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Last Pre-Election Jobs Report Released

September's jobs report notes a gain of 96,000 jobs, and a downward revision for August from 144,000 to 128,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 5.4% (about even to Nixon's and Clinton's when they were reelected), while another 236,000 jobs were added in a periodic revision to the total, leaving Bush at a deficit of 585,000 jobs from where he started. If he averages 150,000 jobs for the last four months of his term, he will net positive job growth. The effects of the recent hurricanes were not possible to determine at this point, the report said. This will surely be featured prominently in tonight's second Presidential debate (starting at 9 p.m. Eastern).

225 comments

  1. What motivates people by Kick+the+Donkey · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The most motivated people at the polls this election will be the ones without a job... As they should be.

    The rest of us with jobs will just decide our canidate based upon other issues.

    --
    /. is a bunch of nerds at a million typewriters. It's not a political conspiracy determined to undermine your beliefs.
    1. Re:What motivates people by b-baggins · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Don't count on it. The truly motivated people are already working.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
  2. Don't Worry... by cyranoVR · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...all those unemployed folks are making up for it by selling beanie babies on eBay! Problem solved.

    /hey, Cheney said it, not me

    1. Re:Don't Worry... by Rayonic · · Score: 1
      ...all those unemployed folks are making up for it by selling beanie babies on eBay! Problem solved. /hey, Cheney said it, not me

      Funny, but sounds a bit dated.

      Also, your sig...
      BUSH '04 ^_^
      draft '05 o_0
      ... should be more like:
      Kerry '04 :-/
      Draft '05 :-O

      (Though more likely it's Draft '(never))
    2. Re:Don't Worry... by cyranoVR · · Score: 1

      Nice try, but I saw it on a t-shirt sold by sinful shirts. Oops, it's not there anymore...oh well.

      As for Little Green Foozballs...no I don't visit white supremacist sites, thankyouverymuch.

      And BTW it's more like Bush '00, draft RIGHT NOW

      /here come the OT downmods

    3. Re:Don't Worry... by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Funny, but sounds a bit dated.

      Dated? Cheney made his Ebay comment on September 9, 2004, just under a month ago.

      For comparison, Gore's made his unfortunate "inventing the Internet" gaffe on March 9, 1999. I don't remember anyone saying that one was "dated" in 2000.

    4. Re:Don't Worry... by Rayonic · · Score: 1

      Hm? LGF isn't a white supremacist site. The most controversial social commentary they make is to point out that Islamic/Arab culture seriously needs reform. But you can't object to that unless you also think the Catholic Reformation and Women's Rights were bad ideas.

      Also, extending some troops' tours of duty is hardly equivalent to any kind of Draft. Especially since their service obligation generally extends past their tour of duty, and they agreed to any kind of "stop loss" call when they signed up.

    5. Re:Don't Worry... by TykeClone · · Score: 1
      The most controversial social commentary they make is to point out that Islamic/Arab culture seriously needs reform. But you can't object to that unless you also think the Catholic Reformation and Women's Rights were bad ideas.

      They're calling for a Muhammad Luther to nail some objections to the door of the mosque then?

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    6. Re:Don't Worry... by Rayonic · · Score: 1
      Dated? Cheney made his Ebay comment on September 9, 2004, just under a month ago.


      Okay, then, his cultural reference was really dated. At least he didn't brag about his collection or something.
    7. Re:Don't Worry... by Rayonic · · Score: 1
      They're calling for a Muhammad Luther to nail some objections to the door of the mosque then?

      I think that's exactly it, give or take. The guy who runs the site isn't a muslim himself, but he does point out and link to stories that indicate that some cultural reform is needed. (Not that that's the only topic of the site, mind you.)
    8. Re:Don't Worry... by overunderunderdone · · Score: 1

      Funny...

      But to be fair Cheney had at least half of a valid point. The Establishment Survey measuring payroll jobs has employment down... the Household survey which includes the farm workers, the self-employed, and start-ups that are often missed by the Establishment survey has employment UP. The Democrats are arguing that the Establishment survey is the only one that "counts" and that "self-employed" is just a proud mans way of saying "unemployed". The Republicans of course prefer to talk about the Household survey. Cheney's point about eBay was that the economy has changed - there is more self-employment, independent contractors, people doing all sorts of little side businesses in sectors that didn't exist before and aren't going to be adequately reported in the Establishment survey. eBay may not have been the best example for his point, then again it did well over $2 BILLION in sales so it's surely not a mere "Lemonade stand" as Edwards countered.

      The truth is probably somewhere in-between which is why we have both surveys. A lot of "self-employed" people are surely just doing odd jobs while they try to find a real job... but not ALL of them are. Big businesses HAVE shifted to outsourcing not just to overseas but to smaller businesses, independent contractors etc.

  3. on the morning news radio broadcast... by zxnos · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...they said that the difference in what was expected and what the numbers actually are, could be attributed to the hurricanes in florida.

    though i expect construction jobs to really pick up there in the next few months.

    --
    always mosh clockwise
    1. Re:on the morning news radio broadcast... by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No they didn't...
      From the D.C. Post
      "Many economists thought that the onslaught of successive hurricanes over the past month might seriously skew the results for September, but the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, which issues the jobs reports, found otherwise.

      "At the national level," the BLS said, "the severe weather appears to have held down employment growth, but not enough to change materially the Bureau's assessment of the employment situation in September." "

      --
      I hate my sig.
    2. Re:on the morning news radio broadcast... by zxnos · · Score: 1

      in my post 'they' refers to the radio broadcaster. specifically the economics guy who does the report. he was speculating that the inclement weather could be partially responsible for the numbers.

      i never said: 'the bls reported on the radio today...'

      i am surpsrised to hear someone on /. holding what a government body says as gospel truth.

      --
      always mosh clockwise
    3. Re:on the morning news radio broadcast... by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      Fair enough...
      But I never said anything was truth.
      I only posted a quote from the source that was directly disputing what I thought you were saying.

      --
      I hate my sig.
    4. Re:on the morning news radio broadcast... by zxnos · · Score: 1

      true. fair enough.

      --
      always mosh clockwise
  4. Jobwatch.org by jamie · · Score: 1, Informative

    More informative context is available here.

  5. Before all you people start bashing Bush by Your_Mom · · Score: 4, Informative

    Economists have predicted the economy will continue to get better despite who is elected.

    The entire economy problem can be traced back to the Dot-Coms. There is no 'quick fix' after a bubble bursts. If you don't have an economics degree, don't start spouting crap.

    --
    Objects in the blog are closer then they ap
    1. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      so, since your spouting crap, you've got the econ degree?

      screw you buddy - this administration has had 4 years to fix whatever the problem was - and since they couldnt do that in 4 years, we should give them another chance?

      no way.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    2. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Your_Mom · · Score: 1

      Ah, rabid anti-Bush-ism. Just bring up the name in the positive light and some people jsut start foaming at the mouth...

      I'm not spouting crap, I'm merely parroting whats already been said. Big difference.

      (I don't see why people think the President has that much control of the economy. I think a good sum of people have been spoiled by 'irrational exuberence'.)

      --
      Objects in the blog are closer then they ap
    3. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      what you call "rabid anti-bushism", i call "dealing with reality".

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    4. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      (I don't see why people think the President has that much control of the economy. I think a good sum of people have been spoiled by 'irrational exuberence'.)
      The President has some influence on who gets taxed and how much, and that has a serious effect on the economy. IMOCertainly there are other factors, but I wouldn't say he has no influence at all.

      --
      I hate my sig.
    5. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by nelsonal · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Moreso than the dotcoms was the bubble in telecom spending as corporations added networks at the same time many startups all began shooting for 10% of AT&T's commercial long distance network. No one stood back and said, hm 15 companies all targeting 10% of the commercial data haul market might be a problem, so investors kept funding them until their networks were completed. Greenspan's strategy of inflating another bubble (housing) as one pops has been interesting to say the least, if I weren't a player, this would be a very enjoyable situation to watch.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    6. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by TykeClone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Dot-Com stuff hurt the stock market, but I think that the Y2K IT spending spree where most companies upgraded equipment a bit out of cycle and the subsequent drop in demand after January 1 started the recession. The attacks of 9/11 hurt the economy even more. It's amazing that those two events didn't spiral into a worldwide depression like what happened in the 1930's.

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    7. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by jbarr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What about the devastating effect that the 9/11 attacks had on the Airlines and Travel industry (and thus related industries)?? Is that Bush's fault? The job numbers were certainly affected by that.

      Also remember that it takes time to recover. For some irrational reason, people expect the economy to stabalize and grow overnight. It just doesn't happen that way. I'm certainly no economist, but to believe that our economy can be turned around in an instant in the wake of events like 9/11 and our current involvement in war, is simply wishful thinking. And let's not ignore that unemployment figures are at a 20-year low...

      --
      My mom always said, "Jim, you're 1 in a million." Given the current population, there are 7000 of me. God help us all!
    8. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by N3WBI3 · · Score: 3, Informative
      screw you buddy - this administration has had 4 years to fix whatever the problem was - and since they couldnt do that in 4 years, we should give them another chance?

      Look Im not voting for Bush but I think he has done a decent job with the economy, the bubble burst during the Clinton administration, and then we had 9/11 but if you look at

      http://www.dallasfed.org/data/data/us-charts.pdf

      It been pretty clear that with the exception of trade the economy has been gorwing at a steady rate. GDP has grown at a bit more than 3% a year for his term.

      On the whole unemployment thing what is left to fix, its at the same place it was in 1996 under the all wise Bill Clinton.. Heck he has done even better, in 1996 September Unemployment was 6.7%, in september 2004 it is at 5.4! (http://www.calmis.ca.gov/file/lfhist/cal$hlf.txt)

      But hey why runi a good bush bashing with facts right?

      --
    9. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh yeah? What about all the money bled uselessly into Iraq? Think that has no effect on the economy? What about the immense budget deficit (spending what you don't have, essentially)? I suppose that has no effect on the economy too.

    10. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Matrix272 · · Score: 1

      The President has some influence on who gets taxed and how much, and that has a serious effect on the economy.

      While you are correct in a round-about way, it takes an act of Congress to pass any type of tax legislature.

      As to either of the candidate's positions, do people really think that business owners (AKA Employers) should be taxed more? Aren't those the people that we depend on to create jobs?

      Where in Constitution does it say that it's the government's job to create jobs and make sure people have them?

      --
      "It's better to have a gun and not need it than need a gun and not have it." ~ Christian Slater, True Romance
    11. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by rev_sanchez · · Score: 1

      It was the dot coms . . . and Enron, and WorldCom, and Tyco, and the California energy crisis, and high fuel prices, and terrorism, and war, and the loss of manufacturing jobs overseas, and giving economic stimulus tax cuts to people that don't spend or usually invest in new jobs. I agree the economy will improve but I also think that we are replacing good jobs with less good ones and that our unemployment figures are skewed low by our high prison population and our unemployment counting techniques.

      --
      If you didn't come to party don't bother knocking on my door. Prince '1999'
    12. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      While you are correct in a round-about way, it takes an act of Congress to pass any type of tax legislature.

      I've been boinkin' my wife pretty regularly since the '00 election, and I haven't seen much tax legislation as a result.

      Perhaps I shoud try harder? Honey....

    13. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by thelexx · · Score: 1

      Someone mentioning 'this administration' generically is engaging rabid anti-Bushism? All of America's economic problems are due to the Dot-Com bubble? And you're warning people not to spout off without a degree? My hat is off to your troll-worthiness and asshat-edness, but that's all the respect of mine that you will get.

      --
      "Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world." - Alan Greenspan, 1999
    14. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What about all the money bled uselessly into Iraq?

      Putting aside the useless comment. In a nation with a GDP of nearly 11 Trillion Dollars what exact impact do you thing 120 Billion would have?Seriously I have heard Kerry say he would use that money to provide health care, college education, more on homeland security (the name still gives me the willies). The fact is for all the Vietnam comparisions the amount of mony being spent on this war is *nothing*.

      What about the immense budget deficit (spending what you don't have, essentially)? I suppose that has no effect on the economy too.

      Hey who exactly spends the money again?? oh yea thats right congress... And how did the democrats vote on the tax cut? well it passed 92-3 in the senate.

      Of defecit spending is on par with western nations in Europe. I agree is troublesome and I would love a balanced Budget amendment but neither party will let that happen..

      --
    15. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      Greenspan's strategy of inflating another bubble (housing) as one pops has been interesting to say the least, if I weren't a player, this would be a very enjoyable situation to watch.

      I was very hard on greenspan in the late 90's and early 2k but I have to say that lately I have seen why he is Chairing the Fed and I am not. Hopefully other areas of the economy will recover before housing goes but I am already seenig it start to pop.

      My wife and were looking for a house but at almost 200K for anything half way decent in MSP we held off. Well we just got pregnant (heh: we, not like Im the one with Morning Sickness) so now the search begins and in the few weeks we have been looking not only have we noticed the prices are slightly lower than they were a year ago but they seem to be going down further. We would wait a few more months if moving in the middle of a MN winter would not be hell..

      --
    16. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      Edax:The President has some influence on who gets taxed and how much, and that has a serious effect on the economy. [snip]IMO

      Matrix:While you are correct in a round-about way, it takes an act of Congress to pass any type of tax legislature.

      I said the Prez has "some" influence, so there is nothing "round about" about it, unlees you think you can dispute that some way.

      Matrix:As to either of the candidate's positions, do people really think that business owners (AKA Employers) should be taxed more?

      If they make more than $200K a year, then YES. I do think they should be taxed more. I few % ponts won't effect them too much and it just might help the economy.

      Matrix:Aren't those the people that we depend on to create jobs?

      Their businesses shouldn't be affected. Why are these 2 things confused so often. Taxing individual and taxing businesses are not the same thing.

      Matrix:Where in Constitution does it say that it's the government's job to create jobs and make sure people have them?

      It doesn't and no one implied that it should. The only thing that was said is that the Prez has SOME influence on the economy. And he does. Congress does too and so do events.
      What is your point?

      --
      I hate my sig.
    17. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Yeah, while Helena is certainly not a hot housing market by any streach it seems to have simmered down a bit, deals are falling through more regularly than earlier in the summer and houses are staying on the market longer not in say $150-$200k single families (which are still pretty hot) but other segments are starting to stay on the market for a couple of months. I've been browsing for a nice multi-family that I can buy to lock in rates and hopefully not boost my net monthly housing payment, but haven't found much yet. Until then its high yield junk bonds (hoping that short duration limit the impact of rising rates) and I don't get caught in a credit trap if the economy slows.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    18. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Economic degrees are crap- and these job numbers are ignoring the 150,000/month increase in job search population because Bush told the DOL to ignore population increases way back in January 2001.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    19. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Your_Mom · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, I should have been more specific with the "DotCom" statement. The DotComs, IMHO refer to more of the whole bubble, which Tyco, Enron, and WolrdCom were part of.

      As for the tax cuts, I benefitted from them and merrily bought a new Dell laptop with my tax return. And I'm not 'rich'

      To say 9/11 et al didnt effect the economy is naive, but I feel that most of the ripples are largely confined to the oil market right now.

      As for job replacement, sadly, we are just moving into a global economy.

      Prisonsers are employed, they do most of the work for the prison in-house. If we 'outsourced' that your 'overall' employment rate would rate would stay the same, just different people would be doing the job.

      --
      Objects in the blog are closer then they ap
    20. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      Taxes that take out of a buisness owners take home pay obviously should go up as that buisness owner takes more. Though I agree that its stupid to tax the buisness itself as it takes away from the pool of money that buisness can use to employee people.

    21. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EABird · · Score: 1

      I few % ponts (sic) won't effect them too much and it just might help the economy.

      I have one question for you. How is it that taxing anyone is going to improve the economy? If you are going to make statements like that, please back them up.

      What you seem to not understand is that anyone can be taxed at the highest tax rate, all you have to do is start a small business (e.g. some independent consultants, small software shops, &c.) or cash out some stock to pay for school for your kids.

      Their businesses shouldn't be affected. Why are these 2 things confused so often. Taxing individual and taxing businesses are not the same thing.

      As far as taxing businesses, you should understand that higher taxes on individuals do lead to increased costs on businesses, and these increased costs are directly transferred to the consumer in the form of higher cost of goods sold. And that is not even taking into account situations such as Sub-S Corporations, &c.

    22. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by stinkyfingers · · Score: 1

      If you don't have an economics degree, don't start spouting crap.

      Just curious, but you got your economics degree from which esteemed university?

    23. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EnronHaliburton2004 · · Score: 1

      As for the tax cuts, I benefitted from them and merrily bought a new Dell laptop with my tax return. And I'm not 'rich'

      That's nice. I used my tax cut to cover the increased cost of my health care program (Which went up $1000) and my increased energy costs.

      My $600 refund was gone before the check reached my mailbox.

      And with a $500 billion deficit this year, getting a tax refund is feels like getting a $600 check from my credit card company...

    24. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      What I said was my opinion. Please note the "might" in the statement.
      No need to back it up, as I was not trying to state facts.

      It is my opinion that if rich folks are taxed at the same rate or even higher, it could help out with eliminating the deficit, and hence help the economy.
      Oversimplified, yes, but it "might" help.

      Thank you for trying to tell me what I don't understand, but your explanations aren't exactly illuminating.

      --
      I hate my sig.
    25. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EABird · · Score: 1

      The logical error in the statement of tax the rich more and thus eliminate the deficit is debunked with the Laffer Curve.

      You on the other hand are applying a static tax proceed calculation model. By applying your logic, a 100% tax rate would result in the most optimal tax income; 50% would result in 50% of optimum; 25% would result in 25% of the optimum; &c.

      This is obviously not the case, because at some point, the marginal benefit of one's labor or capital is exceeded by the opportunity cost. It is perhaps the simplest example of microeconomics. Profit is what motivates effort and investment, and when the cost exceeds the benefits, an individual will not make such effort or investment.

      I am not saying that an increase of 3% in the marginal rate will eliminate the incentive for such effort, but rather that such an increase reduces the benefit. That reduction does eliminate the incentive for marginal players within the economy. These players on the razor edge of business survival are pushed out of the market. These marginal players are most likely the middle class individual that is trying to make a go at a small business. When they are pushed out of the market, the opportunities for jobs are eliminated, and the taxable income that they generate is either reduced or eliminated.

      "Might" is quite an interesting word. In the context you have used it; it means nothing. I "might" win the lotto if I play it, but I likely will not.

    26. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      > debunked with the Laffer Curve.

      laffer debunked the laffer curve.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    27. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      And I "might" have respected your opinion, had it not been for your last comment.

      I was simply voicing my opinion. And perhaps my opinion was wrong. You seem to know a lot more about this than I, so I probably would have conceded to your points.
      But you felt the need to flame and that makes me think you are insecure about your own opinions when you feel the need to follow a logical statement with an insult.

      It just wasn't necessary.

      --
      I hate my sig.
    28. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by dave1g · · Score: 1

      "What about the devastating effect that the 9/11 attacks had on the Airlines and Travel industry (and thus related industries)?? Is that Bush's fault? The job numbers were certainly affected by that."

      Well he didn't stop the attacks, so I guess I could blame him... ;-)

      In all seriousness I dont know if he could have stopped them if he tried.

    29. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by gumbi+west · · Score: 1

      Good point, one example of a group of people who expected the economy to recover is the Bush administration. John Snow (Treas. Secretary) predicted that we would have 2.5 million more jobs by now.

    30. Re:Before all you people start bashing Bush by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      It seems that namy professors from Harvard Business School are of the same opinion that I am.
      That cutting taxes for the uber-rich can be bad.

      http://businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/oct2004/ nf 2004108_4276_db016.htm

      And apparently many right here on slashdot.
      http://politics.slashdot.org/article.pl ?sid=04/10/ 08/1829206&tid=224&tid=98

      I know you won't agree, and will have a good deal of banter to back up your opinion, but it seems to me that you are in the minority on this one.

      --
      I hate my sig.
  6. Slashdot editor commentary by Gaetano · · Score: 1

    You can tell the policical slant of the editor by the way he posts the article. pudge paints the dissapointing news in the best possible light (read his journal for more of his slant) and the other editors go the other direction. Pudge's slant is much less inflammatory however.

    1. Re:Slashdot editor commentary by antifoidulus · · Score: 0, Troll

      Nobody even submitted the article, pudge is abusing his power as an editor to push his political agenda. He frequently posts in the forums as well and mods up people who agree with his views. The other editors may do this as well(go infinite mod points) but at least they are a bit more discreet about it(not posting to the forum). Amazing since ppl on here constantly talk about media bias, but I have seen very few unbiased stories submitted to this section.

    2. Re:Slashdot editor commentary by pudge · · Score: 1

      You think so? Hm. Last night I noted the jobs report was coming out, and it is important political news, so when I woke up I found out what the numbers were and posted them all, without commentary. I mentioned the still large deficit, I mentioned that his unemployment number remained unchanged but is historically decent ... *shrug*

      I think you're mistaking not making Bush look bad for making him look good. If I meant to make him look good, I'd have left out the total deficit. If I meant to spin it, I'd have mentioned that he's gained jobs since the end of the recession. I just gave the facts. Did you think I left some out I should have included, or included some I should have left out?

    3. Re:Slashdot editor commentary by Gaetano · · Score: 1

      I did say you did a better job than the others, and I will add, by far.

      In this case you mentioned the unemployement rate and compared it with the numbers of presidents that where relected but didn't mentioned the likelyhood of people who has fallen off unemployment and aren't counted anymore.

      You also mention what he has to do to get a net job gain, but don't mention the likely hood or unlikely hood of getting those numbers compared with the last four months.

      I'm not saying you spun it. I think it was obvious which direction you point because of what you chose to mention. You may not be aware of it just as you suspect me of mistaking you for spining because you "didn't make Bush look bad".

    4. Re:Slashdot editor commentary by pudge · · Score: 1

      In this case you mentioned the unemployement rate and compared it with the numbers of presidents that where relected but didn't mentioned the likelyhood of people who has fallen off unemployment and aren't counted anymore.

      I was sticking as much as I could to the BLS data, and I don't know where "Discouraged workers" (the category used here) is in the historical data, so I had no basis for comparison. If you can find it, please do let me know.

      I did find discouraged workers + unemployed as a percentage of employed. And those numbers go back only to '94 and do look a little better in 96 than they do now, but not by a heck of a lot. e.g., seasonally adjusted discouraged + unemployed + marginally attached as a percentage in Sep 96 was 6.2, now 6.4. Without marginally attached, 5.4 and 5.7. Not seasonally adjusted, a dead heat in both.

      That's about the same as the difference in actual unemployment between the two years, so I really don't think there's much to this part of the story, at least not judging by the comparison to Clinton, and if anything it would only make Bush look better in that comparison. However, including it only for 96 would be misleading, since we don't have data that goes back to Reagan or Nixon, where the comparison might be less favorable.

      You also mention what he has to do to get a net job gain, but don't mention the likely hood or unlikely hood of getting those numbers compared with the last four months.

      Again, I was trying to stick to the data, not make a prediction.

      I think it was obvious which direction you point because of what you chose to mention.

      And I think you gave two examples, one where I left out data that I couldn't find but what little data I did find does not change the story, and one where you were asking me to make a prediction, which is something I would not do in this context. So, respectfully, I think you're wrong.

  7. He needs closer to 300K per month to break even... by Quarters · · Score: 2, Informative
    ...leaving Bush at a deficit of 585,000 jobs from where he started. If he averages 150,000 jobs for the last four months of his term, he will net positive job growth.

    While 585,000 / 4 = ~150,000 that isn't the entire story. The economy needs to have about 150K jobs created per month just to keep up with population growth and the number of new people entering the job market(s). If Bush only averages 150,000 / month for the rest of the year he'll still end his first (and hopefully only) term with a net loss of over 1/2 million jobs. That would (will) make him the first President in 70 years to end a term with less jobs than when he started.

    To reduce his .5 million jobs deficit Bush needs to have closer to 300,000 jobs created in each of the next four months. That's a number he hasn't been able to achieve at any point of the last 3.66 years. I doubt he can do it now, as his plan for the economy was never anything that sitmulated job growth.

  8. the numbers are made up, they can say whatever by DrunkClam · · Score: 0

    they want. http://www.jobwatch.org/ima/20040903_1differenceac tproj650.gif

  9. Nope by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 4, Insightful
    "If he averages 150,000 jobs for the last four months of his term, he will net positive job growth."

    Uh, no. Since you need about 150,000 jobs added each month just to keep up with a growing population, if he averages 150,000 jobs for the last four months of his term he will merely tread water. At this point, there is absolutely no chance that Bush can avoid being the first president since Hoover in the Great Depression to have had fewer jobs at the end of his term than when he began. With a growing population, that ain't easy to do. Just keep up with the population growth and you will wind up with more jobs at the end of four years. Which is why through recession after recession over the last seventy years no other president has managed to pull off such a shoddy record on job growth.

    Naturally whatever the number is, it gets trumpeted by the incumbent. "96,000 new jobs were added last month! That shows my economic policies are working!" Garbage. It shows that the job market is going backward, not even keeping up with equilibrium.

    1. Re:Nope by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      That is assuming of course that all things are equal. That the proportion of working age adults to children/elderly the country entering the country is the same as the existing percentage..

      --
    2. Re:Nope by pudge · · Score: 1

      Uh, no

      Uh, yes. There is no doubt that jobs have not kept apace of the labor force growth. But that is separate and distinct from what I am referring to. I am referring to the Kerry argument, that Bush will be the first President to not "create a single job."

      Since you need about 150,000 jobs added each month just to keep up with a growing population, if he averages 150,000 jobs for the last four months of his term he will merely tread water. At this point, there is absolutely no chance that Bush can avoid being the first president since Hoover in the Great Depression to have had fewer jobs at the end of his term than when he began.

      Again, you're conflating two different things. If Bush ends up with more actual jobs than when he began, he would still have not matched labor force growth, yes. But he would hardly be the first President since Hoover to fail that.

      Using the "total nonfarm payroll survey" and the "civilian labor force" figures from BLS, we only need to go back to GHW Bush, who had about 2.6 million more jobs at the end of his term than when it started, but the labor force grew by 3.9 million. Reagan had 13 million more jobs, but the labor force grew by 14.4 million. And so on.

      If what I said holds true, Bush would be at about 0.2 million more jobs, and a labor force increase of 4+ million. It's nothing to brag about in absolute terms, but he would not be the first since Hoover to miss the mark of matching labor force growth. You're just wrong.

  10. of note by BigBir3d · · Score: 1

    the july numbers were surprisingly high, which caused the august numbers to get revised. now the new numbers don't meet the revision. amazing how the man (dubya) is set up to do nothing right. and no, i would never vote for him (or kerry or nader for that matter).

    give me a candidate (that is on the ballot):

    1. pro-choice
    2. against restrictive gun control (no machine guns makes sense... some of the other restrictions are ludicrous, not to mention how ineffective they are)
    3. pro legalising pot (tax the shit out of it)
    4. against Microsoft

    1. Re:of note by TykeClone · · Score: 1
      I think that in America, 1 and 2 are mutually exclusive in candidates for any kind of public office higher than dog catcher :)

      3 is ok, as long as we don't legalize nasty stuff like meth

      4 - show me a mainstream candidate that is L33T enough to manage his own PC, let alone know the ins and outs of Microsoft.

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    2. Re:of note by BigBir3d · · Score: 1

      Now you know why I have never voted for the Presidential Election.

    3. Re:of note by the+morgawr · · Score: 1

      You could vote for me! (If I was every dumb enough to get talked into running......)

      --
      The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
    4. Re:of note by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      Well Im pro-life, but I can point you at the libertarian candidate..

      --
  11. most businesses love peace ... by leoaugust · · Score: 1, Insightful
    I think when there is peace, business flourishes because people then start looking towards more than the bare necessities of life. Only if you are comfortable will you start looking for that funky feature on your mobile, or that vacation that you were looking forward to.

    War is a good stimulant as it pulls more out of people for a brief time, and it jump starts the war-industry establishment. But, over a long period of time, like line after line of coke, it starts doing damage. There is nothing really profitably "produced" in war - it just lays the ground with destruction to start rebuilding.

    Mr. Bush has accomplished the impossible. He has declared "endless" war, destroyed so much of the infrastructure that rather than being a stimulant for reconstruction, it is a depressant to see the needless devastation. Best of all, Mr. Bush has made so many "friends" that the next step where you profit from war is impossible in Iraq. And other than polarizing the country he has achieved nothing. It is fitting that he goes down in history as the mantle-bearer of Herbert Hoover.

    It is not easy for a single peorson to gut the economy. But Mr. Bush with his neocon and tax-cut loving buddies has achieved the impossible. Here's cheers to the endless wars!

    --
    To see a world in a grain of sand, and then to step back and see the beach where the sand lies ...
    1. Re:most businesses love peace ... by iwadasn · · Score: 1


      exactly.

      Also, the number of working age people increases by a million a year, bush is -4.5 million jobs by any fair reckoning. Everyone else manages to create jobs, through world wars, cold wars, whatever. Only bush failed in the last 70 years, it is his fault. In addition, look at the budget deficit, notice that it always goes down (as a percentage of GDP) during democratic presidencies (since carter at least), and up during republicans, it's not an accident. The jobs record of bush would be even worse if he wasn't propping up the numbers with borrowed money.

  12. Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by RealProgrammer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know, realistically they just are. People expect the President to "handle the economy".

    But it's stupid. The President has no control over the unemployment rate. All he can do is ask Congress to lower taxes or let them raise taxes. Maybe he can give a speech.

    The rest is cyclical. From where I'm sitting the economy is doing fine, even though the government still takes too much money out of it.

    If I lost my job, I wouldn't blame the President, I'd blame the bum in the mirror.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
  13. Noone counts me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unemployed as of June last year, unemployment ran out at end of year. I am not counted as unemployed since then, despite being very much so.

    1. Re:Noone counts me by Glidedon2 · · Score: 0

      Should have starved to death by now, don't ya think?

    2. Re:Noone counts me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Should have starved to death by now, don't ya think?

      Mod -1 Stupid

      How does being unemployed necessarily correlate to burning through one's life savings?

  14. question for anti-Bush people by Dr+Kool,+PhD · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm leaning toward voting Bush, but I have heard Kerry and others attack Bush for "mismanaging the economy". It seems to me that none of this is really Bush's fault, the tech bubble was bound to colapse and actually began to fall apart in April 2000 when the Nasdaq tanked. And also that 9/11 thing.

    Bush's deficit spending on defense has created jobs (at the expense of accumulated debt of course). But I'm surious to hear what you anti-Bush people think. Specifically, what has Bush done to mismanage the economy??

    1. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "But I'm surious to hear what you anti-Bush people think. Specifically, what has Bush done to mismanage the economy??"

      A. Deficit spending to such a large degree that it has the business community worried. They know that sooner or later the bills come due. This causes them to be cautious in hiring.

      B. Perpetuating a steady climate of fear. This causes consumers to pause, wondering if they should hold back their spending.

    2. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well we can gain an idea of what professional economists think of Bush's econmic stewardship and Kerry's economic plans from the wonderful (and right wing) economist magazine report. Keep in mind that the economist is a supporter of parties of the right such as the GOP.

    3. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Dr+Kool,+PhD · · Score: 1

      I disagree with you on (A), I really don't think the deficit is on the mind of most people in America. If anything, deficit worries cause the dollar to lose value, but that isn't necessarily a bad thing, it helps our exports.

      On (B) you're just wrong. How can you claim that consumers are holding back their spending when consumer spending and consumer debt are at an all-time high??

    4. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Dr+Kool,+PhD · · Score: 1

      The poll you cited has a huge flaw - it was taken from an "informal poll of 100 academics" - ie college professors. We already know college professors in general are very anti-Republican, and sometimes very socialist (please don't flame me for this, if you ever went to college you'd know it's true).

      The fact that a group of college professors don't like Bush is not surprising. I'm sure if you pollyed Biology professors, Physics professors, Psychology professors, etc, you'd get a poll with results just like the one you linked to.

    5. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well if you'd laid all the members of my Economics class in college end to end ....I wouldn't have been at all surprised :-) but seriously I guess
      you noticed the Economist's own take on this point
      "Are our economists partisans? We chose their names, at random, from among the referees of the American Economic Review, one of the profession's more prestigious publications..... However, even if you allow for some partisanship, the results are fairly striking.
      Here is another thought for you Dr Kool. Consider the cost of Gas at the pump and oil for heating. The high prices observed now are the "insecurity" premium exacted by the market for the instability in the mid-east - a direct consequence of GWB's policy of pre-emtive regime change. If you are happy with this fine, if not I would suggest that there is another party you could vote for.

    6. Re:question for anti-Bush people by ObligatoryUserName · · Score: 4, Informative

      The basic theory of how Bush is ruining the economy is that the budget deficits & the growing international disdain for America (generated by the President) are deflating the economy by discouraging international investment in America. You might not think that international investment is very important to the American economy, but you just have to consider the trade deficit to know that it is. Afer all, by definition the trade deficit means that there is net a outflow of money in the form of direct commerce. If the trade deficit alone defined the financial landscape, America would spend itself into oblivion.

      Fortunatly, that is not the case, foreign investment in the United States takes many forms (not just the purchase of American hard assets, but also of American securities, and currency), and often more than offsets the trade imbalance. One of the better theories on the 90's boom was that a weak international economy (compared to the US) + international respect for the only remaining Superpower + Clinton's fiscal responsibility all mixed together to create a bonanza of investment (so much, that we ended up with a crisis of bad investments, but that's another story).

      That this flow of foreign money has been greatly reduced is, no doubt related to 9/11, but many would argue that the reduction is because of how we reacted, not because of the event itself. Our response was the beginning of an internatational disillusionment that continues to this day. The high rate of exchange between the Euro and the Dollar is a quick way to see the effect. The exchange is where it's at because of the balance of people who would rather hold their investments in the Euro vs people who want to hold their investments in dollars. There's even some evidence that Bush is actually directly pushing for this imbalance because he mistakenly believes that manufacturing is the core of the economy and is trying to boost that sector. To many, it would just be another example of how he's out of touch with reality. Anyway, I'm Am Not An Economist, but I am a Democrat, so take my analysis with the usual grain of salt.

    7. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      On A, I got that from articles in Forbes and CNNFn over the last few months where they interviewed business execs who said what I said. I can't say if they are right or not, but they were the ones saying it so I included it as a possible factor.

      On B, you're right, consumers loaded up their debt and pulled the economy through the roughest spot, and good thing they did. But that debt eats away at them now, interest rates are rising, and when Ashcroft shows a propensity to raise the red flag whenever his boss is in trouble, I think that a climate of fear will increasingly work to undermine the economy from the consumer perspective.

    8. Re:question for anti-Bush people by (trb001) · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Washington Post had an interesting article today. Here it is. It's basically a critique of Bush's tax cuts.

      It all boils down to this: Bush wanted lower taxes. He lowered all the brackets that were in effect in 2000 and added a 10% bracket (details and comparisons can be found here). This ends up 'costing' the nation money, because the revenue that would have come from the additional taxes isn't going to be there. Whenever you see 'Bush's tax cut cost $X.YZ billion over 10 years', that's what it means. Also, some tax cuts are temporary. Congress passes them for a window, say 10 years, and then they have to be made permanent down the road.

      Clinton presided over a ridiculous boom in the economy, one that caused the market to surge and provided us with a surplus. When I got out of school in 2000, I was coming into the job market at the tail end of the boom. People were handing out jobs like candy, and salaries were ridiculous. It's debatable what caused that surge to end, but it had to. If you look at numbers, and I don't have any handy, but looking at the numbers from the first part of 2001 on (when Bush was innaugurated), it's pretty clear that everything had slowed down and was continuing to slow down. September 11th happened, more bad news for the economy. Whenever stuff like that happens, the markets get shaken up and tend to go down.

      Additionally, there is a tax loophole that allows multinational corporations to shift tax burdens around and decrease the amount of taxes they pay in this country. Some people claim this leads to outsourcing, since it's cheaper for them to pay workers in other countries, claim profits across multiple countries yet still claim expenses here. This article is a little lengthy but explains that more.

      Jobs aren't really part of the job of president, but unemployment is seen as a bad thing. The president (really, him combined with congress) can only "promote" job growth by giving companies tax credits for new hires, or by reducing their tax burden or by making it more profitable to hire people here rather than other countries (ie, outsourcing). Kerry's economic plan (read it here) wants to drop that loophole above and use it to give corporations a 5% cut in corporate taxes (that's important...not all companies PAY corporate taxes, only about 8% do). He also wants to give a two-year new jobs tax credit to companies.

      If you're a Kerry supporter, Bush has a net loss of jobs, is running a deficit because he cut taxes for the rich (he cut the top tax bracket from 39.5% to 35%, saying last week on O'Reilly "Nobody should pay more than 35% in taxes") and is a spendthrift on the war.

      If you like Bush, a lot of this was bound to happen anyways. The war is contentious, obviously, but tax cuts are typically viewed favorably by Republicans because money back for everyone is a good thing.

      That's my take on the economy. And as a caveat, I'm a Bush supporter. I don't think Kerry has the money to enact half the things he wants. If you look at his website, he wants a "Pay as you go" policy, which means that if he gives a 5% tax cut for corporations totalling $12billion over 10 years, we need to cut something or raise taxes so that it's on the books...no deficit spending. It's a great idea...it also rarely gets talked about in his speeches and, to me, sounds like a cop out so that next year he can say "The Republican Congress wouldn't reduce spending here, so I can't give you health care like I promised. Sorry."

      --trb

    9. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I don't think Kerry has the money to enact half the things he wants.

      This isn't the first time I've heard this from a Bush supporter, but I still find it curious. Bush is in the same boat, but he's happy to increase deficit spending to fund his programs.

      Is his method more financially sound? I don't think it is.

    10. Re:question for anti-Bush people by (trb001) · · Score: 1

      And no sooner do I finish my post when this comes across SharpReader: Framing the Economic Debate.

      Complete with pretty pictures :)

      --trb

    11. Re:question for anti-Bush people by OreoCookie · · Score: 0

      Trade deficits are self-correcting. The outflow of currency depresses the value of the dollar against foreign currencies, lowering the cost of US goods and services in the world market. The trick (just as in stock prices) is to avoid wild swings from one side to the other. On the bright side, if your job has been outsourced then a weakened dollar is just what you're looking for to bring it back here.

    12. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Devil's+Advocate · · Score: 0

      A cogent summation of how Bush has mishandled the economy is available here:

      http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/oct200 4/nf2004108_4276_db016.htm

      First Paragraph follows:

      George Bush, America's first President with an MBA, has been slapped on the knuckles by 169 concerned business-school professors. In an open letter sent on Oct. 4, the senior business and economics professors say Bush's economic policies are taking the country in the wrong direction. The academics, including two Nobel laureates, are especially critical of the budget deficit, which this year is projected to come in at more than $400 billion

    13. Re:question for anti-Bush people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Perhaps we could look at the title of that little piece you link to:
      For Bush, a Blast from the Ivory Tower
    14. Re:question for anti-Bush people by toiletmonster · · Score: 1

      oil prices are also high because of demand in china, problems in russia, and yes the insecurity premium caused by al quaeda attacks.

    15. Re:question for anti-Bush people by toiletmonster · · Score: 1

      i think the business community is even more worried that kerry will be elected and raise their taxes. that would cause them to be cautious in hiring.

  15. Email about this passed around at work. by cerebralsugar · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I sent this around in an email at work to my team to be funny.

    From: Boss
    To: Employees
    Subj: Job growth data
    -
    Hello! I wanted to forward around the following job growth data.

    96,000 new jobs added the month of september.

    NOW GET TO WORK AND STOP READING STUPID EMAILS OR YOU'LL BE LOOKING FOR ONE OF THEM!!

    Signed,

    Your Boss

    --
    Easy guys, I put my pants on one leg at a time. The difference is after I put on my pants I make gold records!
  16. Don't understand much about how the world works eh by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1
    Lets see, what can goverment do. How about things like you mentioned various taxes. Not just the basic tax but how about extras like extra tax on companies outsourcing and tax cuts for companies that get jobs into the country involved.

    Things like extra tariffs on certain products. Working with foreign goverments on trade deals. Investing in education to make certain that the companies still employing in your country can actually hire the people they need. Investing in healthcare so people can be cured fast to minimize downtime. Investing in infrastructure to make certain goods and people can move about.

    Investing in research to make give your companies an edge they need but can't afford.

    Investing in security, not just police but things like a navy to make sure pirates are kept under control or even eliminated (you don't think the real pirates stopped because they got bored?)

    A goverment can do plenty to either hurt or benefit the economy. Bush has helped the economy of the rich but not that of the common american. Outsourcing is great for management and share holders. The worker loosing his job is worse of, but hey, who cares eh?

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  17. Pretty impressive by b-baggins · · Score: 0, Troll

    Considering a successful terrorist attack on a major financial center of the nation, a massive nosedive in airline business as a result of 9/11, and the dot com goldrush crash.

    But, of course, the Kerry camp is in full 9/11 never happened pretend mode and they'll make as much hay out of this as they can.

    --
    You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    1. Re:Pretty impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      9/11 certainly happened, but it didn't affect every single aspect of American life. It's not the catch-all source of all our problems, as the Bush administration would so obviously like us to believe.

  18. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by xutopia · · Score: 1
    If I lost my job I'd blame the president. Who's fault is it that the barrel shot up to 52$?

    Petrol prices aside, he's also lowering taxes the wrong way. It's all about who you lower the taxes for. Someone really rich who already owns everything he needs getting a 20000$ tax reduction won't be spending that tax reduction. He'll put it in his caymen island account or something. However 100 lower to middle class people getting a 200$ tax break will use the tax break to get the urging things in their life, like changing that timing belt or fixing the crack in the foundation. Heck I know I could use 200$ less taxes this year.

    That trickle down economy principle only works in some cases, when the rich don't mind spending the money they get. But the truth is a trickle up economy is more likely to work. We, the poorer people are the ones who spend money because we don't have all we want or *need*. We are the ones who make the economy roll. Lowering taxes for us does something substantial to the economy and to jobs in general. Lowering for the rich just makes rich people richer.

  19. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by TykeClone · · Score: 1

    Unless that President is John Kerry - they've got enough personal wealth to hire enough people to affect the unemployment rate :)

    --
    A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
  20. Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1
    "On the whole unemployment thing what is left to fix, its at the same place it was in 1996 under the all wise Bill Clinton.. Heck he has done even better, in 1996 September Unemployment was 6.7%, in september 2004 it is at 5.4! "

    Uh, no, not really. The 5.4% number is not counting all those people out of work for longer than six months. I read one estimate that the true number of Americans of working age who do not have jobs is closer to 10%. Anecdotally, I can believe it. I know people in recent years who tooks many, many months to find jobs. I was one of them. In 1996 I was looking for work and the job market was much better than it is now. Same type of work, same area, different results in a dramatic way. Things have been much worse recently than they ever were in the mid-1990s, even pre-boom.

    1. Re:Unemployment by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      Uh, no, not really. The 5.4% number is not counting all those people out of work for longer than six months.

      Nor did Bill CLintons 6.7% whats your point?

      I read one estimate that the true number of Americans of working age who do not have jobs is closer to 10%.

      Source?

      Anecdotally, I can believe it. I know people in recent years who tooks many, many months to find jobs.

      Oh you have an Anecdote, well that cinches it.. We dont need any one to actually study the economy any more because we have you anecdotes. So long as we are throwing them Around I have changed Jobs 4 times sience October 2K and at no point in time was I without a job, I went from one to the next steadly increasing me pay..

      In 1996 I was looking for work and the job market was much better than it is now.

      Thats the nature of a Bubble, you know the tech bubblwe that burst under Clinton?

      Same type of work, same area, different results in a dramatic way. Things have been much worse recently than they ever were in the mid-1990s, even pre-boom.

      Because before the boom the was teh buildup to the boom..

      --
    2. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1
      Calm down. I don't recall the source, it was several months ago. And I agree with you that the bubble caused a lot of problems. My point was that the 5.4% of today is not nearly as accurate as the 6.7% back in '96. It was an entirely different working world back then. It was far easier to find work, so there were fewer people out of work long term.

      In recent years I've spoken with many co-workers and former co-workers as well as industry headhunters. Every last one of them felt the job market today is terrible. Not one of them felt that way about the mid-90s.

    3. Re:Unemployment by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      Calm down. I don't recall the source, it was several months ago. And I agree with you that the bubble caused a lot of problems. My point was that the 5.4% of today is not nearly as accurate as the 6.7% back in '96

      But you have no basis for that point, the two numbers measured the exact same thing in the exact same way.

      --
    4. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1
      "But you have no basis for that point, the two numbers measured the exact same thing in the exact same way."

      But not in the same working world circumstances, and that makes all the difference in the world.

    5. Re:Unemployment by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      Yes in 1996 there was no bubble burst, and nobody slammed planes into buildings... It was a different situation...

      --
    6. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1

      Thank you.

    7. Re:Unemployment by Rayonic · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The 5.4% number is not counting all those people out of work for longer than six months.
      Nor did Bill CLintons 6.7% whats your point?
      Actually, the whole "unemployment rate only counts people getting unemployment" thing is an urban legend.
    8. Re:Unemployment by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      Everyone I know who was laid off sometime during the last four years is now working, with the exception of two people. One decided to retire early at the age of 63. The other is attending law school.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    9. Re:Unemployment by Brandybuck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My point was that the 5.4% of today is not nearly as accurate as the 6.7% back in '96.

      What, did the laws of statistics change during that time? If you're claiming that the margins of errors are different, please produce those margins of error!

      Every last one of them felt the job market today is terrible.

      In the mid-90's we were on the rising slopes of a bubble. In comparison the job market today *IS* terrible. Likewise, a body temperature of 98.6 seems like a hyperthermia if you compare it to the fever you had eight years ago. In reality though, today's economy isn't bad. It's not going gangbusters and people aren't speculating their life savings on tulip bulbs, but it still ain't bad.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    10. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1
      "In the mid-90's we were on the rising slopes of a bubble. In comparison the job market today *IS* terrible."

      That's all I'm trying to say. Because today's job market is worse than it was in '96, more people are dropping off the unemployment roles now, and thus today's stats about 5.4% are less all-encompassing than '96's 6.7%. I'm not arguing about WHY it is that way, just pointing out that today's job market is worse, and thus the same stat, counted in the same way, will be missing more people today than back then. Regardless of why.

    11. Re:Unemployment by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      Because today's job market is worse than it was in '96

      Only in the context of knowing what happened afterwards. 6.7% unemployment is worse than 5.4% unemployment no matter how you try to argue differently. In hindsight, we now now that that 6.7% unemployment was going to get better. We now know that '96 was the beginning of an upward slope. But we do NOT know that about today's 5.4%. I was merely stating that the certainty of hindsight is better than the uncertainty of the unknown future.

      I'm not saying that today's job market is worse than 1996. I'm saying it's worse than 1997, 1998, 1999, and 2000!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    12. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1

      I'm not actually talking about what is going to happen afterward, though you make a good point. I'm talking about what the reality is right now. And I maintain that the unemployment rate today is worse than it was in 1996, though hidden by official stats that do not take into account workplace reality.

    13. Re:Unemployment by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      I'm talking about what the reality is right now.

      Then please stop making assertions and start showing real data. Because the data we do have says that we have lower unemployment now than in 1996. You have to do more than just say the statistics are wrong.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    14. Re:Unemployment by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 1
      I am finding it hard to believe I'm having to defend the idea that because the job market is worse now than it was in 1996 that it will have an impact on the official unemployment numbers. This reminds me of Bush-level argumenting where no matter the reality, just deny it.

      OK, so I did a quick Google search for you to give you an idea of some stories that talk about workers dropping off the lists. It's worse now than it was at the start of the Bubble era, and I cannot believe there is anyone out there looking for work who disagrees with that.

      One sample story

      Second sample story

      Third sample story

      The idea is so obvious and self-evident that I'm going to stop here. It's just a waste of time. All those looking for work know what I'm saying. They're living it.

  21. Am I the only one who doesn't believe the numbers? by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 1

    It was a few sundays ago, that the local newspaper had an article saying that the middle class was only disappearing because they were all becoming upper class. Complete with numbers, too. Numbers to the effect that 50% of us were in the $70,000 a year bracket. (well, close... can't remember, but was over 40%, 44%ish). I was flabbergasted. At age 30, I've only grossed over $30,000 a year twice.

    I have no clue what the real numbers are for any of this. But they aren't anything like what is published as truth in these reports.

  22. And I see a downward trend in jobs added... by elwinc · · Score: 1
    Fewer new jobs in September than in August. August corrected downward. Neither month kept up with population growth. A weak June and a weak July, which didn't keep up with population growth either. The last strong months for job creation were March, April, and May. Those were great months, but May is a long way back.

    We are entering the fourth quarter, and the last strong job growth was Q2. Looks like the recovery is fading to me. It probably has something to do with $50+/barrel oil.

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
  23. Does anyone know....? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have a few observations.
    Statement : Saddam invaded a free country (Kuwait).
    Q1 : Was it wrong for Iraq to invade another free country?
    Q2 : Was it against all international treaties to attack another country?
    Q3 : Did Saddam have the right to invade a free country?
    Q4 : Did the World denounce the action of and call Saddam an aggressor
    Q5 : Did Saddam stand by his actions and insist he was doing the right thing.
    Q6 : Did Saddam insist that it was in the interest of his country
    Q7 : Was it in the interest of his country or his personal gain?
    Q8 : What happened Since then?
    Q9 : Has Iraq become a more stable and powerful country or become distrusted the world over?
    Q10: Could anything have been done differently in Hindsight?
    Q11: Did Saddam use Islam to get people's support for his political gains
    Q12: Did he give Islam a "fanatic" image?

    Statement : Bush invaded a free country (Iraq).
    Q1 : Was it wrong for US to invade another free country?
    Q2 : Was it against all international treaties to attack another country?
    Q3 : Did Bush have the right to invade a free country?
    Q4 : Did the World denounce the action of and call Bush an aggressor
    Q5 : Did Bush stand by his actions and insist he was doing the right thing.
    Q6 : Did Bush insist that it was in the interest of his country?
    Q7 : Was it in the interest of his country or his personal gain?
    Q8 : What happened Since then?
    Q9 : Has US become a more stable and powerful country or become distrusted the world over?
    Q10: Could anything have been done differently in Hindsight?
    Q11: Did Bush use Christianity to get people's support for his political gains
    Q12: Did he give Christianity a "fanatic" image?

    Introspective Exercise for ALL americans.
    Q1. How is Bush different from Saddam?
    Q2. Should the US president take care of the American needs first or shud he be
    Q3. Can some country invade US and call upon the world coalition to support its invation?
    Q4. What makes US different from the rest of the world that it alone has the "right to use force first"
    Q5. How can pre-emptive strike be right for US but not for anyone else?

    -jes

  24. Re:Don't understand much about how the world works by RealProgrammer · · Score: 1

    But I asked what the President could do, not the government as a whole. And of all the other stuff you mentioned, only building roads / infrastructure and security are the government's domain. All the rest should be left to the private sector, or to the states. Certainly the President shouldn't be involved.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
  25. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by Matrix272 · · Score: 3, Informative

    If I lost my job I'd blame the president. Who's fault is it that the barrel shot up to 52$?

    The Chinese. They're buying more of it than ever before.

    Petrol prices aside, he's also lowering taxes the wrong way.

    It makes a lot more sense if you look at it as percentages of income, not as raw dollars. For instance, if I make $200,000 a year and get a $2000 tax rebate, that's only 1%. If you make $5,000 and get a $200 tax rebate, that's 4%. Suddenly it doesn't look like the rich are getting all the money back, does it?

    Of course, some real numbers are worth taking a look at. Bush only cut the Federal Income tax, which is the only part we're concerning ourselves for the purposes of this discussion. Did you know that the top 1% of the country makes 17.53% of the money in the country, but pays 33.89% of the Federal Income tax? (Note: To be in the top 1%, you must make more than $293,000 or so.) The top 50% of the country makes 86.19% of the money, but pays 96.03% of the Federal Income taxes. What are the bottom 50% of the population doing, if they're not reporting their income and paying tax on it?

    --
    "It's better to have a gun and not need it than need a gun and not have it." ~ Christian Slater, True Romance
  26. Free Will and the Economy and the President by jgardn · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Something nags me throughout this whole discussion: Of what effect does the economy, the president, and any other external factor have on whether or not you have a job?

    There are two ways to view the world: I am a captain of my fate, or I am a robot with its fate predetermined by people I don't even know (God, the President, or some secret Jewish conspiracy).

    I know which philosophy I adhere to. That's why when the dot com bubble burst, and I found myself on the streets with a new child and without cash, I went to find a job and eventually found a well-paying one, albeit not in the industry. Now I am back working at a major dot com and I am enjoying life.

    I can't imagine what drives people to make themselves slaves to someone else's will. How does the president create or destroy job? Has he ever interviewed for you? Has he hired you? Does he write secret messages to your potential employer "Hey, don't hire this guy. We don't want the economy to grow right now." Of course not.

    And the economy dictating your lifestyle? That's silly. I think of the economy as the weather. Sure, I won't sow wheat in the fall, but then again, I wouldn't sow in the summer either. The economy has its cycles, and rather than wake up every morning and look out the window to see which way the economic winds are blowing, how about you learn a bit on the subject and figure out which way the winds will blow tomorrow so you are ready for it? It really isn't that complicated of a subject. All you need to understand is what Adam Smith wrote down in the "Wealth of Nations" and then how to identify the conditions he described in today's environment.

    I totally support Bush. But if Kerry gets elected, or even Nader, or even Stalin for instance, it won't effect my fate. I am a captain of my fate. I don't let others dictate which way I go.

    I think that is a major difference between Bush and Kerry supporters. I am hiring Bush for a job. He is going to go take care of the terrorist problem so that I don't have to worry about that so much. Kerry supporters are looking to Kerry as a savior. Kerry is supposed to correct all of life's ills and prescribes a panacea to the old, sick, young, and uneducated. They want to put Kerry in charge, but I want to hire Bush to do a job. That's a big difference in perspective.

    --
    The radical sect of Islam would either see you dead or "reverted" to Islam.
    1. Re:Free Will and the Economy and the President by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I am hiring Bush for a job. He is going to go take care of the terrorist problem
      so that I don't have to worry about that so much.

      The President has had nearly a term in office since the Sept. 11th outrage.
      If you think the degree to which he has removed the
      terrorist problem is acceptable then you should vote
      for him.
      If, however, you believe that during his term he
      should have been able to utterly destroy Al Quida
      then I'd like to suggest an alternative
      Al Quida is still in existence.
      Q.E.D.

    2. Re:Free Will and the Economy and the President by Edax+Rarem · · Score: 1

      I believe much of what you say makes sense, we are in control of our lives, but sometimes that just isn't enough.
      I live in the D.C. Area, an area that calls itself the "internet capitol" [http://www.dmv.state.va.us/exec/vehicle/splates/i nfo.asp?idnm=ICI].
      I consider myself skilled enough to be valuable to employers, and yet, I was laid off and it took me quite some time to find a new job.
      The market is saturated with skilled people who all are applyying for the same jobs.
      When a company finally does decide to hire, it is usually based on word of mouth, or nepitism.
      I eventually did find a job but because the unemployment was running out and I have a mortgage, I had to settle for a lesser paying position. Should I have held out for a better position? I could have, at the risk of ruining my credit or even losing my house. I think I chose correctly.
      I don't know, but because of my personal experience, I think the job/economy numbers are a bit skewed. And not in the good way.
      My point is that sometimes you aren't "captain" but are instead, ruled by necessity.

      Oh and in regard to that last paragraph...
      Bush sure is doing a bang-up job of fighting terrorist. I would say he is doing a good job of creating MORE terrorists. Perhaps he just doesn't know where to look, because we are in Iraq where there were (note the past tense) no terrorists and no WMDs (the reason we went there) and no Osama Bin Laden. You remember him, the guy we think was responsible for killing a whole lot of Americans.
      Why is it acceptable for W to take us to war, where too many people have died, based on assumptions? Why is it acceptable for W to spin lies about why we went to Iraq? Why is it acceptable for the current administration to lie with a straight face to the American public and get away with it? Last I remember Presidents get impeached for lieing. Instead, this one gets a flock of sheep that sing his praises even when he whines about it being "Hard Work" and gets nothing accomplished unless you count getting our citizens beheaded, soldiers killed and losing site of the main objective, to protect the country from the terrorist. Instead he is creating a whole new generation of people that want to kill the innocent, because we invaded their land and killed theirs.
      Anyone can do a better job than this guy. False bravado and tough talk do not make us safer. Invading a weak nation and then losing (we certainly haven't won and aren't winning, despite the mission accomplished banner) does not make us stronger.
      It is time for a change.
      Go on... flame away.

      --
      I hate my sig.
    3. Re:Free Will and the Economy and the President by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >I am hiring Bush for a job.

      So let me get this straight. You have a candidate for a job. This candidate has held the exact same job for four years. During his previous position, he failed to prevent the largest attack ever on American soil. He then proceeded to invade a country that had nothing to do with it. He botches that invasion and brings that country into complete chaos. During this time he also racks up te biggest budget deficit in history. You want to hire this man so he can repeat that perfomance? What exactly are you smoking? Can I have some?

    4. Re:Free Will and the Economy and the President by jgardn · · Score: 1

      I consider myself skilled enough to be valuable to employers, and yet, I was laid off and it took me quite some time to find a new job.

      Sorry about that. People get hit by busses and stuff too, so I'd be glad it was just your job that you lost. Seriously.

      The market is saturated with skilled people who all are applyying for the same jobs.

      Options you have:
      (1) Get even more skilled than them
      (2) Market your skills better. (An employee is really exchanging his time and expertise with the employer for money.)
      (3) Switch markets. Farmers who grow wheat will switch to growing something else if the wheat market gets saturated.

      When a company finally does decide to hire, it is usually based on word of mouth, or nepitism.

      I noticed that too. So I am getting out of my house and meeting people I wouldn't normally meet. I have made business cards that I hand out to everyone I meet. I advertise for my friends and they advertise for me. (Oh, you need a salesman? I know this guy...)

      About nepotism, my suggestion is to marry well. Get your siblings and cousins to marry well as well. Then go to the reunions and rub shoulders.

      I eventually did find a job but because the unemployment was running out and I have a mortgage, I had to settle for a lesser paying position. Should I have held out for a better position? I could have, at the risk of ruining my credit or even losing my house. I think I chose correctly.

      Okay, set yourself up for success this next time. Get out of debt. Put aside extra cash for emergencies. Start looking for your next job right now. That way, you will be able to hold out for that better job. I accepted a lower-paying job as well, but I did it to pay the bills while I looked for a better job. Now I have a better job, and I am looking for an even better position, and setting myself up to take advantage of opportunities.

      My point is that sometimes you aren't "captain" but are instead, ruled by necessity.

      That is true. Sometimes you break a leg, or you get a disease, or your wife leaves you, or you get hit by a bus. But you know what? You can't do much about that so you don't spend time worrying about it. If it is likely to happen, you prepare for it. Truly tragic circumstances are usually met with support from your family, friends, and community. Example: A friend of mine had a baby born premature, and racked up tens of thousands of dollars of bills, even with insurance. We are holding an auction to pay his bills.

      Everybody in life is either captain or passenger. It's a matter of perception, nothing more. One thing: If you decide to be a passenger, your complaints are meaningless, because you aren't in control of the ship.

      I won't argue about terrorism, but I would ask you to apply common sense and take a good look at the other side of the argument. It's easy to believe only one side without thinking about it yourself.

      --
      The radical sect of Islam would either see you dead or "reverted" to Islam.
    5. Re:Free Will and the Economy and the President by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's just another neo-conservative who sees the world through rose colored glasses.

  27. Quick, look over there! by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    If bush doesn't deserve to be bashed, why did you predict it yourself?

    Oh, I see. You're entitled to your opinion, and to slander and bully anyone who doesn't share it. But people who disagree, they don't have a right to their opinion and must be wrong no matter what. It must be nice to live in a fantasy land.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Quick, look over there! by (trb001) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If bush doesn't deserve to be bashed, why did you predict it yourself?

      It's not really a prediction at this point...nearly any newspaper you pick up, or any Democrat you listen to, openly blames Bush for the economy and job loss. It's partisan rhetoric, since there's very little effect presidential actions have on the economy until at least half way through their term. Their economic policies and budgets don't go into affect until almost a year after they're elected.

      That being said, this is the 13th consecutive month of net job gain.

      --trb

    2. Re:Quick, look over there! by phyruxus · · Score: 1
      >>nearly any newspaper you pick up, or any Democrat you listen to, openly blames Bush for the economy and job loss.

      That's funny, I haven't heard anyone openly blame bush, as in "Bush is the reason the economy is down". What I have heard is that the economy's performance is likely to be a major issue in the election, and that it reflects poorly on bush.

      As for partisan rhetoric, conservatives are blatantly, continuously partisan, crossing every line and redrawing a few to boot, while bashing liberals for the same offence when they discuss any issue. For some reason the civil rights movement is seen as unamerican. Meh. We'll see who wins in november. =)

      --
      "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
      "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    3. Re:Quick, look over there! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Halfway through Bush's term, I was still unemployed and IT jobs loss was continuing.

      It's still continuing today- only construction and retail have seen gains, and neither one of those pays as much as manufacturing or IT did.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  28. It's hard work flipping burgers. by leftie · · Score: 1

    It's hard work being a truly motivated fast food employee. It's hard work trying not to get sick when you have no health insurance.

    1. Re:It's hard work flipping burgers. by b-baggins · · Score: 0

      A highly motivated fast food employee is a high school or college kid under his parents' insurance.

      A highly motivated adult manages a fast food restaurant and hires high school and college kids.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    2. Re:It's hard work flipping burgers. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's pretty easy work finding health insurance. I got individual insurance from Anthem when I was between jobs.

    3. Re:It's hard work flipping burgers. by phyruxus · · Score: 1
      >>A highly motivated fast food employee is a high school or college kid under his parents' insurance.

      Or an adult who lost his/her job and has no insurance. Or a kid who's parents can't afford insurance.

      >>A highly motivated adult manages a fast food restaurant and hires high school and college kids.

      Right.. because as we all know, new jobs are magically created every time someone is ready to work. And no one is ever unemployed because of a lack of available jobs. Right? Right?

      --
      "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
      "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  29. Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs, not Dems by leftie · · Score: 1

    Bush is the one who decided to finance companies moving their jobs to foreign countries, not Democrats.

  30. Re:Am I the only one who doesn't believe the numbe by TykeClone · · Score: 1

    If you're married and both you and your spouse work at a decent job (doesn't have to even be that good paying of a job!) and earn around $35K/year - congratulations you're rich!

    --
    A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
  31. Re:Don't understand much about how the world works by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But I asked what the President could do, not the government as a whole.

    You're right, this situation is not just the president's fault.
    Responsibility lies with the Republican-controlled Congress, the Republican-controlled Senate, and the president.

    Remember to vote against all three.

  32. You're just making stuff up now. by leftie · · Score: 1

    There is no evidence supporting your claim.

    1. Re:You're just making stuff up now. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      His claim that motivated teenagers work fast food or that motivated adults manage fast food? How is the any lsee substancial than your claim?

      --
    2. Re:You're just making stuff up now. by phyruxus · · Score: 1
      >>How is the any lsee substancial than your claim?

      For starters, he's full of shit. It's idiocy to imply that anyone who works fast food and isn't young is not motivated. And neither you nor he have the balls to go into a McDonalds and say what you say here.

      QUIT TROLLING!

      --
      "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
      "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    3. Re:You're just making stuff up now. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      For starters, he's full of shit

      Oh thanks thats insightful..

      It's idiocy to imply that anyone who works fast food and isn't young is not motivated.

      And its equally stupid to assume that because someone works in fast food they are *that* was what was being asked how is either one a vaild statement?

      And neither you nor he have the balls to go into a McDonalds and say what you say here.

      And what exactly have I said? I have said that if a person is not going above and beyond to improve their situation they are not motivated. Why dont you up your meds and read it again... Hell when consulting dried up (7 months with no work) I took to selling trinkets at parades, spending 8 hours in a van and two hours on the street for 50$...

      You know what I was doing in the van? reading electronics and computer textbooks I borrowed from the library. So dont you give me crap about not working my way up and not knowing what its like. If any of those people go home from work and play X-box, or just smoke and watch TV I will absolutly say to them that they are unmotivated..

      --
  33. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by the+morgawr · · Score: 1
    Bush still didn't do what I wanted to see, completely eliminate payroll taxes and use the income tax to fund it.

    If you graph salary v. % of income spent on taxes, it's really low as you approach that middle 50% but as you get up to the top 25% it goes up (no surprise here).

    What is surprising is that as you go lower the federal taxes as a percent of income go up as well. Much of this can be attributed to payroll taxes. I'd like to see that problem get fixed; it's not fair no matter how you cut it.

    --
    The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
  34. 15.6% of the population say differently. by leftie · · Score: 1

    "...Nearly 45 million people lacked health insurance, or 15.6 percent of the population. That was up from 43.5 million in 2002, or 15.2 percent, but was a smaller increase than in the two previous years...."

    http://www.cnn.com/2004/US/08/26/census.poverty. ap /

    1. Re:15.6% of the population say differently. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I suppose that even though I was able to find invidual medical insurance, that I'm still wrong?

      Unrelated to the 30 minutes it took me to find and sign up for health insurance, those numbers you cited aren't very clear. The census bureau counts anyone who went without health insurance for one day in the year in that number (15.6%). The number also includes all of the people who CHOSE to go without health insurance, for whatever reason.

  35. Re:Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs, not D by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

    > Bush is the one who decided to finance companies moving their jobs to foreign countries, not Democrats.

    And it was the Democrats, specifically Bill Clinton, that signed NAFTA which made it all possible.

    See:

    http://encarta.msn.com/media_701507082_761564341 _- 1_1/President_Clinton_Signs_NAFTA.html

    To see Clinton and Gore accepting applause for this travesty.

    --
    Caution: Contents under pressure
  36. truly motivated people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Let's take a look at what these motivated, employed people are saying about bush:

    A Personal Message from George Soros
    Why We Must Not Re-elect President Bush
    [...]
    When George W. Bush was elected president, and particularly after September 11, I saw that the values and principles of open society needed to be defended at home. September 11 led to a suspension of the critical process so essential to a democracy - a full and fair discussion of the issues. President Bush silenced all criticism by calling it unpatriotic. When he said that "either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists," I heard alarm bells ringing. I am afraid that he is leading us in a very dangerous direction. We are losing the values that have made America great.
    [...]
    Iraq has cost us nearly 200 billion dollars -- an enormous sum. It could have been used much better elsewhere. The costs are going to mount because it was much easier to get into Iraq than it will be to get out of there.
    [...] (more text in Soros' message)

    .

    George Soros wants bush gone. He's speaking the truth at his own cost. And he has got more patriotism in his thumb than you have in your whole body.

    1. Re:truly motivated people by Kick+the+Donkey · · Score: 1
      George Soros wants bush gone. He's speaking the truth at his own cost. And he has got more patriotism in his thumb than you have in your whole body.

      Wait a minute... Did you take what I said as a statement for Bush? Then you mis-interpreted... I want Bush gone just as bad as the next moderate-liberal. I was more making an observation on the motivations of people. Odds are, if you've got a job, you're not worried about someone elses job (or lack thereof). We're all selfish by nature.

      But I am NOT a Bush-backer. I'm a Bush-wacker.

      Kerry-Edwards: For people who can spell canidates with more than one letter.

      --
      /. is a bunch of nerds at a million typewriters. It's not a political conspiracy determined to undermine your beliefs.
  37. Camoflage and smoke-screens by leftie · · Score: 1

    The same people who make the claim you just made also claim there is no global warming and say 5 stem cell lines are enough for completele stem cell medical research programs. The way the statitics were compiled hasn't changed. The same measurements that Clinton was held to, Bush is held to. It's distortions and distractions used to steer the conversation away from the fact that Bush has cause huge increases in the numbers of Amercians that have lost their health insurace under Bush.

    1. Re:Camoflage and smoke-screens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't intend to claim that the numbers are skewed against Bush, I'm just pointing out that the number doesn't directly support the point you were trying to make. The numbers aren't really my main point anyway. My main point was that it's not hard to find health insurance.

    2. Re:Camoflage and smoke-screens by leftie · · Score: 2, Informative

      Only healthy people can find health insurance. If you already have prior medical conditions, you don't get insurance.

      The people who need health insurance cannot get health insurance.

  38. How is this calculated? by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

    How is unemployment calculated? I am unemployed, as are most of my close friends. Are we included in the statistics? If so, seeing as I dont regularly tell anyone I am unemployed, how?

  39. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by xutopia · · Score: 1
    could the barrel prices have something to do with invading some oil-rich country? Of course you can kid yourself that the daily explosions in Bagdad have nothing to do with oil prices rising but then again lots believed Bush and Co when they said that Iraq had WMDs and were tied to Al Quaeda.

    Now my assertion was that trickle up economy is what works, not trickle down. Lowering taxes for the rich only make rich people richer. Poorer people are the ones who spend their tax credits not the rich people. The lower to middle class tax cuts can make an economy roll!

    Bush and Co said they cut taxes for the rich to help the economy but it was a lie like many other things, they only helped themselves. Sure you can put any rethoric in front of me like "rich people pay more than their fair share of taxes" but honestly I won't care too much. They got rich because the economy was healthy and they want to ruin it now so they can get a bit richer. When someone writes laws for the country he has to think of what is best for the country not for his rich friends. My neighboor could use a 200$ tax cut to get his car back on the road. It doesn't take much but 1000 poorer people getting a 200$ tax credit helps the economy more than a rich fsck getting a 20000$ tax credit. In the first case 1000 people spend 200$ whereas in the second, one person can put even more money in his caymen island bank account.

  40. His claim is false. by leftie · · Score: 1

    There are vast numbers of adults working in fast food jobs below management level. That is a fact.

    1. Re:His claim is false. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      Are they motivated adults?

      --
    2. Re:His claim is false. by leftie · · Score: 1

      Anyone who shows up for more than one shift of minimum wage work at a fast food place is by definition "motivated."

    3. Re:His claim is false. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Really? I dont quite buy that definition. Do they go home and study something, do they spend their spare time at an unemployment office looking for better work?

      But lets say that two burger flipper get married lets even say they only work 36 huors a week so they dont count as full time hires.

      The lowest Minimum wage in the nation is 5.15 (http://www.aflcio.org/yourjobeconomy/minimumwage/ staterates.cfm) That couple makes 19 thousand a year which is above the poverty line so good for them. In some states the minimum wage is much higher (CT, OR, CA) are all around 7$ an hour in those states they make 25K a year, almost the poverty level for a family of four.

      So does this person go home and make something happen or do they piss and moan about the crappy job they have?

      --
    4. Re:His claim is false. by phyruxus · · Score: 1
      If you're going to troll do it on IRC, not here.

      WTF is your point? "Are they motivated adults?" Of course they're motivated. We're losing manufacturing and technology jobs and they're being replaced with fast food jobs. So either motivated people are working fast food, or unmotivated people are working fast food and motivated people are unemployed, which is even worse.

      Get lost, troll.

      --
      "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
      "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    5. Re:His claim is false. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      WTF is your point? "Are they motivated adults?" Of course they're motivated.

      Having a job does not mean youre motivated. I dont think that 90% of our population is motivated do you?

      we're losing manufacturing and technology jobs and they're being replaced with fast food jobs. So either motivated people are working fast food, or unmotivated people are working fast food and motivated people are unemployed, which is even worse.

      Slow down take a breath and think for a second... Did I ever say if someone works in fast food they are unmotivated? No I said just because they work in fast food does not mean they are motivation. Motivation has to do with going above and beyond not just getting by. If a 41 yo ex Iron worker now flips burgers but goes home and reads books on being a legal clerk, or on something else he is motivated..

      Get lost, troll.

      Yes according to you a troll is someone who disagrees..

      --
    6. Re:His claim is false. by phyruxus · · Score: 1
      >>Did I ever say if someone works in fast food they are unmotivated?

      b-baggins implied it. leftie called him on it and you said "Are they motivated adults?" Which seemed to me highly trollish and redundant. At which point I jumped in.

      >>Motivation has to do with going above and beyond not just getting by.

      I disagree. Motivation has to do with *effort*, effort does not gaurantee success. The running implication made by you and b-baggins sounds to me like: "Fast food workers fall into one of three categories: a) Young, b) Adult Manager, c) unmotivated". So either everything is A-OK or they're lazy so who cares, it's their fault.

      >>If a 41 yo ex Iron worker now flips burgers but goes home and reads books on being a legal clerk, or on something else he is motivated.

      How about a 41 year old ex Iron worker who works 80 hours a week at minimum wage to feed his family? Is he unmotivated because he isn't studying? He sure as hell isn't lazy.

      >>Yes according to you a troll is someone who disagrees..

      No, I really think you and b-baggins were trolling, given that the whole thread was an argument started by b-baggins who implied that the only problem fast food workers face is their own laziness.

      --
      "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
      "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    7. Re:His claim is false. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      I disagree. Motivation has to do with *effort*, effort does not gaurantee success.

      I meant above and beyond in terms of effort, not just the result.

      How about a 41 year old ex Iron worker who works 80 hours a week at minimum wage to feed his family? Is he unmotivated because he isn't studying? He sure as hell isn't lazy.

      So youre assuming he does not qualify for foodstamps, fica, or any other assistance. Having family that worked in social service I can tell you for the most part that is not the case. But under lets assume your right what is his wife doing working, is she studying to get ahead?

      No, I really think you and b-baggins were trolling, given that the whole thread was an argument started by b-baggins who implied that the only problem fast food workers face is their own laziness.

      And how do I get lumped into that I never implied that, I asked for proof *either* way..

      --
  41. Re:Don't understand much about how the world works by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

    This might hold some water if the democrats actually did something in the senate. they are hell bent on keeping Bushes judical nominees through filibuster but voted for his tax cut, for NCLB, for the patriot act, for the war, for everything bush has done the democrats voted *for*..

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  42. Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs by leftie · · Score: 1

    Clinton/Gore may have signed NAFTA, but Bush is the one who implimented a policy of having the US Government finance the cost of companies moving jobs out of the country.

    1. Re:Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

      I,

      Heard you the first time.

      You made your point and I made mine.

      If you don't like my point that's fine, and I don't necessarily disagree with yours.

      But, I am sick of the one-sided bias that is largely allowed to go unchecked on Slashdot.

      It's not fair to cast everything negative that happens in this world as Bush's fault, because it's not!

      My point simply shows that there are a lot of people to blame, left, right, upside-down, underneath, where-ever you can find them.

      --
      Caution: Contents under pressure
    2. Re:Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs by leftie · · Score: 1

      Republicans are pro-NAFTA & WTO. Please don't act like Poppy Bush or Bob Dole wouldn't have pushed for NAFTA and WTO passage if they hadn't been President.

    3. Re:Bush gave tax break for outsourcing jobs by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

      All,

      I know is is that picture of Clinton and Gore say all that needs to be said about NAFTA to me.

      --
      Caution: Contents under pressure
  43. Damned statistics at work. by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1, Troll

    From the actual report:

    "Total employment was about unchanged in September at 139.5 million, and the employment-population ratio--the proportion of the population age 16 and over with jobs--was little changed at 62.3 percent. Over the month, the civilian labor force was essentially unchanged at 147.5 million. The labor force participation rate was 65.9 percent in September and has been at or near that level since late last year. (See table A-1.)"

    Bush and his apologists can spin these numbers any way they want, as they define "unemployment" to exclude all kinds of people without jobs. How many of those "new jobs" Bush will talk about are jobs left idle by the thousands of reservists in Iraq and elsewhere? We've got 293M people in the US, with only 66.9% aged 15-65; even these numbers lie, somehow saying we've got 4.6% without jobs, compared with the still-rosy 5.4% summarized in the report. How many of these jobs are part time? How many pay too little to matter? How many are people working past their retirement age because they've lost their pensions, or their investments? We remember what the job market was like "when Clinton was reelected" in 1996: jobs were falling off the trees. Now, they're flying overseas, where the labor, environment and pay conditions are already in the cesspool into which Bush is herding this economy. Do your career a favor and see through these lies, and get someone new to manage the economy on which we depend, who hasn't been a miserable lying failure all his life.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Damned statistics at work. by OYAHHH · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > "when Clinton was reelected" in 1996: jobs were falling off the trees

      Not quite.

      Actually I was doing quite a bit of hiring in 1996 and jobs were not falling off trees. In silicon valley I could find a LOT of VERY qualified applicants in 1996.

      It didn't get difficult until 98 or so. And then the CISCO's etc. of the world were snatching up anyone who even knew how to do simple math.

      From 1998 to 2000 I was seeing applicant's resumes who had no business doing anything but retail. And then I'm not sure if they could have cut retail.

      I remember when Carter was up for re-election in 80. In that situation the prime interest rate was 21 percent, people were waiting in lines for two hours to buy three gallons of gas, and unemployment wasn't good at all. Now that was a miserable time and people were really suffering.

      So, things change, as they always will.

      > where the labor, environment and pay conditions are already in the cesspool

      So, if that's the case, then why are home prices still rising? Where is that money coming from? I don't think all those bankers out there are accepting bouncing checks for all those mortgages. Nor are they accepting that proverbial cash that grows on trees.

      The money is coming from somewhere. Perhaps the unemployment numbers have some truth to them?

      Perhaps those that don't have a job are just too lazy to go out and get one?

      --
      Caution: Contents under pressure
    2. Re:Damned statistics at work. by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      The difficulty of hiring someone qualified, due to the huge labor demand in the market, is what I'm talking about: the actually low rate of unemployment. Compared with today, when people aren't hiring, the economy isn't growing, unless you're in the oil or weapons business (or both).

      Actually, home prices aren't rising as fast as inflation, except in places like New York City, where they're obviously safer investments than the stock market, which you can use while they appreciate. The mortgage debts are being financed by taxpayers, with unprecedentedly low interest rates for banks from the Federal Reserve. The Fed also subsidizes the huge consumer debt (credit cards, other loans) which provides the cash flow to the mortgages. The money is largely coming from the $10T Bush national debt, which is now largely owned by China, which can now set terms on US policy, as we have on Europe and the Americas for decades. American laziness is more an impediment to learning the truth, than in producing capital.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  44. How much was from .BOMB? by DamienMcKenna · · Score: 1

    How much of the job losses were from the dotBOMB crap? Talk about a much needed event. I'm glad the investors lost their money, but I wish it hadn't hit so many every day folk.

    Damien

  45. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Someone really rich who already owns everything he needs getting a 20000$ tax reduction won't be spending that tax reduction.

    Most likely they will buy stock, or invest. Rich people dont throw money in their matress they invest it which create puts the tax cut money right back into the economy.

    However 100 lower to middle class people getting a 200$ tax break will use the tax break to get the urging things in their life, like changing that timing belt or fixing the crack in the foundation. Heck I know I could use 200$ less taxes this year.

    Pretty much everyone is getting a 3% cut in their taxes. Contrary to popular beilef thie was not a cut for the rich (The highest bracket pays 37.5% and the lowerst pays 15%..

    That trickle down economy principle only works in some cases, when the rich don't mind spending the money they get. But the truth is a trickle up economy is more likely to work.

    The rich buy IBM stock and the poor shop at walmart both create jobs, *in china*..

    We, the poorer people are the ones who spend money because we don't have all we want or *need*.

    Anyone who honestly believes that poverty is an extreem problem in America has *zero* perspective. Your worried about a timing belt? Do you think that is fomone owns a car, a tv, has access to the internet, has foor, a roof over their head, that somehow the system has failed them?

    Lowering taxes for us does something substantial to the economy and to jobs in general. Lowering for the rich just makes rich people richer.

    Again I am not rich but the CEO of my company is, he is very open and I watch him like a hawk to see just how he got where he is (he was not born into money). He works his tail off and invest money when I worked on the network at his house I saw not one dime hidden in a jar, he did however let me see his stock portfolio and trust me he does more for the economy than you or I do..

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  46. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Bush still didn't do what I wanted to see, completely eliminate payroll taxes and use the income tax to fund it.

    What? you have to be kidding, I was under the impression that payroll taxes cover things like Social security. Social security is supposed to work like this: you put something in you get something out. My SS benefit will be the exact same as someone who makes half of what I do, to you this is not fair? No instead we should more focus on income re-distribution.

    If you graph salary v. % of income spent on taxes, it's really low as you approach that middle 50% but as you get up to the top 25% it goes up (no surprise here).

    Because unlike Income taxes SS is aimed at all people equally is not so much a tax as an entitlement.

    The best thing to do is scrap income tax altogether and go to a sales tax. I would keep the IRS around to precess receipts (everyone would be exempt on $amount a year in purchases so that the truely poor would not be taxed on food, cloths and the like. I would keep SS tax only because its not so much a tax as a fund, in princaple the government has to give that money back to you when there is retirement.

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  47. Re:Am I the only one who doesn't believe the numbe by syrinx · · Score: 1

    Sorry, but the plural of "anecdote" is not "data".

    --
    Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum sonatur.
  48. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by the+morgawr · · Score: 1
    My SS benefit will be the exact same as someone who makes half of what I do, to you this is not fair?

    I'm not sure I understand what you are saying, but here goes: Social Security and unemployment benefits are giant horribly run pyramid schemes that have no place in America. Medicare and Medicade (also financed through payroll taxes) as poorly run as they are do have some societal benefits (not that there arn't other ways to get them), but, like publicly funded schooling, are technically a form of wealth redistribution.

    Reguardless on where you stand on any of this, it is unfair for someone who is poor to spend a larger percentage of their income on taxes then someone in the middle class. Optimally they'd spend the same percentage, and if you believe in wealth redistribution (which I am throughly convinced can never actually work), the poorer people should pay a lower percentage. No matter who's philosophy I apply, I can't think of any reason they should spend more.

    --
    The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
  49. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Social Security and unemployment benefits are giant horribly run pyramid schemes that have no place in America.

    Than do away with is all together dont shift the cost into income tax

    Reguardless on where you stand on any of this, it is unfair for someone who is poor to spend a larger percentage of their income on taxes then someone in the middle class.

    Except SS is not a tax like income is a tax. The government can do whatever it wants with income taxes, SS is marked for a retirement fund in which I will get the same as somebody making half as much as me so why should I pay more? thats the reason SS and income are seperate in the first place.

    I can't think of any reason they should spend more.

    They dont SS is not a tax...

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  50. No. Let's look at a single person living on $9,750 by leftie · · Score: 1

    The average adult household is now a single household.

    How does a single person live on 9,750 a year? Very badly.

  51. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by the+morgawr · · Score: 1
    Than do away with is all together dont shift the cost into income tax

    That's what I'd like to see, but I'm realistic, that's not happening anytime soon.

    SS is not a tax

    A Tax is (according to Mirriam-Webster) "a charge usually of money imposed by authority on persons for public purposes". Social Security is supposedly for the public good and it's certainly a public program. By that definition, it's definately a tax; especially after you consider that even the poorest Americans get out less then they put in.

    My point is that Bush wanted to cut taxes across the board so he opened up a new low 10% bracket, and reduced the percentage of federal revenue comming from the middle class (by increasing the percentage of federal revenue comming in from the top tax brackets). He did such a good job at middle class tax cuts that the bottom 25% of Americans spend a larger percentage of their income paying taxes then the middle class. Because these guys put in so little anyway, he should have cut their taxes as well.

    --
    The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
  52. Am I seeing things. by OreoCookie · · Score: 0

    Wow! An even handed story in the Politics section. Hope springs anew.

  53. Then you're the only one looking at that picture. by leftie · · Score: 1

    Republicans are far more likely to be more supportive of NAFTA and the WTO. It was the Republicans in Congress that voted for NAFTA and the WTO to get it passed. Very few Democratic members of Congress voted for NAFTA and the WTO.

  54. Sorry for the confusion KTD by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    Sorry for the confusion KTD, my (anon) post was in reply to this retard, b-baggins. If you hit 'parent' link on my post you'll see his comment which was a (stupid) reply to yours.

    KTD, you're the man. b-baggins is the one I was calling unpatriotic.

    BTW I posted anon because I'm sick of getting modded -1 for expressing liberal views. I'm double sick of seeing pretentious conservative morons getting +2 for being republican spin jockeys.

    As for Bush... grrrrrrr. I hate that mofo.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  55. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    publicly funded schooling, are technically a form of wealth redistribution.

    if you believe in wealth redistribution (which I am throughly convinced can never actually work)

    Any market or economy is technically a method or instrument for the redistribution of wealth. They work every day. Just look at how much wealth has been transferred from the poor and middle classes to the rich in the last 20 years.

    Lots of factors influence how these systems work. Almost any law you can think of shapes them in some way, changing how wealth is redistributed. If you are truely against the redistribution of wealth, you are ultimately against the concepts of trade and money. Good luck getting those eliminated.

  56. Re:Then you're the only one looking at that pictur by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

    Democratic members,

    Didn't need to vote for it. They knew 'Their man' Clinton would sign it and Gore would be there cheering him on.

    And if you choose to ignore/discount the full truth then that's your problem pal.

    --
    Caution: Contents under pressure
  57. Re:No. Let's look at a single person living on $9, by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

    This does not answer the question of the persons motivation? how busy are they trying to learn things that will make them more marketable..

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  58. Your spin is weak. by phyruxus · · Score: 1

    Two worker families are at the greatest risk of fiscal catastrophe because if either worker gets sick or loses their job the loss of income is typically irrecoverable. If you think a career in fast food is any way to live I suggest you go try it.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Your spin is weak. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      I was not suggesting it was easy, I was suggesting it was doable. My point is what that because someone works in fast food does not mean they are a motivated adult, its what they do above and beyond to imrpove their situation that matters..

      --
  59. Re:No. Let's look at a single person living on $9, by OreoCookie · · Score: 0

    United States 2000 Census Average household size - 2.59 Don't just make up stuff. It makes you look bad.

  60. Those with Advanced Economic Degrees Repond... by Devil's+Advocate · · Score: 0

    here.

    Opening paragraph below
    George Bush, America's first President with an MBA, has been slapped on the knuckles by 169 concerned business-school professors. In an open letter sent on Oct. 4, the senior business and economics professors say Bush's economic policies are taking the country in the wrong direction. The academics, including two Nobel laureates, are especially critical of the budget deficit, which this year is projected to come in at more than $400 billion
  61. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    "a charge usually of money imposed by authority on persons for public purposes"

    Note that social security is not for public purposes it provides no service for the general public, I pay money in that I will get out.. So no by that definition it is most definatly not a tax.

    My point is that Bush wanted to cut taxes across the board so he opened up a new low 10% bracket, and reduced the percentage of federal revenue comming from the middle class (by increasing the percentage of federal revenue comming in from the top tax brackets). He did such a good job at middle class tax cuts that the bottom 25% of Americans spend a larger percentage of their income paying taxes then the middle class. Because these guys put in so little anyway, he should have cut their taxes as well.

    So they should get free SS?

    --
  62. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    social security is not for public purposes it provides no service for the general public, I pay money in that I will get out..

    I'm sorry, I just can't believe that anyone still believes this. Are you really that gullible?

  63. Fine. You can explain raising kids on min. wage. by leftie · · Score: 1

    I was making it a fairly straight forward discussion. You just made it that much harder.

  64. Re:Am I the only one who doesn't believe the numbe by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

    At age 30, I've only grossed over $30,000 a year twice.

    I'm 40. I didn't make over $40,000 until I was 35. People are making more money earlier, so I guess the economy really is improving!

    --
    Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  65. They are working a crap job. That's motivated. by leftie · · Score: 1

    Anybody who continues to show up for a minimum wage fast food job is plenty motivated already.

    1. Re:They are working a crap job. That's motivated. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      So we will disagree with this I dont think working for fast food, or IT is a sign of motivation. Its how hard you work and what you do beyond youre job.. That one of the problems with Gen-X the bare minimum is condisered something to be applauded..

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  66. damn straight, you tell 'em leftie! by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    So true, so true. Working fast food really drains you mentally too. Customers there are almost as bad as helpdesk callers, so the cashiers get abused all day. The manager might be cool, or they might take out their lack of achievement on their employees. And there's no future to dream about (raise? promotion? take out the trash.)

    There's a forty something guy who works the window at a Wendy's near me. It hurts to see the look on his face sometimes. His affect is flat.. he's courteous in his tone but you can tell how much it must hurt to work there at his age. He must be a very strong person inside to hold down that job - probably only keeps going for his kids.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  67. So we should open more burger joints? by khasim · · Score: 1

    A highly motivated adult manages a fast food restaurant and hires high school and college kids.

    Cool. And here I thought the problem might be difficult.

    We can all make enough money and get health care by managing burger joints. And selling ad space to each other.

    I'm sorry, didn't that concept die back in the 90's?

  68. They had to pass Rupublicans in Congress. by leftie · · Score: 1

    Clinton and Gore could have held all the pep rallies they wanted. NAFTA and WTO were laws that had to pass Congress. Without the Republicans in Congress voting for the WTO and NAFTA, nothing happens.

    The Republicans in Congress are every just as much to blame for WTO and NAFTA as Clinton.

    1. Re:They had to pass Rupublicans in Congress. by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

      If democrats in significant numbers in both the house and the senate had voted no then NAFTA wouldn't be happening.

      Plain and simple.

      Especially the Senate, since it, as a body, has for a long time been spilt almost equally between Dems and Repubs.

      Or perhaps you like this better:

      Without the Democrats in Congress voting for the WTO and NAFTA, nothing happens.

      The Democrats in Congress are every just as much to blame for WTO and NAFTA as Bush.

      Look, you don't have a frigging leg to stand on buddy. Next time you vote at least vote for someone who shares your views of the world. Because obviously the democrats don't.

      --
      Caution: Contents under pressure
  69. This growth is very unsustainable by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

    if you look at the numbers, the jobs that have been added recently have come largely from government and healthcare, there is no way that either of those groups can sustain growing employment for that much longer. Government because there is that wacky thing calld the deficit that W. seems to think is his score on pac-man, just gobble it all up, and healthcare because economies cannot sustain having huge amounts of the GDP eaten up by healthcare.
    In many ways things like healthcare and gas prices are exactly like taxes. Both are necessities, but the costs can get carried away. If my healthcare costs increase 40%(taking inflation into account) and my gas prices have a similiar increase, I wind up spending more money for the same amount of stuff. Exactly like taxes. So when Dubya claims that he saved me all this money, I like to point out that I am in fact paying more out of pocket for the same things I was 4 years ago, and my tax cut doesn't even begin to cover it.

  70. Re:Fine. You can explain raising kids on min. wage by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    To be fair to you I am sure 2.59 includes single parent families. Look I am not on anyones side but the truth here, I just hate the retoric on both sides.

    If a guy flips burgers and then goes home an studies to make his life better he is motivated, if he goes home and watches TV he is not motivated.

    Look at Edwards latest pathetic "my daddy worked in a mill" story, it was about how his fater was up late at night learning math that was a motivated man and it rubbed off on his sun (no matter how much I disagree with his politics).

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  71. You need to look at what's expected for bare min. by leftie · · Score: 1

    You act like fast food jobs are easy. Ever done it? It's tiring, tedious work. I don't think George W. Bush could keep a minimum wage fast food job.

  72. You've confused your numbers. by khasim · · Score: 1

    In a nation with a GDP of nearly 11 Trillion Dollars what exact impact do you thing 120 Billion would have?

    You're confusing GDP with tax revenues. The are NOT the same.

    Spending that $120 Billion on extending the unemployment benefits would have done far more to help this country than going after some third world tinpot dictator.

  73. John Edwards' Dad rose to middle management. by leftie · · Score: 1

    John Edwards' father is exactly what the ideal example should be. John Edwards father was only a mill worker for a few years. He worked very hard and rose into middle management at that mill before he retired.

    1. Re:John Edwards' Dad rose to middle management. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      Exactly, he was motivated where as people who just went home and did nothing were not..

      --
    2. Re:John Edwards' Dad rose to middle management. by leftie · · Score: 1

      And as John Edwards points out, those same opportnities aren't there anymore. Kerry and Edwards want to bring back those types of opportunities to Americans who work hard and play by the rules.

      Obviously, you should be voting for the Kerry/Edwards ticket.

    3. Re:John Edwards' Dad rose to middle management. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      And as John Edwards points out, those same opportnities aren't there anymore. Kerry and Edwards want to bring back those types of opportunities to Americans who work hard and play by the rules.

      Bull those opportunities are still there but just like when Johns dad wa working not everyone takes advantage of them..

      Obviously, you should be voting for the Kerry/Edwards ticket.

      Yea cause I am going to vote for a guy who thinks taxes should be higher but takes advantage of every loohole out there... No thanks..

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  74. Re:They had to pass Republicans in Congress. by leftie · · Score: 1

    NAFTA and WTO passed Congress because a few Dixiecrats similar to Zell Miller voted with the Republicans in the House and Senate.

    If you are against WTO and NAFTA, you should not be supporting Republicans. You are the one who has been buffaloed.

  75. Yes he does. by khasim · · Score: 1

    The President has no control over the unemployment rate. All he can do is ask Congress to lower taxes or let them raise taxes. Maybe he can give a speech.

    My oh my. I guess the President doesn't also do things like sign subsidies and tariffs and such. What about the budget?

    The President asks for specific taxes and his budget spends that money in specific ways. Both of those affect the job situation.

    I should remind you of what Ross said about a giant sucking sound if NAFTA was approved.

  76. Re:You need to look at what's expected for bare mi by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Yes, I have also slung around 50lbs of plastic crap for three hours in 95$ heat without a break only to be called names by parents who were teaching their kids teh wrong example of how to view hard work. Having done that and now having to work in middle management at an IT shop I can tell you the IT thing is much harder.

    It's tiring, tedious work. I don't think George W. Bush could keep a minimum wage fast food job.

    Nor could Kerry or edwards whats your point?

    lets clear one thing up I have zero hopes for either major party candidate. but if a teenager can do it while going to school (as I did) I dont think a grown man doing it gives him a title of motivated individual..

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  77. Question on that last part. by khasim · · Score: 1

    Gotta say I agree with most of it. Particularly the Euro vs Dollar.

    But that last part about Bush believing in manufacturing. I don't see that. I do see Bush making it more profitable to do the manufacturing overseas. And that annoys me.

    But that's because I do believe that we need a strong manufacturing segment in our country. We take in the cheap raw materials and export the more expensive finished goods.

  78. Re:They had to pass Republicans in Congress. by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

    I suppose you consider Nancy Pelosi a Dixiecrat? Funny, I thought she was from San Francisco.

    Or Nita Lowey, isn't she from New York somewhere???

    Or Anna Eschoo, another Dem from Northern California?

    Or Gerry Studds, isn't he from Massachussetts?

    I don't know what you're smoking, but it's clouded your perception of the world.

    As far as being buffaloed, perhaps you should look in the mirror. At least I can accept reality.

    --
    Caution: Contents under pressure
  79. Don't put words in my mouth. by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    >>So dont you give me crap about not working my way up and not knowing what its like.

    Fine, don't put words in my mouth just so you can pretend you have a point.

    >>If any of those people go home from work and play X-box, or just smoke and watch TV I will absolutly say to them that they are unmotivated..

    Oh, I see. So fast food workers are automatically lazy pot heads? When you were selling trinkets at parades, would you have appreciated being painted with those broad strokes? Is it OK for you to do that, now that you are (presumably) no longer in hard times? Real mature.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Don't put words in my mouth. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      h, I see. So fast food workers are automatically lazy pot heads? When you were selling trinkets at parades, would you have appreciated being painted with those broad strokes?

      Now who is the troll putting word in people mouths. I never said because someone is in fast food I said *IF*

      1. In the event that: If I were to go, I would be late.
      2. Granting that: If that is true, what should we do?
      3. On the condition that: She will play the piano only if she is paid.

      I would put money that some adults who work fast food are infact lazy and unmotivated, I would also put money some IT managers are lazy and unmotivated, I would als bet that there are some Fast Food workers who go home and study to imrpove their situation. Up your dose a bit more..

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  80. Re:They had to pass Republicans in Congress. by leftie · · Score: 1

    Keep up the spinning. You are not fooling anyone else, but with enough spin you might hypnotize yourself into believing it.

  81. Let me give you the benefit of the doubt by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    >>My point is what that because someone works in fast food does not mean they are a motivated adult

    My point is that some people in fast food ARE motivated adults.

    >>its what they do above and beyond to imrpove their situation that matters..

    Of course. One has to work to get ahead. No one disputes that. What I am saying is that there are more "motivated adults" than there are jobs. It sounded to me like you and b-baggins were implying that unemployed and underemployed people are *ALL* lazy. Sure, some fast food workers ARE kids, but some are not.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Let me give you the benefit of the doubt by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      My point is that some people in fast food ARE motivated adults.

      No doubt, that has alwaysbeen the case in every profession

      What I am saying is that there are more "motivated adults" than there are jobs.

      This may or may not be true, all we have on this thread is opions, and extreemly partisan opinion at that. The fact I got jumped on for saying that there is no proof one way or the other if a person is motivated because they are in fast food.

      It sounded to me like you and b-baggins were implying that unemployed and underemployed people are *ALL* lazy.

      Not for a moment, you read the post through partisan eyes. But having worked in library and having a wife who now works part time in a library I can tell you that I did not see many people there reading up on things to better market themselves.

      I believe *in general* Gen-X is lazy (I am a member so I have seen it first hand) They think things should be handed to them, and think because they do the bare minimum they should get 'props'. I blam the boomers who raised them. If the depression generation had the attitude of Boomers/X they all would have starved to death..

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  82. Re:They had to pass Republicans in Congress. by OYAHHH · · Score: 1

    No I'm not fooling anyone. Don't want to, don't claim to. Facts are facts, they certainly are not spin by any means.

    Nancy Pelosi did vote for NAFTA. Just like Bill Clinton did, effectively. Google it. It's right there for all to see.

    If you cannot find it then read the nice paper a student wrote concerning the NAFTA vote:

    http://www.econ.duke.edu/Journals/DJE/dje2000/ph il lips.PDF

    At the bottom you will find who did and did not vote for NAFTA.

    Or just keep your head in the sand and continue to think that there is someone on capital hill who actually gives a damn about you.

    --
    Caution: Contents under pressure
  83. Re:No. Let's look at a single person living on $9, by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    What good is being marketable when there's no market? It doesn't matter how 'motivated' you are if there's no jobs to get.

    It's not realistic to assume that everyone who is underemployed or unemployed is unmotivated. It may be comforting to blame people for their problems but it doesn't make it the case. Sometimes people are at fault and sometimes bad things happen to good people.

    It's a lot easier to "just" get another job for some people than others. A poor person who can't afford college is at a disadvantage to a middle class person who floated through college. The poor person can be twice as "motivated" and still end up flipping burgers while the middle class person gets an entry level job in an office.

    Hell, there aren't even enough Burger-flipping jobs to go around.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  84. Re:No. Let's look at a single person living on $9, by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Markets vary depending on where you live but the following fields are growing:

    Industry 2002 2012 Percent Change
    Software publishers 256 430 68
    consulting services 732 1,137 55 (Management, scientific, and technical)
    elderly/resid care 695 1,078 55
    Computer systems design 1,163 1,798 55
    Employment services 3,249 5,012 54
    rehabilitation serv 1,269 1,867 47
    Ambulatory health care 1,444 2,113 46
    IS, data proc 529 773 46
    Water, sewage 49 71 45
    Child day care 734 1,050 43

    There are jobs to be had and fields that are growing (http://www.collegeboard.com/article/0,3868,4-24-0 -237,00.html)

    It's not realistic to assume that everyone who is underemployed or unemployed is unmotivated.

    Based on what?

    A poor person who can't afford college is at a disadvantage to a middle class person who floated through college.

    They are called student loans, I got them.. I knoew of people who lived off of the in addition to going to school.

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  85. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by the+morgawr · · Score: 1
    Note that social security is not for public purposes

    Yes it is. The idea is that society benefits because we are redistributing wealth to keep old people from burdening their children and dying in the streets because they planned their retirement poorly (Personally I think if someone fails to plan ahead they should get what's comming...). The government is taking your money and giving it to the general public presumably for the benefit of everybody.

    Another way to look at this:

    I pay money in that I will get out

    No you pay in money that someone else takes out today. When you are old someonelse will pay for you (hence my pyramid scheme comment; this plan relies on continual population growth to work); historically, you also don't get out the same value as you put in (because of inflation and other factors). This is why it's a tax, Congress takes money from you and spends it on someone else.

    So they should get free SS?

    No, the tax code however shouldn't penalize them for being poor.

    --
    The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
  86. Re:Why are jobs a Presidential issue? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
    Yes it is. The idea is that society benefits because we are redistributing wealth to keep old people from burdening their children and dying in the streets because they planned their retirement poorly (Personally I think if someone fails to plan ahead they should get what's comming...). The government is taking your money and giving it to the general public presumably for the benefit of everybody.

    No its not about distributing anything. If you pay zero dollars into the system you dont get anything out. You get a statement every october which tracks how much you get in, based on the about you get in you get so much out. You earn credits.

    For example right now If I became disabled I would get more than twice what my wife would get, wanna know why... Because I have put twice as much in as she has.

    No, the tax code however shouldn't penalize them for being poor.

    So they should just do away with SS# the current system does not punish anyone.

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  87. Bush signed law that cost 2 million jobs. by will_die · · Score: 0

    Don't forget that last year at this time President Bush signed the bill into law that caused the lose of up to 2 million jobs.

  88. all the mattresses at the bank by toiletmonster · · Score: 1

    Lowering taxes for the rich only make rich people richer. Poorer people are the ones who spend their tax credits not the rich people.

    i couldn't agree more. for example, i'm a rich fsck and i never buy anything. why just yesterday i got on my lear jet (which i didn't buy, i just inherited it) and flew down to the caymen islands to deposit my enormous paycheck (which i don't deserve -- i just got really lucky one day and somehow luckily got this great job where i don't really do anything except look out my big window and occasionally fire people after outsourcing their job to a 5 year old girl in bangladesh who would be far happier if she were still at home starving and too weak to swat at the flies in her nose but is instead slaving away in my corporate air conditioned sweat shop call center). i rolled my wheelbarrow (i inherited that too) full of $100 bills up to the teller and told her to be sure and place my money under a nice king sized serta mattress and not some cheapo little air mattress from kmart or whatever store the lower classes shop at down there in the caymen's.

    clue: the bank takes you're money and invests it in the market (ie other companies) and those companies take the money and either hire people or buy equipment or give it to their "benedict arnold" ceo who --guess what? puts it in the bank!

  89. heh by toiletmonster · · Score: 1

    that was funny. :)

  90. LBF by cyranoVR · · Score: 1

    Hm? LGF isn't a white supremacist site.

    Obviously, that comment was toungue-in-cheek (although from what I understand, LGF comments are an entirely different matter).

    [Ok, now I have to ruin the joke by explaining it]

    I understand the gist of LGF is: Muslim culture is corrupt (or whatever) and many terrorists commit acts in the

    Although it's not a 1-to-1 analogy, a similar justification was used for persecuting the Jewish people in the 20th century - i.e. that many (literally) bomb-throwing Socialists/Anarchists/Communists happened to be Jewish.

    Similarly, certain people are using the acts of a violent minority to characterize an entire people or religion. Obviously, this is - for lack of a better word - retarded.

    Again, as I understand it, LGF commenters regularly evoke images of mass-slaughter of Muslims - something the site's proprieter condones while regularly deleting blocking criticism of the same. So, while it's not as bad as an overtly racist site like Stormfront or whatever, it still is in the same direction - i.e. bigoted/small-minded

  91. I have that question, too. by khasim · · Score: 1

    I'm told that the unemployment numbers come from surveys, not unemployment checks.

    But no one I know has ever been surveyed about that. I find it very interesting.

  92. Thanks, I'm going over here now by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    I wrote what's below first, but screw it, b-baggins was just spinning against KTD's original post. You backed b-baggins up when leftie stood up to him, and I'm going to back up leftie. KTD's original statement was a mild observation that the unemployed have motivation to vote. The "partisan" implication being that unemployed voters are not likely to vote for bush. B-baggins just couldn't deal with the fact that someone made an insightful statement that detracted from his conservative leanings so he posted some childish sniping about "truly motivated people already having jobs". We can argue all day about whether low-wage jobs are equitable or fast food workers do things to get ahead. But it's about the fact that conservatives push partisan positions while crying "partisan liberal!" and "liberal bias!". B-baggins crudely undercut a perfectly valid observation with a nyah nyah, you won't get any votes attitude. And that's just supposed to get swept under the rug because republicans are at ease bullying and harranguing. Well, The Hell With That! And right here is where I'd say something insulting, if I were Ann Coulter, Bill O'Reilly, Sean Hannity, or Rush Limbaugh, not to mention most other "conservative talk show" hosts. I really want to. But I won't. I am, however, going to make a nuisance of myself every time I see this shit happen. Fucking A, I can't believe how much shit you republicans get away with by just making vague implications and flippantly dismissing anything inconvenient. Can't you see what's happening?!?!??! Don't you know that Bush is ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE worse than any president, ever? Of course not. That's not in the republican party message that's echoed unaltered through the major media. So I'll inform you right now, he's a god damn traitor! He's screwing the government, the country, he's screwing the whole world! Jesus Christ on a rubber crutch! Ten years from now this country is going to be in the GUTTER and it'll be bush's fault, but we won't be able to do anything about it, then. And because of people like you and b-baggins, we run a 50-50 chance of being able to do something about it now! We are making more enemies than we need! GODFUCKINGDAMNITMOTHERFUCKINGASSHOLEBITCHWHORES!!! ! AAAAAAA@!!!!! FUCK! YOU're DOOMING US ALL!!!!!

    And now, for something completely different.

    >>The fact I got jumped on for saying that there is no proof one way or the other if a person is motivated because they are in fast food.

    >>>>It sounded to me like you and b-baggins were implying that unemployed and underemployed people are *ALL* lazy.

    >>Not for a moment, you read the post through partisan eyes.

    Sorry for jumping on you then. You appeared to be supporting b-baggins in the implication that truly motivated people are not unemployed. Actually, I'll level with you; this post made a slight observation that "The most motivated people at the polls this election will be the ones without a job... As they should be. The rest of us with jobs will just decide our candidate based upon other issues." The response, "Don't count on it. The truly motivated people are already working." really bothered me. Plus I know b-baggins is a raging zealot conservative(oh, Nietzche.. if you fight monsters, take care not to become a monster), and I recognized you as conservative as well. Frankly, I've seen so much wierd bush glorifying *stuff* on slashdot lately it's driving me to zealotry myself. Damn, I'll admit that I stepped over the line. Sorry. But I just can't bring myself to identify with you. Our values are just too different. I can't not feel compassion for the poor person who's gone from $30k a year to $12k a year, or $0k for that matter. I can't help disagreeing with most things that come off of republican lips. One time I heard that there were conserva

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Thanks, I'm going over here now by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      I wrote what's below first, but screw it, b-baggins was just spinning against KTD's original post. You backed b-baggins up when leftie stood up to him, and I'm going to back up leftie.

      Of course, becuase its better to blindly attack someone you disagree with than actually have a discussion..

      Lets follow the conversation...

      b-b: Don't count on it. The truly motivated people are already working.
      Left:It's hard work being a truly motivated fast food employee. It's hard work trying not to get sick when you have no health insurance. (notice here that leftie just questioned the motivation of fast food employee's)
      b-b: A highly motivated fast food employee is a high school or college kid under his parents' insurance. A highly motivated adult manages a fast food restaurant and hires high school and college kids.
      left:There is no evidence supporting your claim. Ok short summary LEftie said its hard for a fast food employee to be motivated, b-b said that the motived ones are the teens, and leftie asked where was his proof, my responce was
      N3W:His claim that motivated teenagers work fast food or that motivated adults manage fast food? How is the any lsee substancial than your claim?

      Im pointing out both claims are absolut partisan bullcrap! And I did it without personally insulting either of them.

      To this you jump in: For starters, he's full of shit. It's idiocy to imply that anyone who works fast food and isn't young is not motivated. And neither you nor he have the balls to go into a McDonalds and say what you say here. QUIT TROLLING!

      So you jump in and insult b-b (the first insult on the thread), and call me a troll (and still can not point out how my post was a troll.

      And that's just supposed to get swept under the rug because republicans are at ease bullying and harranguing.

      The first person to insult, curse, and demand the other party shut up was you... sounds like a bully..

      Fucking A, I can't believe how much shit you republicans get away with by just making vague implications and flippantly dismissing anything inconvenient.

      You mean like conservatives are evil bastards? it cuts both ways, you are as intolerant an abrasive to anyone who disagrees with you as you accuse me of being.

      Don't you know that Bush is ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE worse than any president, ever? Of course not.

      Are you illerate or just plain lazy, yes I am a conservative, and no I am not voting for Bush because I feel at best hes a below average president. I am also not voting for Kerry because the man (and his running mate) condem corporate loopholes at the same time they use them.

      Ten years from now this country is going to be in the GUTTER and it'll be bush's fault, but we won't be able to do anything about it, then.

      This is exactly what I mean by things are too partisan, the damage being done is being done by both parties. The Democrats have voted more than 50% of their numbers to any Bush policy for four years. Kerry voted for the Patriot act, NCLB, the Tax Cut, The Medicare Tax increase, ..... Are you starting to see a pattern?

      And because of people like you and b-baggins, we run a 50-50 chance of being able to do something about it now! We are making more enemies than we need!

      Sign it almost makes me want to vote for bush when people like you condem me for being a conservative and assume the 50% of people who disagree with you are evil and maybe not just wrong...

      The moderation on slashdot has become heavily conservative lately. And mostly it's emotional battling; liberal views modded troll and flamebait when in fact expressing a valid point because they were inconvenient to conservatives.

      Its going both ways I have been modded troll (hell you tried to call me out on this thread) because I disagree with you... 'hold all conservatives responsable' get a life you are the only extreemest on this thread..

      --
  93. Economists say a lot of things. by phyruxus · · Score: 1

    Harvard's economists say Bush sucks. Isn't Harvard like, where all the really smart people go?

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
    1. Re:Economists say a lot of things. by Your_Mom · · Score: 1

      You mean the place that Bush went? Yes. *grin*

      --
      Objects in the blog are closer then they ap
  94. I retract my statement of "trolling" by phyruxus · · Score: 1

    Sorry N3WBI3, you're not a troll. I take it back. I still take issue with b-baggins, and I still stand with leftie. But you weren't trolling or baiting... although I don't see things the way you do. But you're not a troll and I'm sorry I called you one.

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  95. whatever by phyruxus · · Score: 1
    Don't count on 150,000 unemployed people voting their conscience? Probably not for Bush? Sorry, I think I will count on it. And so will the ballot counters. Grandparent is much more insightful than your implication that unemployed=unmotivated.

    Damn, that was easier to come up with than I thought. Sorry, N3WBI3. Hey leftie, N3WBI3 isn't pro Bush! :) Hey b-baggins, Harvard says Bush is screwing the economy. And there's still no WMD :O

    --
    "A witty saying proves nothing." ~Voltaire
    "d'Oh!" ~Homer
  96. How many of these new jobs are in debt collection? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    How many of these new jobs are in debt collection? Everywhere I read about downsizing or outsourcing to india / china. Even tourism to/from the U.S. is way down. Some of my contacts in the U.S. claim that most "new" jobs are debt collection and that joblessness only appears to go down because those that are unemployed too long are not counted in the statistics.

    Can anyone provide insight or references for these positions?

  97. Unemployment count is useless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It only counts the people with unemployment benefits, once they run out they don't get counted, the unemployed number is much higher than reported.