Zogby Claims Mobile-Only Voters Swing to Kerry
Zogby released a poll yesterday that showed the ill-counted mobile-phone-only voters heavily in favor of Kerry over Bush. It should be noted that all participants opted in to the survey through a site run by Democrats, making the results non-random and therefore highly suspect. Further, the results tracked very closely ("virtually identical") to other polls run of the same age group, which means that if the results are to be trusted, mobile-only users in this age group are not any different from other voters in this age group, and their exclusion from those other polls is insignificant.
The big question, as always with this age group, is still turnout. Zogby predicts the group accounts for 12% or more(!) of the electorate, so they could play a huge factor in determining the election. And Zogby adds (which you conveniently left off) that there are zero undecideds. Suspect or not, Zogby declares that to mean "this group is definitely going to vote."
Don't be so quick to discount this poll.
Or is it Motorola that counts as "The Democrats" for this particular campaign?
Or is this just a "Republicans would never encourage people to vote, therefore it's those lousy Democrats that are behind it" thing?
You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
Yup, things are looking good for the good guys.