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1 Billion PCs by End of 2008

javipas writes "Acording to a study published by Forrester Research, 2008 will be the year in wich a psychological barrier will be surpassed. By the end of next year there will be 1.000.000.000 computers all around the world, a number that will double itself in just five more years. The reason: the emerging markets of countries such as Brazil, China, India or Russia, which will be responsible for 775 million new PCs and laptop computers. Part of them, of course, coming from projects like the OLPC's one."

26 of 175 comments (clear)

  1. In other news by Yetihehe · · Score: 5, Funny

    By the end of next year there will be 900.000.000 infected computers.

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  2. IPv6 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Good thing IPv6 is just around the corner, what with two billion PCs in 5 years.

  3. That will be it then by Silver+Sloth · · Score: 4, Funny

    The reason: the emerging markets of countries such as Brazil, China, India or Russia, which will be responsible of 775 new PCs and laptop computers. Seven hundred and seventy five computers!!!!! Wow, now that's what I call an emerging market
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  4. Whaaa???? by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 5, Funny

    which will be responsible of 775 new PCs and laptop computers. Part of them, of course, coming from projects like the OLPC's one."
    "Asparagus. Fireplace. Ladder. Mosquito." makes as much sense.
    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    1. Re:Whaaa???? by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 4, Funny

      Octopus banana. You're too fire hydrant.

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    2. Re:Whaaa???? by slashbob22 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Octopus banana. You're too fire hydrant. Dear Sir
      I appreciate your joke. I however am concerned with the fact that I now have coffee on my monitor. Please sent $3 and a paper towel to:

      Coffee-less Dude
      c/o Slashdot
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      Proof by very large bribes. QED.
  5. ok, so which joke do we go for here... by jollyreaper · · Score: 3, Funny

    Do we go with "billions and billions of" or the pinky held up to the mouth? Sagan or Evil? Maybe Evil Sagan? Yeah, Evil Sagan. I'm imagining passages from Demon-Haunted World read with a Dr. Evil accent. That's the ticket.

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  6. Re:775? by MankyD · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Also, referring to 1,000,000,000 as a "psychological barrier" is kind of a strange term. It doesn't block our thought processes. Calling it a "symbolic mile-stone" might be more appropriate.

    --
    -dave
    http://millionnumbers.com/ - own the number of your dreams
  7. My that's one big botnet by the_humeister · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Perhaps we should start making environmentally friendly computers? I certainly don't want any of those toxins in my ground water.

  8. psychological? by uofitorn · · Score: 4, Funny

    "...2008 will be the year in which a psychological barrier will be surpassed."

    If Bill Cosby ever decides to do a "Nerds say the dumbest things" show, it won't be hard to find good material here.

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  9. A Waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And almost all of those billion PCs will eventually find their way into tips and landfils, or crude pollutive 'recycling' pots in third world countries.

    The turnover of computers is so fast not because of natural outdating and failure of hardware but because of the bloating of operating systems and applications software. Windows 95 only needed 4mb of RAM. The increase of RAM and CPU requirements vastly outstrips increases of functionality and mostly resembles Moore's Law.

    People keep on buying expensive new computers to do the same things at the same speed. How many gigabytes of RAM will you need to check your email in 2020?

    1. Re:A Waste by jshriverWVU · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Windows 95 only needed 4mb of RAM

      Flashback, wow... actually by todays standards what would qualify as an embedded system.

    2. Re:A Waste by Dan+Ost · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now that computer technology has roughly plateaued, this replacement cycle will lengthen. We no longer live in a day where you need to upgrade your computer every couple of years just to handle software requirements. Computers are fast enough now that you're only forced to upgrade when your old computer dies.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    3. Re:A Waste by moranar · · Score: 4, Informative

      Ahem. I was there, and I remember Windows 95 did jack shit with 4 mb of RAM. Maybe you're thinking of Windows 3.11?

      From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_'95 :
      "Official system requirements were an Intel 80386 DX CPU of any speed, 4 MB of system RAM, and 50 MB of hard drive space. These minimal claims were made in order to maximize the available market of Windows 3.1 converts. This configuration was distinctly suboptimal for any productive use on anything but single tasking dedicated workstations due to the heavy reliance on virtual memory. Also, in some cases, if any networking or similar components were installed the system would refuse to boot with 4 Megabytes of RAM. It was possible to run Windows 95 on a 386 SX but this led to even less acceptable performance. To achieve optimal performance, Microsoft recommends an Intel 80486 or compatible microprocessor with at least 8 MB of RAM."

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  10. Imagine a beowolf cluster... by sakdoctor · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Imagine a botnet of these!

  11. prize by freeasinrealale · · Score: 4, Funny

    I think billionth should get a prize. A share in M$... a chair from chairman Ballmer... a big Mac... The mind boggles.

    --
    A man spends the first half of his life accumulating stuff, the second trying to get rid of it all.
  12. Handcranks... by blankoboy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Better get some hand-cranks on those suckers because in 5 years times electricity (along with gas) will no longer be the take for granted utility that it is now.

    1. Re:Handcranks... by inviolet · · Score: 2, Interesting

      having temperatures and weather patterns that permit production of food, et cetera.

      Moving the temperate zones away from the equator and towards the poles will create more agricultural land, not less. Do you have any idea how much tundra there is, just sitting there uselessly frozen?

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  13. Re:Typo by JamesTRexx · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'll go for more /. insightful..

    But, will those 775 run Linux?

    :-P

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  14. Re:Typo by trolltalk.com · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hopefully they'll ship with a spelling and grammar checker:

    Acording [spelling] to a study published by Forrester Research, 2008 will be the year in wich [spelling] a psychological barrier will be surpassed. By the end of next year there will be 1.000.000.000 computers all [no computer is big enough to be "all around the world"] around the world [CC], a number that will double itself [superfluous "itself"] in just five more years. The reason: the [punctuation - first word after a full colon should be capitalized] emerging markets of countries such as Brazil, China, India or [should be "and"] Russia, which will be responsible of [should be "for"] 775 [missing a few zeroes] new PCs and laptop computers. Part of them, of course, coming from projects like the OLPC's one. [awkward sentence construct, wrong use of "them", superfluous "one"]"

    It reads like spam ... did anyone actually edit this?

  15. vs 2B cellphones today by blackdefiance · · Score: 4, Informative

    There are already over 2B active cellphones in the world, and there will be more by the end of 2008... an interesting comparison of market penetration.

  16. Re:Typo by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2, Informative

    Nor in American English. Take my comment with a grain of salt, as I always got higher marks in Maths than English. Of course, being on Slashdot, that should be assumed.

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  17. In still other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    In still other news, both Lunix and OSX will still capture the hearts and minds of an insignificant number of PC users.

  18. Quoth Ken Olsen... by jez9999 · · Score: 2, Funny

    "there is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home"

  19. 1 billion PCs-- the real facts by rocjoe71 · · Score: 2, Funny
    Sold: 1 billion computers:
    • Computers rotting in landfills leeching heavy metal into water table: 400 million.
    • Computers connected to the Internet: 650 million.
    • Computers that have never downloaded spam: 37.
    • Computers without pr0n on them: 5.
    --
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  20. Price has a lot to do with it. by Isaac-1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A lot is about the price

    My first PC was over $1,500 with no hard drive and 256K of ram

    My second was a loaded 486-33 with a 212 Meg HD and 8 megs of ram at just under $4,000 ......

    Last year I bought a 2.4 Ghz P4 desktop system (no monitor) from Dell Outlet for under $200 with shipping

    Last month I bought a sub 5 pound used (like new) P3 Compaq Aramada for $130.

    Talk on slashdot keeps revolving around a $99 laptop coming soon.

    Combine the ever dropping price, with 20+ years of production (i386 and newer) of all the hand me down systems out there, and the 1,000,000,000 is inevitable.

    Ike