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Delays and Problems for India's New CDMA Network

securitas writes "The NY Times and Bloomberg are reporting that Qualcomm is touting an expected 6 million Indian subscribers using CDMA by year end. But the facts seem to fly in the face of that with Reliance experiencing technical problems and delays with the launch of India's first CDMA network, covered on Slashdot late last year. Part of the problem is that the GSM operators won't allow Reliance's traffic on their networks, not to mention a court challenge and no approval by regulators. Is this just a hopeful diversion from the loss of the Iraq contract, where MCI chose GSM? How does a country where the per capita annual income is $390-$420 (depending on whose number you use) expect people other than the elite to afford mobile phone service, even if the handsets and service charges are heavily subsidized? Forbes discussed the problem of affordable mobile phone service in Africa where incomes are similar. Is this another wireless/fibre optic bubble akin to the one we saw a few years ago?"

24 of 247 comments (clear)

  1. GSM = cheap? by Xenna · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't know how they do it but I've been to many poor countries where lots of people seemed to be using cell phones. Maybe it's because the GSM market is very competitive that the services can be so cheap.

    In Europe it is rare for a 14 year old kid not to have a GSM. I understand that the situation in the US is quite different.

    BTW: the Forbes article that is linked doesn't even contain teh word 'phone'!

    1. Re:GSM = cheap? by dackroyd · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Could be something to do with the fact that they can share the mobile phone.

      The Economist has run a couple of stories on how development agencies can give micro-loans (~$100) to poor people in Africa and India, to allow them to buy a phone. That person then charges other people in their village a small fee to use the phone.

      Result: massive improvement in quality of life for villagers as they can phone up to get day-to-day market prices to get the best prices for the foor they produce, can get medical assistance over the phone, can organise work etc.

      Once a phone is shared between 30 people, the cost for each of them really does come down quite a bit....

      --
      "Free software as in beer, copy protection as in racket" - Telsa Gwynne
    2. Re:GSM = cheap? by fstanchina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      American products? Such as, say, Microsoft Windows? ;)

      Indeed, if we Europeans stopped developing our own technology and relied on US's, it would become truly inexpensive... in the US. Here, I'm not so sure.

      GSM is cheap because everyone and his dog has a cellphone here, and that's because it offered cheap rates, useful services and good coverage from the beginning. Add to the mix the "status symbol" value cell phones had in the early days and the teenagers' addiction to SMSing (the best example of an useful service which was perfectly tailored to the market) and you're set for success. I don't know why cell phones are not so widely used in the US: AFAIK it's not for technical reasons because CDMA is widely believed to be technically superior, but we know this means absolutely nothing. Customers want *services*, they don't care about the best radio interface.

      And, as someone already told you, GSM is not mandated by anyone except the market and it is not subsidized by anyone except the customers.

      And finally, just to add my own piece of biased opinion, I prefer the European governments' socialist bend to the American government's fascist bend.

    3. Re:GSM = cheap? by mn2346 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You need to think this in a another way. When there is NO landline built then skipping the wires alltogether and moving directly to cellular (standard is not important in this example) will save the telecom componies money AND is faster to build. Think about it, drag a base station in town centre and serve 500 people ~immediately when switched on (or some other figure...) when making the similar landline connection will require 500 housecalls and wires routed to all those houses. What the companies are chanrging is another issue and basically nothing to do with location or borders. When money is tight and I mean really tight, not just unable to go to movies to see Matrix tight. Phone is not a fashion statement but rather something to be valued. Data speeds are terrible but only compared to highspeed connections. If money is NOT an option use other technology...

  2. Why go CDMA when G3 is being rolled out? by nounderscores · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In australia G3 phones with graphical full colour web surfing, video conferencing and PDA features are being rolled out. Why go with plain vanilla CDMA?

    Why not fly if you're having trouble walking? It uses different muscles.

    1. Re:Why go CDMA when G3 is being rolled out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Excuse me, I already have a Sanyo 4900, which is a Qualcom CDMA 3G phone.

      I have a graphical display, full color, web browser, java runtime engine (can run any midlet -- including telent, jabber, vnc.. you get the rift), on a high speed network (Sprint -- vision unlimited -- 15 bukz per month), can send and recive pics (not to mention pr0n), play midi .. etc etc..

      AND BEST OF ALL.

      I can hook this puppy up to my linux box using an USB cable .. dial #777 (ppp) and get a fast connection (i'm getting at least 10kbps with peaks of 60-70). Btw that's bytes per second. And my cable charges on the fly.

      3G has been rolled for a long time.

  3. What the market wants by smittyoneeach · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is a phone that cares not a fig for this CDMA/GSM question.
    How impossible can it be to engineer such a Philospher's Phone that will turn these leaden gadgets to gold?

    --
    Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    1. Re:What the market wants by Sigurd_Fafnersbane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not impossible but not economical either. It would be a little bit like making a car that will run on diesel as well as gasoline.

      Or a CPU that will be both RISC and CISC to site another popular holy war of years past.

      A CDMA rf is almost by definition more expensive to build since it is operating in full duplex (Meaning the receiver and the transmitter is active at the same time). If you want to add a TDMA RF in parallel the cost would increase even more. Not was is called for in a cost consious market.

  4. Re:GSM = working by leonbrooks · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Many Indians - so I am told by my oft-resident expert - use mobile 'phones because it is reasonable to expect them to work, which is more than can usually be said for the landlines.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  5. Re:Poor premise about mobile phone by stoops · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You guys in the US should revolt. It is disgusting that both caller and receiver should have to pay for a conversation

    actually, the caller doesn't even have to pay when calling a cell, as long as its a local call (unless he's calling from a cell himself).

    there's a simple reason why only charging the caller in north america won't work: cell phones use the same area codes as land lines. thus, there would be no way for the caller to tell whether he's making a free call to a land line or a paid call to a cell phone. to get around this problem, all cell phones would have to be issued new area codes. and that would be pretty chaotic.

  6. Copper by Detritus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A friend who used to work in Pakistan told me that they had continual problems with some of the more industrious local residents "recycling" sections of their land-based cable links. Every time a link went down, they would send out a truck to check for missing cable segments.

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    1. Re:Copper by Aceticon · · Score: 2, Interesting
      This is common in many poor countries. Check the price of copper, and check the average salary in some of these countries... For many, "recycling" phone cable is a much better source of income than any legal work they would have a chance of getting.


      Which might make fibre cheaper in the long run ...

  7. Not this again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Most of the world uses a caller-pays-per-minute model for billing phone service. The downside of this is that the caller never knows how much he's going to be paying if he calls a mobile number (or a number routed through a high-charging national phone monopoly).

    In the US, the most common model for local calls is a flat rate for unlimited minutes. The companies here tried the per-minute model, and found that customers prefer a constant monthly bill where they don't have to worry about how long they're on the phone. With this model, you can't tack on an extra surcharge for calling a mobile phone. So the mobile phone owner has to pay for it.

  8. I know the answer... by GrodinTierce · · Score: 3, Interesting

    *waves hand in air*
    Just invade India and put Rep. Darrell Issa on it and India'll be CDMAed in no time.

    For those unaware, Issa is trying to force CDMA into Iraq by passing a bill in Congress, despite the fact that the rest of the Middle East uses GSM.

    --


    Tierce
    Who sponsors your feelings?
  9. Mobile telephony: not for the elite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As another poster already pointed out, 1% of a billion is a lot more than the cell phone users in a more developed country. But there are other factors as well.. Per capita incomes report the average income of a person in the country. In India, as in the majority, if not all countries, there is a huge disparity between rich and poor. Therefore, you have many millions living below or on the poverty line while there are quite a few who can definitely afford a cell phone

    In my country, situated close to India, and with similar economic conditions, the landlines are owned by a monopoly (yes, a foreign company has a stake in it as does the government, but its still a monopoly).. Price gouging is common, in fact, no one even bothers commenting and we're light years behind in infrastructure, pricing as a result.. (It can set you back more than half your monthly wages to stay online, for example).. However, from its inception, mobile phone companies were allowed, no, encouraged, to compete, and as a result, the consumer has benefited tremendously. Prices for call charges are dropping, and with a recently ratified agreement, incoming calls may become totally free.. So, small wonder that more people are opting for mobile phones as opposed to landlines for their communications..

    Add to that the fact that while people are limited (or see no use for) more than 1 landline or two at the most, it is hardly uncommon for families to have 2-3 cellphones.. Any benefit that mobile telephony can offer that would force the fixed line operators to sit up and take notice, IMHO, is something that a lot of people would root for..

  10. Re:GSM = working by The+Cydonian · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Depends. In my hometown Hyderabad, landlines delivered by the private Tata Indicom are usually more reliable than their GSM (or CDMA) counterparts.

    I won't say the same thing for the rural areas though; on a recent visit, I went to a village that's about 200 or so kilometres away from the nearest town and was surprised that my mobile worked. The landlines, on other hand, are often difficult to maintain; the telephone exchange is about 50 kilometres away, and the repairman comes every week.

    The point I'm trying to make:- the Indian telecom market is now extremely fragmented. Some states have world-class telephone infrastructure, while others are still in the Dark Ages.

  11. Re:Per Capita Income by The+Cydonian · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Very good point, only tarnished by the fact that per capita income is apparently calculated by taking an average of the GDP over the population. Actually, I'm not sure of the exact formula [my training is in CS, not Econ ;-) ], but the point is, per capita income probably does not depend on declared incomes.

    A better way to explain the discrepancy is by considering regional clusters; states such as Maharashtra, Delhi, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh have, in the past 10 years, shown a SGDP growth similar to what you would have seen in the so-called "Tiger" economies in South East Asia. (Indeed, Maharashtra was considered a more competitive environment than the whole of India in a recent study; lost the link, sorry about that). While at the same time, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Bihar and others house 45% of India's poverty, and contribute the maximum to India's population growth.

    That is to say, while you hail cabs in Chennai and Hyderabad by calling them up on the cabbie's mobile phones, you can easily get mugged and kidnapped in Patna, possibly by an elected Member of the Legislative Assembly.

    Welcome to 21st century India, we're like this only.

  12. From a subscriber's point of view by raj2569 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am a subscriber of Reliance phone and my expierience in one word is confusion . I am yet to receive my first bill and have no idea how much it is going to be. I had a BSNL mobile and has not decided to ditch it yet. I have also not given my Relience number to any one. All incoming calls are to my GSM mobile, which incidently is also free.

    Regarding interconnectivity, I did not had any problem calling any one after they have started billing. The call clarity is excellent. I have no problems with the range also. I recently had a trip to Goa via road. (Trivandrum -> Mangalore -> Goa -> Bangalore -> Madurai -> Trivandrum) and except in forests and other deserted places Relience has range, But BSNL was even better, and I would say Relience is a close second.

    The Video and Audio are working as advertised. I have a low end monochrome phone so cannot comment on the quality, but I guess it should be ok. They have a menu option called R-World and it has video audio and lots of other services.

    They also have a dialup internet service where phone is connected to computer via usb cable and connects to net at 115,200 bps. The cable costs around Rs. 2000. In the demo I saw they used a dialer in XP and connects to an unknown number. The sales guy put his own number in the phone no field. Other than that it is all standard. (TCP/IP and PAP) I am hoping to get it working on Linux once I get hold of it. And things gets even better when I get a Sharp Zaurus and I am online any where in India :)

    They do not have roming. They have some thing called TSS (Temp subscription service) Where I have t o dial *444 (etc...) from a new location and I get a new number. It is also told that i will be reachable in my old number also. But have not tested this. The customer call center is help full and reachable.

    raj

    PS: did not check for spellings, pl overlook the errors :(

    --
    Sarovar.org Hosting for open source projects in Indi
  13. Clarifications by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The per capita GDP in India is $520. Measured
    in terms of purchasing power parity, it is $2300.
    As a thumb rule, roughly 30% of the population is
    above the mean.

    China is around 50% ahead of India.

    Land lines in India are not dysfunctional (unlike
    China). They are available and they work. GSM
    phones are winning because they are *cheaper*.
    (Land lines invovle dealing stinking monopolies).

    Mobile phones in India have grown at an average of
    85% per year from 1994 onwards. Now that there is
    competition between GSM and CDMA, hopefully prices
    will drop fruther and generate even faster growth.

  14. Re:Poor premise about mobile phone by Malc · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think that's it's disgusting that somebody's choice to have a mobile phone should cost other people money. Ridiculous. The North American market would never accept that, the only time time they pay to call is when it's long distance.

    Personally I refuse to call people in Europe on their mobile phones. I'm not paying for them to have the convenience of having a mobile phone. It's rude of them to expect me to.

    As it turns out, mobile phones don't seem that expensive here in Canada. Most people buy a package of so many minutes per month of free air time. Within that limit, local calls are *free*. Often calls at the weekend or evenings don't even count towards that limit. Going over quota isn't unreasonable either compared with what Europeans pay per call anyway. Long distance and international calls are at the same rate as my landline (currently CAD$0.07/min to UK, or about £0.03). SMS texting is unheard of because it's not needed. Who would want to use that when they can call locally for free? SMS text messages aren't that cheap, but still remain popular in Europe because they're cheaper than voice calls! Ridiculous. Here people pick an airtime package that suits their needs, and the prices seem reasonable.

    You guys in Europe should revolt. It's disgusting that caller should pay for the receiver's life style choice.

  15. Some points by be-fan · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The $390 per capita income thing is a bit misleading. One of the key things about living in foreign countries is that stuff is *cheap*. Labor is cheap, raw materials are cheap, etc. So even though the currency is converted into US dollars, it isn't representative of an equivilent amount by any means. When my dad was in Liberia, he changed $10, bought lunch every day for a week, and still had change left over. Whenever I go to Thailand, I feel really weird tipping the bell-boy a quarter, which is an enitrely reasonable tip there. Because of this discrepency in actual costs, its likely that rolling out these networks costs signficantly less in India than it does here, in terms of labor and materials costs.

    PS> This discrepency is also the reason that having to import stuff from other countries is so harmful to the economies of these countries --- the cost of foreign products is very out-of-line with the prices in the local economy.

    --
    A deep unwavering belief is a sure sign you're missing something...
  16. Phones in the 3rd World by fm6 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I've been to many poor countries where lots of people seemed to be using cell phones. Maybe it's because the GSM market is very competitive that the services can be so cheap.
    That's probably a factor. There are others:
    • In many developing countries, the landline network is hopeless: lack of capital to expand it, can't afford to serve rural areas, corrupt government owners don't bother maintaining it, etc. A cell network leapfrogs over these difficulties.
    • In some countries, providers find it profitable to sell service without a monthly minimum. That's because they can make big bucks on SMS text messages. But perhaps this falls under "GSM is more competitive". Plus the fact that GSM/SMS does a better job of supporting text messages than CDMA, especially between different providers.
    • Even where people can't afford individual cell phones, shared access can be a profitable business.
    I have to wonder what they were thinking of, starting a CDMA network in India. Supposedly CDMA squeezes more calls into a given tower than GSM. But does that give any incentive for GSM users to switch?

    Indeed I think/hope that GSM will eventually take over in the US. Its advantages weren't so obvious when cells were just for voice calls. But now that wireless connectivity is all the rage, the shortcomings of CDMA and TDMA, where you have to stop and establish a connection every time you want to go online, will be unavoidable.

  17. Re:Poor premise about mobile phone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Many people point to the fact that both the caller and the reciever pay for calls in US and say this is bad, while I agree this is not the perfect situation, I don't agree that it is necessarily worse than Europe's aproach. In Europe the caller always pays by the minute even if he is calling the house two doors down. American's would revolt if someone tried to tell them that had to do that.

    I have been teaching English now in Poland for the last 8 months 90% of my students between the ages of 11 and 16 have a mobile that they bring to class. (I often find myself taking away a phone for the remainder of class period because they just can't stop playing with them.)

    Another difference between phone usage here is that I know almost no one in the US who actually gets excited about SMS. I just don't see why not just call the person and tell them the two sentences it is going to take me twice as long to type, but most Polish people will send 10 SMSes instead of just calling the person and having a 5 minute conversation.

    Europeans say they wouldn't put up with having to pay to recieve calls on ther mobiles, but Americans wouldn't put up with having to pay for local phone calls on land lines (which constitute a majority of phone calls anyway).

    But there do exist companies like Cricket (though the service is often kind of flaky) that provide mobiles with free incoming calls within calling areas. And the service here is getting better.

  18. Re:Poor premise about mobile phone by XSforMe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The system here in Mexico the system is setup in a PPP-AAA-NNNNNNNNN. In Mexico PPP is either 001 (internationa LD), 01 (national LD), 044 (pay per call to a local phone) or a set of other services. AAA is the local area code and NNNNNNNNN is the local phone number. if you want to dail to a sandard phone, you ommit the PPP-AAA part. I was undert the impresion that the Mexican and American dailing were very similar

    Any extra prefixes on the front indicat either a toll call or an international call.
    Which is precisley what we are trying to do. A call to pay per call phone is a toll call.

    For years there was plenty of equipment out there that couldn't handle the new numbers.
    Maybe now with the new equipment this would not be as hard to implement

    I am not a telco engineer, I only know that the Mexican system was set up in a very similar way as the American one. The alternative would be to change gazillion of already in use phone numbers. I think it is worth the effort. The rewards are evident. In Mexico there are already more cell phones than land phones.

    --
    My other OS is the MCP!