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More Than 500,000 High Tech Jobs Lost in 2002

stoolpigeon writes: "A study, released today by the AeA, shows that the U.S. high-tech industry lost 540,000 jobs in 2002, dropping from 6.5 million to 6.0 million. However, a preliminary look at data for 2003 shows that the decline in high-tech employment has slowed considerably this year."

98 of 663 comments (clear)

  1. Jobs Lost? by tarquin_fim_bim · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That seems to give the impression that they were carelessly mislaid, or accidentally cast aside. Far from it, they were purposefully relocated to a more hospitable economic environment. Free market, free trade, free information, free software and free beer, what more could a philanthropist ask for?
    OK, free love, but that always comes with a price.

    1. Re:Jobs Lost? by Brataccas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Free food, free rent, and free utilities.

    2. Re:Jobs Lost? by pla · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Free market, free trade, free information, free software and free beer, what more could a philanthropist ask for?

      Job security at a liveable wage?

      Hey, I personally don't mind sacrificing a small bit of comfort to bring large portions of the world forward into the 19th century. But when a company ships jobs to places where environmental and labor laws allow them to simply replace good workers with people treated little better than slaves, I have a problem with that.

    3. Re:Jobs Lost? by dpilot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Someday somebody will figure out that many American execs are super-paid and don't really know their own business. (They know MONEY, not the products their companies make.)

      Then since the executives do the outsourcing, they won't outsource themselves, the places they've outsourced to will go into business for themselves, and drive the American companies under.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    4. Re:Jobs Lost? by D-Cypell · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is easy to blame outsourcing, and I do admit that this plays a big part.

      However, we must also remember that during the late 90's and the early 00's thousands upon thousands of tech jobs just sprung up out of thin air. Any fool with a business plan penciled out on a napkin could get millions in VC. As the remenants of these companies finally disappear in true darwinian fashion, the jobs that were created will obviously be lost.

      I would be interested in seeing some stats on how many jobs were created in those few years compared to the losses recently. It sounds like it could be a case of just ending up back where we started from.

    5. Re:Jobs Lost? by Rubbersoul · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Far from it, they were purposefully relocated to a more hospitable economic environment

      This is not always true. Not every job that was "lost" was moved to a more hospitable economic environment. I know many people that lost jobs because the company had lost customers, got bought out, or just otherwise no longer needed the service of said employee. Of course *some* people lost jobs that were sent to more hospitable economic environment, but it is silly to say that all fit in that category.

      --
      man .sig
      No manual entry for .sig.
    6. Re:Jobs Lost? by jagapen · · Score: 5, Funny

      Outsourced management. I'm sure there's a CEO over in India who'd run the company for less than a quarter the compensation an American CEO expects. Plus, he'd be close to the workers!

    7. Re:Jobs Lost? by unixbugs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      they can export the manufacturing of parts and source code, but they cant export the jobs installing and configuring it here yet.

      nuts, bolts, and cables. gotta love 'em.

      --
      You are about to give someone a piece of your mind, something which you can ill afford...
    8. Re:Jobs Lost? by Che+Guevarra · · Score: 2, Informative

      No, both will win. The execs see the cost cutting and opportunities of outsourcing as a winning business model. It's streamlining, or supply chain management - the workers have become the supply. The talent pool companies will also win, at least their upper management and owners will. It's a mutual relationship. Also, It's not fair to say the big biz guys know "money" but not their business, it's impossible to know one without the other.

    9. Re:Jobs Lost? by ploppy · · Score: 5, Informative

      Take a look at this very recent article. This article points out that American IT management is way over-priced compared to Indian management, and hence management will be the next thing to go off shore. As it says in the article, this is American IT self destructing.

    10. Re:Jobs Lost? by randall_burns · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think you are correct. A lot of the people that have played prominent roles in the outsourcing and H-1b/L-1 fads will find themselves in VERY lonely positions. I used to work at Sun. I was proud to work at Sun. At this point though, I can't say I would trust McNeally at all. Any manager that has been signing lots of H-1b/L-1 visa requests, particularly the last year, isn't someone that I will trust.

    11. Re:Jobs Lost? by AsimovBesterClarke · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're close. What will happen is no one will no longer be able to afford the product or service said exec's (said) business provided. At which point the American (sic) companies will go under.

      When I was born, there was over a half dozen automobile companies in the US. During my father's life time there were several dozen. Today there are 2. FWIW, I originally wrote about aircraft manufactures, something my father could have waxed poetically about for hours, and the numbers work out very similiarly.

      --
      Ads are broken.
    12. Re:Jobs Lost? by crazyphilman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I keep hearing people say they think outsourcing to India (et al) is "sensible", conservative, etc. It may appear to be from the management perspective, but it really isn't. There's a huge cost, especially when you're dealing with IT, and the business community hasn't really caught on yet. Consider:

      1. Work that is outsourced may be unmaintainable. The outsourcing company may go out of business, they may end their relationship with you, they may make unreasonable demands forcing you to try to find a new vendor... And, when you try to get a technology transfer (i.e. the source code to all that stuff they coded) they might just tell you "no way". You'll have no recourse whatsoever. Remember, US laws only extend to the border.

      2. When you transfer all that control to an external source (control of your IT, your data, and your clerical functions is control of your company, make no mistake), you LOSE that control yourself. Do you really trust a bunch of complete strangers to not be tempted by this "opportunity"? There have already been cases of extortion and blackmail. The incidence of this is going to go up, not down. Not to mention that #1 applies here, too; if a company goes under, who's controlling your company NOW? It could be Goodnight, Irene. Would YOU like to be the one to explain this to your stockholders?

      3. Outsourced code isn't necessarily going to follow any specific standard, or even the specs you send over. Because, after all, what are you going to do about it if you don't like it? Nothing, that's what; you're ten thousand miles away, you don't have any programmers left on staff to check their work, and anyway, their laws are different from ours and you're not going to get anywhere even if you DO pursue it. You have to accept whatever they decide to give you. And they know it.

      4. Three words that should make you drop a load in your pants: "third party tools". You don't know what your outsourcing friends are putting in your code; you don't know if they own licences to it; you don't know if it works or if it'll continue to work past its next revision, and you don't know if you'll be able to maintain it. Tool companies go out of business, too, their assets get bought by companies (like, say, your competitors). This can be really dangerous, especially with all the piracy going on overseas. Do you want to be the guy who has to explain the IP lawsuit to your stockholders?

      I could go on but you get the idea. Even using H1-Bs here in this country isn't entirely safe. When an H1-B or an L-1 goes back home, he effectively drops off the face of the earth. Do you think he's going to fly over at the drop of a hat to maintain your code when it breaks? Do you even have him in your rolodex? Probably not. Basically, if it breaks, you're rewriting it with the next crop of consultants, and so on, forever. If this sounds stable or safe to you, more power to you, but it makes my head ache.

      It's not as "sensible" or "conservative" as it looks. Companies are cutting their own throats for a short term bump in stock prices.

      --
      Farewell! It's been a fine buncha years!
  2. Found em. by banzai75 · · Score: 3, Funny

    They were with my missing sock.

  3. Story at The Register by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Another article on it at The Register.

  4. In before.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In before everyone starts pointing at Bangalore.

    Don't blame India for our political failures.

    That's all.

  5. Two of mine by rossz · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Two of those half a million jobs were mine. Sucks to lose one job, get a new one, then lose that a few months later. No, it wasn't anything I had done wrong. One place cut back 40% of the workforce and the other company sold the division I was in. The buyer only wanted the intellectual property, not the team. Bastards.

    --
    -- Will program for bandwidth
  6. It's slowing down..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Great. This is like saying that a semi truck is running people down (GTA-like), but it's doing it slower now than before.

    1. Re: It's slowing down..... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Funny


      > Great. This is like saying that a semi truck is running people down (GTA-like), but it's doing it slower now than before.

      Next year it will slow to a stop, reverse, and run over you again.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  7. Yet slashdot advertises for outsourcers by Serveert · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Very ironic. Not much we can do, if they want to take advantage of lower living standards and lower taxes due to not having an FDA, EPA, USDA etc etc.. fine!

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    2 years and no mod points. Join reddit. Because openness is good.
  8. Military: good jobs, good training by Preach+the+Good+Word · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I was an electronics tech for the Navy. Did maintenance on comm gear and other electronic equipment. Went through a variety of schools. I feel the education is very good and the hands on experience is great. I worked with a variety of test equipment, receivers, transmitters, communication gear, etc.

    When I was in, the most technologically advanced jobs were CTM (Crypto Tech Maintenance), ET (Electronics Tech), DS (Data Systems), among others (more specialized).

    One individual I met while in was a Senior Chief ET at Treasure Island. As far as I know, he was one of the people to first develop laser listening devices for civilian purchase, or at least one of the first that I've heard of. I didn't see a working model, but he explained what it was and how it worked to me.

    At yet another installation, I met a group of Navy Petty Officers and Air Force Sgt's that were developing a means to render video to CD, at the time, it wasn't common place (I hadn't even heard of the technology at the time) to find video on CD's.

    There's many "cutting edge" tech gadgets being used in the .mil, of course these are the ones you never hear about until they're released to civilian use.

    It's like the old story about the guy that invented the first "radar gun" for highway patrolmen, he also invented the first "radar detector" for civilians. :-)

  9. One friend of mine only lasted a week by billstewart · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This was earlier in the Crash, so after she'd been laid off with notice from her previous company, she'd accepted the best-looking of the jobs she could find. A week later she got laid off in the morning, and was working at the second-best-looking job in the afternoon.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  10. Re:I think I speak for most everyone when I say... by corebreech · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nafta, GATT... H1B visas.

    The nation being promised on the one hand that free trade would bring better jobs to the U.S. while the other hand was busy making sure those better jobs ended up anywhere but here.

    Read the news sometime. There's more to it than Dilbert and the lingerie ads.

  11. In Other News: India Gains 500k Tech Jobs by The+Turd+Report · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Good bye $$$.

  12. What happened to the economic recovery? by Not_Wiggins · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I could have *sworn* that the political PR machine has been pumping out stories that the economy is improving and has been since November 2001 (!)... gotta love revisionist economics! 8P

    Of course, this news goes with my experience; I know plenty of talented developers/tech-people who've been unemployed or lost a job to outsourcing with nary a replacement in sight.

    I could rant about the loss of jobs (as I'm sure many /. readers could). What I'd like instead is an honest accounting of where our economy is, is going, and what the heck is being done to make sure we keep it moving in the right direction. Then when that data is available, I'd want to get good answers about why we are or aren't on target. I'm just fed up with all the crap^H^H^H^Hspin being put out on news feeds about a recovery that (obviously) isn't happening yet... or, at least, not to the degree that's being reported.

    Nope... instead I'll get to read in news papers 3 years from now how there never was a recession between 2000-2003 (or 4). >8(

    Doh... that wound up being a rant, didn't it? ;)

    --
    Diplomacy is the art of saying, "Nice doggie!" until you can find a rock.
    1. Re:What happened to the economic recovery? by Dynamic+Ranger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's still a recovery. When companies can hire & fire at will they can grow & contract with the market. That improves their botto line, and therefore their stock values, which equals economic recovery. :) In ten years, we'll all be working for a few months then not working for a few months, so learn to save your earnings for the downtime.

    2. Re:What happened to the economic recovery? by rotomonkey · · Score: 4, Informative

      The government has been announcing both an increase in total jobs and a decrease in unemployment filings for a few months now. Neither necessarily precludes a reduction in high-tech jobs. The spin-meisters claim the economy is improving, just not for us.

      The problem with getting a honest accounting of the state of our economy is that there is no measure which is not inherently politicized. It is very easy to consider/ignore factors to bolster your numbers. That fact itself has become highly politicized, as Paul Krugman of the New York Times (watch as my liberal bias comes out) has reported recently.

      It's difficult to say. Recent figures indicate that the real GDP, consumer income, and corporate profits all rose inq3 2003, but at the same time, the dollar is falling to new lows against other major currencies, which will eventually make it difficult to attract the foreign investing the US needs to balance the trade deficit.

    3. Re:What happened to the economic recovery? by DrCode · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well, you certainly won't get an accurate accounting here.

      But I can tell you that the unemployment rate only considers people who are working, or actively looking for work as the total population. So if a former software engineer goes back to school, he/she is no longer considered 'unemployed'. Similarly, if you set yourself up as a consultant, you're also no longer unemployed, even if you're not making any money at it.

    4. Re:What happened to the economic recovery? by thelexx · · Score: 2, Informative

      Eventually just became right now:

      Dollar Tumbles as International Investors Flee U.S. Assets
      http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=1 0000103& sid=a5A7bcTBC9Io&refer=news_index
      Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar had its biggest decline against the euro in about a month in New York trading after a government report showed net foreign purchases of U.S. securities in September fell to the lowest in five years.

      A drop in the amount of stocks and bonds bought by international investors makes it harder for the U.S. to finance the deficit in its current account, the broadest measure of trade and investment. The Treasury Department said foreigners bought a net $4.19 billion in September, down from $49.9 billion in August and the smallest since $1.17 billion in September 1998.

      ``It's the hardest evidence yet the U.S. current account deficit has finally become unsustainable and the foreign appetite for U.S. securities has finally fallen short,'' said Michael Woolfolk, a currency strategist at the Bank of New York, the third-largest New York-based bank. There is ``a dependence on increasing inflows just to keep the dollar steady.''

      --
      "Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world." - Alan Greenspan, 1999
  13. My Experience by EmCeeHawking · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've been in the market for a good developer for over half a year now. As part of the standard interviewing process, I give the applicant my laptop, with a series of programming problems that should take no more than 15 minutes to solve.

    Without exception, everybody fails or takes WAY too long to solve. This, in my mind, is a sign of incompetence, the reason of which I still have not filled the position.

    The vast majority of the applicants got their BS in CS or CSE because they thought it would be a good way to make money; very few of the applicants have been truly passionate about technology, and those that were, were incompetent.

    For all of you who bitch and complain about how hard it is to find a job, perhaps you ought to sharpen your skillset and seek out the employers who will appreciate it. And for those who got into computing because you heard that there was good money in it, but you'd rather be out windsurfing, get out of computing, get a job windsurfing, and leave room in the market for those who actually have skills, so resume reviewers don't have to waste time with you.

    1. Re:My Experience by pudding7 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You've had an open position for a developer for 6 months? I don't mean to burst your bubble, but either you don't really want a developer, you don't really need a developer, or your hiring standards a bit out of whack.

    2. Re:My Experience by seraph93 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As part of the standard interviewing process, I give the applicant my laptop, with a series of programming problems that should take no more than 15 minutes to solve.

      So what are the problems?

      --
      Ph-nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn.
    3. Re:My Experience by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 5, Funny
      I give the applicant my laptop, with a series of programming problems that should take no more than 15 minutes to solve.

      Without exception, everybody fails or takes WAY too long to solve.

      Yeah, I lost a job opportunity, but I still think I came out ahead -- whenever I think about the expression on your face when you realized I wasn't bringing your laptop back.

      On the downside, I do hate your DVORAK keyboard layout. It took me 40 minutes to type this post. No wonder any of the other applicants ever finished their assignments.

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    4. Re:My Experience by Junta · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So you give an on the spot practical exam, give a hard deadline of 15 minutes for a series of problems, to someone who has enough pressure expecting a typical interview? And whose authority says the problems are together a 15 minute problem? Maybe they would be able to tackle them in under 15 minutes after getting into their groove. Giving a simple pass/fail evaluation of a 15 minute session of problems that are likely ill balanced, i.e. focused in one area. You could end up with a developer who can whip right through those, but turn out not to be well rounded.

      What I have seen to be a better selector is strategies where the interviewer puts forth a problem that is technical and high-level in nature, and disallows use of a computer, and ask that the applicant think aloud about the strategy and algorithms they would try to accomplish the task. The interviewer then gets more information. For one, the circumstances are less stressful, so it is a better indication of typical performance.
      Also, whether or not they end up at the right solution is less important than if you can see they have a good thought process and good ability to recover from changing circumstances (in the middle of the problem, introduce new requirements).

      I do agree that the dot-com crap created a lot of untalented, uninterested people seeking computer jobs simply for 'easy money' rather than a sincere passion, but knowing how very many talented developers I have seen unemployed over the last half a year, I would say either you aren't posting it in any visible spot or that your 15-minute test is a flawed approach.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    5. Re:My Experience by DrCode · · Score: 3, Informative

      My experience last year was exactly the same and I have a degree. The only two interviews I got were through personal references.

    6. Re:My Experience by bussdriver · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, #2 is actually a good one. Would filter out half my students with JUST THAT problem!! (programming is prereq) You think you have it hard...

      #1 is for a fluent C++ guy. I've not touched it for 5 years, such details have faded from my memory. Hope you warn them about the test before hand, so they can prep.Bet they try for other languages they know too. It seems a bit unfar to me. A great C++ programmer might take a while to get back into gear.

      I would ask some habit type questions. Good coding practices, and real understanding of OOP would be more important. I don't care if the guy was GOD at hacking out C++ code, if he did not comment, did overly complex unelegant coding, or could not learn to adapt to something new, I would not want him. So what if he/she knows STL or MFC by heart, if he can't use/pickup other stuff he is worthless---too many coders reinvent the wheel to "save time".

  14. Re:I think I speak for most everyone when I say... by Dynamic+Ranger · · Score: 2, Informative

    He's talking about a couple stories that have come out about Deibold, now in the electronic voting machine business, where some local elections have experienced bizarre errors, often in what some call Deibold's favor.

  15. Re:We were deliberately fucked by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2, Funny


    > "They" aren't out to get you.

    Swallow the pill, Quaid.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  16. Re:One, Uncomfortable, Question by civilengineer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    good question. Think about it this way. We have IIS and we have Apache. Everyone knows which one is better and used more. So, many techies who know the better one found lots of jobs based on that skill. That is doing good to more humans as a whole. You cannot get an exact count of how many jobs were lost due to opensource or how many were gained. But, the net benefit to our civilization will definitely be positive due to open source movement.

    --

    New year Resolution: Don't change sig this year
  17. In related news, a Pakistani extorts US firm by Serveert · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This could have been an Indian, Chinese, whoever.. this is the future where we cannot hold anyone in the third world accountable yet we expect them to handle sensitve information and intellecutal property.

    I'll get modded down but here's the article:

    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/ ch ronicle/archive/2003/11/12/BUGI52VMQR1.DTL&type=bu siness

    Breaking her silence for the first time, the Pakistani woman who threatened to release UCSF patient files on the Internet says she had "no choice" but to breach the hospital's security after being cut off by the Texas man who'd made her the final link in a long chain of clerical subcontractors.

    Lubna Baloch said by e-mail from Karachi that she is "not an opportunistic person who willfully did that to gain some attention."

    She said she is instead the "worst sufferer of this situation" because she was only trying to secure UCSF Medical Center's help last month in obtaining money that she was owed.

    "I feel violated, helpless," she wrote, adding that she is "the most unluckiest person in this world."

    Doctors at U.S. hospitals routinely dictate notes about patient visits, consultations, operations and discharges. Those notes in turn are frequently handed to outside firms that specialize in transcribing them into written form.

    The case involving UCSF's patient files represents the nightmare-scenario- come-to-life for the medical industry. For about 20 years, UCSF has farmed out much of its transcription work to a Sausalito company called Transcription Stat.

    Transcription Stat outsourced many of the hundreds of files received daily to a network of 15 subcontractors. One of these was a Florida woman named Sonya Newburn, who then outsourced the files yet again to a Texas man named Tom Spires.

    Spires outsourced the work one more time to Baloch in Karachi, who agreed to do the transcribing for a small fraction of the amount UCSF originally paid Transcription Stat, thus allowing everyone in the chain to walk away with a modest profit.

    But on Oct. 7, Baloch attached two patient files to an e-mail and contacted UCSF. She demanded that the medical facility assist her in squeezing outstanding funds from her employer, Spires.

    "Your patient records are out in the open to be exposed, so you better track that person and make him pay my dues or otherwise I will expose all the voice files and patient records of UCSF Parnassus and Mt. Zion campuses on the Internet," Baloch wrote.

    --
    2 years and no mod points. Join reddit. Because openness is good.
  18. Re:One, Uncomfortable, Question by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The only thing "hard" about the question is that, yes, it's hard to quantify. We don't even know whether the number is positive or negative.

    Too bad some programmers were obsoleted by (social) technology. Too bad they were duplicating effort, trying to carve small markets up into such tiny pieces that none were profitable. Too bad many were doing such mundane work that commodity components were able to compete with them. Too bad none of them were good enough at their craft, that no one wanted to hire for their labor; they were only good enough to produce products that could be sold with lock-in, which nobody wanted.

    Face it, capitalism can be a bitch when you have to be one of the competitors.

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
  19. Where's the end of this cycle? by saihung · · Score: 4, Insightful

    First we were farmers.

    Then they started building factories, and told us that we could get rich by making things, even though lots of people got hurt or killed, the air and water got fouled, and the pay wasn't really that good after all. Then we got together and fought for better conditions, and the people that had only been consuming what we made got strong enough to build factories of their own, and the factories picked up and left.

    Then they told us, "Don't worry about the factories leaving! The future is in services and intellectual property creation!" So they trained two generations of us to use computers and write memos and move paper around (at our great expense) so we could work in their service industries.

    But the service industries didn't have any factories or other major infrastructural investments, so when the consumers of our software code and financial products got well-educated enough to do those things themselves, the service industries had an even easier time of it and ran for the hills.

    Now they're not telling us where we're supposed to work, and not telling us how we're supposed to put our expensive educations to use, only that it'll get better some day. But what's left? No farms, no factories, empty office buildings, and even the production of the very food we eat and the houses we live in is restricted to illegal immigrants because no one is willing to pay living wages. There are some jobs that can't be moved easily - construction, machining, auto repair, but how are we supposed to support an entire economy with this?

    1. Re:Where's the end of this cycle? by joss · · Score: 3, Informative

      A lot of productivity "improvements" are hugely detrimental. For instance, a company says a few cents per call by having a voice automated telephone help system. It cuts the time taken on their end to deal with a call by 20% or so. However, it can increase time wasted for caller by several hundred percent, but this is thought not to matter since nobody measures it. Or your doctor insists you come in at 10.00 and then makes you sit around for 20 minutes, you are seen by a nurse for no reason, and then a doctor 20 minutes later. It saves money because the nurse is paid a fraction of what the doctor earns and it shaves a few minutes off his time by having you see a nurse first no matter what. The clinic is not measuring the time it wastes for you, and you are not in a position to charge them for that.

      These false productivity improvements are not the main problem though. The real issue is that society cannot spend productivity improvements on extra leisure or higher living standards owing to an insane monetary system. Capitalist society as a whole is like a company that grows and grows but almost never pays dividends to the shareholders [mankind]. Unless people are earning, spending and most importantly, borrowing money, nothing can happen. There is something strange and surprising going on which would take ages to explain, I recommend "The grip of death" by Douglas Rowbotham if you are interested.

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    2. Re:Where's the end of this cycle? by MickLinux · · Score: 2, Interesting
      No answer?

      Nuh-uh.

      The answer is, back to the farms. Learn to grow a garden, to really grow a garden. Also, immediately sell your financed house, and buy something that you own outright: something with a lot of land, and little house, and maybe with a saw for cutting lumber.

      Also keep a computer, for the occasional job that does come by.

      Learn how to pasteurize your own milk, and get (perhaps) 1 cow, or 1 bull if there's more than 25 bull-less cows in the area. [Deal is, trade your bull's services for 1/10 of the cow's milk, and 1/10 of the veal, if you eat it.]

      Learn how to live cheaply. If you're not sure, start here:

      http://www.growbiointensive.org

      Want better? I've posted in my journal a way to increase the per-acre yield by 30% over what growbiointensive.org says.

      --
      Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
    3. Re:Where's the end of this cycle? by Theatetus · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Learn how to pasteurize your own milk

      Don't bother. Raw milk is safer.

      --
      All's true that is mistrusted
  20. A better set of questions by PureFiction · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1. How many jobs gained during the "bubble" of the late 90's (that was unsustainable) are factored into that count?

    2. How many H1B visas that are unrenewed are part of that count? (Exploitative consulting agencies? They loved to pump up the numbers)

    3. How many psuedo-engineers have rightly left the CS/IT job market because they dont have the skills?

    I worked with a guy briefly in 2000 that got paid $75/hour, 60 hours a week, for a whole month (before jumping ship to greener pastures in Silicon Valley) to write some horribly broken and incomplete perl CGI code.

    Yes, nasty perl CGI that didnt work. It was obvious his skills were at tech college freshman / skilled high schooler level, and yet he was able to pull in an insane wage due to irrational exhuberance.

    You hear these stories, and it doesnt really sink in until you see it first hand. Things were severely out of balance.

    We are almost out of the hangover. If you are truly skilled, you can find a job with some elbow grease and effort 98% of the time. You may need to relocate, you may need to settle for something less than ideal, but they are out there.

    The tech services (specifically programming / engineering) are picking up and we are on course for a return to semi-normality. But against the backdrop of insane compensation and free flowing VC cash, even normalcy appears spartan.

    The best thing you can do for a career in IT is to truly love it and find it fascinating. This will keep your skills sharp as you experiment and play with cutting edge technologies on your own, and maybe on your job, and also provide the motivation needed to obtain a deeper understanding of the many details associated with programming, system administration, engineering, etc.

    If you are in this field for the money, you wont have the drive to stay afloat.

    1. Re:A better set of questions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Funny thing is, I started out in this field because I'm a natural programmer (doing it since I was 8) and it looked like I could make a decent living and pay back my college loans. I'm good at what I do, and I made it my career to go beyond the call of duty and ensure that today's product had hooks for next year's functions. Twice that habit has saved the unit's ass. I'm also a good technical writer, and have no trouble communicating with our international colleagues.

      Today I was told by IBM that I have thirty days before I become a permanent layoff. Supposedly my skills aren't what IBM needs these days: WebSphere (3/4/5), J2EE/EJB/JDBC/SOAP/XML, DB2/Oracle. Hmm, that seems to be precisely the software IBM is selling. And last year I was told that my compensation is exactly the competitive market average for my skills, i.e. I'm not overpaid.

      I'm afraid your optimism about IT is unfounded. Sure, there are jobs: in the IT departments of companies that make concrete products (not computers though). But the big players who are focused solely on computer hardware/software are hell-bent on turning their developers into a white-collar servant class. "Do all this stuff, for less money, or we'll just move your job across the Pond."

      This is not pessimism but realism: you will not be able to make a living wage on your Jedi skills alone. Get the hell out of IT before the tsumani takes you and your family with it.

      I saw it coming months ago and will be enrolled in a real engineering program soon. And I'll be one hell of an engineer too, since I have no trouble automating complicated problems. And I'll tell you what: If I ever see IBM across the table in my second career, I'll tell the rep to go fuck himself.

    2. Re:A better set of questions by Dazhel · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The best thing you can do for a career in IT is to truly love it and find it fascinating. This will keep your skills sharp as you experiment and play with cutting edge technologies on your own, and maybe on your job, and also provide the motivation needed to obtain a deeper understanding of the many details associated with programming, system administration, engineering, etc.

      Amen to that! My work is currently interviewing for a programmer position with the prerequisites of a bit of analysis and design experience, knowledge of the Windows operating system and C++ coding skills. Pretty average commodity skills one would think.

      Our interview process basically involves a series of questions about how past experience may relate to the job description, and a very basic C/C++ coding test on a few sheets of paper. We realise that in an interview situation it's not always possible to get 100% on the coding test so that's not what we're looking for. However the amount of candidates that *completely* fail the coding test (i.e. every question wrong) yet purport to have 10 years of experience with C and C++ programming is amazing. These aren't hard questions. In terms of C what does dereferencing mean? In terms of C++ what does public, protected, private mean? What is the value of a variable at the end of a tracing a textbook for loop?

      Those who truly have a passion for their software development work should be able to fly through this little practical quiz and move on to impressing the interviewer in other aspects of their career development. If those that apply can't pass our simple test then perhaps they don't belong in any sort of C or C++ software development role at all.

  21. FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    FACT 2: There is a limited demand for your job.
    FACT 3: For practical purposes, there is an unlimited supply of people who can learn your job.

    Now justify your standard of living.

    Note: "I am American, and thus entitled to living better than 90% of the world's population." is not a convincing argument.

    Unless you're doing something that only you can do, expect your wage to fall to a level that is attractive only to the poorest people in the world.

    Moral: learn to do something remarkable, or accept that you don't deserve more than three meals a day and a warm place to sleep.

    1. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by John+Courtland · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you can't provide a livable wage for jobs that need to be done, your economy won't last too long. Certain work HAS to be done, there's no sense in only paying what amounts to barely enough to eat and pay rent for it. It's annoying work too, so in essence it's just as hard. Why do you think we have welfare? (Note that I assume you live in the US, but it's the same in the UK and the Dole Queue) Not because certain people don't work, but because there's no way for a lot of people to make enough to live on. You can beat the education and brainpower drums all you want, it doesn't change the fact that the economic standards of an area GREATLY affect the crime rate, and therefore, YOU. You should WANT everyone to be better off, even just for the sake of you not getting mugged when you go to the Opera or whatever you do.

      Not everyone can be "remarkable" you know. Some people just don't have the skill or ability. But there are some that do, who just can't get a break, who you dismiss. C'est la vie, but things have to change, or else once the poor get sick of being poor, they will revolt, and I would not want to be at the top then.

      Note that I am just trying to get a point across and am in no way attacking you. I do accept your points as the way things are now, but I'm just pointing out they need to be changed.

      --
      Slashdot is proof that Sturgeon's Law applies to mankind.
    2. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by bwt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Speak for yourself.

      If all you do is programming, then I suppose that your job is not hard. But if your job includes analysing your company's business and using information technology to solve business problems that affect the bottom line, then your job is very hard, very valuable, not exportable, and very secure.

      There are many good programmers that don't understand business and want to be handed clean coding tasks. These are the people that are whining incessantly because their requirements documents aren't right. They want somebody else to do the hard part. The simple fact is that if you A) understand the business and B) can read the code that drives it, then you are better positioned than most people in the company to actually create revenue enhancing process changes.

    3. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by imaginate · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Great, so we're in a situation so overpopulated that *everyone* should live like crap and feel the same - that they are expendable, are no better than any number of others at anything, and whose worth is no more than the cost of replacement...

      This of course applies to everyone except those few who happen to be deemed "exceptional" in some way, either because they can monkey according to an arbitrary set of rules (sports) or because people find them most attractive (celebrity) or because they can be vicious and single-minded enough to screw everyone else over in favor of money.

      Yay, that's the world I want to live in (maybe we already do)

    4. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by fermion · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The fact is that the work I have done is not so hard, and many people could do it, and the work has not in any absolute sense been worth the money I was paid. That, of course, is only because money really has not worth until it is normalized to the fiction of the people who use it.

      That said, the standard of living is justified based on the culture of consumerism. Someone needs to buy those $100 pair of sneakers, or that $200 gaming system, or that $400 mp3 player. And to do that you need cash. You need enough cash so the opportunity costs of such purchases are not so great that you will decide these things are not a good value. If you have a job that brings home $1000 a month, and you need $400 for rent and $200 for food and then clothes and transportation to work and medical care, these other things are not going to seem so important. I mean you might start downloading music over your $300 used computer and your $15 dial-up connection, which are justified by your kids educational needs, instead of paying even $1 for the track.

      Of course all these are way overpriced. We pay middle men, ad men, men in suits, and men in trucks to get the product to us. Certainly if we lowered our standards, bought locally, and only what we needed, then prices would fall. We could make $1000 a month and afford all we need and a few extras. Of course without ads, we would not know we may not know we need a new pair of sneakers. If we do not know we will not buy. If there are no ads, there is not TV, radio, internet. If we do not buy, there are no jobs elsewhere, unless wages in those areas go up high enough to support the infrastructure.

      of course, we could buy everything used. But someone would have to buy new. So how many people would that take. 10%? 20%? Would 20% of the population have remarkable skills that would justify a high wage. Could they buy enough to support the world economy and give us their hand me downs.

      It is a house of cards. No one deserves the standard of living. No one deserves to be told if they do not movies and music at full price they are killing the children of hard working artists. No one deserves to be told that if they do not spend their little expendable income on a dinner at McDonneld's or a new pair of sneakers that are they are depriving their child. Unfortunately, that is what people in the U.S. are told. Unfortunately we are told that we must spend, while the jobs that allow us to spend are shipped off to other countries.

      I am not saying this is right or wrong, good or bad, necessary or not. I am just saying that I do not believe it was India or China that made MS or Nike or McDonalds rich. I believe it was citizens of the US that did that. And now that they are done with us, they will continue consuming resources elsewhere. Someone needs to buy the products at the inflated prices. Someone needs to have the wages to afford it. If it is not the US, then it is someone else. And that someone else will have deserve it no more of less than those who had it previously.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    5. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by pla · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Note: "I am American, and thus entitled to living better than 90% of the world's population." is not a convincing argument.

      I can see you have a poor grasp of sarcasm, so I'll spell it out for you...

      We currently live in the 21st century. Not the 19th.

      The jobs we ship to people "willing" to work cheaper do not, for the most part, improve the lives of those they go to. We destroy the land the local populace used to at least manage to survive on, make them wage slaves for a pittance far below liveable, and when Nike, or Union Carbide, or Walmart, or whatever company, finally gets bored and moves elsewhere, they leave slums and wastelands.


      Now justify your standard of living.

      Okay, I will do exactly that.

      What does Nike make? Shoes. Expensive shoes. Can a typical sweatshop laboror, whose life you seem to think Nike enhances greatly, buy those shoes? No. I can. You probably can. Most Slashdot readers probably can. We "justify" our standard of living simply by having it (or did some religion's imaginary friend wave the "US propserity and world hegemony" wand to give us our standard of living?).

      Had you not decided to karma-whore (as an AC? not very useful...) with the "I feel so sick of whining programmers" card, you might have noticed my point - That we don't "help" third-world countries by forcing the local populace into corporate slavery. We lower our own standard of living without raising theirs.

      I fully support raising the world-wide standard of living. Paying someone less than their food costs them (regardless of physical location) does not accomplish that.

    6. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 4, Insightful

      FACT 1: Your job is not hard.

      Hmm... You'd be surprised how many people find it next to impossible. I teach this stuff in college, and I must tell you, that there are those who find 'this stuff' easy (about 1% of the population), about 4% who find it challenging but interesting, and about 95% who will never understand binary numbers.

      Now, in a corporate environment, is it also true. Only 1 out of possibly 10 or so developers actually knows what they're doing! (most got into the company because their uncle has a friend in HR).

      Notice that most "Jobs Lost" exlamations don't really say "productivity is down"... in fact, I bet that in most companies, you can fire half the developers (worst half), and nobody would even notice that they're gone.

      So why shouldn't someone have a high paying job when they can do something a vast percentage of the population cannot? (they may pretend to be able to do it, etc.,)

      While it is very sad when a good developer cannot find work (I've been in that boat myself), I find it amusing when someone who only knows HTML/JavaScript (or read one of them Dummies books) is complaining about not being able to find a job (or that their salary is too low).

      Hopefully, the "jobs lost" doesn't apply to most true computer geeks - but to those "3 week VB class" (or Lean C++ in 24 Hours) people.

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

    7. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by Otter · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I think you have an *extremely* romanticized notion of the joys of plowing a rice paddy with a water buffalo (if you're lucky) and harvesting it by hand. Nobody is "forced into corporate slavery". That's nonsense. People take those jobs because they're an improvement over their existing options.

      In fact, when Nike sells a pair of shoes for $130, I agree that there is something highly disturbing about the fact that LeBron James pockets a larger share than does the person who made them. But thinking about that issue isn't served by making up fairy tales about happy farmers forced into factories by Mr. Burns and the Monopoly guy.

    8. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If all you do is programming, then I suppose that your job is not hard. But if your job includes analysing your company's business and using information technology to solve business problems that affect the bottom line, then your job is very hard, very valuable, not exportable, and very secure.

      But, for some odd reason, companies don't seem to give a flying flip about domain experience. They will happily toss out 30-years-on-the-job Cobolers who know the company like the back of their hand for some snot-nosed kid who happens to know FadX. They don't want to pay for training and "seniority" and know they can work the snotnose for 55-hours-per-week because he/she hasn't burnt out yet and doesn't have a family yet.

    9. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by bwt · · Score: 3, Insightful


      And business understanding is only valuable if it leads to results. It's unlikely that Cobol is the source of the next breakthrough. If you are lazy and expensive, expect "but I understand how our business works" to be met with "what have you done for me lately?".

      Companies don't care about domain experience, they care about business results. Be the kind of IT worker that generates these results and you have nothing to fear.

    10. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by Zeinfeld · · Score: 3, Insightful
      In fact, when Nike sells a pair of shoes for $130, I agree that there is something highly disturbing about the fact that LeBron James pockets a larger share than does the person who made them.

      What I find disturbing is the fact that people would consider a cheaply made shoe that cost less than $1 to make worth paying $130 for.

      For $350 I could buy a pair of English hand made brogues which would be considerably more comfortable. Since the point of paying $130 for a pair of shoes is to advertise the fact that you can afford to pay $130 for a pair of shoes a pair of Church's would work far better.

      If you want a pair of sneakers then buy a pair of Kirkland trainers at Costco for $12.

      Quite why anyone would believe I would think more highly of them because they are a victimg to a marketting scheme that sells $12 pairs of shoes for more than ten times that amount is beyond me.

      Contrawise I really don't know why Nike can't get a clue and start paying their workers a fair wage. The cost of doing so would hardly register. Some day they are going to discover that they have lost the next Jordan or Tiger Woods to a competitor because their management does not want to be tainted by association with Nike. Arnold Palmer did very well by turning down a lot of second rate endorsements early in his career even though they would have paid a lot more than the endorsements he did accept. Later on endorsers sought him out because of his previous association with Rolex etc.

      --
      Looking for an Information Security student project suggestion?
      Try http://dotcrimeManifesto.com/
    11. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by lucifuge31337 · · Score: 2, Troll

      There are many good programmers that don't understand business and want to be handed clean coding tasks. These are the people that are whining incessantly because their requirements documents aren't right.

      My god....someone else who gets it. When I was a coder (internal apps for a fund accounting firm), I sat down with the people who did the job I was to assist/automate with code and LEARNED TO DO THEIR JOB. By writing my own requirements doc, I could craft a better end product.

      Then I move up to being the dev manager at another place. And I hear nothing but whining from coders who don't have a detailed enough requirement doc, or that I wanted something else even though what they did techincally allowed them to check off every box on their completion crieria. Cittone/DeVry/NameAnotherCrappy"School" never tought them a damn thing about business. I had coders who could run circles around me in raw code. But they had no concept of the practical application of their skills. They will always be in jeopardy of losing their jobs. And they will always be the ones who whine the loudest.

      --
      Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
    12. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by bigmammoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think your missing a lot of information here, for example US agro buizness unloading Goverment subsidized crops onto developing nations at a cost lower then it is fesable to produce them. The joys of plowing rice paddy is not a option for people when the market is satrurated with a product payed for by US taxes and sold for less then cost of production.

    13. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by thesilverbail · · Score: 5, Interesting
      I fully support raising the world-wide standard of living. Paying someone less than their food costs them (regardless of physical location) does not accomplish that.

      As an Indian in the IT industry I resent your charecterisation of us as starving slave labour. You just compare our salaries on an exchange rate basis without factoring purchasing power parity and then say that we're being made to work for a pittance. Well guess what? A thousand dollars a month is a very comfortable salary in India.

      You're just desperately trying to find some excuse so you can oppose outsourcing "in principle" when all you're really worried about is your job.

      I feel sorry for people in the US hit by outsourcing and the job crunch. But it's hard to feel bad about it seeing the good things it has done in my country, giving it a chance to come out of its poverty and maybe into some kind of economic parity with the first world.

      --
      I have found a truly wonderful proof of Fermat's Last Theorem, but unfortunately this sig is too small to contain it.
    14. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by pla · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As an Indian in the IT industry I resent your charecterisation of us as starving slave labour

      Though Indians may count as the most obvious example of US companies outsourcing from the point of view of a Slashdotter, I do realize that Indians do fairly well, not in any way "third world".

      I also did not refer even to tech, specifically, limiting my text basically to the sort of sweatshop labor US companies use in Central America, parts of Africa (more Western Europe for that one), and a few former-Soviet countries. Yes, I mentioned Union Carbide with Bhopal in mind, but would you honestly say that all of India does as well as the engineers in the cities?


      Well guess what? A thousand dollars a month is a very comfortable salary in India.

      Unfortunately, your government (unlike my own, which grants H1b's at the drop of a hat) won't let me follow my job to your country, where I too might live well on a thousand or so per month. In the US, a thousand barely pays rent on a crappy apartment (and in the major cities, it doesn't even come close to rent).

      So yes, I sincerely feel "good" that a quarter of my previous salary makes you able to live comfortably. I'd gladly take the remainder, though, making both of us able to live comfortably. That I consider a fair compromise, rather than you working for what a US employer laughs at you for accepting, while an American worker (myself included) remains unemployed.

    15. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by thesilverbail · · Score: 2, Insightful
      also did not refer even to tech, specifically, limiting my text basically to the sort of sweatshop labor US companies use in Central America, parts of Africa (more Western Europe for that one), and a few former-Soviet countries. Yes, I mentioned Union Carbide with Bhopal in mind, but would you honestly say that all of India does as well as the engineers in the cities?

      good point. I was refering only to tech in reference to this article. and bhopal brings up another point - stories i heard about how multinationals would dispose of their toxic chemicals in the african countryside taking advantage of lax government regulations. That sort of thing is evil whichever 'side' you're on.

      Unfortunately, your government (unlike my own, which grants H1b's at the drop of a hat) won't let me follow my job to your country, where I too might live well on a thousand or so per month. In the US, a thousand barely pays rent on a crappy apartment (and in the major cities, it doesn't even come close to rent).

      granted that is unfair. unfortunately, following your job here wouldnt help you much either. yes you might live well here, but at some point you'd want to go back to the US, and your savings wont be much then. You do plan to save dont you? :-)

      So yes, I sincerely feel "good" that a quarter of my previous salary makes you able to live comfortably. I'd gladly take the remainder, though, making both of us able to live comfortably. That I consider a fair compromise, rather than you working for what a US employer laughs at you for accepting, while an American worker (myself included) remains unemployed.

      A fair deal, but how are we to get it working that way? Ultimately it's the greed of the companies and the managers involved that decide these things. Maybe the govt. could step in and make some sort of legislation, that if a company moves more than a certain percentage of its jobs offshore, it looses the privelege of being a registered US company. That might help and be a fair deal for offshore workers as well.

      --
      I have found a truly wonderful proof of Fermat's Last Theorem, but unfortunately this sig is too small to contain it.
    16. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by lucifuge31337 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Where is this mythical land?'

      I belive it is called India.

      --
      Do not fold, spindle or mutilate.
    17. Re:FACT 1: Your job is not hard. by pmz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you have no education and no skills, you won't get far...

      There are jobs that do on-the-job training. There are some jobs that will pay for school in exchange for work (nursing, for example). There's the military, which has very good training options. There are community colleges, which are very affordable. There are libraries.

      If it weren't for unconstitutional laws, there'd be prostitution. Legalize drugs, and the #1 occupation in bad neighborhoods would be brought out into the open and made perfectly acceptible. For the truly clueless, there's prison.

      If we got rid of the minimum wage, ditch digging and sidewalk sweeping would become options, too.

      it should be the governments' job to provide these to the people.

      The government is failing. Public schools are mediocre and are glorified day care. State universities are seeing double-digit tuition growth. Lotteries are used as excuses to divert education funds to other projects. The government also endorses zero-tolerance policies that punish people for things that aren't even immoral.

      The government isn't good at helping people; rather, it is really good at taking people's freedoms away under the guise of help. The war on drugs created the organized black market for drugs, props up dictatorships around the world, and puts thousands of innocent people into prison every year. The Earned Income Credit is a magic fountain for those who don't want to work. The minimum wage makes unskilled jobs unaffordable to those who would want to offer them. Rent subsidies allow landlords to maintain their artificially high rates and allow employers to get by paying too little. These are just the top of the iceberg.

  22. Navy: Never Again Volunteer Yourself by Mad+Man · · Score: 2, Interesting
  23. Sanity check by danharan · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The sector with the largest decrease in jobs was electronics manufacturing, accounting for more than half of all tech jobs lost between 2001 and 2002. For the first time in the seven years of publishing Cyberstates, the software sector recorded a loss of nearly 150,000 jobs last year. Indeed, the once-thriving software sector posted large increases in employment in all previous editions of Cyberstates.
    What? We only started losing software jobs last year? We gained even through the dot-bomb? Now *that* is news to me.
    --
    Information: "I want to be anthropomorphized"
  24. Yeah it's shitty by greymond · · Score: 2, Interesting

    At my work we layed off several people and thos eof us that stayed were given 2% raises (for me it worked out to about $800 more a year) I'd honestly rather have more coworkers than $800/yr more that I don't even notice.

  25. Re:One, Uncomfortable, Question by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Since the industry is in turmoil, with so many variables changing at a the same time, it is difficult to put a measure on this.

    I think likely the biggest % job lost is because the measure was relative to the the dot.com boom (or at least the final days) where almost anybody who could spell computer could get a job. Likely the majority of the job losses can be attributed to that. Next comes the general economic downturn, and next probably outsourcing and open source.

    Just like any industry, as things mature they move more to a commoditised economic model. (eg. in the beginning only the industrialised countries could produce low-cost soya beans or corn or whatever, now they're just commodity items you can source from anywhere). The same is happeing with software. Only the very arrogant would suggest that most software cannot be created/maintained etc in India, China, wherever.

    I don't profess to know a way out of this at an industry level, but I think you can at an individual level. The computer/electronics industry is about change. Keep learning. When I left University with a Computer Science degree, I had COBOL and FORTRAN and PASCAL under the belt. I taught myself everything else I know and have specialised in firmware development/OS software. Everyone needs to find their own path and walk it. To stagnate is to fall victim to commoditisation.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  26. Detritus from the .com bust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Regardless, individual stories of people who got fired/layed off/whatever are barking up the wrong tree in this thread. This has to do with macroeconomic supply, demand, and productivity. And I'm going to argue that things are _better_ with these types of market corrections.

    First off, I'm just not buying the 'overseas' argument. I think the people hit hardest are web designers and other low-tech technical people (and some niche high-tech people) - en masse, the jobs just didn't need doing, rather than things that needed doing but are easily farm-out-able. The latter set of jobs seems to me to be rather minimal anyway.

    Understand that jobs lost numbers are not 'people who lost their jobs', but 'these jobs no longer exist' - it's not necessarily the case that we 'lost' them to someone else.

    Question: of the jobs lost, how many of those didn't need to be done? Answer: all of them (when taken in aggregate). Either the companies died, the work the people did wasn't valuable, or the individuals themselves were not very good and others took up the slack anyway.

    Taken not in the individual case, but in general - good people get hired to do something else, and the bottom strata have to find jobs in another industry - arguably, they shouldn't have been here in the first place, but they rode the wave. Sure, there will always be individual cases where this isn't true - usually due to people who are not, for one reason or another, willing to go where the jobs are. (Only these last people are ones for whom a 'move to india' (or wherever new jobs are going) actually makes sense).

    What this means is that the salaries for these jobs have either gone into: something not technical but useful, lower prices, stockholder equity, or higher CEO compensation (or any of the other drains on productivity, like lawyers, or increased state taxes, or whatever).

    In 3 of the 4 cases, that's a GOOD thing. Note that CEO compensation, and perques in general, haven't been increased due to the bust, and despite SCO, I haven't heard of Lawyers and such hangers-on's incomes being spectacular.

    What this means is that if productivity stays high, the total amount of work done has become cheaper. If productivity goes lower, that means that the lost work being done before wasn't valuable - if it was, then it would still be being done (market forces driving production). Finally, in either case, those who _did_ migrate from one job to another are hopefully doing something 'better' (usually are - most of the 'best work' of a job is done in the first year or two, IMO, and someone made a recent decision that this job was worth doing enough to hire someone).

    So, all in all, a decline in jobs isn't necessarily a bad thing - it's very possibly a good thing. It's a "correction" of an inherent weakness, and might make us stronger and more productive because of it.

  27. Yeah by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But mostly just the unnecessary jobs were cut, and unprofitable businesses shut down.

  28. Net or gross by magarity · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The article does not mention if this is a net loss or a gross loss. This small detail will widely vary the topic's importance.

  29. Re:I think I speak for most everyone when I say... by corebreech · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Job losses in the tech industry and an overthrow of the government do not go hand in hand.

    Sure they do. These jobs in the tech industry were the ones hailed by Clinton as those that would be aplenty with the passage of GATT and NAFTA. These were to be the good paying jobs that would emerge once we got rid of all those nasty low-paying jobs, or so they said.

    Not only does that turn out to be wrong, but it now appears they knew it was shit all along. The same corrupt politicians who brought us NAFTA and GATT also brought us the H1B visa and otherwise paved the way for the exodus of the same new jobs they claimed would be created by NAFTA/GATT.

    But, hey... if you really think you can "hack into Access" and prevent Bush from being re-elected in 2004, then I'm your new best friend.

    You haven't been paying attention. Chief amongst the exploits being performed against Diebold's "voting systems" are compromising the database used to tally the results, which, incredibly, is MS Access.

    Keep up the conspiracy theories, friend. I'm sure you'll prove them someday.

    They're already proven! Diebold has already been shown to be corrupt! The exodus of good-paying jobs from America under a policy advertised as securing these jobs instead is a fact! Exactly what conspiracy theory are you referring to here? The one that accuses the government of doing something they've already been proven to do?

    Hilarious!

  30. Blue Collar Workers move to China, India to reclai by hemp · · Score: 2

    http://www.freepressed.com/manufacturing.htm

    Blue Collar Workers move to China, India to reclaim lost jobs

    Mass exodus of manufacturing jobs prompts mass migration of American workers to the Third World.

    Kellerman hopes he will fit in at his new job in Calcutta. Free Trade Zone--Thousands of blue collar workers are leaving the United States in pursuit of the 2.7 manufacturing jobs that moved
    overseas during the past three years.

    Deke Kellerman, a worker at the recently-closed Maytag Plant in Galesburg, Illinois, is moving his family to India so that he can keep his job constructing refrigerators. His pay will be cut from $11.95 to a whooping 35 cents an hour.

    "There aren't any jobs here in the states anymore," Kellerman said. "So me and Missy, Deke Jr. and Delyn decided we'd move over there and
    give it a shot. I figure as long as they got a Mickey D's and I can catch the Bears on TV, I'll be happy."

    The Kellermans are not the only family from the closed Maytag plant that are moving half-way around the world to save their jobs.

    Buel Jackson, his wife, Mary and their children Tucker, Conroy and Beldin followed Jackson's job all the way to the slums of Surat in the Western Indian State of Gujaret.

    "Sure, we don't have any running water, tuberculosis is rampant and, last week, a couple of buildings in the slum collapsed, killing a bunch of people, but we're happy...sort of," Jackson said.

    In the Jackson family's one-room abode, the children sleep on mats on the floor. The youngest child, Beldin, lay on the floor sweating from a
    severe bout of dengue fever.

    "The hardest part for me has been getting used to the food," said Mary Jackson, as she placed a cool cloth on her son's forehead. "We
    can't afford any."

    The slums of Surat may be infested with diseased rats and open sewers, but at least it's close to the sweatshop where the Jackson family works
    together.

    Mary Jackson who used to weigh a portly 180 pounds has lost 50 pounds since the family moved to India three months ago.

    She moved about the apartment wearing an Eskimo Joe shirt underneath a Sari.

    While the Jackson family used to regularly throw away several pounds of food per week, they now pour a little water into their bowls after they
    have had their daily allotment of rice so that they can sop up every last morsel of food.

    Besides Buel, the rest of the family also works on the assembly line at the Maytag plant for 12 hours a day eeking out barley enough money to
    survive.

    The mass exodus of manufacturing jobs started during President Reagan's tenure and gained steam when President Clinton signed the NAFTA free trade agreement, which opened up the borders between the US and Mexico. The creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO) has led to the further loss of jobs. Both groups have loopholes that allow them to overturn national laws in areas such as safety and environmental standards.

    "Increasing poverty and joblessness in the United States is not just an afterthought of our policy; it's the main motivation," said Robert Noriega, an assistant secretary of state. "Free trade is primarily about taking jobs away from Americans and creating economies based on slave labor round the world for the financial benefit of multi-national corporations."

    Pittsburgh, PA Steel Worker Thomas Barrett, moved his family to Shuiye Town in the Henan Province of China to work for Huaguan Iron and Steel Co. after his company, Bethlehem Steel, shuttered its door earlier this year.

    Thomas and Amy Barrett couldn't ask for better jobs except ones that paid enough to friggin' eat on. Barrett works 14 hours a day in unsafe conditions while his children are schooled at the state-run Communist public school where they are
    taught anti-American propaganda and to hate Buddhists.

    "Well, we couldn't continued to compete against the slave wages that they pay over here in China so I decided if you can't beat them join them,

    --
    Skip ------ See the latest from http://www.anArchyFortWorth.com
  31. Darwin was right, and we are surprised? by Bug-Y2K · · Score: 5, Insightful


    For almost two decades, the IT industry, in the form of corporate IT departments have been telling their masters:
    "Invest in technology, and it will pay off in increased productivity and profits."

    For the past 10+ years, the IT industry, in the form of software and hardware vendors, have seen their profits soar as a result of this investment, and developed the perfect mechanism for milking it for consistent, quarterly results: The Upgrade.

    The Upgrade has killed the golden goose. The consistent, repetitive costly upgrade... while padding the bottom line of IT Vendors, has eroded the bottom line of the Corporate World.

    Increased expediture, planned and worse, ENFORCED obsolescence, ever-increasing headcounts, etc etc etc.

    The CEO's and CFO's have had enough, and they aren't taking it anymore. From their perspective IT is a money pit. An endless drain on financial and human resources.

    Ane we are wondering why the tech sector is stagnant at best right now? Technology is immature, yet we kept on praising it as the solution to all problems! Arrogance of our superiority and ignorance of true business needs were the dominant perceptions of your average IT department over the past decade or so. Now is the time for their revenge.

    The holders of the purse strings want to see some of that return on investment before they'll spend like that again.

    Our profession needs to learn humility, and nothing does that better than a financial ass-kicking.

  32. Re:Military: good jobs, good training by MoneyT · · Score: 2, Interesting

    And in other news, the primary job of a soldier is to be a soldier. Yes, they train you to kill people. Maybe that's because that's the purpose of the military, to wage war.

    I mean I realize this is the modern military under preasure from the flowerpower movement, but when it comes down to it, the military has one primary purpose and that is to wage war.

    BTW, all that money you're bitching about being spent in the military, ever consider a breakdown of where that goes?

    Salleries, food, shelter make up a huge chunk of that.

    Then there's research and development, which suprisingly enough, even though it's research into how to kill more efficiently, it still benefits modern society. Or have you forgotten GPS, radar and jet engines? Perhaps you don't like using the internet? You would be truely suprised how much of the money spent on the military is going to something other than putting bullets into bodies.

    --
    T Money
    World Domination with a plastic spoon since 1984
  33. All Overseas by WillRobinson · · Score: 2, Informative

    I work in the electronics industry. It works like this, before we did final assembly her in good old usa, so we purchased parts made in usa.

    Now final assembly is offshore, so the best is to purchase the parts locally.

    First they buy equipment here, and assemble there. Next they build equipment there. There goes all the assembly, machine fabrication, chip assembly, plastic molding, and it goes much deeper.

  34. Fuck The Navy (FTN), you fuckin' Lifer by Cryofan · · Score: 2
    The Navy sux, you know it, and I know, and every swingin' dick knows it.


    I was an Electronics Tech, as well...and I know the score!



    The Navy is organized for the benefit of the Lifers (those who have been in a long time and have seniority) and officers. Do not join the Navy. THis is Fair Warning!



    FTN!

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  35. How many of these were marketing/managment drones? by heldlikesound · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It always amazes me how middle managers and marketing suits are lumped in and considered "tech" jobs, how much code are they writing, or what new research are they doing. These jobs may have been at tech companies but I would wager most of these jobs were positions that shouldn't have been to begin with.

    --


    Cloud City Digital: DVD Production at its cheapest/finest
  36. What Americans Deserve by randall_burns · · Score: 2, Interesting
    A government that doesn't dispose of techies over the objection of 82% of the public, simply to get political donations. Americans deserve leaders that don't sell their office as did Bush, Gephardt, Kerry, Lieberman and Edwards. The polls predicted that what has happened would happen.


    The claim that people that are rich get rich by doing remarkable things is bogus--some do, far more simply lie, cheat and steal effectively. Money is a poor measure of someone's contribution. Look at Kary Mullis-he built and entire industry and got $20K for a patent sold for over $100 Million(he got the Nobel Prize and Japan Medal-but that was inspite of Cetus management, not because of it).

    1. Re:What Americans Deserve by nyseal · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Bush didn't get a direct link in your response........I'm surprised! Also, I never heard of the rich getting rich because of remarkable things. I think it's pretty much common knowledge that the rich stay rich for certain reasons; none of which is strictly IT (on-topic).......except for Bill Gates who does not count for technology.

      --
      [SIG] Remember Mattel handheld games?
  37. and also by MoneyT · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Even the money spent on putting bullets or bombs into bodies isn't always spent on just making a weapon. Beleive it or not, the military doesn't want to kill civilians. Nor does the government for that matter. A lot of money is dumped into research to make safer weapons that not only don't kill our guys, but don't kill the wrong people either.

    --
    T Money
    World Domination with a plastic spoon since 1984
  38. Re:The Reality by iggymanz · · Score: 3, Informative

    There's some other cats that are only now just peeking their head out of bags:

    1. Real savings cost of outsourcing to India is less than 20% with VERY strick management, with a HUGE assumed risk
    2. Reports of Indian companies selling "confidential" data are starting to appear
    3. Possibility of conventional or nuclear war between India & her neighbor
    4. huge incentive for people in India to lie about capabilities/qualifications/background checks to land work (interesting aside: owner of U.S. recruiting business who is immigrant to U.S. from India has told me there is NO WAY to perform background check on people whose only work experience is from India, so he won't hire them without verifiable U.S. work experience of some sort)

  39. "Slowed" is not necessarily a good thing by carcosa30 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The fact that the job-loss rate has slowed is not necessarily good. It's always pointed to as a sign of economic recovery, when in fact all it means is that the rate of deterioration has decreased.

    I think that the layoff rate is going to accelerate again. The fact that the dot-com boom produced hundreds of thousands of 19 year old CIOs means that there are that many people-- young, hungry, flexible-- who are willing to work much cheaper, and perhaps smarter, than old fogeys like me and maybe you. But hey, I'm sure the Bush administration will fix everything...

    I'm using this time as an opportunity to go back to school and finish a college degree-- in my case, biotech. I think there's going to be a boom in biotechnology that's going to dwarf the dotcoms, and it'll be a subject that's going to be far more difficult for the average person to learn, both because of subject matter and because of the much greater infrastructure required for learning. It's going to be harder for them to fake knowledge by submitting resumes packed with buzzwords to hundreds of companies knowing that one of the fish is bound to bite.

    That is, until Microsoft comes out with gel-chromatography equipment. That's kind of a disturbing thought.

    --
    Intolerance for ambiguity is the mark of the authoritarian personality.
  40. Re:I think I speak for most everyone when I say... by BeatlesForum.com · · Score: 2, Flamebait

    Finally. Someone around here who has the balls to speak the truth. Thanks for nothing, Clinton.

    G.W.'s finally getting Clinton's bad economy turned around. The economy was already turning sour when Clinton was in office. However, the liberal media spin constantly blames the GOP. Funny. George W. wasn't even in office (or elected, for that matter) before the economy went south.

    So George W. is spending all those government budget surpluses, huh? Projected surpluses, actually - based on projections of tax revenue from a bull economy. So, really, there wasn't going to be any surplus regardless of which political flavor was in office.

    If Gore won the election, CNN would be blaming the republican-controlled Congress... sigh. How gullible is America?

    --
    When millions disappear from earth, it's not aliens, it's the rapture.
  41. Re:Those aren't programming problems by twiddlingbits · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I look for more generalized problem solving skills, and creative solutions. Thus the second problem is fair game and the solution to use the Unix sort command or awk or sed instead of C++ would give them an A in my book. The first problems should be caught be a good compiler with the warnings set to a high level. The unsafe cast would be flagged, the destructor and wrong kind of delete may or may not have been. I would guess the parent poster was looking for a C++ guru not just a programmer as those type of errors are not trvial to find!

  42. Neeeeext! by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The jobs we ship to people "willing" to work cheaper do not, for the most part, improve the lives of those they go to. We destroy the land the local populace used to at least manage to survive on, make them wage slaves for a pittance far below liveable, and when Nike, or Union Carbide, or Walmart, or whatever company, finally gets bored and moves elsewhere, they leave slums and wastelands.

    You want an example? Mexico. Manufactures are leaving there because they can find yet cheaper wages in China and India. Mexico's economy is in a tailspin right now because of this.

    Thus, China or India could be the next Mexico once some other nation becomes a "better target".

  43. Re:The Reality by AstroByte · · Score: 2
    I really believed it was only the low-skill grunt work being off-shored until I did a global search on monster.com. The number of jobs in India/China asking for advanced skills and knowledge is truly staggering. Just think of the number of "foreigners" in grad schools in both the US and Europe -- most of them won't be staying but will be returning as the job situation is now better at home. Most of the big IT companies such as IBM, HP and Intel have set up new research labs in India and China to tap into this talent.

    The reality is that R&D follows the growth markets. The new markets are in India and China and Western companies are falling over themselves to invest in order to get a slice of the pie.

    If anything I think IT in the west will increasingly be near-customer integration and customisation of basic technology developed and manufactured in China/Taiwan/South Korea and India. Companies who started off as sub-contractors for Western companies are waking up and realising they're the ones who call the shots. Just look at Samsung who now control flat screen development and moves by Chinese manufacturers to develop their own standards so that they no longer rely on Western IP.

    A lot of programmers are going back to school to get Masters and PhD degrees. My fear would be that they will leave in 4 years time with no more market for their skills than before and just an even bigger pile of debts to pay off.

    I have a BSc, MSc and PhD and I'm scared...

  44. We are all to blame... by krbvroc1 · · Score: 2

    The businesses are always in crunch mode trying to push their people which means things like training and self-improvement of their employees suffer. Then they claim they need foreign workers since only they have the latest skills.
    The economy is suffering because none of us told the emperorer they were naked during the dot.com bubble. Instead we checked our yahoo finance every hour watching our stock/401(k)'s blossom.
    We've built our economy on consumerism which requires a high-standard of living - letting these jobs go overseas is going to hurt if no one has money to buy the items!
    How far to the bottom can we race - there has to be a balance - 100% free market just doesn't work.

  45. International Perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I live in Australia and can provide the flip-side perspective to all this. The US gave the world the free-market economy, for better or for worse, and is now leveraging the system to maximize profits. Back in the late 90s tech boom here in Australia we didn't feel it much at all. Sure, jobs were fairly easy to come by in IT but even with experience and qualifications I couldn't make more than AUD45k (USD29k at the time!) living in an extremely large, expensive city. You simply could not get a real software development/CS job in Australia then because everything was done in north america and there was no market here. Now its beginning to change. We are westernised, speak english, understand american business and are well educated. Plus the exchange rate and standard of living make us almost exactly half the price of comparible american labour. All of this hoo-ha with outsourcing to China and India is one thing; language barriers, poor quality code, etc. I think the real future in moving US jobs overseas is to places like Australia and New Zealand where, for all intents are purposes, you're dealing with americans in a cheaper part of the world. So I get to my point: Americans are overpaid on a global stage and can't compete. But America is the world's bastion of capitalism and competitive edge. I see this all resulting in the wages of IT staff simply coming down to what they are worth on a global stage and everyone everywhere in the world being able to get a job with fair conditions. Fair conditions mean you get your fair share of global resources commeasurate to your skills and contribution on a global scale. Like a previous poster said, being American does not entitle you to a high standard of living. Get over it. Your loss is our gain, and if you're not willing to 'stoop' to our level i'm happy to keep living comfortably from money gained by lost American jobs. At least that's a bit less tax to pay for Israel/Iraq occupation eh? (had to be said).

    peace

  46. Show me the problem by uptownguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    companies don't seem to give a flying flip about domain experience...They don't want to pay for training and "seniority"

    I think it would be more accurate to say that companies don't want to pay what you think they should pay for training and seniority. They (that is, the market) value(s) it, certainly, but they aren't willing to paid the absurd premium prices they were paying for it in the late 90s. Tough luck. The market adjusted to reflect the actual supply and demand. And that actual supply includes offshore workers. Get over it. If you actually have tech skills, they are still willing to pay for those skills, just not at the price you expect. But you can't change reality by whining about it. And setting up artifical contols on prices or wages won't change that reality.

    If you really want to work in IT, price yourself accordingly and realize you will be competing with offshore workers. So, maybe you'll have to take a job for half the salary you expect, but I bet any programmer could find some job for $28,000/year. That's still a liveable wage. Show me the problem...

    A well crafted troll doesn't put people down, it elicits responses...

    --


    I would have to say that explosives are the most abused technology in all of history.
    1. Re:Show me the problem by cayenne8 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Dude, don't know where you live...but, that would not even pay my basic bills...much less anything left over. $28K is about $2333 monthly...not even considering taxes taken out. But, with that figure lets go

      -$1025 (rent/water)

      -$250 avg (electricity)

      -$384 car payment

      -$178 motorcycle payment (ok..a luxury there)

      -$260 insurance (car, bike, renters ins)

      -$400 food (and I rarely eat out)

      -$32 phone

      -$49 basic cable

      -$88 gas

      That gives me a negative $83 I'm in the hole each month....and thats not even considering that in reality, I'd have had near 30% of the $2333 taken out in taxes before I got it.

      Maybe its cheaper where you live....but, this is not by any means living the high life in New Orleans (high A/C bills in 8 mos of hot weather). And this is for a single male...Lord help anyone who has a wife and family. And you sure aren't getting any good dates on -$83/mo.

      :-)

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    2. Re:Show me the problem by Kombat · · Score: 2, Insightful


      I live in the suburbs (because I can afford a house there)

      Thanks for making my case for me there. Sort of the whole point, isn't it? I buy $50 meals in restaurants each night... because I can afford it. (Not really) That doesn't exactly prove that eating out costs $50/night.


      Uh, you just made his point for him. You say people should forego a car and take public transit. But that implies that they live in an area that is built-up enough to warrant public transit, which means their housing costs are tremendously expensive (much moreso than if they'd bought a car).

      BackWater, TN doesn't have bus service, but the houses are cheap. Seattle has a great transit system, but do you think you can find housing for $100,000? Not likely!

      It's an "either/or" situation, my friend.

      --
      Like woodworking? Build your own picture frames.
  47. you are a commodity by gubachwa · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The root of the problem is capitalism. IT personnel are nothing more than commodities. They can be pigeonholed with long lists of "skill sets" that are akin to the feature sets of VCRs and Microwaves. Until we learn to treat human beings as human beings instead of products, the present state of misery will continue.

  48. US Dept of Labor Statistics by down2here · · Score: 2, Informative
    Actual monthly statistics from the US Dept of Labor and other useful statistics:

    Monthy Unemployment Rate
    Bureau of Labor and Statistics homepage

  49. Go straight to the dept of labour. by Jason+Pollock · · Score: 3, Informative

    Their results (amazingly enough) were out today as well. Only, they don't feed stories to slashdot. :)

    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ocwage.toc.h tm
    ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/news.release/history/ocw age.11142001.news

    It isn't so rosy this year, but it isn't all doom and gloom.Overall, employment in Computer and Mathematical went from:

    2000 2001 2002
    2,932,810 2,825,870 2,772,620

    But average wage was something else:
    2000 2001 2002
    27.91 29.02 29.63

    So, we lost 53,250 people, mostly in straight computer programmers, 501,550->457,320, although Software Engineers lost as well.Amazingly enough, Network and Computer Systems Administrators gained ~5k people, and Network Systems and Computer Data Communications Analysts gained ~7k! Analysts are up almost 20k, as are support specialists.

    If you want to see who's really getting hit by this, check out the results for management:

    2000 2001 2002
    7,782,680 7,212,360 7,092,460

    I think they've lost more than techies.

    Jason Pollock

  50. hmmmm.... by mantera · · Score: 2, Insightful



    What's most troubling about this offshore outsourcing trend is that it seems to be becoming an anchor strategy for the creatively-challenged professional manager, in much the same way downsizing was many years ago.

    It used to be that when you're screwing up, unable to come up with a relevant and viable product or service that people want, and your business performance is less than impressive, your safe and thoughtless way out of the mess was to downsize, kick out a few employees and glee with a grin about the cost-cutting you have achieved, the boost in efficiency that you'll proudly present as elegant numbers on sheets that'll increase your profits and shareholder value.

    Now it seems that offshoring is heading that way; "have problem, will offshore!".