US Shrugs Off World's IP Address Shortage
Clifton Griffin writes "C|Net has an article stating that the U.S. isn't making the push for IPv6 like others are even though the networking appliances and operating systems are ready for it. It goes on to explain that North America has 70% of the Internet address space and that there is a total of 1 billion IPs left, which may sound like a lot but considering we now have Internet-enabled cellphones and VoIP, it really isn't."
Americans Fear Change...
Have you ever actually seen an IPv6 Address?? No more memorizing IP addresses!
~.Evanrude
I wish I had a dime for every IP assigned to (and released from) my devices. God Bless America!/>
Wait a second, 1 billion is a lot of IPs. My web enabled phone has never been assigned an internet accessible IP address, it's on some kind of weird proxy service. My computers at work are on a NAT. So that leaves my computer at home, and it's had that "dynamic" IP assignment for months and months. No wonder we're shrugging it off. Get over it.
A programmer is a machine for converting coffee into code.
Until there is a benefit, why expend the resources.
If I have enough IP's why should I bother changing.
Actually the other people can take the risk, do the upgrade, solve the problems, then the cost to change is cheaper.
Once the benefit outweighs the cost, people will do it. It just doesn't make sense yet.
ipv6 (or a similar technology) will eliminate the demand for IPs (or the demand that ISPs claim there is).
Without demand for IP space there will be no longer a need to charge ridiculous amounts for IP blocks (or even single IPs). Hell, there won't be a need to bundle home routers with Internet service to give NAT capabilities to the home.
Looks like a lot of possible lost revenue. God forbid that happens.
$10 for an extra IP is the average cost for broadband (used to be about $5), most ISPs don't even want to give you a static IP (back in 1995 it cost $30/extra for a static IP on dialup!)
I have something like 1 million+ IPs assigned to me with IPv6 and I am using 10 (for what you ask? for vhosts because that's all IPv6 is useful for).
Would I be using more than the 1 IP I am "dynamically" assigned if it wasn't "free"? No.
do cell phones, refirgerators, and other "appliances" really need a dedicated static i.p. address? why can't they use NAT and private addresses?
Canned response 2: NAT is only good for outgoing.
Canned response 3: NAT is an easy way to secure machines.
Canned response 4: NAT is an abomination in the eyes of the Internet gods.
Canned response 5: Even when we have IPv6, ISPs will charge huge amounts for IP addresses.
If you write P2P software you will know that NAT is a major pain in the ass and requires very bizarre architectures involving reflectors owned and run by third parties (or at least port forwarding). More IP addresses cannot be a bad thing and we have to move sooner or later.
This Slashdot article reported that the impending IPv6 shortage is just a myth, and this Slashdot article repeated what CmdrTaco says. What is the real story here?
"It is a mathematical fact that the casting of this pebble from my hand alters the centre of gravity of the universe."
In general*, I'd say Americans don't become too concerned with change until it becomes necessary for THEM. Sure, the rest of the world needs it, but we don't. In this case I don't know if it's terribly crucial. Our (lack of) adoption doesn't seem to be slowing down that of anyone else. Also, we have plenty of large, international corporations that must make changes based on international customers as well as American customers, and I believe that will influence the speed of American migration to IPv6.
*Generalization, not meant as an insult to anyone and not speaking for everyone.
You can have mine too - 192.168.0.1/24.
Seriously though, once the world starts to move to a IPv6 platform, then what will the corporations do with their non compatible routers and networking equipment?
Maybe companies in poorer countries could aquire it for their internal networking. Stuff like this is real costly right now.
I would love to see some real good networking stuff on ebay for cheap.
Bush is on fire and its not good for my lungs.
If you cheap service, they'll give you an unwieldy NAT setup behind a dynamic IP address. If you want your own fixed IP address, you'll pay the tollkeepers a handsome fee to get it.
Does anyone know why we need more?
The world population currently stands at over 6 billion, and growing. If only 17% of the world uses simply one extra IP, then your supply is exhausted. Of course, this ignores issues generated by distributing IPs in blocks rather than individually, restricting certain IPs, etc.
Think of IPv6 as "preventative" medicine. Sure, you might feel healthy despite having a 44" waistline, smoking 3 packs a day, and consuming gallons of lard for breakfast each morning, but what do you do when you suddenly realize you should change? It's certainly not an instantaneous solution, and it's far better to have stopped the situation from happening in the first place.
Not to be too nit-picky here, but I too would like to keep "big business" happy, since they see fit to employ me. Also, would it be ok for "small business" if they didn't want to switch to ipv6, or is it just "big business" that's evil?
Honestly, I'm not losing any sleep over this, it will work itself out when it has to.
Just because you have a Billion IP addresses available doesn't mean you can just get any one of those from the list and start using it. The IP addresses are assigned in blocks which correspond to networks. So to truely provide addresses for a global end-to-end IP network there are going to have to be a heck of a lot more addresses out there just to cover individuals not to mention all these devices people want to hook up. So, figure one or two IP addresses per person and we are already Billions short of the number needed. Figure more than that including remote sensing devices, routers, automated systems and oh yea businesses... then we are at a far greater shortage. Sure we can just add complexity and do some address translation, but are the conversion costs really that insurmountable as to make IPv6 out of reach? Most routers and computers have built in support for IPv6, but its seems that nobody is willing to ditch the old numbers and just use their IPv6 equivalents.
We aren't going to see a major shift in the US until Arin starts pushing Ipv6. The real problem is that currently getting Ipv6 costs money and doesn't get you very far. Look at it this way... currently a Ptla /32 costs $2500 a year. But people that have been sitting on Ipv4 blocks for years don't pay anything. I know of two Isp's that would like to offer Ipv6 the their customers but because they don't have their own Ipv4 netblocks they don't want to pay $2500 a year just so few of their customers have Ipv6. So instead of getting Ipv6 and moving away from Ipv4 they are forced to stay with Ipv4.
I think that the situation is currently backwards to the way it should be. Arin ( and other Ipv4 providers ) should be charging next to nothing for Ipv6 netbocks ($100 or so) and slowly start charging more for Ipv4 blocks each year. So for the first year charge $100 for each Ipv4 block (on top of any other fees). The second year they would charge 500 and the year after that 1000 and then 3000 and so on... Until we start charging more for Ipv4 address's than Ipv6 we will not see any major move to Ipv6. The more people that can get switched over to Ipv6 the sooner the better.
Are you totally sure we will be out of addresses? Would you bet your life on it?
... and so on. Perhaps wise use of addresses is in order. Does every cell phone need a static IP so all the teenagers can show off to their friends? I don't think so.
I think if we gave the world 100,000 addresses, they would use 100,000. If we gave the world 1,000,000,000 they would use 1,000,000,000 if we gave
And who will be footing the bill for all the converting and maintainance? Will it be the United States? I don't think it's American-centric or clodlike to not want to take on a huge responsibility like that for nothing. If a bunch of countries approached the U.S. and said they would foot the bill, I think it would be much easier to change our minds.
Slashdot Syndrome: the sudden, extreme urge to correct someone in order to validate one's self.
Tell MIT to give back their Class A, unless they *actually* have 24 million machines over there! There is no way a university needs that many IP addresses. I believe Stanford already gave up theirs because they realized it was unncessary.
Forget about the equipment, what are they going to do about their software?!?
Every bit of network interface code needs to be updated.
This could be as much of a pain as Y2k was.
I'd hope not wanting my country's businesses to invest huge amounts of their limited capital into something that they'd see no benefit from doing monetarily or otherwise is not something limited to American citizens... If so, I cry for the world economy. :)
Will the US switch to IPv6? Absolutely. Will they do it before it makes economic sense to? Absolutely not. If US consumers start demanding the sort of devices (connected phones, appliances, etc) that require a massive rollout of IPv6 capabilities, I gaurantee you IPv6 will see rapid adoption. But until it makes business sense, they won't and they shouldn't. Make the net future proof? The majority of routing hardware in the US is Cisco; most of which supports IPv6 by flipping a switch or a firmware upgrade. When the time comes, it'll be done.
In response to the poster that spoke about asynchronous callback on phones: Good point. You've shown me a good reason for IPv6 rollout. Now, when US users demand it... See previous paragraph.
Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
However, there appears to be a misconception that Governments or ISPs must be the ones to make the conversion first. IPv6 is designed to run side by side with IPv4. I was given 1 IPv4 address from my ISP, but I can use the IPv6 6to4 transition mechanism and get 80 bits worth of routable addresses. And my ISP didn't have to do anything to set it up. (Static IP needed)
Solaris, Linux, and Windows supports this right now. So I say get off your butts and get on IPv6 today.
-- Thou hast strayed far from the path of the Avatar.
Don't really think it matters anymore what the USA thinks or does. Certainly they are the world's greatest threat to peace but that is quite offtopic. As for IPv6 it really is "Plug 'n Play" even if Microsoft can't quite do it yet. As stated, it is fully compatible with existing IPv4 and "opensource" has it completely covered. It just works and if, as one reader said: "99% won't care", that is just as well as they won't have to care. What could be better?
Assignment can be automatic, while not exactly "two googols" of addresses, 2^128 minus those reserved is quite some number! (use your 'bc' and see it for yourself) If there are seven billion people on the planet (and that is an overestimate) we are looking at over some 1.8 x 10^26 "class C equivelant" per every human on the planet! (sorry Griffen, you grossly under-estimated in the same line you grossly over-estimated! -- ditch that Microsoft crap!) I seem to come to a figure of over '60 quadrillion class C equivalents' per second of 7 billion people living for 100 years and the last part is probably a gross exagreratation of what the average human life expectancy will be. Sure the US of A is scared!
Somehow i fail to see the added expence in all of this. It may cost Microsoft $Billions, but the people that are going to need this don't care in the least if Microsoft lives or dies. IPv6 is today and i must admit i was quite impresed a number of years ago when i plugged in my old laptop running FreeBSD into an IPv6 network powered by OpenBSD and it worked instantly! It is this way today on all major Unix type platforms.
Finally, i see only one downside to this and it is not important: "You probably won't be able to memorise all of your IP numbers and ranges no matter what tricks you use for IPv4 today". Get over it, it used to be cool to memorise your entire address book, but when mobiles came out, phone numbers got bigger and became 'throwaway' too. (This is quite litteral here in Europe as GSM mobile phones are usually given away with each and every subscription.)