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Space Elevator Conference Wraps Up

slavitos writes "The Space Elevator: 2nd International Conference, organized by the Los Alamos National Lab and the Institute for Scientific Research has just finished its work in New Mexico. To be sure, most people still think it's absolutely ridiculous to even consider building such a thing. However, that's exactly what organizers wanted - an open discussion on the issue, plus some free PR."

22 of 93 comments (clear)

  1. hmmm... by joshsnow · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Won't this thing make an astonishingly large target for terrorists, or even for enimies in a wartime situation?

    imagine the propagana and demoralising effects a hit on such a target could produce.

    Ok, so the shuttle seems less practicle, but this isn't the answer.

    I think it's a pipe dream - a nice, exciting pipe dream, but still a pipe dream

    1. Re:hmmm... by Scarblac · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, it's a ribbon in a very remote location, without large numbers of civilians nearby.

      If you believe it's a terrorist target, then Cape Canaveral must be a bigger target - easier to reach, easier to hit. Is that a good reason to stop sending rockets into space?

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    2. Re:hmmm... by Oddly_Drac · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Won't this thing make an astonishingly large target for terrorists, or even for enimies in a wartime situation?"

      Only if you make it big. Currently plans involve a high tensile line and an elevator rather than the multi-tonne segmented 'bomb on a string' ideas that have entertained through science fiction, and it should be okay as long as you stop the Port Authority from writing their own rules.

      "imagine the propagana and demoralising effects a hit on such a target could produce"

      As opposed to, say, a large city? Thank Jeebus we don't have a lot of those around.

      "I think it's a pipe dream - a nice, exciting pipe dream, but still a pipe dream"

      At one time so was manned flight, which is one of the reasons why it's good to have dreamers educated in engineering.

      The main problem with rocketry is still the fundamental problem of it essentially being a huge bomb, not to mention the resource drain.

      --
      Oddly Draconis
      Too cynical to live, too stubborn to die.
    3. Re:hmmm... by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Cities have their vulnerabilities and invulnerabilities. Theres lots of people gathered in one place, for example. They have certain vulnerable systems, such as power and especially water.

      On the other hand, cities are extremely robust. Certainly high tech assualts such as bioterrorism could be a great concern, but proven terrorist methods are low tech -- typically delivering a large quantity of explosive in front of a highly populated building. The World Trade Center attack was undoubtedly the most spectacular terrorist "success", but as catastrophic as they were for the structures, if you look at them as an attack on the city, they were remarkably ineffective.As disruptive as they were, NYC basically continued to function even through 9/11, and today it runs more or less the same as it did on 9/10/2001.

      The Space Elevator would be a tempting target for terrorists, since it could be attacked using low tech weapons, if they could be delivered. We shouldn't underestimate their creativity in doing this.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re:hmmm... by borgboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Often, the goal of a terrorist activity is to incite terror - hence the name. Hence the reason 9/11 was such a success for the terrorists. In that sense, NYC - and to a lesser extent the rest of the federated republic of America - does not function the same. The terrorists engendered fear. They attacked the heart of their perceived enemy, and that attack was successful.

      An attack on a remote freight elevator that happens to extend out to geosynchronous orbit would not engender the same psychological effect.

      --
      meh.
    5. Re:hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      If you break the cable at a low altitude, it just kinda hangs there for a while. Fixable if you're ready for it.

      If you break it at a high altitude, it's gonna fall, but with current designs it will harmlessly disintegrate.

      Either way, it will probably require a military action, rather than a terrorist one, since the elevator will be in the ocean, hundreds of miles from anywhere, and well-guarded by an aircraft carrier group or two if the U.S. has the slightest interest in protecting vital infrastructure.

    6. Re:hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      Apparently in your opinion it's our potential targets that cause terrorism, and not our actions toward other nations.
      Ok so why don't we then stop any work that is of worldwide importance or significance:
      • We shouldn't have build the fiber optic cable through Atlantic ocean.
      • We should stop space program because every launch is a potential terrorist target.
      • Shouldn't built World Trade Centers or toll buildings all-together.
      Yeah I am sure if we stop all the major projects the terrorism will cease to be!

      Well in any case I have a good solution to your terrorism concern - just make it a Switzerland's project - nobody is going to bomb that!
    7. Re:hmmm... by barawn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The Space Elevator would be a tempting target for terrorists, since it could be attacked using low tech weapons, if they could be delivered. We shouldn't underestimate their creativity in doing this.

      Why? Why would they want to strike it? Would it cause a big commotion? No. Would virtually anyone even know it happened? No.

      And here's the big reason why terrorists would NEVER bother going after the space elevator:

      Would it even bring it down? No.

      Terrorists would likely strike the elevator far below GEO - remember the elevator is almost 100,000 km long, and they'd be striking it within the bottom few km. This would do nothing. The operators would be like "Oh, jeez, those stupid terrorists tried to do something again, the elevator's drifting. OK, spool out another km of cable." The ONLY place that striking it would do ANYTHING is if you struck it near GEO, and if terrorists develop the technology to do an orbital strike at GEO, I've got a feeling they'll target other things besides the space elevator.

      The second main reason that attacking the Elevator would be useless is that even if they broke the first cable, this wouldn't even be that impressive. The marginal cost for deploying a second cable is trivial (the Conference notes said $2B, but I think they'd win out far more than that due to economies of scale - plus they doubled several things like power distribution which wouldn't be necessary for a 'backup cable'. The ribbon itself was estimated at $400M).

      You could imagine it on the news. "Elevator cable #21 was damaged beyond repair today by an explosive package concealed within a launch satellite. Consortium members have already stated that a replacement cable has been moved into position and unspooling has already begun. Full operation is expected to resume in a few weeks."

      I mean, seriously. Saying the Space Elevator is a tempting target for terrorists is like saying the International Space Station is a tempting target for terrorists. Sure, it might be. But it's not like it would EVER happen.

    8. Re:hmmm... by Jeremi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The Space Elevator would be a tempting target for terrorists, since it could be attacked using low tech weapons, if they could be delivered. We shouldn't underestimate their creativity in doing this.


      True, destroying the Space Elevator would be a big demoralizer, and thus a big draw for the terrorists. Destroying elevator #6 of 27 wouldn't be such a big deal, though. That's why one of the first projects given to Space Elevator #1 should be the lifting up into orbit of Space Elevator #2, and so on.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  2. Re:Benefits? by crschmidt · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The benefits are the same as have always been in the space program, only with a much lower startup cost.

    Many of the benefits of space do not come from advances in rocket engines or anything like that, they come from spinoffs of the space program.

    Tools designed to examine telescope photos for any variety of things have been converted for use in medical uses: the MRI is a simple example of this.

    Hand tools were first developed for the Apollo space missions.

    Pretty much anything involving miniaturization has its roots, at some point, in the space program.

    The space program has a wide range of benefits that many people will never realize, however, everywhere you go, there they are. Whether it be benefits in the medical field, or benefits in other fields, space has always benefited us.

    The space elevator simply takes the cost of getting to space out of the space program. Rather than spending almost all of your energy getting out of the gravity well, you spend it out in space where it belongs. You can easily bring materials and supplies into space, and with the ISS going up now... that's something that will be needed.

    Which would you prefer - costly, dangerous shuttle trips for the next umpteen years, or an easy, safe, fairly cheap (aside from startup cost) transport to the stars?

    I know my choice.

    --
    -- Christopher Schmidt YouTube Quality of Experience
  3. Re:Benefits? by david.given · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Seriously, to many people, a "space elevator" is going to sound like the "escalator to nowhere" from the Simpsons - a fairly frivolous-sounding projet, and not as inspiring as rockets. Okay, so it'll make space exploration cheaper - what benefits does it have for ordinary people?

    Well, once you have cheap access to space, a whole bunch of things suddenly become much more profitable.

    Example: most near-Earth asteroids contain very high quantities of heavy metals. There are all sorts of things you can do with iridium, platinum or gold alloys. How would you like a car that ran off ordinary petrol but used a fuel cell instead of an IC engine? Quieter, lighter, cheaper, more reliable --- provided you can get the palladium catalysts required to make it work.

    Example: it would be possible to start mass producing things in microgravity. Defect-free crystal growth would lead to much cheaper electronics among other things. If you can get the cost of access cheap enough, even mundane things like steel refining will change: vacuum foam steel girders would be cheaper, lighter and stronger than conventional rolled girders.

    Example: Outside geostationary orbit is a great place to be if you want to do something hazardous. Want to build a really messy experimental nuclear power reactor? Now you can do it and it won't be in anyone's back yard.

    Example: there's more you can do with a space elevator than get to orbit. They provide an ideal anchoring point for telecommunications systems, among other things: put a communications complex 500km up and you've got LEO-quality satellite communications while still able to use fixed position dishes. Plus it's repairable. Cheaper satellite TV, anyone?

    Example: low gee hospitals .

    Example: Tourism!

    These are just a few examples I can think of off the top of my head --- I'm sure that given a few minutes thought I could come up with some more. The great thing about a space elevator is not that it's directly profitable, but that it's an enabler. It makes a whole bunch of other things become profitable, and opens up the possibility for a whole variety of other industries, currently unthought of, that would be even more profitable. It provides new wealth to the economy, which produces long-term gains in the same way that feeding starving children (although an admirable goal in itself) or building aircraft carriers just don't do. It's the old teach-a-starving-man-to-fish argument: invest, don't spend.

  4. Re:Benefits? by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Generally speaking, most starving in the world has to do with the affects of wars or deliberate mismanagement in some shape or other, rather than the global economy. The two biggest famines I can remember were Ethiopia, caused by a dramatic civil war, and Cambodia, caused by a combination of Pol Pot's deliberate destruction of the Cambodian economy and infrastructure and the following civil war with Vietnam.

    With modern farming methods, food is extraordinarily cheap to create. The space program can be pretty expensive and not make a difference to how many people we have starving in the world. Additionally, two of the absolute benefits of the space program has been improvements to communications infrastructure and the ability to monitor the world's weather systems and planetary features, both of which have actively helped in food production, the former by allowing better planned and coordinated food creation, the latter by providing warnings allowing potentially disasterous damage to be minimised.

    Long term, hey, may be we can move people off this planet - that should improve things too!

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  5. Re:Benefits? by bodan · · Score: 5, Insightful
    "There are starving children that need food, and we're spending how much on a frickin' elevator to space?!?!"
    You're already spending ten times as much on the shuttles, and those things are orders of magnitude less useful than a space elevator.
    "With that much money, we could buy 10 aircraft carriers!".
    Well, actually I think there are quite enough aircraft carriers on Earth. Anyways, a space elevator's military potential is orders of magnitude greater than an aircraft carrier, especially if the lasers used for climbing can be used to defend it - that shouldn't be too difficult.
    [...] a "space elevator" is going to sound like [...] a fairly frivolous-sounding projet, and not as inspiring as rockets. Okay, so it'll make space exploration cheaper - what benefits does it have for ordinary people?
    OK, so it's a thousand times more efficient than a rocket, big deal! Look hot PRETTY and INSPIRING the rockets are!!!! Come on, it's going to be infinitely more inspiring after it sends it's first thousand people in space, or when any highschool can send science projects in space, or launch sattelites - this thing should make Iridium-like systems a hundred times cheaper than today. Oh, and "ordinary people" will be able to actually use it. Personally. What benefits does NASA have for _you_, right now? And as for how great a target it is: it is ribbon around a meter wide, 100000km long. But, the atmosphere - the part accesible by plane, I mean - less than 30km. So it's area is 300000 square meters, much lower than any building's. If terrorists can hit it - what with all the security around it, big giant lasers that can hit a 1m square dish on the climber 100000 _km_ in space - they can hit anything, anywhere, and the elevator is the least of your problems. And anyway, breaking it inside the atmosphere (actually, anywhere lower than geostationary orbit) will sent most of it in space, not on earth. And the piece below geostationary orbit, if it fell, will create less debris than an exploding shuttle. It's less than a milimeter thick, for God's sake.
    --
    "I think I am a fallen star. I should wish on myself."
  6. Re:Benefits? by samjam · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Who's we?

    How much of your money do you give to starving people as food instead of buying a nice car, nice house, nice clothes?

    As you are free to use your own property as you see fit, so are people with more property, and that includes talking about building a space elevator.

    Sam

  7. Want more war like Iraq? by bluGill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'll bet you didn't like the war in Iraq (going on a limb here, you might have). Would you approve of the US/UN going to war and knocking out several other "innocent" goverments? (for some definition of innocent?) Most starvation is caused by goverments not allowing the food, of which there is more than enough, to get to the people who need it. Generally they have a political gain of some sort to doing so. (you might not see it as a gain, but they do)

    As for a space elevator. Well I think private eneterprize should do it, which means get NASA out of the way and loosten up the laws preventing private companies from going to space. (Okay, it isn't exactly illegal, but it is nearly impossible to get the permits) At least in the US this is a problem.

  8. It would be very useful by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The top of the elevator cable goes much faster than escape velocity, so, if you put a payload there and let go, it can reach out as far as places like Jupiter, or Mars or the Moon for that matter. Very useful. That means that access to these places suddenly becomes much easier (the rocket needed to go there suddenly becomes much much smaller- and coming back isn't so bad anyway, because you can aerobrake in the Earths atmosphere like Apollo did.)

    --

    -WolfWithoutAClause

    "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    1. Re:It would be very useful by barawn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, the rockets needed to go to Mars become nonexistent - you can aerobrake for Mars entry as well. You'd also be crazy not to build a similar elevator at Mars as well, though this would be a major feat of remote engineering (but probably worth it, as the cable is much shorter, and all of the incidental costs would be nil - no expensive anchor platform needed, no climbers, etc). Then you'd have free transit back and forth from Mars - literally free - you climb to a certain point on the elevator, wait until the launch window approaches, then let go, and lo and behold, several months later, you aerobrake through Earth's (or Mars's) atmosphere, and dock with the Earth's (or Mars's) space elevator.

      Yah, of course, you'd still have chemical rockets for course correction - it'd be silly otherwise. But those rockets would be so small that they wouldn't even be considered rockets, and the only REAL reason for them is contingency.

      It may even be far more interesting than that. The whole reason you need to aerobrake at entry points is because of a velocity difference between a transfer orbit and a normal Earth orbit - that is, you're moving faster than a normal Earth orbit. However, so is the elevator. With very clever timing, you might not even need to aerobrake at all, which makes it even easier. You just time your approach so that you and the elevator are at the same point, and that you're at the height on the elevator such that your velocity is the same as the elevator's, and you just grab hold. No stress, no problems.

  9. You're right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We got attacked by 19 guys with boxcutters and one idiot with a shoebomb, therefore we should quail in terror and keep our heads down. Don't build any tall buildings, don't fly unless absolutely necessary, and don't even think about building infrastructure that could open up the solar system to the entire human race. Somebody with scissors might try to cut it loose.

  10. Re:Benefits? by Omkar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, but show me where you can trade space exploration for food, straight up. We've got plenty - we just need to distribute it more evenly.
    Remember, we can't solve everything. That's why we need to explore despite the other things we have to take care of.

  11. Re:..build it at the north pole! by Mr.+Foogle · · Score: 2, Insightful

    All valid conclusions, but your premise is off.

    No tower. A ribbon extends to, and past GEO, for one. Read the report - google for NIAC final report or highlift

    --
    Display some adaptability.
  12. Re:Benefits? by pyrrho · · Score: 2, Insightful

    like which problem did the world whine for us to fix, exactly?

    you know that thing about us giving more foriegn aid than anyone else... it's not true. But that anger... the anger... it comes from somewhere, I'm just not convinced it comes from a knowledge of world affairs.

    --

    -pyrrho

  13. It just makes sense. by deathcloset · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The space elevator makes so much sense it's amazing we even made a space shuttle at all.

    The way I look at it is this. We have been shooting humans into space atop monolithic, ubelievably dangerous explosive devices. A rocket is an explosive device.

    If space were a cliff and we wanted to get on top, the current way we are doing it is by laying a board over a fulcrum, sitting a guy on one end and dropping a volkswagen on the other. Boing! he flys through the air and rolls to a stop atop the cliff. How does he get down? he jumps and hopes to land on a soft spot. Lots, LOTS can go wrong, and death is almosts as likely as success.

    The space elevator is the equivalent of (rather than launching someone up) throwing a rope and hook up the cliff face, securing it, and then weaving a rope ladder.

    Higher success, cheaper (no volkswagen involved), and safer (though less exciting and dramatice albeit).