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NASA Hopes Discovery's Move Is Not The Last

An anonymous reader wrote to mention the movement of the space shuttle Discovery. The upcoming mission, if it launches, is crucial to the future of American manned space flight. From the Washington Post article: "A successful flight will allow NASA to resume construction of the half-built International Space Station and possibly extend the life of the beloved Hubble Space Telescope, which has allowed humans to peer into far galaxies. But with the shuttle fleet due to retire in 2010, any serious problems during July's mission likely would bring a premature end to the shuttle program and disrupt NASA's plans to keep its skilled work force intact while a replacement spacecraft is being developed."

34 of 81 comments (clear)

  1. A humble suggestion to NASA by helioquake · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Abandon the ISS now and channel all its investiment to the next generation space shuttle.

    If you don't want to kill the ISS completely, then focus on maintaining the ISS in orbit while developing the new generation vehicle (you could do this with a conventional booster). The use of the current shuttle should be restricted to non-ISS issue only.

    Building something that cannot be used until the next generation space shuttle becomes available (for supply and emergency evacuation, etc) isn't exactly a smart thing to do.

    Have courage and let go the ISS for now.

    1. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by salle_from_sweden · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The European and Japanese can ship the parts for the ISS. If NASA isn't going to continue with their shuttle program the Indian and Chinese space programs will have more time to catch up to the US and I guess Europeans too.

    2. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Interesting


      Building something that cannot be used until the next generation space shuttle becomes available (for supply and emergency evacuation, etc) isn't exactly a smart thing to do.

      Do you really think NASA is that stupid? The ISS is supplied and evacuated by Russian Progress vessels. It's always been the plan to use the Shuttle to build the space station, and use Progress vessels to supply and man it after it's built. What do you think has been being used to keep ISS going for the past 3 years?

      --
      AccountKiller
    3. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by helioquake · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The European and Japanese can ship the parts for the ISS.

      No they cannot. They do not have the proper means to deliver right now (both Arian and H-II are wrong for the size of the ISS payload, nor do they have experience in rendezvous maneuver with a station).

      But if they want to, they should be definitely welcome to that.

      the Indian and Chinese space programs will have more time to catch up to the US

      No. If the NASA keeps its focus on the ISS only, then these nations would have time to play a catch-up (they are still about two decades behind NASA, mind you...but that doesn't mean it would take two decades to catch up, btw). If the NASA wants to stay on top, the next generation space vehicle is the place to put the money on.

      And at this time, the NASA'd better do it right. And the congress shouldn't interject its stupidity into the new shuttle program like they did in 1960s.

    4. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by helioquake · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The NASA's guideline for the use of the ISS facility is this: the ISS can be staffed to the maximum number of astronauts that can be evacuated off the station in case of emergency.

      With a Soyuz pod, the maximum number of staff is limited to three. And currently there are only two ports available on the ISS (so theoretically they could go up as high as six today).

      In a fully configured mode, the ISS should hold at least three international teams (US, Europe and Japan, say). Each team has about 5 -- 6 staff scientists on board to conduct a variety of experiments. So it needs to staff about 15 or more people. There is no conceivable way to achieve that right now, because of the next generation shuttle problem (or a lack of thereof).

      That is what I meant by my original post. I think others got it, though.

    5. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by vtcodger · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ***Abandon the ISS now and channel all its investiment to the next generation space shuttle.***

      Regretably, that's more easily said than done. The I in ISS stands for International. It's International because when Reagan's misbegotten "Space Station Freedom" predictably ran out of schedule and funding simultaneously along about 1993 we sold a bunch or suckers on making this useless and rather silly project an International effort. So, the US doesn't own the thing any more.

      As far as I can see, it really doesn't matter very much. The Bush league fantasies about going to Mars via the space station and the moon are probably going to flounder sometime just before or after we get back to the moon for a day or two. Reason -- cost overruns and the fallout from Bush's nutty fiscal policies.

      In the meantime, these man in space projects are going to continue to drain resources from real science.

      The only bright spot is that George W seems possibly to have somehow put someone competent in charge of NASA -- quite possibly for the first time ever. Griffin is an advocate of men in space and human settlement of space. But he also appears possibly to have some sort of tenous grip on reality. If the politicians will just leave him alone, maybe he can come up with a realistic plan to back up to 1970, forget the last 35 years of floundering, and set up a space program that has some remote chance of eventual success. But don't expect the path from where we are today into space to be quick, easy, or cheap. (And don't expect the free market to somehow fix everything).

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    6. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by jacksonj04 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Take a look at the Automated Transfer Vehicle. It's ESA (So not affected by NASA), and specifically designed to move stuff to the ISS and then burn up on re-entry with the waste. It launches on an Ariane 5, which has more than enough raw lifting capacity.

      --
      How many people can read hex if only you and dead people can read hex?
    7. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting
      put someone competent in charge of NASA -- quite possibly for the first time ever.

      Yeah, James webb who got us to the moon in 8 years, was incompetent

      As far as I can see, it really doesn't matter very much. The Bush league fantasies about going to Mars via the space station and the moon are probably going to flounder sometime just before or after we get back to the moon for a day or two. Reason -- cost overruns and the fallout from Bush's nutty fiscal policies.

      Actually, if the USA can get heavy lift rockets and our own mission to their working, we will probably be ok. The reason is that private enterprise is not really interested in going to space for spaces sake. They want to go to the moon/mars and start exploration. They will also build small hotels to help fund it, but all this requires heavy lift capablities running at least once a month (or more) to be low cost enough.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Informative

      Congress did NOT cause the shuttle program. That was a pure nixon program in the early 70's. NASA fought against it, but accepted it in the end.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by Keebler71 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wrong... the ATV (and HTV) are cargo vessels only - akin to Russia's Progress vessels. By cargo we are talking food, water and underwear - and in the case of the HTV a small quantity of external payload. Neither can come remotely close to carrying an ISS module. The Space Shuttle is the only spacecraft currently capable of this.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    10. Re:A humble suggestion to NASA by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Utter nonsense. We've got a 747SP sitting in a hangar, victim of a budget cut. The plane was modified with an infrared window, a large infrared telescope, and named SOFIA. That was an international project too. It's also COMPLETE. As in, it needs to be run through trial tests and it's operational.

      We cut SOFIA and fucked the German partners. Why not just cut the ISS? SOFIA was going to give us IR astronomy results that would have blown our socks off, just like we all collectively ejaculate whenever Hubble produces another piece of good science and pretty pictures. The ISS has barely even given me solid wood - it's clear which mission should be cut.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  2. 2010 by DJTodd242 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Well of course Discovery is going to retire in 2010. It'll be destroyed when Jupiter is imploded by the Monolith.

    ALL THESE WORLDS ARE YOURS EXCEPT EUROPA. ATTEMPT NO LANDINGS THERE. USE THEM TOGETHER. USE THEM IN PEACE.

    1. Re:2010 by suv4x4 · · Score: 2, Funny

      ALL THESE WORLDS ARE YOURS EXCEPT EUROPA. ATTEMPT NO LANDINGS THERE.

      That was totally a marketing bluff from the aliens, and we all know this really means "SHIT, FORGET EVERYTHING AND COME TO EUROPA RIGHT NOW."

      Plus, why not land there. Are they hiding weapons of mass destruction or somethin'?

  3. I have to agree by briancnorton · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The ISS serves no purpose other than international good-will. It is scientifically irrelevant, ridiculously expensive, and not safe for the inhabitants if we can't rely on the space shuttle to get up there. Fuel it up, pull the people and keep it in orbit as long as possible or until we need it for something.

    --

    People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

    1. Re:I have to agree by rackrent · · Score: 4, Insightful

      My understanding is that both the concept and design of the ISS were contingent on the Space Shuttle offering convenient flights to help build the thing. It wasn't uncommon to have one Shuttle flight each month back in the so-called heyday.

      What's failed is that the international, co-operative vision of the ISS kept on going even while the Shuttle fleet was realized to be an aging dinosaur, at best. Had the Shuttle been more reliable over the past decade, the ISS would be vastly different than it is now.

      --
      --- There is a man in a smiling bag.
    2. Re:I have to agree by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 2, Informative
      and not safe for the inhabitants if we can't rely on the space shuttle to get up there.
      Deaths in manned spaceflight since beginning of the Shuttle Program] USA: 14 [STS-51-L and STS-107] RUSSIA: 0 (last confirmed death: Komarov, Soujuz 1, 1967... ) Really, no way to get inhabitants up there safely ;)
    3. Re:I have to agree by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Correction: Last confirmed Russian death is those of the cosmonauts of Soyuz 11 on June 30th 1971

      However ... Sojuz seems a lot more reliable to me...

    4. Re:I have to agree by vondo · · Score: 3, Informative

      We go through this every time with you shuttle fan-boys:

      What is this hey-dey you speak of where we were launching shuttles to ths ISS every month:

      2002: 5 missions, 4 to ISS
      2001: 6 missions, all to ISS
      2000: 5 missions, 4 to ISS

      NEVER have we sent a mission a month (for more than thre months) to the ISS.

      Look it up for yourself.

      http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlem issions/list_main.html

    5. Re:I have to agree by wertarbyte · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's because the science related modules have to wait for the shuttle (or an equivalent). There is no other way to lift the european Columbus module - where "real science" could take place - into orbit.

      --
      Life is just nature's way of keeping meat fresh.
    6. Re:I have to agree by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative
      However ... Sojuz seems a lot more reliable to me...
      You are right, Soyuz seems to be a lot safer.

      Mostly it seems so because it's numerous failures and problems (with the exception of Soyuz 1 and 11) are little known outside of Russian space program. (During the Soviet era they told niether the US, nor their own people.) However an account of just the re-entry and landing problems makes for frightening reading - and leaves out the two launch accidents and multiple loss-of-mission accidents/incidents.

      The next argument people make is usually the same one that you did, "Soyuz hasn't killed anyone... lately". Let's put that in perspective shall we? Between STS-26 (Return To Flight post Challenger) and STS-107 (the loss of Columbia) the Space Shuttle flew more flights than the Soyuz has in it's entire history.

      Finally, we have the current Soyuz model, the TMA. It's flown eight missions to date, with accidents or serious incidents on four of those eight flights.

      The moral? When you have a spacecraft with an ongoing history of problems - it's not a safe spacecraft, no matter whose flag is on the side, and even if it hasn't killed anyone 'lately'.

  4. Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny
    "A successful flight will allow NASA to resume construction of the half-built International Space Station and possibly extend the life of the beloved Hubble Space Telescope, which has allowed humans to peer into far galaxies. But with the shuttle fleet due to retire in 2010, any serious problems during July's mission likely would bring a premature end to the shuttle program and disrupt NASA's plans to keep its skilled work force intact while a replacement spacecraft is being developed."


    Zoom to Yoda: In danger, international space station is.

  5. Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by mikelieman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    --------
    http://www.jerrypournelle.com/topics/gettospace.ht ml#prizes

    Jerry Pournelle Wrote:

    "I can solve the space access problem with a few sentences.

    Be it enacted by the Congress of the United States:

    The Treasurer of the United States is directed to pay to the first American owned company (if corporate at least 60% of the shares must be held by American citizens) the following sums for the following accomplishments. No monies shall be paid until the goals specified are accomplished and certified by suitable experts from the National Science Foundation or the National Academy of Science:

    1. The sum of $2 billion to be paid for construction of 3 operational spacecraft which have achieved low earth orbit, returned to earth, and flown to orbit again three times in a period of three weeks.

    2. The sum of $5 billion to be paid for construction and maintenance of a space station which has been continuously in orbit with at least 5 Americans aboard for a period of not less than three years and one day. The crew need not be the same persons for the entire time, but at no time shall the station be unoccupied.

    3. The sum of $12 billion to be paid for construction and maintenance of a Lunar base in which no fewer than 31 Americans have continuously resided for a period of not less than four years and one day.

    4. The sum of $10 billion to be paid for construction and maintenance of a solar power satellite system which delivers at least 800 megaWatts of electric power to a receiving station or stations in the United States for a period of at least two years and one day.

    5. The payments made shall be exempt from all US taxes.

    That would do it. Not one cent to be paid until the goals are accomplished. Not a bit of risk, and if it can't be done for those sums, well, no harm done to the treasury."

    ------------

    The problem is our GOVERNMENT DOESN'T WANT TO DO IT

    --
    Technology -- No Place For Wimps! Grateful Dead and Jerry Garcia Chatroom -- http://www.wemissjerry.org
    1. Re:Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Interesting idea, but as you say, the US Govt doesn't want to do it.

      So how about the UN, EU, China, and Middle East step up and do something like that? Middle East money is plentiful, Chinese production is cheap, Japanese technology is excellent, European engineering is suberb.

      We'd get it done in no time... if it wasn't for effing politicians.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    2. Re:Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by AusIV · · Score: 2

      I agree whole heartedly. NASA, back in its early days, was a great program. Today, it needs to be scrapped. We keep funneling taxpayer dollars into a system that has been going backwards since before they space shuttle program was ever even started. I can't even begin to fathom why our government wants to keep dumping money into this system, when they could just promise rewards as Pournelle suggests, and watch the ingenuity of competitive industry take its course.

    3. Re:Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 3, Funny

      Middle East money is plentiful, Chinese production is cheap, Japanese technology is excellent, European engineering is suberb.

      Of course, politics would ensure we'd get Middle East technology, Chinese engineering, Japanese money and European production costs.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    4. Re:Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There's a small matter of the companies surviving long enough to accomplish the task and collect the reward money. I know that I'd have trouble finding billions of dollars in my couch to fund such a project with no guarantee of ever collecting the reward or of costs not soaring way beyond the reward amount.

    5. Re:Jerry Pournelle has the answer YET AGAIN! by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2, Informative

      Chinese production is cheap,

      Every day at work I evaluate parts made at our Chinese manufacturing facility that is 'cheap Chinese production.' There is this strange myth that processes and capital can just be airlifted to China and the machines turned on and the quality will be the same. That is a myth, and a frightening myth when it comes to anything that will be flying overhead.

      I am sure there is (expensive) high quality Chinese production. I know firsthand that the cheap Chinese production is terrible. When there are problems and the memos start flying across the timezones, it becomes obvious that the highly regimented culture in China isn't going to foster innovative technology anytime soon.

  6. Humble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hardly humble, that's an arrogant American centric suggestion. It's the INTERNATIONAL space station. Not America's space station. Not NASAs. Other nations have a say in this you know.

  7. SM4 needed by tonymtdew · · Score: 2, Informative

    This is regarded by folks at the Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, MD (where they design and engineer the Hubble and parts for it) as Servicing Mission 4. When I was last there in March, the scientist the designed and built the mass spectrometer for it told me that its current one is no longer working. It had actually outlived its expected age by around 50% I believe. Furthormore, this will be the last servicing mission for the Hubble. After that, the hopes is to have the new and much more powerful telescope flying. Some facts- GSFC is just on the outside of Washington, DC- it is a HUGE campus. I was lucky enough to be able to get a behind the scenes tour from where the build the hubble's twin for parts in an enormous clean room, to where they test satellites for launch, etc. They handle unmanned space missions here. They control Hubble in Baltimore from Johns Hopkins University.

    1. Re:SM4 needed by Jubedgy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "They handle unmanned space missions here."

      They handle *some* unmanned space missions here. JPL out in Pasadena, handles quite a few unmanned missions as well. There used to be a fairly strong rivalry between the two, in fact, but I believe that that has started to go the way of the Hatfield vs McCoy rivalry.

      The GSFC campus *is* huge, by the way, and the JPL campus is relatively small and on a hill.

      One of the best things about the JWST (James Web Space Telescope, the follow-on to Hubble) is that it will primarily detect infrared frequencies (iirc) so it will be much more suited to do cosmological observations than Hubble. Will we finally nail down the true value of the Hubble Constant? Can we determine the values for the constants of integration from solutions to Einstein's Field Equations? Will Snakes on a Plane truly be the summer blockbuster movie that its name implies?

      --
      Si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis hebes
  8. Hurricanes? by jginspace · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I just read about this on the BBC and they say it isn't due for lift-off until early July. So they expect to have it standing out there for nearly two months? What's the situation re the likely chance of a hurricane sweeping through the neighbourhood during that timeframe? Or is it safer there than where it was?

  9. Dubious Assumptions by Bombula · · Score: 4, Interesting
    A successful flight will allow

    That's a pretty big leap, in my opinion. I honestly don't mean to be a troll, but the shuttle has more or less proven to be a dangerously unreliable machine. So saying that a single successful flight will, ergo, guarantee subsequent successful flights is a bit like playing Russian roulette and figuring everything will be fine in the future as long as there's no bullet in the chamber this time. It just isn't very sensible.

    Maybe it's just the wording, but it seems to me that it would be better to say something like, "despite the very high risk of catastrophic failure involved, NASA will attempt to continue to fly the space shuttle in order to maintain the ISS," since that would at least be honest and accurate.

    --
    A-Bomb
  10. Face it, the end of US spaceflights is near! by malsdavis · · Score: 2, Interesting

    People who think NASA is going to replace the Space Shuttle with an entirely new system allowing regular manned trips to space are kidding themselves. US based manned space flight will be a rare thing in the future, there's simply no political will to continue it anymore.

    A sad end to a once great US endeavour which was the envy of the world, but hey there's always the war on terror, look how popular that is making us, and at only 20 times the cost!

  11. Re:The Fingers-crossed-crew by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To insure the continuation of the race, and by that I mean the whole human race we need to get off this fragging planet.

    Right. And the goldfish in that bowl on the table needs to leap up out of the water, too.

    Get real. The human race is based in and of this 'fragging' planet, and inseperably part of the earth's biosphere. We cannot 'run away' from the problems here. The planet Earth would need to be replicated to a higher degree than we are even yet capable of understanding before we can 'run away.'

    A human being is not a discrete individual being, there are countless symboitic organisms that must travel with us.

    The dogma that drives your hysterical need to 'get off this planet' is just a further extension of the old 'Manifest Destiny' thing. Modern, intelligent people know that we have to solve our problems here and make this planet a better place to live, we can't just bumble off to find new living spaces to foul. Hell, this is the best suited biosphere we will ever find to live on. We just need to stop fucking it up, to be blunt. And the vapour trail of tons and tons of rocket blasts people like you insist on blowing off ain't gonna do it.