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Canadian Spam Levels - Up? Down? You Be the Judge

spamfighter writes "Survey firm Ipsos-Reid has taken the interesting stance that spam to Canadians has been attenuated by 20% because of the federal privacy law PIPEDA which is so fearsome in nature that is scares off even the biggest- baddest spammers in other countries. CAUCE Canada has their doubts."

37 of 203 comments (clear)

  1. Story of Deep Well by fembots · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While numbers can be deceiving, I do believe tougher law will prevent crimes.

    I remember reading a Chinese story about an emperor visiting a village with a very deep well. He asked one of the villagers if anyone had fallen into the well. The answer was no, because the well is so deep and everybody knows that, so no one has ever been careless enough to fall into it.

    And back to the reality, one of the games that I'm involved in has recently introduced a "crime in the city" feature, and many players have been attacked as a result. However, as soon as the first criminal was arrested and mourned about the harsh punishment of being caught (lost points, jail time and whatnot), crime rate drops almost instantly.

    Having said all these, sometimes I think the law is not tough enough because we do not yet know how to effectively identify and prosecute the offenders.

    By the way, the easter egg that I mentioned here few weeks ago still has not been discovered...

    1. Re:Story of Deep Well by mattkime · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While numbers can be deceiving, I do believe tougher law will prevent crimes.

      Case in point: The War on Drugs

      --
      Know what I like about atheists? I've yet to meet one that believes God is on their side.
    2. Re:Story of Deep Well by Drishmung · · Score: 4, Insightful
      sometimes I think the law is not tough enough because we do not yet know how to effectively identify and prosecute the offenders

      The law is tough, and becoming tougher, because we do not yet know how to effectively identify and prosecute the offenders.

      Spammers (as a generalisation), do it for financial reward. Negative reward is applied in the form of laws against spam. However, the chance of being caught is so low, that this is no real disincentive. Thus, in order to make it not worthwhile to spam, we have to either

      1. Raise the probability of being caught and punished
      2. Apply higher penalties

      Eventually, a rational spammer will decide that penalty×prob_penalty_being_applied > profit, and will give up.

      Since prob_penalty_being_applied is currently so low, the tempation is to make penalty very high.

      But that has its own risks. Remember, you might as well be hung for a sheep as for a lamb. Draconian penalties usually result in offenders who 'shoot back'. A spammer facing 25 years as a guest of the authorities, might just be willing to take fairly extreme methods to avoid prosecution.

      --
      Protoplasm. Quiet Protoplasm. I like quiet protoplasm.
    3. Re:Story of Deep Well by utlemming · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The war on drugs analogy doesnt work as it essentially targets 99% of the population at one time or the other.
      While I don't mean to be a prick, I have to disagree with you on the issue of most people having done drugs. Out of my peers, none of us have done illegal drugs once. Now, I am in a religiously conservative area, but to say that most is flat wrong. It may be according to your world view, but for most I would say they haven't.

      However, I agree with you on the scope of the legislation. Since there is a smaller group of people doing spamming than doing drugs, it does help. But you also have to take into account the fact that drug groups are specifically designed, organized and have become effective at avoiding law enforcment. Spammers on the other hand, are a whole lot easier to catch -- there are ways to detect where the spam is comming from and gather evidence is easier (there is only a limited way that spam can get into a country, where there are thousands of ways that drugs can find their way into a country). But to compare the two is like comparing apples and organges.

      --
      The views expressed are mine own and do not express the views of my employer.
    4. Re:Story of Deep Well by Dhalka226 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not only "most," but 99%! That's a hell of a statement. And apparently despite the crippling hyperbole and absolutely no hard facts to back it up, he's +5.

      I remember a couple of years ago holding many /. posters' opinions in awe. They seemed so well thought-out and reasonable. Now I see the moderation system works based on group-think. I wonder if I've grown up or slashdot has really degenerated that far. Live and learn I guess, either way.

      Mod offtopic as you wish.

    5. Re:Story of Deep Well by back_pages · · Score: 2, Informative
      As your other reply indicates, it appears that the number is less than 50%.

      Ref I found

      I agree entirely with your sentiment about Slashdot, however. I used to think it was a great forum where you could find expert opinions on all sorts of technology and science, but now that I'm a few years further down the path to being an expert myself, I recognize that there's practically nothing of value here. I continue to read it primarily out of habit.

    6. Re:Story of Deep Well by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you ever carried a prescription drug into a public school and never reported it to the administration? Have you ever taken a claritin or some other prescription drug from a friend? Have you ever seen drug use and not reported it to the authorities?

      Drug laws and "the war on drugs" is not just about taking drugs, there's a whole messy body of law both on the federal and state level that turns most people into criminals (if caught and prosecuted).

    7. Re:Story of Deep Well by sfjoe · · Score: 2, Informative

      The war on drugs analogy doesnt work as it essentially targets 99% of the population at one time or the other.

      It's a bit more complicated than that. Study after study has shown that the most effective deterrent to crime is not tougher penalties but a higher likelihood of being caught. So many people do drugs, sex and gambling that it is nearly impossible to catch even a reasonably large percentage of the "criminals".
      It remains to be seen if spammers face a high likelihood of being caught.

      --
      It's simple: I demand prosecution for torture.
    8. Re:Story of Deep Well by jjeffries · · Score: 2, Funny
      Not only "most," but 99%! That's a hell of a statement.

      Perhaps not, if we're still talking aboot Canada...

    9. Re:Story of Deep Well by 123abc987 · · Score: 2

      Oh well, 87% of statistics are made up anyway.

  2. Canadians celebrated today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    As news reached their frozen ears that for the first time, someone somewhere was afraid of something Canadian. "Eh?" said one Canadian.

    1. Re:Canadians celebrated today by ari_j · · Score: 2, Funny

      Put back on your tinfoil toque, eh!

  3. Reward the spammers by Eternally+optimistic · · Score: 3, Funny

    The old russian model springs to mind, where certain kinds of criminals where rewarded with extended action-oriented vacations in beautiful Siberia. Canada has large expanses of very simular real estate.

    --
    What keeps me going is my inertia.
  4. law and filters by dirvish · · Score: 4, Informative

    They also contribute the decrease to an increased use of spam filters by individuals and businesses: "New privacy laws and the use of spam filters by individuals and Internet providers helped lower the amount of unsolicited e-mail to 49 per cent of all electronic mail, down from 68 per cent in 2003." So, there might be just as much spam being sent...Canadians just aren't seeing as much because they are using filters.

    1. Re:law and filters by rs79 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The "average" Jane and John Doe is not a great metric; many ISP's do a reasonable job of spam filtering. Try an unfiltered box and look at traffic patters for a year for an accurate measurement. Users perceptions are not a reliable indication.

      I'm in Canada and my filters are pretty simple. Spam was down a bit after xmas, but in the last two weeks it's about doubled. Again.

      I get more than I did a year ago.

      So, no, I would not by any stretch say spam is down. But I am getting much more efficient at deleteing it. Practice makes perfect and all that.

      Some of my email addresses are 20 years old now. I probably get more than my share.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    2. Re:law and filters by kent_eh · · Score: 2, Informative
      attribute the decrease to an increased use of spam filters by individuals and businesses

      That's the answer I would offer as well.

      The major ISPs are offering spam filtering at the server, so the end user never sees 98% of it (unless they disable the filtering).


      My ISP is Shaw, and they have a (no extra fee) filter that users can configure from a web page. Either no filtering, identify spam and tag it,but allow download, or auto-delete the spam as it arrives.

      When it was first ofered, I ran with the "tag-and-keep" option for a couple of months, and didn't notice any false positives. I've since switched to the "kill-on-the-server" oprion, and only see 4-5 spams a week.


      I have heard that Sympatico and Rogers also offer similar filtering. Gmail and Yahoo have filters.


      If the users aren't seeing the spam, "obviously" the problem is decreasing...

      --

      ---
      "I can't complain, but sometimes still do..." Joe Walsh
    3. Re:law and filters by BrokenHalo · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Canadians just aren't seeing as much because they are using filters.

      I guess you could probably say that for everybody. I'm not Canadian, so I'm not sure this statistic would apply, but 99.2% of the spam I get here in Australia originates from the US.

      Obviously it is not possible or practicable for me to "go after" a spammer in another country, and I'm sure they are perfectly aware of that, and count on it. In a frontierless world such as the internet, laws such as this are only effective if every nation has and enforces them.

      Otherwise, perhaps a few public, painful and messy executions would probably be a more effective deterrent.

  5. ... no, try again. by meisenst · · Score: 4, Informative

    Speaking solely as a Canadian citizen, I get more spam today than I ever have in the past. This has nothing to do with the propagation (or lack thereof) of any law, but more the fact that my email address (or one of my email addresses, many of which forward) has been out on the Internet in lists and such for years now.

    While the lists propagate, so will the spam. One of these days, whatever list(s) I am on may stop circulating, but I'm not holding my breath.

    --
    Green's Law of Debate: Anything is possible if you don't know what you're talking about.
    1. Re:... no, try again. by mrbcs · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Same email addy for 5 years.
      .ca domain.
      100 messages a day.

      5 real ones. 95 spam.

      P.S. Canadian privacy laws are a freakin joke. You can't find out the balance of my chequing account, but the Americans can find out anything they want if any of the companies I deal with are an American subsidiary. HA! Privacy... sure.

      --
      I'm not anti-social, I'm anti-idiot.
  6. Dear Parent... by yuriismaster · · Score: 4, Funny

    I have found a grammatical error in your not-so-excellent post.

  7. Privacy is subjective by Pan+T.+Hose · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Please keep in mind that Canadian privacy laws are very different than those in both US and EU, so I recommend reding PrivacyInfo.ca by Professor Michael Geist (University of Ottawa's Faculty of Law). Knowing the most important differences is essential to fully understand the issues in question so you will save a lot of time if you read about both Federal Privacy Legislation and Provincial Privacy Legislation first. The article linked in this story makes much less sense without appropriate background.

    --
    Sincerely,
    Pan Tarhei Hosé, PhD.
    "Homo sum et cogito ergo odi profanum vulgus et libido."
  8. Not a chance. by DaCool42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I work in the IT field for a large Canadian company. The amount of spam we get is slowly but steady increasing. Currently somewhere around 98% of all the mail we get is "Junk" (spam, invalid recipients, improper smtp protocol, etc). Looking at our mail server graphs shows a definite upward trend in both overall "Junk" and confirmed spam.

    --

    ----
    All of whose base are belong to the what-now?
  9. Exchange Rates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    A free iPod in the US is actually $15.43 in Canada at the current exchange rate.

    1. Re:Exchange Rates by gnuman99 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, but a year ago it was $30, at a former exchange rate :P

  10. Unlikely by Dachannien · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Considering that Canadians, like anybody else, can have e-mail addresses that don't end in .ca, there's no way for spammers to know that they're not spamming Canadians. If Canadian laws were having an impact on spam, it would seem that the rest of us would experience a decrease in spam as well.

  11. Canadian University blocked AOL by adachan · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I am an American living in Canada and I need to deal with some US ISPs. For example, my father uses AOL for email. I use Shaw -- I am not sure there actually is another cable service provider in Canada -- and when I first moved here I was unable to send or recieve email from or to my father.

    I later found out that some of my Japanese friends that use AOL accounts couldnt get my email and I couldnt get theirs.

    This has since changed, and I can now get email from them and they can recieve mine. I found this to be really annoying at the time, but I did get much less spam on my canadian email accounts than on my US accounts.

    A final note is that there is a difference between the amount of spam I get on University accounts in the US and Canada. I have 3 accounts at US univeristies and 1 in Canada. The accounts in the US get more than 50 spams a day. The Canadian one has never even recieved 1!!! This seems impressive, however, I think that someone is just stealing the outlook domain listings at US universities and selling them, this doesnt seem to be a problem yet here. Either that or they have the best spam filter I have ever seen. Cant figure it out.

  12. Down for me by khendron · · Score: 2, Informative

    I Am Canadian, and I can report that my spam at work has decreased significantly. The amount of spam I received peaked at about 200 per day a couple months ago, and then over a period of about 4 weeks dropped to to less than 100 per day.

    I don't know why. It's not being blocked by our servers because the spam filter at work only tags spam, it doesn't block it.

    --
    Life is like a web application. Sometime you need cookies just to get by.
  13. Being a lowly federal civil servant by WormholeFiend · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think it was last week or two weeks ago, I opened one of the many emails in my inbox at work, which was about the spam problem.

    Long story short, from what I read, I think that when spam reaches the point where it's impossible for the government to effectively use the current email infrastructure, someone somewhere is going to call in the Mounties, no doot aboot it, eh.

  14. Like spammers know who they're targetting by Xugumad · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have an e-mail address that ends in .ac.uk (UK academic), and still most of my spam is for offers that only apply to the US (pills from Canadian pharmacies being the most popular at the moment, it seems). That, and a lot of offers of a degree, which I really wouldn't expect if these were targetted (nearly everyone with a .ac.uk address either has a degree, or is working on getting a real degree).

    As such, I find it very hard to believe they're avoiding spamming Canadians.

  15. Spam has increased. by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Spam has definitely increased. Blocklist hits on a server have increased at least 20% during the last six months, and yet more spam makes it through the blocklists, which makes updating the manual blocklist an almost daily chore.

    A law is due soon, and given the number of zombies, it should make ISPs liable if they do not disconnect trojaned customers in due time.

    There is no excuse for letting a trojaned computer on the Internet, it is a major nuisance. Punitive disconnection ought to be a good way of clueing-in john Q. Bozo in properly running a computer.

    Vidéoétron is notoriously clueless when it comes to zombie, making it's networks one of the filthiest cesspools. By contrast, Stupidico blocked port 25 a long time ago, so almost no spam emanates from their network.

  16. Running Several Servers by Exter-C · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I run several servers with a few businesses etc hosting their email across the board I probably have 400 users give or take 20. In recent months the spam problem was getting worse and worse. I have had spamassassin and other software running on the system to mark the messages as spam but the over all problem wasnt resolved and it kept getting worse. I have since changed the way that our servers operate by using RBL firewalls across the board with several different RBLs including spamhaus, sorbs, spamcop and dsbl. Since taking that action the spam has dropped from just under a million emails marked as spam a month to around 34000. That is a huge drop in spam. I also log all connections that are refused because of RBLs so that I can see if there are any bad entries if anyone complains about failed email delivery. All in all the amount of emails being rejected has also been falling as the "spammers" and other "bulk email" providers that are listed on the RBLs and have users emails remove the emails from the lists they are using.

    Its not a perfect solution but it has reduced it to such an extent that the servers are now performing much better. Customers are more happy, spammers get screwed and everyone lives happily ever after.

  17. fortune says: by nsaneinside · · Score: 2, Funny
    greenrd's law
    Evey post disparaging someone else's spelling or grammar, or lauding
    one's own spelling or grammar, will inevitably contain a spelling or
    grammatical error.
    -- greenrd in http://www.kuro5hin.org/comments/2002/4/16/61744/5 230?pid=5#6
  18. Re:From The... by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2, Funny
    My ex has a fabulous series of photos of a moose mounting her mom's Honda Civic. Also photos of the mess after. This was in Banff. Moose in heat are not very rational.

    --
    "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
  19. Canadian Spam? by BeneathTheVeil · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well, I certainly have seen less spam about hockey and Tim Hortons... so yeah, I guess there has been a decrease. :P

    Disclaimer: I am Canadian.

    Disclaimer's Disclaimer: I am not advocating that crappy beer.

  20. Re:Read by Dachannien · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No mod points today, huh?

    I did read the article, and I don't see how it makes any difference with respect to my earlier comment whether the law applies to brokering in e-mail addresses or sending spam to them. People can't say with any certainty whether an e-mail address belongs to a Canadian or not. If Canadian laws were having an impact, then spammers would be less likely to swap *or* spam e-mail addresses in general, and all of us regardless of nationality could expect our inboxes to be less abused.

    In fact, the assertion discussed/refuted by the OP was that Canadian laws were having an effect on spamming, whether direct or indirect. Seems reasonable to me that even if PIPEDA is designed only to restrict brokering in e-mail addresses, the difference really isn't relevant since the assertion is plainly about the receipt of spam.

  21. Basis by Sheepdot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't claim to be an expert on this, but I'd have to say there's a few good reasons for this.

    1. Canadians Internet users, on average, are probably a bit more tech-savvy than USians, meaning they have a lower response rate than Americans. (See NOTE, below)

    2. Canadians with email addresses don't always use .com, .net, .org. Instead they use .ca and I would guess the .de (Germans) folks get comparable amounts of spam when compared to the US for the same reason.

    3. Canadians probably don't report spam as often. Basically, they may receive the same amounts, but they aren't surveyed as often as USians on how much they hate spam.

    NOTE: I don't want to offend anyone by saying Canadians are smarter on average (esp. since I'm not Canadian myself!), but you have to keep in mind the sheer number of USians that have email addresses compared to those in Canada.

    In the US, everyone and their dog has an email address and webpage. In Canada, I find it hard to believe that Ma and Pa Smith have email addresses, or, if they do, at no higher a rate than Ma and Pa Smith in the US Midwest.

    Maybe "average" isn't as good a word as "median", too.

  22. My Canadian spam levels by bigberk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Your guess is as good as mine whether this data is worth anything, but daily mail volume for these stats is about 1,000 emails daily. The spam "level" is an index computed by our mail server.

    July, 2004....21.7
    Aug, 2004.....24.5
    Sept, 2004....23.2
    Oct, 2004.....27.1
    Nov, 2004.....24.2
    Dec, 2004.....29.6
    Jan, 2005.....26.1
    Feb, 2005.....29.6