1 Million Windows to Mac Converts So Far in 2005
UltimaGuy writes to tell us AppleInsider is reporting that according to one Wall Street analyst over one million Windows users have switched to Mac in the first three quarters of 2005. It is speculated that these numbers are a direct result of the popularity gained through the iPod and related technologies in addition to security concerns from Microsoft. From the article: "According to checks with Apple Store Specialists, Wolf also said a larger than expected percentage of Windows to Mac converts appear to be purchasing Apple's higher-end systems and that their transition is fueled by the epidemic of viruses and malware on the Windows platform."
I just wonder what the tipping point will be before we start seeing an exponential rise in Mac malware.
Then what, the masses start switching to BSD or Linux?
--
Ever since Mac started running on BSD, it's a better option than Windows for Unix converts.
I'm guessing a lot of people use both macs and PCs for different features. Most video/photo editors and designers probably can't live without a mac for work, but when you come home and want to use the software others can...
I realize I'm setting myself up, but I have not RTFA yet. Do people that casually get into it count among those statistics? For example, a friend gave me an old 400mhz G3 iMac for free because he had no more use for it.
I just play with it to see how OSX works and use apps I wouldn't normally use on my PC. This is the most exposure to a Mac that I have had since the original 1984 Macs. Does that make me one of the "converted"?
"It is speculated that these numbers are a direct result of the popularity gained through the iPod "
So, if i own an ipod, but have 5 windows computers, does that mean i "Switched" to ipod?
What if i own an imac mini (good to have, small, cute, good for a den computer when i want to check news/status of the intarweb), but still have 5 other windows computers and only use the mini for half an hour max every day. Does that mean i switch?
What about grandma who never had a computer, ever, and her kids decide that a mac would be the best solution for an elderly computer user, did she "switch"?
I 3 marketing hype...
Is it sad that I am more likely to recognize you and your posts by your sig than your name or UID?
Like many analysts, he pulled it straight from his butt. Or, more specifically, he gathered a few anecdotes from Apple salesmen and extrapolated them to cover the entire universe.
ABSURDITY, n.: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion.
They'll have more users when the piracy thing catches on. Hell, I wouldn't use Windows if it wasn't free...
And is anyone keeping track of the number of people that switched BACK after discovering that they have to re...invest substantial amount of money into Mac version of software titles they already own for the x86?
ELOI, ELOI, LAMA SABACHTHANI!?
I actually switched from Linux to MacOS because I was sick and tired of fighting with my system configuration everytime I updated my packages or wanted to install new software. OS X allows me to run all of the same OSS apps that I loved on Linux (VNC, SSH, irssi, etc) while at the same time being a joy to use.
I first was exposed to OSX from the leak to x86. After that, I loved it so much I got a Mac Mini (the first mac I've seen which I could actually afford).
"Despite the Needham's positive comments on Apple, the firm on Monday downgraded shares of the company's stock to "Hold," saying it believes Apple shares are now "fully valued.""
I can't help thinking there is something seriously screwed up in our economic system. A wildly successful company gets its stock downgraded. I understand the rational for this - i.e. it's chances of going up in the future are low - but its sort of a strange logic. If a company becomes wildly successful, takes over a market, and matures into a stable entity producing good product the stock market loses significant interest as soon as the company reaches "maturity." I can see this for a stock not paying dividends, but really based on the logic I see given for stock buying it's not just a little like betting on sporting events - it's EXACTLY like betting on sporting events. States that want to make gambling illegal should take a look at the stock market as problem number one.
Someday, our economy may move towards a kind of steady state condition when fossil fuel becomes expensive and people won't be interested in buying anything disposible. Ever notice how virtually EVERYTHING is disposable nowadays? Make it low quality, sell it cheap, and depend on people having to buy lots of whatever it is when their old ones become obsolete/go out of style (that one really gets me)/crumble into dust because they're so cheaply made. The resources it takes to make these things are lost, the raw materials that could have made better quality, more durable products are lost. I shudder to think what we are going to look like in the eyes of future generations. Virtually all economic, corporate, and even governmental thinking is now focused on short term returns and enjoyment at the expense of the long term. Renewable energy? Why should we fund that? We've got enough oil to last us, and working for future concerns hurts this quarters profits.
Bah. Science, long term thinking, conservation - alien thoughts to a massive part of our society. Community means absolutely nothing - there is no sense of community thinking in corporate or government circles any more. It's all equations, and people aren't in them. Profit, re-election, power... I think Orwell might have been right, in the end. With no sense of community to hold us together, with no caring for other human beings, I have my doubts that society can be stable in the long term.
Just a random thought. (I agree with you completely however)
If your purchase doesn't make you a "true" convert, how many windows users are "true" windows users?
If say 100,000 aren't "true" converts, then maybe a few million of the 90 million Windows PC users are false as well. Maybe the Windows numbers are off by a few million - which makes a small difference for Windows marketshare, but potentially doubling the "true" Linux/MacOS marketshare.
Wish there was a cheap and accurate way to measure this correctly.
To me this increase in sales can be somewhat attributed to the success of the ipod. The ipod certainally has brought a whole lot more exposure to apple in general over the last 12 months. And it's not like OSX is a bad OS for them to be pushing, if someone is curious and checks it out they probably won't be too dissapointed. Couple that with the fact that Windows XP is a few years old and is starting to seem a little dated. Windows will probably strike back a little come Vista but I guess only time will tell.
If Apple wants to call them all "switched", well, that's fine for marketing. But just having their foot in one million more doors, that's huge no matter what. And unless Apple pulls a huge boner, I would suspect most of those million will actually switch and stay switched. (At least until they get tired of Super Breakout. :-)
John
TFA: "If we assume that all of the growth in Mac shipments during the past three quarters resulted from Windows users purchasing a Mac, Or Mac users wanted a second PC, or their kids or parents needed their first or new immigrant H1B workers bought them. How can they assume these numbers are ex-Win users?
appear to be purchasing Apple's higher-end systems They appear to be? So they might not be? Huh?
fueled by the epidemic of viruses and malware on the Windows platform. Based on what figures? Last year it was "fueled by better video editing" and before that "fueled by better graphics editing" as sales people only mimicked their pitches.
the firm on Monday downgraded shares of the company's stock to "Hold," saying it believes Apple shares are now "fully valued." Because the 1 million Windows converts are all that will convert? Not only shit can be pulled from an analyst's ass.
"During the past year, in response to the introduction of breakthrough new iPods and Macs and outstanding financial results, we've doubled our price target." And even $61 is a worthless number, offering no real income (profit dividends, interest, commitment sales, etc). Take your stock money, start your own business, and stop gambling.
Still, the analyst hedges his bets, explaining Apple's "frenetic pace of innovation" could present new opportunities,"The ship is not sinking, but it might. It could also fly possibly." These people are worthless.
I have friends who are analysts, and they're worthless, too. My Costa Rican bookie gives me good advice based on the pros. These analysts either give neutral advice, or just enough so that mom's stock will go up.
These are interesting times to be a Mac user. It's incredible to say it, but Apple is actually on the upswing after a decade of total Windows dominance. Dell's revenues and sales are down while Apple's keep growing beyond the industry average.
As a Mac user myself, I'll just say this. I don't want an Apple monopoly dominating computing; I would just like an Apple marketshare at around 35%-45% again. It would make for a much healthier market and would mean a lot more applications for Mac, instead of waiting a year later for a third-party port.
So before you Mac-hating Linux kids start flaming another Apple article, most of us just want less Windows domination. That wretched pile of crap has wasted more time and money on reboots, endless "configuration wizards," registry cleanings, spyware cleanings, resource-sucking antivirus software, and so on. It's so bad that a lot of normal people are afraid of computers and their difficulty--they don't realize it's Windows that is difficult. Computers don't have to be.
"Sufferin' succotash."
I think, as time pass by, and more developer and systems makers realize that as long as the data is portable (.pdf, .html, .jpg, .mp3, .ogg) the system used to access the data becomes less and less relevant, I think more ppl may switch to alternative platform as they learn that their data will move with them.
He's right... Just an an example I have a Powermac desktop (mostly for Final Cut) and a cheapo Acer laptop for Office and a specialized application I need for work. I know at least two guys with tricked-out Windows rigs for gaming and Power or iBooks for everything else. I know a few couples who have one Mac and PC in the house-- in fact I'm sure there are hundreds of thousands if not millions of households and businesses with both systems, mixed and matched for need or personal taste.
We're well past the era where having a couple of systems at your disposal is a novelty, and this whole notion that an OS requires a pledge of allegiance is ridiculous. But I guess the Mac press would wither and die without endless self congratulation, and the PC trolls would do likewise if there was noone to hear their cries of why Macs are Teh Sux.
Maybe he knows all the shortcuts and still doesn't like the interface. I am a Mac user and I like the interface, But that is me. Other people may not like the interface, it is not setup on how they think. Maybe it is simple like the menu bar being on top of the screen. Not part of the windows, maybe it is not able to run the same application twice, on the same account, perhaps it is the fact that the application doesn't close when you close the window. Sometimes people just don't like things, for the reason they don't like it. I don't care for beats other people like them, I sure don't want people feeding me beats until I like them, because I probably won't. If the GrandParent likes Windows let him use windows, if he likes Linux let him use Linux. When people ask me for my opinion on a good OS I say OS X, it doesn't mean they will like it.
If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
I sat here trying to think of counter examples, and failed. I haven't been in a house that *hasn't* had multiple operating systems in memory... but every single one of those falls in to your "dedicated for work or geek circle" categories.
would you say its fair to say that the number (or relative percentage of the peoplation) of people who travel in "geek circles" is significantly higher than it was 5 or 10 years ago?
"Can you feel the love tonight"o ufeelthelovetonight.htm
/.ers cooing about it and throwing a couple of jabs at Linux and Macs as well.
http://www.stlyrics.com/lyrics/classicdisney/cany
While I agree that there are more Mac users, (I converted my neighbor)I think this is writing for eyeballs at best. The writer has wisely weaved together hot-topics to sell his story.
Right now and until there is a release to stores on MS's Longwait, there will be plenty of extra Macs sold. In fact, it will likely BE the second-coming of the apple desktop.
Once the available for retail date gets close on Longwait it all goes quiet and MS collects on their monopoly. Cha-Ching! The the media onslaught will include
Right now, Apple is getting some desktop face-time. Enjoy it while it lasts. Sad too, because the mac is superior in so many ways.
http://www.maxineudall.com/2010/02/should-economists-be-sued-for-malpractice.html
Actually, it uses the Mach kernel with FreeBSD userland tools. It has its own abstraction layer called IOKit for device drivers and its own window server called Quartz. So no, it doesn't have a BSD kernel, it doesn't use BSD drivers, and it doesn't use X11 for its "pretty interface." It's not "BSD" any more than Windows is "BSD" due it including a BSD-licensed network stack. Ask your grandma to buy you one of the new I-MAXES for your birthday, d00d. Maybe you'll learn something.
their transition is fueled by the epidemic of viruses and malware on the Windows platform.
In other words, these are people who are finding that maintaining an internet-connected Windows computer properly requires too high a level of geekdom -- geekdom being defined as technical skill plus interest in spending time applying that skill. The level of geekdom (skill+time) required to use Linux is still much higher than the level required to use Windows or MacOS X, so we should expect Linux's share of the desktop to suffer for the same reason that MacOS's is apparently increasing.
(Of course, the reasons why Linux requires high geekdom are different from the reasons why Windows requires it. On Windows, you're using a system that's designed to be insecure, and lots of your geek points are spent on fighting that. On Linux, it's issues like not being able to install it successfully on a laptop, or not being able to figure out how to get a printer working, or not understanding that X-Windows cut and paste doesn't work the same way as control-X/control-V cut and paste. But it doesn't matter that geekdom is required for different reasons -- Linux still requires higher geekdom.)
Find free books.
Part of that coolness and trendyness, I think, isn't just the look of the machines. It is because "coolness" is spilling over from the iPod to the entire Apple brand. It has also helped tremendeously with the brand awareness.
The Internet is full. Go Away!!!
Out of curiousity, what is it that you are doing via an SSH session to a Linux box and can be done on an OS X terminal but cannot be done with cygwin on Windows?
I bought a PowerBook in the Sydney city store about 4 months ago.
Cost was $3918 including GST.
It came with a DVD burner, 1 Gig Ram on a 15" jobbie.
But the bonus is that I salary sacrifised the entire laptop and was able to reclaim $2000 in one single months salary rotation.
A highly recommend this option if you earn a highish salary.
This essentially meant I got the laptop for half price with no further tax penalities.
Talk to your employer, they may be able to salary package at no to little cost.
Remember we pay 49 cents in the dollar in tax anyway!
put linux on your laptop?
Let's not go too far here. Rush Limbaugh is famously an Apple fan.
Yes, and Mac users like their machines and use them a lot more hours per week.
Developers of mass market software who base their strategies on platform market share and not platform usage share are making a big mistake. About half the machines I see in coffeeshops are iBooks and PBooks these days.
mt
256 MB of RAM? OS X needs at least 512 MB to run minimally. If you go to the Terminal and do a "top", I'll bet you have tons of page in's and page out's as you're most likely running on virtual memory. Up your RAM to 1 GB and you'll notice a massive difference in speed.
...it's iPod fit and finish and "sex appeal"
I succumbed to 20 years of mac envy and sprung for a new 15" Powerbook and 12" iBook for my college-aged daughter. I'm delighted and not looking back to Winblows and my many crappy employer-provided plastic boxen...
But why the switch now? It isn't just OS X and better hardware/software. It's because I bought an iPod last year and could see how an electronic device could be nicely made and aesthetically pleasing (as well as just works).
And Apple/iPod is selling "sex", customer experience, the sizzle along with the steak.
Remember "killer apps"? Is it easier to get people excited about some corporate "workgroup" crapware like Microsoft Outlook, or is it easier to get people to relate to personal things like your MUSIC COLLECTION?
Apples are music, movies and fun. Windows is cubicle serf-ware. Which do you think are going to be more appealing to people and get them excited about computing again?
"Macs (just like linux) "just work" when you stick with supported hardware."
:)
You say that as if it's a bad thing!
The whole reason, focusing on the Mac part of your quote, that Macs "just work" is because there is such a high standard for supported hardware to work with the software. I use both Windows and Mac boxes and I can say that the Mac experience is much more pleasant. When I start dragging non-supported and legacy equipment into my Mac setup I begin to run into problems - but then I run into the same types of problems with Windows setups. There is something to be said about working within a framework of supported hardware.
The Splintered Mind - Overcoming
Is the number of Mac users who have switched to Windows, Linux, or BSD in the same time period. Since Intel or AMD based machines are considerable cheaper, there may be a significant number of Apple users who switch when it is time to replace. Or not, but the article certainly ignores that.
/. with your back button, at least in Firefox.
Also, for those rare types who read TFA, this is one of those nice sites that doesn't let you return to
Some mornings it's hardly worth chewing through the restraints to get out of bed.
I like the idea, but it seems to me this would work better as a community-driven organization.
I.e., draft the requirements for certification of a product (i.e., 'it works when called from csh, GNOME, and KDE!), get Mandrake, Redhat, Novell/SuSE, and a couple of the other big names in the distro world to each contribute the use of their names by the licensing organization, and get hardware vendors interested in certification.
By having a meta-organization certify a device as compliant with the major distros and the most popular desktop(s), and being completely inflexible on the certification requirements (so that the cert org can acquire a decent reputation), we'd be able to enforce standards on hardware vendors who want to do business with us-- and just as importantly, we'd avoid the balkanization of hardware certifications that might otherwise occur, as each distro vendor offers its own sticker ("It works with distro!" slapped all over the box.. bleagh!)
On a side note, wasn't that a beautiful run-on sentence?
Allegedly real newspaper headline from 1998:
Man Struck by Lightning Faces Battery Charge
I have had a PowerMac for almost two years now. I have done nothing special in regards to security other than the Security Updates. I have never had a single problem, nor have I see any reported. Until shown otherwise, the belief that OS X is susceptible to viruses is a matter of faith, not fact.
I think you will find this paints a more accurate picture : http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AAPL&t=my&l=on&z=m &q=l&c=dell
You go selectively choosing your data across arbitrary time points!
I guess some people just cant handle the minimal amount of work involved in staying secure...
Yes, we call those people "average users," and they are legion.
Dunno why you are saying grandparent is an asshole post. it's real data. Plus the original discussion was about revenue, not stock prices which are 2 separate things.
Because it's a troll. Some jack ass creates a post called "Just another Apple myth" which is full of bull shit about Dell's revenue going up and apple "fanbois" who are in the reality distortion field, and oh yeah, Apple is on the verge of death.
Shit like that should be modded down, not up for fuck's sake.
And if you think that stock prices are not directly linked to a company's growth (which IS what the original discussion is about) then enough said, you just
Kiteboarding Gear Mention slashdot and get 10% off!
Yeah, you will.
You're just jealous because the voices only talk to me.
Customer pays me $75/hr
But wouldn't the world be better off if the customer was paying you that $75/hr for some truly creative work, like writing new in-house apps for their use, instead of just filling in Dell's divots?
-jcr
The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
Actually, for me, it's far better to do the reverse. Personally I use Windows mostly for games, something that I cannot really do effectively with WINE. For work stuff, I use mostly Windows applications like firefox, openoffice, notepad++, etc and then use cygwin for all the linux tools I need that either are not ported or are not ported effectively to Windows. Most applications you would use Linux for are not necessarily performance intensive (I'm sure some of you out there do use performance intensive apps on your Linux box, but most people don't), while stuff like games (and I'm sure there are other things, perhaps photoshop, 3ds max, etc) that you can only run on Windows really are demanding performance wise. In this case, using windows with cygwin is the best way to go.
Fight the fall of slashdot by supporting PlayfullyClever in your sig.
Windows -> Linux
;-)
MS Office -> Openoffice
Outlook Calendar -> Evolution
Trillian -> Gaim
Outlook Express -> Evolution
Firefox -> Firefox
ActiveSync -> GnomePilot
Canon photo capture -> Gthumb
Then of course there's all the unix tools, which are all there. It takes no time to find all the replacements, and when you do, it's pretty easy to not look back.
and here is why:
I wanted unix. I wanted it with a sexy interface. I wanted to run all of my favorite gnu and other open source tools. I wanted the 16:9 screen aspect ratio (wide screens rock!).
Linux was the only alternative to Windows for me for a long time (since early 1998). There were no developer tools on Windows, and programming languages/developer tools (such as C and a compiler) are what attracted me to me computers in the first place. What good is a computer if you can't play with it? (I later found about about FreeBSD and OpenBSD but due to lack of drivers, OpenBSD was the only one I gave serious consideration to (because of its attitude towards correctness and security).)
Windows tried to hide things from me so that other people could control my computer more than I could. My only regret with Apple is that they try to control my experience too much... but I have a fully functional CLI, so I can overlook their over-protective control freakishness. Ultimately, I still run Linux, Windows, and MacOSX, but I find myself using MacOSX the most (except for gaming!). I suppose my use of Linux on the desktop will continue declining as I get more acclimated to MacOSX, but giving up Linux is really tough. I love having absolute and total control over every aspect of my system.
strike
"Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
you know, it is only 5 years after the internet bubble burst. don't go forgetting about that great example of how revenues are not linked to stock prices already. I can't handle another run up and crash.
Anyways, none of you are being honest about the situation. Yes, apple has had growing revenues over the last few years which have really helped it grow its stock price. But the major run up in prices has nothing to do with the Personal computer market that the arguments seem to center on. almost every analyst attributes the run-up to record profits due mainly to the Ipod, not sales of computers. It has seen over the last two years an increase from 6.2 to 13.9 billion in revenue.
Needed in any honest discussion is where apple is coming from. 4 years ago they posted a net loss. Since then, they have seen incredible earnings grown, especially in the past year(from 276 million to 1.335 billion).
Dell has increased it's revenues from 35 to 49 billion in just 2 years. That is phenomenal growth for a company of its type and size. unlike apple, it does not try to sell goods that are priced at an incredible premium based on name and popularity. It also is not riding a wave of a new comsumer product so it has not seen a windfall in profits(and it probably never will). It sits at just over 3 billion in earnings.
Yes, the ggp was incredibly dishonest trying to say apple is dying and is frankly, an idiot. Every analyst in the world thinks they are looking at financial health for a long while to come.
Of course, I claim this analyst is an idiot. He gives these headline predictions assuming all macs that are selling this year beyond last year are windows converts. He is completely ignoring the highly probably activity of many mac users of holding off on mac purchases in expectance of the G5 and lower prices for it. This would imply that many users would not buy last year and buy this year to get access to a modern CPU.
Now, I'm not arguing there weren't a lot of windows to mac switches, but this analyst lacks a basic control over logic.
It's also much like comparing Ford with BMW and going 'well this Ford's got the same engine size and same dimensions so why is the BMW more expensive'.
(And before you ask, we have a Ford car, because it does the job - to go 14 miles a day to and from work. If I drove on a motorway all day, I'd invest in something better. This may be the main reason many consumers go for the cheapest computer they can get).
The focus on cost and cost alone is the main thing that keeps Dell in corporates and many schools (schools should know better as they could actually USE the bundled Mac software more effectively, but then they also get steep site-licence discounts on Office, et al). For corporates even reliability isn't a massive issue - I don't know many places where people are allowed to use their C drives any more - desktops are effectively fat clients for running heavy software.
After stepping out of the Windows speed-race, I've been perfectly happy with a Mac Mini. Again, I've been told I could get a Windows PC for half the price, even a small factor one, but - duh - that wasn't the reason why I got one. I do think it's telling that price, rather than compatibility, is now becoming the main factor cited.
(Actually, that's a return to the mid-80s - price was what put most people off Apple then, creating room for Atari and Commodore Amiga. No one wanted a PC at home).
The main criticism that I still think is valid, are people who just don't like being locked into one hardware vendor - and it is true that PC owners have the option of going from cheap and nasty to as powerful as you want to pay. It's also true that most problems with Windows stability stem from drivers and it seems to be possible to build a stable configuration - my Evesham PC was rock-solid for years until I started adding and upgrading cards. On the other hand, we had a cheap laptop that has been nothing but trouble.
And I would concur with the posting above about the Mini's potential as an office desktop - on it's noise factor alone it could be a revolution. Someone on our helpdesk asked me, on seeing my home setup and how much they cost 'why don't we use these at work'. As our helpdesk spent 80% of the day in Unix terminal sessions and the rest in mail, it would be quite feasible.
'Capitalists of the world, unite! Oh
That is one sweet things about MacOS/X. Lots of things that do not run on Linux do run there. Photoshop, Illustrator, Office, Macromedia stuff. Its a PITA to get all of that running on WINE.
The dangers of excessive individualism are nothing compared to the oppressiveness of excessive collectivism
So you're saying something as uncommon as lack of bounds checking is WORSE than the Blaster and Slammer worms? When has a Mac infected other Macs on the network? When has a Mac become a zombie machine? When have Macs been used to launch a DDOS attack?