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A DIMM Future for RAM Bundles

VeggiePossum23 writes "PC WORLD has an article about rising concerns that computer manufacturers will be cutting the amount of bundled RAM they sell with their PCs owing to rising prices of dynamic memory. The article claims that spot pricing shows a rise of almost $15.00 for 256MB modules of DDR DRAM in some markets. According to a Reuters article on ZDNet, the price rises are caused by shortage of memory chips, and this is causing the prices of memory to raise at the fastest rate in four years. Even Intel is said to be worried at the overall trend of price hikes for all types of memory. The Inquirer has a similiar article from a couple of weeks ago which includes a chart showing how the third-party memory manufacturers are doing. Kingston tops the chart for revenue."

53 of 344 comments (clear)

  1. That's a bummer by thebra · · Score: 4, Insightful

    glad I just upgraded. Even if it increases 15.00 dollars its still so much cheaper than it used to be.

    1. Re:That's a bummer by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Even if it increases 15.00 dollars its still so much cheaper than it used to be.

      Tell me about it. I have a machine at home that has what was (at the time) a $700 16MB SIMM.

      At the time I thought it was a good deal and it made X on my Linux box so much more useable.
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    2. Re:That's a bummer by shotfeel · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yeah, I remember waiting for prices to drop to $100 / 1 MB SIMMs before upgrading.

      It wasn't all that long ago it would cost several times more to max our your RAM than it did to purchase the computer. Buy a $3k computer, put in $5-10k RAM (and drop another couple grand on a 20 MB hard drive).

    3. Re:That's a bummer by vwjeff · · Score: 3, Informative

      Eight months ago I built a computer with two Kingston 512 MB PC2700 memory modules at a cost of $75 each. Today the exact same memory costs $115 each on newegg.

    4. Re:That's a bummer by pyrrhonist · · Score: 3, Informative
      In 1982 I bought a 16K (yeah K) "Language Card"

      That wasn't a "language card", although it was installed in the "language card" slot. The Apple Language Card had a ROM chip on it that contained the version of BASIC that wasn't installed in your machine by default. This was so that you could run Applesoft BASIC programs on an Apple II or Integer BASIC programs on an Apple II+ at the flip of a switch. What you got was a RAM expansion card.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    5. Re:That's a bummer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There's actually something of a shortage of good "DDR1" chips at the moment. Apparently every major manufacturer is busy with DDR2/DDR3 chips (or "GDDR3"). Winbond for example has announced they soon discontinue their current CH-5 chips (0.13 micron, 200 MHz), and no announcement of follow-up. What is funny, their earlier (0.175 micron, 200 MHz) BH-5 chips perform much better -- you can't get CH-5 to reach the same ultra-tight latencies (2-2-2-5) at 200 MHz chip speed / 400 MHz memory bus speed. (This is why early Kingston PC3000 sticks are sweeter than most PC3200 or PC3500 sticks, especially Geil, but except Mushkin...) Bottom line, high-performance DDR chips are hard to find today, which is a probable reason for the NewEgg price rise.

      However, very little thought has been given in this whole discussion to the fact that RAM has got faster all the time, and a wide selection of speed grades are offered today: from the 200 MHz (bus) PC1600 to the 466 MHz PC3700, maybe even 133 MHz PC133 somewhere. I'm surprised that the prices aren't wider apart than what they are! You are the only one I noticed who indicated what speed grade you are comparing to what (in your case, the same).

    6. Re:That's a bummer by calidoscope · · Score: 3, Informative
      Crucial is selling 4 GB PC2100 DIMM's for a measly $6999 per stick - so with a dual Opteron box (or dual US-IIIi box) with 4 slots per processor - you can have 32 GB for a mere $56,000.

      Now a quad Opteron box....

      --
      A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
  2. why more ram anyway? by earthstar · · Score: 3, Funny

    why would any one need more than 512 mb ram any way????????????????game devlps shd stick to some limit instead of asking for more, for every new release

    1. Re:why more ram anyway? by zoloto · · Score: 4, Interesting

      actually this is a serious problem. the programmers who develop games sometimes don't understand that gamers have limits and can't break their banks for the 69.99 game and 200 $ worh of ram every new release.

      if programming and programmers tried to make their code smaller, while avoiding pitfalls like 600MB installs (re q3,halflife etc.) wouldn't the games be more popular?

      heck, even office 2003 full install is almost a gig. ONE FREAKING GIGABYTE!!!

      Tell me why you need a 300 meg install for a word processor, spell-check feature and some rtf formatting? anyone? ............. didn't think so.

    2. Re:why more ram anyway? by edalytical · · Score: 4, Funny

      How else are you going to fit a flight simulator in?

      --
      Win a signed Stephen Carpenter ESP Guitar from the Deftones: http://def-tag.com/?r=0008781
    3. Re:why more ram anyway? by AuMatar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I want that. I'm sick and fucking tired of games that require me to buy new hardware, but have nothing new but slightly improved graphics. If you need a higher CPU/RAM for some awesome new kickass gameplay or AI, thats cool. But graphics are good enough already. Forget about graphicas and work on gameplay. Gameplay for the past year or two has been SEVERELY lacking. WHo the fuck wants to play FPS #12000567 which is the same as #13000566 but with a different name for the shotgun? Until they come out with something that needs more horsepower for the gameplay itself, I should never need to upgrade again- consoles or my computer.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    4. Re:why more ram anyway? by Hamster+Of+Death · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ooohh there's a new shotgun!?

      Yes I'm kidding.

    5. Re:why more ram anyway? by Vaevictis666 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Actually the problem right now isn't so much the size of the code. Getting the code smaller would ideally make the game faster, but not any smaller.

      Compare UT2004:

      Executable file: under 2 megabytes
      Entire /System directory (exe, settings, mutators): 56MB
      /Sounds (voice, announcer, shots, ambients): 353MB
      /Maps: 1550MB
      /Textures: 2790MB

      The whole thing is just going in a viscious cycle - the better game engines we have, the more video card power we need. The better the video card, the higher resolution we can run it in and keep it playable. The more resolution, the higher quality graphics we need on screen. The higher quality the graphics, the more space they take up. Textures alone take up half of the UT2004 install footprint. If you want to start reducing install sizes, start on the graphics quality first.

  3. Quick - how can we blame George W. Bush? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Let's see... it's a false silicon shortage created for the purpose of invading... um... no, wait: Bush's Saudi oil-family buddies are artificially driving production down, resulting in a... er, wait, how about this one: it's a Pentagon ploy to reduce civilian computing power and prevent blogs from getting the truth out about the phony oil war.

    That'll do. Another Slashdot truth is created.

  4. Effects of Price Changes by Tiberius_Fel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    IMHO the reduction won't affect serious computer users except in terms of the cost. If it costs me $50 more to get the 1GB of DDR RAM, well, I'll probably pay it.

    Where it will hurt people is the technologically illiterate, who simply take the default Dell configuration or whatever and then wonder why their systems are always low on RAM.

    --
    Join the Empire! http://www.empirereborn.net/
    1. Re:Effects of Price Changes by micromoog · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Where it will hurt people is the technologically illiterate, who simply take the default Dell configuration or whatever and then wonder why their systems are always low on RAM.

      In other words, almost everyone buying computers.

    2. Re:Effects of Price Changes by dubbreak · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In other words, almost everyone buying computers.

      Too bad i have no mod points today, that is insightful, sadly true, yet insightful.

      Reminds me of when a recent employer asked why their computer was so slow. I took a look it. Pretty generic xp1400 running windows XP with 128MB ram. However the poor thing was diving into swap like an anorexic teen into a fruit smoothy. I added another 128mb and it ran great (well for a crummy computer running multiple insantces of bonzai buddy). For them though it was a night and day difference and they had no clue what the prolbem was.

      Moral of the story: Anorexic teen girls love fruit smoothies. Especially "real" fruit smoothies.
      (and xp eats ram?)

      --
      "If you are going through hell, keep going." - Winston Churchill
    3. Re:Effects of Price Changes by huchida · · Score: 3, Insightful
      They are either stupid or ignorant (ignorance is generally a side effect of stupidity, since those of us who aren't born with some sort of actual mental defect have more or less the same mental capacity. I define stupity as a lack of desire to learn), and thus will be duped it's the natural way of things.

      I have the feeling there's a plumber, electrician, car mechanic, lawyer, accountant, or other skilled professional out there who says the same thing about you.

  5. Switching over by doormat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A lot of the shortage has to do with the fact that companies are not starting to split their resources between DDR and DDR2. Between that, and the fact that it seems like companies may buy lots of replacement computers this year (2001 was the last strong year for purchasing, and 3-year replacement cycles are typical).

    So yea, be prepared to pay higher prices for gas, milk (and associated dairy products like ice cream), meat, RAM and who knows what else this year.

    --
    The Doormat

    If you're not outraged, then you're not paying attention.
  6. Oh crap. Not again. by FreeLinux · · Score: 5, Funny

    You mean that they are again artificially forcing up the price of RAM?

    RAM prices are like oil prices, they have nothing to do with supply and demand but instead, are controlled by some secret or not so secret cartel.

    1. Re:Oh crap. Not again. by ParadoxDruid · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Looking at the linked chart, it's interesting that the ratio of revenue to market share among all the categories listed is 86.7 +- 0.5 million dollars per percent market share.

      That's a fairly high alignment of revenue among the companies.

      Any economics people want to interpret that for me?

      --
      This statement is solely an opinion. Kindly take it as such in all cases.
  7. Oh, the punishment! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Ewe shouldn't make baad ram jokes, they make others feel sheepish.

  8. How come toasters are so cheap? by newt_sd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Ok how come the toaster manufacturers and automobile manufacturers don't seem to have this supply and demand problem? I chose these two because one seems pretty simple to make and the other exponentially more difficult and yet I can buy either without having to worry about significant increases in pricing each week. I just don't get it.
    Then again I didn't read the article either

    --
    ***I GOT NUTHIN***
    1. Re:How come toasters are so cheap? by molarmass192 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Those are finished products, not components. Think plywood and sheet aluminium for better examples. The price of both of these varies a lot but the finished products homes and soda cans is relatively stable. A RAM module on it's own doesn't do a whole lot, it's just a component. The component price can vary like mad but video cards and MP3 player prices would be realtively stable. The problem is that those prices are stable, but within a rising trend.

      --

      Good people do not need laws to tell them to act responsibly, while bad people will find a way around the laws-Plato
    2. Re:How come toasters are so cheap? by stratjakt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Toasters are made using a wholly different process, to much weaker tolerances. There's no uptight timing or voltage requirements for a toaster.

      Setup cost for a toaster factory would be minimal compared to chip fabs, and there are no doubt more toaster factories out there. When one toaster factory burns down (as some big chip fab did not to long ago, IIRC) its more easily replaced, and doubtless has minimal impact on the worlds toaster resources.

      Plus the demand for toasters is pretty constant. People buy toasters when their old one breaks. They dont rush out to buy a 5% faster "upgraded" toaster just because it's there.

      With computer tech there'll be a big rush to a tech, it'll get cheap as it reigns supreme, then get pricier as the industry moves away from it. It happened to EDO, FPDRAM, SDRAM, and now DDR as makers want to move quickly into the more lucrative DDR2 market. You can see the same trend with CPUs and other chipsets.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    3. Re:How come toasters are so cheap? by Tumbleweed · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What you don't realize is that there are very few actual makers of memory chips (modules are different). There have also been numerous proven cases of dumping over the years. It happens. The margins on RAM _are_ razorthin, though. Only harddrives have similar margins these days. I'm still seeing GeForce 4mx (MX!) cards going for over $100, while others sell for under $50. Some computer cases go for under $50 (WITH PSU), while others go over over $200 (withOUT PSU). That's the way the industry has evolved.

  9. Not just DDR by bravehamster · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Regular ol' SDRAM is getting pretty damn pricey too. We've had to stop stocking it. It's become a "special order", as it's too expensive to keep any amount of inventory for it for any length of time.

    --
    ---- El diablo esta en mis pantalones! Mire, mire!
    1. Re:Not just DDR by TwinkieStix · · Score: 3, Informative

      If it's getting more expensive, that means that memory purchased today will be worth more to buyers tomorrow and worth the same to you (plus warehousing of course). You can charge tomorrow's prices for the ram and make a profit. If the price is rising faster than the cost to store it, then you are making money. So, your reason for not stocking it shouldn't be the rising price but rather the decreased demand for the product that makes it not cost effective to stock.

  10. Re:Oh no by musikit · · Score: 4, Funny

    i have a memory doubler. it actually expands your memory to 4 gigs per process no matter how much memory you have. unfortunately it does grind the machine to a halt. this product can be found here

  11. Re:Finally... by vinit79 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Somebody who doesnt apologize for using a pun. Why the hell do people do that ?

    So that no one misses the pun. (No pun intended .... really)

  12. Didn't they say this when... by E-Lad · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...that epoxy factory in Japan burned to the ground in the mid-late 90s?

    I remember all the talking heads saying RAM prices would be exhorbinate for YEARS to come.

    Supply problems are short-lived, really. /ek

  13. Bundled RAM too pricey anyway... by kzinti · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I always buy the minimum amount of memory offered when I buy a pre-built system. The OEMs want too much $/byte for pre-installed memory. The most cost effective way to get memory for a new system is to buy it from somebody like Crucial/Micron.

  14. Re:The other reason by donnyspi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's sad that people need to reserve tons of memory for the OPERATING SYSTEM itself and not just the programs that run on top of it.

  15. DAMME shame, that by ottffssent · · Score: 3, Informative

    Sorry, couldn't resist.

    Seriously though, it's been nice for the flash market, which is where the manufacturers are shifting capacity. Prices there have dropped nicely. If both markets continue to do well, more capacity will come online, and prices will drop again across the board until manufacturers start ramping up DDR2 capacity at the expense of DDR1 (as has happened to PC133).

    Normal fluctuations in the RAM market - nothing to see here.

  16. Maybe this is a good thing! by ajiva · · Score: 3, Funny

    Maybe Micrososft will get their programmers to code better and use less memory. Maybe Nautilus won't use up 40+mb to just open up one windows, maybe Mozilla won't chew up 70+ mb and damn if GAIM doesn't use 40+mb....

  17. Re:Stopped Dumping by shystershep · · Score: 4, Funny

    Chinese countries

    So, who would that be? China and . . . China?

    --
    The bigotry of the nonbeliever is for me nearly as funny as the bigotry of the believer. - Albert Einstein
  18. The wide price swings... by Jake+Diamond · · Score: 5, Insightful

    are because the industry is so cut-throat. In good DRAM times, companies crowd in, adding new production capacity and trying to make a quick buck. They know this is going to kill prices a couple years down the road, but if they don't do it, they'll be left out in the cold as competitors grab their market share. Sure enough, a couple of years later oversupply kicks in. Companies manufacture less DRAM, shift production to more profitable products, etc... And the cycle begins anew. I really don't know what started it, unless it was the 1987 DRAM crash, when all but one US manufacturer dropped the DRAM business due to intense Japanese competition. (And illegal dumping, as it turned out.)

    Adding to this now is a fairly major transition from 200-300mm wafers. No matter what the DRAM companies tell you, they're never as good with their process as they claim they are. (I used to work for one of them.) Everyone is struggling to some degree with 0.11 micron compared to 0.13, and everyone (except perhaps Infineon, who started with it about three years ago) is struggling with 300mm wafer technology compared to 200mm.

    Add it all up, and it very likely is a legitimate shortage. No price fixing here.

    1. Re:The wide price swings... by Jake+Diamond · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes. Since there is more than twice as much available area on a 300mm wafer as a 200mm one, you come out ahead if the 300mm wafer is = 2x the price of the 200mm one. That wafer price crossover is near, or has already happened, depending on what sort of deal you get from your wafer suppliers.

      The chips made on the wafer don't get bigger--they're the same size or smaller. The advantage is that you get more than twice as many chips on a wafer. Time spent on each machine in the fab is money--if you can pattern more chips at once at photo, etch more chips at once in dry etch, and test more chips at once in probe, you can make chips more quickly and more cheaply than your competitors.

      The big downside of 300mm (and the reason most companies put it off so long) is that it requires either extensive refittings of existing equipment or (more commonly) a completely new fab. Since we're talking ~3B USD, very few companies could justify that.

      As you might imagine in such an industry, once your competitors begin doing something like that, you better have an answer for it. Infineon's move to build 300mm (first DRAM maker to do it AFAIK) looked like a bad move at the time, as it was an enormous cash sink, but now they've come out of it much more competitive for it.

  19. Toaster factories don't cost 2E9+ USD by amorsen · · Score: 3, Informative

    If there is a toaster shortage, you can build a new factory pretty rapidly. Not so with chips. With cars, demand is pretty steady and factories are rarely used to capacity. If you have a chip factory which is not used to capacity, producing an extra chip is very cheap, so it is a waste to not produce as many as you can. On the other hand, producing an extra car is rather expensive even when the factory is otherwise idle -- so idle capacity doesn't push car prices down to unsustainable levels.

    --
    Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  20. Collusion, Collapse! by throatmonster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    1. Ram mfgs get together, collude to raise prices
    2. Brokers sell stocks of Ram mfgs on promise of increased profits
    3. Collusion breaks down as mfgs increase production to take advantage of better margins
    4. Prices go even lower

    Lather, rinse, repeat.

    --
    All pass beyond reach of medicine. None pass beyond the reach of love.
  21. Re:But... by mahdi13 · · Score: 4, Informative
    --
    "Some things have to be believed to be seen." - Ralph Hodgson
  22. Still cheap by NineNine · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Considering that the last time I bought RAM, I paid $1/MB, current RAM prices could quadruple, and I'd still be happy. Besides, what kind of apps do you need more than say, 256MB RAM? Hell, most machines I see these days ship with 512MB, which is more than I need.

  23. They've gotten so pricey by stratjakt · · Score: 3, Funny

    That the local Best Buy now lists them as "ReAM Modules"

    --
    I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
  24. RAM Price Increases by pipingguy · · Score: 4, Funny

    No problem. I still have the 8MB from my old 486DX66. I'll just sell it and buy another 514MB for my current machine. It must qualify as a collectible antique by now, no?

  25. Re:But... by shepd · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Maybe not that, but he *did* say this:

    [Really long blockquote deleted, just read the article, every line is a hoot]

    [Ok, one blockquote]
    Bill Gates -- "Do you want to know what percentage of those phonecalls relates to bugs in the software? Less than one percent."
    --
    If you could be told what you can see or read, then it follows that you could be told what to say or think - BoC
  26. Dimmit there go our strategic DRAM reserves! by theLOUDroom · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now Bush is going to want to drill in Nevada for DRAM!?

    Won't someone please think of the scorpions!

    We need to break this country of it's dependence on foreign DRAM once and for all.

    --
    Life is too short to proofread.
  27. No magazine has integrity. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 4, Interesting


    Be careful. Several times in the past publicity agents have placed stories like this in national magazines just before big price drops.

    Everything in the magazines now is for sale. No magazine of which I am aware has any integrity.

    Here's a quote from the Reuters article on ZDNet:

    "We believe the tight supply situation will continue for the time being on delays by rivals in a move to shrink circuitry" to 110 nanometers, said a semiconductor trader at Samsung.

    Notice the 100% conflict of interest.

    After the Taiwan earthquake the rise in prices was very fleeting, due to the hype by publicity agents, and not any real lack of supply. The did the same scam concerning VCR heads, saying the lack of supply would make VCRs go up in price. Instead, the price dropped sharply.

  28. Re:Stopped Dumping by Mateito · · Score: 3, Funny

    Burma!

    Sorry, I panicked.

  29. No big deal for OEM marketing by ejaw5 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Example computer advertising

    Before higher RAM costs

    QAPMOC_PH 5500: 256 MB RAM
    QAPMOC_PH 6200: 131,072 kB RAM

    Best Buy Sales droid:"Yes, the new 6200 has more RAM than the 5500 model."

    I know years ago on at least this one model of notebook Toshiba listed the 3 gb hardrive as "3,000,000 megabytes".

    --

    $cat /dev/random > Sig
  30. That's nothing by sideshow · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Going though some old bills my dad showed me the one where he paid many hundreds of dollars to update his PDP-11 to 128K.

    Actually it may have even been to 12K!

    --

    Hollow words will burn and hollow men will burn.

  31. Using 256MB RAM by 200_success · · Score: 5, Funny
    Besides, what kind of apps do you need more than say, 256MB RAM?

    You have obviously never run any Java applications. Here's how to use up the first 128 MB:

    public class Hello {
    public static void main(String[] args) { System.out.println("Hello, world!");
    }
    }
  32. Re:Stopped Dumping by ultramk · · Score: 3, Informative

    So, who would that be? China and . . . China?

    Well... there's the "People's Republic of China", and the "Republic of China", two completely different countries (well, in the eyes of the PROC, the ROC is a breakaway republic, sort of like how Saddam viewed Kuwait). So, "Chinese countries" would be technically correct--and that's the best kind of correct!

    Also, the ROC (aka Taiwan) is the source of much of the world's RAM, so the original poster's comment has some validity.

    M-

    --
    You catch enchiladas by picking them up behind the head and holding them underwater until they don't kick anymore -VeGas
  33. Buy slower memory by Wolfier · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In most cases, it's the quantity, not speed, that matters anyway. The mantra is, keep everything in memory to minimize disk I/O since even the slowest memory is faster than the fastest disk.

    If I have to choose between 512MB of Dual Channel RAM and 1GB of Single Channel for my PC, I'd pick 1GB. Choice is easy.