Slate Posts Top-Secret Exit Polling Numbers
cmdr_beeftaco writes "Slate is running an ongoing commentary with the raw exit-poll data from the National Election Pool consortium owned by the Associated Press and the five television networks (CBS, ABC, NBC, Fox, and CNN) to their news divisions and to the newsrooms of NEP subscribers-big city newspapers and other broadcasters. 'The paid users of exit-poll data have signed a blood oath not to divulge it to unauthorized eyes, and the networks have promised not to call any states before their polls close. Slate believes its readers should know as much about the unfolding election as the anchors and other journalists, so given the proviso that the early numbers are no more conclusive than the midpoint score of a baseball game, we're publishing the exit-poll numbers as we receive them.'"
There's also constant updates at race2004.net
"Afternoon Exit Polls - The latest batch.
By Jack Shafer - Updated Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2004, at 2:29 PM PT - The 4 p.m. ET exit-poll numbers:
Florida - Kerry 52 - Bush 48
Ohio - Kerry 52 - Bush 47
Michigan - Kerry 51 - Bush 48
Pennsylvania - Kerry 58 - Bush 42
Iowa - Kerry 50 - Bush 48
Wisconsin - Kerry 53 - Bush 47
Minnesota - Kerry 57 - Bush 42
New Hampshire - Kerry 58 - Bush 41
Maine - Kerry 55 - Bush 44
New Mexico - Kerry 49 - Bush 49
Nevada - Kerry 48 - Bush 49
Colorado - Kerry 49 - Bush 50
Arkansas - Kerry 45 - Bush 54
North Carolina - Kerry 47 - Bush 53"
It's still too early to be sure about anything, but this is a lot better than i've been fearing for the past few weeks.
This Space Intentionally Left Blank
Zogby has already called it for Kerry 311 to 213.
Early results/predictions are interesting, but that's all.
Election results: early or accurate, pick one.
Take these with a grain of salt but here you go:
5PM EST exit polls... From an email sent by a Demo staffer on the Hill.
PRESIDENTIAL
FLorida: Kerry up by four
Ohio: Kerry up by five
Michigan: Kerry up by four
Pennsyvlania: Kerry up by 16
Iowa: Kerry up by 2
Wisconsin: Kerry up by 5
Minnesota: Kerry up by 15
Nevada: Bush up by one
New Mexico: tied at 49
Virginia: Bush up by one
North Carolina: Bush up by 5
Maine: 55-44 Kerry, with Kerry winning both congressional districts avoiding an electoral college split.
Colorado: Kerry inched up to 51-49 lead as of 3 pm
Chew: You Nexus, huh? I design your eyes.
Roy: Chew, if only you could see what I've seen with your eyes.
Especially if they call it in favor of the liberal AGAIN and are wrong AGAIN.
When did that happen? I just remember 2000, when they called it for George Bush (who is a republican, but most emphatically not conservative).
In 2000, they called Florida for Gore prematurely, while the polls in Florida were still open. (They switched to Bush during the night.)
Wolf Blitzer, Larry King etc. were talking about that mess just now on CNN, and how that was an embarassing mistake.
This year, they waited untill all the polls in the state closed, before calling the state. And now they will be more careful, looking more closely at the actual vote numbers and having three possible outcomes: Bush, Kerry or Too close to call.
I see the mods have been watching F911 along with the rest of the world.
Irene KHAAAAAAN!