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Space Elevator An Impossible Dream?

bj8rn writes "Three months ago, the dreams of a space elevator finally seemed to be coming true after a successful test. An article in Nature, however, suggests that there's reason to be pessimistic. Ever since carbon nanotubes were discovered, many have been hoping that this discovery would turn the dream into reality. Pugno, however, argues that inevitable defects in the nanotubes mean that such a cable simply wouldn't be strong enough. Even if flawless nanotubes could be made for the space elevator, damage from micrometeorites and even erosion by oxygen atoms would render them weak. It would seem that sci-fi will never be anything other than what it is: a fiction."

17 of 448 comments (clear)

  1. Never? by brundlefly · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It would seem that sci-fi will never be anything other than what it is: a fiction.

    Never? That's a very, very long time. I would never bet against never. Never always wins. (Especially if you believe in an infinite universe.)

    1. Re:Never? by nfarrell · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There is plenty we don't know and many breakthroughs left in the universe, but I think it's human arrogance to think we're capable of omnipotence.

      Sure, carbon nanotubes are neat, and gave us the impression we could build stronger structures and materials than previously. But why does their existance mean we're sure to find something equally strong AND able to withstand being a space elevator cable?

      Don't get me wrong - saying 'never' is unwise, but it's almost as bad to assume humanity will be capable of everything one day.

    2. Re:Never? by soupdevil · · Score: 5, Insightful

      An infinite universe is no guarantee that everything will happen. There are many infinities. For example, there are an infinite number of numbers between three and four, but none of them are five.

    3. Re:Never? by telbij · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Personally I'm of the opinion that we can eventually master all aspects of the universe.
      Sure it may take 1,000's, 1,000,000's, or perhaps even 1,000,000,000's of years.


      And I'm of the opinion that unless there's some mass societal changes, no one's going to be doing serious science in 100s of years.

    4. Re:Never? by walt-sjc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When we are talking timelines of 1,000 or 1,000,000 years, any kind of "blip" that happens in human advancement will be short term. Serious science is perpetual. It's part of human nature. You don't need 100% of the people advancing science - you never had that. It's more like 0.0001% of the people.

    5. Re:Never? by Ibag · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sorry, but what? In what geometries (where betweenness has an actual significance) which contain the integers in their natural ordering have five between three and four? I have studied quite a lot of math, including at the graduate level, and I have come across nothing that leads me to believe that your comment is any more that pseudo-intellectual gibberish intended to sound insightful but which is actually devoid of any real meaning. What vies on infinity could impact the discussion at all? Do you mean that if we view the number line as a giant circle which loops back upon itself that five is between four and three? If this is the case, I contend that betweenness is meaningless, as any number is then "between" any other two numbers.

      There is a time and a place for mathematics to be deep and mysterious. If you throw around comments like this, nobody will care when we reach one of those times.

      Of course, if this was just an attempt at humor, forgive me. My anger should be directed at the moderators!

  2. Successful Test?!? by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
    > Three months ago, the dreams of a space elevator finally seemed to be coming true after a successful test. An article in Nature, however, suggests that there's reason to be pessimistic.

    Reason #0 to be pessimistic: A "successful test" isn't a climbing robot. The climbing robot isn't the hard part of the problem. The hard part of the problem is the materials science.

    Nor is it the sort of discoveries we've seen in the materials side of the equation; fibers measured in millimeters. That's not a prototype, it's just basic research. Interesting basic research, worthy basic research, and good basic research to be sure, but it's not a demonstration of practicality by any stretch of the imagination.

    When someone builds a small footbridge out of these things, I'll be interested. When you can scale that to a mile-long suspension bridge that supports two lanes of traffic in each direction, I'll be optimistic.

  3. Never say never by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We consider ourselves masters of our universe, however there is so much yet to learn.

    It always amazes me how a spider can weave a thread which is so strong and flexible yet for all our mastery of the earth we cannot yet reproduce its properties.

    I believe we will find a pathway to the stars, whether it is a single tether or an entire webbed tower I don't know but I am not ready to give up on mans' inginuity.

    --
    liqbase :: faster than paper
  4. Psha! by rechelon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I thought the whole point was to be constantly rebuilding the 'string' (ie running repair bots up and down the structure or finding other repairing methods). This doesn't prove that space elevators are impossible. It just means we'd need to make a few more tech advances.

    Which is, of course, always the case. But the starry-eyed folk have always known they'd have to engineer some constant repairing mechanism. I just don't see how this is a big deal.

  5. unwarrented negativism by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

    OK, the summary is ridiculous here. It assumes that because one method of making a space elevator might be impossible, that it can't be done, ever in any way.

    There is so much that we don't know about the physical universe, that to even say we are beginning to understand what is possible is silly. Faster than light travel? Possible or not? As far as we have observed, not. Does that mean it's impossible? NO! We aren't even sure what time/space is, how can we say what is and isn't impossible? Is a space elevator impossible, just because this one method might be impractical? NO!

    Somehow I wonder if the submitter was just trying to sound sensationalistic to make sure his story got accepted. And I just fell in his trap. Oh well. He did seem rather gleeful about the whole thing, though.

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    Qxe4
    1. Re:unwarrented negativism by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Is a space elevator impossible, just because this one method might be impractical?
      I think the point of the article was that someone woke up and saw that it really is a hard problem that will take a vast amount of resources - and not the simple ribbon you drop from the sky than people outside of the physical sciences and engineering are thinking about. It's a very long way up - and then to keep it up the you need a counterweight and station keeping systems - plus the obvious of having a highly conductive material with an incredible potential difference from one end to the other (magnetic feild etc) if you are talking about carbon nanotubes. To get an idea of the scale of things of this elevator, consider building a railgun out of carbon nanotubes designed to accelerate something the size of the capsule that will be going up. Wrap it around the equator twice. Now stand it on it's end with some sort of living platform in the middle of it. That's your free standing beanstalk in the simplest form. Microwave or laser powered climbing robots may sound cool, but it's a nasty and expensive hack to keep the heavy stuff on the ground and rather bizzare when you have a very highly conductive material that can get power to motors a lot more easily than an incredibly lossy broadcast power system.

      The next thing is to stand your beanstalk up you need to do something like ship it to geostationary orbit with a rocket and unwrap it - so we are talking about sending a vast amount of mass up there by rocket. Obviously from this a beanstalk would only make sense in the context of it being a small piece of a larger plan that involves getting incredible amounts of mass into orbit. There's been space snakeoil companies around before (eg. the Australian spaceport company which consisted of two people - I'm assuming one to scam the money and one to answer the phone) and unbelievably optimistic beanstalk people asking for money may well exactly that, since with current designs it would have to be built of unobtainium and requires robots powered by a technology Tesla abandoned a century ago once previously unknown laws of physics became clear.

  6. Impossible by eric.t.f.bat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Even if it were possible to operate such a large collection of vacuum tubes with the small power supplies available for household electrical equipment, the glass fabrication process has too many flaws to enable mass production on such a scale. It would seem that the "personal computer" will never be anything other than what it is: a fiction.

    --
    I have discovered a truly remarkable .sig block which this margin is too small to conta
  7. Re:Wireless Elevators by cnettel · · Score: 3, Insightful
    True, but both the space elevator approach and the approach of an almost immediate impulse launch (versus a conventional rocket) would be that we don't have to lift the fuel. The elevator has the added benefit of a possible counter-balance, but the main point is still that all current rockets use lots of fuel to lift other fuel.

    This would naturally also make any kind of "power beaming" technology interesting, even if it would be quite inefficient, as long as it could be transformed into significant thrust easily in the receiver.

  8. Re:Now Is Never by NoTheory · · Score: 3, Insightful

    what a meaningless (parent) post.

    Bridging the gap between computer science, robotics, molecular genetics, and biochemistry seems like a bizarre and convoluted route to addressing the problems stated in the article.

    First, modeling engineered devices on real world objects, even features of living objects, is not a new concept. Second, we're talking a fairly simple system, a big long ribbon, not a complicated self-regulating autonomous device. Nor is there any reason to make something that would need to be as fault tolerant and robust as possible more complex than it needs to be. So, self-reparing system may sound sexy, but if a simpler mechanism can be devised than inventing an entirely new class of devices and methodologies to fix the problem, that is rightly the domain of material sciences, i fail to see why we'd want to start spouting off ungrounded hype about inter-disciplinary science that at the moment is... to be kind, speculative.

    --
    There are lives at stake here!
  9. Low-earth orbit -- monkey physics fails again. by hypnagogue · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Payloads, or tourists, would simply ascend the cable into low-Earth orbit, eliminating the need for rocket launches.
    Well there's your problem right there -- you can't take a space elevator to low earth orbit. A space elevator that puts you in low earth orbit is moving at an angular velocity 18 times faster than the earth, and is therefore quickly destroyed.

    This isn't science, it's an ill-conceived editorial. Ignore this article and get back to work, my space monkey minions! Soon space will be ours!
    --
    Liberty you never use is liberty you lose.
  10. It's a foolish person ... by constantnormal · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... that treats today's limitations as if they extend into the future indefinitely.

    So far as I can see, all the objections mean is that a space elevator cannot be built with the technologies we currently have -- and all of them seem to be of an engineering bent, as opposed to some fundamental theoretical problem. Engineering problems tend to get solved over the long haul.

    And even if the problems presented do turn out to be too difficult to construct an Earth-based space elevator, the technology could still be used on the Moon, which presents a much smaller challenge. I suspect that we already have the capabilities required to construct a lunar space elevator -- all that we lack is a permanent lunar base.

  11. Re:Damaged by Oxygen? by Democritus+the+Minor · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Classic. An attempt to refute a statement with an article from a user-editable non-scientific online source on a very controversial subject with questionable citations.
    Not that I have any better information...