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Ethanol More Trouble Than It's Worth?

call -151 writes "Yahoo reports this story by researchers from Cornell and Berkeley who show what a number of people had suspected- it takes significantly more energy (at least 29%) more energy to produce ethanol than it yields. Since ethanol production plants don't use ethanol themselves for their own energy needs (with presumably negible delivery costs) this has been widely suspected but not so bluntly stated: "Ethanol production in the United States does not benefit the nation's energy security, its agriculture, the economy, or the environment." Ethanol producers dispute the study, predictably, which deducts the multi-billion US dollar subsidy. It's not clear how this compares with this earlier Union of Concerned Scientists article that claims that the yield from corn kernels is net 50% positive- and the UCS is usually quite unbiased on these things."

57 of 986 comments (clear)

  1. Bah by Golias · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No matter what independant researchers say, Ethonal is not going away any time soon. Why? I can explain in three letters:

    A.

    D.

    M.

    When the corporation who puts out the vast majority of ethanol-producing corn has members of both parties in their pocket, legislators are going to continue to preach the advantages of "clean, renewable" corn-based fuel.

    (Also, they would prefer that you pay no attention to the fact that Ethanol produces less CO2, but more of other gasses, such as O3. We've got an environment to save, dammit! How dare you question the advantages of A.D.M.'s Ethanol!!!)

    --

    Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    1. Re:Bah by Karma_fucker_sucker · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Don't forget to add that it's a convient excuse for giving farmers wellf....subsidies.

      --
      Evil people don't think they're evil. - George Lucas, Making of Ep III
    2. Re:Bah by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Informative
      I don't think I've ever heard anything about ADM price fixing.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archer_Daniels_Midlan d

      In 1996, ADM was the subject of the largest price fixing investigation in history. Senior ADM executives were indicted on criminal charges for engaging in price-fixing in the international lysine market, and the company was fined $100 million, the largest antitrust fine ever.

      ADM has been criticized for having a board of directors that does not serve stockholder interests. Business Week has singled ADM out as being one of the worst-governed corporations in the US for three years in a row: 1998, 1999 and 2000. Specifically, the publication charged, ADM had a board packed full of management's incompetent cronies.
    3. Re:Bah by bobdinkel · · Score: 3, Informative

      There was also a really insteresting story involving ADM corruption on This American Life. Worth checking out.

      --
      A publicly traded company exists solely to make profits for shareholders.
  2. Efficiency is not the point ! by Arthur+B. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Convenience is. You can use clean energy to produce the ethanol, such has hydro-electrics or nuclear power but it's much harder to use it directly in a car. You can use ethanol in your car though. So throwing money in developping ethanol is not pointless because a) research will make the efficiency ratio increase b) ethanol is a convinient way to store energy for vehicles

    --
    \u262D = \u5350
    1. Re:Efficiency is not the point ! by ergo98 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You can use clean energy to produce the ethanol...

      You've got a great point - one of the fundamental problems we face is in battery technology, of storing and transporting energy with a decoupling between generation and consumption. Ethanol could be a fantastic battery of sorts, in the same way that hydrogen is, but compatible with current vehicles.

      Of course practically most farmers are using copious amounts of oil-products to generate ethanol, but perhaps with a modernization and greening of farms, this storage technology could become more sustainable.

    2. Re:Efficiency is not the point ! by Guppy06 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "You can use clean energy to produce the ethanol, such has hydro-electrics or nuclear power"

      Cool! Whose backyard will it go in?

  3. Brazil does just fine on ethanol by Djinh · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It depends how and from what you make your ethanol. And how you farm your feedstock of course...

    Brazil does just fine with it's sugarcane:

    http://www.eroei.com/articles/16_jun_05_brazil_fue l_p.html

    1. Re:Brazil does just fine on ethanol by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Informative

      Now, I've lived in the Cornhusker state, but I have to agree with you. Corn has always seemed to be a bit of a low-yeilder for ethanol compared to other crops.

      Now, corn can be grown further north than sugarcane, so that might be a factor. Of course, if we could break ourselves of our sugar habit, we'd be able to fuel many vehicles off the saved sugar.

      On a different point, a couple of seed/hybridization/GM companies are looking into making corn varieties designed for maximum ethanol production. They're predicting something like a 25% increase in about five years.

      Oh, and my prediction:

      Ethanol fuel cells. How would you like to get more milage out of ethanol than we do with today's vehicles with gasoline? We don't have to burn ethanol the traditional way, and it'd reduce what pollution ethanol has.

      I think that the main problem with the increased pollution is that they haven't spent the research and tuning efforts into reducing it, and most ethanol cars today are adaptions of gasoline cars. Don't forget that ethanol also reduces or eliminates many other pollutants from gasoline, it's only in a couple that it increases.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  4. Ethanol not worth it! by DanielMarkham · · Score: 5, Funny

    Surely you jest, man. Ethanol is most certainly a worthwhile endeavor. How else would ulgy people...

    Oh. You mean Ethanol energy production. Yes. Of course.

    Plastic Rabbit, New Gizmo?

    1. Re:Ethanol not worth it! by suitepotato · · Score: 3, Funny

      Why are so many obviously comedic posts getting modded insightful instead of funny lately?

      --
      If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
    2. Re:Ethanol not worth it! by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Funny

      Why are so many obviously comedic posts getting modded insightful instead of funny lately?

      Because the mods wish to reward the poster with a real mod-point that counts toward their score instead of the pseudo mod-point "funny". The problem with this scheme is that it tends to confuse the /. readers who are just skimming the posts, and it tends to send mod points to people who don't really need them anyway. If I make a joke (which, granted, I'm not the best at doing) I'm always happiest if the mods use the Funny mod instead of the Insightful mod.

      I really do applaud the intentions of the mods, but this is one of those cases where you shouldn't try to game the system. :-)

  5. Meaningless by Kukester · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Gasoline takes more energy to produce than you can get from it. That energy just came from the sun a million (?) years ago. Gasoline is a means by which we can transfer solar energy to our cars without sail-ssized solar panels.

    Consider ethanol as a means to store energy from nuclear, solar, wind, tidal, hydro or other clean energy sources and transport it to your auto's engine.

    I'd like to see ethanol compared to chemical batteries, fuel cells or others on an basis of efficency & cost.

    1. Re:Meaningless by shokk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Perhaps the UCS is also considering a clean energy source powering the ethanol plant. The current plants may not be using clear tech now, but in time that would change given enough ethanol flowing in the marketplace.

      The question is, how well will that market deal with things like the inevitable droughts. Will we be flexible enough to use another crop, or even another tech to make up for the shortfall, or will we be skating on razor thin margins from now on, dealing with rolling blackouts, etc?

      --
      "Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart, he dreams himself your master."
  6. ethanol from corn by BoldAC · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yeah, producing ethanol from corn does produce more energy...

    However, growing other plant materials (from waste or whatever) is much more efficent.

    Ethanol will work... just not from corn.

    Did anybody think the transition would be easy?

  7. Hydrogen energy? by archeopterix · · Score: 4, Insightful
    From the article:
    They conclude the country would be better off investing in solar, wind and hydrogen energy.
    What is this recurring BS about hydrogen energy? Hydrogen is only a medium for storing/transporting energy - it does not generate any more energy than used to produce it. So, until we start to mine for hydrogen, the "hydrogen energy" buzzword is no more than annoying crap.

    Ok, perhaps "hydrogen energy" has some meaning like "solar/wind energy used to produce hydrogen", but certainly not in the context above ("solar, wind and hydrogen energy").

  8. it take 1000 time more energy by sykjoke · · Score: 3, Interesting

    To turn my finger nails into ethanol.... warm weather perennial grass found in the Great Plains and eastern North America United States, it takes 45 percent more energy and for wood, 57 percent. It takes 27 percent more energy to turn soybeans into biodiesel fuel and more than double the energy produced is needed to do the same to sunflower plants, the study found. But what about sugar beat, sugar came, sweet corn and grapes (given corn and grapes will start to ferment naturally)

  9. Oil Subsidy... by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Most people usually don't figure the cost of keeping an extra aircraft carrier-centered battle group around to guard Mideast shipping lanes and a couple of ill-planned invasions here and there into "oil subsidies", but if they did, I'd bet you find that the cash devoted to ethanol isn't that much at all.

    As long as a third of our budget is military and a chief focus of the military is to keep the oil flowing, it makes sense to pursue other energy options.

  10. Re:Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Umm... beer?

    To be blunt, when I drink beer on a Friday evening, the amount of energy that comes out is waay more than goes in. As for fusion reactors and hydrogen/sodium tomfoolery? They have no place in my nights out thanks very much!

  11. Who paid for this study. by IainMH · · Score: 5, Interesting

    TFA doesn't tell us who paid for the research.

  12. Re:Duh by ScentCone · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now, with this in mind, tell me why ethanol is needed?

    Because it's a huge, politically correct opportunity to subsidize voters in agro states, and to buy off the eco-crazies with something that sounds emotionally warm and fuzzy. It's not about fuel, it's about throwing a bone, no matter how pointless, to the sustainablites while real research into actual solutions is conducted on other fronts (say, in France, believe it or not).

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  13. CORN Ethanol by Fnkmaster · · Score: 4, Informative

    The whole point of ethanol is that there are far better ways of producing fuel-use ethanol than corn fermentation, which has been debated for years in terms of its energy efficiency.

    The enthusiasm for ethanol by real scientists is from the very promising means for producing ethanol from cellulose-based feedstocks, in other words from cheap plentiful surplus materials. While this wasn't cost-effective as an energy alternative when gas cost 80 cents a gallon, at 2.25-2.50 a gallon, cellulosic ethanol is quite competitive on a dollar-per-mile basis, and it can extract energy from cheap, easy to grow feedstocks or waste-cellulose material that would otherwise end up in municipal garbage dumps.

  14. Ethanol from Cellulose by jimcooncat · · Score: 3, Informative

    These guys say they have a production facilities with uses no outside energy. http://www.iogen.ca/

  15. I know a lot of people don't want to accept it... by smug_lisp_weenie · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...but we are pretty obviously headed straight towards a new nuclear age. That doesn't mean I like nuclear, or that this is a good thing...

    Ethanol and other biofuels don't seem to really hold up to cost-benefit analysis, as this article (and many others) suggests- Even if this article is exaggerated, the truth is still on the wall that it can't compare to nuclear.

    Oil will run low pretty soon, coal, air and wind power can't take up the slack... BAMM! New nuclear age.

    Does anyone really have reasonable prediction that doesn't include at least 80% of all power being nuclear in 50 years? I can't find one...

  16. Re:Duh by dsginter · · Score: 4, Interesting

    AND we have what could be an easy way to generate hydrogen from water using sodium. Now, with this in mind, tell me why ethanol is needed?

    Because hydrogen isn't a practical energy carrier. Even at tremendous pressures (like 500 atmospheres) it doesn't even come close to the gravimetric or volumetric energy density of gasoline.

    Ethanol has about 2/3rds the volumetric energy density of gasoline. This is worth while over hydrogen, even if the stuff takes more energy to make than it yields. Just think of the energy required to compress hydrogen to 10kpsi. One might joke about running an automobile on this pressure alone.

    The bottom line is that energy input versus output will be moot once everyone realizes that we'll need nuclear to be sustainable. We just need a good, dense energy carrier.

    FWIW, hydrides have become the hydrogen carrier of choice in nickel metal hydride batteries because you don't need tremendously high pressures to get good volumetric density. But to put it in perspective, they're still only carrying about 2 percent hydrogen by weight. Some day, a nanotech breakthrough may make it possible to increase that by an order of magnatude. When this happens, we'll have electric cars that you'll take in after a few thousand miles to get the battery changed.

    --
    More
  17. Re:Duh by fean · · Score: 5, Informative

    I'm from an Aggro state, and he's entirely correct...

    The whole point of Ethanol is that by using Ethanol, we can use more of the corn produced in the US, therby having to export less. Also, by using Ethanol, we can import less oil. Even if it takes 29% more energy to produce Ethanol than it returns, What it doesn't say is that a LOT of Ethanol produced in the Aggro states run on power grids that get most of their power from dams/windmills.

    We support the Agriculture by buying up all of the left-over crop of corn/soy from last year, we make it into a fuel to dilute the gas we import from the Middle East... Ethanol is much more valuable than left over corn/soy... and without it, small farmers in the midwest would go bankrupt...

  18. When will people stop quoting Pimental .... by Myrv · · Score: 5, Informative


    Slashdot has covered this before and I will repost my comment from back then:

    While production of ethanol can be inefficient rarely does it result in a net energy loss. Several different studies show anywhere from a 38% net gain in energy to over 100% depending on methods use. The generally cited claim of a net energy loss from producing ethanol all seem to come from only one paper written by David Pimental [the author of the paper quoted in this article]. To support his claims he seems to have taken a worst pratices view for every step in the production process, a realworld combination found in less than 5% of current ethanol production. The more comphrensive studies I've been able to find show a slight, albeit not stellar, net gain in energy. The most recent (2002) by Michigan State shows a net gain of 0.56 MJ/MJ of input for corn based ethanol production. If one looks at Cellulose based ethonal production, studies show almost a 2.5 net energy gain and it is easier on the environment since it requires less maintenance and fewer fertilizers.

    For reference this site has some good links, including a rebuttal of the Pimental paper (as well as showing the Pimental article).

    www.econet.sk.ca/pages/issues/ethanolinfone tenergybalance.htm

    1. Re:When will people stop quoting Pimental .... by mjr1007 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually emailed Pimental several weeks ago when the story first came out. Wow Slashdot is really slow these days. He emailed back a copy of the report. I found it to be detailed to the point of anal. He even included the energy for the people working and the manufacture of the machines used.

      I don't know if I would say he always took the worse possible approach to things but it certainly was unoptimized. Two areas really stood out.

      Fertilizer and Distilling.

      It seems that if there ever was an application for genetic engineering then the production of fuel would be a relatively harmless one. Soy eliminates the need for nitrogen fertilizer so splicing in the correct gene for affixing nitrogen to the soil would be a big win.

      Distilling can be done using waste heat from power plants. Seem like it would be a free energy source.

      Finally, the leftover mash should have some value for animal feed.

      Just my 0.02 USD worth

    2. Re:When will people stop quoting Pimental .... by blaksaga · · Score: 3, Informative

      The American Coalition for Ethanol states that gasoline has an energy balance of only 85%. In other words, it takes more energy to produce gasoline than it contains. Proponents of ethanol production say that if we can use a harmful fossil fuel at a net energy loss, we can certainly use a renewable source of liquid fuel that is less harmful to the environment and better for the domestic economy.

  19. ADM is also why your Coke sucks in the USA by John+Harrison · · Score: 4, Informative
    Because of protectionist trade policies that benefit ADM, sugar in the US costs 10x what it does in the rest of the world. That is why in the early 1980s the soft drink manufacturers started to put corn syrup in your Coke instead of cane sugar. This caused riots on the Philippines, since we bought a lot of sugar from them.

    Corn syrup is an inferior product but it can be had cheaply in the USA because of the massive subsidies paid to ADM.

    Have a Coke anywhere else in the world and it will taste good. Coke in the USA is undrinkable unless you can buy Passover Coke (once a year in certain markets) or Mexican Coke (in a glass bottle, yum) both of which have real sugar.

    Also note that you can get REAL Dr Pepper from www.dublindrpepper.com

    1. Re:ADM is also why your Coke sucks in the USA by John+Harrison · · Score: 3, Insightful
      No, Pepsi switched too. Pepsi's formula is sweeter, so it may have fooled you. Also note that unlike Coke, Pepsi does not enforce its formula internationally, so Pepsi varies a lot from country to country.

      However it was during the era of the switch that Pepsi used the challenge since Coke was suddenly lacking the fruity sweetness that cane sugar gave it.

      Coke actually has each plant send syrup samples to Atlanta for testing on a regular basis to ensure consistency. Of course there is still the question of HFCS.

    2. Re:ADM is also why your Coke sucks in the USA by GeckoX · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, and the trend towards bigger serving sizes and the general increased consumption of pop has nothing to do with it.

      When I was a kid, pop was a rare treat. I still to this day rarely drink the crap. And I'm quite healthy.

      The people I know around my age that either have been drinking pop very regularly since they were kids, or whom now drink a few pops a day are almost invariably obese.

      Even worse though are the number of kids you see today that are a) obese and b) have a can of pop permanently attached to them.

      It only takes common sense to see the obvious correlation. Large amounts of liquid sugar are not good for us. It does not matter one little bit where the sugar is derived from.

      Heck, beer is down right healthy for you compared to pop.

      --
      No Comment.
  20. Ethanol (or something similar) is necessary by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 5, Informative
    Weve got sound based fusion reactors nearing break-even, AND we have what could be an easy way to generate hydrogen from water using sodium. Now, with this in mind, tell me why ethanol is needed?

    1) No fusion method has actually broken even on this planet, and even if it did, it's tabletop. Not a car. It would probably be 30+ years away from actual use.

    2) That sodium crap is *definitely* an energy loser, as sodium metal isn't just sitting around and takes a lot of energy to reduce to its metallic form from the ionic form in which it's actually found. It's also just basically reversing the reaction that generates sodium in the first place. Talking about getting energy from that is like talking about the relative merits of a perpetual motion machine.

    3) Ethanol burns in cars. Now. With actual internal-combustion engines that exist.

    The relative ethanol break-even is important to a degree, but it (or something like it) is needed now to get more oxygen in fuels which helps prevent incomplete combustion (read: air pollution). MTBE (methyl t-butyl ether) was used previously, but is worse than ethanol in groundwater. Ethanol is worse for aerosol formation in the atmosphere I've heard (ie, more smog), and is a bit more expensive. We use ethanol these days instead of MTBE thanks to ex-Sen Daschle, protecting his state's corn lobby.

    Bottom line? We have to use ethanol, or something like ethanol, to clean up gasoline if not for a fuel. We also need something realistic to bridge the gap between fosil fuels and the further-out alternative fuels.

  21. This would be a moot point... by HerculesMO · · Score: 5, Informative
    If the US was a nuclear based country. It's amazing to me to see how many 'environmentalists' are up in arms about this when in fact, the nuclear reactors are more safe than ever. Slashdot previously reported on this.

    Sadly, the words of "Chernobyl" are so well rehearsed by this community that they fail to realize the fact that Chernobyl was running at 130% capacity at the time -- a situtation which does not happen in current reactors due partially to the government regulations, partially to the IAEA, and partially to political pressures. That, and it's fucking common sense for crying out loud! Nuclear scientists and engineers know what they are working with now more than ever.

    Modern day physicists if asked honestly, know that the answer lies in atomic energies for our future. It is cheap, clean, produces no greenhouse gases, and leave a microbe of waste as compared to a petroleum based economy. If the US and its politics weren't so oil hungry and to boot -- money hungry, they would be investing in the fusion experiement that is now going to be located in France. Granted it probably won't produce much power to boot... but it would be 100% clean and without any radioactive waste. The implications for potential power are huge, unfortunately most US lobbyists have convinced our government to turn their back on the future and concern themselves with just strengthening a limited fuel.

    Sorry for the tirade, but I hate to see talks about biodiesel and ethanol (which is actually really cool, it produces higher octane numbers than gasoline!), and the arguement the author makes without bringing up our energy situtation that makes this point oh, so relevant.

    --
    The price is always right if someone else is paying.
  22. Re:public transportation for the short term... by keraneuology · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I believe the most significant positive impact to our environment in the short term would be to increase subsidies to public transportation and to focus on that infrastructure while we get technology to catch up with energy demand.
    (Emphasis added, by me, for my own designs.)

    Absolutely not. Subsidizing is not the way to go. If you want to improve the environment then eliminate subsidies:

    • By eliminating the subsidies used to build freeway systems that allow urban sprawl people will be enouraged to live closer to their places of work and play. PLEASE NOTE While I am opposed to sprawl I am not anti-sprawl. Developers should be allowed to build on their land more or less as they see fit. I am opposed to the spending of public funds to make said private land more valuable. If the developers want to get together and build a 5 line highway out to Clear Hidden Creek Golf Ridge Mystic Forest Hills Estates then so be it. So don't even go there.
    • Start charging fair market value for oil/gas lease and exploration rights on public lands.
    • Guarantee tax exemption for any and all new forms of energy or energy generation for the five years immediately following patent approval.
    Personally I am an advocate of nuclear power. Pebble bed reactors are clean, safe and can take advantage of economies of scale. Somebody (GE, probably) has developed a "disposable" reactor that is comparitively maintenance free, designed as a free-standing generator that can be placed in a village. At the end of its 20-25 year lifespan it is trucked away, waste and all (which is not removed from the structure while on-site) and a new one dropped in its place.
    --
    If the g'vt kept the data on you that google does you'd better believe you'd be calling it "doing evil"
  23. Misleading Study,why factor in energy from the sun by ddraigcymraeg · · Score: 3, Informative

    Taking into account the free energy from the sun in order to grow the crops IS misleading the public. check out the explanation of the study here: http://petroleum.berkeley.edu/papers/Biofuels/uc_s cientist_says_ethanol_uses_m.htm Then their methods of harnessing the ethanol are'nt the most efficient either. Unfortunately the public will be mislead time and again over the use of non-fossil fuel alternatives. Wish politics would stay out of science.

  24. 51 cents per gallon. by Sergeant+Beavis · · Score: 4, Insightful

    $0.51 per gallon of Ethanol. That's not how much Ethanol makers charge us for their fuel. It is how much the Federal government subsidizes every gallon of Ethanol made.

    If Ethanol is such a viable replacement for gasoline made from oil, then why does it need a 51 cent subsidy? The fact is that no ethanol maker can make a profit without that subsidy.

    --
    There is nothing inherently safe about liberty. That's why so many people died protecting it.
  25. Re:Looking at the wrong numbers. by ryanvm · · Score: 3, Funny

    The real question is, how much energy production do you get back out of pork?

    Ha fool! You've obviously never seen the swine-powered running wheel that keeps my house off the grid.

  26. Better Use of Ethanol by Fujisawa+Sensei · · Score: 3, Funny

    I can think of much a better use of Ethanol than powering cars.

    It even saves me gas, cuz I'm not driving, and sometimes I'm not driving the next morning either.

    --
    If someone is passing you on the right, you are an asshole for driving in the wrong lane.
  27. Re:Biodiesel fans call BS on researcher by Fahrvergnuugen · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I also am a member of the TDIClub so I too am biased.

    But here's some food for thought:

    My TDI motor gets an average of 45 MPG while making around 130 hp and 250 ft/lbs of torque. A comparable gasoline engine will get 25 to 30 mpg. This means the TDI gets 50% better economy.

    It's important to mention that this isn't because gasoline engines are inefficient - it's because diesel (and bio diesel) fuel contains more energy per volume than gasoline does.

    So in a real world context, this article doesn't make any sense. Even IF ethanol requires 29% more energy than it yields, we're not burning STRAIGHT ethanol. It's just an ingredient in a recipe for a very good fossil fuel alternative.

    --
    Kiteboarding Gear Mention slashdot and get 10% off!
  28. your calculations are slightly off by El+Puerco+Loco · · Score: 4, Informative

    The half life of U-235 is 704 million years. Tf it had a short enough half life to be gone in 150 years it would be gone already. The planet hasn't received any new supplies of uranium since it coalesced from interstellar dust four billion years ago. Hell, even if you believe the earth is flat and was created by the Almighty 6000 years ago like it says in the Bible, it would be gone already with a half life that short.

    We may use it up in 150 years, but there are ways around that too, like fast breeder reactors, which can produce more fuel than they consume.

  29. The UCS is an environmental group with a cool name by vijayiyer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Union of Concerned Scientists is a special interest group with a convincing name. I've read their study on a "cleaner" Ford Explorer. Supposedly they "designed" one which could get dramatically improved fuel economy for a negliglbe price increase. However, close inspection revealed assumptions like: Aluminum parts are the same price as steel parts 6 speed transmissions cost the same as 5 speed transmissions And then they assumed modifications like these resulted in a several MPG benefit! I've built my own vehicle simulations in MATLAB and shown that their studies are total BS. Not even in the right ballpark. Their "studies" are more marketing ploys to push their interests.

  30. Large yields require fossil fuels... by jvl001 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    While you can produce ethanol from many sources, current US corn-based ethanol production could not survive without heavy subsidies. With the current subsidies in place there is no incentive to improve efficiencies.

    Modern field corn production requires large amounts of fertilizer, in particular anhydrous ammonia, to produce the 150+ bushels per acre that we currently enjoy.

    Ammonia prices have steadily climbed over the past decade as the price of natural gas climbs. Ammonia is made using the Haber process to combine nitrogen from the air with hydrogen obtained from natural gas.

    I come from a long line of farmers:

    In my great-grandfather's day, corn production rates were pitiful.

    In my grandfather's day, the Haber process and corn hybridization produced bumper crops.

    In my father's day, he stopped growing corn. Combined with the US embargo of Canadian beef it just wasn't worth the effort.

    --
    /. is to journalism as graffiti is to a bathroom wall
  31. c.f. California Gas by jfmiller · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Here in the Golden State we have to buy special California formula gas that claimed to run cleaner then the rest of the nations. (It may even work if you ignore the 3-5 MPG loss in fuel efficiency) The relevance here is that Ethanol is one of the big ingredients in this gas.

    A few years ago, One of the major gas producers found that it could make a much cleaner burning fuel using only petroleum based chemicals. It would cost less and save the air. Unfortunately the Feds stepped in an demanded that ethanol continued to be used instead.

    Just follow the pork folks.

    JFMILLER

    --
    Strive to make your client happy, not necessarly give them what they ask for
  32. Re:Duh by mfrank · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wow, what horrible timing. The planet's 4 billion years old and all the uranium is going to decay in the next 150 years.

    Half life for U-235 is 700 million years.

    Half life for U-238 is 4.5 billion years.

  33. Pimental publishes the same crap every year by CapsaicinBoy · · Score: 5, Informative

    Just be aware that Pimentel releases this "finding" every other summer, Looking at the dates below, he's a month ahead of schedule this year.

    http://www.news.cornell.edu/Chronicle/01/8.23.01/P imentel-ethanol.html

    http://www.news.cornell.edu/Chronicle/03/8.14.03/P imentel-ethanol.html

    http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/July05/ethanol .toocostly.ssl.html

    I can't speak to this newest report, but Pimental's work has been repeatedly critiqued, and one of the main compliants it that he uses out of date numbers for yield and conversion efficiency:

    http://www.mda.state.mn.us/ethanol/balance.html

    http://www.usda.gov/oce/oepnu/aer-814.pdf

    http://journeytoforever.org/ethanol_rooster.html

    http://www.ncga.com/public_policy/PDF/03_28_05Argo nneNatlLabEthanolStudy.pdf

    http://www.ethanol-gec.org/corn_eth.htm

    All that having been said, Pimental is right that soy and corn alone cannot replace our petroleum addiction. You can read more about this in the archives at TDIclub.com.

    http://forums.tdiclub.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Board =UBB14&Number=946804&Searchpage=1&Main=941398&Word s=%2Bethanol+%2Bmoney+DrStink&topic=&Search=true#P ost946804

  34. Re:Duh by patowic · · Score: 3, Informative

    Henry Ford's original designs were intended to run on home-brew alcohol. Ethanol may be less of an energy gain to produce than gasoline, but it's only a loser if you're using petrochemicals to produce it. As others have noted, using wind and solar to accelerate the process greatly reduces the worries about wasting energy. Think of how much energy is wasted every day, as solar energy heats up parking lots.

    You can design an ethanol plant adjacent to a hog farm. The waste material from producing ethanol feeds the hogs. The excess heat from the hog barn can be scavenged and used to further fuel fermentation. The liquid sewage produced by the hogs will produce methane. Then, after you've scavenged the methane, the liquid sewage is spread on the field as fertilizer.

    Another distinct advantage of ethanol is that it _can_ be produced on a very small scale. A farmer can power his tractors using a portion of his corn crop. He can actually produce his fuel on-site, if he so wishes.

    Eco-crazies? subsidize voters in agro states? I live in an agro state, and I can tell you that corn and soybean subsidies are nowhere near as large as the tobacco subsidies -- yet, we can't produce anything approaching a power gain out of tobacco.

    The eco-crazies I know oppose ethanol just as much as gasoline, because it's still a combustion process, and it still pollutes (just not very much).

    Your post strikes me as a bit of a troll.

    Ethanol is a real solution in that it gets us a highly portable form of energy. Is it as dense an energy transport as gasoline? No.

    But it can be used to keep existing infrastructure running. I have heard that converting a fuel-injected engine to ethanol is as simple as altering the programming, but I do not know for sure.

    There are some other advantages to ethanol, in that large scale fuel spills aren't nearly as toxic as petrochemical spills.

    Also, trying drinking a glass of gasoline to get a buzz sometime. It does make me wonder if a fuel can full of ethanol counts as an 'open container'.

  35. Brazil reducing imports using ethonal by peter303 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Brazil went whole-hog promoting ethonal and finds the latest oil price shock not impacting its economy that much. 25% mixture is regulated, though its about 40% in practice. Brazil has huge agricultural resources suitable for producing large amounts of ethonal. So even if its takes a fair amount of energy overhead to produce ethonal, they are doing it with aboundant, cheap ethonal energy.

  36. No, that statement makes perfect sense. by Some+Random+Username · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You need to invest in hydrogen energy technologies in order to make any use of hydrogen as a medium to store energy.

    You are the one reading into the statement your own bias, they never said anything about producing energy from hydrogen, its entirely your assumption. "Hydrogen energy" makes perfect sense, you use hydrogen as an energy source. You just have to use some other energy source to make the hydrogen in the first place, kinda like with everything else we use.

    Its not like oil produces more energy than it took to make either, we just didn't expend that energy ourselves.

  37. Brazil can do it right... by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 5, Informative

    See here. Brazil has had their "Proalcool" program for the last thirty years, and it's just coming to fruition now. They use a less energy-intensive process, with sugarcane instead of corn, and doing so, they've managed massive cuts in their oil imports. That's not really something you can fake.

    Corn may be a bad source of ethanol, and Archer Daniels Midland may be liquid evil poured into a suit, but that doesn't mean other folks can't do it right.

    See a rather good writeup of the issue.

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  38. Re:dodge! parry! by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

    this *fact* is brought to you by the letter P, as in physics

    No, this "fact" is brought to you by the letter "P", as in "Pimental". Pimental is an an anti-ethanol crusader. Every last study since the 1970s that has said that ethanol is net-negative has either been authored or coauthored by him. I can't locate a single "net negative" conducted without his involvement, amid the many "net positive"s.

    All of his previous papers have been widely criticized on relying on grossly outdate information. Using modern information, about a dozen studies have been conducted by widely varied researchers; each come up with between 30-70% net positive, with the higher numbers relying on more modern technology, and the lower on "average" technology. I can only assume that Pimental's latest is more of the same as his previous. His second paper simply reused the data in his first, despite it being outdated the first time.

    This is, by the way, a discussion of ethanol from corn, as opposed to ethanol from sugarcane which is more efficient (see Brazil).

    Now, even if ethanol *was* energy negative, that's still irrelevant. Everything in the universe is energy negative; we only change forms of energy to produce the work that we want. For example, during WWII, the Nazis made large amounts of oil from coal. It took a lot of energy from coal to produce the oil at the time; by the sort of calculations discussed here, it was a "net negative". Yet, it powered the Nazi war machine.

    What matters is if you're making something that allows you to get work done. If you power ethanol production from burning ag waste (common to do so at least partly, for heating), coal power, nuclear power, etc, you're making something that you can burn in your car from something that you couldn't - you're producing something that can get work done. Nobody is advocating burning oil or ethanol to produce ethanol here, just like the Nazis didn't burn oil to power coal liquifaction.

    But, this is all a tangent: only in Pimental's little world of outdated farming energy consumption data and ethanol production efficiencies is ethanol "net negative".

    --
    Point of interest. Offering to shoot us might not work so well as an incentive as you might imagine.
  39. Here are the real numbers by Snaffler · · Score: 5, Informative

    You know, it isn't that hard to find the real numbers behind these studies. Here are the production and cost figures for a real live plant:

    For a small 40 million gallon ethanol/year plant, the BTU inputs are 2 trillion BTUs per year for natural gas, electricity, and corn. The output in BTUs is 3 trillion BTUs. In order to push the numbers into negative territory, the ethanol critics have to generate more than 1 trillion BTUs of additional energy costs. I have not read the Berkeley study, but I bet it includes the food that the employees eat, the cost of generating the paper in the books they read, and all sorts of other absurd numbers.
    Here is the actual data for a brand-new (2005) 40 million gallon ethanol plant that uses 15 million bushels of corn per year:

    Inputs:

    Natural Gas:
    4,000 Mcf per day of gas at a cost of $3.95 per Mcf

    Natural gas: 1,028,000 BTU/MCF = 1,496,768,000,000 BTU inputs for natural gas

    Electricity:
    30,000,000 kilowatt hours per year for an estimated price of $.040 per kilowatt- hour

    High estimate: 8,962 Btu per KWH

    Low estimate: 3,416 BTU per KWH

    Taking the low estimate, 102,480,000,000 BTU

    Corn:
    339,196,122,625 BTU for fertilizer (122 bushels per acre, 15 million bushels, 124 pounds of nitrogen per acre, 22,159 BTU/lb for fertilizer)

    Total inputs:
    Input BTU: 1,998,444,122,625 Input total
    Outputs:
    40 million gallons of ethanol, 128,000 tons of distillers grains and 115,500 tons of raw carbon dioxide gas.
    LHV: Low heat value--76,000 Btu per gallon of ethanol.
    HHV: High heat value--83,961 Btu per gallon of ethanol.
    Low: 76,000 x 40,000,000 = 3,040,000,000,000 BTU
    Surplus:
    1,041,555,877,375 BTU

  40. Re:dodge! parry! by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

    do you have anything other than the author's name

    Yes. Every study not conducted by him that I have ever located. Need links? I can also link you to critiques of his previous work if you would like, and to how he ignored the critiques and used the exact same numbers again.

    Want examples? Pimental assumes that all corn is irrigated (only 16% is, and that corn is rarely used for ethanol production - and Pimental even notes this, but assumes all corn is irrigated anyways!). He ignored life-cycle analysis standards. He includes one-time energy charges such as farming equipment and ethanol plant production, ignoring that oil companies have similar scale one-time energy charges for oil rigs and refineries. Pimental used energy calculations for fertilizer production from the UN's data for worldwide average costs, while the USDA and others use the energy cost of US fertilizer production (these are widely different numbers - a 2.5-fold difference). He uses 1979 ethanol plant efficiency, ignoring the huge process improvements made since (which halve the energy cost per gallon). Etc. He makes no attempt, whatsoever, to be balanced, and repeats the same inaccurate representation over and over.

    my point was that with oil nature has done most of the work

    You're ignoring the issue: You can't burn ag waste in your car. You can't burn coal in your car. You can't burn nuclear in your car. You *can* burn ethanol in your car. Even if it were energy-negative, which it's not close to being, you'd still be converting a non-car-usable source to a car-usable source.

    But we are using oil and natural gas to do something that does the work of oil and natural gas!

    False. Over half of our country's electricity comes from coal, and another 20% from nuclear, plus about 10% from renewables. Electricty generation from oil (you can't burn natural gas in most cars) was a mere 3.2% of our national electricity in 1999 (natural gas was just over 15%).

    *Furthermore*, almost all ethanol production plants utilize on-site heat production, using electricity only for things like the mashers. Heat is the big energy cost for ethanol production. Typically either coal, ag-waste, or both are burned (occasionally, natural gas is used). When was the last time you shoved coal or agricultural waste into your car?

    stop attacking the messenger

    When the guy repeatedly uses 1979 ethanol plant efficiencies (we're twice as efficient nowadays), pretends that all of our corn is irrigated (only 16% is), uses worldwide energy costs for fertilizer production instead of US costs (a 2.5fold difference), and other gross distortions, then repeats them after being corrected, there's good reason to call him "dishonest".

    --
    Point of interest. Offering to shoot us might not work so well as an incentive as you might imagine.
  41. Think Algae! by Zobeid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It hasn't been that long since we had articles about farming algae for vegetable oil, which can be made into biodiesel fuel. That sounded really promising to me.

    The whole reason for going with algae was that it has the potential to be more efficient, as compared with bio-fuels from more conventional sources. (It was stated that some species of algae are up to 50% oil, by mass. How does that compare with peanut plants? Or corn? Yeah.)

    And yet. . . algae isn't part of the wider discussion. People are still arguing about corn. Now, I realize the algae thing is all hypothetical -- looks good on paper, not yet proven practical. And yes, it takes time for new ideas to gain mindshare. But IMO we need to be pushing research into more ingenious, cutting-edge ideas like this. Many of them won't pan out, but some could, and it could make a huge difference.

  42. Re:dodge! parry! by N3WBI3 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Yes. Every study not conducted by him that I have ever located. Need links? I can also link you to critiques of his previous work if you would like, and to how he ignored the critiques and used the exact same numbers again.

    Yes I would really appreciate the links, thanks.. Thank you also for making points (which had I RTFA I might have already knows) which I can agree really blow holes in his work without turing to flame.

    Over half of our country's electricity comes from coal

    Not exactly a clean source of energy.

    When the guy repeatedly uses 1979 ethanol plant efficiencies (we're twice as efficient nowadays), pretends that all of our corn is irrigated (only 16% is), uses worldwide energy costs for fertilizer production instead of US costs (a 2.5fold difference), and other gross distortions, then repeats them after being corrected, there's good reason to call him "dishonest".

    That may be but you got me with the first paragraph attacking his methodology not the previous comment with flippent attacks on someone I have never heard of..

    --
  43. Re:Looking at the wrong numbers. by ScentCone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who CARES what the produciton energy required is really, it's the result of the end product's USE that matters!

    The point of the study is that they're using a gallon of regular petrolium fuel to produce, effectively, less than a gallon of ethanol.

    I wonder, what would be cheaper/easier to produce: Growing corn or potatoes for alcohol production for Ethanol, or drilling thru MILES of rock to get to oil in crude form?

    Hard to say - depends on where you're drilling, and on where you're farming. To grow plants, you need fresh water, abundant fertalizer, heavy equipment, rich soil, easy road and freight access, and perfect timing (or the crop is ruined, or the produce spoils on the way to processing, etc).

    Drilling a well can involve an acre or two of land. Producing the same hydrocarbon type fuel through growing plants can involve thousands of acres.

    These comparisons aren't as obvious as they might seem.

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  44. Re:Nuclear = green house gases by multiplexo · · Score: 4, Informative
    Dude. Everything produces greenhouse gases. Did you somehow think that the materials used in windmills or solar cells were magically deposited on earth by generous, eco-friendly aliens? Hate to bum your eco-high, they were dug out of the ground and refined the same damned sources of energy used to refine uranium.

    As far as there having been plenty of nuclear accidents so fucking what. We've had plenty of airplane accidents, including a non-accident that killed 2752 people, more people than killed in every nuclear accident that ever happened, yet despite that people still fly, including the eco-weasels who bitch about nuclear power and greenhouse warming, flying to their international conferences on greenhouse gas spewing jet aircraft.

    Further problems with nuclear include the unsolved problem of waste disposal,

    How to dispose of nuclear waste. Reprocess waste to recover long lived fissionable isotopes that can be used in power reactors. Take shorter lived, hotter isotopes and bury underground for 1000 years (which is manageable with today's technology, the fucking pyramids have lasted for 5000 years) and let it cool down. Problem solved.

    the high cost of producing nuclear power (it's actually much more expensive than many renewables),

    Factored in all of the subsidies renewables receive? No, you haven't. If you did they come off much worse and nuclear comes off much better.

    nuclear weapons proliferation,

    Bad guys are going to get WMDs regardless of whether or not nuclear power is used.

    and of course apart from the Three Mile Island meltdown (26 years ago) and the criticality accident at the uranium reprocessing facility in Tokai-mura (just 6 years ago), there have been plenty of other nuclear accidents.

    Plenty of plane accidents too, yet despite that people are still flying, including environmentalists.

    Oh, and as far as uranium running out, yeah right. Fuel costs are a minor cost in the cost of a nuclear plant, increase the fuel cost by a factor of 10 and you still aren't impacting operations.

    --
    cheap labor conservatives - they want to keep you hungry enough to be thankful for minimum wage.