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Investigating Online Movie Piracy?

kewsh writes "There's an excellent piece from the LA Times via Yahoo! News which explains the interworkings of the movie, music, and software piracy scene, including quotes from former and current scene members: 'Common to most groups is a disdain for selling pirated goods in favor of giving free access to anything and everything'." The article also notes: "Not everyone in the scene is so pure. Some players... are suspected of selling pirated movies and music to commercial bootleggers."

32 of 232 comments (clear)

  1. ISP customer bandwidth... by johnfreez · · Score: 3, Insightful

    is increasing (slowly but surely). what...10 mbits common place by 2007? say hello to zooming movie downloads :)

    --
    Disclaimer: I don't know what I'm talking about.
    1. Re:ISP customer bandwidth... by MoonFog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bandwith "can never get high enough".
      Already I have seen DVD rips of an entire set of DVDs, making it more than 10 GB. Even with 10mbps it will take some time to download.

      My lecturer in Distributed Communications said that "increasin bandwith will just result in software makers letting their software use more bandwith", which off course brings us back to where we started.

    2. Re:ISP customer bandwidth... by BrookHarty · · Score: 5, Interesting

      10 mbits common place by 2007? say hello to zooming movie downloads :)

      Linux ISO's are so common at 2-5 disc sets, Why would 700 meg DIVX CD's be any different for downloading, now? You only rent a couple movies, you could just download a couple movies at night and burn them to CD.

      What we need is an iTunes for Divx movies. :)

  2. Hmmmm..... by pandrijeczko · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...an article that tells me that the Internet is used for distributing pirated warez and movies...

    The phrase "No shit, Sherlock" springs rapidly to mind.

    --
    Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
  3. The next step by gringer · · Score: 4, Funny

    I suppose next we'll see some report from a country like Australia showing how sales of ripped media are not hurting the industry.

    Or has that already happened?... I get a little confused as to which counter-argument is the most recent.

    --
    Ask me about repetitive DNA
    1. Re:The next step by Mascot · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The aussies aren't the only ones. Where I live (Norway) record sales revenue has been on an upward trend for years. Ironically, it apparently started to accellerate shortly after Napster became a household name. Surely a coincidence.

      Personally I wish it would've started going down once the record companies started making their "CDs" incompatible with many devices. Of course, they would've attributed that to piracy as opposed to people getting fed up having to rip the CDs to burn on a CD-R and get the compatabilty back (I've yet to meet a "protected" CD that failed to rip as opposed to just ripping slower).

  4. Re:Bootleggers are paying? by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 5, Informative

    The bootleggers (ie, the people who make and selling lots of unauthorised copies of movies) are paying "the players" (ie, people in the movie industry who can get their hands on screeners and other preview copies) for preview copies of movies.

    In other words, some of the people who are opening the door to the bootleggers (or pirates) are charging them for the priviledge.

    --

    "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
  5. ROFL by graveyardduckx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "The scene is closed to much of the world; would-be participants have to gain the trust of insiders and prove their worth before gaining entry. And the lifespan of groups tends to be short, at least on the Net, where players come and go."

    It's only closed to those who don't know about P2P apps, IRC, FTP, WWW, E-mail, CDR/DVDR, and any other method of transferring data... and the easiest way to gain entry is to type something like "/join #warez950". As far as the players, they don't come and go, they just change their names and keep doing what they're doing. I'm sorry, but how silly is this article?

    1. Re:ROFL by gringer · · Score: 5, Informative

      Try reading the *whole* article before commenting on parts of it:

      "According to Nguyen, it takes minutes for a newly released item to reach all of the topsites, but it may take hours or days to reach the lower echelon of private sites. After that, the digital booty leaks out intermittently to online areas more accessible to the public, such as chat channels and news groups.

      To get the movies, you just need to wait. But to get the movies as early as possible, you need to know the right people.

      --
      Ask me about repetitive DNA
    2. Re:ROFL by 1u3hr · · Score: 5, Informative
      But downloading a movie that's been taken by a shaky handed teenager with a hand camera in a cinema...

      In China you can buy DVDs of just about any movie within days of release in the US, or sometimes before. They all have very nice packages, probably pasted up from promo sites on the web. (However, the English text is often nonsensical, or relating to an entirely different movie. And sometimes they include real reviews from, eg, AICN, like "[Matrix 3] is a steaming pile of crap".) The quality of the movie though is a crapshoot. Sometimes it's a perfect dupe of a DVD release (especially Oscar screeners with the anti piracy notice floating across the bottom every 10 minutes), sometimes a slightly blurry image with good sound, not bad but a bit worse than VCR quality, sometimes it's obviously a video camera in a cinema complete with audience coughs and shadows on the screen. But as they're less than $1 you can just shrug and throw those away, or go back to the shop and exchange it -- it's actually a lot easier to exchange pirated goods than legit; less paperwork I suppose.

  6. Piracy is competition! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I've got Star Wars Ep. 4-6 as theatrical release ripped from Laserdisc in the best possible DiVX quality.

    It's not my fault that I had to get a pirated version.
    George Lucas with that "CG" labeled crackpipe in his hand is to blame.

    Another point of disgust is MiramAXE with their sabotage of asian cinema. Has "Hero" (Jet Li) been released in the US already? I don't think so. MiramAXE likes to shelf things for a long time. After that they like to AXE movies into little ugly pieces, too.

    Piracy is competition and the only chance to stop this re-release and censorship nightmare.

    People who hate cinema may mod this down.

    1. Re:Piracy is competition! by pandrijeczko · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Wrong. Piracy happens because:

      a) People want something for nothing.
      b) People want something before it's officially made available.
      c) People want to impress other people with something they have but the other's don't.

      It's nothing to do with competition - just the opposite. Every audio CD, piece of software or DVD that is released these days is done so at a price that *takes into account* the fact that "x" number of copies of it will probably be pirated - that means we all pay more as a result.

      Competition results from not being a pathetic consumer, nothing more.

      If you don't like CD protection, then don't buy protected CDs...
      If you think a retailer charges too much for a product, don't buy from them...
      If a movie isn't released on DVD quick enough, email the studio and don't buy any of their other films...
      If enough people do the above, the vendor or producer has to relent.

      I'm neither condoning or criticising piracy - I just wish people that do it would admit they do it for one of the reasons above, rather than trying to justify it as though they are acting as modern day "Robin Hoods".

      --
      Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
    2. Re:Piracy is competition! by iainl · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes, it is your fault. If you had a laserdisc player (or even just bought the VHS releases when they came out), you could play the perfectly legal versions that the divxes were ripped from, like the rest of us.

      Laserdisc is great, and complaining that you need one in order to be able to watch Star Wars properly is only a little more relevant than the fact that I needed to buy an XBox as well as my Gamecube when I wanted to play Halo.

      As for Miramax's frankly useless attempts at Asian cinema, get yourself a multi-region DVD player and import the good versions like the rest of us.

      There are a hell of a lot of things that people get pirated, that they could have legitimate (and better quality) versions of if they only did a bit of extra work.

      --
      "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
    3. Re:Piracy is competition! by animaal · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Every audio CD, piece of software or DVD that is released these days is done so at a price that *takes into account* the fact that "x" number of copies of it will probably be pirated"

      No, every such such product is priced according to the maximum that the market will bear. Hence region lockouts on DVDs, with vastly different prices in different regions. Consider; if, in Bangkok, 90% of copies of a particular CD are pirated, that does not lead the local CD distributor there to increase the price of CDs. In anything, it may lead to lower prices, because the market will not bear an inflated price.

      Piracy has mixed effects. On the one hand, it helps to keep the movie/music/software industries on their toes, making sure that the consumer gets value for money, and that the product purchased is worth more to the consumer than a copy. (e.g. the recent trends to add more "extras" to movies/cds).

      However, on the other hand, it has a negative effect on the marketplace for the industries. This can (probably does) lead to some problems. e.g. some smaller production companies closing due to lack of sales. For example, imagine a small software house producing an innovative new software package, but then closing due to lack of sales. The package is now not going to be developed any more, even though there maybe many users (some using illegal copies). So piracy can cause the consumer to lose as well.

      I think the current system is probably self-sustaining, with a degree of piracy keeping industry from degrading value-for-money too much, and the laws keeping piracy from wiping out the industries. Piracy and the industry keep eachother in check. I suppose it's a bit like walking a tightrope...

    4. Re:Piracy is competition! by pandrijeczko · · Score: 3, Insightful

      >>No, every such such product is priced according to the maximum that the market will bear.

      But most music is owned by about 5 big music publishers and movies by a few major film studios. Go into any music/movie store and every new release CD/DVD is priced about the same. That's as a result of monopolistic price fixing by the manufacturers and the retailer. The market "bears" those fixed prices because most people are too stupid and mindless to NOT pay those prices.

      >>On the one hand, (piracy) helps to keep the movie/music/software industries on their toes, making sure that the consumer gets value for >>money, and that the product purchased is worth more to the consumer than a copy.

      Piracy pisses off the industry to the point where the industry is prepared to spend some money to wipe it out and reap more profits as a result.

      It does not reduce prices because, as I stated above, average Joe Bloke is too stupid to use an Internet connection to download stuff free anyway and instead pays over-inflated prices at the local store.

      Even if there are 100,000 illegal copies of a movie (probably an inflated figure anyway), what percentage of movie goers and DVD buyers is that globally?

      The fact is, the publishers *believe* they can make more money as a result of stamping out piracy than they spend on trying to kill it.

      That means that normal users have to put up with being treated like criminals, do not get fair use of a product due to CD protection and DVD regioning, all because of piracy.

      >>This can (probably does) lead to some problems. e.g. some smaller production companies closing due to lack of sales.

      No, because the model I have stated above states that people will flock to buy a product if it does what they want it to at a fair price. It's nothing to do with size of a company, it's just about quality and reasonable pricing.

      If you don't believe me, look at the number of small games companies charging a *REASONABLE* price for downloadable games on the Internet - there seem to be an increasing number of these (Small Rockets, BigFish Games, etc.) implying that this is a burgeoning industry based on the Shareware model that worked so well for companies like ID, Apogee, etc.

      Films are out of the league of small companies due to the costs of making them but there is also a *growing* industry of musicians that publish their own music.

      All this happens *DESPITE* piracy, not because of it...

      >>Piracy and the industry keep eachother in check.

      No, they do not, they are mutually exclusive. Film companies originally added extras to DVDs to encourage the consumer to ditch their VHS video collection and replace it with DVD. Extrass, now, have become the norm because everyone expects extras on DVDs they buy.

      Again, as I said in an earlier post, I'm not going to moralise on piracy - what pirates do is up to them - but please don't try to tell me that pirates are doing ME a big favour by doing what they do - they do it because purely for reasons of saving a few bucks/pounds/Euros and for notoriety, nothing more.

      --
      Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
    5. Re:Piracy is competition! by 0123456 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Films are out of the league of small companies due to the costs of making them"

      Only if by "films" you mean $200,000,000 Hollywood movies. The problem for small film companies is not raising money to make movies for a couple of million dollars, it's getting them distributed when the big movie studios own or control the vast majority of the distribution channels.

      Most cinemas would rather take a crap Hollywood movie than a good independent movie because they know that Hollywood will spend another $100,000,000 advertising their crap and bringing in customers to buy the popcorn and soft drinks that make the profits, and that the studios will punish them in the future if they show non-Hollywood movies.

    6. Re:Piracy is competition! by awol · · Score: 4, Insightful

      a) People want something for nothing.

      Er, no. People want something for a fair price. What is a fair price is a good question, but regardless of the answer there is one reality and that is that over time the price of content approaches zero. For different bits of content, the times at which this marginal change takes place vary, but the reality is that once content is no longer timely then the price tends towards zero. Want proof? See how much you have to pay for stock prices delayed by 20 minutes. Then see how much a real time price feed is. The difference? Timeliness.

      Music, movies, everything - no different. The metric of when this zero pricing starts, changes but not the reality. For movies it probably starts about a year after it is "released". Go and ask a distributor to show the ROI over time for their product. Even with their bullshit anti-competitive behaviour it is still true.

      b) People want something before it's officially made available.

      Officially, Ofsmishilly, they made the fscking DVD available in HK 2 years ago, they just don't think there is enough of a market in the US to justify and official release, but can you just buy the HK version and use in the US? No, because of the freakin' regional encoding (replace countries and times with parameters of your choosing and the statement will still be true). The whole parallel importing thing is just reaching offensive levels at the moment. The industry is trying so hard to screw over consumers, the line will soon be crossed. Watch cdWow for the battlefield.

      c) People want to impress other people with something they have but the other's don't.

      Some people just have small dicks, they have to have something to compensate. Better this than have them driving Porsches, makes the world a safer place IYAM.

      Piracy (and it really is such a bad word) exists because the price at which the product is offered does not reflect its actual value and bad law is in place to force the price. On top of that most people are enourmously price sensitive to these products, they will take a shitty copy of a movie camcordered from a screening for nothing, but if you offer them a legit copy, for 2$ they still won't pay because it is the zero cost that makes the product purchasable. This is not the same as what you said "People want something for nothing", but rather it is true that, for some things, people will take a thing if it costs nothing, but that same thing at any price over zero has no utility. Given that they are already paying for their broadband connections the marginal cost of this movie or that song, is zero. Mind you, there are a number of purchasers that are not so price sensitive to the acquisition of this content and so they will pay something for a legit version, but the vast majority of those people are being frozen out of the market because the content creators are still above their utility level in the vast majority of cases. But even then, some not, because DVD and CD are still being sold. The issue is that the model the industry uses to determine price is so contrary to the realities of their product that they will continue to suffer until they work it out. And, no, $0.99 a song is not the right price, just better than $10.00 for 15 songs, 12 of which you don't want.

      As for your list of things to do. I follow 'em all. Plus, I don't buy DVD at all (anymore) since I will not play their stupid game of funding their crusade against my rights of fair use. I am unable to resist going to the cinema, but at least the cinema owner gets (some microscopic at times) part of my money and I never go in the first few weeks to try and make sure they get the most possible, but I am close on boycotting it totally. Plus I don't download priated material. Sure, I have less amenity in my life than I would have if the industry sorted itself out, but I simply will not fund their erosion of my rights to use my purchases as I wish.

      --
      "The first thing to do when you find yourself in a hole is stop digging."
    7. Re:Piracy is competition! by pandrijeczko · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately, you're entirely correct and I don't know how things in the movie & music industry will change until the consumers themselves become more discerning in their tastes. With the software industry & the Open Source movement, the whole "Linux or Windows" thing is happening because there is a "change in taste". The people driving the Open Source movement are more than likely those that have been in the industry for years and are just not satisfied with the commercial, mass-market offerings. (That's a statement of fact, not an attempt to start a Linux v Windows argument in this thread). The movie & music industry is targetted at the "eighteen to twenty somethings" who desire nothing more than to be "part of the pack" and are generally therefore happy to accept the same old recycled plastic pop & bland movie sequels simply because "everyone else is doing it". It's an ideal situation for the media companies, a group of customers that will happily buy anything that's churned out if it's cool enough. Unless they change their tastes, I don't see smaller music artists or low budget films ever getting the popularity they deserve. As someone in his early 40s, I actually don't mind this too much in many respects. As a big fan of classic rock music from the 70's and 80s, because the stuff I like is a minority taste, I get to see bands now in 1000 seater venues that, 10 to 20 years ago, were "ants" on a distant stage in an 80,000 capacity stadium - and because I'm too old now to care about fads and fashion, this suits me perfectly.

      --
      Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
  7. The more things change... by DJTodd242 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...the more they stay the same. I find it kind of funny that you can replace the word "Movie" with "Software" and voila! You have an article about the warez scene in the 80s.

    Granted, we didn't have FTP sites or Broadband. You young punks don't know how lucky you have it! Why, back in my day we had to courier stuff at 24oo baud! (Ranting fades...)

    Still, I miss those days. I'm glad I gave it up though. I'd hate to be caught now, in my 30s, and have my life ruined.

  8. Anyone notice its VCD not Divx or DVD... by BrookHarty · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Anyone notice its all SVCD or VCD dvdrips? I know the ease of playing on the DVD player is attractive, but for the same size you can have a nice Divx release with AC3 sound. Or even a nice dual Divx CD set.

    How many people here went and downloaded GordianKnot and tried to rip some DVDs? Takes dayd, hard as hell.

    I'd rather download a rip off the net for a DVD I own that try to rip a DVD with the current set of utilities. SVCD is a different story, being mpeg2. (Sounds like fair use to me)

    1. Re:Anyone notice its VCD not Divx or DVD... by fruey · · Score: 4, Informative
      Gordian Knot does not take days. In fact, it's just a well put together collection of tools.

      The ripping of a DVD itself doesn't take very long. The compression might, but that really depends on how you set it up, how you resize, and how you then compress it. If you know a little bit about what you're doing, you can get those times down, sacrificing quality sometimes. VCD and SVCD is unsurprising as these will play in set tops, and you can encode to VCD more quickly than to higher quality DivX formats.

      Common mistakes :

      • not cropping the black bars from a 16:9 widescreen version actually encoded on the DVD at 4:3 regular TV aspect ratio.
      • Using default compression parameters that are too high quality and make multiple passes.
      • Not resizing the image down to a smaller width, leaving it at full resolution. Note that resizing and then encoding at the same bitrate as a bigger size version can result in better looking films, though they're 'softer' to the eye.

      There are many other things as well, like the hardware you have, what you're doing at the same time on the PC, etc. But on a reasonable system you can rip and compress to DivX or XviD in less than three hours. Make sure you have a 2GHz+ processor and plenty of RAM.

      --
      Conversion Rate Optimisation French / English consultant
  9. These criminals have a weak spot! by Christian+Engstrom · · Score: 5, Funny
    From the article:
    Sometimes group members will send files to other sites themselves, using a technique called File Transfer Protocol instead of e-mail.
    Aha! Since this FTP thing is obviously a tool for criminal acts, all we have to do is to use the DMCA or the Patriot Act to declare it illegal. Once this is take care of by the responsible authorities, the Internet will once again be free of criminals, and a safe place where innovation can flourish.

    Bring out the stromtroopers!

    --
    Christian Engström, Former Member of the European Parliament 2009-2014 for The Pirate Party, Sweden
    1. Re:These criminals have a weak spot! by Hanno · · Score: 5, Informative

      There is a sad actual quote from a German lawsuit where one judge used the following sentence in the official verdict:

      http://daufaq.de/index.php4?aktuellerubrik=Techn ik

      F: Was ist ein FTP-Server?

      A: Es antwortet LG Braunschweig, Urteil vom 21.7.2003 - 6 KLs 1/03, rechtskraeftig, CR 2003, 801: FTP-Server sind Systeme, in denen gecrackte, also nach Ueberwindung des Vervielfaeltigungsschutzes kopierte, Software geladen ist.

      Translation:

      Q: What is an FTP server

      A: As answered by the court of Braunschweig, in its decision from July 2003: FTP servers are systems used to store cracked software - software that has been copied after removing its copy protection.

      --

      ------------------
      You may like my a cappella music
    2. Re:These criminals have a weak spot! by cyb97 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's probably because your netadmins want the bandwidth to themselves.
      Nothing is more annoying than some luser consuming all the bandwidth when you really want the last rar-archive of the latest release

  10. Plz Email Me LOTR ROTK by SpinningAround · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sometimes group members will send files to other sites themselves, using a technique called File Transfer Protocol instead of e-mail.

    Ah yes.. those sneaky hi-tech pirates thinking of a clever and novel way to avoid clogging up their inbox with 700 meg email attachments.

  11. damn! by crabpeople · · Score: 3, Funny

    wholly god

    "The scene is closed to much of the world; would-be participants have to gain the trust of insiders and prove their worth before gaining entry. And the lifespan of groups tends to be short, at least on the Net, where players come and go."

    and here we see a "nerd" or "computer insider" as they perfer to be called. see how it looks at us with quiet distain.

    do the people at this paper pick technical editors based on who can send a midi file in an email?
    on the plus side, im a player in an international world of intrigue and mystery

    --
    I'll just use my special getting high powers one more time...
  12. These people have NO clue. by syberanarchy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This shit is way off base - Kazaa? That virus-laden piece of trash? "Topsites"? Aren't those the fake sites that promise me LORD OF THE RINGS NEW GREAT QUALITY - JUST VOTE FOR US IN ORDER 1 2 3! Please. Bit Torrent, Win MX, and DC++ are the future. The fact that these people still quote Kazaa as the file sharing service of choice when there is far more material on DC++ alone is very indicative of how little of a clue these so-called "experts" and "tech editors" really have.

    1. Re:These people have NO clue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Note carefully the drug references littered throughout the article. This is a skillfully written piece of progaganda authored by a shill to dirty the act of copying bits.

      No wonder, it does come from the LA Times, published in the home of hollywood and the MPAA.

  13. Re:Bootleggers are paying? by MikeDX · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is one of the things that really annoys and gets my goat every time I see it.

    People selling pirated movies and music at car boot sales, markets, roadsides, ebay, etc. This is totally wrong and I think is what the RIAA/MPAA should target and not joe bloggs downloading britney spears from kazaa.

    The people selling this stuff are not only tax dodgers, but are often taking the customers for a ride, some people often mistake these copies for the real thing and are buying in good faith, only to find out they have been ripped off by a shoddy inkjet printed jewelcase inner and an un-stickered cd-r costing next to nothing.

    What irritates me further, is that some people are also under the impression that those who do download for their own PERSONAL use are looked upon in the same league as those who download, copy, and sell to people for huge profits.

  14. History repeats itself, again by heironymouscoward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I watched in wonder a few weeks ago as an aquaintance logged into an FTP site he owns with some friends, populated with something like a thousand ripped movies, and downloaded a movie, burnt it to CD, and handed it to me, saying 'try this'. (I did not like the movie).

    We're only a year or two away from seeing *massive* movie trading on p2p networks.

    Anyone who claims this is about fair use is obviously trolling. It's about cheating, getting something for nothing.

    But that does not mean it's necessarily going to be bad for the movie business. There is still a world of difference between watching a movie on the big screen and watching a movie at home. The video/DVD rental industry, however, is definitely going to die, I think.

    The key to "anti-piracy" is to understand that the warez kids never pay anyhow. Whatever they're ripping/cracking/hoarding, it's always stolen and it's always for kicks, not because they want a quiet evening at home with the wife.

    The only significant market for media sales (music, movies, and probably software too) is the bulk of non-technical people who look for the easy solution, for decent quality, and are willing to pay for it.

    The music industry lost this market when it dropped the Napster ball. The movie industry still has a chance...

    The film industry has perhaps 2 years to make a paid service for downloading / burning movies to protected DVD, if they miss this window of opportunity, they will find that their main market is already getting their stuff for free.

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une signature
  15. Re:Bootleggers are paying? by kaiwainz · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The people selling this stuff are not only tax dodgers, but are often taking the customers for a ride, some people often mistake these copies for the real thing and are buying in good faith, only to find out they have been ripped off by a shoddy inkjet printed jewelcase inner and an un-stickered cd-r costing next to nothing.

    I completely agree. I've seen some real fine work done in Ukraine. Some even go all the way and make a box. The problem is that the average user doesn't know what they're doing is actually illegal.

    Talk to your average user, I doubt they even know that the Office they're running which they borrowed off the neighbour is actually breaching the EULA. Again, the average user doesn't understand because they see it as a victimless crime.

    As I have said to people, there is VERY little money made by the software company off end users. 85% of the money made are off enterprise and public service sales. The end user *may* once it a blue moon purchase a cheap $50 card making kit, however, in terms of the Microsofts and Adobes, they make little money off these customers.

    Here we are in 2004, and now these companies, and rightfully so, are now demanding that customers actually pay for the software. Activation is the first step and I am sure there will be more full proof protection mecanisms on their way. The fact is, unlike the end user, large commercial customers are kept in line via random BSA audits, with end users, there is no such safe guard.

    As for the movie business, the problem is that again, the end customer see it as a victimless crime. They don't see the negative spin offs hence they have no way of knowing what they're doing.

    If it were just Hollywood, then I think I wouldn't worry too much, however, small independent film units are the worst hit. These organisations are on razor thin margins. They live day to day on the sales of their movies. Sure, many of these independent films are sponsered by grants from governments, however, if the government see that the money is being put into a bottomless pit then they may pull the plug.

    If the plug is pulled then diversity will cease to exist and as a result, we're all worse off.

  16. history - don't alienate your customer base by rbird76 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are always people who want something for nothing. There are also those who want to copy things for the thrill, or as a way to get friends, or for other reasons. These people won't go away - as long as the technical means exist (and in a free society, the means will always exist) people will copy works. I think that these people make up a small segment of the market - that doesn't mean copyright holders shouldn't protect their works, but this set of people is unlikely to destroy the business of selling recorded works.

    DVD copying will run rampant if the MPAA decides to screw their customers. The music industry (the larger labels, anyway) raised the prices of CDs, homogenized much of the product, made CDs hard to use, and tried to extract money from customers for fair use rights that weren't theirs to sell. Record companies (RIAA labels) have a product that people want, but they decided that they could get more money from their customers than their customers wanted to pay. Once P2P apps came around, the large set of people the record companies angered had an alternative - copy the music and pay nothing. There would have always been copying at a low level, but the frustration of people with the record labels meant that as soon as a means to get records some other way came around, people would take it. Had there not been significant frustration with record companies in the first place, most of the people who get their music from file trading would not have gone through the trouble to do so.

    The means to copy digital media is not going to go away. What will determine whether copying becomes rampant or not is the level of frustration of the customer base (and the cost of the product - e.g. high-end software). If it becomes very easy to obtain copied movies, more people will do it as well - but they probably won't try as hard if they aren't frustrated in the first place. At least, IMHO.