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ESA Selects Targets for Asteroid Deflection Test

Vandil X writes "The European Space Agency has announced that it has selected two candidate asteroid targets for a planned mission to impact an asteroid in an attempt to deflect the asteroid off course by a measurable amount. The mission, dubbed "Don Quijote," will send two spacecraft to their final choice asteroid. One craft will impact the asteroid while the other will observe the asteroid before and after the collision. The mission craft and target selection are expected to be finalized sometime in 2007."

35 of 284 comments (clear)

  1. Sweet mercy by casio282 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I hope Bruce Willis in onboard.

    --

    :wq
    1. Re:Sweet mercy by raider_red · · Score: 5, Funny

      Good call, but let's leave Ben Affleck on the asteroid this time.

      --
      It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.
  2. Crash? by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is this simply a kamikazee run? I did not read anything to make me think otherwise. I seriously question the science of this... being able to calculate the change in direction should only be complicate by not knowing the exact mass of the asteroid.

    I would think something like white paint (using the reflective properties to move the asteroid) would be more interesting. Slower, for sure, but much more effective over a period of months or years.

    Is there something to this mission that I am missing?

    --
    See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    1. Re:Crash? by republican+gourd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, the possible deflection of an object of a given mass and velocity when struck with another object can be calculated. But you miss lots of other important information if you ignore real world tests. Just off the top of my head:

      1) You assume that the target object is solid enough to resist being broken into multiple pieces. It does no good to deflect a small chunk of the object while the main mass continues on its normal course.

      2) If you are planning on hitting an object enough to deflect it, you need... a bit of practice. The targetting, propulsion and all other such systems are just as big a part of this test as anything else. All the mathematics in the world won't help you play pool with a bad cue.

      3) Is a collision with an asteroid likely to be elastic? Will the striking object bounce off of the target or embed itself within it? These are very different models as far as where the force goes.

      4) As a side effect, you get more information along the lines of the previous Deep Impact probe.

    2. Re:Crash? by Anonymous+Luddite · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >> We are dealing with very simple physics here.

      You've never played nine-ball for money have you? Banging one object into another doesn't always have predictable results.

    3. Re:Crash? by Dirtside · · Score: 4, Funny
      I would think something like white paint (using the reflective properties to move the asteroid) would be more interesting.
      Ladies and gentlemen, we have here a person who literally thinks that watching paint dry is more interesting than watching an explosion. Sir, I wish you good luck in finding a circus capable of handling your freakishness.
      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    4. Re:Crash? by MyLongNickName · · Score: 5, Funny

      ir, I wish you good luck in finding a circus capable of handling your freakishness.

      I have. It is called "Slashdot".

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
  3. What happens... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...if they blow it off course in the wrong direction?

    1. Re:What happens... by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Funny

      We all die.

      Seriously, though. If you read the article, you would know that they picked an asteroid that will never cross the earth's path (more than 1AU from sun at all times). The tiny nudge would be like hitting Pavorati with a spit ball. Not nearly enough to make it an earth killer.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    2. Re:What happens... by Dirtside · · Score: 3, Funny

      I like the idea, however, that there is something we could hit Pavarotti with that would make him an Earth-killer. Gamma radiation, perhaps?

      "Pavarotti SMASH!!! "

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
  4. Liv Tyler? by Alex+P+Keaton+in+da · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'll go if Liv Tyler is waiting upon my return (although when I get back she will be a bit old).
    FTA: On 19 December 2004 MN4, an asteroid of about 400 m, lost since its discovery six months earlier, was observed again and its orbit was computed. It immediately became clear that the chances that it could hit the Earth during a close encounter in 2029 were unusually high. As the days passed the probability did not decrease and the asteroid became notorious for surpassing all previous records in the Torino and Palermo impact risk scales - scales that measure the risk of an asteroid impact just as the Richter scale quantifies the size of an earthquake.
    It is funny what we never think of- every night while we sleep there are so many people keeping us safe- Call me a geek, but astronomers are unsung heroes. I am glad someone is worried about destruction of the Earth...

    --
    And All I Ask is a Tall Ship And a Star to Steer Her By
    1. Re:Liv Tyler? by servognome · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is funny what we never think of- every night while we sleep there are so many people keeping us safe- Call me a geek, but astronomers are unsung heroes.

      Yeah, like the guy at the water treatment facility - who keeps us from plague, or the fed-ex guy- who transports vital medical supplies, or the building inspector- who ensures our structures don't collapse on us, or the guy who draws those warning pictures - so we don't accidently eat our Shuffles, or telephone sanitizers.

      Astronomers do an important job, but calling them unsung heroes is a little much. If they volunteer to be stuffed in a cannon and shot at the asteroid to deflect its path, then i'd call them heroes.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
  5. The public will get to view the event by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... but can only watch it in black and white vector graphics, and have to pay $0.25 to view it.

  6. Artist's conceptions of spacecraft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...are located here. Looks kind of odd.

  7. Dateline 27 September 2159 by DavidRawling · · Score: 5, Funny

    In other news, the asteroid deflected in 2008 by the European Space Agency has been confirmed as hitting Earth in December this year, with an expected impact point near Switzerland.

    It's been nice knowing you folks.

  8. But what about.... by zappepcs · · Score: 4, Funny

    my horoscope... this could immeasurably ruin my life!! Don't these insensitive rock-et science clods know they could end up making it so I never meet a woman?

  9. Re:Something wrong with p? by Zaak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What's wrong with the good old p=mv (momentum)?

    "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is."
    -- Yogi Berra

    TTFN

  10. Fighting windmills? by ReformedExCon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Surely they should have chosen a name that implied success rather than invoke the name of a hopeless romantic who is known for fighting the inevitable.

    And they could have spelled it correctly: Don Quixote.

    --
    Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
    1. Re:Fighting windmills? by ReformedExCon · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's funny since the original text has it spelled Quixote: http://csdl.tamu.edu/cgi-bin/shuehu/qbrowse/qb?POR C=P&NO=1

      I wonder when they decided to change the spelling.

      --
      Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
    2. Re:Fighting windmills? by servognome · · Score: 4, Informative

      I wonder when they decided to change the spelling.

      Change from Old Spanish to Modern Spanish. X had the "heh" sound (as in Mexico), but has transitioned to a "sh" sound (as in Ixtacihuatl)/"gs" sound as in explorar. Words have changed to reflect the new usage, but names proper names are blurry, so you will see Mexico, Mejico; Xavier, Javier; Quijote, Quixote

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
  11. In case of slashdotting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    The two target candidates are:

    1. 2002 AT4
    2. France

  12. Re:Something wrong with p? by LordRPI · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yeah, unfortunately there is something wrong with that equation. It does not take into account of the direction of which the asteroid will be deflected. Although I hope that the mathematics used to base the "crash" on would be calculated so that it does not shift the objects into a collision course with Earth. Knowing us, some organization will use British units, one will use Metric.

  13. Re:Something wrong with p? by MyGodAreThereNoNickn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I haven't RTFA, but I expect that they aren't looking to challenge the laws of physics as much as test their engineering skills. It's pretty hard to hit something that far away and going that fast, especially if you want to hit it a particular way. They are probably testing to see if they can hit it just the way they want to so that they can actually make use of p=mv.

  14. OOPS by Brad1138 · · Score: 5, Funny

    What we don't want to hear after a successful deflection....

    --
    If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
  15. Brace for impact! by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 3, Funny

    Brace for another lawsuit from that kooky Russian astrologer.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  16. If it hit land, consider ourselves lucky by lightyear4 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If it were to impact a landmass, we could consider ourselves lucky. Given the high proportion of water to land on the planet, the odds are overwhelmingly against a land impact. Sure, it happens. Sure, it would suck. A land impact would undoubtedly render complete destruction over a large area, alter local climate, cause all fault-lines to shatter, and reduce the affected area to glowing slag. However, that IS the good news. Now the bad news: Models of an ocean impact suggest the global climate would be upset for decades - if not longer. It would impose near ice-age conditions due to solar energy reflected by the planet-wide clouds caused by the vaporization of several trillion tons of seawater. Muddy, salty rain would destroy the world's breadbaskets. Sunlight might not reach the surface for tens of years.

    ..The implications are enormous, and need not be enumerated; surely the point is made.

    Actions such as these aimed at researching the feasibility of deflection should be supported, not something due scorn. The odds of such a cataclysm occurring in our lifetime are indeed negligible...but surely, being prepared is better than being caught with our pants down.

    Alarmist? Maybe; the course of history will judge.

  17. Re:revised standard Don Quixote by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 3, Informative
    ...and a whole lot of F's to S's, so children could at least pronounce the words. Haven't you ever done a double-take when you've seen the word "Congrefs" written on a piece of parchment?

    **wax on** It's not an F. What you see is the "long s". It's how they used to draw an S character since the days of Carolingian Minuscule, from which hand our "Times Roman" eventually derived. You'll note there was no crossbar on the letter in that form - the crossbar distinguished the "f" from the "long s". The form we take as "s" appeared only at the end of the word. Thus, "Congrefs" would have been pronounced "Congress". **wax off**

    --
    Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
  18. Re:Something wrong with p? SIMPLE by amdotaku · · Score: 5, Informative

    (p1 + p2)[)[initial]=(p1 + p2)[final]

    Uh, we know the first two p(momentum, vector) values(and that's if we know the mass of the asteroid, which isn't necessarily true), but not the second two. In my math classes, we learned that was 1 equation (vector valued) and two unknown vectors. I don't think anyone can solve that, and no, conservation of kinetic energy won't work because the internal energy changes big time in most non-particle scale collisions. In Mechanics, many of our college educated comrades learned of a way to resolve this textbook documented issue with the simple aide of a constant e, which details the elasticity of the interaction. Unfortunately, e is not easy to determine through theory, and is also just a model (and a bad one at that), and therefore an experiment is usually called for (and usually a lot of them). 'Nuff said.

    http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/physics/Collision. html

  19. Re:NO DADDY NO by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Umm, you're kidding, right?

    Nuclear bombs will work fine in a vacuum. They don't need oxygen or anything else to support combustion, because they don't use combustion - they use a NUCLEAR (imagine that!) reaction, not a chemical one. The high explosive used to fire the nuke I don't believe needs O2 either, and if it did, that would be an easy problem to deal with.

    Yeah, no one will hear the explosion, but that isn't a problem.

    Now why do special effects people make explosions make noise in a vacuum in sci-fi movies, shows, etc.

    We KNOW better than that, well most of us anyway.

    --
    Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
  20. The grants game by grozzie2 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    This article just goes to show how silly the 'grants game' is when it comes to this type of space mission. The deep impact mission was planned and built when analysis of the rocks was 'in vogue', so it was 'justified' by analyzing ejecta etc from the impact, to determine asteroid composition. Now the ESA boys are contemplating a mission nearly identical, but political times have changed, and 'impacts' is the hot button for getting first priority on grants, so, instead of marking the 'composition analysis' as the primary objective, they mark the 'trajectory change' as the primary objective, and presto, the same mission goes to the top of the heap in the grants pile.

    If you think about this even semi rationally, look at the data from the Deep Impact mission. The trajectory of the rock prior to impact was quite well known, well enough, an intercept course could be plotted and executed. Does anybody think that nobody at nasa thought to measure trajectory AFTER the impact, and possibly calculate trajectory changes of the target rock? This is a mission that cost hundreds of millions of dollars, and that's extremely valuable information, available for the taking after the impact. I'm quite sure that while the primary investigators on Deep Impact are all wrapped up in analyzing ejecta data, there are secondary investigators measuring and calculating trajectory changes.

    The proposed ESA mission is basically Deep Impact Version 2.0, a more refined variant than version 1. Version 1 (executed by Nasa) intended to hit the target rock, and studying ejecta was labelled as the 'primary' objective. In Version 2, the objective is to hit the target rock much more precisely, relabel the 'primary data' as that of the trajectory change, and re-label the ejecta data as 'secondary'. The end result is, a mission plan that hits more political hot buttons (reference the data collection re-labelling), its easier to get grants for impactor related investigation today.

    The reality is, this mission is a logical follow on which builds on the success of Deep Impact. The re-labelling of primary mission goals is just an artifact of the political process required to procure funding, the 'grants game'. The data regarding target object composition will still be collected in various forms, and it'll still get analyzed, just as trajectory data is still being collected and analyzed from the Deep Impact mission.

    1. Re:The grants game by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 4, Informative

      NASA's Deep Impact mission was against a comet. Because comets continually eject large amounts of gas and dust while they are inside Jupiter orbit, it is not possible to track the comet accurately enough to know what changes in it's course were caused by the impact and what was caused by the gas and dust normally ejected. Indeed, it's impossible to predict the exact path of short-period comets because of this.

      By launching a projectile at an asteroid instead, we will know that any changes in the asteroid's trajectory were caused by our impactor because asteroids are inert and have otherwise very stable and predictable orbits.

  21. Re:NO DADDY NO by Matt_R · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So since they drilled down into the rock, the medium density should be really high, yeah?

    Sure nukes in open space is questionable, but the AC was talking about placing the nuke within the asteroid - Armageddon style.

  22. Should I Worry? by izomiac · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm starting to get worried here. Most of the space programs in the world are trying to hit asteroids, perhaps deflect them. Even the military is now looking at anti-satellite weapons. So I'm beginning to wonder, what's with this sudden surge of interest in defense against things hitting us from space? Do they know something (troubling) that I don't?

  23. Re:Something wrong with p? by ScriptedReplay · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Good old linear momentum conservation is insufficient information to specify the outcome. Throw in energy balance (assuming you account for all losses of kinetic energy properly) and you have enough information for 1D collisions only - still not enough equations to determine angles; now moving to 'real life' you have to add angular momentum conservation to the mix, too. To completely specify the answer you need details about geometry (mass center, impact point) and surface (orientation, hardness and so on) This already moves the question quite a bit into engineering - and requires data on asteroids. I assume gathering such data is closer to the purpose of this experiment.

  24. Re:Now... by shadowmas · · Score: 3, Funny

    i wonder what effect this will have on my horoscope ;)