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2004 MN4, Even Higher Probability

Posted by timothy on from the keep-your-will-in-order dept.

phreakuencies writes "Worried since the recent post about the MN4 2004 asteroid, I added a bookmark to its 'impact risk' section at NASA. The asteroid started as having a 1/233 probability of hitting earth. Later it raised to 1/63. Daily computations made on 25 Dec raised its chances up to 1/45. Optimists can now say it has a 97.8% probability of missing earth." And Veteran writes " NeoDys offers the 'Orbfit' software package (source code released under the GPL) which can be used to get a pre-release view of the situation with Asteroid 2004MN4."

3 of 524 comments (clear)

  1. Well, I'm glad Bush is in power by Nine+Tenths+of+The+W · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I can't think of a better person than a strict fundamentalist to start working on averting an Act of God...er, I mean a natural catastrophe.

    --
    Slashdot: News for Nerds, Stuff that matters only to them
  2. Om...this doesn't look good but... by ChangeOnInstall · · Score: 0, Redundant

    They just upped the chance of impact significantly...I can't believe this isn't making bigger news!

    Updated Impact Probability

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    What has *science* done?!? -- Dr. Weird (ATHF)
  3. It now has a 99.99% chance to hit earth by waynegoode · · Score: 0, Redundant
    The odds of it hitting earth are now at 99.99%.

    Or, if you prefer, they are now at 1 in 1,000,000.

    Has anyone else looked closely at the 1/45 URL?