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Help Solve the Mystery of the Pioneer Anomaly

deglr6328 writes "Very soon, NASA will be dismantling and scrapping its only computer left which is able to access and process the data on its ancient 7- and 9-track magnetic tapes. "Who cares", you say? Well, the Planetary Society for one and they're hoping you might care as well. The data held on these (few hundred) tapes is no ordinary forgettable data, it is the complete archive of the first 15 years of all the data returned to Earth by the Pioneer spacecraft which were sent into interstellar space. This additional and thus far unexamined data (the data after 1988 is available and has already been examined) may hold the key to solving what is considered one of the top problems in physics today, the so called Pioneer anomaly, where the observed trajectory of these spacecraft (and a couple others) deviates noticeably from our very precise expectation. The reason for the anomaly may be as mundane as uneven radiation pressure or escaping thruster fuel or it may be as groundbreaking as a clue to completely new physics, perhaps related to dark matter or dark energy. The Planetary Society is planning on recovering this data and poring over it meticulously to look for something which may have been missed or hidden from current investigations into the phenomenon. They need money to do this, about $250,000, and are asking for donations to fund the project. You do not need to be a member to donate. There are no serious proposals to send any more spin-stabilized spacecraft on solar escape trajectories any time in the near future and this is probably the only tenable method we have to directly investigate this mystery in the interim."

41 of 473 comments (clear)

  1. I solved my mystery by Psionicist · · Score: 4, Funny

    The damn thing only supported DVD-R discs, not DVD+R, that's why it didn't work.

  2. I can help by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Funny

    I have an 8-track deck in my Charger...

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:I can help by PakProtector · · Score: 4, Funny

      An 8-track? With genuine mono sound!?

      Does your Charger also have a device for slowing and speeding up the passage of time?

      --

      Edward@Tomato - /home/Edward/ man woman
      man: no entry for woman in the manual.
      "Qua!?"

  3. Have you heard of Nero? by yotto · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not making a joke. Can't they just rip the tapes to a hard drive? This isn't Star Wars where you can't copy the "data tapes" after all.

    1. Re:Have you heard of Nero? by scsirob · · Score: 4, Informative

      There's hardly any hardware available to read these tapes anymore. Proprietary format, ancient tape drives and undocumented data formats make this a huge problem.

      --
      To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
    2. Re:Have you heard of Nero? by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Surely considering the priceless data on these tapes, I'm sure they could hire engineers to rebuild the original tape readers, perhap with modern heads to account for magnetic fading.

      Frankly, I've worked for companies that paid a great deal of money to save their software assets that were stored on old, seemingly unreadable media (a shitload of Digital Research files, the recovery cost us $50k), and that data wasn't even close to the value of the Pioneer probe data. If that's what stops NASA from salvaging that data, somebody needs to be fired there...

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    3. Re:Have you heard of Nero? by gclef · · Score: 4, Informative

      One thing to consider: old tape is fragile. I worked with audio tape for years, and tape older than 10 years had to be literally baked (heated & cooled again) before playing. If you didn't bake an old tape the filings from the tape would slough off onto the reading heads...you might (if you were lucky) get one play out of an unbaked tape, but the audio on the tape would definitely be destroyed.

      Given the age of these tapes, getting the data off without destroying it is not as simple as just slapping it onto the machine & hitting "play."

    4. Re:Have you heard of Nero? by Skjellifetti · · Score: 4, Funny

      Despite the current economic conditions, PhD's don't work cheap.

      No. but their grad students do.

    5. Re:Have you heard of Nero? by sfjoe · · Score: 4, Funny

      If that's what stops NASA from salvaging that data, somebody needs to be fired there...

      Somebody DOES need to be fired but not at NASA. Unfortunately, the elections are over a year away.

      --
      It's simple: I demand prosecution for torture.
  4. How much do you want to bet... by scorp1us · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That those several hundred tapes will fit on a $10 USB key? That's what 128 or 256MB these days?

    --
    Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    1. Re:How much do you want to bet... by scorp1us · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually it shoulnd't be that hard... as an embedded software engineer, i would say run the signal from the tape head to a DAC (if analog) and just write out the data the same way a wav file is written. When you "write out" the data, you only need to signal the USB serial protocol which would wrap the (analog?) data. The actual mediaum for USB data is a differential pair of wires. Some micro geek with tape reading experience could probably build a tape -to-usb reader for a few bucks. You wouldn't even need a USB tranceiver, though it probably would make it much, much easier.

      All in all, remmeber you only have to take some data and wrap it in a protocol that is expressed on a differential pair. Not that hard...

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
  5. If... by fimbulvetr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If we donate, and they reach the amount, will the data be open to everyone?
    That is absolutely critical, I will not donate unless I can see the data.

  6. And miss.... by Blitzenn · · Score: 4, Funny

    What and miss a great opportunity for a wonderful conspiracy theory in the future?

    "They destroyed those things so we wouldn't know what it REALLY found. I know they did! Why else would they destroy them. It must be a conspiracy!"

  7. Free money? by ActionJesus · · Score: 4, Funny
    You do not need to be a member to donate.

    Just as well, i was away to send a million pounds but thought "oh no! im not a member! theyll never accept my non-space-geek cash!"

  8. Funding by fejikso · · Score: 5, Insightful

    $250,000 sounds like very little money compared to other NASA projects. Why can't my tax dollars go to these projects instead of the military?

    1. Re:Funding by jafac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because defense spending is a necessary and Constitutionally-justified federal espense. Space exploration is not.

      Think of space exploration as far-sighted defense spending. Otherwise, think of how the world would be today if, in the 1940's and 1950's, the US did no ballistic missile research at all, and let the Soviets take LEO, Geosynchronous Orbit, the Moon, and everything else.

      Every dollar invested into the space program, public education, interstate highways, power grids, even welfare and medicaid, is a dollar well-spent towards shoring up national defense. Just not in as direct a way as you'd like.

      What is money POORLY invested in defense or national security, is $200 Billion to invade a country, destabilize it's govenrment so it can be taken over by Iran. http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2005/07/21/iran/ index_np.html

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  9. 9 track tapes by wulfhound · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Anyone care to shed any further light on what format these tapes are in, how many there are and in what condition?

    I had a summer job a decade ago ripping 9-track tapes (geophys data) to CD-R (back when CD-Rs were $20 each and a burner was $5k!), pretty sure the people I did it for still have the gear. Planetary guys - I couldn't see a contact address on your page!

  10. RTFF by spellraiser · · Score: 5, Informative
    From the FAQ:

    Will the data be made publicly available?
    Yes. First, the data first must be recovered, validated, documented, and preliminary analyses must be done. After those tasks are completed (probably taking months to a year), the data will be made publicly available, including second-order data products when the raw data is processed by JPL orbit software.

    --
    I hear there's rumors on the Slashdots
    1. Re:RTFF by Otter · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Thanks for pulling that out. It seems to me, though, that the key part is:
      Why does it cost $250,000 to recover the data? This seems like a lot.

      This amount enables us first to save the data from destruction, and then to support the complex analyses necessary to solve this mystery. We may well have to bring in more help from other eminent "celestial mechanicians" to provide fresh perspectives on the anomaly.

      Before giving them a cent, I'd really like to know a) how much the data retrieval costs and b) whether it really can't be done by EDS or someone else accustomed to dealing with ancient data files. I'm certainly not donating for them to "may well have to bring in more help".
    2. Re:RTFF by Rich0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, but the only urgent part of this project is recovering the data.

      In theory for far less you could simply recover the data, test that it was recovered properly, and then stick it on a webpage for anybody in the world to analyze.

      Their proposal is to solve the secrets of the universe for $250k. I might suggest that maybe the goal should be to simply transfer the data for $10k, and let somebody else pay for solving the secrets of the universe. The data recovery project is also far more likely to be successful...

    3. Re:RTFF by Pete · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I don't have anything particularly intelligent to say other than that I totally agree with you.

      That Planetary Society FAQ does seem like... now what's the right word.... bullshit. So they came up with a suspiciously large and round number ($250K) but, as far as we've seen, no detailed budget behind it? No explanation of what happens to excess funds?

      For fuck's sake, Planetary Society people, it looks disturbingly like a "don't think just donate! QUICKLY!" campaign, built around fear of NASA apparently doing something extraordinarily stupid. There are just too many holes in the story, too much that makes no sense.

      I strongly suspect that they really just want to fund a few qualified people to work on the data full-time for 6-12 months. But if that's so, a little honesty would be appreciated. There's no fucking way I'd donate to support some ridiculous US salary, when I'm sure there are an enormous number of university-based people all around the world that would love to spend time analysing this kind of data and would do it for free.

      And yeah, it is kind of hazy regarding what information of value they hope to extract from this data. The slashdot writeup "...or it may be as groundbreaking as a clue to completely new physics, perhaps related to dark matter or dark energy" sounds like a nutcase trying to sell something.

    4. Re:RTFF by DrJimbo · · Score: 4, Informative
      Rich0 said:
      Yes, but the only urgent part of this project is recovering the data.

      In theory for far less you could simply recover the data, test that it was recovered properly, and then stick it on a webpage for anybody in the world to analyze.

      TFF said:
      Will the data be made publicly available? Yes. First, the data first must be recovered, validated, documented, and preliminary analyses must be done. After those tasks are completed (probably taking months to a year), the data will be made publicly available, including second-order data products when the raw data is processed by JPL orbit software.
      I am a scientist and I have worked on analyzing large data sets such as this before. The tricky part is what you describe as "test that it was recovered properly". This is what TFF described as "preliminary analyses".

      It would be foolish for a programmer to publish a program on the web without first running it a few times to catch bugs. In the same way, a scientist must check her data (even "raw" data) before just blindly putting it up on the web for all to see. If she posts faulty data then she wastes everyone's time, she looks like a fool and pisses a lot of people off. Her reputation may be ruined.

      But how can she know for sure that the data was recovered properly? Checking parity bits is not nearly enough, because she needs to know for sure that she did not make any subtle mistakes and that no one in the chain of generating and producing the data made any subtle mistakes.

      One necessary (but not sufficient) step is to actually analyze the data with your model(s) and see if it makes sense. If it doesn't, then you may need correct your transcription procedure and go back to the original tapes and read them again.

      Transferring the data for $10K and not doing the preliminary analysis would be foolish beyond belief. I think a better cost estimate is roughly $100K for the transfer(s) and preliminary analysis needed to ensure the transfer was done properly. Since everything would already be set up to analyze the data it makes perfect sense to also get another $100K to do the "real" analysis. Since something may well go wrong, ask for another $50K so you can be reasonably sure of getting it done right in the first go round.

      --
      We don't see the world as it is, we see it as we are.
      -- Anais Nin
  11. So in short by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The Planetary Society is planning on recovering this data and poring over it meticulously to look for something which may have been missed or hidden from current investigations into the phenomenon. They need money to do this, about $250,000, and are asking for donations to fund the project.

    Let me sum up: the USA boldly sends a probe in space, at a very great cost to taxpayers. Some decades later, NASA is forced to scrap the only computer that can access the unique (and very expensive) data collected by said probe, because the administration refuses to fund them properly.

    That's sad enough, but the saddest thing is: a bunch of passionate guys (the planetary society) are begging a measly quarter million bucks to save that priceless data, and the administration just stands there! That's like the cost of running a humvee for a week in Iraq or something. How does that look to the outside world? like a decrepit country where non-profit orgs are forced to take matters into their own hands to save their national treasures. Well done USA :-(

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:So in short by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Except that most of the useful data from the missions have been saved in other formats by now. I can go to the planetary data system and pull up a lot of Pioneer data right now if I wanted to.

      Not every data bit is equally valuable. In this case, the data was probably not originally considered very interesting so wasn't moved at the time. The fact that NASA hasn't copied the data already suggests to me that people near research didn't think that that data would be very helpful in the first place. So while I wish that they'd transfered the data long ago and I applaude the Planetary Society, I am not convinced that this is a horrible failing on NASA's part.

  12. Re:Why the deviance? by tgrimley · · Score: 5, Informative

    from the wikipedia link:

    "When all known forces acting on the spacecraft are taken into consideration, a very small but unexplained force remains. It causes a constant sunwards acceleration of (8.74 ± 1.33) × 10^-10 m/s2 for both spacecraft.

    ...

    "Data from the Galileo and Ulysses spacecraft are also indicative of a similar effect, although for various reasons (such as their relative proximity to the Sun) firm conclusions cannot be drawn from these sources."

  13. Re:Archive in different format by mikeswi · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's just what they're planning to do. The problem is that the current format can only be understood by a particular type of obsolete computer that NASA is about to scrap.

    I had a letter somewhere that explained the problem in detail but I must have tossed it (I'm a member of the society, so I get the occasional mailing). They're planning to port the data to a modern format so it can be examined properly.

  14. Lots of other data by couch_warrior · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If you think this data loss would be unfortunate, you should check out the Earth Resource Observing Satellite (EROS) Data Center run by the US Geological Survey in Sioux Falls South Dakota. For years NASA has been dumping all manner of data tapes there. 9-track, 24-track, literally hundreds of Terabytes of data. And many of those tapes are literally growing mold, sitting in boxes and racks in the basement, for lack of funding to transfer them to more permanent media.
    Think about it, decades of climate data , going back to the 1970's, is being lost due to lethargy on the part of Clowngress. Or is it lethargy.
    Let's see, three and a half decades of climate change data, detailed and explicit. Hmmmm.... who *wouldn't* want that data placed online where researchers could access it? I wonder.....

    --
    "Sic Semper Path of Least Resistance"
  15. But how huge? by John+Harrison · · Score: 4, Insightful
    For instance, how much data is there? I've read some of the linked articles and I can't find any estimate of how many MB there might be. I would guess that there isn't a massive amount of data simply because the thing was designed within the limits of 1970s technology and they had to be able to record the data as it was coming in.

    Also, I would be shocked if NASA didn't document any of the file formats used. I've worked on a NASA project and they are all about documentation. In fact, I was writing a system used to document the shuttle booster production process.

    1. Re:But how huge? by pilgrim23 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Several years ago my father (who is a retired research scientist) commented that he had the cumulative data of some 7 years of research in a obsolete database system (MUMPS) on a 9 track tape squirreled away in his office closet...He really would have liked to look at that data, but no drive was available to read it.
      Thanks to the Internet, and one international mail list I was a member of, I found a wonderful lady at a government data center who was willing to copy the data to a modern medium. And, it was a good thing I put in my request when I did; their one remaining 9 track tape drive was being decommissioned the next month!
      A quick visit to the the UPS fairy and the tape was on its way. A week later I get an email to check a particular ftp for a tar ball and there it was: 30 mbs. - 7 years of research; a mere blip on a modern jump drive......
      Dad was delighted. That data is now on CD, 4 separate hard drives in 2 physical locations, and even an actual paper printout.

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
  16. Re:Why dismantle the computer by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Does anyone know why NASA is dismantling the computers if there really is such a potential treasure-trove of knowledge on these tapes?

    My guess is the operating cost. Those old machines are very VERY costly to run, between the power they need, the special rooms, and the ridiculous MTBF of the componentry that's measured in dozens of minutes.

    But still, I agree. Scrapping the computer on that reason alone is forgetting the hundreds of millions spent on sending the probe out in space in the first place.

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
  17. Re:Why dismantle the computer by Bazman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Possibly because the computer is the size of a large room, the tape drive is half the size of a car, and the air-conditioning for it is in danger of melting. Maybe.

    When I was a physicist we had a DEC VAX with a tape drive, it took a whole room, and probably had less power than my laptop. Tape drives are not small things.

  18. Rather qualified by Richard+W.M.+Jones · · Score: 4, Insightful

    First, the data first must be recovered, validated, documented, and preliminary analyses must be done. After those tasks are completed (probably taking months to a year),

    Why not publish the data immediately, and qualify and expand it as they go along?

    Rich.

  19. Re:Why the deviance? by mollymoo · · Score: 5, Informative
    Is there a Voyager anomaly?

    Perhaps. We don't know because Voyager, like most other spacecraft, is 3-axis stabilised. That means it keeps pointed the right way using only its thrusters. Pioneer is spin stabilised, like a rifle bullet in flight, so requires much smaller pointing corrections using thrusters. The anomaly is a very slight one, so slight that it is lost in the uncertainty caused by the level of thruster activity on 3-axis stabilised craft.

    --
    Chernobyl 'not a wildlife haven' - BBC News
  20. I own a Kennedy 9-Track and a very old 7 track by jbottoms · · Score: 5, Informative

    These tapes should be readable on any midrange or mainframe. I own a Pr1me computer which should serve the purpose. Contactinformation is below: Jeffrey Bottoms, 4405 Pease #3, Houston, TX 77023

  21. This is typical of Govt funded thought processes. by cbelt3 · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm not surprised that NASA was unable to develop funding to convert / analyze this data. After working with them for a few years, and with the 'Military Industrial Complex" for more than that, I can clearly say:
    "If it isn't in the requirements document, it's not going to get done, no matter how simple or beneficial it is."

    I worked on a project back in the early 80's. We were launching missles on a test range. I was responsible for the telemetry recording. We used a massive Honeywell tape drive and a bunch of telemetry circuitry to record at 1MHz. After designing the circuitry to measure and feed the data (all analog, BTW) to the drives, I asked my boss where the specs were for the circuitry to read the data back off the tapes for analysis.

    I was told there wasn't any. It wasn't a requirement. And I had better leave it at that. I kind of freaked- how the hell can we spend $100K in hardware and time to record tapes that can never, ever be read ?

    The answer ? It was basically butt covering. If something happened they would ask the gummint to fund a project to read the data off the tapes.

    I went ahead and designd and built a playback system on the side, nights and weekends. We went ahead and launched missles. We had guidance failures. I was asked to read the tapes. I pulled out my breadboarded setup, and read the tapes. The project team was happy, problems were solved, etc.

    And I was put on the next layoff list for 'failing to obey orders'. So I got a better job, and quit before the axe fell (large defense contractor axes fell sloowly back then- lots of little clerk types had to spent their quality time with each piece of paper).

    The Moral ? Never underestimate the stupidity of large organizations- governmental or otherwise.

  22. Some background... by ear1grey · · Score: 4, Informative

    This paper reviews the current status of the anomaly and describes how the Pioneer data could help. It may be a bit math-intensive for some, but the words surrounding the sums do pull them all into focus.

  23. Re:It's obviously an alien plot. by ninti · · Score: 4, Informative

    I have been involved with the Planetary Society before and they are a group of good people. If you put a note saying this is specifically what you want your money spent on, I'm sure they would honor it.

  24. Re:It's obviously an alien plot. -- missing step by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 4, Funny

    1.Deviate spacecrafts from their precisely-planned flightpaths.
    2.Blockbuster movie staring famous Scientologist.
    3.Profit!

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  25. I talked to the guy who used to run Pioneer... by david.given · · Score: 5, Informative
    ...and the situation is as follows:
    • The data used to be stored on magnetic tape. When the tape started deteriorating, all the data was archived off onto then state-of-the-art MO disks.
    • The machine used was a MicroVAX with a DEC RWZ21 SCSI MO drive, which is apparently quite rare. The disks are 128MB each.
    • For Pioneer 10, there are 155 disks, making 19840 MB of data.
    • For Pioneer 11, there are 217 disks, making 27776 MB of data.
    • Each disk takes about 10 minutes to read to the MicroVAX, and then more time to move across onto a real computer, of course.

    I would have happily volunteered to spend a couple of days swapping disks in order to salvage all this lot, but alas, I'm the wrong side of the Atlantic. The guy in charge has recently been made redundant, and he was desperate to find someone to hand off all this to... but there's incredible beaurocracy. (I gather all the data was actually supposed to have been destroyed some years ago, but through some 'oversight' hadn't been.)

    Alas, I don't have permission to publish his address, but I'll put him in touch with the Planetary Society on the off chance he doesn't know about this.

    Interestingly, for years he ran the Pioneer spacecraft off a Mac Quadra 950! Check out the screen shots...

  26. Re:I can help - RTFA please by Skjellifetti · · Score: 4, Funny

    I have an 8-track deck in my Charger...

    Will you please RTFA. It clearly says 7 and 9 track tapes.

    But statistically speaking, it ought to work on average.

  27. Re:It's obviously an alien plot. by Linus+Torvaalds · · Score: 4, Funny

    UFO - 500 zarbos

    Tractor beam - 100 zarbos

    Antimatter fuel - 30 zarbos

    Confusing the puny humans for decades - priceless