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Microsoft Misses Quarterly Revenue Projection

monsterhead78 wrote to alert us to a BusinessWeek article discussing Microsoft's uncharacteristic miss of its own fiscal projections for the third quarter. From the article: "Three months ago, the software giant said it expected revenue for the period to come in between $9.7 billion and $9.8 billion. But when the company released results Apr. 28, it came up short. Microsoft (MSFT ) rang up just $9.62 billion in sales, a 5% increase from the year-ago quarter."

30 of 327 comments (clear)

  1. What! The Street loved the results by winkydink · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Here's an excerpt from the AP feed:
    Microsoft shares rose 85 cents, or 3.5 percent, to close at $25.30 in Friday trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

    The company reported its fiscal third-quarter earnings after financial markets closed on Thursday.

    For the quarter ending March 31, the Redmond, Wash.-based company earned $2.56 billion, or 23 cents per share, up from $1.32 billion, or 12 cents per share, a year ago.

    Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial were looking for the company to post earnings of 32 cents per share on sales of $9.83 billion in the latest quarter. The company would have met earnings expectations, except for legal charges of 5 cents a share and a 4-cent-per-share charge for the expense of stock-based compensation required under new accounting rules.


    Revenue is important but profit even more so. MSFT closed up today 3.48%

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

  2. Obviously. by Asicath · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obviously it is because of linux!

    Finally the giant is beginning to fall!!!

    hmmm, only 9.6 billion left to go.

  3. MS is dying! by Reaperducer · · Score: 4, Funny

    Time to start 20 years of "Microsoft is dying" trolls.

    Just another way Microsoft is copying Apple.

    --
    -- I'm old enough to have lived through six different meanings of the word "hacker."
    1. Re:MS is dying! by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 4, Funny

      Bah, Apple.

      Microsoft borrowed the "is dying" part from FreeBSD, just like the Windows network stack! :)

      *ducks*

      --
      "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
  4. Ha! by allanc · · Score: 5, Funny

    Your revenue increased, but slightly less than you expected it to be!

    Take *that*, evil empire!

  5. And for a different take . . . by PIPBoy3000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's also this Register piece, which has a different take on things.

    Interesting to me was this quote:
    Microsoft said that its home division - which includes Xbox - turned a profit for the first time, as did MSN.

  6. how much more market saturation can they get? by John+Seminal · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Three months ago, the software giant said it expected revenue for the period to come in between $9.7 billion and $9.8 billion. But when the company released results Apr. 28, it came up short. Microsoft (MSFT ) rang up just $9.62 billion in sales, a 5% increase from the year-ago quarter.

    So, if sales went up 5% from last year, how much higher can it go? How many more copies of windows do they need to sell? Or will Microsoft metamorpahsize into a service company? It was not that long ago I was reading that MS was going to stop selling Office, and start renting it. Only way to use it is to be on-line or something dumb like that.

    --

    Rosco: "If brains were gunpowder, Enos couldn't blow his nose."

  7. Earnings up by 160%, revenue projection... by Osrin · · Score: 4, Informative

    ... missed by 0.009%. MSFT stock up by 3.48% on the day. Oh my! this is quite the story. I'm not quite sure that the lead story quite captures the essence of it though.

    1. Re:Earnings up by 160%, revenue projection... by OverlordQ · · Score: 4, Informative

      But the story meets the criteria of slashdot stories

      A) Involves Microsoft
      B) Shows Microsoft did something wrong

      --
      Your hair look like poop, Bob! - Wanker.
  8. Re:Who would have guessed... by TheCabal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Languishing? They posted over 9 BILLION in sales. They came a few million short on a projection. Excatly how do you prove that Microsoft's stock is stagnating? they closed today up over 3 points.

  9. is this really significant ? by for_usenet · · Score: 3, Insightful


    So we're talking about an 80 million dollar miscalculation, out of 9.7 billion dollars (just over 0.8%). I know these are big numbers, but in the grand scheme of statistics, is this more than just a statistical anomoly? Or are the accounts not even supposed to be that little bit wrong ?

    I would love to see MS taken down a notch or two, but I have a hard time believing this is more than just wishful thinking on the part of some parties. If we see more than a 1% reduction in successive quarters, then I'll agree we're onto something. But till that time, I'll just keep hoping ... ;-)

  10. Re:What! The Street loved the results by d1v1d3byz3r0 · · Score: 3

    Please disregard. I re-read your post and it makes sense the way you had it. My bad.

  11. Re:Who would have guessed... by th1ckasabr1ck · · Score: 3, Funny

    We need a moderation for "no basis in reality".

  12. Re:Who would have guessed... by fsmunoz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even more disturbing, who would have guessed 5 years ago that /. would be filled with Apple fanboys while Free Software zealots decrease in number? :)

  13. a couple ideas... by John+Seminal · · Score: 3, Insightful
    they haven't released anything new, except for free patches to fix broken software

    First, I think I am done buying M$, but having said that, I had an idea.

    Why does not Microsoft not release their OS, but hold it for a few months, have a large beta group of testers. Fix the bugs. Have their own in house hackers try and break in, make more fixes. Load it with lots of different kinds of software and fix whatever problems they have.

    Instead it feels like they release a product too early. Service pack 1 followed by 2 and 3 and 4.

    My second complaint is these service packs are too large for some people with dial-up. If AOL can have 100's of CD's in every computer store, why can't Microsoft have their free service patch CD's in stores??

    --

    Rosco: "If brains were gunpowder, Enos couldn't blow his nose."

    1. Re:a couple ideas... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      If AOL can have 100's of CD's in every computer store, why can't Microsoft have their free service patch CD's in stores??

      Because people actually want the service packs?

    2. Re:a couple ideas... by Momoru · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why does not Microsoft not release their OS, but hold it for a few months, have a large beta group of testers. Fix the bugs

      Not to be a troll, but can someone tell me specifically what bugs everyone is always talking about? Currently running Windows XP sp2 at home and work, my computers have not crashed once this year...not frozen, not blue screened, nothing. I know occasionally (maybe once a month) you'll get windows explorer crashing (where the desktop looks like its refreshing), but otherwise I don't experience any bugs? (My fedora box is performing as well btw) Please don't respond with "spyware and viruses!!!" cuz a) I havn't ever gotten any b) they are mostly user initiated.

    3. Re:a couple ideas... by black+mariah · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Shhh... we can't let things like truth leak onto Slashdot.

      --
      'Standards' in computing only impress those who are impressed by things like 'standards'.
    4. Re:a couple ideas... by DigiShaman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I haven't checked the AOL CDs as of late. But if there is some room left, maybe Microsoft can get AOL to bundle the full service pack on the root of the AOL CD. If there is room free, it shouldn't cost a damn thing. It would be a win-win for both MS and AOL.

      Microft to cust: Yes mam/sir, you can't download SP2, just pick up an AOL cd.

      AOL to cust: So mam/sir, you want to sign up with AOL? Very well, so just how did you hear about us....

      Get the idea?

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    5. Re:a couple ideas... by snuf23 · · Score: 4, Funny

      It's because your Windows machine can detect the trace Mac-elements left on your fingertips from using your Mac at home.
      Bascially the Dell is stressed and really pissed that you have opted to use a Mac at home. It thinks that it is likely to be replaced at some point. It doesn't feel sexy anymore, it feels desperate and second fiddle.
      Probably your best option is to either replace your Mac at home with a PC, or replace your PC at work with a Mac.
      Computers exhibiting architecture jealously is all to common with users that "go both ways".

      --
      Sometimes my arms bend back.
    6. Re:a couple ideas... by deranged+unix+nut · · Score: 4, Informative

      Visit http://www.securityfocus.com/ and read the ntbugtraq archives.

      There is a reason why Windows Update exists and why it is giving you dozens of updates every month.

      Put an un-patched windows 2000 or XP box on an open internet connection and you will be (silently) spreading viruses in minutes.

      When I was working at Microsoft, the corporate network was so flooded that newly installed systems were instantly infected unless we took them off of the network before we installed and patched a windows 2000 system.

  14. Re:What! The Street loved the results by winkydink · · Score: 4, Informative

    I think you need to bone up on how to read financial statements and pick stocks.

    For example, MSFT has a P/E of 24.5. Dor a good explanation of P/E, look here

    By comparison, AAPL's is 40 and that other Slashdot darling, GOOG's, is at 88!

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

  15. Headlines by aaarizpe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Google News:

    Microsoft profits jump to US$ 2.56 billion this quarter (Earthtimes.org)
    Microsoft Third-Quarter Profits Double (Yahoo News)
    Microsoft: The Cash Machine (Motley Fool)

    Slashdot:

    Microsoft Misses Quarterly Revenue Projection

    It's almost as if there's some bias or something...

  16. Perspective ... you zealots... by telstar · · Score: 5, Interesting

    To put it in perspective, VA Software, the company that owns Slashdot, is trading at 1.37/share ... down from their 52-week high of 3.17. Those that live in glass houses...

  17. Re:What! The Street loved the results by QuietLagoon · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Revenue is important but profit even more so. MSFT closed up today 3.48%

    Revenue (i.e., top line) growth is necessary for the long-term growth of the company. Earnings (i.e., bottom line) are more representative of the short term quarter-to-quarter health of the company.

    When was the last time that Microsoft came up short on revenue for a quarter?

  18. The real reason the stock rose by SuperKendall · · Score: 5, Funny

    I think confused investors were thinking Microsoft released Tiger today. :-)

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  19. Can the /. news filter please relax? by timothy_m_smith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't know why I even both to post this b/c I haven't posted in months, but can't this site be just tiny, itsy bit less slanted? I understand that MS is the antithesis of Open Source and that is what this site is about, but please spare me this type of story.

    No one here would give a crap about MS corporate results, but b/c they miss by a couple percent it becomes a story. Can't there be a little bit more reason? Not everything in the Windows world is terrible and every aspect of Open Source is not perfect. Maybe that is why I like Ars Technica better, b/c they are much more reasonable...

  20. Revnues missed due to currency flucations by jordandeamattson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you dig a little deeper on this one, you will see that the cause of the revenue miss is due to currency flucations (the dollar moved the reverse of their hedges, strengthening).

    What was important - and eye opening here - is that even with a miss on the revenue side, earnings were double what they were in the year ago quarter.

    While you can't continually grow the bottom line (earnings), with a shrinking top line, it is positive and says something good when a company has robust earnings even in the face of declining revenues.

    If you break down the revenues you find something interesting. Strong improvements in both Server products and XBox. Both of these are positives for Microsoft and are in line with their long-term directions.

    Yours,

    Jordan

  21. Halving of R&D budget isn't the story? by Jboy_24 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So they missed their revenue proejctions by a fraction, yet they posted double the profits from last quarter by halving their R&D Budget from 3 billion to 1.5 billion. And slashdot doesn't pick up on that.

    My question, since R&D covers almost all new development in the company,
    Which products/programs where cut?

    Have they dropped their "Inovate" slogan?

  22. Sarbanes-Oxley by quarkscat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    MSFT, Fannie-Mae, and many other public corporations are now (finally) under the onus of section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. They can no longer "smooth out" the squiggles on their profit line charts that reflect the true nature of business -- now the corporate officers must certify both the internal financial accounting process AND the quarterly results posted with the SEC.

    Juggling the numbers to keep the shareholders numbly ignorant is now a criminal act that the corporate officers are responsible for. Accounting mechanisms for pushing/pulling income spikes and sags into another quarterly report are no longer tolerated.

    Any company with large corporate and government customers is bound to have variations in their accounts receivables, some of which will break the rising tide of their profit line charts. There (usually) isn't anything really wrong with these corporations. It's just that the accounting equivalent of cosmetic botox injections are no longer allowed. If this drives shareholders into the mentality of a longer term financial view, like 1, 3, and 5 year outlooks, it would not be a bad thing for the economy as a whole. It will, however, suck rotten eggs for all the corporate officers whose bonuses and incentives are tied to their quarterly results. I will weep giant crocodile tears for them -- NOT!