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Will Humanoid Robots Take All the Jobs by 2050?

Anonymous writes "Marshall Brain (the guy who started HowStuffWorks) has published an article claiming that robots will take half the jobs in the U.S. by 2050. Some of his predictions: real computer vision systems by 2020, computers with the CPU power and memory of the human brain by 2040, completely robotic fast food restaurants in 2030 (which then unemploy 3.5 million people), etc. It's a pretty astounding article. My question: How many people on /. think he is right (or even close - let's say he's off by 10 or 20 years)? Or is he full of it?"

31 of 1,457 comments (clear)

  1. In the future. . . by Robert+Hopson · · Score: 2, Funny

    there will be robots.

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    Please, no more mod points. I only abuse them.
  2. fast food workers by noah_fense · · Score: 4, Funny


    I thought all our fast food workers already were robots.
    -n

    1. Re:fast food workers by grub · · Score: 3, Funny


      I thought all our fast food workers already were robots.

      They are.

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      Trolling is a art,
  3. But.. by frodo+from+middle+ea · · Score: 2, Funny

    The question is will the robots be imported from India ?

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    for the last time people, I am "frodo from middle eaRTH", not "middle eaST".
  4. Robot workers are all well and good by billmaly · · Score: 2, Funny

    But, when I take Elroy and Judy to school, I'll want to do so in a round flying car. Come see me about the flying car, then we'll talk robots.

    No, Mr. Spacely, I'm not posting to /.. I'm hard at work sticking it to Cogswell!!!

  5. Yes, but even worse... by Shoten · · Score: 5, Funny

    By 2060, half of THOSE jobs will be outsourced to robots in India!

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  6. Not All Jobs by reallocate · · Score: 2, Funny

    Positions on the Slashdot editorial staff will be filled by six rhesus monkeys walking on the keyboards of an equal number of Pentium XVII boxes running the newest Debian release, which will be release 3.2

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  7. I, for one, welcome our new robot masters! by jjh37997 · · Score: 2, Funny

    I, for one, welcome our new robot masters. I'd like to remind them that as a trusted online personality, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground titanium mines.

    But seriously, any work that can be done better by a machine should be done by a machine and not a man, otherwise the man becomes a machine.

    One of the biggest problems in the future will most likely be finding creative and fulfilling jobs for the masses. That is until the machines take over and kill us all.

  8. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Kintanon · · Score: 5, Funny

    Fuck the whole *open up new jobs* thing. I want to be able to buy my own humanoid robot and then have it go to work for me while I get paid. THAT is labor saving right there. Make ownership of robots past a certain complexity level illegal for businesses, reserve the right for individuals. Then you can save up for your very own robot that will go to work for you, freeing up valuable loafing around time.

    Kintanon

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  9. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Chuck+Milam · · Score: 2, Funny

    "...who wants to make idle chit-chat with some register jockey?"

    That, my friend, depends entirely on how attractive she is. Don't tell me: You've never played "Rate the Register Girl"?

    I take a pass by the registers on the way in, then rank my top three choices by register/aisle number. If I'm going to suffer the pain of shopping, I might as well make it a tad more enjoyable by flirting and chatting up the cute cashier.

  10. interacting with robots by anonymous+loser · · Score: 5, Funny
    People don't like interacting with robots

    Yeah, no kidding. Robots are always boozing, carousing, gambling, and saying things like "bite my shiny metal ass". Who needs that kind of grief?

  11. My job!? by Cornflake917 · · Score: 5, Funny

    What??? I can't get an IT job because they are all going to India?

    Oh well, I guess I'll just go flip burgers.

    WHAT!!??? Robots have taken THOSE jobs!?
    DAMNIT!!!

  12. Re:maybe 100 years.... by scotch · · Score: 4, Funny

    Because robots are lazy no-good techno-molestors who can't be trusted? If you're going to build robots, humans are the right ones to do it.

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    XML causes global warming.
  13. Re:maybe 100 years.... by pe1rxq · · Score: 2, Funny

    customer: Two burgers with extra ketchup and musterd please

    HAR(Heuristic Algorithmic Restaurant)9000: I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't let have that....

    Jeroen

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  14. McDonalds by FrostedWheat · · Score: 4, Funny

    I've seen things you people wouldn't believe.

    Um, I'd like a Big Mac and a coke.

    Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion....

    Ok ... and a Quarter Pounder meal....

    All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

    That's very nice .. and a McFlurry please.

    Time to die. Oh, and would you like fries with that? *evil smile*

  15. Breaking news from BCE 7000 by Catskul · · Score: 5, Funny

    Not so live from the time warped news room:

    This just in, Breaking news from BCE 7000 ... An anonymous "Curch of technology" terrorest has elimnated half the jobs of rock wielding nail pounders by inventing the hammer. Experts predict that this will spell the end of the world. Spokesman for the ROWNPAW (ROck Wielding Nail Pounders Association of the World) had this to say: "The ROWNPAW will not stand for this Coperate greed coming out of the Curch of technology, We plan to strike to prevent adoptation of this job killing device. Its unfair, and this 'hammer' has no regard for ROWNPAW workers who work their butt off to earn their keep" The church of Technology has denied being greedy and one church spokesman had this to say: " Its just seemed like a good idea... thats all".

    Breaking news from CE (AD) 1455 ... Germany lost 75% percent of its manuscript workforce today as inventor Johann Gutenberg unvailed his massive project to print bibles using moveable text. An Industry leader of the MIGOG (Manuscript Industry Group Of the Germany) issued a statement: "These printing presses are merely tools of copyright pirates. All these people want to do is illeagally print Bibles and sell them on the black market. We plan to subpenea the Reformation for the names off all offenders." The industry leader also made mention of the pending patent lawsuit from a Chinese group with a substancial patent portfolio, supposedly including a patent for a movable type machine. Nastrodamas has issued a cryptic statement presumeably that implies that the end of the world is near.

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    Im not here now... Im out KILLING pepperoni
  16. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Frequanaut · · Score: 5, Funny


    Good god man, what are you saying? I for one welcome our new robot masters with open arms.

  17. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Toasty981 · · Score: 2, Funny

    What's worse is when you try this tactic--and who doesn't--and an ugly slob takes over the till before you get there.

    At my local supermarket, one of the guys there is about 40, and talks to me all the time about videogames ever since he heard me talking about PS2 or something to one of my friends while waiting in line once. He wears Pokemon badges on his vest, and about pees his pants when talking about how far he's gotten in the newest RPG. Oh really, you picture your imaginary dwarf in your imaginary world looks like Lucky from my box of Lucky Charms? That's fantastic!

  18. Re:maybe 100 years.... by MajorCatastrophe · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...And one more thing - I read slashdot too you asshole.

  19. In the present... by Ingolfke · · Score: 2, Funny

    robots are attacking the elderly and stealing their medicine! Once they have you in their iron grip there is no escape. Let's focus on the problem at hand people, not some crazy speculation about what the robots might do next.

    But... if we must speculate I have to say that our current scorched earth strategy is brilliant. Hopefully by reducing the # of jobs available and moving them around to the remotest reaches of the planet the robots will lose interest and will stick to stealing old people's medicine.

    We must also immediately pass legislation that makes it illegal to use the elderly as bait for the robots. Even clones of the elderly.

  20. Re:maybe 100 years.... by joshmccormack · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...and robots to talk on /. about it. whoa....

  21. Fast Food Robots? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    What's the point in having a fast food robot serving you if the food still sucks?

  22. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Xerithane · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ive seen spooky video of Industrial-Robot manufacturing facilities in Japan with THOUSANDS of robots assembling their own.

    Repeat after me: anime isn't real..

    Thank you.

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  23. Re:This is already happening... by RedK · · Score: 5, Funny

    Computers control the actual braking on your ABS brakes.
    Man, those now out of work ABS brake workers must be pretty pissed off. What job can a 3 inch tall guy get ?

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  24. You mean... by TClevenger · · Score: 2, Funny
    those people working in my local McDonald's aren't robots? I suppose next you're telling me I'm supposed to get a smile and friendly customer service.

  25. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Then in 150 years the spoiled American robots who will get an hour a day of down-time, premium oil and regular maintanence, will be replaced with Indian robots who work 24 hours a day, grind along on half the oil, and work till their gears crumble.

    Poor little American robots. Have we no humanity?

  26. Obligatory Simpsons Quote by barryfandango · · Score: 2, Funny

    'The wars of tomorrow will be fought by tiny robots on the tops of very high mountains. Your job will be to build and maintain these robots.'

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    In all matters of opinion, our adversaries are insane. -Oscar Wilde
  27. I like things just the way they are. by osjedi · · Score: 2, Funny

    This scares me. I mean it's going to happen. Look at how all the year-2000 predictions came true. All the girls love my flying car (it's an old classic model) and I've got a great under-sea view of the lagoon from the living room of my home in the Coral Valley underwater bio-sphere. I really like my job doing moon tours - I mean it could be worse. At least I don't work at a rayon-undergarment recycling center. Yep, I hope things stay just the way they are now.

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  28. Re:maybe 100 years.... by Tackhead · · Score: 4, Funny
    > ...and robots to talk on /. about it. whoa....

    What makes you think robots to talk on /. about it whoa...

  29. Re:maybe 100 years.... by wavedeform · · Score: 2, Funny

    How do you feel about robots to talk on /. about it?

  30. Tommy the robot by Analogy+Man · · Score: 2, Funny

    If the image in people's minds is an android like tin man with a spatula in its hand, this would be pretty sophisticated. An automated hamburger preparing device tailored to that purpose would be a simple proposition to implement using 1976 controls. The barriers would be cultural

    It would be refreshing to not have to watch some pimply kid try to figure out what coins to take out of the drawer to make 48 cents (after the register computed $5.00 - $4.52.

    If ignorance is bliss why is everyone so damn pissed off all the time?

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