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Shuttles Grounded Once Again

PipianJ writes "After discovering that the piece of the shuttle that fell off mysteriously, not actually striking it, (as reported earlier) was a piece of foam insulation not unlike the piece that ended up in the destruction of Columbia, Yahoo News reports that NASA has once again grounded the shuttle fleet."

109 of 685 comments (clear)

  1. FP? by lukew · · Score: 5, Funny

    So how are they going to ground the one in orbit?

    1. Re:FP? by dancpsu · · Score: 4, Funny

      Looks like NASA will have to send ground up to Discovery...

      --
      "Scientists don't change their minds, they just die." -- Max Planck
    2. Re:FP? by macdaddy357 · · Score: 4, Funny

      The new slogan:
      NASA. It's not rocket science!

      --
      How ya like dat?
    3. Re:FP? by vought · · Score: 5, Informative
      Ok, a better question....WHY IS IT MADE OF FOAM?

      I'm going to treat this as if you were serious...

      Liquid hydrogen (the stuff in the big, brown tank, along with liquid oxygen) has a boiling temperature of about -434 degrees fahrenheit.

      The launch site is next to the ocean and bounded by swamps and rivers. Humidity at the launch site is quite high. The surface of the external tank, if exposed to the atmosphere without the foam, would develop a very thick layer of ice - a material with considerably higher density than foam.

      Now, which would you rather flake off of your orbiter during climbout: ice, or foam?

    4. Re:FP? by wo1verin3 · · Score: 2, Funny

      >>I'm sure the Discovery will be able to land.
      >>It's just that once the shuttle is on the
      >>ground, it won't go up again.

      Not if it's in small area of the shuttle which has to deal with a lot of heat.. in this case the small area refers to the outside of the shuttle. :)

    5. Re:FP? by J05H · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'd rather have a rocket with the payload where it's supposed to be: on top. Saturn V never worried about ice shedding, it was expected and not a problem because the payload was on top. Side mounted payloads are suicide.

      I'm not religous, but godspeed Discovery.

      --
      gigantino.tv - Heavy but weighs nothing.
    6. Re:FP? by Various+Assortments · · Score: 4, Funny

      Or perhaps a tea cozy.

    7. Re:FP? by jx100 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's always a Soyuz capsule docked with the ISS, so even if there aren't any shuttles, they can escape out.

    8. Re:FP? by sweetfathairyjesus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You honestly expect the US government, and/or NASA to admit something they have spent billions of tax-payers dollars on (and lined thousands of politicians pockets in the process) is a lost cause!? No way baby, the US is gonna milk this tit for everything it's worth. There will be more "accidents". I wonder how long it'll take the Bush Administration to slap a "terrorists" sticker on this if Discovery gets baked? I guess that's what you get for letting a 25 year old space craft be serviced and maintained by the lowest bidder.

    9. Re:FP? by kurt555gs · · Score: 4, Funny

      I believe that it was Alan Shepard that said "10,000,000 parts in this thing, and every single one of them built by the low bidder"

      Cheers

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    10. Re:FP? by 10e6Steve · · Score: 5, Funny

      WHY IS IT MADE OF FOAM?

      The shuttle and boosters are packaged using foam peanuts so that while during shipping it cushions the fragile spacecraft. My recommendation is to use bubble wrap which doesn't fall out of the box as easily when opened and not as bad to the environment.

    11. Re:FP? by surprise_audit · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Park it at the Space Station for use as quarters and an extra instrument platform, then send up a couple of extra Soyuz to bring the crew down??

    12. Re:FP? by WhiplashII · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, if ice were the problem they would ignore it - they typically do not bother to insulate LOX tanks, for example, because they form an ice layer that is a very effective insulator (the ice falls off during launch, but in a normal rocket nothing is below the tank to hit!).

      The problem with LH is that it condenses oxygen from the atmosphere onto it. That does two really bad things - first, you now have lox all over the place turning everything around it into a high explosive (pratically any porous substance, like concrete or asphalt, becomes a high explosive when saturated with LOX), and this is not a good thing to have around when lighting up a rocket. Second, condensing the LOX adds a lot of energy into the LH, boiling it, possibly raising the pressure enough to rupture the tank - KABOOM! (Remember that LOX sitting around outside the tank? Great stuff!)

      Even if the LH tank doesn't rupture, you would never get the tank full enough to fly...

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    13. Re:FP? by kcelery · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A poor design is a poor design. It been pointed out by many /.ers that a cargo vessel should optimize for payload capacity, a passenger vessel should optimize for safety. A vessel that is both optimize (reads compromise) for passenger and payload is neither safe nor economical in terms $ / kg.

    14. Re:FP? by phoenix.bam! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How about a big Nuh UH! The Russian Soyez can only hold 3 passengers. which is why the space station will never reach the intended capacity of 7. No one build the proper escape pod. Soyez takes 3, station has 2, shuttle has 7. Hmm. it's going to be a tight squeeze, or someone will be left behind.

    15. Re:FP? by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What's "funny" is that the shuttle wasn't supposed to be the be-all end-all solution, they only made five of 'em for pete's sake. With a "production run" of five, the only label that could reasonably be applied is, "prototype"

      The space shuttle experiment was a great success. It proved that with late 70's technology, an RLV was simply not as cost effective or as safe as you would expect. Of course, saturn V's are not much better ($ per launch), but they make up for it in $ per kg.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    16. Re:FP? by PyroMosh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I know that they used to paint the ET, and why they stopped. But is there any evidence at all that paint kept the foam, or would keep the foam from peeling? Any data at all?

    17. Re:FP? by crawling_chaos · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I think the real problem was the decision for external insulation. The second and third stages of the Saturn V required insulation for their cryogenic tanks, and after much debate it was decided that it needed to be fitted inside the tanks. That made tank assembly a real bitch, and NASA wanted to get to something simpler for the shuttle, as one was supposed to be going up every three weeks or so. Spray on foam is easier to apply than the precision fitted insulation blocks required for internal insulation. The difference is that the internal insulation can't shed. If it did, then you could get insulation fragments in the turbopumps, which would be a Bad Thing.

      I don't think that you are going to get a truly reusuable vehicle in the traditional rocket shape, I'm afraid. Saturn worked because it was designed to be thrown away, except for the reentry vehicle. If we had continued along that path, then this is a perfectly sensible approach to the problem. With a reusable vehicle, you are going to have exposed heat shields at launch, it is pretty much unavoidable.

      --
      You can only drink 30 or 40 glasses of beer a day, no matter how rich you are.
      -- Colonel Adolphus Busch
    18. Re:FP? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The weight of the shuttle (with full cargo) is more than saturn 5 could lift into orbit.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saturn_V
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_shuttle

      So lifing all that reusable structure is what makes it more expensive per kg.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
  2. Remember... by daveschroeder · · Score: 5, Informative
    Jokes about the shuttle fleet being grounded while one is on orbit aside, things fall off the shuttles all the time during launch and reentry. This is expected. Foam insulation (during launch), insulating tiles, and so on. In the previous 113 missions, the shuttles have been hit with debris over 15,000 times, mostly during launch. Additionally, NASA replaces about 100 protective tiles after every flight and repairs hundreds more.

    The point is, now that we're looking intensely for problems in this area, we're going to find them. We're looking with eyes, cameras, satellites, lasers, sensors, robotic arms - all with unprecedented scrutiny. What do we expect to find? The shuttles are the most complicated pieces of machinery ever built, designed to launch into space with a controlled explosion, and then return to earth. Regardless of whether some here think the shuttle is junk, whether it's unnecessary, whether Air Force jocks doomed the program for the beginning, whether manned spaceflight is sentimental tripe, etc., the fact remains that flying something like the shuttle is a risky endeavor.

    It's all about smart management of risk. Eliminating risk, especially for something like the shuttle, is impossible. This focus on debris falling from the shuttle is nothing more than a reactionary CYA tactic in the midst of a media circus in case something else like this were to happen again. Doing get me wrong: it's wise to consider the problem, to attempt to prevent it, and to ensure there is not undue exposure. But that exposure cannot be eliminated, and this intense focus on debris in particular beyond anything else, even in light of Columbia, is unwarranted.

    NASA is operating in panic mode: one more catastrophic shuttle failure, and that's the end of the shuttle program, and essentially the practical end of the ISS and a lot of scientific research to boot. If you're paralyzed with fear, you're, well...paralyzed.

    This New York Times article, which I posted in the previous article on this, sums up the situation quite nicely, for those who may have missed it.

    Notable:

    ...all this inspection may be a mixed blessing. The more NASA looks for damage, engineers and other experts say, the more it will find. And the risks of overreaction to signs of damage while the shuttle is in orbit may be just as great as the risks of playing them down.

    "How do you distinguish - discriminate - between damage which is critical and damage which is inconsequential?" asked Dr. David Wolf, an astronaut who spent four months aboard the Russian space station Mir. "We could be faced with very difficult decisions, in part because of all this additional information that we will be presented with." ...if a crack is detected [...] "how is NASA supposed to explain that this is not a problem?"

    "...the harder they look, they'll find more things."

    "There is risk in anything you do."

    July 27, 2005

    Intense Hunt for Signs of Damage Could Raise Problems of Its Own

    By JOHN SCHWARTZ

    CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla., July 26 - Now that the Discovery is in orbit, the examination begins. Its 12½-day mission will be the most photographed in the history of the shuttle program, with all eyes on the craft to see if it suffered the kind of damage from blastoff debris that brought down the Columbia in February 2003.

    There were cameras on the launching pad, cameras aloft on planes monitoring the ascent, cameras on the shuttle checking for missing foam on the external fuel tank, and a camera on the tank itself. One camera caught a mysterious object falling from the shuttle at liftoff; radar detected another, about two minutes into the flight. Cameras aboard the shuttle and the International Space Station will monitor the Discovery until the end of its mission.

    But all this inspection may be a mixed blessing. The more NASA looks for damage, engineers an

    1. Re:Remember... by DaveCar · · Score: 5, Funny

      We're looking with eyes, cameras, satellites, lasers, sensors, robotic arms

      <slap> You look with your eyes, cameras, satellites and lasers, not your robotic hands! And you can put your sensor away too!

    2. Re:Remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Doing get me wrong: it's wise to consider the problem, to attempt to prevent it, and to ensure there is not undue exposure. But that exposure cannot be eliminated, and this intense focus on debris in particular beyond anything else, even in light of Columbia, is unwarranted.

      The large piece of foam that was seen to fall off Discovery this time is AGAIN essentially the same piece of foam that doomed Columbia. (Foam from the external tank bipod strut.)

      The changes undertaken during the last 2.5 years were supposed to prevent that particular location from shedding foam!

      The main reason for putting the extra cameras on Discovery was to see if the preventative fixes worked. They didn't!

      When Columbia was destroyed, it made sense to find out what happened and expend reasonable effort to try to fix the problem.

      Surely it also makes sense to act on this information which indicates that the risk of the very same event happening has not been significantly lessened!

    3. Re:Remember... by metallicagoaltender · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That wouldn't be a very good idea...if the repair isn't absolutely necessary, you could risk doing further damage, considering the repair operation would be a new operation. For damage that they're fairly sure won't be fatal, they're much better off just leaving it alone.

    4. Re:Remember... by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "and essentially the practical end of the ISS"

      And why would that be? It might be the end of NASA and U.S involvement in the ISS. I wouldn't be surprised if the Russians would keep ISS going. They have an inexpensive, ultra reliable pair of spacecraft unlike NASA, and can service it though at modest levels. They wont ferry any more U.S. astronauts there because NASA has been a deadbeat for the duration of the last 2 1/2 years, and hasn't paid Russia to carry U.S. astronauts and supplies to the ISS (because Congress slapped an embargo on Russia over Iran's Russian reactor). The Russian's said no more to the free ride a few months ago.

      As you recall the Russian's were forced to abandon Mir as the price for their participation in ISS. The core of the ISS is essentially Russian built Mir-2. Don't imagine they want to let NASA incompetence torpedo their long running permenent presence in space.

      I imagine at this point the Russians would dance a jig if the U.S. threw in the towel on ISS so the Russian could take complete ownership of it, and partner with the ESA and countries who aren't so wellll, NASA. Russian's have zero reason to partner with NASA at this point since they get no funding from the U.S. NASA didn't have much to offer the RSA except money and that is no more.

      ISS is of marginal real value but the Russians haven't squandered the vast sums on it NASA has so its a better return on investment for them especially with NASA out of the way.

      A few weeks ago the Russian government green ligthed development of the next gen Russian manned spacecraft Kliper and ESA is very interested in partnering with them so Europe will have a manned space program free of NASA's poor performance in recent decades. I'm taking bets Kliper flies before CEV does (though Mike Griffin sure is an improvement over O'Keefe').

      --
      @de_machina
    5. Re:Remember... by WhiteBandit · · Score: 2, Informative

      I can't remember the source, but when the shuttle was designed, I believe it was stated that every mission there was a 1 in 52 chance of critical failure. The shuttle has actually shown itself to be much more reliable than that, in fact. I don't see what the panic is, it isn't like the astronauts don't assume some risk when they take the assignments. Let's face it, hurling a chunk of metal into space going in excess of 12,500 MPH isn't ever going to be 100% safe.

      You have it backwards. The shuttle was INITITIALLY thought to be extraordinarily safe. Before the Challenger explosion, the odds were put at 1 in 100,000 of a critical failure happening. Then the Challenger accident occured. They raised it to something like 1 in 52 chance. As more shuttles launched, they lowered the estimate again to around 1 in 200. Columbia happened.

      The latest estimates put the risk of failure at 1 and 100. However, the ACTUAL statistic, based on successful missions vs disasters is 1 in 57. So the bottom line is that the Shuttle has shown to be quite a bit less reliable than we originally thought.

    6. Re:Remember... by demachina · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "the shuttles have been hit with debris over 15,000 times, mostly during launch."

      You can rationalize it all you want but the fact is its a bad design. A couple basic reasons:

      - The foam is applied by hand to the ET, it is a hack added after the design was done to deal with all the ice that they had to know would be there. but chose to TOTALLY ignore in the original design. Applying that foam by hand is an accident waiting to happen, because it ends up different on every tank. If there are air bubbles under it at the wrong place its going to blow off and hit the shuttle. Most of the time its non fatal but it can be fatal anytime. The foma that did fly off was heading in the general diretion of the leading edge though it didn't get close.....this time. Its always a gamble.

      - Prior to the Shuttle U.S. spacecraft had all the most delicate and important manned part of the stack, that had to survive the whole mission, and keep the crew alive at the top of the stack. Debris and ice rained down all over Saturn V but there wasn't anything fragile to hit and the stuff on the bottom is ditched early and isn't around for reentry. The crucial heat shield was totally protected since is was between the capsule and the stage below so it couldn't get damaged by debris. All the new designs return to putting the vehicle at the top of the stack because that is a good design. Handing it on the side of a cryo tank was a now fatal mistake.

      The shuttle by contrast has a massive, very fragile array of heat shields all of which are out in the open and most of which are right next to the ET which sheds debris and or ice every flight. Its an accident waiting to happen. Its a crap shoot if debris falls off in the right place to strike the wrong place on the shuttle. In Columbia it did. There are odds it will happen again, so now NASA knows it has to spend half of every mission just checking to make sure a debris strike or a faulty tile isn't in the wrong place, and it can't fly any place but the ISS in the event the roll snake eyes again and get damage to the heat shield in the wrong place.

      --
      @de_machina
    7. Re:Remember... by ChadN · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You say that foam shedding is "expected", and yet that misses the entire point of the post-Columbia investigation results. (And post-Challenger) for that matter.

      Foam shedding was NOT expected when the shuttle was designed; the foam came in late in the game apparently. The tiles and wing structures were not designed with the intention of being struck by so much debris at such high speeds, and so initially the foam was seen as a real risk to the shuttle integrity. However, over the course of many launches, as the foam debris strikes piled up, it came to be an "expected" event, and the risk it posed was downplayed. And although you may "expect" a car with failing brakes to not crash everytime you move it, that doesn't mean you should drive it that way.

      The mindset that foam was not likely to cause loss of structural integrity, was so strong for NASA shuttle managers that when the Columbia launched for the last time, they did not have a proper way to evaluate the extent of damage from foam. They had lots of data on small foam hits, and this was a BIG foam hit, and at very high speed. But since previous ones hadn't broken the shuttle, there was an "expectation" that even big foam hits probably wouldn't; they really weren't sure. The engineers obviously knew that F=ma could be a large number, even for small m, and they attempted to adapt some tools to calculate the possible damage. But the mindset that "foam is an expected event, it hasn't led to shuttle loss before" was already too well entrenched, and so the risk of wing impact damage was essentially dismissed.

      This was made famously clear, when during the post-Columbia loss investigation, Scott Hubbard demanded that the foam gun tests be performed (ie. launching foam at a mock-up of the shuttle wing) in order to convince shuttle flight managers of the risk it posed. At that point, the majority of the investigation team already knew that the foam had been the cause and didn't press for those tests, but Scott knew the NASA culture, and knew they would not accept it unless proven beyond a shadow of a doubt. Against NASA's objections, the tests were performed, and we all saw the results.

      It is important to remember that the exact same problem in mindset doomed the Challenger flight. The O-rings were not designed to allow any burn through of the rubber. When it started to occur, it was accepted as an inevitable consequence of launch, rather than a fatal design flaw. Because it had not burned completely through on previous flights, it was accepted that some burn through would happen, and not be catastrophic. NASA management downplayed the risk so much that even when engineers insisted that such a failure was more likely on a cold launch, their objections were not well understood. Burn-through was "expected", so how much of a risk could it be?

      There is a lot to be learned about engineering, and management, by these examples. Engineering has been called the art of compromise. However, when so much compromise has been made, it becomes easy for people to not properly evaluate all the consequences. Meanwhile, management has pressures that go outside the engineering realm, and the psychology of that situation can lead to completely unrealistic assessments of risks and liabilities.

      --
      "It's overkill, of course. But you can never have too much overkill." - Anonymous Slashdot Coward
  3. Huh now? by Akardam · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Isn't that kind of hard to do with one of them already in orbit? I thought that the idea was that they could scramble Atlantis for a rescue mission if Discovery was seriously damaged...

    1. Re:Huh now? by daveschroeder · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Except Discovery is not "seriously damaged".

      (And another shuttle would hardly be "scrambled".)

      And the fact that the over 15,000 pieces of debris that hit the shuttle on the previous 113 flights didn't cause any problems 112 of those 113 times. You might say once is too many, but we're only finding issues here because we're looking so hard.

      And, no, it's not "hard to do" with one shuttle on orbit. The fleet is grounded. Discovery is on orbit. Once it returns, no further shuttles will be launched until further notice. Quite simple.

    2. Re:Huh now? by iocat · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Maybe they should start painting the foam again, as called for in the initial design spec. I know if was heavy and expensive, but it might stick together better.

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    3. Re:Huh now? by badasscat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Dont know about you guys but a 1 in 113 chance of a massive catastrophy sounds pretty high to me.

      And that's why they pay astronauts the big bucks.

      The fact is space travel is still in its infancy. The space shuttle was supposed to transition us to the point where space travel was routine, but for a variety of reasons that never happened. We thought it was happening, in the early 1980's, but then the Challenger brought us back to reality (I actually wrote "back down to earth" before realizing what a bad metaphor that would be). Anyway, even if the shuttle was as successful at everything it was supposed to be, a transition is still a transition. The shuttle was to help us learn how to make space travel routine.

      It's done that, but it is a complicated machine, and as the saying goes, this is rocket science. It's not easy, and I remember reading a bit after the Columbia accident that despite the OV (Orbiter Vehicle) designation the shuttles carry, they are still considered experimental vehicles within NASA and are treated as such. Astronauts are by definition test pilots. The fact that they actually get real work done on most missions is pretty amazing, considering. But they go into it with an understanding that it is dangerous work - even knowing that, could you imagine a better, more honorable way to die if it came to that? Would you rather die working for your country, for humanity, doing important scientific work that will pave the way for future generations, or would you rather die of a heart attack while sitting on a toilet taking a crap one day? This is the thinking astronauts have.

      Someday, we will reach the point where space travel is relatively safe. But the early shuttle days were a red herring - space travel has never been safe, and it is still not safe. This doesn't mean we shouldn't do it. Since Columbia, there has been a rumbling that suggests if you can't make space flight as safe as atmospheric flight, that manned space flight should simply be abandoned until it can be. That's at least partly what's behind the decision to ground the fleet today - after all, nothing happened on Discovery's launch that hasn't happened on every other launch before. The issue is this is no longer considered an acceptable risk.

      Maybe in the end this will be a good thing, and it will drive NASA to create more robust vehicles that genuinely are safer, and that will put us on a path towards commoditizing space travel. My fear is that it will simply scare us away from manned space travel altogether, which will be a shame.

      The space shuttle fleet is definitely near the end of its useful life, though... which is kind of hard for me to acknowledge, as someone who watched the first experimental flights of the Enterprise live on TV in the 1970's. This was a huge event back then, filled with the promise of things to come. Well, like a lot of things in life, the shuttle program accomplished a whole lot of things but never quite did live up to its full potential. And now it's winding down, in a not very good way. Oh well, such is life, and hopefully NASA and the world will learn from the experience. I just really hope the recent shuttle problems don't scare this country away from space flight altogether. It is dangerous and we must accept that, even as we strive to make it safer.

    4. Re:Huh now? by CharlieG · · Score: 5, Informative

      How about switching back to the older foam that shead less. NASA switched to an "envrionmentally friendly" foam a few years back, even though they have an exemption...

      --
      -- 73 de KG2V For the Children - RKBA! "You are what you do when it counts" - the Masso
    5. Re:Huh now? by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This would not be a good idea.

      On one side of the tank, you have O2 and H2 at 100C saturated water vapour that will surround them seconds after ignition. The thermal shock on naked tanks could rupture them, which would very likely lead to very nasty consequences. Also, in such a water-rich environment, it would take only seconds to grow ice sheets some milimeters thick on a naked tank... even atmospheric moisture would be enough for that over the first few minutes of ascent where atmospheric moisture is still significant.

      So, the insulation is necessary before, during and after launch for at least two reasons.

    6. Re:Huh now? by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 2

      Wow, you would take that chance just to go in orbit? It isn't like some heaven or something, it is just freefall. What is so great about it? You won't be remembered in history for going into orbit or anything unless you were the first. You will get a good view, that's about it.

      --

      --

      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
    7. Re:Huh now? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative
      How about switching back to the older foam that shead less. NASA switched to an "envrionmentally friendly" foam a few years back, even though they have an exemption...
      That's partly truth and partly fiction. The 'enviromentally friendly' foam is used for acreage foam (and has lead to the 'popcorn' problems). The ramp that broke off was made from the older "enviromentally unfriendly" foam. At any rate, Columbia flew with an older tank, all if it's insulation was the older "unfriendly" foam.

      Much has been made of the two types of foam, but it's a non-issue in reality.

  4. Spaced by fembots · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does that mean Discovery is Spaced?

  5. What a wonderful bit of news... by chill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...to wake up to, if you're on the Shuttle in orbit! That has just GOT to be a major morale booster for the people currently in space.

    "Uh, yeah. Remember Columbia? Well, to make sure it doesn't happen again, none of the Shuttles are going to fly. Oh, except you guys. You're cool. Trust us."

    --
    Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    1. Re:What a wonderful bit of news... by javaxman · · Score: 4, Insightful
      ...to wake up to, if you're on the Shuttle in orbit! That has just GOT to be a major morale booster for the people currently in space.

      And their families back on the ground...

      Seriously, I'd hate to be the one who has to answer the question "Is daddy going to be OK?".

      Of course, you have to think, yea, they checked out their ship, yea kid, they'll be fine, we just have something to work on before we do our next launch, it's no big deal... and yea, this is just fairly normal stress for families of astronauts ( it's not like they're serving in Iraq or Afganistan or living in downtown D.C. or anything ) but all the same... not exactly the news you want to hear. That supersonic plane you're flying? We just recalled it. Have a nice flight...

  6. Isn't debris unavoidable? by sTalking_Goat · · Score: 5, Insightful
    That what I've been hearing from all the "experts" the vibration from take-off always shakes stuff loose, so aren't they overreacting just a tad.

    This sounds like the death of US space travel, but maybe this will speed along a space shuttle replacement.

    --

    My days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle...

    1. Re:Isn't debris unavoidable? by RatBastard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, it wouldn't be a problem if the heat shields weren't as fragile as empty eggshells. This isn't a problem with the tank or the insulation on it. It's a fundiimental flaw in the design of the orbiter. It's never going to be fixed because there is no way to fix it.

      The shuttle fleet should be mothballed and replaced with a workable vehicle.

      --
      Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
    2. Re:Isn't debris unavoidable? by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Interesting
      > That what I've been hearing from all the "experts" the vibration from take-off always shakes stuff loose, so aren't they overreacting just a tad.

      Takeoffs are optional. Landings are mandatory.

      NASA has lost two vehicles by disregarding safety issues as "overreaction" and proceeding with optional takeoffs.

      NASA has now found evidence that the design flaw that brought down the last shuttle is still present. By saying "OK, no more takeoffs until we have a better solution", NASA has done the right thing.

      "Better solution" could be as simple as changing the formulation of the foam or sacrificing some payload capacity to lay some paint over the foam. "Better solution" could be as expensive as permanently grounding the Shuttle fleet and diverting the remaining Shuttle budget towards the development of a new launch vehicle.

      Which solution is appropriate depends on engineers and politicians. Removing the politicians entirely from that equation is also important - but at least we've seen some evidence today that NASA is learning from its mistakes.

  7. put public money into space by sokodude · · Score: 2, Insightful

    NASA is a failed government venture and has become a laughing stock and waste of american tax dollars.

    we need to give money to the private sector if we ever want to advance in space.

    if aviation had stayed strictly military air travel would never have been as available as it is today.

    1. Re:put public money into space by LnxAddct · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you seen what they've done lately? Do you have any idea how complex what they are doing is? Do you see how far behind all the other space agencies are? Honest to god, your comment was the most ignorant comment I've ever read on slashdot, go read a book (or NASA'a website) and learn a thing or two.
      Regards,
      Steve

  8. $1Billion for this? by skelly33 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What do you suppose Burt Rutan could have done with that kind of funding? This is a disgrace.

    1. Re:$1Billion for this? by Tiger4 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Burt would have bought a ton of good publicity for himself, then built a smaller and less capable shuttle, and taken the remainder and retired.

      Remember, SpaceShipOne is not orbital capable. It is capable of going straight up, then straight back down. Achieving orbit (and recovering to earth sucessfully) requires 30 - 50 times more energy due to the much higher velocities to get to orbit.

      Lots of speed = lots of heat, and you need a way to shed it if you don't want to burn up. They've known that for years and it doesn't change just because you have a famous name and don't work for NASA.

      They may have hosed the shuttle program as a whole, but the technology involved to make it work is some of the best ever invented. Being Burt Rutan doesn't change that. For Ex: part of the reason the first SpaceShipOne flight went swooping in corkscrews is because Rutan decided it didn't need a gimbaling engine. The one they installed was off alignment. Ooops.

      --
      Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
  9. Go back to painted external tanks by Tiger4 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    NASA needs to re-adopt the paint on the external tank. At least on the shuttle side of the tank, the foam insulation needs a coat of paint to eliminate the porosity of the foam. That will lock the ice out of the foam and prevent it from tearing it off the tank.

    The paint probably ought to be non-stick coated to inhibit excess ice formation too. Then put heaters in critical locations to break up the ice while the shuttle stack is sitting on the ground, or still moving at slow speeds. That way, supersonic chunks of ice won't go zinging into the shuttle body and we don't have to wonder if we've launched another one way mission to space.

    --
    Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
    1. Re:Go back to painted external tanks by brer_rabbit · · Score: 4, Funny
      The paint probably ought to be non-stick coated to inhibit excess ice formation too.

      Ok Einstein, exactly how do you intend to get this non-stick coated paint to stick to the external tank? ;)

    2. Re:Go back to painted external tanks by ciroknight · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Comes at an expensive cost; paint has weight, and when you're coating that much surface area, the weight adds up. More weight on the tank, less the shuttle can lift as currently formatted.

      No, the real thing we need to do is replace the fleet, and go through with the current redesign plans to place the shuttle's body utop the fuel tank. That way anything that falls hits an SRB and not the shuttle's hull.

      Personally I think it pedantic and panicky to ground the whole fleet due to some insulation falling, but it was that which harmed Columbia. I mean every launch has had parts fall.

      But, I guess I will side with them for now, until we get more information these next few days.

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    3. Re:Go back to painted external tanks by NOLAChief · · Score: 4, Informative

      Nice idea, but it won't work. Ice formation on the tank has nothing to do with it. The trouble with hand-laid foam insulation(which is what this was) is that large air pockets can form during the forming process. These air pockets are at atmospheric pressure (14.7 psi). As the craft climbs higher into the atmosphere, the surrounding air pressure drops, causing that pocket to expand. Eventually the pocket can pop like a balloon, knocking off a chunk of foam. Were the tank painted, the paint would just come off along with the rest of the piece.

    4. Re:Go back to painted external tanks by doubtless · · Score: 2, Funny

      You would do it exactly like how you stick teflon to the frying pan, of course. ;)

      --
      geek page at KY speaks
  10. Atlantis in no condition for rescues by Tumbleweed · · Score: 4, Funny

    I think that Atlantis is in need of a new Zero Point Module before it can be used for any rescue missions.

    (*Damn* I hate that show.)

  11. I see the problem! by someonewhois · · Score: 5, Funny

    I see it! I see it! http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2005/TECH/space/07/27/space .shuttle/top.shuttle.debris.jpg See that red arrow? THAT'S what hit the shuttle!

    1. Re:I see the problem! by chiok · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's a fake! That's a photoshop job if I've ever seen one. I can tell because the shadowing on the red arrow is all wrong.

  12. Huh? by daveschroeder · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The foam didn't even strike Discovery! It's just that it *fell off* at all, and the fact that everyone is paying attention to it now because of Columbia.

    Yes, they'll be coming back. And no, it won't be particularly interesting if they land safely, because the foam didn't even hit the shuttle, not to mention that the shuttle has been hit by debris over 15000 times in the history of the program. Over a hundred tiles alone fall off and need to be replaced on every mission.

    There's nothing interesting about this except the media circus. It's to bad they don't pay more attention to the *actual science* that NASA is doing with the shuttle, on this and the hundred-some other missions instead of obsessing over foam.

    1. Re:Huh? by bbaskin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, this particular chunck of foam IS relevant and an important event. Yes, lots of debris strikes the shuttles on lift-off, but most are quite small, much less than 1 lb or the "size of a suitcase" like the chunk that doomed Columbia. This piece they are concerned about was a similar size, but missed the orbiter. A strike from a similar sized piece of foam is a serious deal, unlike the 1" deep or less gouges to the tiles that are common. 1+ lb foam strikes will cause damage that is beyond the ability of NASA's still experimental repair methods.

      So the big deal is not that some random foam bits came off, it's that a very large foam bit came off above the shuttle of comparable size to the one that popped a (non-repairable) hole in Columbia. This wasn't supposed to happen again.

      A more sure-fire fix than better quality control would be to place a single layer of fiberglass/kevlar/(or maybe carbon) composite over the troublesome areas of the tank. Use a room-temp cure system and a layer a few thousandths thick. We use a woven "B" cloth at work that would do the trick. Yes, it'd add weight, but would solve the foam problem by adding some structure to work as a net to keep dislodged foam pieces with the tank and not flying towards the shuttle.

      Then launch the few remaining shuttles to get thier work done and can the whole program.

      Bryan Baskin

  13. Parallel Plight by cryptocom · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Let's see here: budget cuts, failing space program, failing economy, global criticism regarding human injustices abroad, rapid decrease of freedom and increase of governmental power...sounds alot like the SOVIET UNION doesn't it?

    --
    It takes just a moment and an action to destroy. It takes some time and thought to create.
  14. Re:I see the problem! arrows get u everytime by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Funny

    I see it! I see it! See that red arrow? THAT'S what hit the shuttle!

    This is why I always use blue arrows. Red arrows are dangerous.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  15. Embedded Systems? by Beardo+the+Bearded · · Score: 4, Informative

    I guess you've never heard of an embedded system.

    Those can't ship with bugs. Try applying a patch to several hundred 512 byte micros that are controlling the charging systems on the shock paddles in hospitals.

    --

    ---
    ECHELON is a government program to find words like bomb, jihad, plutonium, assassinate, and anarchy.
    1. Re:Embedded Systems? by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 2, Informative
      Let me think about some embedded systems I have personal experience of:
      1. Linksys network storage device - firmware updates downloadable to fix bugs
      2. Garmin GPS - firmware updates available to fix bugs (does shoddy filtering count as a bug?)
      3. Calculators - most new ones bugs of one sort or another. Some have firmware updates.
      4. Palm. Is that en embedded system? It's buggy as hell.
      5. Game consoles - definitely have bugs but this time game developers find workarounds. Of course the games ship with bugs.
      6. Steering control on 1st gen Priuses - buggy at low speeds. Fixable with firmware upgrade.
      7. Climate control in my Saab 93 - a disaster of engineering - I thought PID controllers were textbook material. Probably fixable with firmware upgrade, I haven't asked.
      8. My 2nd gen iPod. Ironically, battery charging control completely f**ked. Firmware upgrades f**k it more.
      9. Oven. Aha! An embedded system that seems 100% reliable.
      Maybe when you're writing code that's 512 bytes long you can keep the bug count down.
      --
      Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  16. Bu but ... by DysenteryInTheRanks · · Score: 5, Funny

    Jokes about the shuttle fleet being grounded while one is on orbit aside But I ... was just about to .. then you ... and I ... You preempted my clever +5 Funny -- which I was all about to post with a high degree of self satisfaction -- in the first CLAUSE of your comment, DAMN YOU DAVE SCHROEDER, DAMN YOUUU! Give the rest of us a chance at some karma, wouldja? ... I told them not to touch the red stapler ... then on Slashdot ... said to put the joke aside ... aside, I tell you ... going to burn down the server ...

  17. Re:Ummm,.... What about Discovery by NOLAChief · · Score: 2, Informative

    The mission continues. Likely, if a problem surfaces, Atlantis would still be sent up after them. There's no sense in bringing down the orbiter until the assessments they already had planned for this mission can be completed. Right now, the shuttle does not appear to be damaged; it was a close call. Once Discovery lands, though, that's it until the tank's fixed.

  18. New NASA acronym by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 5, Funny

    Need A Shuttle Alternative

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  19. How Risky was a cross atlantic cross in the 1500's by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder how risky was the cross atlantic sailing were in the mid 1500's. I am sure mortality was a lot higher then 1% then it is with the shuttle program. If you are going to ground the fleet when a takeoff was near perfect and inspection did not show any problems, but there was a bit of derby that the experts expected anyways, just seems like the politicians are in control and have no courage, because there are a few winers about it (Which would consist of probably the same percentage of people that the morality rate of the shuttle). Yes compared to Airplain, Boats of this era, and even cars, The shuttle is dangerous, that is why highly skilled pilots are on board, because it is dangerous.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  20. Re:what do we expect to find? by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Moore's law works on the shuttle too. if only NASA, and the government goons, would open the development and research funding to the public market."
    No it doesn't. Aerodynamics is a pretty mature science. Look at cars, aircraft, and ships. They do not double in performance every 18 months.
    1 Moore's law IS NOT law of physics like the speed of light is a constant.
    2. Moore's law is based on observation of one specific technology integrated circuits.
    3. Moore's law even for integrated circuits will have a limit.

    The only way to improve the design drastically would be to build NEW shuttles. There is a limit to how much you can improve a design without building a new design.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  21. watch it grow... by alkaloids · · Score: 3, Informative

    so, Thom Patterson - CNN reported last night that it was a 1.5" piece of tile. MARCIA DUNN, AP Aerospace Writer - on the yahoo! news - says that it's a "sizable chunk of foam insulation -- the very thing that doomed Columbia" - but then later says that it was indeed a 1.5" piece of tile while in the latest report from yahoo! it's simply "a large piece of foam insulation broke." interesting to see this evolve. at least it's not being sensationalized...

  22. Re:God forbid that people apply similar policies.. by NitsujTPU · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not true.

    Certain computing systems absolutely must operate reliably. Unfortunately, modern engineering does not offer a solution to the problem due to a number of constraints.

    Essentially, teams setting out to write flawless systems will be practically incapable of doing so in reasonably complex instances.

    Because of this, we use redundancy. It is of note, however, that people have been killed by buggy software, and that this is something that we can control with proper practices (by which I don't mean any of the more asinine things that the industry has come up with).

    Instances of software both behaving well, and killing people because of malfunctions, can be found in domains such as health care and the military.

  23. Conspiracy Theory? by THotze · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So a piece of foam that was like the one that hit Columbia fell off - the key difference being, that this one DIDN'T hit the shuttle.

    On one hand, I can understand NASA's safety concerns - but, at the same time, it seems that they didn't do a lot to change the external fuel tank - its construction, etc. In fact, you could even say that this is why the shuttle was grounded from a July 13 launch - the sensor that was faulty was built in 1989.... they considered it to be in 'good condition', but, I mean, if it's a 16 year old piece of equipment, how good of condition is that? (I'm not exactly sure how this could be true - external tanks aren't reused, and so unless NASA stockpiled them in the late 80's, the tank would be newer; did the article just mean that it was a 1989 design?)

    On the other hand - we know that pieces of foam have fallen off twice in the past 2 launches - once with devastating effects, and once without. I don't know if anyone at NASA saw fit to review old launch tapes and look for falling insulation à la the stuff that struck Columbia, but it seems possible that, given the construction of the external tank, it might be relatively common - and thus, nothing THAT BIG to worry about since its only been a problem 1/115 times. (Its still an inherent design flaw).

    So, now the shuttle fleet is grounded again - will it be another 2 1/2 years? Making it early 2008 before the shuttle flies again? I mean, if it seems like foam just flies off of external tanks, the only way to REALLY solve this problem would be either encasing existing tanks in a new (heavy, expensive) "exo-tank," or just designing new tanks, right? I mean, this isn't some minor design consideration.

    All this makes me think... with NASA already pressing for a new manned vehicle by 2010, are the powers that be in NASA just saying, "We don't want to fly the shuttle anymore, its a $2bn death trap, doesn't get us cool places and is damned inefficient at lifting cargo" and asking instead to concentrate on a new vehicle, just forgetting about the shuttle? I mean, if NASA spends $500m and 30 months modifying the shuttle fleet just to retire it 24 months after that, that seems dumb, right? Even by government standards?

    Anyone?

    Tim

    1. Re:Conspiracy Theory? by Jon+Abbott · · Score: 5, Informative

      Northrop Grumman and Boeing are getting prepped for the CEV, the successor to the space shuttle. According to this page, they are expecting flight demos in 2008 and manned CEV flight by 2014. If Griffin (the new NASA administrator) has his way, this will be fast-tracked to 2010. Exciting times are ahead...

  24. Re:So they still haven't learned... by coflow · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In response to an edict from the EPA, NASA was required to change the design of the thermal insulating foam on the shuttle's external tank. They stopped using Freon, or CFC-11, in order to comply with the 1987 Montreal Protocol, an agreement designed to head off doubtful prognostications of an environmental disaster. This resulted in 10X the level of tile damage since 1997 (when the new foam was implemented) per flight.

    I hope this isn't what caused the damage we've seen lately, but if it is, it begs the question, is it worth using CFC-11 for safer shuttle flights given the relatively small number of launches that occur?

  25. Re:speed along a replacement by constantnormal · · Score: 3, Insightful
    maybe this will speed along a space shuttle replacement.

    If they had continued with development of the X-33 instead of turning it over to the Air Force and canceling the NASA development work, we would probably have a replacement by now. Instead, it will take probably a decade and substantially more money to bring a replacement vehicle to fruition from this point.

    I suspect that politically, the manned space program is dead here in the US, given the huge budget deficits and slipping technology base.

    There is the possibility that a superior insulating technology will be arrived at quickly and the remaining few shuttles might fly again, but I wouldn't bet on it. There is too much to be gained politically by stabbing the wounded for that to be allowed to happen.

  26. Obligatory... by FlamingLaird · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...In Soviet Russia, the Buran fleet grounds you!

    --
    "42"
  27. A suggestion by jafac · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Since the reason for the foam insulation on the tank is to prevent condensation from forming on the ground between the time the tank is filled with liquid fuel, and the time of launch, and is not needed past T-0, how about this?:

    Jettison the foam at T-0, during engine ignition.
    Velocity at that point in time is low enough that no foam strikes will have any chance of damaging orbiter tiles.

    The foam and ice stay on the ground. The orbiter, and tank, go up. Probably a few thousand pounds lighter, as well.

    Sure, there's the problem of getting all of the foam off in a few seconds, leaving none behind. Maybe by forming the foam around a fine, mesh netting, and attaching that netting to the ground via cables, it all slips right off at T-0.

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    1. Re:A suggestion by dthx1138 · · Score: 3, Funny

      while we're at it, why don't we simply ditch the foam in favor of an 8th crew member, sorceress class of course, repeatedly casting level 30 blizzard?

      --
      I just found the box to change my sig. Um.... [timeless witticism].
    2. Re:A suggestion by dthx1138 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You'd be suprised

      thermal problems are one of the most difficult on a space mission. solar radiation, cryogenic fuels, and of course, the vacuum of space make keeping all your parts in a 20 or 30 degree range a huge pain in the ass.

      foam is the simplest option, as its totally passive. what happens if your giant foam net doesn't detatch from the shuttle properly and rips off a section of the shuttle underbody during launch?

      --
      I just found the box to change my sig. Um.... [timeless witticism].
    3. Re:A suggestion by DarkBlackFox · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Or why not reinforce the bottom and leading wings of the orbiter with some material strong enough to deflect any foam strikes, but can burn off harmlessly on re-entry, exposing the thermal tiles under?

    4. Re:A suggestion by gosh_d · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The relative velocity of the foam to orbiter is what matters here, and that is hardly changing between T=0 and T>0, no matter how fast the shuttle is moving relative to the ground. Yes, the shuttle is accelerating upwards as the foam falls in the current design, but the time over which this occurs (the time it takes the foam to fall the length of the orbiter) is very small, so the relative velocities will basically be constant.

    5. Re:A suggestion by geofferensis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I am not sure I agree with you on this. At T=0 the Shuttle and the tank are not moving so the foam would pick up speed only from gravitational acceleration however drag from the atmosphere would slow it down. However, once T>0 the shuttle and the tank are moving really fast. So now the foam is accelerating from gravity, but instead of drag slowing the foam down it is picking up lots of speed by being pushed on by the rapidly moving air in between the shuttle and the tank. Although I guess at a certain point the shuttle is moving so fast that the foam us beneath the shuttle before it has time to collide with it. Just a thought.

  28. Re:What about modified jets? by Planesdragon · · Score: 2, Informative

    In the mid-to-late 1980s there was a USAF program called NASP--National Aero-Space Plane. It was supposed to do exactly what you're describing.

    NASP was eventually scrapped as "unworkable", and its successor project -- IIRC, the X-33 -- did not fare much better, even though it was actually built.

    The short answer for why we haven't done it is "fuel is heavy." I'm not qualified to give the long answer, but a straight shot right into the atmosphere really is the cheapest way to get a given weight into orbit.

    And, btw, the Space Shuttle *IS* hydrogen powered. The two solid-fuel boosters aren't, but that big foam-covered tank is just a shell carrying two parts H to one part O, which is what burns out of the shuttle's main engines.

  29. Re:Remember... 'bout time for a new score... by HungWeiWeiHai · · Score: 2, Funny

    5.3 VFI... (VERY Fuckin' Informative)
    5.5 WFI... (Wayy Fuckin' Informative)
    5.7 TFI... (Tooo Fuckin' Informative)

    5.9 YBA... (Yo' Brains'll Asplode)

  30. Re:speed along a replacement by cmowire · · Score: 4, Informative

    Not really.

    The X-33 was over-budget, late, and suffering major development problems. The performance was getting worse and worse. And then you would have had to hope that Lockheed-Martin was willing to put up their portion of the funds to build the production booster.....

    And, at the same time, Iridium was bankrupt, "Dark Fiber" was eating into comsat requirements, etc.

    And worst of all the Skunk Works had said, "Hey, we've been building all kinds of classified stuff all these years. I know that nobody in the public field can make a multi-lobed composite hydrogen tank, but we can pull one off, winkwinknudgenudge" So when it was shown that they couldn't, people lost faith. Especially because the only actually novel, testable parts of it was that multi-lobed composite hydrogen tank and the linear aerospike... everything else wasn't going to be getting a proper workout because it wasn't going to have enough speed to really properly test the metal skinned TPS or much else.

    The problem was the X-33 was the riskiest design of the three contenders. So it was mostly doomed from the start....

    No, they'll probably figure out how to dust off the shuttle yet again and fly it. Remember, it's just the PAL ramp that's the problem, so they might just be able to change it to using a metal cover.

  31. My conclusion after reading this article ... by Keeper · · Score: 3, Funny

    ... is that the average slashdot poster is not as smart as a rocket scientist. :p

  32. Re:When will they admit it is inherent in the desi by cmowire · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Close, but not quite.

    The shuttle-as-the-second-stage-of-a-Apollo V was an alternative to the SRBs later in the design.

    I liked that idea signifigantly better, because the Saturn V stage would have been useful for other things...

    The shuttle was initially supposed to be all-reusable. Two shuttle-vehicles would launch together and one would go all the way to orbit and the other would go back to the ground. They could do it, but not in the budget given with the performance required. They could have made it smaller but fully reusable and in budget, or use a drop tank and make it bigger and stay in budget.

  33. Re:So they still haven't learned... by Angry+Toad · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Was there any/much foam shedding prior to the removal of paint from the external tank?

        Just wondering what the adhesive effects of all that white paint were.

  34. Space Exploration ... by aphexcoil2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Part of the problem here is that space exploration is inherently dangerous and risky. There is no way you will ever remove all of the risk -- and because of this there will be future accidents and loss of life while we explore the stars. The men and women who volunteer to do this are extremely courageous individuals that should be honored and thanked many times over. Each time a shuttle goes up, there are a million ways something can go wrong yet only one way everything can go perfectly. NASA, along with the government and general public, must understand that although the risks associated with space flight are huge, the potential rewards are far greater. Hopefully our government will give NASA the funding needed to develop a better way to put people in orbit. Until that time, we must realize that there are risks associated with each launch but we must keep aiming for the stars because, in the long run, humanity stands to gain far more than the risks from occasional loss of life that occur when something goes horribly wrong.

  35. Harmless foam loss by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    The foam in question insulates the disposable fuel tank so ice doesn't form on it. It does not reach orbit and is not part of the shuttle. The problem with the previous shuttle was that the foam hit the shuttle tiles as it fell off. Since this foam did not hit the shuttle, there is no problem with it.

  36. Y'know, now that you point that out by Solandri · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The shape of that missing chunk of the PAL ramp

    http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts114/05072 7palrampimages/

    looks an awful lot like the unidentified chunk of debris that missed the starboard wing (scroll to bottom of link).

    http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts114/05072 6images/

  37. Re:How Risky was a cross atlantic cross in the 150 by omb · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No, you are talking nonsense,

    the entire reason for the shuttle was to make
    frequent, 3 x weekly, launches, which it has never
    done!

    The design is a failure, that much is obvious,
    what is not obvious is hou long the oversight,
    which should come from the Congress will let this
    waste of taxpayers money coninue.

  38. Gilligans Space Station? by panza · · Score: 4, Funny

    If they cannot land the shuttle there's always the Space Station. This would mean up to seven new astronauts/cosmonauts in addition to the two already stationed there. In which case they'd run out of food and other resources pretty quick. The Russians would have to launch a Soyez to send provisions until they figure out how to get off that island.

    "Now sit right back
    and you'll hear a tale,
    the tale of a fateful trip
    That started from Cape Canaveral
    abord this tiny ship.
    The mate was a mighty sailerman
    the skipper brave and sure
    five passengers set sail that day
    on a nine day tour
    ***
    The weather was impeccable
    but the insulation foam was lost
    if not for the courage of slash dot chat
    the Discovery would be lost..."
    ***
    The crew set foot on the ISS
    a small galactic isle....

    [...what comes next?!]

  39. Hate to Bore You... by Shihar · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Let's see here: budget cuts

    The budget has gone up, not down. Further, tax revenues were will above expectations this year.

    Failing economy

    Unemployment is at 5%. You could possibly argue that the shit is getting ready to hit the fan, but most economist will disagree with you. It isn't the 90's, but it sure as hell isn't the 30's either.

    global criticism regarding human injustices abroad

    The global criticism around US human rights injustices doesn't even exist on the same scale as the Soviet Union. You would have as much luck comparing Texas executions to the Nazi holocaust.

    rapid decrease of freedom and increase of governmental power

    I am not sure what Soviet Union you are talking about, but the one I recall had a rapid INCREASE in freedoms and a rapid DECREASE in governmental power right before it all fell apart. Further, I would hardly call what is happening in the US a "rapid decrease in freedoms". The US still maintains extremely liberal speech and protest laws. Hell, I was in DC during the height of the anit-war protests, and the place felt more like a hippie commune then a Gestapo police state.

    ...sounds alot like the SOVIET UNION doesn't it?

    Um. No.

    The US might be declining. It might fade away to something more like Britain. It will always be a power, but perhaps not THE power. It certainly isn't going to go like the Soviet Union though. The key difference between the US and all other "empires" is that the US has an extremely stable political system and civil society. Hell, it could be argued that the US has one of the MOST stable political systems in the world. The US might be young as a nation compared to Europe, but it has one of the worlds longest running continuous governments in the world. The US political system is so stable that nothing short of a nuclear holocaust could pull it apart, and if there is a nuclear holocaust in the US, you can bet some other place in the world is now the world's largest pane of glass.

    The decline of the US is going to be very slow and very boring. The few territories the US holds are connected to the US only in that the US military will defend them. Other then that their governments are almost completely autonomous and could break off at any point. US military bases would be evacuated before they would fight over the land, as a base in the middle of hostile territory isn't worth anything anyways. I hate to dash your hopes, but the decline of the US is going to be dull.

    The only possible exciting part would be a battle for Taiwan... but that would suck for everyone, even those not involved. The economic damage would make the fighting look like pocket change.

    1. Re:Hate to Bore You... by donscarletti · · Score: 4, Informative
      Hell, it could be argued that the US has one of the MOST stable political systems in the world.

      Considering it's been 360 years since the last English Civil war and 140 years since the last American Civil war, I'd be inclined to say that the American system is fairly stable, but doesn't look set to be breaking any records quite yet. I come from Australia where the last thing that looked like it could have become a civil war (but didn't) happend in Ballarat 160 years ago and so even that beats America's current record.

      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
  40. Re:Tiles Falling off by SumDog · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's true. The SR-71, once in the air, has no fuel. The seals under the tanks can't hold with that massive amount of heat. It's leaking fuel as it takes off. Once in the air and at full burn, the titanium expands and fills in the cracks, but the SR-71 has to be refuled in-flight right after takeoff.

  41. Re:what do we expect to find? by EvanED · · Score: 2, Informative

    the root of Moores' Law states, fundamentally, that the more you use a technology, the better it gets.

    Actually, Moore's law doesn't even directly talk about performance at all.

    It is specific to integrated circuits and says that the complexity will double roughly every two years.

    Complexity roughly corresponds to number of transistors which certainly roughly corresponds to performance.

    See Wikipedia.

  42. Can we use Freon again? by michaelmalak · · Score: 2, Informative
    Feb. 4, 2003 Orlando Sentinel article:
    In one presentation last year at Tulane University, a Lockheed Martin external tank researcher wrote that a change in the foam formula led to "unanticipated program impacts, such as foam loss during flight." The change was prompted by environmental concerns over using freon to spray on the foam.

    [...] Hundreds of the heat-resistant tiles were damaged during a Columbia flight in 1997 when chunks of the foam broke off and hit the spacecraft. Some of the gouges were 15 inches long.

    During that event and in the incident from October that Dittemore cited Monday, the foam came loose from a ridged part where the tank's liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen sections are joined together.

    Technicians traced at least part of the problem to a chemical called HCFC 141b, which Lockheed Martin began using in the mid-1990s as a replacement for the freon gas used to help spray on the foam.

    The new chemical may have contributed to "popcorning," which happens when the tiny cells within the tank's foam start to expand and break loose from the rest of the material.

    The cells expand as the outside pressure decreases during the shuttle's ascent and the temperature rises from air friction and hot exhaust gases. The chemicals in the foam may also vaporize, increasing the pressure.

  43. Re:Remember...Top Heavy. by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It would be if you put a SHUTTLE up there. Don't think anyone is going to be so foolish as to put a massive heavy lift launcher and a crew carrier in to the same vehicle any time soon.

    The CEV designs and Kliper are pretty tiny compared to the Shuttle.

    It would be totally OK to stap a heavy lift cargo carrier where the SHuttle is because you aren't going to have it reenter the atmosphere in most cases and if you did want to return something big to earth you wouldn't have a crew in it that would die if was damaged.

    --
    @de_machina
  44. Just so we're clear on "big bucks" by jpellino · · Score: 4, Informative

    Astronauts are on government pay scales GS-11 thru GS-14.
    The lowest step of GS-11 is $45K per year, the highest step of GS-14 is $99K per year.

    Another way to look at it is that they do it in spite of the middling bucks, because that's the sort of person they are.

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
  45. Re:God forbid that people apply similar policies.. by grozzie2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There's 2 kinds of software developer working in Washington State. Those with your attitude, live in Redmond. Those that know better, work for Boeing.

  46. Re:How Risky was a cross atlantic cross in the 150 by patternjuggler · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder how risky was the cross atlantic sailing were in the mid 1500's. I am sure mortality was a lot higher then 1% then it is with the shuttle program.

    Although life was worth less then, at least there was an immediate economic incentive to making such a risky voyage. You could even frame it in terms of thousands of colonists that depend on those ships for trade. The only reason to send people into space currently is to send people into space. I personally think that's a decent reason, but I for my money's worth I'd rather put up a few new space telescope to find nearby planetary systems with or whatever, or send off a few robots to explore Mars or the moons of the gas giants.

    The other problem with your argument is that no matter which century you live in, if given the choice between two transportation systems, all other things being about equal you should go with the more reliable one. Russia has a safer system, we should use it until we've built something comparable of our own.

  47. Hello? Do you read the news? by iamlucky13 · · Score: 4, Informative
    Ummm....NASA pretty much decided that 2 years ago. You're a little behind the time. As soon as the ISS is finished, the Shuttle is going to be retired, and we'll have a lapse in the availability US manned launching until the Crew Exploration Vehicle is ready, which will be based on current heavy lifting technology and a reusable crew capsule. Payload will be handled seperately. In case you have to ask, the Shuttle has to be used to finish the station because most of the components have already been designed and even built around the shuttle's payload bay, rather than the Delta IV's.
    All the other space countries are still using rockets.
    As opposed to our warp drives?
  48. Wrap it with a long thread... by Nick+Driver · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Better yet, wrap a long continuous thread (carbon fiber, kevlar, nylon, rayon, something) around the foam in a tight spiral wrap from top to bottom to secure the foam against the tank in addition to the adhesive holding the foam to the tank. It would be much harder for chunks of the foam to come off out from under the spiral wrap thread, and it would be lightweight and cheap too.

  49. Re:You are correct. by terrymr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Example: Airbus' fly-by-wire system, designed to override a pilot when a dangerous decision was made, erroniously concluded a forest was a runway after a very low pass was made over it. Deciding the speed was too high, it cut the engines. Both pilots and something like 18 journalists were killed. Airbus blamed the pilots - a safe decision as the pilots couldn't answer back, being dead and all, and the only one they could have made. Blaming the computer could have put them out of business.

    That would be a good story if you hadn't made it up. The pilot had slowed to near stalling speed
    and realised too late he didn't have enough high t to clear the trees, he pulled back hard on the stick and went down into the trees. The computer didn't change the outcome one bit.

  50. Re:FP?-Brick on a stick. by J05H · · Score: 5, Informative

    >You're limited in how much and what size by doing that. In case you all haven't noticed. The orbiter plus the solid rocket boosters form a powered triangle. A more stable formation for carrying a big load, say a telescope.

    You're kidding, right, AC? The Shuttles can carry at most 28 tons of cargo. Saturn V could lob 118 into LEO. Proton can boost almost as much as Shuttle, for far less money, including a series of integrated space station components (Zarya, Zvezda, Mir baseblock). Maybe the trunnion pins were great for launching Hubble, but that is the exception. Your "triangle" thing doesn't make sense, inline thrust structure is more efficient, less mechanically complex and makes trajectory calculation simpler.

    >And siting on top of a roman candle is safe?

    Yes, comparatively. For manned flight, a rocket under the crew is far safer than having components next to them. Launch escape towers are safe, accurate tools for keeping crews safe from an exploding "candle". There is footage online of a Soyuz capsule popping off the rocket right above the pad, the rocket failed but the crew lived. The same can't be said for low-altitude launch problems with Shuttle.

    Capsules, rockets and tugs for station components make sense. Buck Rogers spaceplanes don't.

    --
    gigantino.tv - Heavy but weighs nothing.
  51. Re:So they still haven't learned... by HappyMeal · · Score: 2, Informative
    NASA was not required to take the EPA up on this.

    In fact, the EPA actually offered a waiver for NASA/Space Shuttle Program.

    You can see a letter from NASA in response to the EPA firmly stating they *need* to continue to use CFCs for the Space Shuttle Program, specifically.

    http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/45329main_hcfc4_001.pdf

  52. Re:what do we expect to find? by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 2, Funny

    It is advertising? "Buy our chips because in 18 months they will only be half as good as what we will have available then." Advertising?

    --

    --

    WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
  53. Re: ISS "Survivor" Reality TV by mongoose1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If we could just set up 24 hour video transmission of life on board the ISS after that shuttle docks. 9 astronauts, 1 Soyez for 3 passengers. ISS Survivor Reality TV.

  54. Re:Remember...Top Heavy. by SPY_jmr1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    IF we're talking of a saturn V, I don't think the shuttle would take the full stack to be workible, it would be more reasonible to me to delete the S-IVB third stage, and replace with a shuttle. With some modification to the shuttle, such as deletion of the main engines to save weight, i bet it would be awfully close to the mass of a loaded S-IVb.

    Anyone have the raw numbers on this?

    In either case, asymmetrical loading is as much of a dumbass idea as a topheavy model.

    How about this idea: Redesign of the engines to accept hypergolic fuels, and trade ice and foam for dangerous chemicals, which the shuttle already has on board, admitedly in lower quanities.

  55. Re:You are correct. by Gerhardius · · Score: 5, Informative

    The facts of the crash are not as cut and dried as either of you state and many are wrong. The pilot survived, along with most of the people on board, and was found guilty of manslaughter in the 3 fatalities connected to the crash. The funny thing is that two primary claims of the pilot in his defence were Operational Engineering Bulletins from Airbus Industrie regarding:

    OEB 19/1 Engine Acceleration Deficiency at Low Altitude
    OEB 06/2 Barometric Cross Setting Check

    In a nutshell, the bulletins state that the engines didn't respond "normally" to throttle input and that barometric altitude indicator did not comply with airworthiness regulations. Air France chose not to share this information with the pilots. Naturally, this is the kind of thing that the data recorders could shine some light on. The data supported the claims that it was pilot error and the case was closed.

    In 1998 it was determined that the data that was supposedly from the flight had been compromised. The flight data and cockpit voice recorders had been tampered with during a 10 day period when they were not in the hands of the magistrate's office. They were in the hands of the French Civil Aviation Authority (DGAC), contrary to their own regulations. The funniest thing is that one of the boxes presented as coming from the crashed A320 spontaneously changed its markings during the interim. An independent body from Switzerland determined that there had been a switch by comparing photos of the CVR being recovered from the crash site with the one presented as evidence.

    While the "official" verdict was pilot error there is enough evidence to call that verdict into question. Who lost the least with the verdict? Airbus was introducing an advanced aircraft and attempting to challenge Boeing, and they were selling the "advanced" electronics of the 320 series: even admitting that there may be an issue with the system would have had devastating consequences.

    The onboard computers did lead to a few incidents with the A320. In 93 a Lufthansa pilot made a landing with a very low sink rate, so low the flight computers would not allow the deployment of thrust reversers or brakes for a number of seconds. The plane ended up going off the runway. I guess you could make too soft a landing.

    Admittedly they seem to have solved those problems, and I have no qualms flying in an Airbus but then again I flew Aeroflot a couple of times.

  56. Free as in beer by suteri · · Score: 2, Informative

    Check this link. There's a plenty of cool pictures available for free, just not on a CD. (hey, that rhymes :-)

  57. Two ways by DragonHawk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I guess you've never heard of an embedded system. Those can't ship with bugs.

    They can and do, as anyone who has ever used a flakey piece of such equipment can atest. The big diff is they usually just lock up or reset without any indication of what went wrong, so all you can do is curse and shrug. And buy a new product.

    Now, embedded systems do tend to have higher standards of quality then, say, a word processor. I suspect that's due to a number of factors. One is mindset (people expect "computers" to be buggy these days, but not a stereo). Easy of fixing is another (it's easier to load a new patch to MS Word then to your microwave).

    But the big reason is complexity. Simple systems are easier to build right then complex systems. You don't see many buggy coffee maker designs, because all a cofee maker has to do is get hot at the right times. Compare that to the hundreds of thousands of lines of code in many software projects...

    There is a lesson here. Simple designs enable robust designs.

    Of course, it is true that getting into space is a complex problem, but many argue that the STS is needlessly complex.

    Some apt quotes (I'm a quote junkie):

    "There are two ways of constructing a software design. One way is to make it so simple that there are obviously no deficiencies. And the other way is to make it so complicated that there are no obvious deficiencies." -- C.A.R. Hoare

    "A designer knows he has achieved perfection not when there is nothing left to add, but when there is nothing left to take away." -- Antoine de Saint-Exupery

    --

    dragonhawk@iname.microsoft.com
    I do not like Microsoft. Remove them from my email address.
  58. Re:poor design by Retric · · Score: 2, Informative

    ... Fuel costs are a low % of the total cost of each launch. So optimizing things to reduce fuel costs is almost a waste of time.

    The goal was to build something so you could just refuel it each time you want to send it up thus saving a lot of $ but a large % of the ship is not reusable and they have to inspect / disassemble the rest of the thing each flight which is why it's so expensive. They should have build a ship that can do low temp reentry and can do horizontal takeoff and landing not some sort of rocket where you have to rebuild build 90% of it for each launch.