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Bill Gates Speaks Out Against Next-Gen DVDs

jZnat writes "Although we all know that Microsoft hates Blu-Ray, Bill Gates doesn't seem to like HD-DVD either. Primarily, it seems, because Mr. Gates believes media storage on hard drives is likely to be the default standard sooner rather than later. From the interview: 'Well, the key issue here is that the protection scheme under Blu-Ray is very anti-consumer and there's not much visibility of that. The inconvenience is that the [MPAA] got too much protection at the expense of consumers and it won't work well on PCs. You won't be able to play movies and do software in a flexible way.'"

22 of 446 comments (clear)

  1. How far wrong is he? by Derg · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Come on. 60 gigs in less space than a twinkie. I cant see this prognostication being that far off, except that its ironic he makes claims about being anti-consumer while pushing his own flavor of DRM down our throats. *sigh*

    --
    I'm a little tea pot.
    1. Re:How far wrong is he? by ebuck · · Score: 4, Funny

      Winston: I'm worried, Ray. All my readings point to something big on the horizon.

      Ray: What do you mean, big?

      Winston: Well, let's say this Twinkie represents the normal amount of hard drive space in a New York area desktop. Based on this morning's reading, it would be a Twinkie thirty-five feet long, weighing approximately six hundred pounds.

      Ray: That's a big Twinkie.

  2. Isn't it funny by the_unknown_soldier · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While Bill Gates talks about how content should be hard drive based, The ITMS actually lets you buy epsisodes of lost for $2.

    If you are going to make a format irrelevant, provide a viable alternative Bill.

  3. Re:Wow by FidelCatsro · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Agreeing with Bill Gates is an odd experience .
    I just can't help shake the "What's his angle " .
      Then Thinking a little more , I imagine It will be HDD based WMA files with MS DRM that is consumer friendly .
      Cutting out Sony , Philips etc. with their nasty DRM and allowing free reign for his slightly less nasty DRM

    --
    The only things certain in war are Propaganda and Death. You can never be sure which is which though
  4. Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? by Xyrus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It should be noted that every decision at MS is not necessarily Billy Boy's decision. Bill Gates is a public figure, the public knows him. But companies are not just one man shows, especially ones as large as MS.

    ~X~

    --
    ~X~
  5. If Bill Gates spoke out against jumping off cliffs by Hosiah · · Score: 4, Funny
    ...I would sprint for the cliff out of sheer reflex. I wasn't so sure about Blu-Ray before, but anybody Bill Gates doesn't like is a friend of mine!

    As for the Redmond round table: I just realized that every time I hear Microsoft open it's mouth these days, it's complaining or unhappy about something. Is this what a mastodon sounds like as it sinks into a tar pit?

  6. Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? by mysticwhiskey · · Score: 4, Funny
    Ala Keyser Soze - "The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was to convince the world he didn't exist"

    ;)

    --

    Stuck down a hole! In the middle of the night! With an owl!

  7. Erp? by hardgeus · · Score: 4, Funny

    So...confused...don't know which evil to side with...

  8. Blu-Ray really a non-starter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is true that organizations are looking at blu-ray only to hedge their bets. Blu-ray can easily prevent people from properly using the format - it is loaded with an unprecidented amount of "control" technology that can be used to target or knock out particular hardware or software products. If I were a hardware or software vendor, I'd be very concerned about blu-ray. As a consumer, I'd be only more concerned - what if the disc I buy rejects my player or computer or software package? Instead of one simple standard like the classic CD, suddenly there are thousands of incompatibilities, all with the name "blu-ray". Crazy! I can foresee the side panel of blu-ray box, with a technology compatibility list 100 lines long. This is not what we need.

    As a system that is loaded with patents and license agreements, you can bet that blu-ray will be well supported by industry licensees until the key patents start to expire. Then you can expect a mass-exodus to a new, yet unnamed "standard" that has more patent protection. Given the most of the patents involved are 3-10 years old, give Blu-Ray a 10 year life.

  9. Sour Grapes? by bbzzdd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Funny how he was riding the HD-DVD parade all the way up until Warner Bros jumped ship this week, spelling pretty much the death of the format. Now, he's all about direct digital distribution? Sure optical media is going the way of the dodo, but Gates is very much flop-flopping here.

  10. Re:i am not a blue-ray fan either by Meagermanx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Too expensive.
    Let's face it: For distributable media, people don't care about RW capabilities.
    That's where next-gen recordable media comes in.

  11. Re:Storage on hard drives by mysticwhiskey · · Score: 5, Funny

    DISTORBUTION - (n) A corruptive distortion-like field generated with the intent to imbue the subject with a sense of acceptance.

    --

    Stuck down a hole! In the middle of the night! With an owl!

  12. right on the spot by javilon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    He is right in his view that the MPAA will back blue ray because of the anticonsumer copy protection in the format.
    He is also right when he says that people is increasingly storing stuff in hard drives because they are competitive on the price per dollar side and they are much more reliable than the easily scratched current recordable DVDs.

    He is mostly wrong about a lot of other stuff, but I have to give him this one.

    --


    When his defense asked, "Which computer has Jon Johansen trespassed upon?" the answer was: "His own."
  13. Re:Wow by miffo.swe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I cant but agree. For me the first thing that hit my mind was Bill G wanting all media being stored under Windows powered appliances instead. Those pesky DVD things arent really tied to one vendor, namely Microsoft. I do want my media tied to a movable disc much more than i want it tied to a specific computer or appliance. I also dont believe for a second that the DRM from Microsoft will be one bit friendlier than the ones on the new DVD formats. Who will decide that, Microsoft or the media companies? Just because MS wants it nice and friendly does not say RIAA and MPAA will follow their wishes.

    All DRM sucks as it tries to take away basic functions from the consumer by technichs when laws say otherwise. Its just a way to sidestep fair use law.

    --
    HTTP/1.1 400
  14. Re:Wow by ebuck · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I believe that his "angle" is that a very large corporation which is directly responsible is releasing a new operating system who's only major advertisable feature is a new media player.

    So, it might do Bill some personal economic good to talk about how the future of film / media distribution will not use the DVDs/HDVDs/Blu-Rays but will use hard disks, which will only be enjoyable with a media player. And since this corporation has such market penetration and will be giving away said media player pre-installed, such perceived needs only move to drive the perceived need to adopt this (so-called) new operating system.

    And I didn't even have to add in the DRM angle.

  15. Yes Mr Stallman by strider44 · · Score: 4, Funny

    'Well, the key issue here is that the protection scheme under Blu-Ray is very anti-consumer and there's not much visibility of that. The inconvenience is that the [MPAA] got too much protection at the expense of consumers and it won't work well on PCs. You won't be able to play movies and do software in a flexible way.'

    Yes Mr Stallman, but I think that this sort of thing is bound to happen whatever you...Bill who said what?

  16. Re:Storage on hard drives by Tet · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Of course, all this assumes that HitMovie has already been released to DVD - HitMovie.avi is typically available before the movie's first shown in theaters.

    You say that like it's a good thing. Much as I dislike the MPAA, the fact is that movies cost money to make. A lot of money. Yet you're proposing that the best way to view those movies is to download an unauthorised copy from the net before it's even hit the cinemas. That brings in precisely zero revenue to recoup the cost of making the film. I hate to break it to you, but there won't be a HitMovie.avi for you to download in a few years if this becomes the norm.

    --
    "The invisible and the non-existent look very much alike." -- Delos B. McKown
  17. Re:No it isn't by n0-0p · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think MS can just see the real implications of Blu-Ray and they know it's a danger to them (and consumers in general). I don't think MS is being altruistic here, it's just that this time the general good happens to coincide with their goals. I've talked to a few people involved in DRM work at MS. They say that MS is only supporting DRM to appease content providers. From their point of view it limits their capabilities and doesn't really buy them anything. However DRM is the only way to get content providers to play ball.

    Now the real danger in the whole Blu-Ray issue is this. The DRM model for Blu-Ray is extremely restrictive and especially wouldn't play nice in a PC type environment. Also, Blu-Ray is a closed spec that must be licensed, so any deviation from this DRM model risks legal action by Sony. The content providers like this because it's a model with legal and/or technical barriers at every link in the chain. However if Blu-Ray really becomes the preferred format for HD media we risk a situation where Sony gets final say in all HD content distribution because they own this heavily restricted standard. So in the end Blu-Ray would become a monopoly coup for Sony and fair use would be seriously crippled in the HD world.

    So I'd prefer HD-DVD mostly because it's an open spec that is by nature more consumer friendly. Of course, it also helps that HD-DVD will be significantly less expensive and available for large-scale production in the near term.

  18. I'm afraid I don't buy the idea... by Garwulf · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It took me a bit of time after reading this article to figure out how to put this, but I think I know now what I'm going to say. I don't buy the idea that DVDs or discs of some sort will be replaced by hard disk space, regardless of what happened to music and iPods.

    Back when my ebook was published, there was a lot of talk about how ebooks were going to supplant the print book. It hasn't happened, and there's a few reasons for that. A book that is bound with a spine is called a codex, and there really isn't a way to improve on it as a format. A codex doesn't require electricity, it is portable, and you can do just about anything you want with the book itself. It is completely self contained - the only equipment it is truly linked to in order to function are the eyes of the reader (and something with which to turn pages). An ebook, on the other hand, has copy protection issues to deal with, requires electricity of some sort to use, and if the electronic reader breaks down, the ebook becomes inaccessible, or possibly even lost. Is it any surprise that the numbers that constitute a bestseller for an ebook are a fraction of the what is required for a print book?

    Now, take a DVD. So far, I think it's become about as close to what the codex is for books as is possible for movies (although it could be a bit smaller and contain more information). It has no moving parts, it's portable, and while it requires a player to watch the movie, the player breaking down will not damage the movie, or prevent me from taking it to another player.

    If it becomes just a download onto a hard drive, a lot of these merits are lost. The movie is attached to the player, if the player goes down the movie can be lost, and there are a bunch of new digital rights issues to deal with (and let's face it, we're not doing that well with figuring out how to deal with digital rights right now). Also, once the movies are being stored on a hard drive, it becomes difficult to deal with them individually - let's say I want to loan one to a friend, or to take one with me when I travel out of town. In order to do that, I'd have to loan or take the entire hard disk.

    No, I don't buy the idea of a format like the DVD being supplanted. It has always seemed to me that the most lasting technologies are those that offer the most utility in the simplest way. And, when it comes down to it, DVDs are pretty simple. They can certainly still be improved, but I honestly can't see a portable medium like the DVD being replaced by a medium like the hard disk.

    --
    Robert B. Marks
    Author, Demonsbane in Diablo Archive
  19. Re:Storage on hard drives by Lepaca+Kliffoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That argument would have a basis if those movies deserved my money. Before I gave up Hollywood completely I was deleting 99% of the movies I downloaded halfway through seeing them. Just imagine how wasteful it would have been to pay for all of them. The problem is that Hollywood has lost the ability to appeal to its potential customers long ago and now nobody who has a clue would ever pay for a movie before he's seen it once and most won't care about owning a DVD with a barely average movie on it. Dowloading is easier, cheaper and you can dispose of a file with a simple command. I said "no" to Hollywood years ago. It can't produce more than a single great movie every 2-3 years. Most of its money are blown on movies that are so stupid that when I'm unfortunate enough to watch them I actually feel things grating against each other somewhere inside me. Let it die.

  20. Re:Storage on hard drives by despisethesun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    See above. It's their movie and their copyright. It's your immaturity and "I want it now" attitude. Nothing else.

    So wait, it's immature to not want to have to pay $15 to watch less than 90 minutes of entertainment once when I can get a DVD for not much more? It's immature to not want to pay $4 for a fucking pop, or over $10 for a pop and some popcorn, when I can get a fucking meal for cheaper than that? It's immature to not want to have my seat kicked, or put up with idiots who don't turn off their cell phone or constantly make loud smartass comments during the movie? It's immature to actually be willing to pay for the convenience and comfort of watching the movie at home without having to wait months for the priviledge? I can't wait until I "grow up" and accept what corporate consortiums force down my throat.

    Read "I don't want to pay for it, I want it now, and I don't have any self-restraint".

    I pay for a DVD, and I have to sit through piracy warnings, advertisements, and other crap just to watch the movie. I am also restricted to watching it on specific devices. If I want to watch it on my Linux laptop, I've violated federal law by breaking the encryption. If I move to Europe, I can't watch any of my North American DVDs (which I paid for)because of region encoding. I can't rip several movies for my laptop so I don't have to carry a bunch of easily scratched discs or their bulky cases around with me without violating federal law. There exists the technology to provide a distribution method which will circumvent all of this bullshit and provide us the convenience we crave. I and millions like me have the bandwidth, the disposable income, and are willing to pay. The business model has already been proven successful for music (with iTunes). We're immature for wanting this, for being willing to provide a new distribution market? Right.

    --
    This poo is cold.
  21. Re:Storage on hard drives by shmlco · · Score: 5, Insightful
    "If I slave away coding for 12 hours a day and seven days a week to meet the deadline for a project, do I get paid millions by my employer? Of course not."

    Of course not. Because you, quite simply, are easily replaceable. There are, quite literally, millions of people ready, willing, and ABLE to do what you do.

    I notice you conveniently failed to mention that there are highly paid developers and software types who've made millions of dollars creating things that people want and need.

    In ANY profession there are people in the top tier, and then there are those who simply do the grunt work. For every multi-million dollar actor or actress there are 10,000 more who do minor roles, bit parts, commercials, or stand in as extras.

    And forgive me, but your comments strike me as equal parts envy and jealousy: "How dare society consider those people as being better than I am. How dare the world reward them for their efforts and ideas and abilities, and ignore mine."

    If you're slaving away for 12 hours a day, perhaps YOU'RE the one who didn't make the right career choice...

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.