to go get the camera and cut the dive short. So much for the plan. (I've been a diver for over fifteen years. I've seen everything from divers getting entangled in wrecks to outright equipment failures. Don't reply with some macho explanation of how you can foresee and prevent every error. You can't and if you believe that you can, then you need to stop diving until your ego and testosterone stop affecting your reasoning.)

    My buddy and I each bought dive computers at the same time. I made it a point to choose dive computers from different manufacturers so that a sofware flaw in one would not put us at undue risk. We stick close together and always use the more conservative of the two computer readings. Had one of us had a UWATEC computer, we would have noticed the problem immediately when comparing the two computers.

  22. Re:Computer and dive tables by instarx · · Score: 4, Insightful
    But diving close to those bounds is not "dumb" it is simply using your equipment to the limits you are comfortable with.

    Being comfortable and being dumb are two very different things. Pushing the absolute limit set by your dive computer IS DUMB, and if you are comforatable with that then it is VERY dumb. You give the reasons not to push the limits yourself. 1)Every person is different, 2)the dive tables that the PC programming is based upon is an approximation, 3)as is the programming itself.

    You have a pretty fine-tuned bullshit detector if you can tell the difference safe and not safe when pushing the limits of a dive computer. One problem with this particular computer was that it gave the right results MOST of the time, but in certain situations it gave very wrong results (short, frequent dives). No one's bullshit meter would have detected the problem with these dive computers that gave reasonable results 99% of the time and then totally screwed you the other 1%. Neither is there any way you could have "researched" the algorithms in this particular computer to determine its accuracy because the error came from a hidden programmning error. So I think we return to the original idea - pushing the limits of any dive computer is very dumb.

    The bigger issue here for /.ers is that because of its digital readout too much importance was probably given to the dive computer's implied precision. I'm sure it said it something like it was safe to fly after 6 hours and 18 minutes. Digital readouts imply greater accuracy than is often actually present, whether it is regarding a safe number of minutes to fly displayed on a dive computer or milliseconds until your cake is ready on the microwave. Placing one's life on th eline using this implied but non-existent accuracy is very dumb. All that apparent accuracy is totally useless given your original parameters were wild-ass guesses and approximations to begin with.