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2004 MN4, Even Higher Probability
phreakuencies writes "Worried since the recent post about the MN4 2004 asteroid, I added a bookmark to its 'impact risk' section at NASA. The asteroid started as having a 1/233 probability of hitting earth. Later it raised to 1/63. Daily computations made on 25 Dec raised its chances up to 1/45. Optimists can now say it has a 97.8% probability of missing earth." And Veteran writes " NeoDys offers the 'Orbfit' software package (source code released under the GPL) which can be used to get a pre-release view of the situation with Asteroid 2004MN4."
Which will come first, 2004 MN4 asteroid, or
Duke Nukem Forever?
At first I thought it says " it has a 97.8% probability of hitting earth"
Good thing i read it over again.
Come on, bring on the jokes about Nuke Dukem Forever. :)
'nuff said
Fight hunger. Filet a politician and send him to a 3rd world country of your choice.
If this trend continues, expect an impact in another 4629 hours, or about 193 days!
It's going to be one hot summer...
;-)
> You know in all those movies where some guy, sometimes just an amateur scientist, sees something in his telescope/seismograph/thermometer/disease-modelin
> That doesn't happen.
You're with the agency that makes those guys disappear, aren't you.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
I, for one, will give 100,000-to-1 odds that the favorite, earth, will survive 2004 MN4. Paypal accepted.
Yeah, Han and the gang are going to trick Darth into moving the Deathstar right into the path of it. Then the DoD will claim it to be a Two for One event.
Considering the 2004 US Presidential Elections, it'd be pretty damn ironic if it hit Ohio.
Wonder how the Christian fundamentalists in America would spind THAT.
I guess I don't need to worry about my social security afterall!!!
That calculation has a 1 in 1 chance of being wrong.
Believing something doesn't make it true. Not believing something doesn't make it false.
Pfft. Before that can ever happen, I think we all know that the Stargate team would be able to send the asteroid into hyperspace for just a few seconds, coming out on the other side of the planet (and thus missing it).
Like Teddy with an elephant gun.
Dude, Stargate isn't real.
In all seriousness we all know Captain Kirk will find a Klingon bird of pray, fly around the sun to go back in time to get some Wales and snicker bars, then fly out to the asteroid and offer the Snickers bars to the asteroid to get it to not destroy us, while scotty cooks up some wonderful roasted whale to celebrate the saving of the earth.
First thing Monday morning, talk to bank about refinancing house with a 25-year balloon mortgage.
Crivens! At least we now know why to welcome our new absinth overlord that day.
"Nae Kin! Nae Quin! Nae laird! Nae master! We willna be fooled again!"
Look, the chances are now 1 in 2!!!
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ip?0.5e-0
Actually, it's not. The URL just lets you plug in any scientific notation number. Hope I didn't alarm you too much. =)
One more reason for not having kids:)
0x or or snor perron?!
"What's everyone so worked up about? So there's a comet, big deal. It'll burn up in our atmosphere and what's ever left will be no bigger than a Chihuahua's head." - Homer Simpson, 2F11, Bart's Comet
Meh, what do I care? I live in Albuquerque...
Bring on the tidal waves, bitches!
-30-
Over the hill Bruce Willis won't be able to save us this time...
I agree. Only external threat is able to unite the whole Earth. Sad, but I believe it's true.
- Arwen, I'm your father, Agent Smith.
- Well, you're just Smith, but my father is Aerosmith!
Not so! Most of the Earth's surface is OCEAN. That means there's a 2/3 probability it will hit the ocean.
Oh, great. Just what we need. Even FEWER blue states. Terrific.
'It'd sure suck for everyone within 100km of the impact site'
Dude, it's above your house..
We'll get some real big speakers and broadcast their voice. The accents will be so inscrutable, that we'll confuse the asteroid into reversing its course.
Marxism is the opiate of dumbasses
I think it would take an election.
Just be glad that Bush won't be the president at the time. If it did hit, in US soil no less, then he'd start pouring billions per month into NASA for the development of spacecraft to fight the alien 'terrorists' who threw that asteroid at America.
Clearly it was the bugs!
When it is going to hit (if it does) is known down to minutes NOW. That and knowing which way it is coming from allows us to exclude half the planet from worries other than climatic. As someone has already pointed out, that means both NY city and Texas are safe from this rock.
Sweet. I'm safe. Next article!
Haida Manga
check it out here.
that must be the lamest cgi script i've seen in my life...