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DARPA Awards $53 Million for Solar Power Research

mygadgetbox writes "Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) will be giving a consortium led by the University of Delaware nearly $53 million in funding to more than double the efficiency of terrestrial solar cells within the next 50 months. DARPA wants the consortium to develop and produce 1,000 Very High Efficiency Solar Cell (VHESC) prototypes that are affordable and that operate at efficiencies of at least 50 percent. The goal is to create solar cells that operate at about 54 percent efficiency in the laboratory and 50 percent in production."

171 comments

  1. Meh. by pavon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We spent two decades wasting time trying to improve the energy efficiency of solar cells. The energy efficiency isn't what matters - it is the cost efficiency! If you are using solar cells as supplemental power to a house (their most effective application), then doubling the energy efficiency of the panel just means you get to use a smaller panel. Who cares - you have a whole roof's worth of space up there. Whereas if you get the price down, then you will decrease the amount of time it takes to pay off the cost of the cells, making it worthwhile to include them in more homes. And for other uses - cars, power plants, even if we had 50% efficient cells they still wouldn't generate enough power to be much use.

    I have been getting excited about some of the recent research that is making progress towards less costly, cleaner (to produce and dispose) solar cells. I guess if you are the military, and price is not an issue than this DARPA research is usefull. They need to find some way to power all this new electronics equipment that soldiers are carrying. But it is improvements in cost efficiency that will really make a difference in real world.

    1. Re:Meh. by CosmeticLobotamy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unless you're trying to put a field of the things in a desert somewhere to supplement a city's power. Then the land costs more than the cells will, and being able to use fewer saves money and, in some cases, makes it feasible at all.

    2. Re:Meh. by deander2 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      if you double the efficiency, you only need half as many cells.
      this would reduce the cost, even if the price-per-cell remains the same.

      personally, i say let's try for both.

    3. Re:Meh. by thc69 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That kind of land is probably cheap. In fact, power companies and government probably own loads of it, unutilized, already.

      Come to think of it, isn't Area 51 surrounded by a bunch of wasteland desert?

      Either way, I want solar that can pay for itself quicker than I have to pay off a loan for it, else I can't afford the capital investment. I'd plaster my whole roof with it.

      Solar roof shingles and solar standing seam metal roofing are too expensive, too.

      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    4. Re:Meh. by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      There are uses for smaller more expensive solar cells as well. Personally, I'd like a solar laptop . I suspect that we've nowhere near the power requirements for something like that but there are other portable devices that would be more convenient with solar power to extend battery life.

    5. Re:Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, make them affordable so every home could have one connected to the grid. How's that for saving the world. :-)

    6. Re:Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      supplemental power to a house (their most effective application), then doubling the energy efficiency of the panel just means you get to use a smaller panel. Who cares - you have a whole roof's worth of space up there.

      So, put more panels there, and feed electricity back into the grid! Your electric meter probably will run backwards during the day, wiping out at least some of the electricity you use at night. You reduce your bill, and the power company can burn that much less coal/oil/whatever.

      Image if enough people did that....

    7. Re:Meh. by deglr6328 · · Score: 1

      What ever happened to the "huge" discovery 3 years ago of the large bandgap of InGaN which is convieniently tuned to the solar spectrum. They were claiming a theoretical efficiency of >50% in a single dual junction cell, 70% for multilayer junctions! Then......nothing. Not a single thing. Haven't heard a word about it since. wtf.

      --
      - "Hear that?! The percolations are imminent! Cease your ingress!"
    8. Re:Meh. by Aaron_Harwood · · Score: 1

      I wonder if they could be small enough to power a PDA or mobile phone? I guess people may buy into that, even with a high cost.

    9. Re:Meh. by vertinox · · Score: 1

      The energy efficiency isn't what matters - it is the cost efficiency!

      Darpa is more concerned about 24 hours 7 day a week in the air solar powered UAV's with solar panels than home owners. For all they care, those things could cost $10 million a pop as long as they get the job done.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    10. Re:Meh. by doug141 · · Score: 1
      They need to find some way to power all this new electronics equipment that soldiers are carrying. But it is improvements in cost efficiency that will really make a difference in real world.

      Winning wars doesn't make a difference in the "real world"?

    11. Re:Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ummm... improving the energy efficiency is a much more attractive option than improving cost efficiency if you have to choose between the two - with energy efficiency, you can make smaller cells. Also, with an energy efficiency increase, you can either reduce the amount of cells (thereby lowering cost) or increase the amount of energy generated per unit time (thereby decreasing cost recovery time).

      So the only thing that determines which to strive for (assuming exclusivity) is the one that can be improved the most.

    12. Re:Meh. by bheading · · Score: 1

      AFAIK, solar cells are presently 10% efficient. Theoretically, if one were to double the efficiency of such cells, then a person would only need to purchase half as many in order to provide the same power output, thereby achieving the cost reduction being described ?

      If 50% efficiency is ever achieved then we'd be able to buy one-fifth of the number of cells to get the same power output. This all assumes, of course, that enhancing the efficiency of the cells does not make them more expensive to produce.

    13. Re:Meh. by nathanh · · Score: 1
      I suspect that we've nowhere near the power requirements for something like that but there are other portable devices that would be more convenient with solar power to extend battery life.

      Hrm, my laptop draws 25W at peak, 14W while idling. Bright direct sunlight is 1kW per square metre. I estimate my laptop surface area (back of the screen) is about 0.06 square metres, and with efficiency of 15% for cells and assuming 25% sunlight (cloudy days, indirect lighting), yeah it's not even close. It's out by a factor of 10.

    14. Re:Meh. by GerTheDwarf · · Score: 1

      if you double the efficiency, the cost of the cell will go up. You can't assume that these new 50% efficiency cells will be the same price as the old ones...

    15. Re:Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there is no way to know the cost per cell will go up just because the efficiency has. it could go up, down, or stay the same.

      not to mention, if you had RTFA, they are focusing on AFFORDABLE high efficiency tech.

    16. Re:Meh. by HUADPE · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is a key problem with putting solar cells in the middle of the desert. Nobody lives anywhere near it. Transmission of electricity uses up energy, so sending power from the Nevada/New Mexico border to Los Angeles can reduce its voltage by more than half at the end of the trip. The land is cheap, but you need to buy twice as much and put twice as many cells on it to have the same effect as a local source.

      --
      This sig has not been evaluated by the FDA. It is not designed to diagnose, treat, prevent, or cure any disease.
    17. Re:Meh. by michael_cain · · Score: 1
      Next time you're taking off or landing from a major airport, take a look at the suburbs. Hundreds of thousands (heck, probably millions) of square meters of roof, mostly unshaded. Here in Denver, maximum solar flux (noon in June) is about a kilowatt per square meter. Typical household peak load over an hour is about 12 kilowatts, average load over the course of the day is closer to a single kilowatt. I've got maybe 20 square meters of south facing roof (and about the same west facing). 50% efficiency would have a peak output of about 15 kilowatts. Peak hourly load for a typical household runs about 12 kilowatts. If I had adequate storage, I could be nearly self-sufficient. Even without, the local utility is required to accept my excess and run my meter backwards -- I could come close to a zero electric bill. At least for the southwestern US, 50% efficient cheap solar cells would go a long ways towards making the suburbs quite energy efficient.

      Now if you want to make the suburbs really happy, find a way to take that excess electricity and efficiently combine water and carbon dioxide to get liquid hydrocarbons that can run an ICE :^)

    18. Re:Meh. by Pranadevil2k · · Score: 1

      If your solar cell is smaller, doesn't it logically cost less to make?

    19. Re:Meh. by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      michael_cain wrote: the local utility is required to accept my excess and run my meter backwards

      Yes. And because the grid is not a storage battery, the local utility takes that excess and dumps it.

      50% efficient cheap solar cells would go a long ways towards making the suburbs quite energy efficient.

      If you were talking about energy efficiency, your comment about the utility being required to buy your excess power was off topic.

    20. Re:Meh. by HaggiZ · · Score: 1

      $1200, >30% effeciency, and it equates to cheaper power than what you can get off the grid.

      There doesn't seem to be much excuse any more. Cheap AND effecient cells:

      http://www.greenandgoldenergy.com.au/

    21. Re:Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You guys are all forgeting DARPA also developes things to go up in orbit as well. The best stuff they've been sending in space falls into the 25-35% catagory.

      But for the most part the latest research is all towards electrifying the ground troops without use of generators or batteries (non-rechargeable kind)

      There are a couple of companies working on thin film solar, think clothing roll up, but mostly they are looking at building the cells into tents. Most of the efficeincies are way below 15%. Even so they can displace ALOT of fuel needed for generators to power camps and the logistical support that goes along with it.

    22. Re:Meh. by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      HaggiZ wrote: >30% effeciency [...] equates to cheaper power than what you can get off the grid.

      Homepower runs about $1/kwh. The grid in most places runs less than $0.10/kwh.

    23. Re:Meh. by Vihai · · Score: 1

      Yes. And because the grid is not a storage battery, the local utility takes that excess and dumps it.

      Dumps it WHERE?

      Don't you think that reducing the power production of other, conventional, plants, would be enough to accept the solar power?

    24. Re:Meh. by Your+Pal+Dave · · Score: 1

      That's exactly why nobody would ever even consider building a powerplant in New Mexico to provide power to California.

    25. Re:Meh. by Retric · · Score: 1

      1M62 ~= 10.7f^2 my laptop ~1 f^2 so let's use .1 square metres *.15 * .25 = 3.75w but if you use 50% eff solar cells that goes to 12.5w which would more than double your battery life. At 14w you get 14/(14-12.5)= 9.3 x as long. However, if you used 27% eff and 75% solar power 1f^2 gives 20.25 which means that if you had a detachable solar device you could add ~4-5 hours of peak useage per day anywhere.

      The problem is you don't use laptops outside all that much and when you do use them outside you tend to look for shade. And even then the back of a loptop would need to face the sun which is not as common.

      So I could see buying a solar laptop batery charger, but I don't think there is much value in covering a laptop in solar cells.

    26. Re:Meh. by slazzy · · Score: 1

      Lots of power plants that run things like coal and natural gas could simply burn less fuel during times of high solar output - and the solar energy could be used instead. The nuke plants can't be "turned down" of course.

      Even hydro-electric dams can could slow the fall of water and keep it high until nighttime when heating energy is needed and the solar output isn't there.

      Another idea might be to use solar energy to turn water into hydrogen in the daytime, and it could be burned at night to heat (or power your car!) quite enviro friendly

      --
      Website Just Down For Me? Find out
  2. Sounds familiar. by Orrin+Bloquy · · Score: 0, Troll

    Well, the last time DARPA innovated something we got ICANN in bed with corporate America as the result.

    Can't wait for 2010's Senate to explain to the rest of the planet that the Monroe Doctrine applies to our control of solar energy and the mysterious Burns Shield over the rest of the planet.

    --
    "Made up/misattributed quote that makes me look smart. I am on /. and I must look smart."
  3. 1000000 times better... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...than looking for ways to bury waste products in the ocean.

    Photocells are already fantastic technology. Not only do you save the energy you would otherwise be drawing from a power plant, you also save the energy needed to deliver the energy to the point where it is used.

    A lot of public lighting near my home is now solar powered. The big advantage is that you don't have to dig trenches to the site. Trenching is very expensive because of the associated labour costs, and labour costs feed back directly into energy costs.

    1. Re:1000000 times better... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      In the mean time, producing a solar panel still costs more energy than what it will produce in its lifetime. Don't discard the ocean solution just yet.

    2. Re:1000000 times better... by TinyManCan · · Score: 1

      This is not true any more. Find a single study in the last five years that supports your claim.

    3. Re:1000000 times better... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't need actual evidence when you're supporting the conservative agenda. You can claim that God created humans 6000 years ago, and that'll still be "science" in the US.

    4. Re:1000000 times better... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      In the mean time, producing a solar panel still costs more energy than what it will produce in its lifetime.

      Not true. ROI is about 18 months. Expected lifetime is upwards of 15 years.

    5. Re:1000000 times better... by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1

      Warranties on current production solar panels are typically 25 years.

      --
      Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.
  4. TATFA (think about the article) by PresidentEnder · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Most of what Parent says is true- for the applications in question (home use, vehicle use, consumer use in general) the cost of solar cells is the limiting factor. However, this is DARPA we're talking about here- as well as a bunch of commercial clients. The applications mentioned in the article (primarily the military) rely heavily upon efficiency and not so heavily upon cost efficiency. Yes, it would be nice if GI Joe's GPS solar cell only cost fifty cents, but if it weighs a hundred pounds? I'd rather have a five-hundred dollar solar cell producing enough in half a pound. Efficiency is important in some areas, cost effectiveness in others. Research into efficiency isn't a total waste.

    --
    I used to carry a bottle of whiskey for snake bite. And two snakes. -Nefarious Wheel
    1. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by jmcmunn · · Score: 2, Interesting


      True, the military will care about efficient power cells but is it really worth it to go the solar route? I mean we've been hearing a lot about other small energy sources as well...in my opinion solar is a pretty bad way to go from what I know about it. They're not very rugged from what I know either, which kind of describes where most of our troops end up.

      While I agree sometimes it is better to spend the money and get more efficient, I'm not sure I want my tax dollars wasted on something like this if the govt decides to buy a single expensive solar cell rather than some body armor for some troops on the ground facing suicide bombers...

    2. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by king-manic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While I agree sometimes it is better to spend the money and get more efficient, I'm not sure I want my tax dollars wasted on something like this if the govt decides to buy a single expensive solar cell rather than some body armor for some troops on the ground facing suicide bombers...

      Body armour may stop shrapnel. Body armour can't stop kenetic force. So it's good versus grenades, small arms, peripheral range of explosions, but piss poor against a bomb attack.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    3. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by NMerriam · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The solar cells used in the field are not the fragile glass units people think of. We use two flexible, folding solar arrays for our field work that are MILSPEC and they can be run over by trucks, take 7.62mm rounds, and fold down to about the size and weight of a laptop computer. Less efficient than the glass panels, but that's the tradeoff.

      And being able to set up a self-supporting field communications center with a small backpack full of gear can make a LOT more difference in war than an extra piece of body armor. But the power output is not great for the surface area, while ultimately I'm sure the DoD would love to be able to make the backpacks out of solar cloth and charge everything during normal activity.

      --
      Recursive: Adj. See Recursive.
    4. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      Have you ever thought that if the government didn't spend so much money sending troops to other countries where they are not wanted, there would be plenty of money to spend on good research such as this ?

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    5. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by mikael · · Score: 1

      After seeing the traffic jams due to hurricane Katrina in New Orleans, I was wondering whether hybrid
      cars could recharge using solar cells on the roof. If this were possible, being stuck in a traffic jam
      wouldn't be slightly less worrying, as I wouldn't be wasting money on keeping an engine going.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    6. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by jafac · · Score: 1

      I can't think of a better way to ensure the safety and security of this nation and it's citizens, than to discover a cheap method of mass producing solar cells, I don't care HOW inefficient they are, and using them to replace our dependency on foreign oil.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    7. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...could you tell me the difference between the impact of a grenade and a bomb?

    8. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by ikkonoishi · · Score: 1

      Assuming we weren't all killed...

    9. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by king-manic · · Score: 1

      ...could you tell me the difference between the impact of a grenade and a bomb?

      A grenade is ussually a bite of something like cordite wrapped with a etched wire in a casing or the casing itself is etched. When the cordite explodes the shrapnel is what kills you. In a suicide bombing set up, there ussually is a lot more explosive and they don't depend on nails to do the damage. So yes, you can tell the difference between a bomb impact and a grenade impact.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    10. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by Jeremi · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Have you ever thought that if the government didn't spend so much money sending troops to other countries where they are not wanted, there would be plenty of money to spend on good research such as this?


      Nah, you have it backwards... if the American people weren't kept in a constant state of fear and reliance on the Pentagon to "protect" them, they wouldn't be so willing to fork over their tax dollars to support the world's largest military. That's the beauty of the system: the bigger the US military-industrial complex grows, the more the rest of the world resents and fears the USA. The more the rest of the world hates and fears the USA, the more insecure the US population becomes. The more insecure the US population becomes, the more willing they are to funnel more of their tax money into "defense", in the hopes that it will make them safer from the world that hates them so. So essentially the more money they spend, the more money they will have to spend later on.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    11. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      Sure they can, but you are talking about a drop in the bucket in the scheme of things. If you covered the whole car you might get 1000watts worth of cells x6 hours of useable sun, brings you up to 6000watt hours. The problem you run into on your car is the motor is something along the lines of 5-30 thousand watts. So one whole day of charging buys you 30 minutes or less of run time.

      Of course you don'tt need to worry about sitting in trafic so much, since hybrids don't burn fuel(very much) when you are just sitting there On the environment side of the issue if all vehicles could off set even 5-10 minutes of fuel burning per day and replace it with solar power the affects substantial but not world altering. You still are going to need to use alot more cells than could fit on a passenger car to be able to drive around alot at the current level of comfort and power, but then that's what all those acres of empty roof space is for.

    12. Re:TATFA (think about the article) by Khyber · · Score: 1

      True, the military will care about efficient power cells but is it really worth it to go the solar route?

      Obviously you've not been watching the price of gas lately.

      in my opinion solar is a pretty bad way to go from what I know about it.

      You must know nothing about it at all. It only costs about $30,000 to take a home completely off of the electrical grid using solar with a combination of other natural sources of energy to power your house. (I'm part of a group of people here in Memphis, that have a warehouse, powered only by the sun and batteries and an inverter.) Also, solar panels are still excellent, though inefficient, today. I've got old solar panels that are over 20 years old, and their power output has only dropped maybe 5% over that period of time. Solar is *THE* source of energy for all life on this planet, just as an FYI. Better thank that big floating nuclear reactor in the sky for your very existence, buddy.

      While I agree sometimes it is better to spend the money and get more efficient, I'm not sure I want my tax dollars wasted on something like this if the govt decides to buy a single expensive solar cell rather than some body armor for some troops on the ground facing suicide bombers...

      So instead of designing more efficient things, maybe you'd want those tax dollars wasted on a pointless war instead? Or how about pointless litigation in court, or maybe more lobbying for laws we don't need, perhaps? I'd much prefer our tax dollars going to getting us off of oil as an energy source for something cleaner.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  5. This is good and all by rolfwind · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But the article is almost talking as if the goal of doubling the now 25% efficency being doubled are being guaranteed to be met which is hardly the case - it's been over 30 years (where it was what 8% effieciency?) since solar cells were introduced and many other countrie/companies have been working on improving efficiency without that huge jump in performance - Germany/France in particular.

    1. Re:This is good and all by LnxAddct · · Score: 1

      Yes, but we have the tech now for much higher efficiencies, just not on consumer levels. Even nanotubes can be used as highly efficient power cells. The goal here is to find a mix of good materials (probably not nanotubes as they are still too expensive) that will be reasonably sized while producing good amounts of energy at a reasonable cost. Those goals are good goals to set and are more reachable than ever before. Right now 30% efficiency isn't that hard if you have the money. DARPA is responsible for large portions of the advancements in modern society, so I wouldn't put it past them to achieve this. They obviously reviewed the research of these lab workers and found it impressive enough to put 57 million into it. If they didn't find hard evidence that the goal was reachable then DARPA typically starts off with smaller amounts of cash like half a million to a million dollars and they see where to go from there.
      Regards,
      Steve

  6. Most excellent news, but let's hope... by Wonderkid · · Score: 1, Troll

    ...the evil selfish "let's squeeze every drop from the Earth" oil industry doesn't buy up and discredit any commercial offshoots of this DARPA project and sweep it under the carpet. This kind of behavior is common, but the public rarely hear about it. The solution is for the world's populace to revolt by trying ever so hard not to purchase gasoline. Instead, whenever possible we should walk, bicycle or rollerblade to our place of work or relaxation until solar panels produce enough of our electricity to make a real practical difference. owonder.com/eco

    --

    O'WONDERWe're working on it.

    1. Re:Most excellent news, but let's hope... by nametaken · · Score: 1

      ...the evil selfish "let's squeeze every drop from the Earth" oil industry doesn't buy up and discredit any commercial offshoots of this DARPA project and sweep it under the carpet.

      They love you... +1

      This kind of behavior is common, but the public rarely hear about it.

      They really love you... +2

      The solution is for the world's populace to revolt by trying ever so hard not to purchase gasoline.

      Erm...

      Instead, whenever possible we should walk, bicycle or rollerblade to our place of work or relaxation until solar panels produce enough of our electricity to make a real practical difference.

      Alright, you did not just recommend walking and bike riding on slashdot.

      Total Score: "0, Troll"

      You should have seen that coming!

    2. Re:Most excellent news, but let's hope... by necro81 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure exactly what their motivation is for doing so, but the overwhelming majority of commodity solar cells (in terms of volume, not necessarily capacity) are manufactured by big oil companies such as Shell and BP. One could think of it as a slightly profitable PR stunt, along the lines of:

      "We're not evil oil companies, we make solar cells, too!"

      Or it could be a poorly executed attempt at product diversification, like:

      "Oil ain't going to be around forever, ya know, that's why we are making big investments in solar. Never mind the fact that it represents less than 1% of our business. Even though the we'll be making gozillions of dollars on oil until the day all our board of directors are dead and cold, we want to make sure that the next generation will have alternatives, and our company a future.

      Or, it could be like the parent mentions - a way to quash real innovation and development in solar:

      "These researchers might really be on to something, something that will make solar a viable competitor if it ever gets out into the open. Better just buy them out and keep it under wraps.

      As far as TFA goes, I doubt that they'll have much success. The best solar cells out there, triple junction GaAs (with some other elements thrown in, like P and In) cells, can do about 30% efficiency, but are hidiously expensive and useful only for high-end applications like satellites. The upper end of silicon-based solar cells, which can take advantage of the fact that the semiconductor industry lives and breathes silicon technology and supply, are hovering just over 20%. But, the maximum theoretical efficiencies of these two technologies are about 35% and 25%, respectively, give or take a few percentage points.

      Bottom line, if you want to make 50% efficient solar cells, you are going to have your work cut out for you. Traditional semiconductors won't cut it, unless you want to try and find some more exotic chemistries, or try and merge several chemistries together to make better use of the solar spectrum, both of which would be more expensive than the state of the art. One could try and discover something new, or further develop something currently below the radar, but being able to perfect it and manufacture it in volume as a commercial demonstration with 50 months will be very difficult, possibly impossible.

    3. Re:Most excellent news, but let's hope... by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      I think this guy may have posted a link to why DARPA thinks this can be done: http://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=167428 &cid=13960099

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    4. Re:Most excellent news, but let's hope... by jericho4.0 · · Score: 1
      #2. Oil is a finite resource, and the oil age will end. The oil industry is fully aware of this, and realize that they must one day become energy companies.

      Of course, selling dirt cheap solar panels, etc, to suburbia isn't quite in their best interest just yet. The aquisition of a state right beside Saudi Arabia will keep it going for a while.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    5. Re:Most excellent news, but let's hope... by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      Solar panels have nothing to do with anything oil has to do with.

  7. land is cheap.. by slashkitty · · Score: 2, Insightful

    compared to solar cells. Are you crazy or something? about the only place where land is more expensive is in or close to a city. Solar cells cost about $100 per sqft.. while land around here costs about $50k per acre, or about $1 per sqft. If you can get me some solar cells for less than $1 per square foot, I think we could have a good business.

    --
    -- these are only opinions and they might not be mine.
    1. Re:land is cheap.. by CosmeticLobotamy · · Score: 1

      At 50k per acre, it's almost $1.15 per square foot. Not so cheap-sounding now, is it? Suck on THAT!

      Okay, you're right.

    2. Re:land is cheap.. by InvalidError · · Score: 1

      $100/sqft is for consumer-grade stuff which is typically under 15% efficient. For the more efficient aerospace-grade stuff which is at least 25% efficient (IIRC, 27% was the minimum for qualification 3-4 years ago), you will be closer to $1000/sqft.

      More efficient and less expensive cells at the high-end will not translate into cheaper panels for consumer-level stuff because the pricing gap between the two grades will remain substantial for a long time to come... unless this DARPA funding leads to a major cost-cutting and efficiency breakthrough.

  8. A Good Start by ckswift · · Score: 4, Interesting
    This is a good start, but we really need to be pumping money into solar power research if we ever want a carbon free energy future. A excellent post over at the Cosmic Variance recently discussed how solar power is the answer for our coming energy crises.

    Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid
    ..."But we have nuclear fission, wind power, tides, biomass, hydro, and geothermo, and one day we'll have nuclear fusion...right?" No. First, he estimates that we need 10-30 TeraWatts (TW) of supply by 2050. Fission plants come in at about 1 GigaWatt (GW) of generation capacity (we don't know how to safely, securely and make efficient ones much bigger), and so we'll need to construct one new nuclear fission plant every other day -starting now- to meet the challenge. And then they only last 50 years... The biggest and brightest fusion project right now (in europe) is hoping to get break even several years from now, and then maybe built a working demonstration machine when it is probably already too late! He then continues to work down the list of all the other alternative sources, and you realize that they just won't even come close to what we need if we are truly going to stop dumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

    ...

    But then he reminds us that we have one source left, and it has way more energy than we can possibly need. The Sun. Two hours of sunlight hitting the whole earth's surface gives us the equivalent of the 30 TW for a year we need to be working at. Taking into account practicalities, we can expect about 600 TW or so fairly easily, and at 10% efficiency in recovering it and putting it to good use, we still are way ahead of what we need.
    I really encourage you to read the whole post.

    ~CK
    1. Re:A Good Start by Pegasus · · Score: 1

      Also a video of a presentation of a guy he cites ... very worth watching.

    2. Re:A Good Start by cameldrv · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Obviously the issue is simply cost. He dismisses fission because he says we'd have to build a plant every other day to make it work. Well, to replace that with solar, you'd have to build something like ten gigawatts of solar panels, install them, and hook them up to the grid or to individual consumers. The question is which one is harder. In a market economy, generally the way you figure that out is which one costs more. Solar costs more than Nuclear, and we would need a lot of undeveloped technology if we were relying heavily on solar, due to its variability. Nuclear is reliable, has a nearly inexhaustable fuel supply, and is well proven technology.

    3. Re:A Good Start by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 1

      umm.. retardo, that is why the guy in the blog post talks about research into STORAGE being a very large item on the solar agenda. The fact though that all the nuclear power in the world could not add up in time to the power requirements (then there is the problem of storage of waste at that level of production).

      Solar may be variable on the local scale, but it is constant on the aggregate. Oh, BTW, they have figured out how to make non-silicon based solar panels, so they get easier and cheaper to make.

      --



      I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
    4. Re:A Good Start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and so we'll need to construct one new nuclear fission plant every other day -starting now- to meet the challenge.

      As opposed to what? The coal and/or oil-fired plants that get magically constructed overnight by the Energy Fairies? All we have to do is leave out a glass of milk and some cookies, and boom! New plant!

      Or perhaps they eat granola and excrete semiconductor-grade silicon instead.

      Kee-rist.

    5. Re:A Good Start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The fact though that all the nuclear power in the world could not add up in time to the power requirements"

      Yes, of course, because we can produce a couple hundred thousand square kilometers of solar cells so swiftly an easily, not to mention all the cost of putting them up and making huge batteries to store all that energy. If you do the math, you'll find the cost of that is comparable with building a couple hundred nuclear reactors a day.

      "then there is the problem of storage of waste at that level of production"

      Really, so we can't handle six-times our current nuclear waste levels? Right now, nuclear is 1/6 of the world's power, with only 441 plants. And, of course, they could use fast breeder reactors so that the waste would become safe far, far faster.

      And, do remember, there is a lot of waste from solar cells in the form of solar cells. The things break down and do need to be recycled, and if you're covering six states worth of territory, that's a lot of work.

    6. Re:A Good Start by evilviper · · Score: 0
      Problem #1:
      First, he estimates

      I always love "estimates" without any evidence to back them up. Of course, that whole article is completely lacking in any supporting evidence for ANYTHING!

      Problem #2:
      so we'll need to construct one new nuclear fission plant every other day

      That is assuming a full switch-over to fission. I guess all of our current power plants are going to swallowed by the earth. I guess he is insisting that we get rid of ALL of our current hydro power plants, solar/wind facilities, natural gas, coal, oil, etc. I guess we are also incapable of building MORE of those non-fission plants (particularly the non-polluting ones) in the next 50 years.

      Oh yeah... He also assumes technology isn't going to advance, AT ALL, in the next 50 years. So, the first (50-year-old) fission plant will produce exactly as much power as the last (brand-new/most-recent) plant.

      Problem #3:
      we can expect about 600 TW or so fairly easily

      Yes, because it's of-course fairly easy to cover the entire surface of the earth with solar cells. Building and installing them won't result in any pollution either.

      His "Terawatt" figures include things like home heating as well, where technologies like geothermal can be easily used, needing very little actual electricity (no fission plants for that).
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    7. Re:A Good Start by renoX · · Score: 1

      > Nuclear is reliable, has a nearly inexhaustable fuel supply, and is well proven technology.

      I grant one and three but not two!
      The uranium amount is far from being 'nearly inexhaustable', I remember vaguely that a study showed that if we switches from oil to uranium, the resource of uranium would be exhausted in two centuries.
      That's a long time, ok but it's quite far from being 'nearly inexhaustable'.

    8. Re:A Good Start by cgenman · · Score: 1

      On the one hand, we desperately need more clean fuel supplies. You don't want to ruin your home, especially if it is the only home your entire species has.

      That having been said, he's making trend estimations to 2050. 2050. That's 45 years off. People aren't particularly good at figuring out what will happen in 10 years, let alone in 45. By 2050 the world will look as different as it did in 1950, arguably moreso. Will we have simple, efficient hydrogen for power storage? Will we finally have cracked the nuclear fusion code? Will meltdown-proof nuclear fission reactors come to power the world? Will many completely unexpected things come to pass?

      I live next to an experiment in solar panels. It's an array on top of a local strip mall, running it's entire length. It is also invisible from the ground, and rather robust considering the winters here. It has also produced enough power that it would have paid for itself repeatedly.

      Right now an average citizen can make an investment in solar technology, and can buy something which costs them the same as buying power over the wires, but which is also completely clean. But they don't. Businesses with large surface areas can buy something which costs them significantly LESS than buying power over the wires, and which is completly clean, but they don't. This sounds like a failure of advertising rather than a failure of technology. At this point, we really just need to get the word out.

      And who knows. Maybe Solar won't be the breakthrough that gets us a few more pollution-free years, in the same way that the gas-driven car saved us from the massive crisis of horse poo which was coating every major city in the world. Maybe it will be something unexpected. Thermal? Kinetic? Something that runs by consuming greenhouse gasses?

      We definitely need more research dollars. But I'm not convinced that focusing them all down on Solar is the right way to go.

    9. Re:A Good Start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The uranium amount is far from being 'nearly inexhaustable', I remember vaguely that a study showed that if we switches from oil to uranium, the resource of uranium would be exhausted in two centuries."

      There are (as usual) various studies but those indicating such quick exhaustion are under two assumptions:
      1. We stick with the current uranium extraction process.
      2. We stick with the current reactor technology.

      The problem with 1. is that uranium is rather abundant in trace amounts nearly everywhere. Since the fuel cost of a nuclear power plant is an extremely small fraction of its operation cost (unlike other power plants, because of the high energy density of nuclear fuel), extraction of uranium from sources like granite or even sea water may be viable.
      No. 2 leads to the neglection of alternate fuel cycles that other reactor types can use (for example, the IFR), most importantly, the thorium cycle, which is interesting due to the vast abundance of thorium and the uselessness of itself and its byproducts for weapon manufacturing.

    10. Re:A Good Start by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      If we stuck with the current reactor technology and we would still have an inexhaustible supply of uranium.

    11. Re:A Good Start by at_18 · · Score: 1

      What "inexhaustible supply of uranium"? Are you planning to make a supernova every now and then?

    12. Re:A Good Start by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      at_18 wrote: What "inexhaustible supply of uranium"?

      The oceans are continuously replenished with uranium via rivers.

    13. Re:A Good Start by at_18 · · Score: 1

      The oceans are continuously replenished with uranium via rivers.

      So the "inexhaustible supply of uranium" is on the land. And what is it?

  9. It can only mean one thing... by DieByWire · · Score: 5, Funny
    If this administration is spending money on solar, it can only mean one thing...

    Halliburton now owns the sun.

    --
    Never shake hands with a man you meet in a fertility clinic.
    1. Re:It can only mean one thing... by patonw · · Score: 1

      The administration will not tolerate European powers from establishing colonies... ...on the sun.

    2. Re:It can only mean one thing... by bigtrike · · Score: 1

      We'll need legions of Blackwater mercenaries guarding the Sun in a no bid contract at a cost of thousands of dollars per day per person. Don't worry where the money is coming from, we'll bankrupt social security and cut benefits to the poor and middle class to pay for it.

  10. Uses for solar panels by Mishra100 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I agree with the poster that says cost efficency is the biggest problem. I'm not sure how much they cost, but my dream is to create skyscapers completely out of solar panel. I think the panels look sexy enough to be on a lot of things. They should experiment with different looks for solar panels and have entire cities dressed with solar panels. This would save a whole lot on enegry costs as would be the purpose for solar panels. They should also experiment with a impact resistant solar panel. That way we can dress our cars completely out of solar panel. Basically, I think they should focus their ideas on making solar panels dynamic so we may use them in lots of applications!

    1. Re:Uses for solar panels by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I agree with the poster that says cost efficency is the biggest problem.

      It is a similar issue to VLSI chips. Once you have sufficent economies of scale, costs will fall rapidly.

    2. Re:Uses for solar panels by v1 · · Score: 1

      Traditional solar cells are made from hard, thin materials, and are fragile. They cannot be bent or flexed, and crack easily. Rain can damage solar cells. Most of those solar car competitions are run in the desert where (A) there's tons of sun and (B) it's not likely to rain.

      There are newer materials such as flexible solar cells, but they are expensive by comparison, and are less efficient. Several posters are also saying that more efficient is better because it will lower the amount of cells required... this doesn't work because a cell that's 10% more efficeint can cost double what the less efficient cell does. You will always end up paying a premium for smallness with solar. Also, every implementation of solar-to-electic power that I've seen has a protective cover (plexi usually, though sometimes glass) over the panel to protect it. Plexi (or glass for that matter) would make a really poor outer material for your car, so that's out. Also considering the brittle nature of the high efficiency solar cells, they would not hold up well to years of being hard-mounted on a moving vehicle. You'd end up having to use the low efficiency, flexible, more durable panels. And getting a door ding could inflict you with quite a repair bill.

      Last thing to consider. I don't know if the technology has changed recently, but last I looked, solar cells drop significantly in efficiency as they age. This too may preclude their being chosen for cars, and especially for buildings.

      --
      I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
    3. Re:Uses for solar panels by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      Big silicon wafers are pretty much a fixed cost (energy) to manufacture. Efficiency = cost savings.

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
  11. Optical Rectennas by karmicthreat · · Score: 1

    Why don't we switch to trying to develop optical rectennas. It seems to me that the only thing limiting there efficentcy is diode technology. We currently have diodes that can switch at 500 Thz. We only need to get into the 1000's of Thz to get into the optical realm.

    This would allow for a much higher top theoretical efficentcy. Maybe around 90%+ and would be far cheaper to produce.

    1. Re:Optical Rectennas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't we switch to trying to develop optical rectennas. It seems to me that the only thing limiting there efficentcy is diode technology. We currently have diodes that can switch at 500 Thz. We only need to get into the 1000's of Thz to get into the optical realm.

      This would allow for a much higher top theoretical efficentcy. Maybe around 90%+ and would be far cheaper to produce.


      You just made that all up, right?

    2. Re:Optical Rectennas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.nrel.gov/ncpv_prm/pdfs/papers/54.pdf

      It doesn't look like its just made-up.

    3. Re:Optical Rectennas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dunno - "rectenna" sounds like it might be a bit uncomfortable...
      Is that what they mean when they say "we all need to do our part"?

    4. Re:Optical Rectennas by apsmith · · Score: 1

      The problem is the spectrum spread - even if you're 90% efficient for red light, you're wasting more than half the energy content of the blue light. And if you're 90% for blue, that's generally the cutoff; you get nothing out of red at all. You can already get efficiencies over 50% with photovoltaics at a single wavelength but the real test is can you handle normal sunlight. That's why multi-junction cells do well (and are close to 40% in the lab) - they are optimized for several different wavelengths, instead of just one.

      --

      Energy: time to change the picture.

  12. Please stop propagating that old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Urban legend.

  13. Orbitting powerplants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't know if anyone remembers this, but in SimCity 2000, you could build a powerplant that consisted of a satellite which orbitted and collected solar energy, and them beamed it back down.

    Perhaps a bit fantastical, however something that just popped in my head. Granted the efficiency of solar cells may leave a bit to be desired, but I'm sure that we've all heard the statistics of how many days the world could be powered from a day's worth of sunlight. More than likely a little embellished, but still. To me, it seems to me as though the main problems with using solar power as a viable alternate rests in efficiency and real estate. Obviously you need some area to place these things on. Sunlight loses a lot of energy through absorbtion and diffusion before it gets to the surface. Lots of unused space up in space as well. Why not build a huge array to float around in space? Might be an "easy" way to boost efficiency not just by simply improving materials, but also but capturing closer to the source... more signal-to-noise if you will.

    1. Re:Orbitting powerplants by HeroreV · · Score: 1

      And we'll use millions of tons of fossil fuel to put all those gigantic things up there! Brilliant!

    2. Re:Orbitting powerplants by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      The main problem with beamed solar power (as I understand) is getting it back down here once it's collected. If you beam it down, it will lose energy passing through the atmosphere. It would also need to be very precisely targeted - at those sort of distances, a fraction of a degree off could result in blasting some poor shmucks house of the face of the earth. And even once it's beamed down, we'd need to convert it to electricity again. So you'd have: Collected(solar) -> Electrical (stored in satellite) -> Beamed (microwave) -> Stored (electrical) That's a lot of conversion, and energy is lost at each step. Just need some of those smart people doing wierd quantum things with sub-atmoic particles to figure out how to teleport energy, and beamed solar power would have a chance.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    3. Re:Orbitting powerplants by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      And we'll use millions of tons of fossil fuel to put all those gigantic things up there! Brilliant!


      And what would you propose we do with the last dregs of our fossil fuel reserves? Burn them up in our SUVs and wait for the rapture? Using them to construct an alternate system of collecting energy, so that civilization can continue after they are gone, seems quite reasonable to me...

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    4. Re:Orbitting powerplants by Jeremi · · Score: 2, Informative
      If you beam it down, it will lose energy passing through the atmosphere.


      True, but since you are getting it "for free" from the sun, a certain amount of inefficiency is tolerable. The lossage can be minimized by transmitting the power on the right frequencies.


      It would also need to be very precisely targeted - at those sort of distances, a fraction of a degree off could result in blasting some poor shmucks house of the face of the earth


      There are several simple ways to deal with that problem:

      1. Add a fail-safe feedback loop to the satellite: the receiving station broadcasts a unique signal, and the power satellite only enables the power beam when it has that signal directly in its sites. That way if anything should cause the targetting system to go off course, the beam automatically shuts off.
      2. Don't focus the beam very tightly. Instead of having a laser-like "death ray", you have the beam spread out to several square kilometers by the time it hits the Earth's surface. A metal grid can be layed out over that area to collect the energy. People wouldn't want to spend lots of time in the target area, but it wouldn't be instant death for them if they did show up there -- mild discomfort, maybe.
      3. .... and the obvious thing: locate the receiving station in the middle of nowhere, so that even if the beam did wander miles off course somehow it wouldn't hit anything but dirt.


      So the problems you mention are solvable IMHO. The real showstopper, for the moment, is getting the solar arrays into orbit: our current rockets have nowhere near the amount of lifting capacity required to make the economics practical. Possible solutions for this problem might be making the solar arrays on the moon, or (my personal favorite) the Space Elevator, which would make it practical to lift large amounts of mass to GEO.
      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  14. we have the darpa chief by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and kenneth baker and the launch codes.

    we want big boss's remains.

  15. Efficiency by SuperBanana · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Don't I recall a recent (last year or two) announcement from a university about a high efficiency solar panel, intended to be used in building construction? The panels were small, inside little cubes, and could pivot, I think?

    I'm also quite positive I remember stumbling across a webpage for a US Defense/space contractor, where they offered up solar panel "scraps" (stuff you could still assemble into working modules, with a fair bit of labor) for sale to the public. Efficiency was substantially higher than anything I've seen on the commercial market, though I don't recall figures off the top of my head. They probably cost a lot more to manufacture, but $50M amortized over -possible- solar panels sounds pretty expensive too.

    Why couldn't we just give a $50M grant to homeowners to buy solar panels?

    1. Re:Efficiency by WoodieR · · Score: 1

      I seem to recall there was something from a University of Toronto professor, increasing effciiency into the 40+% ... he did this by adding a substance which also took into account the fact that solar is broad spectrum, not just visible light ... older photovoltaics just depended upon visble light conversion ... realising that the entire spectrum could be used to trap / convert to electricity is the key to breaking into these higher efficiencies ... this tech would also be available in many form factors for various purposes, rooftop, siding, backyard, lightpost toppers etc ...

      --
      Question Authority before IT questions You ...
    2. Re:Efficiency by WoodieR · · Score: 1

      if not, then I claim this as my invention ( IP ), with no prior art ...

      --
      Question Authority before IT questions You ...
  16. Burns Shield? by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    First I thought Highlander II, but a search for "burns shield" highlander turned up no results, Then I thought possibly The Simpsons and that was no dice, so what do you mean exactly?

    1. Re:Burns Shield? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there was a simpson's episode where burns constructed a sun shield to make it dark in springfield all the time, forcing the town to use more electricity for lighting.

  17. 50 percent of what? by mnmn · · Score: 1

    The atmosphere lets through a very wide range of electromagnetic frequencies. Most solar panels use only a small part of this frequency range, and even in that range, its less efficient around the edges. If they make a cell that is 25% efficient, yet covers twice the bandwidth, they'd have the same energy output.

    Now getting closer to 100% is harder. The amount of effort spent on making something efficient for a given frequency may be better spent trying to make it cover multiple frequencies (or layering cells that cover different frequencies). A solar cell that is 50% efficient sounds like it uses 50% of the suns energy output that that area, but might well be below 1% efficient.

    --
    "Give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." -Nim Chimpsky
    1. Re:50 percent of what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the solar power created by the panel over its lifespan will still probably not be equal the amount of energy it took to manufacture it .....

    2. Re:50 percent of what? by imsabbel · · Score: 1

      You dont know what you are talking about.
      Seriously.

      A cell thats 25% efficient DOES convert 25% of the complete photon energy flux on its area in electrical energy.

      Thats why 25% is such a high value and even optimisation cant rise it much higher. The _quantum_ efficiency of those solar cells is almost 1, btw, So if you wanted bullshit advertisements, you could always claim 94% efficience.
      A hint for better understanding: look at a spectral graph of sunlight through the athmosthere. Its not really a blackbody-curve, because most of the uv is cut away (200nm because of nitrogen absorbtion, nUV because of ozone&co), plus the middle IR dropps quite a bit then the water absorbtion kicks in.
      So now your bandgap of your solar cell is at a specific energy, which means all photons with lower energy will be discarded (efficiency loss). But also, a photon CANNOT give more energy (at least not consitently) than the bandgap, so setting the gap energy too low will reduce the efficiency for all captured photons.
      So its a simple minmax operation where to set the bandgap, and (iirc) the theoretical maxium for a single bandgap solar cell is somewhere in the 38% range (with an blackbody input profile).
      The properties of the atmosphere help a bit in realitly (because of the loss of uv, you can shift it further into the IR), so i would gauge the theoretical maximum on ground level at about 40-45%, half of which is already realized.

      And yes, those 24% cells REALLY DO CONVERT 24% of ALL SOLAR ENERGY into electricity.

      --
      HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
    3. Re:50 percent of what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem, as correctly said here, is that solar cells only produce energy in response to a narrow frequency band of light. The recent research in solar cells is focusing on a material discovered about 7 years ago that takes in broadspectrum light, and fluoresces the light back in a very narrow band.

      The basic idea is to take a layer of solar cells, then a layer of this material, then a mirror, and sandwich them in that order. The part of the spectrum that is missed by the solar cells is turned into the bandwith the solar cell can use by the material (sorry, forgot what it's called) and focused by the mirror. Theoretical efficiency is up to 80%.

      This was (somewhat) recently reported in a NASA patent. Lord knows when it will start actually being seen.

  18. ..oil industry doesn't buy up.. by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    As a matter of interest, who do /you/ think owns BP Solar?

  19. Assuming what? by olddotter · · Score: 1
    If the cost of hydrocarbon fuels continues to grow, power demand will also fall.

    Replacing hydrocarbon energy with clean energy is not the only way to reduce hydrocarbon use. Making things more efficient will also reduce power use. This can mean better insulation in buildings and homes; more efficient means of travel; more efficient lighting (LED?); more efficient heaters and air conditioners; etc.

    It might even mean smarter stoplights.

  20. The worst thing about your post... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...is that so many of us even paused to consider the possibility.

  21. Does this not violate physics? by solarcell · · Score: 2, Informative

    If we are talking about traditional p-n type solarcells, they physically can't do better than ~37% IIRC. There is just no way to avoid some (alot!) charge recombination. In addition there is a lot of solar energy that is not within the absorption curve. I really hate it when people throw numbers around without a reference. All photovoltaics should be referenced to AM 1.5 (the typical energy that reaches the earth). The solar people all talk about photosynthesis as 'near 50%' but that is only over the narrow absorption range of the special pair and does not include any further electron transfer steps. I have to concur that it is all about making them cheaper. That said, while you can trade effiency for cost, the who 'nanocrystal photovoltaics' died a quite death cause the charge transfer was just SO piss poor due to it being an amorphous device. Now if someone can figure out how to add some structure (chemical self assembly) then you might have something. As with most other hyped science I would not hold your breath. Engineers are damn cleaver people and my bet is on the thin film amorphous silicon and cadmium telleuride ribbons being developed. solarcell

    1. Re:Does this not violate physics? by Yartrebo · · Score: 1

      You're right. Any who claims that photosynthesis is 50% efficient is nuts. If I remember right, total efficiency maxes out around 1% (given ample nutrients, rain, soil, and a fast growing plant like marajuana).

      The losses in the C3 (or C4) cycle are enormous, and a plant is a living creature with a metabolism and much of the sugar generated goes for other uses than laying down fiber (which is what we eventually harvest for timber or firewood or hay).

  22. Alternative Energy is already here. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 4, Interesting
    A family I know built a geo-thermal/solar powered house.

    This was not their original plan at the outset. --Basically, they bought a property, and cleared a lot far back from the road. Then they learned that to have AC lines brought to their house from the mains, the local power company would charge them over $10,000 for the job of sinking four poles and running cable.

    They thought, "Wow. Ten grand? Sheesh. What other options are there?"

    The result was some research and a re-jigged construction plan using alternative energy. They spent about the same amount of money installing Geo-thermal and solar panel solutions.

    10 big cells cost them about $8000 CAD. The rest of the money was spent digging trenches and laying thermal transfer pipes, air ducts and house wiring. Now they have all the power they need.

    Strategic spot lighting using 12 volt halogen bulbs rather than bathing entire rooms in light minimizes the impact on energy reserves. Laptops are used instead of desktop computers, and various other appliances, like radios and televisions are run with DC to AC converters. Water is pumped from a well to a reservoir at the top of the house which provides pressure. Even while feeding the needs of an active family of four, the array of 5 big chemical batteries which stores electricity from sunlight never dipped below a 95% full charge on any of the days I visited. (The power readings were set on a cool display for all to look at.) --And the house is also absolutely enormous; 5 bedrooms, plus various huge family rooms the size of small churches, etc. A total mansion, and after the initial investment, it costs exactly zero to light and power.

    Cooking is done on a big gas range fed from a pair of large propane tanks which contain enough propane to last more than a year. Water is drawn from a well. Refrigeration was the only puzzle still to be worked out, and while pondering it, the family had spent two years eating fresh foods while keeping milk and other such items in a basic camping cooler in the kitchen. Half the things people normally keep in their fridges don't really need to be there; milk and beef doesn't go bad all that quickly, eggs don't need to be refrigerated at all, and chicken and fish are simply bought fresh the day they are intended for consumption. --After realizing that this worked without any problems, the family basically concluded that they didn't really need a fridge in the first place. --Though, they told me that they had found a super-efficient 12 volt DC fridge on the market for homes exactly like theirs, but that they didn't think they really needed it.

    Half the problem is not the power source, but the notion that we need so much electricity in the first place. --If we change the parameters of the problem, we can start using different solutions which have already been accepted by industry. Simple.

    Despite the opposition, alternative energy is here for anybody who wants it.


    -FL

    1. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by diablomonic · · Score: 1

      I agree whole heartedly with most of what you said, but im a bit curious about the "milk doesnt need refrigeration" bit.... if I leave milk out of the fridge it goes off pretty damn quick ( hours versus nearly a week in the fridge), where did you get the idea that it doesnt need refrigeration (or are you talking about long life milk, or using it all up within a few hours of getting it?)

      --
      watch "the money masters" on google video
    2. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They make propane powered refrigerators. Well, at least they used to.

    3. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I'd suspect he's referring to parmalot or some equivalent. That's treated milk, which doesn't go bad at room temperature as long as the carton is sealed. It is very popular in many other countries (eg the Philippines) when refrigeration is a problem. It comes in many different sized cartons, so that you can open only about as much as you need.

    4. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by nido · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps raw milk, with the lactic acid bacteria still intact.. You can leave raw milk out on the countertop for a couple of days, and all it'll do is "sour" (get pre-digested by said lactic acid bacteria). After a day or two it'll separate into curds & whey, still totally consumable. This is how sour cream used to be made.

      See Nourishing Traditions (an awesome cookbook) for more uses for lactic acid fermentation (real sourkraut, chutneys, pickles, meats, etc)... There's another cookbook specifically on fermented foods, but I don't have it and the title escapes me at the moment...

      --
      Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
      www.teslabox.com
    5. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by majid_aldo · · Score: 1

      can everybody on the planet do that?

      --
      --- widget evolution: enhanced, plus, super, ultra, extreme, exxxtreme, ultra-extreme, ..etc.
    6. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

      I don't see why a fridge would be such a problem when they've got plenty of propane. You can get an 18 cu. ft. fridge that consumes 1.5 lbs of propane per day. Even a small one would be a big improvement over nothing, and wouldn't cost much to run.

    7. Re:Alternative Energy is already here. by WoodieR · · Score: 1

      is this house in or near Toronto?

      --
      Question Authority before IT questions You ...
  23. most efficient solar energy is _not_ solar cells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems to have been forgotten in the last 2 or 3 decades that the most eficient use of solar energy for consumers involves not solars cells but just a bit of black paint, glass or plexiglass, and some pipes.

      That is a solution that shifts the business towards plumbers and classical construction work, and would cut tremendously on fossil fuel use for heating. But that is not in sync with interests of any large industry (electronics) or the DARPA. No research involved, just plain urban planning and policy.

  24. the tricky part by mbius · · Score: 1

    ...is catching it.

    It turns out you need a total surface area the size of a medium sized US state in about six places around the world (say one on each continent) to do the job.

    Does anybody else see a problem covering Wyoming with solar arrays?

    --
    you can have my violent video games when you pry them from my cold, dead hands.
    Prime UID Club
    1. Re:the tricky part by diablomonic · · Score: 1
      not really, it doesnt have to be wasted and...

      lets see.. average house maybe 10 * 15 metres or more = 150 m^2 surface area on the roof. the sun gives a daily average of about 200 watts per m^2 (peaks at over 1KW at noon (in sunny places), drops to 0 at night)

      that gives us 150*200 = 30 KW of average power. add in a 20% efficient cell and you've got 6 KW average power, for every house, (obviously we need a way to store it during the day for night use), being way more than enough for most houses

      then youve got roads (ok pipe dream, requires the invention of a transparent coating tough enough to be driven on, not impossible but....), footpaths (similar), wastelands and other non important land, and anywhere else we could stickem. And this is all with 20% efficient cells. Add a 50% efficient cell in there, you get 15KW average power for every house.

      so what does all this mean? basically, the only problem (but a big one) with using solar power is the current cost (mainly due to the cost of the sillicon used). With new sliver technology (ultra thin solar cells, using vastly less sillicon), polymer solar cells and other future developments, this is not a problem

      --
      watch "the money masters" on google video
    2. Re:the tricky part by nathanh · · Score: 1
      that gives us 150*200 = 30 KW of average power. add in a 20% efficient cell and you've got 6 KW average power, for every house, (obviously we need a way to store it during the day for night use), being way more than enough for most houses

      To put this in persepctive, the average home uses between 20kWh and 40kWh per day. That averages out to less than 2kW average power. So as you say, even assuming grossly inefficient storage, solar power is technologically feasible. It's the economics that have held it back.

    3. Re:the tricky part by mbius · · Score: 1

      The way the article goes from "total surface area of the earth" to "a medium-sized state" led me to believe he really does mean back-to-back panels tiling the region.

      Sure you can put them on your roof, and just think of the savings in lawn maintenance!

      --
      you can have my violent video games when you pry them from my cold, dead hands.
      Prime UID Club
  25. Solar Power is not just Photovoltaics by necro81 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The article discusses that the goal is to improve the efficiency of solar cells to 50%. As I mention earlier in this thread, silicon-based semiconductor photovoltaics top out at a theoretical efficiency of about 25-26%. Other semiconductor technologies top out somewhere around 35%. These are the two technologies people think about when they imagine solar cells. I think the outlook for discovering and commercializing a semiconductor-based solar cell that's 50% efficient in the next 50 months to be very poor. I won't get into the physics, but the theoretical limitations have to do with the fact that semiconductor photovoltaics make inefficient use of the solar spectrum: a red photon will produce as much electrical energy as a blue photon, even though the blue photon is more energetic.

    But solar power is not limited merely to what one can do with photovoltaics. When people talk about the many terawatts of solar power that falls on the surface of the earth, most of that solar goes into two things: photochemistry (like in plants) or to heating the earth's surface. Plants make very efficient use of the solar power that falls on them, and a black, nonreflective object will convert the incident solar power to heat (or reradiated infrared light) with extremely high efficiency. If we could focus efforts to developing technologies that capture sunlight first into chemistry or raw heat and converting that to electricity, rather than the direct conversion to electricity that photovoltaics do, we may have a better chance of reaching the 50% goal.

    For instance, there was (is?) a solar power project that in the California desert that was a solar-thermal generator. Hundreds of mirrors focused sunlight onto a tower, much like the Archimedes death ray (which has received some press in /. lately). Instead of trying to burn a ship, the focused sunlight heated sodium to about 1200 Celcius, which liquified it. That sodium was passed through a heat exchanger to boil water, which made steam, which turned a turbine, in a similar closed-cycle technology to a nuclear plant.

    I'll admit this isn't much use in the battlefield, which is what DARPA is aiming for, but it is not out of the question to consider a smaller solar thermal unit for an encampment, which used a different medium than sodium.

    1. Re:Solar Power is not just Photovoltaics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Those big solar concentrators are just one of the options besides photovoltaics. There's also a huge array of solar powered stirling engines being constructed in Southern California, and there's a giant solar tower being built in New South Wales Australia. Those are just the two projects I've heard of besides the solar concentrators. The advantage of the stirling engines is that they are the most efficient method of converting solar power into electricity (currently about 30%), while the advantage of the solar towers is that although they are much less efficient (2% or so) they are extremely simple to design and should be relatively cheap to build as well.

    2. Re:Solar Power is not just Photovoltaics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I am surprised that noone has realised the obvious solution here in slashdot yet. The trick to do this is infact the very same thing plants do to get there high efficiency afterall. Namely you don't design for one light frequency, but for several. As far as I've understood from some discussions over this, trying to do more then say 3 spectrums is very difficult and perhaps not sufficiently beneficial. For the 3 spectrum system the expected efficiency should reach a bit past 50% ultimately and I thus expect that this is the solarcell type they are aiming to develop.

      This technology has been in development for several years already as far as I know and I believe it has even been mentioned on slashdot once, the DARPA push is most likly due to a desire to make this extremly efficient solarcell a relaity that much sooner. Overall I think that 50 months is an ambitious but doable target and hope they'll make it.

    3. Re:Solar Power is not just Photovoltaics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Recent advances have made 50+% efficiency look more doable. For example, this group is working on techniques that could theoretically yield 56%.

      http://www.lbl.gov/msd/PIs/Walukiewicz/04/04_1_3ba nd.pdf

  26. How about asking Japan to do it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Over two third of solar panels *on the earth* are produced in Japan and used there.
    Maximum efficiency I've heard is 34%. Give them some incentive, they could improve little more.

  27. More than one way to rule the world by handy_vandal · · Score: 1

    If this administration is spending money on solar, it can only mean one thing...
    Halliburton now owns the sun.


    Not necessarily. All Halliburton really needs is the power to *destroy* the sun -- thus rendering the Earth uninhabitable. Top that, General Electric!

    Now shut up, pay your bills, and enjoy your democracy.

    -kgj

    --
    -kgj
  28. Goal Not Important by LordMyren · · Score: 1

    As wondeful as it makes me feel that someone is sponsoring a warm fuzzy feeling technology like solar energy, the importance of these particulars are dwarfed by the greater issue at hand-- that the responsibility of government is to do what markets cannot. I dont know the numbers, but it certainly feels like government research spending has dwindled. $53mil may be spit in the bucket, but its at least something; it's certainly more than any corporation would invest in a 4 year, two month project.

    Government needs to get back in the game of building a future actually worth living in.

    Myren

  29. Solar cells are still very expensive by rif42 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Solar cells are not now, and will not in any near term (5-10 years) be a method for general electrical energy generation.

    Generating electric energy with solar cells is a great idea, but they are still a speciality, because the price of the cells are so high. Prices are falling, and have been doing so for many years, but they still have a long way to go to be competitive to other large scale energy sources.

    Solar cells needs more researching and funding for R&D. It will be great once it becomes affordable. Until then it is only a niche energy source for use in special locations and applcations.

    For the time being the are luckily other sources for large scale non-polluting energy production, namely electrical energy from wind power. Wind power is a proven technology that is readily available and can be installed for large scale usage. It also has the benefit of being a decentralised, scaleable technology (start small then scale up).

    The installed capacity for wind energy is like 20 times larger than solar power. In 2002 the world wide capacity for wind power was 32.0 GW, for solar cells it was 1.3GW. Numbers are from report by BP (the oil/energy company).

    In many countries wind power is the fastest growing energy source. In Denmark 19% of electric energy is made by windmills. In Spain it is 6%, in Germany 5%. In actual numbers for installed capacity Germany is by far the leader in the field, then followed by Spain and USA. See ewea.org and gwec.net site for further numbers.

    While most European countries are racing ahead and installing windmills on land and in the sea, not much progress has been done in USA in recent years. This is especially sad due to the population size of USA and the high energy usage per person.

    1. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      While most European countries are racing ahead and installing windmills on land and in the sea, not much progress has been done in USA in recent years. This is especially sad due to the population size of USA and the high energy usage per person.

      I'm more optimistic about the America. Sure, we are short sighted at times and procrastinate. However, when push comes to shove, you can be damn sure that we get shit done....FAST!

      Just wait. Once oil starts cutting into wallets and diminishes our lifestyles, you will see the free enterprise of America redefine "Energy Industry" above and beyond expectation of our wildest dreams. At this point, everyone with the capitol will want a piece of pie.

      Just imagine the next bubble in the future. This time, it will be the "Energy bubble".

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    2. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by rif42 · · Score: 1
      I'm more optimistic about the America. Sure, we are short sighted at times and procrastinate. However, when push comes to shove, you can be damn sure that we get shit done....FAST!

      But this is exactly not happening. In recent years US energy politics have been:

      • Deregulate the energy market, leading to massive graft and fraud by companies like Enron (and causing rolling powercuts in California).

      • Refuse to sign Kyoto agreement, while any other Western country have agreed and realised that action must be taken and they must pull ahead.

      • Invite the croonies from Halliburton and Enron and let them write the masterplan for comming years energy politics.

      • Have CIA fabricate fake reports on WMD, invade Iraq, make sure that Halliburton gets their share of the oil business.

      • Make plans to drill oil in Alaska.

      • Let lack of investment in grid structure and backup solutions leading to small problems turn into massive power failure in New York area.

      • Keep minimal taxes on petrol and other energy sources so as to not cause inconvenience US consumers and businesses (at least not right now).

      • Post dubious stories on SlashDot like making oil from oil-shale.

      • Invest 53 million USD in solar cells research (for military purpose).


      You expect thing to turn around FAST. Well it better do because it is long overdue.

      In the wind turbine usage US could be a world leader. US has access to the technology, US has the space for deployment, US has the money for the investment, US has the manpower to run the maintainance of large scale deployment. What is lacking is a willingness in the government to take the action.

      In installed capacity of wind turbines India will this year overtake US. But dont worry in US you can still pride yourself for being ahead of countries like China, Russia, Nigeria, whatever...

      Factor in the record high energy consumption in US per capita, and the situation looks even more bleak. Wake up guys! Actions needs to be taken!

      Just wait. Once oil starts cutting into wallets and diminishes our lifestyles, you will see the free enterprise of America redefine "Energy Industry" above and beyond expectation of our wildest dreams. At this point, everyone with the capitol will want a piece of pie.

      You mean with examples like Enron and Halliburton?

      This is where the US goverment fails. They have kept minimal taxes on energy and let the market and consumers decide what is best. But that leads to shortsighted and egoistic solutions: "I do what is best for me right now".

      Few consumers and businesses are able and willing to grasp large scale problems like resource limitations and pollution. This is why it is important that government takes a leading role and use taxes, public control and investment to stear the market and consumers in a direction of what is best for the common good and long term stable solutions.

      Just imagine the next bubble in the future. This time, it will be the "Energy bubble".

      No thanks, one time Enron is more than enough.
    3. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      There are places where we do use alot of wind that are ahead of the curve, like out here in Tehachapi CA (don't get me wrong California is the land of big government and idiots galore), but they do have alot of windmills. I watch semi-flat bed trucks roll by carrying single blades (these things are huge) on my way to work almost everyday. They are constantly in a state of construction out there upgrading to ever larger towers all the time.

      On the smaller scale you do see many of the homes outside of town with a micro tower or three.

      What I don't get out here they haven't made it mandatory to use solar hotwater heating yet. I'd have to say about 1 in ten houses has it. We definitely get plenty of sun. The only place where I've seen nearly 100% adoption of solar (water heating) is in Maui, HI. Almost all the homes out there have solar and quite a few businesses have PV solar panels on their buildings as well.

    4. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      Charcharodon wrote: What I don't get out here they haven't made it mandatory to use solar hotwater heating yet.

      Do you think it might matter whether or not it is cost effective?

      We definitely get plenty of sun.

      That is not relevant.

    5. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      rif42: In the wind turbine usage US could be a world leader.

      The U.S. could also be a world leader in pizza speed-eating. Neither is relevant to energy policy.

    6. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by rif42 · · Score: 1

      There are places where we do use alot of wind that are ahead of the curve, like out here in Tehachapi CA (don't get me wrong California is the land of big government and idiots galore), but they do have alot of windmills.

      If you look on the wind turbine deployment within US, the state of California will come out favorably. But that matters very little in total numbers of US deployment.

      Why cant the federal government make incentives to let most other states in US follow the example of California?

      It is only when a majority of the states follow the example of California wind turbine deployment that there can be a significant change in the annual numbers, that can move US from a losing to a leading position.

      I watch semi-flat bed trucks roll by carrying single blades (these things are huge) on my way to work almost everyday. They are constantly in a state of construction out there upgrading to ever larger towers all the time.

      Remember this is just anecdotical evidence (which SlashDot is full of). What counts is the overall numbers of installed capacity versus power consumption. In this US has a long way to go.

      What I don't get out here they haven't made it mandatory to use solar hotwater heating yet. I'd have to say about 1 in ten houses has it. We definitely get plenty of sun. The only place where I've seen nearly 100% adoption of solar (water heating) is in Maui, HI. Almost all the homes out there have solar and quite a few businesses have PV solar panels on their buildings as well.

      A large percentage deployment of solar water heating could be a power saver as well, especially if it happens in many more states than just California.

      Regarding wind turbines, why is it that there is so much deployment in California, but so little most elsewhere in US? What is it that has created this incentive there but not elsewhere?

    7. Re:Solar cells are still very expensive by rif42 · · Score: 1

      The U.S. could also be a world leader in pizza speed-eating. Neither is relevant to energy policy.

      Yeah right, but spending measly 53 million USD on a military project is going to save the energy production in US. As limited as wind turbine deployment currently is, it actually account for more than 20 times the energy production of solar cells. Get real man!

      On SlashDot people will dismiss actual numbers but believe impossible forecast of solar cell research results, or that large solar towers that has never been build will solve all energy production.

      Next week on SlashDot: Since McDonald renamed French fries to Freedom fries the fries production has risen so much that the grease by-product can now power all the US cars.

      About your speed eating... it is years ago since US heavy-weights lost out to skinny Japanese people in speed eating competitions. Japan btw. is the world leader in solar cell deployment. Not that these things are really related, but well you chose to put it together.

  30. Try again... by benjamindees · · Score: 1

    Solar powered lighting is about the dumbest idea possible. Most lights are on utility poles, or near right-of-ways, with power lines at hand. And the electricity used at night costs pretty close to nothing because it's part of the utilities' base load anyways. Not to mention, you need batteries, which are still somewhat expensive, to run nighttime loads as opposed to just connecting to the grid to run loads like, say, peak air conditioning that return a greater benefit.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    1. Re:Try again... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Informative
      Solar powered lighting is about the dumbest idea possible

      It is in use all over the place here in Australia. Not along every main road, but it is used where there is no easy access to mains electricity. A location in the middle of a park, or on an isolated country road easily justifies solar power.

      In my former job working on road transport systems we frequently installed solar and wireless traffic monitoring systems and emergency telephones.

      You save on trenching this way, and also on maintenance because underground cables are forever being dug up by people.

  31. Why can't we just have world peace? by benjamindees · · Score: 1

    Why couldn't we just give a $50M grant to homeowners to buy solar panels?

    Welcome to the real world. First of all, there's no "we" involved. There's "the pentagon".

    Since you're just joining us here on planet Earth, "the pentagon" is not interested in Americans being energy-independent. They are interested in waging war every few years. That's their job. They do a fine job of it. And in order to keep doing their jobs, it's in their interests to ensure that Americans are insecure and frightened enough to keep paying them to do their jobs.

    Now, a seemingly miraculous opportunity for continued warfare (and funding) has arisen for the pentagon, in the Middle East. It just so happens that a large portion of our energy comes from the Middle East. And it just so happens that the pentagon does a great job waging war in the Middle East to secure that energy that we desperately need (or, at least, they did until recently).

    So, I hope you can see that Americans being independent of energy from the Middle East is not in the pentagon's interests. In the future, when you see that the pentagon has funded something, instead of thinking "why didn't they fund something useful?" you can think "those brass sure are doing a heckuva job!"

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
  32. Rove and Libby by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 0, Troll

    Look at the wonderful things the federal govt. can do when Bush is distracted!

    Maybe if he gets even MORE distracted, our budget will balance and drug use will go down! Quick, someone get a small, sparkly object to show him!

    (If I as a conservative feel this way one year into his term, I can't imagine how you pinko liberals feel.)

    1. Re:Rove and Libby by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that the President is extremely far removed from day-to-day operations at DARPA, and even Congress pretty much sets its own agenda? Bush probably paid more attention to what he was having for lunch than some piddly solar cell research contract.

      "Perspective"; try to get some, mmmmkay?

    2. Re:Rove and Libby by DigitalRaptor · · Score: 1

      That's the problem with BIG government:

      No one pays attention to where the money is spent. They're too busy spending it themselves. At every level. In every branch. In every party.

      The Bush clan just have it down to a science.

      --
      Lose Weight and Feel Great with Isagenix
    3. Re:Rove and Libby by alienmole · · Score: 1
      (If I as a conservative feel this way one year into his term, I can't imagine how you pinko liberals feel.)
      It's not about right vs. left, it's about intelligence vs. stupidity. George Bush is the dumbest president in living memory. You have to be dumber than he is not to recognize that. Unfortunately, George Bush is apparently right around median intelligence, which means that nearly half of America is, in fact, dumber than he is. (The rest are wealthy and think they know which side their bread is buttered on.)
  33. Actual experience by Doug+Coulter · · Score: 2, Informative

    I have two solar powered businesses here (a computer consultancy, and a machine/plating shop), and two homes which run off the same systems. Square feet definitely matter, as I am nearly out of useful roof space now. The 1000 sq foot building that has the machine tools is covered, and could use twice what I have now (although with a 2kw array, it could also be worse - 8-10 kWh a day ain't bad). I've got room for one more rack of 4 panels (about 500w more in full sun). A 500 sq foot building has its roof completely covered as well, and usually I have to pump power from the larger system over there to back it up when things aren't ideal. Any well designed solar system has the problem of, well, February...The Solarex polycrystalline panels I have on both places (2 of the four buildings that aren't always in shade) do the best in "non full sun" or gray days of all the types and brands I've tried, and this MATTERS in real life, bigtime. Getting half or even a quarter of the full sun output is far better than nothing, for example, and there are times when one either lives on this or burns petroleum in a generator, which is very expensive. But employees expect to work and get paid no matter the weather, so one copes. Remember that lead acid batteries have lousy efficiency, down to 40%, so the generator or panels lose a lot there if you're not using the energy as it comes in. There is simply not enough room on the average building around here (SW VA) to handle the bad weather months. This is a system that can run air conditioning and BIG multi HP power tools on good days...and barely limps by on nightlights if we have a week of near darkness, which happens often enough.

    1. Re:Actual experience by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      http://clab.mystarband.net/Efficient_generator.htm

      It looks like you have plenty of space for panels. Or were you using that grass for something important?

      I suppose I can accept your arguments over better performance in cloudy conditions. But I think more efficient storage is *much* more important considering we'll never be able to do away with storage completely.

      By the way, have you considered that grass might be a more economical way of meeting your energy needs than solar panels?

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    2. Re:Actual experience by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why isn't this moderated +5 Informative? Thanks for the info, Doug.

  34. More like $5 trillion needed by b7j0c · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Not just for solar, but for alternative energy in general. With our oil supply set to become uneconomical within forty years, we are literally in a sprint to find a replacement for fossil fuels wherever we use them today, and if we don't our society is going to hit the reset button for about a century or longer. Our entire economy is based on cheap and plentiful fossil fuels, ALL OF IT. Our commitment to alternatives so far is a joke in the US. $53 million isn't even a rounding error on what we need to be dedicating to this effort, which is likely already ten years late.

  35. What about spray-on? by sanman2 · · Score: 1

    I'd read that spray-on plastic solar cells will bring down costs despite their lower efficiency, but how do you wire them up?

  36. In other news.. by DigiShaman · · Score: 1
    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  37. what did they learn about efficiency? by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    "Strategic spot lighting using 12 volt halogen bulbs rather than bathing entire rooms in light minimizes the impact on energy reserves."

    Halogen lighting is absurdly inefficient. Incandescent lighting in general is. Imagine if they used fluorescent lighting in their house? Heck, even LED or HID would be much more efficient.

    I've never heard of a super-efficent 12V fridge either. Many 12V "fridges" (more like coolers) are god-awful Peltier devices which are about 10% as efficient as a compressor-based system. Even of the compressor-based systems, I'd imagine a 120V one would be more efficient anyway due to fact that high voltages work better for high-load uses.

    I don't get why 12V is considered a good thing here. Power loss in a line is proportional to the current through the line. To deliver the same power at 12V as at 120V, you have to run 10X as many amps and thus lose 10X as much power in line losses.

    I do agree people could use a lot less power (I am very power usage conscious) and I know conservation is the biggest part of solving our problems with providing energy for the future.

    But I also know that not every house is willing to go without refrigeration and ice. What if you have medicines you need to keep?

    Finally, having looked lately, it is amazing how much the power coming from the sun varies. Did you know that if the sun is blocked by a cloud the power falling on a panel (and thus the power generated) falles to 10% of full sunlight numbers? And if it's a heavy overcast, it's even worse. This combines to mean that just in much of the country (I think of Michigan, where I grew up), solar power is not viable at this time. We'll know solar power is viable in those parts of the country when people in areas like California and Arizona can't afford not to install cells.

    I mean, think of it like this. My monthly electric bill is about $40. If I had sells capable of covering my electric bill in Michigan, I could take the same cells to California where they generate $400 of power per month and sell back $360 worth of power per month! They'd pay themselves back in 18 months.

    Well, I don't see every house sprouting solar cells in California yet (although I saw a new PV setup appear on my commute in the last month, I'm jealous), so I know solar power isn't ready for prime time.

    And then of course, all this idea of solar houses is predicated on the idea that everyone owns a single-family home. So in order to save power, you have to move to the suburbs and thus drive 14,000 miles a year (at least) in commute plus puttering to the supermarket to get groceries, when in a more efficient city environment you'd use less energy overall.

    I have a friend who owns an entire mountain nearby (small one), with a house, entirely off the grid, much as for your friends, running electricity from the grid wasn't very cost-effective. Alternative energy is a reality for him for sure. Of course, just the PV array cost him $30K. I don't know how much cheaper it would be now, I'd hope it would be significantly cheaper.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
    1. Re:what did they learn about efficiency? by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 2, Informative
      To deliver the same power at 12V as at 120V, you have to run 10X as many amps and thus lose 10X as much power in line losses.
      Power loss is I^2R, so ten times the current is 100x the power loss.
    2. Re:what did they learn about efficiency? by ColaMan · · Score: 1

      I've never heard of a super-efficient fridge...

      Then you haven't looked hard enough ;-)

      Vestfrost make some. They are super-efficient because they use loads of insulation, and can subsequently get away with small 12 compressors (actually 19VAC chopped up from 12v). Chest freezers with modified thermostats also come to mind , although they're still mains-powered.

      And luxeon LED lighting would probably be the way to go - they only draw 5 watts or so tops, and you can get MR16 types that fit standard halogen sockets now.

      --

      You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
      There is a lot of hype here.
  38. how do you get that? by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    I used the numbers from solarbuzz.com. http://solarbuzz.com/ Cost of a panel right now is $5.20 per peak Watt. For more facts, also see http://www.solarbuzz.com/Consumer/FastFacts.htm.

    So I did some numbers. My electric bill is about $40/mo from PG&E. I use about 353KWh/month.

    I figured that there are about 6 effective peak hours of generation per day. That is, I get about 12 hours, but if you average it all hour, it's like I get peak sun for 6 hours (Solarbuzz says 5.5) in my area.

    Okay, so that means for each $5.20 I spend, I get 6 WH per day. Since I use 11.8KWH/day, that means I need about 2000 peak watts of generation. That means I'd have to spend about $10K on cells (not including tax, and solarbuzz says the PV array is only half the cost of the system). At $40/month, that means it will take me 20 years to get my money back (really, double this), hopefully my cost of new lead-acid batteries every 4 years or so won't turn that 20 years into never.

    And that's in sunny California, if I chop down the trees that shade my house and keep it cool. Oh, and I don't even have A/C!

    So, what did I do wrong? Where's the magic of solar power here? Sounds like I'd have to take a huge bath to go solar.

    Were just referring to ROI on energy put in?

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
    1. Re:how do you get that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You cannot compare the cost of a solar system over 20 years to your current monthly electricity costs extrapolated over 20 years. You would have to compare it to the cost of purchasing a contract to deliver 11.8kWh/day for 20 years. I am sure someone would cut some kind of deal like that but isn't going to be at 11 cents per kWh.

      Once you have that number we can do a real comparison.

  39. Re:Solar Tower by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 1

    Check out this solar tower project. It uses the sun to heat up air which is under an enclosed canopy. The heated air then rushes up through a gigantic tower, powering generating turbines along the way.

    --
    http://www.rootstrikers.org/
  40. about 1000000 percent... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    of estimates are made up on the spot.

  41. $53m is not a lot by nicklott · · Score: 1
    I'd just like to point out that $53m is really not a lot of money, relatively speaking.

    This is dwarfed by the subsidies that govts give to the world's richest industry, Oil.

  42. MOD PARENT Informative by amias · · Score: 1

    If i had some mod points left thats what i'd have done .

    Seriously , Wonderkid has a point . With so much money and technology under the control of
    an industry that is diametricly opposed to sustainable fuels its no wonder they seem basic
    at the moment .

    Most solar panels at present don't genereate as much energy as it takes to make them , that
    doesn't mean they are useless , just that they aren't ready yet . Every technology goes through this phase at some point , it usually takes a bit of a risk to get it to the mainstream. Once its there it benefits from the massive exposure and improves dramatically.

    Wake up people we can't carry on using Petrol , wonderkid has the right idea ,find another
    way to do things. Don't wait for the government to say 'right everyone , stop using petrol now' , they won't thats where they get their money from so they aren't going to cut their
    revenue.

    You can take control of your life , your planet , your destiny or just throw it all way with lazyness and fear. The choice is yours but the effects are all of ours. choose carefully.

    --
    [site]
    1. Re:MOD PARENT Informative by Zoyd · · Score: 1

      amias wrote: [...] solar panels [...] Petrol [...]

      What might solar panels have to do with petrol?

  43. oh $53 million.. by DeckerDel · · Score: 0

    I'm sure I heard this somewhere, that if we took 1% of the Sahara desert and turned it into a
    solar array for producing electricity we could feed the world with it! even if this not true I'm sure
    it could produce electric for at least Africa, surely.

    But anyway, instead of making new advanced solar cells why not use the ones we have their
    very good! I'm not a complete know it all, but I know that the money could be better spend
    many other ways.

  44. Meh by sail4evr · · Score: 1

    It's not really the price of solar panels but the return on investment. How much do you pay and how much do you save and over how many years do you amortize the cost of the panels. If you pay lets say 200% for more efficient panels ($5/watt goes up to $10/watt), but the efficiency goes up by 400% (12% to 50%), the return on investment has just doubled even though you might have to pay more for the original.

  45. Nova Scotia, actually. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
    Where land is plentiful and people are more able to do wacky things.

    Even still, it took a lot of work to get the bank to allow a building loan for the house; the bank's concern was that an eco-friendly house would be difficult for the bank to re-sell if the original owner failed to pay back the loan. It took a fair bit of fighting and many phone calls up the chain to bosses of bosses and a bit of threatened media attention. ("What? Your bank doesn't support environmentally friendly housing? What will the public think?") to convince the bank CEO to approve the mortgage.


    -FL

  46. Propane Fridge. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
    I'll pass that on.


    -FL

  47. Electricity. . . by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1

    I'm not an electricity guru, but I'll try to answer as best I can. . .

    Halogen lighting is absurdly inefficient. Incandescent lighting in general is. Imagine if they used fluorescent lighting in their house? Heck, even LED or HID would be much more efficient.

    I agree that I do find LED lighting an exciting technology, but I'd be hard pressed to go with it in a house; it's a very blue and cold light. I dislike fluorescent for those same reasons and because even the special units designed to replace incandescent bulbs where special effort has been spent to make them seem more natural, I still find buzz and make me feel weird.

    In the house I'm talking about, in the washroom for example, the toilet and sink would get their own lights pointed at them, and that's it. At first, I found this a bit strange when compared to the whole-lighting experience of a regular house, but it was easy enough to adapt. You can still read on the john and get your business done. The rest of the house took a similar approach.

    I can't say if this really did use less energy than a house filled with 100 watt bulbs, but it didn't seem to make much of a dent on the house batteries. Perhaps if the family converted their lighting to AC from the batteries and used regular bulbs it would have been a better solution. I'd like to really study this stuff before I get around to building my own house, which I plan to someday.

    I don't get why 12V is considered a good thing here. Power loss in a line is proportional to the current through the line. To deliver the same power at 12V as at 120V, you have to run 10X as many amps and thus lose 10X as much power in line losses.

    Again, I don't know. --But I should think the distance being traversed would factor into that. They weren't moving electricity over kilometers. Just meters.

    But I also know that not every house is willing to go without refrigeration and ice. What if you have medicines you need to keep?

    Medicines were also the only big thing I could think of when pondering the necessities of keeping a fridge. Other than that, it seems more like a device of convenience. And these days, I find myself keeping water out on the counter because I like drinking it at room temp. I keep things like left-overs in the fridge (until they go moldy and get thrown out), and frozen berries and instant pizzas and that sort of thing. Nothing a little less laziness wouldn't do away with. There are other ways of preserving fruits and meats. And in any case, I've never had to keep any medicine in the fridge, nor have I had to keep any real medicine in my home aside from asprine. This was also the case when I was growing up, and with virtually everybody I know. --I realize that it may seem like a broad statement, but it appears to me that many medicines on the market are a product of poor thinking; eating habits and lifestyles and living/working environments which do not encourage good health. A more harmonious approach to living of which eco-friendly housing is a part, probably does away with the need for any number of chilled pharmaceutical solutions.

    Finally, having looked lately, it is amazing how much the power coming from the sun varies. Did you know that if the sun is blocked by a cloud the power falling on a panel (and thus the power generated) falles to 10% of full sunlight numbers? And if it's a heavy overcast, it's even worse. This combines to mean that just in much of the country (I think of Michigan, where I grew up), solar power is not viable at this time. We'll know solar power is viable in those parts of the country when people in areas like California and Arizona can't afford not to install cells.

    Again, I don't know the technical details about the panels the family in question installed, but I do know that it gets pretty cloudy up here in Nova Scotia. The owner of the house did explain that there are different types of solar cell, and the reason the ones he installed were so expensive was that they w

  48. Wind power is NOT an effective alternative by Egregius · · Score: 1

    Windmills are not really "Man's best hope for energy". When is there the most wind? Spring and fall. When are energy needs the highest? Summer and winter. Besides this they are not very powerfull (large number needed to power a city), kill loads of migrating birds (strange/macabre but true), and the weather is not exactly something stable enough to build your energy grid on. Oh yeah: it can be cloudy and windless.

    I see much more potential in wave-energy; which probably hasn't taken off yet because one practice experiment in Norway got 'blown off' after a violent storm wrecked it, and because it isn't in the public eye much.

    1. Re:Wind power is NOT an effective alternative by rif42 · · Score: 1

      Windmills are not really "Man's best hope for energy".

      For clean non-pulloting energy production, it has emerged a as working solution for deployment now, and with huge potential for increased deployment in the sea in the comming years.

      Does that mean with should we should researching other clean ways of generating energy? Hell no, find some ways to create large scale cheap solar cells, wave energy that works, energy storage methods etc.. but until something better and cheap arrives wind energy is able to account for a significant part of electrical production.

      When is there the most wind? Spring and fall. When are energy needs the highest? Summer and winter.

      That depends on location, both for production and usage. The production data I have seen for windmill located in northern Europe show strong production in autum, winter and spring and lower production in summer. Because this behaviour is rather predicatable it can be factored in with energy from other sources, e.g. water power plants.

      Besides this they are not very powerfull (large number needed to power a city), Besides this they are not very powerfull (large number needed to power a city), kill loads of migrating birds (strange/macabre but true), and the weather is not exactly something stable enough to build your energy grid on. Oh yeah: it can be cloudy and windless.

      Well compared to solar cells as was subject of this story wind turbines are far more powerful. Do not even begin to discuss the difference in cost per KWh between these two.

      About birds at most locations they actually coexist very well with windmills. Some bird do die from impacts with wind mill, but you forgot to mention the thousands of bird that also die every year from impact with highrise buildings and high voltage power cables. Does this make US flatten Manhattan? What about the million of birds and animals that die in traffic impacts every year. Do we stop driving or do we try find ways to alliviate the problem? Like fences and designated road stregthes with high likelyhood of animal crossings. With placements of wind turbines the impact on windlife should also be considered, but the problem is far less than you think. In Denmark there has been made studies about windlife and windmills. You can read some about it here:
      http://www.windpower.org/en/tour/env/birds.htm

      I see much more potential in wave-energy; which probably hasn't taken off yet because one practice experiment in Norway got 'blown off' after a violent storm wrecked it, and because it isn't in the public eye much.

      Yes wave power sounds like a great technology. But if wave power was a software projejct on Sourceforge it would have the project status of embroyic.

      Indeed we should do research in this field, but for many comming years it is no where close to be a useful energy source that can be installed and deployed mass scale. In comparasion it is more likely that solar cells will be major business years before wave energy will be useful.

      But now you will mention that they have some wave power unit on an island in Scotland, and the one in Norway. And far as I know there is even one in Portugal. But it is no more than experimental deployment. The problem with wave power done this way is that it requires very special natural conditions not found many places. You need a tall rock side, with ocean waves slamming right into it. Concreate construction in this enviroment is not easy and not cheap and you have to design for the strongest winter waves. ...And dont even get me started about problems with dolphins and baby-whales getting stucked in the internal pipings of your wave power plant :-).

      Alternative is to use some sort of floating carpet that moves up and down with the waves passing under it. Again these things are just reasearch areas nowhere close to mass deployment.

      Anyway, with new deployment of wind turbines in

    2. Re:Wind power is NOT an effective alternative by Egregius · · Score: 1

      I see a potentially very fruitful combination ;-)

  49. you can't compare up front money to over time by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    Additionally, paying up front raises your costs. I mean, a dollar 20 years from now is a lot less than a dollar today.

    I don't agree with your contract thing. I am comparing cost of PV power versus regular power, to get an idea of whether it makes sense for the person who is already accustomed to regular electric rates. Additionally, California is considering limiting the ability of anyone (even companies) to sign power contracts outside the regular system, so that might not even be an option for me soon.

    I redid the numbers a bit, after reading more info on solarbuzz.com. It says that in large installation (meaning like a house setup, not a couple watt setup), the cells are more like $3.80 per peak Watt, not $5.20. The bad news is that it also says the cells are only half the cost of the system. So I redid the numbers, and they break even after 30 years, not 20.

    This is disturbingly outside the expected lifetime of the systems of approximately 25 years. And that's before replacing batteries every 4-5 years. And omitting the mention that the output of the cells will drop 0-20% over their 25 year lifetime.

    Still, all is not lost, PV solar has advanced so much in the last 5 years, things will likely look different in another 5. So I guess I'll keep waiting.

    Additional notes:
    Solarbuzz says that a cloudy location generates almost half as much in a year as a sunny location. All I can say about that is that I must have grown up in a very cloudy location. Because I'd say about half the days are overcast in Michigan in the summer, and very few days aren't significantly cloudy. Knowing that this will reduce power output at least 80% on those cloudy and overcast days, I can't see how it makes half as much power as here in California, where we have clear skies 90% of the time and the sunlight is just plain stronger anyway (closer to the equator).

    Finally, the post I had responded to talked about total energy output of a panel versus energy put in. Solarbuzz says that the cells will output as much energy in 2-4 years (depending) as was created to make them.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  50. super-efficient? by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    I looked at that web page. They don't give their capacity units, but I'm gonna have to assume it is in liters.

    That means the freezer on that vestfrost site uses 51.13904511 KWH/cu ft/year.

    Now, at the energy star site http://www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?fuseaction=ref rig.display_products_html, the freezer at the top of the list uses 45.46666667 KWH/cu ft/year, which is 10% less.

    I'm sure there's some fudging I'm missing in these numbers, but I don't see how those devices you list are super-efficient. Efficient, yes. Super-efficient, I just don't see it.

    Luxeon LED lighting is fine, but white LEDs (these included) aren't as efficient as fluorescent lighting.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  51. Night Sky Refrigeration by cr0sh · · Score: 1
    Not sure how well it would work in Nova Scotia, but there is a technique of refrigeration called "Night" or "Dark" Sky radiation.

    Basically, you have a heavily insulated storage "unit" - an old, large chest freezer will work fine. Get rid of the compressor, coils, etc, then seal any holes or cracks. Dig a really large hole, deep enough to hold the chest, leaving a couple of feet completely around the box. Fill the bottom up with a foot or two of straw, old fiberglass insulation, sawdust, etc - basically some insulation material. Center the chest in the hole on top of this layer, then backfill more insulation completely around the unit on all sides. Take the lid and build a new cover for the top around the lid, adding 6 inches to a foot of insulation. Basically, you want to beef up the insulation something severe. If you want, you can also build this whole thing aboveground as well (for Nova Scotia, you might want to do this) - but it is more difficult. I imagine, though, a bunch of two-by-fours and some effort will see you through.

    Once you have the unit built, operation is "simple" (though time consuming at inconvenient times for humans): In the daytime, leave the unit closed as much as possible to keep the cold inside the unit. When the sun sets completely (when it gets nearly completely dark and it cools down), open the unit up entirely. Any heat inside will radiate out toward the night sky. Before the sun rises the next morning, close the unit up. Repeat this cycle forever.

    If you put a cookie sheet with a half-inch of water in the bottom of the unit, you can even make ice (though it will take a few cycles)! So - items that need to be kept the coldest stay at the bottom. I would imagine that a very enterprising person could build such a unit as a room, with the walls heavily insulated (maybe straw-bale construction, or something similar), with a retractable heavily-insulated roof section controlled by a computer or a simple solar cell tracker system. A door on the side would allow entry into the unit (maybe want to make it an "airlock" type system to keep the cold from exiting), and steel shelves inside would allow easy storage and retrieval of food items.

    If you want to try the idea out, make a small version with a cheap camping cooler and a thermometer over a few night/day cycles, to see how far you can drop the temperature (I am not sure such small system would work well, though - it is one of those things where area of exposure might make all the difference). There is information on the internet about this kind of system - I am certain the Mother Earth News has also covered it in the past as well.

    Finally - for you nitpickers out there concerned about my use of the word "cold" and "letting it out" - please be aware that I am aware of how heat moves, and that you aren't moving cold anywhere. I am just speaking in layman's terms here because it is easier for others to visualize...

    --
    Reason is the Path to God - Anon