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Hits or Misses: Who is Your Website's Audience?

securitas writes "The Christian Science Monitor's Gregory M. Lamb wrote a story interesting to anyone who runs a website: How do you accurately and reliably measure the audience for your website? From the article: 'Most websites have no idea how many people view their content. This inherent fuzziness is causing problems for commercial websites, especially online publications desperate to make money from Internet advertising... How can you charge for ads when it's nearly impossible to tell advertisers how many people will see them?' The article discusses the flaws and problems with Nielsen/NetRatings and comScore Media Metrix - they grossly undersample workplace users - and the rise in the number of sites requiring user registration."

31 of 146 comments (clear)

  1. As Ty Webb would say... by Sqwubbsy · · Score: 5, Funny

    By height.

  2. use cookies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    I always just set a cookie with a tracking ID, and then use that to keep track of the anon user. counting the number of tracking cookies given out each day, and the time they were used for seems to work sufficiently for me... or is there some problem with that I don't know about?

    1. Re:use cookies? by PhxBlue · · Score: 3, Informative

      Only when you consider browsers that let you reject cookies, such as Firefox. But then, that's more the web developer's problem than mine, since I'd just as soon remain anonymous.

      --
      !#@%*)anks for hanging up the phone, dear.
    2. Re:use cookies? by Stephen · · Score: 4, Informative

      Read the article. They are complaining that one user may read the content from work and from home, and so count as two users. One might also point out that sometimes two people may use the same computer, and only count as one person.

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  3. Cookies? by Mz6 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Call me oblivious, but wasn't this one of the reasons why cookies were created?

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    Hmmm.
    1. Re:Cookies? by howlatthemoon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What cookies don't tell you is who the person is, are visitors in the target demographic, are you missing an audience, etc. Of course, that said, I don't want to give that information out to most advertisers.

    2. Re:Cookies? by RetroGeek · · Score: 4, Informative

      Call me oblivious, but wasn't this one of the reasons why cookies were created?

      Using the Mozilla cookie control, I regularily go through my cookies. Anything that looks like it is coming from an ad site I delete and block.

      Any site which I do not recognize gets the same treatment.

      I have not had any problems from any site because of this.

      --

      - - - - - - - - - - -
      I am a programmer. I am paid to produce syntax not grammar. Deal with it.
  4. Isn't it obvious by DecimalThree · · Score: 3, Insightful

    that is why most online advertising consists of fees based on the 'per click' methodology?

    "How can you charge for ads when it's nearly impossible to tell advertisers how many people will see them" --- These people use access logs??

    1. Re:Isn't it obvious by cshark · · Score: 3, Informative

      No.

      That's why the standard is per impression CPM (cost per thousand). One user even from home could generate hundreds of impressions if the content is interesting enough, and the pages are chocked full of useful ads!

      Per click is another methodology, but until Google came along, it really wasn't the standard on the ad sales end. Still isn't outside of Google and the search engines.

      That said, most web sites do know exactly what demographics are visiting their web sites and when. If it's important enough to buy software to do it, and most do, there are several useful software packages that come to mind. Web Trends is the first one I think of. That program in particular actually catches many of the problems described in the article, and it's not unusual. Many such programs have similar functionality.

      Honestly, it would have been nice to see them do their home work before writing yet another scare piece.

      --

      This signature has Super Cow Powers

  5. mmm... by manavendra · · Score: 5, Funny

    I dont know what the real strategy of most online newspaper websites is, but they seem to follow this pattern:

    1. Make content available online, free of cost
    2. Wait for people to start using and monitor the growth in number of hits
    3. Reduce the website response to a crawl with mind numbing popups, flash ads, quick time ads, and generally anything that would make sure the user "spends" more a few minutes on the homepage
    4. Wait for most users to go away to some other website.
    5. The few braves who remain - force them to register and read all the content, since you want to chart your users by demography.
    6. Finally, now make most of the content premium - based upon the data collected in step 5, however inaccurate it is. Flood the site with more ads, if possible
    7. Moan and bitch that there is no revenue generated.

    8. Repeat cycle

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    http://efil.blogspot.com/
  6. Editors at Slashdot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    may think their audience is a bunch of nerds, but in reality its a bunch of suave playboys that get to have sex with many hot women. I suggest they make the appropriate content changes.

  7. Uh, No... by EvilJohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is completely backwards. Infact, it's exactly the opposite. It's quite simple to tell how many people view your webpage, and hell of alot easier (and more accurate) than radio or TV.

    This is the source of the problem with web advertising, your numbers fairly accurate and based on actual events, not some satistically questionable sampling method. There's little room for fudging.

    Demographics on the other hand are a little more complicated. There, you actually have to ask.

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    --

    Less Talk, More Beer.
    1. Re:Uh, No... by thogard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's quite simple to tell how many people view your webpage, and hell of alot easier (and more accurate) than radio or TV

      No kidding. For the 1st time in the history of advertising since the invention of the shop sign, someone has a direct way to count how many people see the ads and how many of them respond in some positve way. The resutls aren't even close to the typical guesses used in the advertising game to sell ads so they simply say the web stats are wrong and go back to their old ways that say more comercials are good. Too bad the real stats show that consumers are overstaturated and ignore most ads. The problem is that consumers don't buy ads, its the large comapines that buy the ads and they don't know if its going to work or not so the compaines trust the ad providers to provide useful stats and then trust them even it it disagrees with market data. If you think some of the professional software is broken, take a look at real world ads. Some of them run away customers for years. For example Oral-B had anannoying warning sound on an ad for their toothbrushes and I hate it so much I'll never buy one of their products again and that ad ran a decade ago.

      I was in a meeting room with a bunch of ad idiots that had just charged the company I worked for about a million dollars to put the www.$COMPANY_NAME.com on the tail end of some well recieved comercials that were about "building brand". They said it would increase our hits a thousand times. I had the logs and said it had increased the sites hits to about 20 times what my personal site got. The idiot then asked me how much I spent on advertising my site. One of my coworkers made some comment about it being millions less than what they charged and that the web hits had only doubled. The team of idiots then told us we must be getting our numbers from an unrelaiable ad auditing source and couldn't deal with the concept that our numbers were from the apache logs.

  8. Lets show Mr Lamb and the CSM by WormholeFiend · · Score: 3, Funny

    I suppose the CSM is about to discover how many slashdotters view the content of this website...

  9. Re:Not too hard by onion2k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Mandatory reg. puts people off using the site in the first place (Why register if you can see the content.. If you can't see the content who knows if its worth registering for?).

    IP addresses is half the problem (everyone behind one company firewall looks like 1 user).

    Cookies are ok so long as your users are ok with you "tracking their browsing habits".

    Its a tricky puzzle...

  10. Page Counter by Omega1045 · · Score: 5, Funny

    I would put a CGI page counter at the bottom of every page. I think the one with flame numbers works the best for this, but the digital looking on also works well.

    --

    Great ideas often receive violent opposition from mediocre minds. - Albert Einstein

  11. i just dont care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    i dont care who looks at my site as long as my statistics page reports more than just me.

  12. You can't: live with it by Stephen · · Score: 5, Insightful
    You can't measure the exact number of human visitors to a website, any more than you can measure the exact number of people who read a magazine. With a magazine, two people may read one magazine. With a website, one person may come from two computers, or two people from one computer. The problem is only that people, especially advertisers, seem to expect that exact numbers are somehow possible. But they really need to match their metrics to the medium, and not try and force the medium to fit print-media analogies.

    Anyway, the exact numbers don't really tell you anything. You really need to know the differences between two sub-populations (are visitors from pay-per-click ads or visitors from standard search results more likely to buy?). A program which makes this sort of comparison easy will give you far more insight than one which tries to get the total number of visitors closer to some mythical "true" number.

    (I am the author of analog and CTO of ClickTracks, but I'm writing in a personal capacity).

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  13. Holds true for me by tuomasr · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I found this article to be rather insightful. I personally run a small IT/science-news site (in Finnish) and I'm really having a hard time figuring out visitors of the site. Of course I can get some data from the log analyzing software (awstats and webalizer are being used for the site) but it really doesn't tell me what I want. It seems that the website logs don't always tell the truth. For example I'm getting about 20-30 hits a day with a referrer pointing to a site that's a search engine for blogs (${god} knows why the site has been tagged as a blog) but browsing through the actual logs reveal the hits to belong to a indexing-robot of the site that's a little too enthusiastic.

    The most reliable way to find out about the visitors on a given site would be a user survey, although not complete as not everyone would fill it out, but it would give an idea about the habits of your most frequent visitors. I, if I were an advertiser, would be interested in more than just number of hits and visits and most advertisers would be baffled by stuff like "we got XXXYYYZZZ HTTP requests last month". Personally I would prefer to advertise on sites with a well-built sense of community and an active userbase that's keen to interact with the website, when I browse a site for the first time or a site that I visit infrequently, I rarely click on banners or ads. I'm more prone to clicking ads on sites which I visit daily or so, it gives me a feeling of supporting the site I like and I just might buy something from the advertiser if they are offering something that I need, therefore focused advertising is the key, hence again you need to know your users.

    Logs tell you numbers but you need the visitors themselves to tell you who they really are and how often they visit your site.

  14. Re:You shouldn't care how many people visit ... by lukewarmfusion · · Score: 3, Informative

    Your first line is that advertisers shouldn't care how many people visit... but then you go on to talk about how you increase traffic to your own website.

    If your site uses an ad-supported business model, you (and your advertisers) should care how many people are visiting your site. Advertisers want to spend their money somewhere that they know will be seen.

    The Super Bowl charges more for a 30-second spot than your local cable channel; that's because of the sheer number of people that will be watching. If you (and your advertisers) know how many people are visiting the site, then you can put some numbers to your business model - and that's a smart way to run a business.

  15. The most interesting is Alexa's model by Moryath · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Alexa's model is interesting - they hand out a "free" toolbar that gives you google search, as well as pinging Alexa and showing you every page's Alexa rank.

    Unfortunately, the toolbar also slows down your browsing (especially if you're on dialup). And the more tech-savvy a user is, the less likely they are to want that toolbar on their system. Thus tech sites are going to be depressed in those rankings, always.

    Alexa also can't tell a subdomain from a regular domain - so subpages of IGN.com or UGO wind up just increasing IGN or UGO's rank, and blogs hosted at X.BlogHost.Com just raise BlogHost.com's rank without being able to tell what the particular blog's rank might be.

    Finally, the biggest flaw in Alexa's ranking system is that it's based on voluntary input; rather than finding 'Net users and trying to get a representative sample (which is the goal of the Nielsen TV setup), they take anyone who'll put in their toolbar. Sure, they can get a pretty large number of idiots to install the thing, but they're still idiots - there are demographics that the toolbar just won't get adopted by in that fashion.

    The other sad thing is, there are companies that use Alexa's page rankings to decide how much they'll pay for ads. Go figure.

    1. Re:The most interesting is Alexa's model by Singletoned · · Score: 3, Funny
      The other sad thing is, there are companies that use Alexa's page rankings to decide how much they'll pay for ads. Go figure.

      Of course, they do. If they find out that a site has a large number of idiots looking at it, they will want to advertise. That's their target audience.

    2. Re:The most interesting is Alexa's model by yppiz · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Moryath writes:
      Alexa also can't tell a subdomain from a regular domain - so subpages of IGN.com or UGO wind up just increasing IGN or UGO's rank, and blogs hosted at X.BlogHost.Com just raise BlogHost.com's rank without being able to tell what the particular blog's rank might be.
      I wrote much of Alexa's early traffic counting software (I worked there in the late 1990s).

      Your description is partly right. Alexa "rolls up" clicks on subdomains into the doman. So clicks on www1.foo.com, www2.foo.com, and www3.foo.com all count towards foo.com.

      Alexa does this primarily to deal with site mirrors, but also because some sites create subdomains for various functions related to serving pages. So someone interested in Google's overall popularity might prefer to see gmail.google.com, news.google.com, and www.google.com as one site, and not three.

      That said, the site counting software has (or at least had, I don't know if this is still true) rules for detecting home pages as stats-worthy sites independent of their domains. For instance, any URL with a tilde after the domain, like www.foo.com/~bar, has its own statistics. Similarly, there are special rules for recognizing "home pages" on domains like AOL and other big ISPs.

      It's a huge problem deciding what people consider to be websites - it borders on serious AI. For instance, is each Sourceforge project a separate site? How about several subdirectories off of someone's home page, each with a very different focus?

      If you think that your favorite domain should be divided into sites, and that it isn't happening correctly in the Alexa toolbar, you might try sending email to Alexa and asking them to take a look.

      Finally, the biggest flaw in Alexa's ranking system is that it's based on voluntary input; rather than finding 'Net users and trying to get a representative sample (which is the goal of the Nielsen TV setup), they take anyone who'll put in their toolbar. Sure, they can get a pretty large number of idiots to install the thing, but they're still idiots - there are demographics that the toolbar just won't get adopted by in that fashion.
      I am not familiar with Neilsen's current methodology, but I was unimpressed by their marketing claims when they first started their web metrics. At the time (late 1990s) I believe they were saying they had a representative sample of the internet, even though their sample size was: 1) tiny, and 2) made up of volunteers. I cannot say what goes on in Neilsen, or any other web ratings company, currently, but while companies may have very careful statisticians on the inside, often, the caveats and possible biases get stripped out by the marketing department. The moral of this story is, assume that any web rating (or television rating, for that matter) is biased, and understand those biases as well as you can.

      --Pat / zippy@cs.brandeis.edu

  16. Webalizer, cookies, stats by Lord+Zerrr · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I use webalizer, cookies, and a two stats packages for my cms system (geeklog). One stats package only admin has privalige to, which gives me very detailed acurate info such as time, ip, which page viewed, referers, UID (user id), links followed, country browser, platform ect. All open source. Does the job for me.

    --
    "If the facts don't fit the theory, change the facts." -Albert Einstein
    Karma? There's a serial modder out there.
  17. This isn't rocket science! by peterdaly · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Tracking unique visitors?
    Not that hard if small margin of error is ok.

    Charging for ads when you don't know how many page views you will get?
    What about CPM (cost per 1k impression) rates? Want 10k impressions? Pay for 10k impressions.

    Target demographics?
    How about track what article topics are popular, how many return readers per topic, etc?

    These are not that hard to do with the right people. The guy who writes the "techie column" in many cases is not the right person.

    I guess if you think like a newspaper, you end up with these problems seeming impossible to figure out.

    Have I lost my marbles, or is this really not that hard?

    -Pete

  18. Re:Easy by blowdart · · Score: 5, Interesting
    While that's almost an amusing troll I've noticed a trend recently where fake referrals are sent to random pages. I would guess this is to boast google page rankings, as some people will publish lists of referring sites on a crawlable page. In the last two weeks a certain canadian IP sent fake referrals for various pages on
    • www.spankarchive.com
    • www.spanking-adult.com
    • www.spanking-porn.com
    • www.spanking-punishment.com
    • www.spankingstories.us
    • www.spankphotos.com
    • www.spankpics.net

    Their ISP killed their account after 3 reported strikes.

    Then there's em3.net, a scumware site that tried this last year. Following the links triggered attempted spyware downloads.

    (If anyone is truely interested I have a partial list at http://idunno.org/misc/referralSpammers.aspx)

  19. Oh come on! by peterdaly · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Read the article. They are complaining that one user may read the content from work and from home, and so count as two users. One might also point out that sometimes two people may use the same computer, and only count as one person.

    My wife and I both read the same article/section in the newspaper we got yesterday, even though we only got a single paper. (We "logged" 1 impression even though 2 were made.)

    I understand that is the opposite of what you suggest, so...

    Not only that, but we had some sections delivered to us that we (gasp!) threw out without even reading even though we may have been part of the target demographic. (We "logged" 1 impression even though 0 were made.)

    And the web is different how?

    -Pete

  20. I wish Internet advertisers would learn... by Xugumad · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not going to click on your banner. Nope. Not a chance. Not happening.

    It's not that I'm not interested in your product. Online adverts I see actually tend to be:

    1. Something unavailable to me (wrong country).
    2. Something of no interest to me.
    3. Something I own already (this happens a _lot_ with Gamespy).

    But that's not the point. The point is, I'm at the web site because I'm looking for something, and it's probably not your product. When watching TV, I never watch an advert, and immediately decide to research/buy that product. At best I'll make a mental note to have a look out for information on it later, in most cases I won't think about it until I'm looking for that kind of product, at which point I'll probably remember your advert.

    An example might be easier. I frequently see adverts for car insurance. I don't drive, for a variety of reasons, but if I was going to learn and buy a car, I'd probably start calling around the companies whose names I remembered from adverts. Well, actually I'd Google for a comparison site, but lets pretend I'm too lazy to do that, okay?

    Oh, also, pop-ups/unders are a really good way of persuading me to avoid your company, your advertiser, and whatever site I got the pop-up/under from.

    1. Re:I wish Internet advertisers would learn... by Xugumad · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh, while I'm on a roll (just mod me offtopic, I'm ranting here)...

      If I'm on your site, you have my attention. Stop trying to get my attention with fancy tricks that break my browser or talk half an hour to download.

      Don't resize my browser. If I wanted my browser window to fill the screen, I'd be resized it myself. Equally, if I wanted a poky little window that happens to perfectly fit your site, I can grab that little resize widget myself. It's not like you're saving me effort, as I have to then resize the window back again later.

      Don't tell me your site won't work with my browser. Let me try. Chances are, you've mis-detected my browser, and/or haven't tested in three years, and it'll work just fine if you let me in.

      Okay, going to go get some actual work done now.

  21. Mind boggling stupidity by danharan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who cares about demographics? We're trying to figure out what people's interests are, what types of ads they'll respond to.

    Well, duh. If a visitor looks at the sports pages during work hours, you have a fair deal of information about that person already. Isn't that already enough to serve up ads that would likely be relevant?

    If these dead-tree publishers of yesterday's news got a clue, they might also realize that web-ads are actionable, and actions can be counted. Do people click on the ads? Do they generate leads or sales? There's this interesting industry called affiliate marketing they should look into (my guess is they'd make good money off personals and job ads).

    What they read, when they read it, and what ads they want to learn more about. WTF more do they need?

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    Information: "I want to be anthropomorphized"
  22. How to track? Use Google AdSense by Goldenhawk · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I have been pondering the same issue for quite some time, as my business depends heavily on internet traffic. I've found one of the best ways to both track traffic, and benefit from it, is the Google AdSense program.

    With a relatively compact bit of javascript embedded into a page, the user gets hopefully relevant ads that are not obtrusive or flashy, same as the Google Adwords text-only ads you see on the right side of the Google results pages. And you can customize the colors and format to suit your own pages. Google, while they do serve the ads based on your site's content, do allow you to prohibit certain keywords, so you can block out competitors' ads.

    To make it useful to the host, Google allows you to create "channels", so within one AdSense account you can track different pages. You can get a detailed report of how many pageviews each channel generates, as well as click-thrus (which of course leave your site).

    To sweeten the deal, you get paid for click thrus. That means you get paid when someone leaves your site, but my philosophy is that if they do that, they weren't planning on sticking around anyway, so I might as well profit from it.

    In my case, my site generates about 3000 pageviews and 15 clickthrus, and that translates into about $1 a day in revenue. It's not much, but I roll that back into the Google AdWords campaigns that I run, which generate inbound traffic. I'd rather have people coming to my site that want to be here, than those that don't, so I see it as a fair trade.

    And in the end, the reporting and tracking are handled by Google, and provide a tangible benefit to my business.

    Oh, and if you want to see an example in operation, look at the very bottom of our site's main page.

    --
    --Brandon / Split Infinity Music