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Bill Gates Talk From 1989 Surfaces

70sstar writes "A 1-1/2 hour recording of Bill Gates addressing a crowd of university students in 1989 was recently found and digitized, and has been circulating in some IRC channels for the past few weeks. The speech has found a permanent home on the web page of the University of Waterloo CS Club, where the talk is reported to have taken place. Gates covers the past, present, and future of computing as of 1989. While the former two might be of interest to tech historians, the real fascination is Gates's prediction of computing yet to come. Like the now-legendary '640k' remark, some of his comments are almost laughably off-target ('OS/2 is the way of the future!'). And yet, by and large, he had accurately, chillingly, prophesied an entire decade or two of software and hardware development. All in all, a fascinating talk from one of the most powerful speakers in CS and IT."

8 of 317 comments (clear)

  1. Shh...poster was being smug! by HarryCaul · · Score: 5, Funny


    Don't interfere with Bill-Bashing!

    1. Re:Shh...poster was being smug! by westlake · · Score: 5, Interesting
      He owes almost his entire fortune to IBM's failure to deliver on OS/2, and (to be fair) Microsoft's successful delivery of DOS+Windows (crap that it was).

      Gates began programming at age thirteen, at age fourteen he is clearing $20,000 in is first partnership with Allen. Microsoft is founded in 1975. Microsoft in in Japan in 1978. In Europe in 1979. In 1980 Microsoft is young, hungry, and moving a hell of lot faster than Kildall.

  2. Re:Sysadmin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    If I was said sysadmin I would be changing my numbers right about... now.

  3. Re:640k remark by Andareed · · Score: 5, Informative

    The exact 640k quote from the talk: "So that's a 1 MB address space. And in that original design I took the upper 340k and decided that a certain amount should be for video memory, a certain amount for the ROM and I/O, and that left 640k for general purpose memory. And that leads to today's situation where people talk about the 640k memory barrier; the limit of how much memory you can put to these machines. I have to say that in 1981, making those decisions, I felt like I was providing enough freedom for 10 years. . That is, a move from 64k to 640k felt like something that would last a great deal of time. Well, it didn't - it took about only 6 years before people started to see that as a real problem."

  4. How did you get modded +5 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    It says a lot about /. these days. During the days of Olsen, he started a re-write of VMS. It had such luminaries as Cutler and Bell on the team. When the company was bleeding, Olsen killed off this project and others. When Gates got wind of this, he approached Cutler (and others such as Grey and Bell), and convinced him to join him. One of the bigger issues was that he promised the core to the VMS folks. He would control the API and above. They would control the core.
    ANd if that was not enough, back in 94, I even saw the code for NT (I worked at HP and a neighboring group were asked to port it to the pa-risc. ). I can tell you firsthand that it had NOTHING to do with OS2. If you looked at it, you knew it was dec derivitive. Even the comments said it all.
     
    So how did you get modded up?

  5. Re:Transcript? by Strudelkugel · · Score: 5, Informative

    I don't have the time to listen to an hour and a half mp3

    Crude index:

    • 28:00 Developer teams
    • 36:00 Mouse
    • 50:00 Unix
    • 52:40 Mac
    • 56:00 PARC people
    • 57:00 Mac GUI/Microsoft developers
    • 63:00 Third standard
    • 66:30 Networks
    • 71:50 Lotus/Excel competition
    • 75:00 "World Net"
    • 76:50 Multimedia
    • 79:40 Utility of the CD (Thanks music industry!)
    • 87:00 Learn from competitors
    • 87:50 Hypertext

    Actually Gates was quite insightful. He clearly understood what was important for the evolution of the personal computer, but didn't quite manage to have Microsoft dominate all of it, fortunately. When he discussed Unix in one section, and importance of networks in another, he never mentioned anything about security, which is an important element of Unix design. Later he mentions the "World Net", but of course did not anticipate HTTP and browsers. This makes his comments about hypertext all the more interesting; he correctly states massive amounts of typeless links would overwhelm the user. The significance of search, among other things, eluded his thinking at the time. Gates' discussion of a third standard is interesting to ponder in view of OSS, which could be considered the answer to his question about what other approach might gain traction. Overall his prognostications were quite correct. If he is as astute today as he was then with regard to humanitarian issues, his health initiatives should do a lot of good.

    --
    Imagine how much harder physics would be if electrons had feelings! -Feynman, maybe
  6. Imagine... by ReidMaynard · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Imagine you have the only Mercedes-Benz dealership, every morning customers are lined up, check-books ready. Year after year. You are rich beyond imagination.

    Then one day this fellow shows up with a Vespa and says, "You should sell these Vespa scooters too.."

    What do you do..?

    --
    -- www.globaltics.net

    Political discussion for a new world

    1. Re:Imagine... by kv9 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Then one day this fellow shows up with a Vespa and says, "You should sell these Vespa scooters too.." What do you do..?

      I repeatedly slam a car door against your head for using yet another computer/car analogy on Slashdot