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Tech Predictions for 2004

Quirk writes "The Independent has the predictions of Charles Arthur for 2004. 'The ubiquity of the iPod, the return of the Mac, and the simplicity of the portable memory stick are just some of the developments that could change our lives in 2004.'"

13 of 281 comments (clear)

  1. Better predictions by sane? · · Score: 2, Informative
    I think he's indulged a bit too much over Christmas. Here's some better predictions:
    • ipod and mini ipod will be hit by a wave of cheap replacements that both allow you to store/play music AND video. These will integrate with mobile phones (2G).
    • Multi processor machines will begin to take off in the business environment. Single user, multi machine setups will smooth the rollout of Linux/OpenOffice and make people more productive
    • Appliances that take advantage of home broadband links and WiFi will take off.
    • Microsoft will get scared, and will run towards early launch of XBox 2 as a home machine. Failure will spell the fall of Microsoft.
    • The Apple House will be unveiled
  2. more FUD? by grubi · · Score: 2, Informative

    * At least one other download store will join Apple in using the Dolby "AAC" encoding format, because that's the only way to reach iPod owners.

    Um, hello? What? MP3 works perfectly well on iPods. Always has. Why is AAC the "only way" to reach iPod users?

    --
    Actually, information would like a turkey sandwich.
  3. Re:Anyone find it strange? by pigpilot · · Score: 5, Informative

    If by "careers working with computers" you mean doing more than just using them, i.e. writing software etc then I'm not surprised. Every major business that I can think of relies more on telephones and plumbing but relatively few people need to make a career out of them.

    For most of us computers are just a tool that help us get on with our job, and like most tools they are rarely a career in themselves.

  4. root ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    "* If you're buying a computer in the coming year, don't get one that uses Windows. It's simply too insecure. (Did you know there's a secret "administrator" account and password on every machine? You didn't? Every hacker does.) Get one with the Linux operating system installed (Evesham does them, for example) or an Apple machine running OSX. Both systems are fast, stable and secure. With Windows XP... well, sometimes two out of three really IS bad."

    has this guy heard of root?

  5. Re:Pointless and dumb! by znu · · Score: 3, Informative
    The top five MP3 players for November, according to IDC:
    1. 10GB Apple iPod
    2. 128MB Digitalway
    3. 20GB Apple iPod
    4. 128MB iRiver
    5. 40GB Apple iPod
    So, Apple's got three out of the top five. And that's despite the fact that the cheapest iPod costs more than twice as much as the iRiver or Digitalway.
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    This space unintentionally left unblank.
  6. Re:IPod by ircShot_guN · · Score: 2, Informative

    Ipod is actually extremely good value for money.

    $100 for a 256meg Portable Mp3 Player = 40 cents per megabyte.
    $500 for a 40gig Ipod = 1.25 cents per megabyte.

    Provided your legal music collection is at least 1.25 gigabytes in size, you end up with the same value for money, and I know which one is cooler.

  7. Re:Good prediction... by ravy · · Score: 2, Informative
    Those already exist.

    Although I haven't tried them personally.

  8. Knoppix USB by Guiri · · Score: 3, Informative

    Have a look at this. You can boot Knoppix (or a stripped down version) from a USB memory stick. Cheers.

  9. When it comes to viruses, he gets it but doesn't.. by MadAnthony02 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I agree with what he said about viruses - that there will be more viruses out there that send spam, steal credit card info, steal passwords, ect. I'm not sure about his claim that those virus writers will be members of organized crime, though.

    However, he also says that viruses won't be that destructive because people who have made recent viruses didn't have them destroy hard drives when they could have. What he ignores is that a virus that destroys it's host is pretty much useless, because it no longer has that host. Viruses like Blaster and Sinkin are dangerous and destructive because they continue to spread for months while the user does not know they are infected. If the virus killed it's host quickly it would not spread nearly as much.

  10. BBB by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    You are very good at deceptive marketing. Apple would be proud to have such supporters who are unable to do fair comparisons (hell, that's you why you use a Mac right?). Why don't you compare the iPod to a device that it's actually intended to compete with that uses similar technology?

    $300 (Amazon) for a 20GB Rio Karma = 1.5 cents per megabyte
    $400 (everywhere) for a 20GB iPod = 2 cents per megabyte

    Also, it's not "Ipod" you fuckhead; it's "iPod."

  11. you can do that by fabio · · Score: 1, Informative

    on most new mobos, there is a feature to boot off usb HD and pendrives, my soltek mobo has that feature and and i have seen it on older motherboards, unless of course, were speking of two different things here

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    *resistance is futile, or fuzzy, i dunno*
  12. Re:Anyone find it strange? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    How many people are directly employed to maintain, sell, design, manufacture and repair automobiles and parts for automobiles? 10 million? 20?

    I don't know. If you find out and also find out how many people are employed to maintain, sell, design, manufacture and repair computers and parts for computers then we can compare the numbers and maybe it'll even be interesting. Or maybe not. Until then though, it's hard to tell what your point is supposed to be.

  13. Cringley's (past) predictions for 2003 by sacrilicious · · Score: 2, Informative

    ... can be found here.

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    - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.