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40% Efficiency Solar Cells Developed

gtada writes "A story published at Physorg.com discusses recently published research into the fabrication of solar cells that surpass the 40% efficiency milestone. Such devices would be the high water-mark to date, and hint at the possibility of even more effective technology. 'In the design, multijunction cells divide the broad solar spectrum into three smaller sections by using three subcell band gaps. Each of the subcells can capture a different wavelength range of light, enabling each subcell to efficiently convert that light into electricity. With their conversion efficiency measured at 40.7%, the metamorphic multijunction concentrator cells surpass the theoretical limit of 37% of single-junction cells at 1000 suns, due to their multijunction structure.'"

66 of 357 comments (clear)

  1. Is efficiency the problem? by timeOday · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is really no shortage of sunlight anyways. If only solar cells could be made cheaply. I suppose this will be great for satellites though.

    1. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Volante3192 · · Score: 5, Funny

      You say there's no shortage of sunlight, but I'm sure they said that back in the days of coal burning plants. We need our solar cells to be as efficient as possible.

      If we run out of coal, we can adapt. But if we blow all our sunlight on inefficient solar cells, the consequences would destroy life as we know it!

    2. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by provigilman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's no shortage sunlight, true...but there's a shortage on space. Our energy needs to continue to grow more and more every year, theoretically it could get to the point where we have to cover large amounts of the planet's surface with solar collectors. The more efficient each individual collector is, the fewer we need and the less space they'll take up.

      --
      "Life's short and hard, like a body building elf." -- The Bloodhound Gang
    3. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by spun · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's exactly what I was going to say. I believe that most solar cell manufacturing processes would scale well, so they could be made cheaply if there was enough demand to justify scaling production up. Where could that demand come from? What if the Federal Government mandated that all Federal buildings had to be solar powered? The rest of us would reap the benefits of economy of scale. Now, if we could only figure out some way for the oil companies to reap massive profits from such a scheme, I'm sure it would happen in no time.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    4. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by lachlan76 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If the solar cells are more efficient, then the panels will produce more power, and therefore less will be needed. Also, less space will be needed, less equipment, etc. etc.

    5. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Fringe · · Score: 2, Funny

      There is really no shortage of sunlight anyways.
      I live near Seattle. We typically do have a shortage of sun. On the other hand, we lead the nation in hydropower. And espresso-power.
    6. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by SnowZero · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While space will eventually be a problem, I think cost is still the limiting factor right now. How many houses can afford to cover their entire south-facing roof with panels right now? If you see panels on a house, its usually only covering a fraction of the available area, which implies the limit is cost.

      Right now, we've got ~40% efficiency panels which are very expensive, and 1-2% panels which are cheap to make. I think the real breakthrough will be when we can make 20% efficiency panels that are inexpensive enough to cover a roof. So, in the long run, you are right that space will be the overriding factor, but right now it's cost-per-watt that is the biggest problem.

    7. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I live near Seattle. We typically do have a shortage of sun. On the other hand, we lead the nation in hydropower. And espresso-power.,/i>

      I live in Seattle.

      This is an incorrect statement. Even when we have cloud cover (and man is it dreary here for 8-9 months of the year), we have 70 to 80 percent of the sunlight you would get on a sunny day.

      That's why when you buy Green Power from Seattle City Light, it goes to build wind turbines and also solar cells for schools, public buildings, and bus shelters. Solar makes sense here, oddly enough.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    8. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Rei · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is an incorrect statement. Even when we have cloud cover (and man is it dreary here for 8-9 months of the year), we have 70 to 80 percent of the sunlight you would get on a sunny day.

      No, *that* is an incorrect statement. I think you're mixing up UV transmission with visible spectrum transmission. Clouds absorb and reflect 35-85% of radiant energy. Even worse, cloudy-day sunlight is diffuse, so you can't optimize your panel angle effectively and you have no choice but to suffer flat plate losses.

      Cloudy days don't seem that much dimmer because our eyes have a logarithmic intensity response.

      --
      "Now," she thought, watching the dolphins adjust their bowties, "might be a good time to up my medication."
    9. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're right. It's all a conspiracy. It's not like oil companies spent almost half of the world's investment in renewables R&D and produce almost as sizable chunk of renewables products or anything. It's not like there are companies out there with names like "Shell Solar" and "BP Solar" out there producing massive numbers of solar cells. Or like Shell is the largest investor in the world's largest wind plant under construction. Or anything like that.

      No; it's clearly an evil oil company conspiracy.

      (Note: not every oil company is diversifying into renewables. Some dinosaurs, like Exxon-Mobil, resist it like the plague. But many are.)

      --
      "Now," she thought, watching the dolphins adjust their bowties, "might be a good time to up my medication."
    10. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think cost is still the limiting factor right now.

      Yeah, there's a guy in NJ who went completely solar for his energy needs and spent about $400K on the system, not counting maintanence costs.

      If only Moore's Law applied we'd all have a setup like that in ten years.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    11. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm sorry, but you are decidedly incorrect. The amount of sunlight that can be converted on a fully overcast day in the Seattle-Tacoma region is normally in a range of 70 to 80 percent for photovoltaic solar cells in terms of solar energy.

      You might want to investigate it yourself - just pop over to Seattle City Light on the City of Seattle website and read up on it.

      Now, the solar cells we use to POWER some of our public buildings, bus shelters, and schools here are not as efficient as the 40 percent that this Letter in Applied Physics speaks of, but they are about half as efficient.

      Cloud cover as you understand it, depends on visible light spectra. The solar cells absorb far wider bandwidths, at least the ones in common use here.

      If we were a snowbound or ice-storm city like many others - which we are not - it is possible that your statement would be less inaccurate, as the ice crystals and heavier cloud formations might refract more of the effective solar energy, but we tend to only have a mild drizzle due to the consistency of our cloud cover.

      Or haven't you noticed?

      Don't believe me? Go look at the bus stops with LED readouts along N 45th, some of the public schools (including two my son went two and the high school he's in now), and even Seattle Center's public meeting rooms.

      See - solar cells. Perfectly happy solar cells.

      Some people use solar water heaters on their rooftops here, and if you look around Phinney Ridge you'd see a few of them. There's a reason they're frequently referred to in the Seattle Times supplements on Green Houses - people USE them. Because they make sense here.

      Here endeth the lesson.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    12. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by mobby_6kl · · Score: 2, Informative

      Of course it's a cost/watt thing, except that the cost of the panel is not the only thing in the "cost" part there. There are a lot of overhead costs associated with solar power such as installation and maintenance, plus there's the fact that you usually can't cover the whole roof with them since roofs are often used for other useful purposes. These costs can be reduced by using fewer (smaller) more efficient panels. Also, the per m2 panel prices can go down only that far (unless Al Gore subsidizes them), so the new more efficient panels could show more significant price drops than the low-efficiency ones. Conclusion: better efficiency == good.

    13. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by billcopc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Part of the problem is we're still working against each other when it comes to energy. $400K of solar power equipment isn't the cost, it's the sale price. How much of that went to the various middlemen involved ?

      If we keep treating energy efficiency like a luxury, it won't be long before we value energy above life itself. Forget 1984, it'll be more like Mad Max.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    14. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by moderatorrater · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem is that the materials used to manufacture these cells are expensive. Economy of scale reaps the greatest benefits where the basic materials are/can be plentiful and the manufacturing is the major cost. However, if the cells are made of pure gold laced with diamond-studded glue (probably not, although the article never says what they're made of), then a larger amount being manufactured is going to have either a minimum reduction in cost or a large inflation of the cost (plus wedding rings will become more expensive).

      My guess is that the materials are the expensive part.

    15. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by bmwm3nut · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oil companies make about $0.10/gal profit, which is about a 5% profit margin given the wholesale cost of gasoline being around $2.25/gal as of this morning. That may sound like a bunch, but you need to remember that the Federal Gas Tax is $0.185/gal, and the average state tax is $0.25/gal, not to mention local taxes. So guess who's really raking it in on gasoline sales?

    16. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by timmarhy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      no the main material is silicon and it's plentiful, the expenive part is the production, it requires a LOT of processing and quality control. people keep rambling on about moore's "law" but fail to realise the price of a cpu hasn't really fell very much at all in 10 years, they've just gotten faster (which is all moores prediction is to do with). in the case of solar panels this will NOT help them sell. they need to get much much cheaper for adoption to happen.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    17. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by bberens · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't trust the 'wholesale' price of any product when the same company mines, refines, and sells the finished product. I'm not saying that they're necessarily price gouging, just saying I don't trust it.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    18. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by kiracatgirl · · Score: 3, Informative

      The solar panels go ON the roof. You don't make a roof out of them; that would be ridiculous.

      You know all of those shiny office buildings in big cities? That's all, wonder of wonders, glass. If you can have an entire 20, 30, whatever-story building with glass exterior walls, you can put some glass on your roof.

    19. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by thpr · · Score: 5, Informative
      I believe that most solar cell manufacturing processes would scale well

      Not particularly. Because they rely on semiconductors, they only scale as well as the fabs to build them. The problem has been that the solar industry uses plants that are at the end of their semiconductor chip fabricating life; thus they do not wield great efficiency due to small wafer sizes. They also suffer from the base challenges of dealing with silicon wafers (raw cost of wafers, dicing costs, etc.) The same cost problem exists with LEDs. It's interesting to note how GE is focused on cost of production in OLEDs rather than their efficiency on GE's Global Research Blog post. Following that analogy, it's not the 40% efficiency that will launch solar cells, it's 10% efficiency at 10% of today's cost (It's about cost/kWh).

      Now, if we could only figure out some way for the oil companies to reap massive profits from such a scheme, I'm sure it would happen in no time.

      You mean oil companies like BP and Royal Dutch Shell? ... two of the top 6 producers of solar cells?

      I'd note that most oil companies do have lots of research into alternative (non-oil) energy. It's just hard to see in their financials because oil is so lucrative. The major one that realy gets criticized for its lack of investment in areas like solar is ExxonMobil - and the reason they don't is probably the same reason that Cisco doesn't tend to develop most of its revolutionary technology inside the company. XOM and CSCO both have tons of cash, tons of cash flow and a well-priced stock giving them the ability to simply buy a producer of new equipment if it becomes a valuable market. Why bother to spend tons of money on basic research when you can let the newcomers fight it out in the market and just buy the leader when the time is appropriate? As strange as it is, that's R&D economics at many large industry-leading corporations. It's "efficient outsourced innovation".

    20. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by TomArc · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you are talking about the Hopewell Project Solar-Hyrdrogen residence, that actually uses solar energy it does not need to produce hydrogen to store energy. It actually cost $500,000 to build it, house and all, using off the shelf parts. It does run completely off the grid. Their goal is to bring a turnkey system to market for the cost of a midrange car by 2008.

    21. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Loconut1389 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      True, but it makes me wonder how they'd hold up to the softball sized hail that regularly crops up in colorado.

      I also remain curious about the weight- roofs seem to be supported by thinner and fewer A frames and you can see in many roofs where they sag rather obviously on either side of a beam. Will roofs have to be made stronger to support these heavy glass panels? I thought many of the recent ones were thinner and made with plastics? I saw one on TV the other day that was made to look like that sheet stuff that has thin shake-like things on it- even had nails through it for holding it up.

    22. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by CatOne · · Score: 2, Informative

      c'mon... that information is readily available.

      Some important notes... Oil is in the $60/barrel range (you can go check commodities but it's there +/- $10 from my recollection).

      A barrel of oil has 42 gallons

      In refining, typically a bit over 50% makes it to auto gas:

      http://www.energy.ca.gov/gasoline/whats_in_barrel_ oil.html

      So we're talking $50 to $60 to get 21 gallons of motor fuel. That's a fair chunk of change.

      Oh, and I found this all in about 30 seconds with Google. Ever heard of it?

    23. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by jessecurry · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Interestingly enough the entire planet already is covered with solar collectors... well all of the planet that is "untouched" by man.
      It would be great if we could produce solar cells that reduced the amount of CO2 and produced electricity for man to use. If we could do that then we would really not make much of an impact as we "developed" lands.


      ** keep in mind that the above comment disregards the other effects of "development"

      --
      Those who know, do not speak. Those who speak, do not know. ~Lao Tzu
    24. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Alpha830RulZ · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm sorry, that's just paranoid. Check out the financial statements of Evergreen Solar, or Corning, two of the producers of panels. They're not printing money. It is a fact that it is not yet economical to power your house with solar, and it's due primarily to the cost of manufacturing the panels. The costs -are- declining, but it's not yet cheaper than coal, hydro, or nuclear. Of course, those sources have significant external costs that are not factored into their market price. When we think through how to tax and charge for these sources of power, the balance will flip over towards more of the solar installations. As production rates rise for these, the cost will drop, and it will become feasible for most of us.

      I just priced out a full solar electric replacement for my house in the Seattle area. I think I could power my electric needs (I have gas heat) for a capital investment of about $40k. The payback, even after significant subsidies from the state, was something like 17 years. That's not gonna get Ma and Pa America to convert yet. Once power rates double, and they will, it starts to become close to interesting. When the power rates double again, and they will, the world will convert.

      --
      I was taught to respect my elders. The trouble is, it's getting harder and harder to find some.
    25. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by MikeBabcock · · Score: 2, Informative

      What, you mean plants? (They absorb solar energy and CO2 too)

      For you urbanites, they're the green things.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    26. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by jd34 · · Score: 5, Informative
      Why is this moderated "Informative"? I almost thought it was sarcastic... but I fear he is serious.

      The amount of sunlight that can be converted on a fully overcast day in the Seattle-Tacoma region is normally in a range of 70 to 80 percent for photovoltaic solar cells in terms of solar energy.
      70 to 80 percent of what? Of the efficiency it has when it is operating at full power, perhaps... but quoting percent of efficiency is highly misleading. If this statistic is meant to refer to 80 percent conversion efficiency (an interpretation which the quote does not rule out) then it is deep in the realm of lies, damned lies and statistics.

      Cloud cover as you understand it, depends on visible light spectra. The solar cells absorb far wider bandwidths, at least the ones in common use here.
      Actually, the spectral response of crystalline silicon photovoltaic devices is remarkably similar to the visible spectrum. Some thin film technologies extend a bit more into the infrared, and their efficiency is boosted from, say, 6% to perhaps 6.5% under cloudy conditions... but since that is an output that is divided by a small input, it is still just a small output. In the annual energy accumulation it doesn't make nearly as big a difference as the thin-film manufacturers would like you to believe.

      Go look at the bus stops with LED readouts
      As though reading such devices, installed at lowest cost by the people who have an interest in inflating the value of their product, should be convincing? Not.

      The fact of the matter is that no matter how efficient a cell is on cloudy days, there just isn't as much energy available on cloudy days as on sunny days. A heavy overcast probably has 15-30% of the energy as a sunny day, which is certainly better than zero but is a major hit if you can't count on some sunny days to "make hay" on.

      Also, efficiency matters to people with limited space in which to install solar arrays. Of course, current production crystalline technology has cells with efficiencies in the high teens, but when packaged the overall efficiency usually drops to the low teens for a number of unavoidable reasons.

    27. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by cerberusss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In my opinion, people themselves shouldn't buy panels. Due to installation costs and scale, this makes panels extremely expensive. Compare that to the cost of PV power stations and you'll see that the pay back time is muuuch shorter than for the individual man.

      --
      8 of 13 people found this answer helpful. Did you?
    28. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by jae471 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Given the inefficiencies in PV solar, wouldn't it be better to have thermal solar plants, and leave the PV to the individual [person|business].

      After all, PV output goes as peak usage, more or less, whereas a well-implement thermal solar can provide power at night. You can get more power/acre, and PV is non-obtrusive on a roof.

      or am I missing something, other than current costs?

    29. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      One of the difficulties that may prevent this as that some of the materials required for these systems have undergone quite considerable asset inflation - rare earths, copper, etc. This is partly because reserves of these elements are dwindling, partly because the machinery to mine them relies on machinery powered by oil derivaties which are more expensive, and partly because high global liquidity and low interest rates has led to a possible asset bubble in a number of assets. If cost drops to that of a car in 2008 then increased demand will then cause those raw materials to increase a lot in price, in which case the cost will then go up meaning a price of more than a car in 2009.

      This is one of the big challenges facing us - a combination of some raw materials being in short supply (and thus high cost) at the same time, coupled with asset inflation due to other reasons. In some instances the high price will bring in investment to create new mines to create new supply, but this will take a decade or more (assuming new supply is possible). The problems at hand of energy security and of reducing climate change is one that needs to be invested in heavily on a more urgent timescale. If demand drives above supplies of the raw materials and the cost of the raw materials becomes 'real' (i.e. the element due to global liquidity asset price inflation vanishes) and this feeds into general inflation, then interest rates might be stubbornly high which makes long term investment in these technologies more expensive.

      In other words the time to have really pushed forward on implementing many of these technologies would have been a decade ago, even with less mature technologies, as the economic conditions were more benign between then and now than they are likely to be between now and 2017. The technologies are still needed, but things will be tougher. The lowest hanging fruit need to be identified and identified quickly.

    30. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by mdsolar · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A lot of the high ($400K) price tag was for hydrogen storage and use in a fuel cell. The sola power portion was much less than this.
      --
      Rent a net metered system at a fixed money saving rate: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/slashdot-users -selling-solar.html

    31. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      well the solution is obvious...Force Field protected solar panels!

      I'm sure those are under development right now ;-)

      Seriously though almost every place gets some hail in a 5-10 year period, which makes most economics of these panels fall to, ahem, pieces ;-) Could you put some sort of thin wire mesh of over the panels maybe? obviously have to be open enough to not impair the efficiency yet strong enough to stop objects of significant weight and speed.

      Maybe I'll wait for the forcefields

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    32. Re:Is efficiency the problem? by Alioth · · Score: 2, Informative

      70-80% Where do you get those figures from? They are completely WRONG for today's solar technology.

      I have a monocrystalline panel as a test project. It's a new, high quality panel. Monocrystalline is the most efficient that's easily available on the open market at the moment.

      Here are the real figures, from a real panel powering a real load:

      Direct sunlight, absolutely perpendicular to the panel: 100% of peak
      Two hours before or after mid-day on a hazeless cloudless day: 40% of peak
      Light cirrus cloud, at mid day, where there are still shadows being cast: 30% of peak
      Bright overcast: 10-15% of peak (if you're lucky)
      Dull overcast: Barely deflects the ammeter, too small to measure %age of peak

      Solar panels perform very badly in anything other than full sun absolutely perpendicular to the panel.

  2. Buy gallium futures? by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's another gallium-based technology. That's going to limit it. There's just not that much gallium available. 30%+ efficient cells using gallium have been around for a few years, but other than on spacecraft, and the Stanford Solar Car, they're too expensive to be useful. They talk about "concentrator cells", but that means mirrors and trackers, running up the system cost.

    Citation: King, R. R., Law, D. C., Edmondson, K. M., Fetzer, C. M., Kinsey, G. S., Yoon, H., Sherif, R. A., and Karam, N. H. "40% efficient metamorphic GaInP/GaInAs/Ge multijunction solar cells." Applied Physics Letters 90, 183516 (2007).

  3. no by wizardforce · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Suppose I just dump a bunch of Algae in a pond, then scoop off the top flotsam once a week, dry it in the sun, and then burn it? Would this be more or less than 40% efficient?

    not even remotely. plants are efficient at converting photons to an immediate energy source but the vast majority is used to keep the existing tissues alive and functioning. esimates I have seen for the efficiency of converting light, CO2 and water into biomass ranges from less than 1% to 5% depending on the species.
    --
    Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
  4. Efficiency by robably · · Score: 4, Funny

    With their conversion efficiency measured at 40.7%, the metamorphic multijunction concentrator cells surpass the theoretical limit of 37% of single-junction cells at 1000 suns, due to their multijunction structure.'
    40.7% efficiency at 1000 suns, so with only one sun that makes them... 0.0407% efficient.

    Hmm.
  5. The main issues by Erioll · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The main issues with this are:
    1. Efficiency: This article talks about brightnesses of 100 suns. Well what about 1 sun? Or fraction of that (cloudyness)? Are these efficiencies realized then too? If not, does the technology still work at or near where that is?
    2. Power cost: I've seen it said that many solar cells don't give back the energy required to manufacture them. By that I mean, acquiring the materials (mining, etc), refining them, and manufacturing them all take energy. How many days/months/years would it take to "pay back" the cost of manufacture, in energy?
    3. Temperature performance differences: How does it perform in low (or high) temperatures? A lot of us live in places where it gets cold for long periods of the year. This also has the associated problems with snow build-up, and getting that OFF of the panels.
    4. Monetary cost: How much will this cost at the consumer level, for which wattages? How big would they have to be to cover some typical consumer usages?
    5. Power storage: With solar, it all eventually comes back to storing the power, as they obviously don't operate in darkness. So how much would the batteries cost (initially, and in maintenance) to make this a viable power solution? How much wattage would you need to have enough "storage" for nighttime? Or more practically, for a few cloudy/rainy days in a row?
    Some of these issues are universal to ANY solar technology, but some of them are specific to this as well. All need real answers.
    1. Re:The main issues by sampson7 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There are a lot of problems with the premises of your questions. But a couple of the easy ones:

      1) Efficiency and measures of "suns": As others have explained better than me, this basically means that they are using mirrors to "collect" the sun power and focus it.

      3) Temperature: Solar cells tend to work better in colder weather, as you have less heat transfer loss. It just so happens that many (but not all) places with lots of sunlight happen to be hot -- but cold weather is actually a bonus factor. Generally, your efficiency losses resulting from hot weather are roughly equal to the reduction in power you get from being in a less sunny place, all other factors being equal.

      4) Monetary cost: Solar is expensive. No question. But isn't it worth it?

      5) Storage: Unlikely to be an issue. Aside from specialized case (read: nutcakes living off the grid or places where power isn't essential), solar is a peaking power resource that's used in conjunction with conventional generation technologies. At night? Pull your power from the grid. During the day? Send power back onto the grid (a.k.a. net metering). Much more efficient than trying to generate the power and store it.

      Further, the suggestion is definitely that this would be used in utility-scale applications, given the concentration of sun you need to have. So again, batteries are not really an issue, as any power sent out onto the grid is instanteously (or pretty damn close to it) consumed by a thousand hair dryers all running at once.

    2. Re:The main issues by sampson7 · · Score: 4, Informative

      If solar is less expensive than the available clean conventional sources then this might make sense. Otherwise, why bother? It's only in situations where you're already near existing daytime conventional capacity and the deployment of solar is much faster/cheaper in the short term than deployment of another clean conventional source that it might make sense. But if solar is expensive and/or time-consuming to deploy (relative to deploying another clean conventional source) then it simply doesn't make sense to use it even if it's only for dealing with peak load.

      Forgive me, but you are completely wrong about this. Peak periods are exactly when things like solar really "shine." There are a couple thing you must understand about the interstate electricity grid:

      First, is that it is over-designed on purpose. Most major utilities have operating reserves of power generation of between 12 - 18 % of the day's anticipated peak demand. On any given day, the system operator will have tens or hundreds of generation sources that it never dispatches (e.g., uses to produce power), but that are there "just in case." This means that utilities have multiple dispatch solutions in order to meet load (load being a measure of people who want to use electricity).

      The second key principle is that utilities select their generation resoures based on a "least-cost dispatch" basis. While in practice, this gets incredibly complicated (and also includes environmental factors), the utility will pick the least expensive generators that can produce enough power to adequately supply the day's demand. In practical terms, this means that the utility will dispatch the dirtiest and most expensive to operate (on an incremental cost basis) generating facilities last.

      The third principle is an outgrowth of the first two. On peak demand days (think middle of summer, air conditioners running at full blast, etc.), the number of dispatch options available to the utility decreases further and further as it commits an ever-increasingly greater share of its total generating capacity to meet demand. This means that your nastiest, dirtiest, foulest, most expensive generating facilities are dispatched on such days.

      Imagine this scenario. You are Utility X. You have the following five generating facilities at your disposal:

      1000 MW nuke.

      500 MW cheaper, clean(er) coal.

      500 MW slightly less cheap dirty coal.

      100 MW incredibly expensive natural gas.

      20 MW aging oil burner that spews out more toxics that Paris Hilton on a breathalyzer AND costs more than the GDP of small nations to operate.

      Total installed capacity (a fancy term for the total amount of generation): 2110 MW.

      Now imagine that hellishly hot day. Demand immediately soars to 1500 MW -- and it's not even 11 am yet. You commit your nuke and your clean coal facility. Now it's 2 pm and demand hits 2000 MW. Throw in the dirty coal. Four pm rolls around and demand hits 2040 MW. Thow in that expensive natural gas peaker! (Don't worry -- the rate payers will just end up eating the extra -- your investors are safe.)

      Now it's 4:47 in the afternoon. The peak of the peak. You're at 2099 and still rising.... You are getting ready to commit the oil burner at a cost of several millions of dollars and countless hazy days. Do you need it?

      Well, maybe not. If you were a smart utility executive, you invested in Demand Response and paid some of your customers to go off-grid on days like this. Additionally, you've been incouraging customers to install solar panels that are all furiously generating power right as it's needed most.

      This is the moment where solar pays for itself. By reducing the peak demand by only a smidge, you reduce energy bills substantially. Solar is also one of the few alternative/clean sources of energy that peaks along with demand. Wind, for example, tends to blow off-peak. (This is even more true when you facto

    3. Re:The main issues by Deslock · · Score: 2, Interesting

      With solar, it all eventually comes back to storing the power, as they obviously don't operate in darkness. So how much would the batteries cost (initially, and in maintenance) to make this a viable power solution? How much wattage would you need to have enough "storage" for nighttime? Or more practically, for a few cloudy/rainy days in a row? There are several options other than chemical batteries. Pumped-storage hydroelectricity is commonly used, but it's inefficient (for example, Northfield Mountain only returns ~35% of the energy that's expended pumping the water uphill). Flywheels are very promising. I read some interesting articles in the 1990s about using them in electric cars, but that presents various challenges (cost, gyroscopic forces, what happens when a car crashes, etc). Even if we can't get that to work, is seems like they're a great choice for stationary energy storage. Currently they're still very expensive and are only used for this in a few applications (such as satellites and some UPSs).
    4. Re:The main issues by kcbrown · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't actually think we're in disagreement overall. All I'm saying is that for solar to work, it has to be no more expensive than what it's replacing. That goes for whether it's peak-only or not.

      Finally, what is this "clean conventional" source of energy you refer to? And no, I'm not some eco-nut trying to send us back to the stoneage. Perhaps you're simply using the term "conventional" incorrectly. In the energy world, "conventional" sources are . . . well, conventional. They include coal, natural gas, oil, etc. Nuclear, wind, solar, land-fill gas, and biomass are all classified as non-conventional.

      I consider nuclear to be conventional. I mean, really -- the technology is mature. The reliability is very high. It's extremely clean as long as you're allowed to use it properly (namely, reprocess the fuel). We've been using it for several decades, and the only real accident of consequence (Chernobyl) was the result of a shitty design that nobody in their right mind would touch combined with immense stupidity on the part of the operators. And finally, nuclear is widely deployed. Given all that, I think it deserves the "conventional" label.

      --
      Use 'slashdot stuff' in the subject line in any email you send me if you want to get past the spam filter.
    5. Re:The main issues by Restil · · Score: 2, Informative

      1. Efficiency: This article talks about brightnesses of 100 suns. Well what about 1 sun? Or fraction of that (cloudyness)? Are these efficiencies realized then too? If not, does the technology still work at or near where that is?


      Probably about the same. The point is, you can ramp up the solar energy hitting the cell 1000 fold and still get 40% efficiency from it.

      Power cost: I've seen it said that many solar cells don't give back the energy required to manufacture them. By that I mean, acquiring the materials (mining, etc), refining them, and manufacturing them all take energy. How many days/months/years would it take to "pay back" the cost of manufacture, in energy?


      A conventional solar cell will pay for itself in 10 years, at least based on what I could purchase the cells for vs. what the power cost 10 years ago. Power costs more now, so the ROI is probably less now.

      Monetary cost: How much will this cost at the consumer level, for which wattages? How big would they have to be to cover some typical consumer usages?

      I think a 12 sqft conventional solar panel will produce about 100 watts. YMMV. Do the math.

      Power storage: With solar, it all eventually comes back to storing the power, as they obviously don't operate in darkness. So how much would the batteries cost (initially, and in maintenance) to make this a viable power solution? How much wattage would you need to have enough "storage" for nighttime? Or more practically, for a few cloudy/rainy days in a row?

      This is only really an issue if you're off the grid. If you live in an area where you can sell your unused power back to the company, then you can use your power meter to save the power instead of batteries. Yes, I realize that they pay the wholesale rate vs the retail rate, but that only applies to the balance over the month. If you consume 10kwh off the grid today and roll back 10kwh tomorrow, you've consumed a total of 0 kwh. The trick is to be sure the balance is negative whenever the meter reader shows up.

      -Restil

      --
      Play with my webcams and lights here
  6. suns by wizardforce · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Spectrolab group experimented with concentrator multijunction solar cells that use high intensities of sunlight, the equivalent of 100s of suns, concentrated by lenses or mirrors. Significantly, the multijunction cells can also use the broad range of wavelengths in sunlight much more efficiently than single-junction cells.

    when the article talks about hundreds or thousands of suns, it means they used mirrors and lenses to concentrate the light that falls on a much larger area to then fall on the solar cells. this leads to the solar cells generating a lot more electrical power and thus makes it more economical to produce power from soalr energy as compared to not using mirrors or lenses to focus light onto the panals.
    --
    Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
  7. Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by TheLazySci-FiAuthor · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Solar is by far my favorite power source. But like every other power source, it is really just a byproduct of the actual energetic reaction. I think I can accurately say that solar power is second-hand nuclear power. Following this reasoning the other power sources may be seen as third-hand nuclear power.

    As another posted stated, even if you make the solar 100% efficient (wouldn't that be something!) you still have to store or transport it - since on average the sun is hitting half the Earth's surface at any given time (with much of that surface being water).

    I have high hopes for solar - but it always strikes me as strange that we already have this amazing technology of nuclear power - it's here now! We HAVE it!

    Plus, nuclear power can make a nuclear rocket! I don't know of any solar rockets yet.

    1. Re:Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by AK+Marc · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't know of any solar rockets yet.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_sail

    2. Re:Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nuclear power production produces a lot less waste than coal mining alone does, and that's not even counting the radioactive dust that coal power plants spew into the air.

      The Russians cut stupid corners in nuclear power. Not only did they use a graphite-moderated reactor at Chernobyl, but according to your linked article, they didn't glassify (or recycle) their nuclear waste. Furthermore, I doubt those rods have a high enough concentration of plutonium to actually explode. The article was a little light on the technical details.

      Also, waste is not "just so dangerous." By the very definition of half-life, the most intense radioactive waste is the stuff that breaks down the fastest. That's why we keep it in cooling ponds for a few years before doing something else with it. After the high-radioactive components have decayed, what's left has a very long half-life, which means that it has a low level of radioactivity.

      Besides, if at that level of radioactivty, you feel the need to manage waste for 10,000 years, how about managing our copper and gold mine tailings, which are killing our rivers? Or how about managing our toxic chemical waste, repairing underground gasoline tanks, cleaning up rivers that are so toxic that we can't eat fish out of them, and so on? What makes low-level nuclear waste more important than these more pressing problems?

      And as for accidents -- all industries have accidents. A chemical plant caught fire a few years ago and poisoned hundreds. But look at it this way: we only have two choices for energy for the next hundred years: coal or nuclear. Even if we do have a nuclear accident or two (which is highly unlikely, given the paranoia surrounding regulation of nuclear facilities), nuclear power would hurt and kill fewer people than coal will.

      Also, France uses nuclear power for 90% of its electrical needs. When's the last time you heard of a problem at a French power plant?

    3. Re:Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by QuoteMstr · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You are misinformed, sir. Fusion, if and when it eventually works, can be run using isotypes of hydrogen from seawater. I don't think we're going to be running out of that any time soon.

      As for fusion fuel -- it's an oft-repeated fallacy that we only have a tiny bit of that stuff. That view is terribly wrong. See this article. The gist of it is that nuclear fuel is limited only under these flawed assumptions:

      1. The only nuclear fuel mined will be the deposits that have so far been explored, and that are economical to extract at today's prices. Today's prices are ridiculously low, and at higher uranium prices (still much lower per watt than coal), far more uranium will be economical to extract, and it'll be more economical to explore for more. (There's basically been no uranium exploration in the past 30 years due to the insanely low price of uranium.)
      2. We're not going to use breeder reactors to recycle waste. Not using a breeder reactor on nuclear fuel is like buying a box of breakfast cereal, having one bowl of it and throwing the rest away. We can convert normally useless U-238 into fissile plutonium-239. 99.284% of uranium is U-238, which means that using a breeder reactor, we'll increase our fuel supply by about a hundred times.
      3. We discount thorium, which is more common than uranium and is also fissile.



      4. Please, stop repeating the fallacy that we don't have the fuel for nuclear power. We have plenty.

    4. Re:Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by wall0159 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "And how much CO2 do we emit when we mine coal? "

      Sigh. Everytime I criticise nuclear power someone brings up the strawman of coal power. Next time, I must remember to address it first.
      Yes, coal is terrible. Yes, we should stop burning it. Yes, nuclear is probably better than coal.
      BUT, renewables are better again. If we're going to change our infrastructure, why settle for second-best? Why not change to wind, solar and tidal, and have the best power source (and maybe use nuclear a _little_ bit, where necessary to ensure supply).

      Now, I read your other post. I'm no expert, but my understanding is that, in general, the nuclear industry is hugely subsidised by the government, and that's the _only_ way that nukes are at all cost-comparable with coal. In most countries, nuclear disasters are uninsurable, which means that the government is effectively underwriting the nuclear industry even more.
      In any case, _even_ if there is plenty of fissile material available, we _still_ have to mine, process and dispose of it. for fusion power, I agree - we have plenty of fuel. Fusion power sounds great, unfortunately it doesn't work yet.

    5. Re:Cut to the Solar Chase: Nuclear Reactions. by QuoteMstr · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, using wind, hydroelectric and solar power should be used where appropriate. But they're all variable, especially solar and wind power. Wind power is great, but limited (and some people perceive it as an eyesore.) Solar power requires very large areas of land to work -- it's a good supplement to make use of otherwise-wasted areas like roofs and wastelands, but in many areas, especially at higher latitudes, it's useless.

  8. Efficiency is a big problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    The cost of the cells is only one part of the expense of the system. With sufficiently inefficient cells, they could never be installed economically. IIRC, it is possible to make amorphous cells for just about free but there's just no point because they are so darn inefficient.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cell

  9. Re:The main issues-Power cost by Erioll · · Score: 4, Informative
    Directly from Wikipedia

    Solar cells and energy payback

    There is controversy over whether solar cells produce more energy than it takes to make them. The energy payback time of a solar panel, assuming a working lifetime of around 40 years, is anywhere from 1 to 20 years (usually under five)[2] depending on the type and where it is used (see net energy gain). This means solar cells can be net energy producers meaning they generate more energy over their lifetime than the energy expended in producing them.[3][4] According to some experts studying the question, solar cells do generate positive net energy when the energy consumption of manufacturing and distribution are taken into account.[5]

    So yes, this depends highly on the materials used and manufacturing process as to whether the energy payback is an issue or not. 1-20 years? Let's hope this technology is on the low end of that scale.

    Also, two more issues came up that I forgot in my original post:
    1. Exotic Materials: The materials advertised in this article are not... common. I highly doubt this helps either the mass production price, or the long-term availability of such.
    2. Lifetime: How long does a panel actually last? Few manufactured items of any kind have infinite lifespans. Is the manufactured solar cell "stable" chemically/physically? This ties in slightly to my old heat/cold question, but when stressed by weather, will it hold up?
    Most of my questions are challenges to be overcome, not "Death knells" to trying. But they're also things to be aware of when anything's announced with too much enthusiasm.
  10. Dupe from December by Gertlex · · Score: 3, Informative

    http://hardware.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=06/12/ 06/027228

    Ahh well. More publicity for Spectrolabs... :)

  11. Re:Efficiency by dteichman2 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The solar cells are extremely expensive due to the Gallium in them. It's cheaper to have 1 solar cell with a thousand mirrors reflecting onto it. Hence the stellar luminosity of 1000.

    --


    Silence is golden... and duct tape is silver.
  12. Studebaker Nuclear Reactors by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Yes, and we have the nuclear waste for oh, I don't know, a few HUNDRED THOUSAND years ...

    Only with stupid old technology. The Integral Fast Reactor generates 100 times less waste and it's only hotter than ore for a few hundred years. We should be building one at Yucca Mountain as a national security priority.

    Fusion will be great in 40+ years, but that's a little late to act. We could have one of these running in probably 5 years.

    Solar, at 40% efficiency would still require covering something like 8% of the land surface area of Earth to meet current-day demands. Wind is too variable, hydro is too small - we basically have coal and nuclear as the two viable baseload options.

    Obviously, TBPB don't want to end anthropogenic global warming. It's left as an exercise to the reader to speculate on why.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:Studebaker Nuclear Reactors by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 4, Informative

      I have yet to see any scientific papers that agree with your statement in any of the online Energy journals.

      Would UC Berekeley's Nuclear Engineering department be a reputable enough source for you?

      They quote less than a ton of waste per GW-year. Conventional is about 35 tons per GW-year.

      I'll make a note to find the reports from the Argonne Labs prototype when I get some library time in.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    2. Re:Studebaker Nuclear Reactors by thisissilly · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Solar, at 40% efficiency would still require covering something like 8% of the land surface area of Earth to meet current-day demands.

      You might want to re-check your calculations. Total world energy usage is ~15 TW. Light at surface averages ~342 W/m.

      Land surface is 148,939,100 km

      (1.5*10^13 TW / [0.4 *342 W/m]) / 148939100000000 m = ~ 0.07%. Let's double it for extra capacity (and because half the planet is in night), and we're still under 0.15% of the land surface area. Your 8% estimate is large by a factor of 50 or so.

      Of course, putting the whole thing in space might make more sense. If you really want pie-in-the-sky thinking, covering the moon with 10% efficient solar cells would provide about 86 times the power the world uses now. Getting it all back to Earth would be the tricky part.

      Though I also agree we should be using better nuclear reactors.

    3. Re:Studebaker Nuclear Reactors by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Ignorance is a wonderful excuse. And that is the reason why so many of us keep trying to push it and teach others about this. This reactor would be built, loaded, ran for a hundred years, then upon decommision, the spent fuel (transuranic) would be able to be put underground and would be safe in under 100 years. The interesting thing is that the bulk of the fuel for it, would come from what is planned to go into the ground that would need 1000's of years before it is safe. In addition, if we started building these within the next decade, then all the fuel that we have now would power ALL of AMerica's need for the next 100 years. And that is without any more mining. The really cool part of this? That it solves SO many issues that America has.
      1. You are opposed to the long term radiactive waste? This burns up nearly ALL the energy that is left to cause 1000's of years of radiation.
      2. Opposed to paying terrorists to blow us up? So am I. This would enable a true electrical society.
      3. Tired of a yo-yo effect on pricing? So am I. Nearly all of the fuel that would be loaded in these, we have ready to bury in the ground. Once loaded, there would be no change in the fuel price.
      4. Do not like the safety record of the nuclear industry (though it is actually excellent)? This has the advantage that it is a TOTAL passive safty. The only way that it is going wrong is if you can blow it up (which would require a nuke to do), or if you can bend the laws of physic.
      5. Do not like the idea of plutonium being produced. Well, this is a breeder reactor so there is plutonium, but wrong kind AND it is all enclosed. NOTHING could get close to it until the entire system is shut down. Permantly.
      There is nothing by upsides, relatively few downsides. The biggest one, is that it was killed. Kerry pushed Clinton to not build it. Poppa bush had it MOST of the way built. Even now, W. could re-start the program and within 4 years, we would have an active IFR. Within a decade, we would be starting to build these en-mass. Now, a decade may sound like a LONG time, but it really is not. Once we built 6 of these, then we could accelerate the pace. That would mean within 20 years, we would be putting nothing but these AND alternative power. IOW, we would be in major production BEFORE the fusion reactor is suppose to come on line for a sustainable fusion. The IFR was shutdown for PURE political reasons, not scientific.
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Studebaker Nuclear Reactors by asuffield · · Score: 2, Insightful

      (1.5*10^13 TW / [0.4 *342 W/m]) / 148939100000000 m = ~ 0.07%. Let's double it for extra capacity (and because half the planet is in night), and we're still under 0.15% of the land surface area. Your 8% estimate is large by a factor of 50 or so.


      You also need to account for cloudy weather, and the fact that solar cells produce power dependant on the angle of the sun - the quoted efficiency is for noon only, it drops off sharply the rest of the time (cosine function, IIRC), growing worse as you get further from the equator. Also, the fact that a significant of the Earth's land area has long nights and short days for half the year screws things up more (you can't really store the energy from summer for use in winter, and the northern and southern land masses don't balance, you're going to lose out on one of them). Without spending time to look up the real figures, my back-of-the-envelope scribblings comes to about 1/5 of that amount of power. 8% is still too large, but not by that much. The right figure is probably somewhere in the vicinity of 1%.

      Lastly, you need to account for the energy cost of producing solar cells, and that one is a real killer. I could easily believe that 8% is the right figure for 10%-efficient solar cells, once that has been factored in. New technologies like the one in the article can only help with this, but we need to keep improving them a lot before solar power is viable as a primary power source (rather than a backup to reduce the load on dirty coal and oil burners).

      Of course, putting the whole thing in space might make more sense. If you really want pie-in-the-sky thinking, covering the moon with 10% efficient solar cells would provide about 86 times the power the world uses now. Getting it all back to Earth would be the tricky part.


      More practical would be pushing the energy consumers out there - how much is manufacturing and computer hardware that could run quite happily on the moon, and just ship back the products? Dropping manufactured items down to Earth is much easier (although it's still highly effective as a weapon, c.f. Heinlein's "The moon is a harsh mistress"), and the latency of internet access would only be a few seconds.
  13. To the moon Alice! by headkase · · Score: 3, Interesting

    All the more reason we need to establish reliable mining on the moon. Concentrations on the moon are about 80% higher than on Earth. You know, there is a lot of history ahead of us and maybe Lunar mining would allow future infrastructure that at this point in time boggles the imagination.

    --
    Shh.
  14. Re:Efficiency by taniwha · · Score: 2, Interesting
    well think about it - there are photons kicking electrons/holes around - at some power density there will be more photons than electrons/holes available at any instant and the efficiency will drop - I suspect they are bragging that it still works with light at that intensity (as someone points out Ga is expensive ...)

    What isn't being trapped by jumping electrons (that other 60%) is going to go into heat - what we need is a heat engine on the back side of the cell recovering that other 60% ...

  15. Lunar power is SO underrated by rs79 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Solar is great and all but what about the moon? Sometimes it's bright as hell out there but does lunar power get any press? Nooooooooo.

    --
    Need Mercedes parts ?
  16. enough power for laptops by e**(i+pi)-1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is good news. I can not wait to have affordable solar cells to power a laptop. On board colar panels until now only can extend battery life for a laptop. There are foldable panels which generate enough power (26 watts) for a power friendly laptop: http://www.ascscientific.com/solar.html For a laptop with solid state harddrive and power friendly CPU, onboard solar cells might soon be enough.

    1. Re:enough power for laptops by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you shop surplus you can make a 60 watt solar panel that will not only run a laptop but charge it's batteries as well.

      I had one for a old outdated dell D600 laptop for the local ham radio group's Search and rescue group. we built it from $40.00 of surplus Yacht flexible solar cells. (3 units that were 3 feet long and 1 foot wide) they made 14.5 volts that simply powered a dell car charger/power supply for that laptop. It worked great just laying them out on a picnic table aiming straight up.

      Hard part is finding Marina auctions that have big boats and foreclosures where people had solar on their boats they could not afford. I live in a area where that happens a lot.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  17. Re:Cost efficiency? by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 2, Funny

    According to my spam folder, solar technology from China is the next best thing to sliced bread. Buy early. Buy often. :P

  18. Re:Efficiency by njh · · Score: 2, Informative

    Unfortunately a heat engine that would use even a significant amount of that 60% heat is going to require temperatures greater than the operating temperature of the solar cell. The solar cell itself is in fact a heat engine operating at roughly 42% of the theoretical maximum efficiency, which compares well with all but the biggest fluid based engines.

    However, if you want heat, rather than work, you should be able to collect all of that 60% - thermal desal, domestic hot water, space heating - all are easily doable.

  19. Thank you... by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Thank you... One of the things that originally drew me to reading Slashdot was that when someone would make an outlandish comment, someone else would 'run the numbers'. It's good to see that some traditions are not completely dead.