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Steven Hawking Loses Bet On Black Holes?

st1d writes "Looks like Steven Hawking might have to pay up on an old bet regarding black holes - seems his idea about them destroying information wasn't quite living up to his expectations: 'The about-turn might cost Hawking, a physicist at the University of Cambridge, an encyclopaedia because of a bet he made in 1997. More importantly, it might solve one of the long-standing puzzles in modern physics.' He's due to make a formal announcement July 21."

34 of 477 comments (clear)

  1. Winning a bet... by Dagny+Taggert · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...against Hawking would be something to tell the grandchildren about. Hell, it would be an honor to lose a bet to him.

    --
    Don't be a looter...and yes, I know that it's spelled with an "A" instead of an "E".
    1. Re:Winning a bet... by Zaphrod · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Steven has lost bets before but in most cases I believe it was he who proved himself wrong. He bets against what he hopes to prove thereby winning in either case.

    2. Re:Winning a bet... by untaken_name · · Score: 5, Funny

      Jesus, who uses those nowadays anyway?

      Wow. If He answers your question, could you tell me what His /. id is? I have some questions for Him too...if you get His email addy, that'd work too.

    3. Re:Winning a bet... by justkarl · · Score: 5, Funny

      Wow. If He answers your question, could you tell me what His /. id is? I have some questions for Him too...if you get His email addy, that'd work too.

      At first read, I couldn't tell if you were talking about Jesus or Stephen Hawking. But I'll bet they both have accounts here.

    4. Re:Winning a bet... by MasTRE · · Score: 5, Funny

      > Winning a bet against Hawking would be something to tell the grandchildren about.

      Hey, kids - when I was your age, I used to bet people in wheelchairs who couldn't even speak unassisted and take their money away.

      --
      Must-not-watch TV!
  2. Destroying info. by tomhudson · · Score: 5, Funny
    seems his idea about them destroying information wasn't quite living up to his expectations
    In other words, black holes don't run Windows.
  3. Integrity by Stephen+R+Hall · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It shows the character of the man - not only is he prepared to admit he was wrong, but will present detailed scientific proof of why he was wrong.

    1. Re:Integrity by thefirelane · · Score: 5, Informative

      If this is the same bet I remember... he wanted to be wrong. His expectation, and hope was that he would loose the bet... he took the bet because if his theories turn out to be wrong, at least he gets the prize of the bet as consolation.


      ---Lane

    2. Re:Integrity by Ari_Haviv · · Score: 5, Funny

      not only that but he "appeared" on Conan O'brian. now that is a man I can respect.

      --
      Join Team Mozilla #38050 Folding@home
    3. Re:Integrity by Timesprout · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, he is going to bring a small black hole to the meeting which will consume all the delegates thus destroying them. The now completely destroyed delegates will continue to receive spam so proving that some information about them does still exist. Unfortunately for the delegates though their future legacy is to be considered by our decendants as perverts obsessed with their penis size, women having carnal relations with donkeys and perhaps most bizarrely, a toner cartridge fetish.

      --
      Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
      What truth?
      There is no dupe
    4. Re:Integrity by Ubergrendle · · Score: 5, Informative

      Having worked with disabled people in a support capacity earlier in life, I can offer some observations (which are fully qualified as personal opinion only!):

      1. Disabilities affect your state of mind. Just as you think differently if you speak a different language or come from a different culture, the mere fact that you're disabled impacts ALL aspects of your life, directly or indirectly. Think of it this way: if you know, for example, that you will NEVER have a sex life and that you will NEVER go through the traditional dating/marriage male/female dynamic, how does that change you life? For better? For worse?

      2. Disabilities usually come with ongoing pain. Sores from prolonged periods of sitting in a wheelchair. Muscle problems from over developed/under developed muscles due to 'incorrect' body posture. Rashes from your adult diapers. Pain is NOT a natural state, and will pervade all aspects of your personality. When my mother had a serious muscle injury that persisted for about 18 months, the constant pain changed her personality completely (for the worse). Many times this is the reason why elderly people seem cantankerous and cranky...this is not their natural disposition. They were not 'always this way'.

      3. People with disabilities are needy. Some more than others. The best adjusted ones are people who have disabilities onset late in life, or the ones that somehow have the strength of will (plus physical capability) of being independent. But some do not/cannot become independent, and thus are need as a matter of living. In many disabled people, I've seen an amplified sense of demand and outrage at minor things. It also amplifies the 'me-me-me-me' attitude, which I interpret as a corrupted sense of self preservation.

      I think the movie "My Left Foot" did a great job portraying all of the personality differences if you're looking for a good dramatised case study.

      Short of it is: I don't doubt that Hawking is an a**hole. I would be a bit surprised if he wasn't, in all honesty. But try not to judge too harshly...despite his great intelligence I suspect his social skills are unique to himself and somewhat limited. In this case I prefer to feel pity for his first wife, and reserve judgment on the man.

      --
      John Maynard Keynes: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?"
    5. Re:Integrity by HiThere · · Score: 5, Interesting

      People who live in pain tend to be unpleasant characters. Sorry, it seems to work that way. That Hawking is able to be civil almost all the time is a great testiment to his social awareness. And his social awareness would make is "cripple" status particularly annoying to him.

      I suspect that he pep-talks himself all the time, just to get through a day. I'm certain that he will be seen by many as arrogant and intolerant. But if he were to be tolerant *of himself* he might well collapse into self-pity. Similarly if he were to loose his good (arrogant) opinion of himself.

      I am only sporadically troubled by a chronic pain. I'm told that the first thing that people notice that lets them know that I'm in pain is that I become more cutting, and my humor turns blacker. I don't notice this, myself, but it's been reported to me by someone I trust, AND used to diagnose when I was in pain, so I'm fairly certain that it's accurate.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    6. Re:Integrity by timalewis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think you could perhaps attribute his attitude more to the fact that he is a Cambridge academic and less to the fact that he is in a wheelchair.

    7. Re:Integrity by FuzzyBad-Mofo · · Score: 5, Funny

      Applied Cryogenics, 2000

      Fry: So then my chair tilted backwards and I almost fell into this freezer thingy.
      Hawking: I call it a "Hawking Chamber."
      Fry: Instead of falling in and getting frozen, I missed and wanged my head.
      Gore: Well it's obvious what should have happened. That wang to the head should have killed you.
      Fry: Uh what?
      Nichols: Let's finish the job.
      Gore: No wait! There must be a peaceful -
      [Nichols pushes Fry over]
      Hawking: Hold him down.
      Deep Blue: Check.
      [Hawking runs Fry over with his wheelchair]
      Fry: Ow! Ow! Ow! Ow!

  4. Of course, the second part of the bet requiring .. by burgburgburg · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hawking to streak naked through the Cambridge campus while screaming "I know nothing about physics!" might be a bit more problematic.

  5. Don't bet on black holes... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ..the odds get longer the nearer you get to it.

    :)

  6. The full terms of the bet are more interesting by dominux · · Score: 5, Informative
    Hawking bet against himself so he would have a consolation prize if he lost. Some time in the intervening years the bet changed a bit.

    "Whereas Stephen Hawking has such a large investment in general relativity and black holes and desires an insurance policy, and wheras Kip Thorne likes to live dangerously without an insurance policy.
    Therefore be it resolved that Stephen Hawking bets one years subscription to PENTHOUSE as against Kip Thorne's wager of a 4-year subscription to PRIVATE EYE, that Cygnus X-1 does not contain a black hole of mass above Chandrasekhar limit."
    It was signed by Stephen Hawking and Kip Thorne.

    for those not of these shores Penthouse is a top shelf soft porn mag and Private eye is a current affairs/political satyrical publication.

  7. Re:I like their sense of humor by JamesP · · Score: 5, Funny

    The duo are expected to present Preskill with an encyclopaedia of his choice "from which information can be recovered at will"."

    So... Your encyclopedia has been thrown at the nearest blackhole... Since you proved me wrong, you'll be quite able to recover the information presented in it...

    --
    how long until /. fixes commenting on Chrome?
  8. Re:Of course, the second part of the bet requiring by pjt33 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Indeed - there isn't a Cambridge campus.

  9. Oh... by DecayCell · · Score: 5, Funny

    So it is safe to store my data in a black hole?
    Great!

  10. Re:an encyclopedia? by kfg · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, with Kip Thorne. You can find a reproduction of the actual bet document here:

    Penthouse Bet

    Word is that Kip's wife was seriously put out about the payoff. Some people just don't appreciate winning.

    KFG

  11. Why I read Slashdot by bhima · · Score: 5, Funny
    This article is prime example of why I read Slashdot: I read the article, I knew about the bet and found it interesting. Within *minutes* of this article being posted all of the ideas I had when reading it have been posted:

    Steve Hawkins is an interesting and cool guy (Actually so is Kip Thorne)

    I wish I could tell my grandkids I won a bet against Steven Hawkins (or for that matter lost it)

    I wonder if the encyclopedias will be on CD?

    I like the sense of humor of these guys.

    What a reputation! To be granted time to speak, without prior notice as to topic and specific content.

    Wasn't he on Conan?

    42

    It's scary so many people think like me!

    No I will not comment on donkeys or toner cartridges!

    --
    Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
  12. Re:Of course, the second part of the bet requiring by Bugster · · Score: 5, Funny

    Not too big, but cold enough in winter to give extra meaning to the phrase "vanishing black hole".

  13. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  14. I've spotted a mistake of his by hype10 · · Score: 5, Funny

    He would certainly be under intense scrutiny. In fact, when reading his book (The Universe in a Nutshell) I spotted a mistake that I've never seen mentioned. Unfortunately it was just a missing space between two words. I was still quite proud though...

  15. Not all he's cracked up to be... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hawking is a better than average physicist, but he is far from the best... What he is very good at is explaining advanced concepts in a way that the educated (but not advanced degree in physics holding) crowd can understand.

    He is also good at taking credit for work that is not his own. He has on 2 occasions had to apologize to professor Jimmy York for claiming Jimmies ideas as his own. Rumor has it that Jimmy says Hawking has done it again, but has not yet apologized this time.

    He and his main collaborator (Roger Penrose) are widely regarded as ass holes (actually referred to as the twin ass holes) who capitalize greatly on other peoples work without doing much themselves in the cosmology community.

    Posted AC to protect my fiancé (a cosmology PhD student), the source of most of my info on Hawking...

    1. Re:Not all he's cracked up to be... by untaken_name · · Score: 5, Funny

      Shame on you, basing your opinions on anecdotal hearsay evidence from your SO! What kind of dumbass are you? Don't you know that on /. it's proper to formulate your opinions based on Internet-posted hearsay and anecdotal evidence! Tsk, tsk!

  16. Re:No such word as "maths" by Filecore · · Score: 5, Informative
    "Mathematics" is often shortened to "maths" in the UK. I have never called it "math" nor I don't think I've ever met another Brit that would call it such.

    http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=maths

  17. That cheap bastard !!! by shachart · · Score: 5, Funny

    The about-turn might cost Hawking, a physicist at the University of Cambridge, an encyclopaedia because of a bet he made in 1997

    hawking:~> wget -r http://wikipedia.org | tar czf - | mail preskill@caltech.edu

    --
    Those who can, do. Those who can't, consult.
  18. Futurama quote by Viking+Coder · · Score: 5, Funny

    Nichelle Nichols: "It's about that rip in space-time that you saw!"
    Stephen Hawking: "I call it a Hawking Hole."
    Fry: "No fair! I saw it first!"
    Stephen Hawking: "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?"

    (And then here's the MP3 of this great quote.)

    --
    Education is the silver bullet.
  19. Re:Which laws? by The+Only+Druid · · Score: 5, Informative

    It violates the third law of thermodynamics, that the universe moves towards an increasingly entropic state.

    Look at it this way: if all the matter in the universe were condensed into a black hole which in doing so destroyed all the information about that matter, the universe would be less entropic than before the black hole consumed everything.

    Hawking radiation was in fact initially proposed as a means of seeming to counteract that: the radiation emitted due to quantum pair formation at the event horizon was calculated so that the following was always true: the Hawking radiation contributed more entropy to the universe than the infalling matter could have contained. Considering that the event horizon increases with the mass of the black hole, the balance was maintained.

    String theory, for several reasons, has changed some of the underlying theories, hence the upcoming speech.

    --
    "Stumble before you crawl"
  20. Re:Which laws? by Y2 · · Score: 5, Informative
    Look at it this way: if all the matter in the universe were condensed into a black hole which in doing so destroyed all the information about that matter, the universe would be less entropic than before the black hole consumed everything.

    That is exactly wrong. Black holes radiate (no pun intended) a black-body spectrum, which is a spectrum of maximal entropy. This had been proven several different ways by the mid-seventies. If black holes destroyed information, which radiation, containing no information, would be the end of the story. (Pun intended, this time.) However, ...

    In QM, physical processes are represented by "unitary operators", which cannot destroy information. If you're familiar with Liousville's theorem in classical mechanics, it's a bit like that.

    --
    "But all your emitter and collector are belong to me!"
  21. Re:Entropy? Implications for Beckenstein Bound? by stigin · · Score: 5, Informative

    Okay some facts about black holes: - The no hair theorem says that a black holes is described by 2 parameters, the mass M and the angular momentum J (classical spin if you must use that word). In case of a charged black hole you have to add the charge Q to get 3 parameters. From this one can argument that once information falls in a black hole it is lost since we only see 3 parameters. But others say that is just trapped inside the black hole. (the jury is still out) - The Beckenstein-Hawking formula (giving the bound) is related to the radiation of a black hole in the following way. A black hole radiates thermal radiation, with that one can associate a themprature, with that temprature an entropy wich after calculation turns out to be proportinal to the area. - Since this is proportinal to the area t'Hooft suggested tha holographic principle. - I don't think this is a real problem now, since no-one said that the infomation is really lost, so recuperating it might not be a problem. What could be is that the radiation turns out to be non thermal and then it could de harder (no idea how to do that) to calculate the entropy classically. But string theory for instance can calculate the entropy explicitly without the need for thermal radiation and an associated themprature. Hope that helps somewhat (hope I made only correct statements too)

    --
    #1) Respect the privacy of others. #2) Think before you type.
  22. Re:Which laws? by JPMH · · Score: 5, Informative
    Classically, every system can always be viewed as being in one microstate. Then there is no such thing as entropy. Obviously, that would be a confused and useless view.

    On the contrary, it's a most valuable view, and very helpful for seeing why unitarity and/or determinism is fundamental to the Second Law, not in opposition to it.

    It reminds us always to remember that the entropy is not a property of the universe itself, but rather it is a property of the description of the universe -- coarse-grained and inevitably simplified -- that we have chosen to adopt.

    So, in the simplest terms, we think of the universe evolving from one of a set of initial microstates M1 through a complicated black-box operation to one of a set of subsequent microstates M2. Because of determinism, each initial state in M1 evolves to exactly one subsequent state in M2. But our description of the initial state -- in terms of macroscopic variables &c -- is not sufficient to identify the microstate. Our description is missing some of the information, and this is the entropy S1.

    If we could perfectly map our whole initial distribution of possible states through the black box, microstate by microstate, then our final entropy would still be exactly S1, reflecting the deterministic evolution of that initial distribution of states. But inevitably we can't follow all of the shuffling in the black box in that detail, so some of our initial information ceases to be useful -- with the result that at the end of the process there is more information we are missing, so S2 >= S1.

    So the Second Law inequality rests on two things: the total amount of information there is to know remains the same (because of the determinism); but the amount of useful information we actually have has fallen (because we couldn't follow the shuffling) -- and that is why the difference between the two, the entropy, the information we don't have, has increased (or at best remained the same). The second law does not conflict with the assumption of determinism: it depends on it.

    This carries over directly to quantum mechanics, where the meaning of unitarity is essentially a guarantee that volumes in the phase space are preserved -- a grid of microstates maps forward to another grid of microstates the same size. Again, this does not conflict with the second law; it guarantees it.

    In terms of the accounting, it's very important that the microstate of the Hawking radiation does represent information about the state of the universe, but information that we don't have.