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Intel Delays Release of 4Ghz Chips

bizpile writes "The AP is reporting that Intel's faster version of the Pentium 4 will not be available by the end of the year as previously promised. They told PC makers this week that the 4-gigahertz chip will not ship until the first quarter of 2005. Intel spokeswoman Laura Anderson said, 'We felt by adjusting the schedule for the products, we could better meet our customers' volume requirements and their high expectations.'"

52 of 175 comments (clear)

  1. Shipping by Zorilla · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "We felt by adjusting the schedule for the products, we could better meet our customers' volume requirements and their high expectations," said Intel spokeswoman Laura Anderson on Friday. She declined to elaborate on the reason for the delay.

    When I first read the headline, I thought it may have done something with Intel not being confident enough for a release this year. But now, it sounds like a similar strategy compared to the new iMacs to me, where they delayed them to clear out the existing inventory.

    --

    It would be cool if it didn't suck.
    1. Re:Shipping by coldcup · · Score: 4, Informative

      The new iMacs are not delayed to clear out inventory. You cannot buy an iMac now (At least in Australia). The production schedule for the current iMac was dependant on IBM producing G5 processors on target. IBM has not been. G5 iMac is delayed.

      I would think Intel is having the same problems as IBM has been having. They just can't get the yeild required for a mass market.

    2. Re:Shipping by Afrosheen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Man, how many years will Apple cry about supply problems for their damn CPUs? Haven't they had enough already? They ditched Motorola because they couldn't keep up in the past, now IBM is struggling to supply them. This is all for a niche market and big IBM can't meet demand. WTF Apple?

      One of these days these fools will port to x86, and the world will be a better place. I wonder just how many Windows and Linux users would switch to MacOSX if they could run it on their current hardware. And if it had games. And apps.

    3. Re:Shipping by SQL+Error · · Score: 4, Informative
      Err...

      I note the article is about Intel being unable to supply processors on the promised schedule. Yes, I realise that there's AMD around as well, but I don't see how switching to x86 will solve Apple's problems.

      The basic issue with Motorola was that Moto weren't interested in developing new high-end CPUs. Apart from Apple, they were only targeting the embedded market.

      IBM, on the other hand, has to develop new high-end chips, because they are required for their P-series (RS/6000) and I-series (AS/400) servers. In fact, IBM has already produced the chip that the next-generation PowerPC will be based on - the Power5. (G5 Macs use the PowerPC 970, which is a cut-down version of the Power4.)

      The issue with higher clock speeds - whether from IBM or Intel - seems to be an industry-wide problem with the 90nm process. It's so bad that IBM has announced that "scaling is dead". See also the scary power dissipation of the new Pentium 4 chips.

    4. Re:Shipping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      When was the last time you saw Intel or AMD delaying a product by months, and causing problems for suppliers?

      I read somewhere that Intel was going to be delaying release of their 4Ghz chips. I forget where.

    5. Re:Shipping by SQL+Error · · Score: 5, Informative

      When was the last time you saw Intel or AMD delaying a product by months, and causing problems for suppliers?

      Prescott?

      Or if I wanted to be really mean I could mention Itanium. That was, what, 5 years late?

      AMD tends to be very conservative with its timetables, but even they have experienced problems.

      As for IBM, they've run into a wall at 90nm. But so has everyone else. Expect to see lots of announcements of dual-core (and multi-core) chips, and larger caches, but no great increases in clockspeed in the next few years.

  2. Translating PR crap by livhan28 · · Score: 4, Funny

    "We felt by adjusting the schedule for the products, we could better meet our customers' volume requirements and their high expectations."
    Translation = "full of bugs that cant be fixed in time"

    1. Re:Translating PR crap by Lost+Dragon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Noo...

      Translation = "suppliers have too much inventory, we need to delay past Christmas buying frenzy or they'll be angry."

    2. Re:Translating PR crap by callipygian-showsyst · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Translation = "full of bugs that cant be fixed in time"

      Exactly! And the same situation on your precious Mac computer, too. Steve Jobs promised me last year a 3.0 GHz G5 by now!

  3. Payback is a bitch by MikeCapone · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Intel is still paying for their decision to go with the netburst architecture IMHO.

    They wanted to be able to crank the megahurtz and use that as a PR device (well, not only that but it helped them).

    Of course they are also having problem with the 90nm tech (as is IBM -- I think that only AMD has been mostly clear sailing with that), but most of their problems have come from netburst and lack of competitiveness in the budget sector (Celerons get killed by much faster and cheaper AMD chips).

    1. Re:Payback is a bitch by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 2, Interesting

      nope, even AMD has had trouble ramping at 90nm look at how far tehy went last year with it, only 400 MHz.

      --



      I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
    2. Re:Payback is a bitch by SQL+Error · · Score: 3, Informative

      We don't have any idea how AMD is doing with 90nm, because they haven't shipped anything at 90nm yet.

      SOI (Silicon on Insulator) yes, and that seems to have given them a bit of a boost, but no 90nm.

    3. Re:Payback is a bitch by NerveGas · · Score: 4, Interesting


      There's a lot more to it than just how fast of a chip they can produce. Namely, how can they make the most money?

      Let's say that AMD could produce an Athlon64 4500+ right now. Would it be in their best interest to release it? Not really. The fastest chips tend to be the lowest yield - and it would greatly push down the cost of the lesser chips. Their best interest is to release a chip that's juuuuust fast enough to keep up with or beat Intel, and keep the pricing high enough to come in just a bit under intel's pricing for competitive models.

      In fact, each time Intel has actually released a faster chip lately, AMD has released a faster one as if it were no trouble at all. The way they've been doing, I wouldn't be surprised if they could release faster chips if there were an economic incentive to do so.

      steve

      --
      Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.
    4. Re:Payback is a bitch by CTho9305 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You do realize that there ARE disadvantages of moving to 90nm? In the past, a process shrink pretty much guaranteed large power savings, and a big speed boost. However, we're reaching a point where each new process brings with it SIGNIFICANT increases in device leakage, which can kill any potential power reduction, and the speed boosts aren't as great as they used to be.

  4. Re:drunk by krosk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    isn't it though?
    amazingly enough, drunk people have some good insight. Because they throow away all the BS and just give you the stgraight truth!

  5. Versus by Merovign · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If what they say is true, then we're looking at a case of "ship crap now and get hammered" vs. "get hammered for being late."

    Probably shouldn't have announced it early, but the pressure was probably pretty heavy.

    I mean, look at Doom3 vs. HL2. Valve announced a date early and got hashed when they couldn't meet it. ID said "when it's ready." Looks like the wait time will be close to the same, but I don't see a lot of posts from people claiming ID is lying about how close they are...

    Oh... back to the topic clready? Oh, OK. :)

  6. Clock speed doesn't matter, anyway by Kujah · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Clock speed really doesn't matter, anyway. Well, it's not as important a benchmark as Intel would have you think.

    If a processor running at 4ghz can only do half the operations per clock cycle that a 2ghz processor can do, than it's no better than the 2ghz processor, and probably worse due to larger instruction pipelines, etc.

    The fact that Intel has relied on this "Mhz Myth" has really killed sales of their Centrino (Pentium M) line of processors. Consumers see the (comparatively low) ghz ratings on the Centrinos (typically about 1.5ghz) and compare them to laptops with less expensive P4's (typically running between 2.5 to 3.5ghz) and wonder why anyone would pick the Centrinos.

    1. Re:Clock speed doesn't matter, anyway by goMac2500 · · Score: 5, Funny

      What are you talking about? Haven't you seen those ads on TV? Theres plunty of people who know exactly what Centrino is about! Those Centrino laptops can get internet anywhere, for free! On top of mountains! In cinderblock classrooms! In construction sites! Laws of physics and WiFi range be damned! (Sorry, just an angry person who has to deal with confused buyers ranting)

    2. Re:Clock speed doesn't matter, anyway by Tezkah · · Score: 2, Informative
      True, but for the newer Intel chips, they've moving away from MHZ/GHZ as of May.
      The new system is a dramatic change in Intel's marketing approach because it takes emphasis away from using clock speed as a main measure of performance. Instead, the system will strive to create a scenario in which a person choosing between several 300 series chips, for example, equates the decision to an exercise in choosing a good, better or best processor, sources familiar with the plan said.
    3. Re:Clock speed doesn't matter, anyway by Veridium · · Score: 4, Funny

      If they were really honest in their marketing, they'd equate the deciscion to an exercise in choosing hot, hotter, or "holy shit, I just got a blister from this god damned thing!".

      --
      Think for yourself, destroy your television.
  7. Funny Stuff by Lord+Kano · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Laura Anderson said, 'We felt by adjusting the schedule for the products, we could better meet our customers' volume requirements and their high expectations.

    Suit to Geek Translation.

    "We can maximize the profit we make off of our existing inventory by delaying the release of the new chips until we sell off the current stock."

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  8. Fix the Colors! by imag0 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Mod me up if you hate the color scheme. Here's a fixed link using the "old" slashdot colors:

    http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/07/30/221520 9&tid=118&tid=137&tid=126

    1. Re:Fix the Colors! by Gleng · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Hmm, it seems that the way to fix it is to just remove the leading subdomain from the slashdot url. For example "it.", "games.", or "apple."

      It seems to work in reverse too. So you can replace the "it." in this thread with "apple." to display it in the Apple colour scheme. (If you really, really wanted to)

      It should be extremely easy to have an "Only use the default Slashdot colours" option in the user preferences. HINT HINT

      --
      "Proudly Posting Without Reading The Article"
    2. Re:Fix the Colors! by Dracos · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The first time I read a story in the IT section, I immediately hated the colors. I don't mind the use of gradients, but the lack of contrast here makes the page almost unreadable.

      Most 14 year olds who get space on Geocities can make a more readable (though almost always uglier) site. Not that /.'s design isn't the cutting edge of 1998, anyway...

    3. Re:Fix the Colors! by Gleng · · Score: 2, Funny

      When it has more than one page worth of information. :)

      Oh wait, this is *Slashdot Hacks* we're talking about. I can just duplicate the same page of information over and over again.

      --
      "Proudly Posting Without Reading The Article"
    4. Re:Fix the Colors! by DreadCthulhu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Here I am, now where is the sacrifice.

  9. Re:no 64? by aztracker1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I beleive they are adding in the amd-64 extensions.. however, I think the problem may well be a production issue with stability, and heat in mind.. the 3.4ghz+ p4's seem to be doing a lot of throttling, or however it is they slow down to prevent heat issues... I think solutions similar to the heat-pipe in the shuttle xpc's will help a lot, but not sure where it is all going at this point.

    --
    Michael J. Ryan - tracker1.info
  10. Re:What does this mean? by sqrt(2) · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Probably not. If they ship the new faster chips now, the price of the mid-high range P4s out now will drop, and they wont make as much money. So they wait and keep selling their existing stock of P4s at the same high prices until most are gone, just in time for the new chips to start arriving.

    --
    If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
  11. Re:drunk by log2.0 · · Score: 2, Funny

    im drunk myself...

    anyway, I just bought a P4 2.8Ghz....WHY!?! Because Its cheap and it will do the job.

    AMD64 would be cool, yes.....but im poor so i take the cheap stuff...and as if ill pay AU$100 for another 200Mhz...silly intel :)

    --
    Can your karma go above being Excellent?
  12. Heat problems? by ThePeices · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I wonder if this delay is due to Intel not keeping a lid on the enormous power consumption of the Prescott core at 4GHz? Heat and power is a major issue with these high end chips, and it makes one wonder if Moore's law will finally be halted due to heat issues.

  13. Re:90nm and Moore's Law by toonerh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well, it looks nobody, including Intel and IBM, had any idea how difficult moving to the 90nm process would be. What about 60nm? I think Moore's Law has finally run out of steam.

  14. Remeber 1-Ghz? by relyter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Back in 2000 when Intel was first surpassed by AMD when they were beaten to 1 Ghz, they rushed an overclocked 1.13 Ghz chip to market that eventually ended up being recalled. I suspect that the reason that the 4 Ghz chip is not yet being released may, in fact, have something to do with reliability. Also it is important to remember that this chip is running on the Prescott core, which will probably use over a hundred watts of power alone. Perhaps they need more time to explore better cooling solutions (that can be delivered cheaply) before rushing a potentially unreliable product to market.
    I am in favor of reliable chips (although personally being an AMD zealot myself); I think that the competition between AMD and Intel is important for innovation and fair prices.

  15. Wow. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The x86 world's delays in ramping up speed have gotten to be so great that they're almost starting to be as bad as the Mac world's...

    Sparc, x86 and PPC all seem to be kind of floundering at the moment. Does this indicate some kind of problem with the further fulfillment of Moore's law (you know, for once, Moore's law failing to apply NOW as opposed to "Moore's law will stop working in 8 months) or has this just been a bad year?

    P.S. This new "IT" scheme is hideously unattractive by every single concievable method of measurement.

    1. Re:Wow. by NanoGator · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Does this indicate some kind of problem with the further fulfillment of Moore's law (you know, for once, Moore's law failing to apply NOW as opposed to "Moore's law will stop working in 8 months) or has this just been a bad year?"

      Option #3 could be that there really isn't a killer app that requires that speed. I have difficulty imagining a lot of ppl flocking to those machines right now. It is a pity for Intel that 3d cards do more for games than cpu's.

      --
      "Derp de derp."
  16. Never thought I'd have a use for Lynx again... by choovanski · · Score: 2, Funny

    The dirty-diaper brown has changed my mind though. Ehrargh! :p

    My god, how hard would some 'set your own colors you whiny bast' code be to pull off?

  17. Intel Delays Release of 4Ghz Chips by fr0dicus · · Score: 2, Funny

    Millions of people wonder how they will cope with IE and Outlook being as slow as they are on their current 3Ghz chips.

  18. The megaHURTz myth by mcrbids · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Intel is now feeling some pain. They've built a brand around having more M/Ghz - which only matter superfically.

    Being a multi-function device means that a CPU does multiple functions. As with ANY multi-function device, a model of CPU will do some things better than others.

    X86 chips have traditionally been processing heavy, I/O weak, since hard, on-demand processing hsa been the driver of the X86 industry. (Video games, etc)

    Contrast that with the Sun Sparc line of chips, or IBM's mainframe hardware, heavily optimized for I/O throughput. The needs of a rendering farm node are not well in alignment with the needs of a high-capacity file server.

    Even within being "processing" demands, there is a wide, wide range. Floating point. Integer ops. Parallel proccessing. Different, even cross-compatible chips and chip lines will behave differently, performing better at some tasks than others.

    But, for years now, Intel has been busy spending millions convincing the population that you can boil performance down to a single number, M/Ghz.

    The cracks are beginning to show. AMD has made a solid business with "slower" (Mhz) ships that perform better. Their own Centrino line is "slower" but performs almost as well!

    Intel needs to get a clue, and develop a set of benchmarks that truly show real-world performance. AMD has done quite a good job with their "+" rating. (EG, my desktop is an Athlon 2000+)

    I give it 6 months, maybe a year. It'll be hard, but even Intel isn't so stupid as to put this off too long.

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    1. Re:The megaHURTz myth by _|()|\| · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Intel needs to get a clue, and develop a set of benchmarks that truly show real-world performance. AMD has done quite a good job with their "+" rating.

      Rating systems are annoying. Imagine if Ford advertised the next Mustang as a 300+, because thinner tires and less weight gave it the performance of a car with 40 more HP.

      Clock speed is the best first-order approximation of a chip's performance. It is true that the Pentium 4 is less efficient, but it's not like we're talking about an order of magnitude. At worst, we're talking about a 2 GHz Athlon 64 competing with a 3 GHz Pentium 4, a difference of 50%.

      Keeping in mind that AMD claims that its ratings are derived from previous Athlon models, the variety of Athlon 64 and Sempron models gives us an opportunity to benchmark the impact of clock speed (ranging from 1.8 GHz to 2.4 GHz), L2 cache (ranging from 256 KB to 1 MB), and memory bandwidth (single- v. dual-channel). Doubling the cache or bandwidth is usually worth less than a 10% increase in clock speed.

      I think that Intel's NetBurst gamble was, in large part, a marketing ploy. I also think that it was successful. However, it was an expensive ploy, from which Intel appears to be retreating. If it takes a billion dollars to temporarily skew clock speed by 50%, I'd say it's holding up pretty well.

  19. Re:90nm and Moore's Law by SQL+Error · · Score: 2, Interesting
    There are huge problems with current leakage at the 90nm node. So much so that power requirements have been trending upwards for a given design and clockspeed, for the first time ever. Major major major problem.

    This is from Bernie Meyerson, IBM's CTO:

    Somewhere between 130-nm and 90-nm the whole system fell apart. Things stopped working and nobody seemed to notice. Scaling is already dead but nobody noticed it had stopped breathing and its lips had turned blue.
  20. Oh SuperIntel by ewe2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Laura Anderson said, 'We felt by adjusting the schedule for the products, we could better meet our customers' volume requirements and their high expectations.'"

    This is the hand
    The hand that takes
    Here come the chips
    They're American chips
    Made in Taiwan
    Smoking or
    Non-smoking

    Grovels to laurie anderson for a lame joke

    --
    insecurity asks the wrong question irritation gives the wrong answer
  21. Re:Shush shareholders. by ZenJabba1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    or the shareholder are happy because they don't have to invest in newer chip making fabs but keep pumping out the older chip at a higher cost for longer...

    More profit!

    --
    `find / -name "*your_base*" -exec chown us:us {} \;`
  22. Pentium-M by dfj225 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have read rumors that soon Intel will switch their main desktop processors over to a design similar to that of Pentium-M, which is currently much more efficient per a clock than Pentium IVs. If this is true, they would definetly have to go back on their "Ghz are so important" campaign. Personally, I rather have effiecient processors than ones that are power hungry and give off lots of heat.

    --
    SIGFAULT
  23. So... I can't run emacs until next year? by JT+Snortbuckle+JrIII · · Score: 3, Funny

    Dang.


    --
    I need just enough coffee to tide me over 'til I need more.
  24. Maybe More instead of Moore by DumbSwede · · Score: 4, Insightful
    If this is the end of Moore's Law it actually comes at a good time for the chip industry in terms of the GHz range we are at. If things stalled out at 1GHz, everyone would be waiting for 2GHz chips and wondering what the delay was. At 3GHz + it takes only modest gains to get to 4GHz, the industry can then take another year to get to 5GHz, then another year to get to 6GHz. It seems like progress, but is far less than the zoom we had going from 1GHz to 2GHz. IT shops will carp, but to the average consumer at Best Buy it will look like progress.

    If this went on long enough and if we truly are at the end of straight line scaling, the industry might become driven by the one-more-GHz per year rule (the new More Law), versus doubling every 18 months. This new law could then hold for decades as it slowly curves down towards a flat line. I don't actually predict this will be the model soon, as the old Moore's Law is more likely to adhered to, but in 24 and then 36 month time frames for as long as possible. Still, if scaling is dead (and some are saying it is) then we could see the new "More Law" adopted as IT shops and Manufactures try to plan for future purchases. Software providers wouldn't be able to count on Moore's Law bailing them out. Bad news for Longhorn if scaling is dead, it might always be perceived of as slow (if /. reports are to be believed).

    We are already putting 200+ million transistors on CPUs, but most speed increases come from scaling (speed increases) and memory caching. Now is the time for the industry to go Multi-Core. How about 100 two-million-transistor cores on a chip instead, with 500 separate integer and floating cores that can be shared across cores as needed.

    BTW, I do know the real Moore's Law is about the number of transistors on a chip and not speed, but the two have been synonymous in the public's mind since the 80s.

    1. Re:Maybe More instead of Moore by dsanfte · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's a pretty silly prediction. What's more likely to happen is that dual, quad, octa-core CPUs will be marketed to the general public. Progress will be made faster at integrating cores together than it will be at making individual cores faster. Plus, a cheaper Barton core could be thrown together into a quad-core chip, letting companies capitalize on mature technology for budget applications.

      --
      occultae nullus est respectus musicae - originally a Greek proverb
  25. Re:AMD part numers aren't speed by Fweeky · · Score: 2, Informative

    Opteron/Athlon 64 and the S754 Semprons have SSE2 (being effectively a 64bit-free Newcastle).

  26. Errr... Speed is not Moore's 'thang'... by Chordonblue · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Moore's 'law' doesn't guarantee speed. It merely suggests a trend that every so often (18 months - 2 years) the amount of transistors on a chip doubles. In the past, that has meant speed because thinner wires produce less heat.

    The problem isn't nearly as much to do with CPU scaling for scaling's sake - those processes continue to develop at the same or similar pace. It has much more to do with scaling for speed's sake. To Intel's horror, they've found that speed isn't scaling in a linear fashion like it used to.

    It must have been a terrifying discovery for the poor engineers who discovered that .09 wasn't going to get them anywhere. But imagine the culture at Intel where you daren't say anything to anyone about it, i.e. 'Just SHIP the thing!'

    --
    "...Well, there's egg and bacon; egg sausage and bacon; egg and spam; egg bacon and spam; egg bacon sausage and spam..."
  27. Moore's law finally becoming true by totoanihilation · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "BTW, I do know the real Moore's Law is about the number of transistors on a chip and not speed, but the two have been synonymous in the public's mind since the 80s."

    Actually, now that functionality/performance is more important than MHz alone, perhaps Moore's law will finally regain its TRUE meaning. i.e. more SIMD instructions, multiple cores, better performance at same MHz by using more transistors.
  28. Re:90nm and Moore's Law by andreyw · · Score: 2, Informative

    Exactly. When I replaced by 1Ghz Thunderbird with an XP 2400+, my average CPU temperature went down.

  29. Re:no 64? by osho_gg · · Score: 2, Informative

    64bit processors have nothing to do with "high encryption". 64 bits just signifies the unit for data and memory addressing. Osho

  30. bull by KB1GHC · · Score: 3, Insightful

    i can't believe this!

    I guess intel is just trying to make more money. They are trying to sell the slower chips at high prices, the 4 Ghz chips are probably gonna come out with todays price of 3.6 Ghz chips.

    oh well, i just got a 3.0GHz P4, i'm not going to be buying a new computer any time soon, if anything i'm gonna be a low end laptop.

    AMD already sells 3800 64bit processors!

    Intel hasn't even developped a method to allow 32 bit apps to run on a 64 bit processor.

    Intel is screwed, and it's screwing it's self!

    I've been seeing a larger and larger number of AMD users. and i've only bought intel chips all my life, AMD looks tempting, i think next computer i might buy an AMD, unless Intel changes it's act.

    plus i see more multiprocessor mobo's available for AMD than intel, i think intel only has them for their zeon processors.

    AMD chips are:
    faster
    32 AND 64 bit
    cheaper

    AMD looks tempting to someone who has used intel chips their entire life.

    however, i have friends who have had some real bad issues with AMD, thats why i didn't get one for my last computer.

    hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

  31. Re:AMD part numers aren't speed by NerveGas · · Score: 2, Insightful


    No kidding, brainiac. Now tell us something we haven't already known for years.

    AMD actually does a pretty good job of labelling their chips - in common apps, an amd 2800+ (for example) does pretty much on par with a P4 2800. There isn't exact parity, some apps fall one way, some fall another, and occasional special apps fall greatly one way or another - but on the whole, the PR ratings are pretty close.

    steve

    --
    Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.