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Mars Rover Ready for Risky Descent into Crater

Riding with Robots writes "After months of scoping out the terrain, the robotic geologist Opportunity is ready to drive down into Victoria Crater on the Meridiani Plains of Mars. Mission managers acknowledge the hardy rover may never come back out, but say they think the potential for discovery is worth it. 'The rover has operated more than 12 times longer than its originally intended 90 days. The scientific allure is the chance to examine and investigate the compositions and textures of exposed materials in the crater's depths for clues about ancient, wet environments. As the rover travels farther down the slope, it will be able to examine increasingly older rocks in the exposed walls of the crater. '"

156 comments

  1. It will make it! by ILuvRamen · · Score: 4, Funny

    I think it will survive it. Obviously that sucker was built Tonka tough lol. It's funny though cuz every time it's about to do just about anything, the scientists say "well this might be the last thing it ever does" just because it's way past the 90 days. It's kinda like how people every year say "yep, those AS400's are on their way out any day now" and then there I was, still sitting in front of an ugly green screen for one of my classes (I changed degree fields after that) I think the rover will be there long enough to bump into an astronaut's foot lol. Unless of course it gets attacked my martian crater monkeys. Those things are vicious.

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    1. Re:It will make it! by Original+Replica · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One way to get new toys is to break the old ones. If you had driven those greenscreen monitiors down a crater, they would have been replaced with some new shiny CGA monitors. I don't htink NASA is setting out to break "the little rover that could" but they are getting more and more adventerous with it, doing things that may have previously been ruled out for safety concerns. "The last thing it ever does" is better than saying "Hey everybody, Watch this!"

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    2. Re:It will make it! by MaineCoon · · Score: 3, Informative

      On the other hand, Victoria crater is pretty big (about a kilometer across), and could take many months to explore. The next closest crater is 25km away. In 3 years, Opportunity has travelled less than 11 km.

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    3. Re:It will make it! by TrevorB · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm actually surprised they're that concerned about getting out again. Literally, there's nowhere else to go. We already have 2 years of survey data from the non-cratered surface.

      This mission will end in Victoria crater, regardless of how long the rover lasts. The only reason to leave is to test the engineering capabilities of an aging rover to climb back out again.

    4. Re:It will make it! by timmarhy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      so if aliens landed on earth and drove 11km you'd think they had seen everything earth has to offer?

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    5. Re:It will make it! by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, but there isn't much else in the immediate vicinity. With the speeds the rover is moving, it will take literally years to get anywhere interesting.

    6. Re:It will make it! by RockWolf · · Score: 3, Insightful
      It's similar to landing in the middle of the Sahara Desert with no way to get out: you know there's something interesting far away, but the only way to examine it is to plan another mission, rather than just drive there. After everything in the crater has been examined, if there's no other scientific targets within range, the only objectives remaining are engineering ones, which are also important, certainly more interesting than just turning off the "little rover that could".

      ~wolf

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    7. Re:It will make it! by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      so whats your point, your confirming it's usefulness

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    8. Re:It will make it! by CommunistHamster · · Score: 1

      No, he's saying there's no point in sending the rover anywhere else because it will die before taking any "new" (i.e. not of the rocky plains) readings.

    9. Re:It will make it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Why didn't they made it sail-powered? It would had been great engineering challenge (Martian winds are so much faster then Terrestrial ones, sail control has not been robotized yet, AFAIK, especially sail control in extraterrestrial environment), but unlimited operational radius would have given us so much more exploration data.

      We need more parallelism: automatic drone factory ("hive", or "anthill") on Mars.

    10. Re:It will make it! by jettawu · · Score: 1

      "The last thing it ever does" is better than saying "Hey everybody, Watch this!" I don't know... they might get a lot more people interested and watching if they said "Hey everybody, watch this!"
    11. Re:It will make it! by imemyself · · Score: 1

      While winds on Mars are faster than they are here on Earth, the density of the air on Mars is much, much lower than it is on Earth (Mars has less mass, so it has less atmosphere). So, there would be less air actually pushing on the sail.

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    12. Re:It will make it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Why didn't they made it sail-powered? It would had been great engineering challenge

      Ummm, . . . yeah . . . we NASA engineers are just sitting around, looking for a more challenging way to accomplish our goals. As a matter of fact, I am going to submit a proposal before the end of this week, to have this sail powered robot designed, built, tested and on its way to Mars before the end of the year. Mmmmm, that sounds pretty challenging. Let see . . . how can I make it more challenging? Ummm . . . OH WAIT, I GOT IT!! I'll even type up the proposal without using the letters l, e or the number 6.
  2. For all of NASA's problems by ducomputergeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The MERS mission has been an incrediable sucessess that one doesn't hear much about, unless you read slashdot. A 90 day mission that has lasted 3 years and shows no signs of stopping as funding has been approved to at least september and so long as they are showing results, I doubt that is going to change. Most of the costs is in launching and building the damn things. From that stand point, looks like they've gotten their money worth out of them.

    --
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    1. Re:For all of NASA's problems by QuantumG · · Score: 5, Funny

      You gotta love the creative genius of designing a mission that lasts 20 years and claiming that it will only last 90 days...

      If they had said the rovers would last 20 years upfront, they never would have gotten funding for it.

      --
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    2. Re:For all of NASA's problems by cyriustek · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It sounds to me as if the engineers at NASA took Scotty's advice to heart when he was shocked that Geordi told the truth about how long it would take to make a repair. (TNG: Relics)

      Under Promise and Underperform.

      The flip side of this is that we have to wonder if there is a downside to the NASA engineers under promising? Is it possible that if they gave a more realistic estimate, better plans for research could have been developed?

      Regardless, I say good job NASA!

    3. Re:For all of NASA's problems by Kjella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, if you wanted to build a rover that'd last for a long time in a desert-like environment then I don't think you'd have problems finding a contractor to do that. It's not like regular cars die from travelling through desert areas, and top it off with high quality seals and whatever it should last until it breaks down internally (or the wheels are broken, IIRC one of the Mars rovers is limping.

      It's when you say "build us that rover, but after three months it'll have to run on no power" that things get ugly. The solar panels were supposed to get clogged up with dust, and someone really did think it'd go on for many years instead of months they were damn silent about it. It's like thinking you're building a laptop with a battery, only to find out you've got line power. That would throw your estimated operating time off by several orders of magnitude too.

      While the idea they said three months to get the funding is entertaining, there's really nothing to suggest that was actually the case. They're scientists doing an experiment, thought they had a limiting factor which was wrong. Now we know that if we go to Mars, we can build solar panels that won't clog and will be a pretty much permanent power source which changes everything. Maybe someone hoped, dreamed or wished for it but I doubt many if any knew and said "hey, let's go wih three months anyway".

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    4. Re:For all of NASA's problems by jafiwam · · Score: 4, Insightful

      On that note, wasn't the difference in the battery life that they did not expect the panels to get cleaned off by the winds like they are getting cleaned?

      Perhaps a trip into a crater is not the best way to stay in the cleansing winds....

    5. Re:For all of NASA's problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So true. There are many post-mortem studies to learn what not to do after the shit go bad, but I think we should do a study on this mission to learn what might be *GOOD* to do.

    6. Re:For all of NASA's problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reminds me of Viking, which ran for years because they were nice and gave it RTG power plants.

    7. Re:For all of NASA's problems by ghmh · · Score: 2, Funny

      You gotta love the creative genius of designing a mission that lasts 20 years and claiming that it will only last 90 days...

      If they had said the rovers would last 20 years upfront, they never would have gotten funding for it.

      Actually, it's only lasted this long because the little green men come out and fix it when noone's looking.
    8. Re:For all of NASA's problems by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

      With this massive increase in the length of time robots can survive on solar power on Mars (without meeting to clean each other)... what could they have built or done?

      Could they have gathered the materials to make a 3rd rover ? :)

    9. Re:For all of NASA's problems by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Well, if you wanted to build a rover that'd last for a long time in a desert-like environment then I don't think you'd have problems finding a contractor to do that. It's not like regular cars die from travelling through desert areas,

      Not quite. 'Regular cars' need special air filters, and need them cleaned regularly even then. The US Army has lots of trouble keeping their trucks and tanks going in Iraq.
      Sand is abrasive, and the smaller particles get everywhere. The problem is compounded by the temperature swings you see in a typical desert: the vehicle expands/contracts so much it's hard to seal it properly.
      On Mars, conditions are a bit different. Dust may not be as much of a problem. OTOH, moon dust is extremely abrasive. IDK if the same goes for Mars dust?
      There's no internal commbustion engine so no need to expose internal parts to the outside atmosphere which should help sealing it. The temperature swings would still be a problem.
      The low air pressure makes lubrication harder (lubricants will evaporate faster).

    10. Re:For all of NASA's problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All it took to keep it running was wind blowing the panels clean? Who builds an 800 million dollar robot that doesn't have a brush to wipe the solar panels down?

  3. John Callas Vid by TrevorB · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/gallery/video/movie s/opportunity/VictoriaDigitalStory.mov

    JPL produced Video of Project Manager John Callas discussing the entry.

  4. sandy dunes and icy crater by wizardforce · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_crater if there is water ice underneath MArs' surface or even temporarily exposed ice, this is the spot. what ever created the crater whether a deorbited moon, asteroid or comet likely left water behind after the impact. so even if the rover doesnt come out again it will be well wortth the sacrifice.

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    1. Re:sandy dunes and icy crater by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      [wikipedia] if there is water ice underneath MArs' surface or even temporarily exposed ice, this is the spot. what ever created the crater whether a deorbited moon, asteroid or comet likely left water behind after the impact.

      Victoria looks a lot like Endurance, and they both have very similar wavy sand-dunes at the bottom center. There is no reason to think Victoria is significantly more likely to hold ice or water underneath than Endurance. Besides, the dunes were deemed too risky to directly investigate at Endurance. But, we could get lucky...

  5. Old Cars Die Hard by Joebert · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I've had fun jumping old cars over hills at 70MPH trying to get the axels to bust off after the car's served it's purpose, but I've got nothing on this, I'm jealous.

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    1. Re:Old Cars Die Hard by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      But they have something in common with you. Now they have also yelled "Hey, guys, watch this!"

  6. Not terribly surprising, but... by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

    Mission managers acknowledge the hardy rover may never come back out, but say they think the potential for discovery is worth it. 'The rover has operated more than 12 times longer than its originally intended 90 days...

    Looks like Boeing engineers (http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=07/06/ 27/1723251/ sidenote, can someone point out the syntax to do this properly?) could learn a lot from NASA.

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    1. Re:Not terribly surprising, but... by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1
      The syntax to do what? Make a link with clickable text? It's like this:

      <a href = "http://someplace.com">The Clickable Text</a>

  7. Just wondering by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I wonder how many probes like this we could've launched with the gigantic money wasted^H^H^H^H^H^H, er, I mean spent on the space shuttles and all the launch support. With some mass production techniques, maybe 1,000? More?

    --
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  8. Oh jeez.. by necro2607 · · Score: 4, Funny

    "the chance to examine and investigate the compositions and textures of exposed materials in the crater's depths for clues about ancient, wet environments."

    Oh jeez... investigating and exploring the depths of ancient, wet environments?... This sounds like some kind of MILF joke gone wrong... *cringes*

    1. Re:Oh jeez.. by Shadowlore · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that be GILF? (Grandmother...)

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    2. Re:Oh jeez.. by necro2607 · · Score: 1

      Yeah I was gunna add that in there but figured I'd keep it simple ;) haha

  9. How long would it take? by Ub3rT3Rr0R1St · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If it's taken us this long to reach a hopefully significant leap in the exploration of Mars, how long do you guys think it would take for a man to be able to set foot on Mars to actually get some first person perspective on the planet itself?

    I ask, because I've seen a lot of planning going on in terms of living on Mars, but I can't help wonder, "Why all this planning and scheming, when we haven't even had concrete, indisputable evidence that Mars can sustain life, much less had someone actually get there?"

    1. Re:How long would it take? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A long time, I hope. People shouldn't try to go there until technology and funding allows them to do so with a very high safety factor. Robotics and AI have already advanced to the point where it's not necessary to send a high cost, high maintenance meat body (with loved ones left behind) up there in order to perform research.

      There's a certain romanticism in the whole "one small step" idea, but we've already proven we can walk around on alien surfaces. Let's not risk more lives and waste more money just to prove it again.

    2. Re:How long would it take? by pln2bz · · Score: 1, Interesting

      One of the inevitable problems that will eventually come up regarding life on Mars is the electrical activity there. NASA has been down-playing it because their purpose appears to be to demonstrate that there was once water covering the planet, but many of the images of Martian geology do not support that theory as much as they support the notion that electricity is terraforming the planet. People on Slashdot have made a hobby of ridiculing the Electric Universe theorists, but it is not even debated that dust devils on Mars can have lightning bolts at their cores. Pictures don't lie ...

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/0509 16dustdevil.htm

      Martian dust storms appear to be armies of these dust devils. You can make out unmistakeable filamentation in these dust storms. Why is it there?

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2007/arch07/0705 09dustdevils.htm

      Would you call these craters or rilles? Is there a difference?

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/0504 11marspits.htm

      The infamous Martian blueberries can be created in the lab with a cheap (electrical) plasma gun apparatus ...

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2004/arch/040827 mars.htm

      Same goes for the Martian spiders. You can generate Martian spiders by covering an old VGA CRT monitor with fiberglass dust, charging it up, and then discharging to the same location repeatedly with your finger. Anybody can do it. We all have the materials in our own houses. So much for one of the greatest enigmas in the universe! ...

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2006/arch06/0607 24spiders.htm

      These rilles on Mars defy many of the characteristics of fluid flow that we've used to understand fluid processes here on Earth ...

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2007/arch07/0705 14russellcrater.htm

      There are lots of things happening on Mars that do not fit into NASA's attempt to prove that water flows or flowed over all of Mars, and we'd be very wise to take a closer look if we plan on sending people up there. I've only included a very small handful here. Rather than ridiculing the EU Theorists, people should put serious effort into debunking them if they feel that they are wrong because what they are saying is very important. If you send somebody up there into an environment that has not been properly characterized -- if the environment is far more electrical than we are imagining it to be -- we could subject them to massive equipment failures and they could die. Within that context, it is not at all a waste of time to investigate the alarming things that the EU Theorists are pointing out.

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    3. Re:How long would it take? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny
      Not you again. Could you just please plug yourself into an ungrounded electrical outlet and test out your theories first hand?

      Geeks have enough issues with social acceptance to begin with. We don't need your help.

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    4. Re:How long would it take? by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Geeks have enough issues with social acceptance to begin with. We don't need your help.

      Classic!
      --
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    5. Re:How long would it take? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pardon me, but are you actually a loon or do you just play one on Slashdot?

    6. Re:How long would it take? by zoefff · · Score: 1

      No, a picture doesn't lie.... Is it with pictures you try to convince us?

    7. Re:How long would it take? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      "Rather than ridiculing the EU Theorists, people should put serious effort into debunking them if they feel that they are wrong because what they are saying is very important"

      It's actually pretty hard to debunk these claims without ridiculing them, because they are so poorly informed. You want "serious debunking"? Okay, I'll try.

      Just as an example, the article about the "blueberries" doesn't make any sense, because it is founded on the mistaken impression that geologists think concretions form as isolated rocks on the sea floor that roll around for a while and then get incorporated into sediments. It's bizarre nonsense that even a casual glance at the literature (or a wikipedia page) would reveal. It reads like something out of the 19th century. Everything about concretions is inconsistent with such a scenario. For example, many concretions have sedimentary layers (bedding or laminations) that pass right through the concretion. Some of the "blueberries" also show hints of laminations on their surface, and they don't show the features typical of separate rocks (clasts) that are deposited.

      Concretions are thought to form after deposition of the sediments by minerals being precipitated in the tiny spaces between the sediment grains, cementing the grains together as the minerals precipitate. It is usually fairly easy to tell if a particular structure formed separately and was incorporated into the sediment versus forming post-depositionally, and the "blueberries" are pretty clearly post-depositional.

      Sometimes the growth of the precipitating minerals also causes expansion of the spaces, causing the concretion to displace surrounding sediments outward. This can create spaces within the interior of a concretion if the cementation and expansion is happening mostly on the outer surface (imagine the outer shell expanding in volume), resulting in some types of geodes (some types, because other geodes have nothing to do with concretion formation, and form by infilling of pre-existing cavities, such as bubbles (vesicles) in lava flows, but I digress...).

      There is a fair amount of variation to the way concretions form, but there are probably hundreds of papers about them, including some good papers on the "Moqui marbles" that have been compared to the Martian "blueberries". There are some alternative interpretations for the "blueberries" (e.g., as condensate from impacts), but I don't think these are consistent with the bedding surrounding the structures, and they are quite different from anything "electrical".

      Anyway, if "Electric Universe Theorists" can't even keep the very basics of the conventional theories straight, why should people take anything the "Electric Universe" people say seriously? And I don't know what is so "alarming" about supposed electrical effects -- the rovers seem to be driving around just fine without getting zapped, and they've got exposed electrical connections on their surfaces (i.e. the solar panels, as can be seen in the pictures).

    8. Re:How long would it take? by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      I've forwarded your comments to the theorists. If they're portraying the mainstream views on Martian blueberries as overly-simplistic, then that is indeed something that demands correction.

      As for the danger of electrical effects, they are clearly transient phenomenon. That said though, there appear to be some areas that are more dangerous than others. Anywhere that you can observe geological features that appear to have possible electrical causes -- when electrical plasmas are gouging out surface features -- I would expect that that would be fairly serious as far as human health is concerned. We see much potential evidence for this especially on the Martian South Pole. The Martian "geysers" there have possible electrical explanations too. They appear just as likely to be proton beams from the Sun strong enough to gouge out material beneath the ice and project it into the air some distance. We can see these geysers in action within their image databases even though NASA has yet to announce this fact -- probably because it has little to do with their search for evidence of water and life. I obviously have no idea if NASA ever intends to do so, but sending people to the Martian South Pole could be disastrous.

      --
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    9. Re:How long would it take? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      If you send somebody up there into an environment that has not been properly characterized -- if the environment is far more electrical than we are imagining it to be -- we could subject them to massive equipment failures and they could die.

      Since the Rover, which has a lot of very sensitive electronics, doesn't show any signs of failing, I'd say that this seems unlikely.

      --

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    10. Re:How long would it take? by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Planets and stars share a common morphology that mainstream astrophysicists are not paying attention to. The equatorial torus and polar jets are common to all objects in space within EU Theory. They just differ in strength depending upon the current density moving through that object as well as, among other things, from the perspective of the ground, the atmospheric thickness of the body. Mars clearly has less atmosphere than the Earth, so one should expect that its polar regions would be far more dangerous than the rest of the planet. We see quite a bit of evidence for this, in fact, on Mars' South Pole. If we send people there to investigate the "geysers", Martian spiders or ice cap, NASA may run into serious problems.

      --
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  10. Rover life... by dex22 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    'The rover has operated more than 12 times longer than its originally intended 90 days.'

    So, it's a pre-DRM rover, then? It certainly wasn't built by HP's printer division. ;)

    1. Re:Rover life... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know that at the very least that it doesn't use an inkjet cartridge. Hell, I think these might have lasted longer than Windows ME.

    2. Re:Rover life... by RasputinAXP · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Someone's never owned an HP Laserjet II.

      I've hit them with hammers, dropped them, kicked them, used them as doorstops, and they don't quit printing. Just keep them happy with toner and paper.

      We believe we killed one once. It was locked in the back of our campus transport vehicle, and some kids with nothing better to do stole it, torched it and left it on railroad tracks to get hit.

      When we got the smoldering wreckage back, the LJII was in the middle of what used to be the cargo cab. It was black.

      If you dropped it on a piece of paper, you'd be hard pressed to prove that it wasn't still putting toner on the page.

    3. Re:Rover life... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't say anything about the LJ II, but I did once drop an Apple LaserWriter Plus down a flight of stairs. Remarkably, the stairs were not significantly damaged despite the fact that the printer had a mass greater than an identical volume of uranium. (It goes without saying the printer was completely unscathed.) FACT: I once took the printer apart to prove to myself that it was not filled with concrete. It was not, but if it had been that would have gone a ways to explaining why it was so bloody slow printing.

      Anyway, to keep this from being modded "offtopic," let me say something about the rovers: I think it's great that the rovers have been able to explore the planet for so long and that we've learned a great deal about Martian geology or martology or whatever you'd call geology except on Mars, and that I'm sure we'll learn many fascinating things about the innards of this crater, who'd have thought they could keep going this long, etc.

    4. Re:Rover life... by Stinking+Pig · · Score: 1

      Word up -- I used to repair HP printers and refill their toner cartridges, back when that was a legally questionable activity. II and III were unbeatable, IV and V were a bit shoddier, after that it was downhill fast.

      I still see the occasional HP LJ III.

      --
      "Nothing was broken, and it's been fixed." -- Jon Carroll
    5. Re:Rover life... by sideshow · · Score: 1
      Someone's never owned an HP Laserjet II


      Or a LaserJet 4. My company just took one out of service that had printed 1.5 million pages. The only reason we even got rid of it was the printing speed.

      --

      Hollow words will burn and hollow men will burn.

  11. A moment of reflection... by D-Cypell · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You know, sometimes it is easy to get wrapped up in the details of these rover missions, but I am always pretty humbled when I think of this remote controlled do-dad, once pieced together by earth-bound scientists, sitting on some planet 50 (or so) million miles away and still responding to our every command. Just to think that thing is out there, on mars, right now.

    Reading story after story about the various space exploration projects and we can get a little desensitized to the pure 'awesomeness' of the kinds of things our space exploration agencies are doing. So a moment to just consider this achievement is warrented I think.

    How great would it be to have a go at driving that thing? :)

    1. Re:A moment of reflection... by Kadin2048 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm totally with you. Although, I think the Voyager missions are even more humbling.

      Voyager 2 weekly reports (from 1995 to 2007, not sure where the 1977 to 1995 ones are) available:
      http://voyager.jpl.nasa.gov/mission/weekly-reports /

      --
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    2. Re:A moment of reflection... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Just to think that thing is out there, on mars, right now. hmm.. "right now".. Actually, isn't it sitting out there on Mars, 4 minutes in the future? Relatively speaking, of course.

      That's even more cool.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:A moment of reflection... by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      well, it's not really 4 minutes in the future, it's more that their calander year is shorter.

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    4. Re:A moment of reflection... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Huh? No. Light takes about 4 minutes to get to us from Mars, on average. That's what makes it 4 minutes in the future.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    5. Re:A moment of reflection... by timmarhy · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Wrong, and i'll use a simple example to show it. If the engineers issue a command to the robot to move, it takes 4 minutes for that command to reach the machine (given that radio waves travel at the speed of light give or take a little), the machine still moves 4 minutes later, not at the exact moment we issue the command even though according to your logic the machine being 4 minutes in the future would mean it would move at the exact moment the engineers issued the command.

      our ability to OBSERVE the machine is delayed by 4 minutes, this however does mean it's 4 minutes ahead in time.

      what you are reffering to is the very cool effect of large distances on light in space which means when you look up in the sky your exactly gazing into a patch work of events which happened millions of years go.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    6. Re:A moment of reflection... by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      sorry typo there "this however does NOT mean it's 4 minutes ahead in time."

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    7. Re:A moment of reflection... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      the machine still moves 4 minutes later, not at the exact moment we issue the command even though according to your logic the machine being 4 minutes in the future would mean it would move at the exact moment the engineers issued the command. I don't know who's logic you're using, but it certainly aint mine.

      our ability to OBSERVE the machine is delayed by 4 minutes, this however does mean it's 4 minutes ahead in time. hehe.. you say that like it is two different things. It isn't. Something that is 4 light minutes away is exactly the same as something that is 4 minutes into the future, or, I suppose 4 minutes into the past. People just have different concepts because we're not used to thinking about relativistically significant distances.

      When you observe the rovers, you're looking into the past. When you signal them, you're communicating into the future.

      It happens all the time here on Earth too, but we don't have to think about it cause it is so close to instantanious.

      What's funny is that you and I are communicating right now in the way that the NASA scientists have to communicate with the rovers.
      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    8. Re:A moment of reflection... by mindstrm · · Score: 1

      And it gets even weirder.

      You can say it's 4 minutes into the future, and what you see, is 4 minutes into the past.. but for our reality (or any other observer) what matters is the here and now.

      On one hand, you can think that what you saw "happened 4 minutes ago".. but as far as our objective reality goes, it happens when we see it. Absolutely nothing that happens there can affect us prior to this on any level, therefore, for us, it hasn't happened yet.

    9. Re:A moment of reflection... by Iron+Condor · · Score: 1

      I'd be curious to learn where you got the misconception of "4 minutes on average".

      It's nonsense, of course.

      The minimum distange between the earth and mars is on average ~78 million km (a shade more or less per orbit but no more than a percent or so different). That's your 4(point three) minutes right there. Most of the time, mars is farther away from us, yielding an average that is considerably longer than 4 minutes.

      The maximum distance (when mars is behind the sun as seen from us) is about ~378 million km on average which would come to about 21 minutes. Taking the average light travel time to be larger than 10 minutes is probably not a bad guess.

      --
      We're all born with nothing.
      If you die in debt, you're ahead.
    10. Re:A moment of reflection... by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      "you're communicating into the future."

      not possible, since the future does not exist. the reason being, that the moment you think or do something it moves from the present to the past at the speed of light. therefore the present only exists as a single point in time moving forward at 299 792 458 m/s and leaving everything in the past. At no point does anything spend anytime in the future tense.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    11. Re:A moment of reflection... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      There is no now.

      Your thinking is outdated.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    12. Re:A moment of reflection... by Fatalis · · Score: 2, Funny

      Taking the average light travel time to be larger than 10 minutes is probably not a bad guess.

      If it was a game, the latency would be around 600000. That's some bad lag.
      --
      Deus est fatalis
    13. Re:A moment of reflection... by quanta626 · · Score: 1

      Perfectly stated. Time is relative. Always.

      Absolute time and absolute determinism must be absolutely discarded.

    14. Re:A moment of reflection... by Merkuri22 · · Score: 1

      How great would it be to have a go at driving that thing? :)
      I remember hearing that the scientists driving the rover had to live on martian time. Since the rovers were solar powered they could only go during the martian daytime, which doesn't always coincide with the earth daytime (I believe it's a few hours longer, but I may be wrong). The result was scientists who were sometimes wide awake and working at 4AM, but sleeping at 2PM. They had to be careful to stay indoors if they knew it was dark outside, because walking outside when your body thinks it's midday and seeing it dark can throw off your whole schedule and make you tired when you need to be awake.

      Does that still sound fun? ;)
  12. Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How many of these probes could we have launched if we spent money making a cheap launch system instead of ICBMs?

    Or.. how many Mars rovers could we make if we spent the national health care budget on making them?

    As cool as the Mars rovers are, they had enough trouble getting money for a 90 day project, let alone a freakin' armada. To the people who control the bucks, this is just boring geek stuff. At least the shuttle gives them some national heroes to say they support.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
    1. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 2

      How many of these probes could we have launched if we spent money making a cheap launch system instead of ICBMs?

      You're talking about shifting one from one part of government to a totally different part of government. I'm talking about using money in the SAME BUDGET for different stuff. If you want to use a military analogy, it's do we get more bang for the buck from cruise missiles or more aircraft carriers?

      As cool as the Mars rovers are, they had enough trouble getting money for a 90 day project, let alone a freakin' armada.

      That's my point. We got so much more out of this little project than we get with the manned space shuttle missions that it's ridiculous.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    2. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ok, I didn't make myself clear.

      If NASA was to spend 90% of its budget on unmanned space exploration and 10% on manned space exploration, there would be no astronauts. They wouldn't have enough money for them. Without astronauts, they wouldn't attract as big a budget, because that's what gets the bucks. You're talking as if NASA's budget is mandated somewhere and can never fluxuate. It's not. They have to justify every dollar and Mars rovers just don't cut it.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      Actually aren't most of our space launch vehicles essentially modified ICBMs? I mean, isn't that true of most space launch vehicles? Von Braun and all that?

    4. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      It was the driving force to develop the technology, yes.

      But ever since the Atlas we've gone beyond the needs for ICBMs.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    5. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually aren't most of our space launch vehicles essentially modified ICBMs? I mean, isn't that true of most space launch vehicles? Von Braun and all that?

      I think the general idea, as discussed in documents like this one, is that the primary design goal with ICBMs was maximizing the ratio between payload weight and rocket weight/size. This is great for ICBMs, where you want to cram missiles into tiny places, but not so good for space launches, where you should ideally be maximizing the payload/cost ratio. However, since most modern rockets are direct descendants of ICBMs, the original design constraints are still present in their current design, and are arguably embedded in the rocket engineering culture.

      Most people say that the solution is then to pursue things like space elevators and scramjets, but groups like SpaceX are trying to show that low-cost rockets can still be developed if one designs them from the beginning to maximize the payload/cost ratio.

    6. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They wouldn't have enough money for them. Without astronauts, they wouldn't attract as big a budget, because that's what gets the bucks.

      Hmm. I agree and disagree. On the one hand, certainly astronauts help sell NASA to the public, which probably helps keep NASA in the budgetary eye. On the other hand, one of the reasons NASA is so f***ed up is because they are mandated to spend money on various projects in various politician's districts, which is what they truly care about (mmm, love that pork).

      So I would say that as long as the sweet, sweet money was being spread around, the politicians would be happy. And if we truly had 1,000 probes constantly sending back neat-o images and data, I bet the sheer volume of discovery would actually exceed the romance of humans in space.

      But I admit the point is arguable.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    7. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder what's going to happen to NASA's budget when there are 2 or more US companies that are putting ordinary (initially rich) people into orbit. Will the public's enthusiasm for space go up? Will that mean more money for NASA or less?

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    8. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by flyingsquid · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I bet the sheer volume of discovery would actually exceed the romance of humans in space.

      When is the last time the manned space actually really made you feel inspired? For me, it was the Hubble repair mission. Which says a lot: the last time NASA's manned program made me feel excited was when people were repairing a robot.

      And the fact that we're discussing the Mars rovers instead of astronauts says volumes. The only time the manned program generates any press these days is when a shuttle blows up, the space station malfunctions, the shuttle gets delayed, or hit with foam yet again. The manned program spends tens of billions just treading water and malfunctioning, while for a fraction of that the unmanned program is doing science, and pushing out into the unknown. We're seeing the future: the explorers of the next century are going to look like remote controlled refugees from Radio Shack, not like Captain Kirk.

    9. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by Schemat1c · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Without astronauts, they wouldn't attract as big a budget, because that's what gets the bucks. Looks like someone's been watching 'The Right Stuff'. Come on, who can name a single astronaut since they ended Apollo? The space race is long gone as well as the glamor, no one cares about astronauts anymore.

      I think people have been more impressed with the Hubble pictures more than anything else from NASA these days. I agree that if they would have blanketed the solar system with probes there would have been a lot more to show in the way of pictures and data and would have gained much more public interest.
      --

      "Nobody knows the age of the human race, but everybody agrees that it is old enough to know better." - Unknown
    10. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      You're on crack if you think "the people" (and by that I mean - the congressmen) give two shits about pictures of space.

      The only time I see pictures of space on tv is when they're talking about out of body experiences.

      It pisses me off. I can only imagine how much it pisses off the astronomers.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    11. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by dpilot · · Score: 3, Informative

      >Come on, who can name a single astronaut since they ended Apollo?

      You really shouldn't put a challenge like this on Slashdot. Wrong audience.

      Robert Crippen and John Young - flew the first space shuttle flight, though I believe John Young also flew on both Apollo and Gemini, not sure about Crippen.

      Sally Ride - first American woman in space.

      Judy Resnick - Hometown (Akron, Ohio) woman killed on Challenger.
      Crista McAuliffe - New Hampshire schoolteacher also killed on Challenger.

      Shannon Lucid - Spent a looooong time on either Mir or ISS.

      "Pinky" Nelson - Prominent role in fixing a satellite, I believe the Solar Max.

      Then without knowing the names, we have the Hawaiian astronaut who died on Challenger, and had an Enterprise-D (fictional) shuttle (Okuzu?) named after him. There's also diaper-woman who recently made the news.

      I know it's not a very long list, but you did say, "one".

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    12. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      How many of these probes could we have launched if we spent money making a cheap launch system instead of ICBMs?

      None.

      The whole "let's put a man on the moon thing"? Yeah, that was just a cover so that a lot of engineers could have free reign to design nuclear warhead delivery systems before the Russians did. For the strategist that were actually controlling the purse strings, the "One giant leap for mankind" was really "One small step for a man, now can we get back to work before the commies kill us all."

      Without the drive to develop ICBMs, there never would have been a space program. Don't feel bad, though. We also wouldn't have jet engines if there wasn't a need to fly faster than the enemy.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    13. Re:Oh.. can I play too? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Yah.. the russians were always ahead of the game in the ICBM race. The US was trying to catch up. That's why they had a crash program.. and all this happened before Gemini.

      The race to put a man on the moon was all about national pride.. countries that were undecided whether they should become communist or not were watching the race and if the US didn't win, they'd go with communism. Well, that's the theory anyway.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
  13. Good for rover by L.+VeGas · · Score: 5, Funny

    Old martian crater,
    Love her or hate her,
    Waited for someone to come.
    Before it's all over,
    Rover comes over,
    And crawls right into her bum.

  14. These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I'd like to preface this by saying that I think that the guys at NASA are very intelligent and certainly well-meaning. However, their missions are becoming increasingly scripted. They increasingly presuppose their findings before even embarking upon the mission, as if the future holds absolutely no unexpected findings. I realize that nobody likes to feel like they are surrounded by things they don't understand. We all want to feel like we are masters of our own universe, and you have to have a purpose before people will consider putting money to it. But where does this confidence come from that they know that all of these formations are caused by water? Every week that goes by, our probes and telescopes bring more unexpected observations. Our theories of the universe are constantly changing. Objects that we thought were completely different increasingly appear to have similar characteristics. Many enigmas remain regarding fundamental questions about things like comets, the Sun and even the fundamental building blocks of the universe. As far as I can tell, nobody's ever even observed an impact occur on any planet. At some point in time, their speculation hardened into consensus without ever thinking to validate it. Many of the craters we observe in the universe have highly unusual features that don't appear to strictly correlate with physical impacts.

    My point is that the overall predictive track record and the large number of unsubstantiated consensuses within astrophysics today do not support the notion that we should be able to accurately predict our findings on Mars at this point in time. Our findings there have raised more questions than answers. We need to swallow our pride and get on with trying to be objective about these missions, or we risk creating an expectation within the public that science is a pre-scripted story. We need to allow for the possibility to be surprised, even on the big picture questions, or we run a risk of squandering the little time we have left on that planet with those rovers.

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    1. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by dl107227 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But where does this confidence come from that they know that all of these formations are caused by water?

      We use our experience on Earth to form a hypothesis about similar features on another planet.

      Every week that goes by, our probes and telescopes bring more unexpected observations. Our theories of the universe are constantly changing. Objects that we thought were completely different increasingly appear to have similar characteristics.

      We form a hypothesis but we can't support or deny it until we observe evidence. If the evidence supports then it looks like we knew it all along. If the evidence denies then it raises more questions.

      As far as I can tell, nobody's ever even observed an impact occur on any planet.

      We have observed minor impacts on the Moon and a major one on Jupiter.

      At some point in time, their speculation hardened into consensus without ever thinking to validate it. Many of the craters we observe in the universe have highly unusual features that don't appear to strictly correlate with physical impacts.

      Consensus is built with mathematical models. Probes and telescopes are used to validate our hyptheses. Again, if observational evidence does support a hypothesis then more questions are raised and new ones are formed. As for not correlating with physical impacts (I'm not entirely sure what you are referencing here) there are craters formed by volcanoes and probably some caused by exploding meteors (meteorites).

      My point is that the overall predictive track record and the large number of unsubstantiated consensuses within astrophysics today do not support the notion that we should be able to accurately predict our findings on Mars at this point in time.

      We have hypotheses. Yes we want water to be found on Mars and it shouldn't be unexpected. There is an incredible amount of water in the universe and it would be foolish to only expect to find it on Earth or the moons of Jupiter.

      Mars was a molten ball of magma that eventually began to cool. Why would anyone not expect that sometime between being a molten ball of magma and its current state as a presumably cold, dead world that there wasn't flowing water on it?

    2. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      We use our experience on Earth to form a hypothesis about similar features on another planet.

      But weather systems on other planets are not anything like our own. Many of the geological features we see on Mars cannot be explained by fluid or lava flow. Dust devils on Mars have lightning bolts at their cores, and I've seen pictures of Martian dust storms that demonstrate pretty clearly that there is vertical filamentation all along the edges of these dust storms.

      Mars is not like Earth. Instead of basing our analysis of Martian geology and Martian weather on Earth's geology and weather, shouldn't we be developing geologic and weather model that works for *all* planets, and that can explain both Earth and Mars and all of the other planets? How does Earth's weather system, for instance, help us to understand the unusual rotational velocities of cloud cover on Uranus? I don't think you can make a good case that it does, and I think the same argument can be made of attempts to perform the same reasoning for less conspicuous items on Mars.

      We form a hypothesis but we can't support or deny it until we observe evidence. If the evidence supports then it looks like we knew it all along. If the evidence denies then it raises more questions.

      I get the sense though that some theories are being favored. The water on Mars theory is definitely favored over any other logical explanations of our findings there, right or wrong. Much of the evidence that's cited as pointing to water can also indicate other things.

      Consensus is built with mathematical models. Probes and telescopes are used to validate our hyptheses. Again, if observational evidence does support a hypothesis then more questions are raised and new ones are formed. As for not correlating with physical impacts (I'm not entirely sure what you are referencing here) there are craters formed by volcanoes and probably some caused by exploding meteors (meteorites).

      I'll excerpt from another posting in this same thread:

      The Deep Impact Mission demonstrated *two* flashes of light. Why is that? It's a *very* important question.

      Why do craters sometimes appear to be the result of rilles, and rilles sometimes appear to be actually chains of craters? These are supposed to be two *completely* different processes -- one from fluid or lava flow and one from collisions. Why do they appear to be related in many situations?

      Why do many asteroid craters have flat bottoms? I understand that there are theories regarding this (melted bottoms), but have we observed flat bottomed craters from our own nuclear explosion tests? No, I don't think so ...

      Why do many craters have central peaks? Oftentimes, if not always, the stratigraphy of the land surrounding the crater is preserved within these central peak. Isn't that a bit unusual?

      Why do the Aristarchus and Tycho craters on the Moon lack deposits? From what I understand, it's been known for many decades that the rays of Tycho have no discernible depth. The material surrounding Aristarchus is not material at all. It's actually channels.

      We have hypotheses. Yes we want water to be found on Mars and it shouldn't be unexpected. There is an incredible amount of water in the universe and it would be foolish to only expect to find it on Earth or the moons of Jupiter.

      Mars was a molten ball of magma that eventually began to cool. Why would anyone not expect that sometime between being a molten ball of magma and its current state as a presumably cold, dead world that there wasn't flowing water on it?

      I have problems with astrophysicists' theories of how planets formed, but that's a whole different story.

      I have a hypothetical situation: What if everything NASA is seeing is the result of electrical activity instead of water, and NASA sends people to Mars in search of water, life and national prestige, only to have them subjected to intense transient electrical storms in various forms? What if these people then died due to persistent equipment failures?
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    3. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok i propose that we fire idiots like you out into space so you can verify things with your own stupid eyes, since you've just stated that's what it'll take to convince you, and stop posting nonsense on /.

    4. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As far as I can tell, nobody's ever even observed an impact occur on any planet
       
      Where have you been? Shoemaker-Levy 9's shockwaves made holes larger than the Earth in Jupiter's atmosphere.

    5. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Ah what?

      They increasingly presuppose their findings before even embarking upon the mission, as if the future holds absolutely no unexpected findings.

      OK smart guy, let's work this out from an engineering point of view - after all, the engineers have to build the things.

      You: I want to build a Mars probe, looking for things we don't understand and don't expect.
      Engineer: What kind of sensor platform do you want? Visible light? UV? IR? Radio? Gravitational waves? Do you want to pick stuff up and look at it or just wander around? Take some measurements perhaps? Of what, pray tell?
      You: I dunno, there's just.... just stuff out there that we don't understand.... I want to learn about it. But no preconceived notions - well, wait, maybe something about electric fields, but no other preconceived notions.
      Engineer: Maybe come back when you're sober, eh? (Goes back to reading Digg).

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    6. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Troll

      Collisions with Jupiter do not help us much with understanding craters on Mars. I should have been clearer that I'm specifically speaking about impacts between non-gaseous planets. Those impact craters tell us the most about the process that's happening.

      The one single impact that we've observed in space in great detail, the Deep Impact mission, raised *way* more questions than it answered. It was clearly a rejection of mainstream models for comets, and yet there was never any subsequent realization or reaction to that data. It's never been accepted to be the paradigm-shift that it should have been. It's been swept under the rug, as if nothing anomalous occurred with that mission at all.

      One would think that scientists would want to know the precise details of what happens when two solid bodies collide. It wouldn't be completely absurd to imagine an experiment involving pushing a small asteroid into Mars with cameras waiting on site or something (it might even make for a good NASA PR campaign -- the public obviously likes explosions). The unusual characteristics of craters within the universe demand as much. But what we get instead, for the most part, are computer simulations as evidence that the mainstream views of what happens during collisions are correct. It's not considered a pertinent question. The whole thing is considered resolved, and we've now moved on to assuming this point in our interpretation of observations of Martian craters. A consensus has formed even though numerous enigmas remain within the field of crater studies. There have been anomalies from day one, starting with Meteor Crater in Arizona that remain mysterious.

      Humans are masters of convincing themselves of whatever they want. If we can convince ourselves that an omnicient, invisible being monitors our every movement and decides our eternal fate when we die, we can surely convince ourselves that Mars is exactly what we want it to be. We'll find the evidence, I assure you!

      But is this real? Are we creating an artificial reality? If you only ask the specific questions that pertain to the answers that you want to find, without much consideration for finding things that you don't expect, and always settling on the favorable interpretation when multiple possibilities exist, won't you create your own self-perpetuating myth? What consideration is being put into alternative non-water causes for the Martian geological observations? I propose AB-SO-LUTE-LY NONE.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    7. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      They ask their questions as if they already know the answers ...

      Currently: "Is there water on Mars? Hell yeah, and we're going to find it! Then, we'll know that our current theories are correct. We are in fact masters of the universe, just as we thought!"

      Rather than: "Is there water on Mars? Well, these geological formations could be the result of this, this and this. Let's keep an open mind on the possibilities, including even the strangest possibilities, and load up sensors to test every single one of them, focusing heavily on using sensors that can differentiate between the possibilities. Then, when we see the data, we can create differing interpretations and compare these interpretations on the basis of the data."

      There's a very big difference. NASA has become results-oriented and uncertainty (a necessary tool for maintaining objectivity) has become a casualty. Uncertainty doesn't make for good PR releases, you know? It's important to look real busy and have answers! If something didn't go as you planned, then God forbid, don't mention that because then people might think that you don't know what you're doing and they might stop funding you. Rather than bravely reasserting the role of cautious scientist with the public, apprehensive about making speculations that might turn out to later be untrue, NASA and the astrophysicists in general have decided that it's more important to act like a story-teller, where speculation runs rampant and frequently turns out to be untrue, where every mission is pre-scripted and integrated into a pre-planned history for future generations of how we learned what the universe was. Thing is -- the universe won't be learned that way. That's fiction. It's silly. There will clearly be surprises. At this rate, though, we won't notice them. Our belief that we know the end of the story will inevitably blind us to the truth.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    8. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by ColdWetDog · · Score: 3, Interesting

      and load up sensors to test every single one of them,

      The landed weight is 348 kg. It's mission is not to "explore strange new worlds and go boldly where no man has gone before..." it is:

      The scientific goals of the rover missions are to gather data to help determine if life ever arose on Mars, characterize the climate of Mars, characterize the geology of Mars, and prepare for human exploration of Mars. To achieve these goals, seven science objectives are called for: 1) search for and characterize a variety of rocks and soils that hold clues to past water activity, 2) determine the distribution and composition of minerals, rocks, and soils surrounding the landing sites, 3) determine what geologic processes have shaped the local terrain and influenced the chemistry 4) perform "ground truth" of surface observations made by Mars orbiter instruments, 5) search for iron-bearing minerals, identify and quantify relative amounts of specific mineral types tha contain water or were formed in water, 6) characterize the mineralogy and textures of rocks and soils and determine the processes that created them, and 7) search for geological clues to the environmental conditions that existed when liquid water was present and assess whether those environments were conducive to life.

      Very limited, very specific. Hopefully one of the first Mars landers, not the last. It took some five years (IIRC) to go from that paragraph to the actual spacecraft. During that time there were innumerable meetings / arguments / pointed emails about what scientific packages would fly on the landers. Some of those decisions were likely pretty prosaic - It might simply have been that they actually had some or all of the technology in a package that could be built and tested in the time frame and budget allotted.

      You somehow manage to find some deep, dark defects in the soul of NASA in a pretty mundane engineering exercise.

      You should get out more often.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    9. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      That makes sense. Those are very good points.

      The thing is, though, their interpreations of the data will now define the next mission there. If they repeatedly insist on skewing their interprations towards one single preferable finding, they can quite possibly end up with an eventual human mission to Mars that will be a complete catastrophe. At some point in time, they need to start getting serious about ruling out *all* interpretations of the observations. The idea that Mars is being terraformed by electrical activity -- as was hinted by the unexpected observation of lightning bolts at the cores of dust devils, martian dust storms that appear to consist of these electrical dust devils, numerous rilles that cannot have been generated by fluids or lava flows, crater chains that blend into rilles and rilles peppered with craters, and simple laboratory experiments that can replicate surface features there quite simply (including the Martian spiders and Martian blueberries) -- all of this stuff needs to be refuted and ruled out before we send people there. We can agree on that, right?

      Those arguments are being ignored. Nobody is refuting them. They are valid arguments. Nobody's ever explained why they are not. And I think it's a very dangerous game. Underestimating electrical activity could have serious ramifications. It would be a real fiasco to have to send up a second mission to investigate why the first failed. Would the public even pay for it? It has to be perfect on the first try. That means ruling everything out.

      If people think Electric Universe Theory is absurd, then it must be demonstrated to be so as far as Martian geology is concerned *before* we send people to Mars because they're alleging that they're seeing a *lot* of activity there. When peoples' lives will be on the line, can we afford to just ignore the alleged danger?

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    10. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by strikethree · · Score: 1

      I have a hypothetical situation: What if everything NASA is seeing is the result of electrical activity instead of water, and NASA sends people to Mars in search of water, life and national prestige, only to have them subjected to intense transient electrical storms in various forms? What if these people then died due to persistent equipment failures?

      Wow. You are really really fixated on electricity. Electricity and water have totally different signatures. I would be interested to hear a rational explanation of how electricity could have effects on the Martian landscape that would have the same effects as water. Please be specific, clear, and scientific and be sure to explain how electricity causes craters as well please.

      You also seem fixated on using the "OMG! People will die if you do not examine my pet theories!" gambit. You should drop it as it makes you look like a zealot.

      strike

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    11. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Zidane-The-Dom · · Score: 1

      At some point in time, they need to start getting serious about ruling out *all* interpretations of the observations.
      ... EU ramblings ...

      all of this stuff needs to be refuted and ruled out before we send people there. We can agree on that, right?
      actually, i quite strongly disagree. we can *only* prove or disprove a limited subset of possibilities. by your logic, ruling out *all* interpretations would require definitive and undeniable proof that god does not exist, cause i can sure find some guys who will swear it isn't water or EU, but god who made those surface formations to give us something to play with.

      due to the massive difficulty in obtaining *any* data from mars, we cannot prove or disprove *every*single*possibility*, we can only proceed to prove or disprove the theories we think are most likely. the ultimate aim is to put people there, so lets figure out if we can do that before we start theorising about the fundamental concepts of the universe.
    12. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by f1055man · · Score: 1

      You walked into that one.

    13. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Let's pretend, for instance, that NASA decides to send people to Mars' South Pole in order to investigate the apparent geyser activity there, and possibly to extract water from the ice. I've seen some pretty startling Mars Orbital Camera images from the South Pole that could be interpreted to be showing proton beams that are so powerful that they are excavating material from beneath the ice, throwing it up into the air, and then that material falls back onto the ice. NASA has decided to believe that these geysers have tectonic and/or chemical causes, but you can make a pretty logical argument based upon the images that these geysers are the result of proton beams from the Sun. Any beam of charged particles that's strong enough to gouge out material would surely be a hazard to humans.

      Look very closely at the right-hand image on the following page, and it is quite clear that NASA has unknowingly captured these geysers in action, whatever the cause:

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2007/arch07/0705 25southpolar.htm

      Nobody really knows what these things are. But to think that they might send people there, that there could be a possibility that these people might be exposed to intense beams of charged particles, and that your argument for *not* considering it as a possibility has something to do with not being able to prove that God doesn't exist, is pretty reckless. It's not as if this data point exists by itself. There is evidence all over Mars that indicates electrical activity that is being ignored in favor of evidence for water.

      Remember now, you still have no idea what EU Theory really states. You are operating with confidence on a complete lack of information and you've drawn all of your conclusions on the basis of observing other people's reactions to EU Theory. Let's be extremely clear: EU Theory is not anywhere in the same ballpark as creationism or any religion whatsoever. It's based upon laboratory plasma physics, where we find that plasmas are electrical in nature. They have electrical resistance and we use Maxwell's Equations to model them. The only thing keeping space plasmas from being electrical as well are the astrophysicists themselves.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    14. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      By the way, when the rover descends into Victoria crater, those things that look like sand dunes at the bottom will not be sand dunes at all. They will be glassified sand ... rock ... more technically called fulgarites.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    15. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Belacgod · · Score: 1

      I have no mod points, but you've convinced me to check out the EU theory in greater depth (and to wait and see if those formations are glassified).

    16. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And when those things turn out to be sand, will you finally shut up and go get a dose of anti-crackpottery pills?

      I would recommend you to take a rock and hit your head against it as hard as you can to observe what happens when two solid objects collide, but unfortunately your head is gaseous.

    17. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by Zidane-The-Dom · · Score: 1
      i think you misunderstood my comments, i don't equate your EU theory with that of creationism or religous zealotry, i was using the creationism theory as an example. i was pointing out that, to put it as simply as possible, we can only send a limited amount or material to mars. as such it is only possible to perform a limited number of experiments, and test a limited number of theories. your comments were that we should test *ALL* theories, proving or disproving them, my reply was "that's just not possible, there are too many theories, many of which are unprovable". i am sure you would like us all to push your EU theory to the forefront of scientific discovery, but a lot of other people would like us to push their theories forward too.

      as it is, i have no need or desire to believe or disbelieve your EU theory, the onus is on you to promote your theory until it gains mass acceptance. the fact that it has not leads me to believe the nasa guys have the right idea. i am not an geologist and really have no idea what makes lumps of rock on mars, but i am pretty sure that if nasa is spending billions of dollars on it, they might just believe they are onto the right track, whether that eventually proves correct or not is irrelevant. nasa can only support a limited number of experiments, to simply state they should prove or disprove *ALL* theories is a nonsense, it is simply not possible to do so.

      on a completely unrelated note, i looked at the image you referenced and cant actually see any "geysers". i can see some squarish rocks and maybe some hilly things, but like i said, i'm not a geologist. can you provide conclusive proof to disprove all other theories (including the current tectonic theory, FSM, and my own personal theory that this is all a warped creatures personal experiment and prove your "electron beams from space sharks with frikken lasers!" theory?

      i am curious, surely all this electricity must be harmfull to those robots? oddly, i would have thought a big metal object sticking up from the ground would become effectively the same as a lightning conductor here on earth?

      oh, and before you post some more of your pretty pictures.......

      i've seen some pretty startling Mars Orbital Camera images from the South Pole that could be interpreted to be showing proton beams that are so powerful that they are excavating material from beneath the ice, throwing it up into the air, and then that material falls back onto the ice.

      yeah, i saw some pretty impressive images of a face on mars, so does that provide conclusive proof that there are little green men on mars trying to make contact? see, the funny thing is, any picture *could* be interpreted to prove anything, given the right theory.
    18. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      And when those things turn out to be sand, will you finally shut up and go get a dose of anti-crackpottery pills?

      I think I will feel very humbled if it turns out to be sand. I'd have to reconsider my beliefs, to be honest.

      But I'm quite certain that it *will* be hard.
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    19. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      i was using the creationism theory as an example

      It's unfortunately a common example for people to use here on Slashdot, and bringing it up leads people to believe that EU Theory isn't real science. I wanted to make sure that you realized that EU Theory is based upon laboratory plasma physics. In fact, the mainstream astrophysicists are the ones asserting that the laboratory plasma results do not scale or apply to the bigger universe -- which, under any other circumstances, people would recognize as being completely absurd. Their entire theory of magnetic reconnection, which presumably explains how the Sun's corona can be 100x hotter than its surface (!), is redundant of *real* laboratory plasma physics. They refuse to accept double layers on the Sun, however, because double layers are the result of electrical current. This battle has been raging for many years now. The guy (Hannes Alfven) who created magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), the math used to model plasmas in space as having frozen-in-place magnetic fields and as being ideal conductors, denounced his own prior convictions regarding these fluid modeling concepts as "pseudo-pedagogical" (his words) during his Nobel Physics Prize for inventing that field in 1970. Not many astrophysicists are even aware of that because his warnings were completely ignored.

      the onus is on you to promote your theory until it gains mass acceptance. the fact that it has not leads me to believe the nasa guys have the right idea.

      Quite a bit of evidence has already been provided to the public. Very few people are paying attention. NASA and the astrophysicists have a nasty habit of not promoting results which they do not understand. They did this for the Deep Impact mission, which should have been the point where they realized that comets are electrical in nature. They keep on pointing to the streams of OH they see coming off of the comets as evidence of water even though they cannot see water on the comet's surface, and even though OH can quite easily be generated by combining the solar wind's protons with oxygen released from cometary silicates through electric machining. There is a long history of data regarding Venus that indicates that it is a *new* planet, still cooling off from its recent birth. We've seen both radioactive and heat signatures that suggest as much. The story of the extinction of the woolly mammoth is a very fascinating in-depth study of how mainstream science glosses over enigmatic findings. One Russian scientist has discovered that radioactive decay rates correlate with phases of the Moon, Sun and stars. His research was never followed up on. Halton Arp has discovered a correlation between quasars and the axes of nearby spiral galaxies, and his stats *have* been reproduced. He's also imaged high redshift quasars in *front* of low-redshift spiral galaxies and attached to low-redshift spiral galaxies. But his reward was that he lost his telescope time and had to move to Europe to continue his work. The very fact that the Sun's solar wind continues to accelerate even as it passes the planets is highly enigmatic for the standard solar model. What mechanical force induces a sustained acceleration of charged particles over millions of miles? We see jets all over the universe now that span light years in length. That is far longer than the lifetime of a photon, so these are undeniably jets of *matter*. The only way to keep a jet of matter together in space is if it's a spinning vortex, and the *only* way that you can do this is with an electrical plasma. Plasma physicists -- namely Anthony Perratt -- can generate the spiral galaxy morphology with nothing more than electrical plasmas. No dark matter is required. It is the natural evolution of two adjacent Birkeland Currents. Mainstream astrophysicists have to resort to collisions to induce spiral galaxies, and by their own accounts, collisions should be *extremely* rare. Don Scott's book, "The Electric Sky", is a stunni

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    20. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      I have some more details about what will be found at the bottom of Victoria crater. It's technically called a fulgamite (not a fulgarite). Fulgamites are superficially glassified, whereas fulgarites are underground tubes of glassification.

      The formations in Victoria crater (and in thousands of other craters and canyons) a glassified mounds of debris. In CJ Ransom's experiments where a plasma gun is shot at various types of soil, the charged probe gathers material from the area surrounding the dark mode release of electrical energy and shoots it into the air. The shallow crater that forms gradually grows larger as more and more material is sucked in to the center of the plasma vortex.

      If the energy is high enough, the material will be swept into the center of the vortex and then re-deposited below the discharge zone, where the heat would tend to glassify the surface, leaving it partially solidified. That's why the formations on Mars don't move around in the "wind" -- they're covered with a crust of tiny ceramic beads that have been fused together.

      These sand dunes will look very similar to those observed at Endurance Crater ...

      Endurance Crater "Dune" Field

      One interesting aspect to these "sand dunes" inside the craters on Mars is that they all -- without fail -- exhibit identical morphology, from the polygonal formations to the trailing tendrils that look like they rise right out of the ground, rather than resting on top of it. Not one NASA commentator has remarked on that fact, despite being presented with, literally, thousands of examples from orbit and from Spirit and Opportunity.

      There is a similar structure in the Argyre Planitia crater -- a giant, glassified, polygonal mound with ribbon-like structures, frozen in place:

      Argyre Planitia

      Argyre Planitia is 900 kilometers in diameter.

      Once NASA discovers that these formations are hard rather than soft, they will likely call them "pachydermal weathering". But, in the process of coming to this conclusion, they will completely ignore the fact we can also generate these structures in the laboratory using a plasma gun. My guess is that they will also likely gloss over the morphology of the glassified "dunes", which Wallace Thornhill discusses on his www.holoscience.com site towards the bottom of this page.

      As I've stated before, if NASA wants to prove to itself that water activity is responsible for these structures, it might have some success. However, there is no doubt that they are demonstrating a preference for one interpretation over electrical interpretations as the electrical interpretation would undermine their contention that impact craters are the results of explosions resulting from physical collisions. To accept that electrical plasmas are involved would force them to accept that bodies in space can acquire and trade charge -- a fact which they should have learned from the Deep Impact mission, which Wallace Thornhill also accurately predicted in great detail.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    21. Re:These missions seem pre-scripted by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      I have some more details about what will be found at the bottom of Victoria crater. It's technically called a fulgamite (not a fulgarite). Fulgamites are superficially glassified, whereas fulgarites are underground tubes of glassification.

      The formations in Victoria crater (and in thousands of other craters and canyons) a glassified mounds of debris. In CJ Ransom's experiments where a plasma gun is shot at various types of soil, the charged probe gathers material from the area surrounding the dark mode release of electrical energy and shoots it into the air. The shallow crater that forms gradually grows larger as more and more material is sucked in to the center of the plasma vortex.

      If the energy is high enough, the material will be swept into the center of the vortex and then re-deposited below the discharge zone, where the heat would tend to glassify the surface, leaving it partially solidified. That's why the formations on Mars don't move around in the "wind" -- they're covered with a crust of tiny ceramic beads that have been fused together.

      These sand dunes will look very similar to those observed at Endurance Crater ...

      Endurance Crater "Dune" Field

      One interesting aspect to these "sand dunes" inside the craters on Mars is that they all -- without fail -- exhibit identical morphology, from the polygonal formations to the trailing tendrils that look like they rise right out of the ground, rather than resting on top of it. Not one NASA commentator has remarked on that fact, despite being presented with, literally, thousands of examples from orbit and from Spirit and Opportunity.

      There is a similar structure in the Argyre Planitia crater -- a giant, glassified, polygonal mound with ribbon-like structures, frozen in place:

      Argyre Planitia

      Argyre Planitia is 900 kilometers in diameter.

      Once NASA discovers that these formations are hard rather than soft, they will likely call them "pachydermal weathering". But, in the process of coming to this conclusion, they will completely ignore the fact we can also generate these structures in the laboratory using a plasma gun. My guess is that they will also likely gloss over the morphology of the glassified "dunes", which Wallace Thornhill discusses on his www.holoscience.com site towards the bottom of this page.

      As I've stated before, if NASA wants to prove to itself that water activity is responsible for these structures, it might have some success. However, there is no doubt that they are demonstrating a preference for one interpretation over electrical interpretations as the electrical interpretation would undermine their contention that impact craters are the results of explosions resulting from physical collisions. To accept that electrical plasmas are involved would force them to accept that bodies in space can acquire and trade charge -- a fact which they should have learned from the Deep Impact mission, which Wallace Thornhill also accurately predicted in great detail.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  15. Got more than their money's worth by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1

    Having already got more that their money's worth, why the concern with its survivability? Surely the purpose of sending this explorer is to gather info. It has already gathered 10x the info that was planned for. Being conservative and tooling around on the flats is not as likely to give as much information as exploring the crater.... even if this is a one-way trip.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Got more than their money's worth by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      Having already got more that their money's worth, why the concern with its survivability?
      So it doesn't break just before cresting the hill above the Martian city.
  16. Expected to die before Vista release by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 0, Troll

    And I'm still not sure Vista is really 'out there' yet.

    --
    You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
  17. I'd hit it by originalnih · · Score: 4, Funny

    With my rover!

  18. Impacts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Physical impacts have been seen on the planets. For example in 1994 there was a
    comet that hit Jupiter. A little closer to home, the moon is regularly hit by objects. So yes there is a reasonable basis for thinking that planets get hit by hard objects.

    I submit that the mars meteorite would probably be a better line of argument to use for your hypothesis.

    1. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      So yes there is a reasonable basis for thinking that planets get hit by hard objects.

      I'm not alleging that collisions do not occur. I'm alleging that we do not understand what happens when collisions occur between two solid bodies. The Deep Impact Mission demonstrated *two* flashes of light. Why is that? It's a *very* important question.

      Why do craters sometimes appear to be the result of rilles, and rilles sometimes appear to be actually chains of craters? These are supposed to be two *completely* different processes -- one from fluid or lava flow and one from collisions. Why do they appear to be related in many situations?

      Why do many asteroid craters have flat bottoms? I understand that there are theories regarding this (melted bottoms), but have we observed flat bottomed craters from our own nuclear explosion tests? No, I don't think so ...

      Why do many craters have central peaks? Oftentimes, if not always, the stratigraphy of the land surrounding the crater is preserved within these central peaks. Isn't that a bit unusual?

      Why do the Aristarchus and Tycho craters on the Moon lack deposits? From what I understand, it's been known for many decades that the rays of Tycho have no discernible depth. The material surrounding Aristarchus is not material at all. It's actually channels.

      With so many enigmas surrounding craters, why do NASA scientists expect that they can already know what they will find with Victoria crater?
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    2. Re:Impacts... by paleo2002 · · Score: 1

      Why do many asteroid craters have flat bottoms? I understand that there are theories regarding this (melted bottoms), but have we observed flat bottomed craters from our own nuclear explosion tests? No, I don't think so ...

      Why do many craters have central peaks? Oftentimes, if not always, the stratigraphy of the land surrounding the crater is preserved within these central peaks. Isn't that a bit unusual?

      '

      You don't really need to set off a nuclear bomb to simulate a meteor impact. Scale experiments using materials that behave like metallic or chondritic meteors and planetary surfaces can and have been used to observe patterns in crater formation. Computer modeling is also no doubt useful.

      As for specifics . . .

      You said yourself one way that a flat-bottomed crater can form. The conversion of kinetic energy to thermal energy on impact could melt the planetary or meteor surface, causing material to pool at the bottom of the crater. Alternatively, debris from the sides of the crater or the meteor itself could fill in the crater's bottom. Go dig a hole in the sand at the beach and see how long the bottom actually stays round.

      As for peaks at the center of the crater, look for a video clip of a water droplet landing in a pool/bowl/glass of water taken in slow-motion. After the initial impact the water's surface rebounds, sending droplets of water upwards. You might say its an equal but opposite reaction to the impact. Now imagine instead of water, you're dealing with a flash-molten rocky or metal surface in a cold environment. That upwards splash could freeze in place.

      The mountain won't come to you and you may not be able to go to the mountain. So, you build as accurate a model of the mountain as possible and learn what you can from it.

    3. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      I'm aware of the mainstream attempts at explaining these observations. I don't find them very convincing. Computer simulations can be created to recreate just about any observation, but it does not mean that this is what actually happened. The search for the truth has taken a back seat to the search for evidence to confirm our perceptions. When details don't fit into these popular explanations, they are brushed aside for future consideration -- or just brushed aside entirely and never presented to the public. NASA has no interest, for instance, in showing the public that Martian dust storms have been observed to be filamentary (they haven't even done a story on it) because it doesn't suit their purpose of proving that water covered the planet. But this presupposes that this detail is not important. What if it is? What if its suppression to the public is affecting the public's perception of Mars? What if we have created a self-perpetuating myth of what is really happening on Mars?

      We appear to be more concerned with validating our current perception of the universe than in finding an explanation that can satisfy all of our observations without any remaining enigmas. We are projecting our preferences and prejudices upon our search for the truth, and I'm quite certain that this strategy is doomed to failure. We need to allow for the possibility within these missions to find things that we did not expect to find at all. I don't see that happening.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    4. Re:Impacts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm right with you. All those mainstream scientists keep rattling on about their "theory" the Earth is actually spheroid, but I don't find it very convincing. Those computer simulations of the Earth they use to keep this myth alive are so complicated they could show anything. I can look out at the Earth and see that it's flat. The real problem is these round Earthers aren't really interested in understanding the flatness of Earth, they just want to keep the research grants coming, which means hey have make it all seem so much more complicated, and they're too intellectually lazy to do the real work it would take to understand the flatness. They like to point out that satellites "orbit" the Earth even though that doesn't make sense in the spheroidal Earth model; they never point out that every photo taken of the Earth from a satellite shows it is a disk, which directly violates the fundamental assumption of their spheroidal model. Why do the round-Earth "scientists" keep covering this up? Anyone can look at those pictures and see what the mainstream scientists have to explain away. What are The Powers That Be gaining by suppressing the people's perception of the Earth?

      We've created a self perpetuating myth of a spheroidal Earth, and it's doomed to fail. The Earth is actually flat. The very few observations that suggest otherwise are caused by electromagnetic distortions from lightning.

    5. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I think I'm with you guys for a very long time now. This is really too good to be true. None of you guys have read what EU Theory states. You have no clue. And you're so sure that you're right. I have to be here when things start to fall apart for all of you. It's going to be a spectacle. The thing is, it's an unusual situation because the evidence already exists to convince all of you. But when you don't read it, you become quite impenetrable! It's one of the most interesting problems I've ever encountered in my entire life.

      The thing is, I'm going on the record here. Most of you guys refuse to do so. The story would be so much better if we could correctly attribute all of the players involved. That would definitely make it a lot easier to tell the story later.

      Make no mistake about it though: *Everything* you say here will be picked apart in the future. If you're going to crack jokes, make sure they are at least funny first. People will be reading these jokes, and interpreting them through the context of arrogance. It might not be as funny to those people as you think it is to me. We don't know yet what's going to result from this hubris.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    6. Re:Impacts... by originalnih · · Score: 1

      You're a moron and I have karma to burn. Together at last!

    7. Re:Impacts... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      I think I'm with you guys for a very long time now. This is really too good to be true. None of you guys have read what EU Theory states.

      Actually, that is not true. I read about Electric Universe "theory" quite some time ago when you had brought it up before. It sounds very interesting, however, there was not much science there. It is all "scientists are wrong because of..."

      EU would be much more interesting if it was more than idle speculation. As it is, I lump it in with Intelligent Design and other crackpot "theories" because there is no hard science behind it. Why not make a prediction based on EU and then attempt to disprove that prediction? If the prediction is valid, EU would gain some credibility.

      strike

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    8. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Why not make a prediction based on EU and then attempt to disprove that prediction? If the prediction is valid, EU would gain some credibility.

      The very fact that you state this indicates that you have not really read the theory at all. Wallace Thornhill's accurate prediction of the Deep Impact mission results -- results which continue to baffle NASA scientists many years later -- demonstrates without any doubt whatsoever that the EU model for comets is correct. Few, if any, of these mission results were expected, and yet Thornhill accurately predicted pretty much all of them -- including a pre-impact flash, the following dust-up, an alteration in the arrangement of the jets, an absence of water on the surface, and more. How in the world would Thornhill know in advance of two flashes during impact if he didn't understand what was happening? Nobody was predicting anything like that, and there's little reason to believe that it would occur in the absence of electrical plasmas. The implications of his prediction are so devastating to mainstream astrophysics that it has been completely ignored even though it was far too accurate to be coincidence or accident. If you want to observe the details, you'll have to actually do some *real* reading:

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/pdf/ElectricComet.pdf

      I've heard every single argument under the Sun regarding his accurate prediction. One person argued that he made the prediction *after* the results were observed, as if that makes any sense whatsoever. His prediction used to be featured on wikipedia's Deep Impact mission results page, but in the Slashdot tradition, this accurate prediction has been taken off of those pages -- as if it never happened -- because it is viewed as nothing more than an impediment to proving mainstream theories. In fact, NASA hasn't said much at all about the Deep Impact mission results since it happened because results which do not conform to the mainstream are uninteresting to them.

      "Reading" the theory does not mean reading the wikipedia entry or even just the various Picture of the Day webpages, which are clearly intended for a non-scientific audience. You must read either "The Electric Sky" by Don Scott or "The Electric Universe" by Wallace Thornhill. If you want a more technical discussion of the theory, then visit Ian Tresman's homemade wiki page:

      http://www.plasma-universe.com/index.php/Plasma-Un iverse.com

      Your demand for a prediction though is pretty typical of what I deal with on these forums. People have no idea what they're talking about around here when it comes to EU Theory, and it drives me to push you people harder to educate yourselves. There's going to be a large collective regret about time lost when you finally realize that you should have spent the time to educate yourselves before ridiculing people for believing something that is completely logical and supported by observations.

      The truth is that EU Theorists make predictions all of the time and their theory is inherently testable. That doesn't though mean that people are paying any attention.
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    9. Re:Impacts... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Actually, I require mainstream scientists to provide falsifiable predictions as well. I am not picking on EU theorists.

      strike

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    10. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      And you're not paying attention.

      Like others, you act as if the loudest person in the room is always right. You prefer that all of your beliefs in astrophysics be vetted by eminent authorities within the field, ignoring the possibility that those people may have been educated incorrectly about how plasmas behave in space. You accept the idea that invisible matter and forces are the primary constituents of our universe -- an inherently untestable theory. This is not strange to you, but the idea that plasmas could be electrical, as they are within the laboratory, ironically enough, is. When large bodies in space flicker at an amazing 450 times per second, you accept without skepticism that the flickering is the result of spinning objects even as you use 60 Hz electricity to run your computer and are surrounded by objects that operate on the basis of electricity. When you see others on Slashdot collectively abuse EU advocates and ignore their arguments, you'd rather feel like you are part of a majority than objectively test your own beliefs by investigating the facts for yourself. You, in fact, have never read what EU Theory says in any great detail, thinking that you can determine that it is absurd without ever investigating it. You will one day realize that you were wrong to think this, but by then, it will be too late to remedy the harm you've incurred. You will have already played your part in the larger drama that props up the mainstream views and tamps down any alternative views, regardless of the weight and character of the evidence, as if astrophysicists are infallible and in complete ignorance of the fact that our mainstream astrophysical theories change on a weekly basis.

      You ignore the fact that your own views of EU Theory are the result of numerous people who acted just like you for many years before you arrived on the scene. Your ignorant imitation of them has created a self-perpetuating myth, which is more important to you now than actually perceiving reality. Your actions ultimately contribute to delaying the proliferation of important technologies that would evolve from an acceptance of this new paradigm. In other words, your hubris unknowingly undermines your own quality of life. It's quite ironic. It will one day make for a great story. But for now, it's still quite sad for those of us who know better. Much of astrophysics today is nothing more than mathematical fairy tales. We will one day tell these stories to children with a disclaimer that man once believed them, but no more.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    11. Re:Impacts... by pln2bz · · Score: 1
      Here's another prediction for you that we'll probably know the answer to within a few weeks. When that rover descends into Victoria Crater on Mars, those unusual sand dune -like features at the bottom of that crater will not be sand at all. They will be glassified. They will be more like rocks than sand. It'll be interesting to see how NASA will spin that one ...

      Wallace Thornhill's analysis (from http://www.holoscience.com/news.php?article=158bp8 u0):

      I would suggest that the "sand dunes" are the result of the central arc spots, forming overlapping circular depressions (see diagram above). Certainly, the orthogonal ridges have more in common with a corona discharge pattern than they do with sand dunes. They may therefore be solid, glassified sand, rather like that found in dry soil following a lightning strike. Such glassified sand is known as a "fulgurite." It is noteworthy that the Apollo astronauts found clumps of glass-crusted soil near the centers of small (1 to 5 foot) craters on the lunar surface. It raised a stir because the glass was a surprise. In addition, orthogonal lineaments in the lunar soil were reported. They cannot have been there for long.

      The blast effect of the cosmic "spark" together with the electrical stripping of ionized surface matter, produced the clean crater and surrounds. The sudden outward movement of the arc spots may have formed the radial pattern on the crater floor. The scalloped crater wall is simply the erosion signature of the irregular ring of enlarged anode spots.

      The dark material on the crater floor may be from an exposed strata and/or the arc may have modified the lighter material. It may be rich in Martian hematite "blueberries." The somewhat curved dark streaks beyond the crater wall are to be expected from an electric discharge because of the rotating winds it generates.

      I wish the Mars Rover, Opportunity, every success in exploring Victoria crater. It may at last be able to provide confirmation of the electrical model of planetary cratering. Of course, that does not guarantee acceptance by planetary scientists. That requires giving up strong beliefs imbibed with mother's milk.
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    12. Re:Impacts... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Outstanding. This is something that we can work with. Let's watch and see what happens. :)

      strike

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  19. How I read it... by mixenmaxen · · Score: 1

    After months of scoping out the terrain my hardy rover is ready to drive down the Victoria crater and investigate the compositions and textures of exposed materials in the crater's depths for clues about ancient, wet environments

    My rover will most probably not operate more than 12 times longer than its originally intended though...

  20. Opportunity. by jshriverWVU · · Score: 1

    These have been amazing pieces of hardware. There has been a lot of buzz around opportunity, but last I heard both were still functional. What is the other one doing? That way if opportunity gets lost or malfunctions in the crater at least one will be left to roam the surface.

    1. Re:Opportunity. by Dachannien · · Score: 1
    2. Re:Opportunity. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The other rover, Spirit, had one of the wheels lock up about a year ago. Since then it's stayed
      in the same general area, but can move slowly. Luckily, the area its stuck in is pretty
      interesting, having the stump of an extinct volcano, and silica rich rocks that show signs
      of once being soaked in water.

      Over on http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/ , fans have been following both rovers with
      an intensity that borders on the obsessive. Highly recommended.

  21. It's not coming back out. by Derling+Whirvish · · Score: 3, Informative

    The talus slopes that it has to traverse to get back out are covered with the little hematite 'blueberries.' Its wheels will just slip and slide. It's like driving on ball bearings. You can check in but you can't check out.

    1. Re:It's not coming back out. by fbjon · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's simple: drive on the slope until the crater is filled with blueberries, then you can easily get out.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    2. Re:It's not coming back out. by Yoozer · · Score: 4, Funny

      You can check in but you can't check out.
      On a dark desert planet, with no atmosphere there
      Red columns of dust, rising up through the air
      Up ahead in the distance, I saw a shimmering light
      My wheels grew heavy and my camera grew dim
      I had to stop for the night


      (etc.)
    3. Re:It's not coming back out. by hcdejong · · Score: 3, Funny

      Its wheels will just slip and slide.

      NASA should have added a Confederate flag and a 01 decal. They'd have been able to get out of anywhere.

    4. Re:It's not coming back out. by Barryke · · Score: 1

      NASA should have added a Confederate flag and a 01 decal. They'd have been able to get out of anywhere. No that'd be phasers, a deflector shield, a stargate, some tractor beam or shield, full impulse, or tape, a paperclip some rope and two eggtimers. I know. I've seen it happen.
      --
      Hivemind harvest in progress..
    5. Re:It's not coming back out. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      The talus slopes that it has to traverse to get back out are covered with the little hematite 'blueberries.' Its wheels will just slip and slide. It's like driving on ball bearings. You can check in but you can't check out.

      It proved not a signif problem at Endurance crater. A bigger risk is getting a bum wheel, like Spirit's, such that it won't have enough grip to climb out. The wheels have already been used waaaaay past their design.

      But I agree that getting stuck there is not a big problem because there is not much around that is really different, barring a miracle-mile drive. But if it gets stuck due to a bum wheel, it won't be very useful for distance anyhow. It already got stuck in the sand even with working wheels.

  22. Easy places for daily pictures and news by sighted · · Score: 1

    You can see daily images and weekly updates about both rovers on the excellent official site. If you'll forgive the plug, you can also keep up with all the planetary probes on my (non-commerical) site: ridingwithrobots.org.

    --
    Saddle up: Riding with Robots
    1. Re:Easy places for daily pictures and news by sighted · · Score: 1

      And I should have mentioned unmannedspaceflight.org and planetary.org/blog/

      --
      Saddle up: Riding with Robots
  23. No More Solar Panels! by SockPuppet_9_5 · · Score: 1

    We need rovers working off of RTGs! No more of this pansy solar panels that dictate that Spirit had to spend months in one spot facing toward the Sun just so it could generate enough power and internal heat just to stay alive! Even then they can only spend part of the time working and data broadcasts are limited when the power is low.

    The RTG powered Cassini probe is doing a bang up job orbiting Saturn, and future Martian robots should, too. Enough mamby-pamby exploration with under powered exploration units. With nuclear power sources in these rovers, we could have gotten ten times the science in during the same amount of time.

    1. Re:No More Solar Panels! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's all about weight. The mars rovers had a very limited amount of space to work with, in terms of fitting them into the rockets. The solar panels were light enough and small enough and provided enough power that by using them, they were able to fit more science equipment on them. Also, launching radioactive material into space, despite being perfectly safe, still gets some furrowed brows from congress. Using solar panels pushes the paperwork through faster, which for this mission was of critical importance, since it was designed on a very tight timeline. But still, the major point was weight and space. The solar panels were the most efficient. Cassini used RTGs because the sunlight was too dim, so solar power wasn't a viable option, weight and considerations aside.

    2. Re:No More Solar Panels! by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      The RTG powered Cassini probe is doing a bang up job orbiting Saturn,



      Cassini doesn't have to lug around the weight of an RTG on the surface of a planet.

    3. Re:No More Solar Panels! by SockPuppet_9_5 · · Score: 1

      Cassini doesn't have to lug around the weight of an RTG on the surface of a planet.

      It's a tradeoff. More power, built in heat source (death by cold had been and remains a real fear on the current rover electronics) vs. weight, a known power lifespan, and the complaints about using nuclear fuel in a launch vehicle.
      The "cleaning events" (particularly Oppy's) were the saving grace for the rovers. You can't plan on a Martian mission that relies on solar power to last more than three or four months due to the dust -- Plus, it's a waste of man power to have your human analysts sit around for months waiting to do their science until after a random wind gust gives you 50 more watt-hours of power. Bigger rovers require a stronger power source, or else our exploration is going to be fairly limited to flat areas in equatorial regions. Not to mention dealing with the small sand dunes that nearly crippled Oppy.

  24. The next rover will have that by sighted · · Score: 1

    The Mars Science Laboratory is slated for launch in 2009.

    --
    Saddle up: Riding with Robots
    1. Re:The next rover will have that by ks*nut · · Score: 0

      That's great! We can't figure out what to do with the nuclear waste on our own planet...

  25. Obligatory by moosesocks · · Score: 4, Funny
    --
    -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
  26. What he said by matzebrei · · Score: 1

    They were demonstrating the new one at the JPL open house last month. In addition, it will be much bigger (SUV-sized vs. ATV-sized).

  27. So if it survives to crawl back out again... by Kingrames · · Score: 2, Insightful

    will it check out that featureless black spot we found recently? I sure as heck would like to know what's in there.

    --
    If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
  28. R.O.V.E.R. by pipingguy · · Score: 1

    Really Old Vehicle Extremely Resilient.

  29. This is why God created bookies. by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

    What do you think the odds will be?

  30. Pants. by 6Yankee · · Score: 1

    Oh well, I guess this does for Victoria's Secret...

  31. Godspeed, little dude. by finlandia1869 · · Score: 1

    And come back safely - NASA needs you.

  32. Role of individuals' risk in decisionmaking by cduffy · · Score: 1

    There's a certain romanticism in the whole "one small step" idea, but we've already proven we can walk around on alien surfaces. Let's not risk more lives and waste more money just to prove it again.
    People involved in high-risk ventures of this sort do so completely voluntarily. When an individual is willing to risk their life for an accomplishment -- be it scaling a mountain or conducting research in a hazardous environment -- what right do the rest of us have to tell them that this is morally wrong? The money side is certainly significant -- if the expected return on investment is better for unmanned programs, then by all means those unmanned programs should be pursued. In the event that a manned program has a superior return, on the other hand, that should be followed instead: Loss of life (for its value as human life, as opposed to the monetary risk of losing the mission) is the concern of those individuals deciding to take part, not that of society as a whole.

    You may be right that unmanned exploration makes more sense -- but I don't find the human-life risk factor compelling.
  33. That's easy! by SteveFoerster · · Score: 1

    Come on, who can name a single astronaut since they ended Apollo?

    Easy: Mark Shuttleworth!

    --
    Space game using normal deck of cards: http://BattleCards.org
  34. russian lunar rovers had nuke batteries by peter303 · · Score: 1

    They had two working one in 1970s. One went 11 km and the other 37 km. Opportunity just passed the first one. Lunar driving was remote control because the time-dleay feedback was about two seconds. Mars is 40 to 90 minutes.

  35. the solar panels won't get enough light by MrJerryNormandinSir · · Score: 1

    hmm... my money is on the rover will fail due to not enough solar radiation. The batteries will die.

  36. Cool! A Minnie Driver/Anne Hathaway love scene. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    > Opportunity is ready to drive down into Victoria Crater on the Meridiani Plains of Mars.
    > Mission managers acknowledge the hardy rover may never come back out, but say they think
    > the potential for discovery is worth it .

    Ok. Who the hell hired Peter Griffen to work in the control room?!?!?

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  37. Misdue Credit by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    All it took to keep it running was wind blowing the panels clean? Who builds an 800 million dollar robot that doesn't have a brush to wipe the solar panels down?

    I've heard they investigated that possibility but concluded it was not worth the cost. For one, there was no way to test them on real dust to make sure they don't make the problem worse. Second, Many other parts were also limited to 90 days, and in fact somes wheels, joints, and grinding teeth *are* worn out. They just happened to be able to work around these so far (or live without some, such as Spirit's grinders). There are a lot of work-arounds in place already. A lot of the credit goes to the workaround experts.

  38. Electric Universe Prediction for Victoria Crater by pln2bz · · Score: 0, Troll

    People on Slashdot like to allege that EU Theory is absurd. So, let's get down to business!

    When the rover descends down into Victoria crater, NASA will be surprised to find that what they thought were sand dunes down there are in fact glassified sand. That peculiar formation down there is a fulgarite. It's not sand. It's more like solid rock. I'm guessing that the rover will be able to figure this out. Shouldn't be too hard. Wallace Thornhill discusses the formation of these Victoria Crater fulgarites in depth on his holoscience page.

    NASA will discover this and then, for a brief few moments, wonder why this particular pattern became glassified (as opposed to just a flat melted bottom). Then, not understanding what they're seeing, they will move on to other things -- because, after all, if it doesn't have to do with evidence for water or life, why would they be interested?

    It would be nice to think that getting this prediction right might mean something to some people out there, but there will be other opportunities ...

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  39. Re:Electric Universe Prediction for Victoria Crate by pln2bz · · Score: 1

    I *love* the fact that astrophysical predictions are classified on Slashdot as "Troll". That's pretty interesting. It's a sign of the times that predictions no longer mean anything to mainstream astrophysical enthusiasts.

    Anyways, I have some more details about what will be found at the bottom of Victoria crater. It's technically called a fulgamite (not a fulgarite). Fulgamites are superficially glassified, whereas fulgarites are underground tubes of glassification.

    The formations in Victoria crater (and in thousands of other craters and canyons) a glassified mounds of debris. In CJ Ransom's experiments where a plasma gun is shot at various types of soil, the charged probe gathers material from the area surrounding the dark mode release of electrical energy and shoots it into the air. The shallow crater that forms gradually grows larger as more and more material is sucked in to the center of the plasma vortex.

    If the energy is high enough, the material will be swept into the center of the vortex and then re-deposited below the discharge zone, where the heat would tend to glassify the surface, leaving it partially solidified. That's why the formations on Mars don't move around in the "wind" -- they're covered with a crust of tiny ceramic beads that have been fused together.

    These sand dunes will look very similar to those observed at Endurance Crater ...

    Endurance Crater "Dune" Field

    One interesting aspect to these "sand dunes" inside the craters on Mars is that they all -- without fail -- exhibit identical morphology, from the polygonal formations to the trailing tendrils that look like they rise right out of the ground, rather than resting on top of it. Not one NASA commentator has remarked on that fact, despite being presented with, literally, thousands of examples from orbit and from Spirit and Opportunity.

    There is a similar structure in the Argyre Planitia crater -- a giant, glassified, polygonal mound with ribbon-like structures, frozen in place:

    Argyre Planitia

    Argyre Planitia is 900 kilometers in diameter.

    Once NASA discovers that these formations are hard rather than soft, they will likely call them "pachydermal weathering". But, in the process of coming to this conclusion, they will completely ignore the fact we can also generate these structures in the laboratory using a plasma gun. My guess is that they will also likely gloss over the morphology of the glassified "dunes", which Wallace Thornhill discusses on his www.holoscience.com site towards the bottom of this page.

    As I've stated before, if NASA wants to prove to itself that water activity is responsible for these structures, it might have some success. However, there is no doubt that they are demonstrating a preference for one interpretation over electrical interpretations as the electrical interpretation would undermine their contention that impact craters are the results of explosions resulting from physical collisions. To accept that electrical plasmas are involved would force them to accept that bodies in space can acquire and trade charge -- a fact which they should have learned from the Deep Impact mission, which Wallace Thornhill also accurately predicted in great detail.

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.