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Algorithm Rates Trustworthiness of Wikipedia Pages

paleshadows writes "Researchers at UCSC developed a tool that measures the trustworthiness of each Wikipedia page. Roughly speaking, the algorithm analyzes the entire 7-year user-editing-history and utilizes the longevity of the content to learn which contributors are the most reliable: If your contribution lasts, you gain 'reputation,' whereas if it's edited out, your reputation falls. The trustworthiness of a newly inserted text is a function of the reputation of all its authors, a heuristic that turned out to be successful in identifying poor content. The interested reader can take a look at this demonstration (random page with white/orange background marking trusted/untrusted text, respectively; note "random page" link at the left for more demo pages), this presentation (pdf), and this paper (pdf)."

41 of 175 comments (clear)

  1. Light Bulb Moment by dsginter · · Score: 5, Funny

    Someone should make a wikipedia entry for this algorithm to see how trustworthy it is.

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    1. Re:Light Bulb Moment by marcello_dl · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Sounds crappy. Let's say you expose some important misdeed. You're likely to be edited out by an army of paid staff who keeps an eye on the 'net. (don't tell me I'm paranoid because i saw it happening and read about stuff like that in the news, even slashdot). You are not contributing much else to wikipedia because you simply wanted to expose what's in your knowledge, so you'll end up with a low karma.

      Anyway, i guess it'll be another pagerank or slashdot filter affair. People trying to beat it, devs trying to make it better.

      The plus is, there is not only wikipedia. You can always search the rest of the web.
      The minus is, you search the rest of the web with google which is equivalent if not worse.

      We need a good search engine on top of a tor network, and bandwidth to make it run smooth. Not many other way to achieve real net freedom.

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    2. Re:Light Bulb Moment by MrNaz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "We need a good search engine on top of a tor network, and bandwidth to make it run smooth. Not many other way to achieve real net freedom."
      Can you explain yourself a little more? I don't see how Tor would improve the quality of information being searched for. (Not arguing, just interested in your ideas)

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    3. Re:Light Bulb Moment by PingPongBoy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sounds crappy. Let's say you expose some important misdeed. You're likely to be edited out by an army of paid staff who keeps an eye on the 'net

      Nope. If you post one misdeed and that gets edited out, such is life but shouldn't affect your credibility that much because everyone is always getting edited out a few times in the long run.

      However, if you edit hundreds or thousands of different articles and people leave you alone, o great guru, you're good.

      Wikipedia's ultimate strength depends on the community's desire for good information, readiness to stomp on crap, and will to contribute. Conversely, Wikipedia would decay if people didn't give a rat's ass about Wikipedia and let it go to ruin like an unweeded garden. This mechanism of quality control needs to be applied down the hierarchy of categories, subcategories, and articles. It's understandable that certain areas will have more pristine content overall while other areas will be populated with childish and wanton ideas. Thus, a contributor evaluation program can be tested.

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  2. Seems a bit dangerous by fymidos · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >If your contribution lasts, you gain 'reputation,' whereas if it's edited out, your reputation fails

    And the editor wars start ...

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    1. Re:Seems a bit dangerous by N!k0N · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, that is a bit of a "dangerous" way to go about rating the content, however I think it could be a step in the right direction. If this can be improved, perhaps the site will gain a better reputation in the eyes of professors. Now, I don't doubt that there is a lot of misinformation on the site (intentional or otherwise); however, a good deal of the information I have used for research papers or to quickly check something seems to be confirmed elsewhere (texts, journals, etc).

    2. Re:Seems a bit dangerous by ajs · · Score: 2, Informative

      Editor wars are an old thing. The real concern I'd have would be how you deal with old editors who don't contribute anymore (but were "trustworthy" when they did) vs. new editors. Overall, I think it's a good idea, and I would go so far as to say that MediaWiki should offer a feature that performs this analysis for you.

      -~~~~

    3. Re:Seems a bit dangerous by fymidos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > Editor wars are an old thing

      but they get a whole new meaning when it makes sense to find all edits by an editor, delete them, and then rewrite them as your own...

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    4. Re:Seems a bit dangerous by xappax · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If this can be improved, perhaps the site will gain a better reputation in the eyes of professors.

      No, it won't gain a better reputation in the eyes of professors (at least decent professors) for two reasons:

      1) It's an inherently flawed algorithm and easily gameable. It's useful as a very vague unreliable data-point, and not much else.

      2) Wikipedia is not a source for academic research, and never will be. If it's anything to academics, it's a place to go to get some clues on how to proceed with their real research - for example finding links to reliable sources, or related terms and concepts. It's like Google: a great tool for research, not a source.

      Wikipedia is not and has never claimed to be an authoritative source on anything, and until people stop referring to it as though it is (or could be, or claims to be) - we'll never get over this wanking about "Don't trust wikipedia, it's not reliable - anyone can change it, omg!"

    5. Re:Seems a bit dangerous by ajs · · Score: 2, Informative

      You're not actually reading the text that they linked to, are you?

      We're not talking about Wikipedia's concept of authorship, here, but the tool's. The tool tracks who first wrote something and doesn't re-assign authorship because it was removed (e.g. by a vandal) and then restored.

      You would have to remove what they wrote and then restore it in your own words in such a way that your edit was good enough to be retained by the community. In which case, the system worked.

      Overall, I think it would be an excellent thing.

  3. Hmmm... A reputation metric... by Colin+Smith · · Score: 3, Funny

    It'd be nice if it could be generalised to other sites...

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  4. Godwin's Second Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Every paper touting automatic adjustments for gaming the system becomes obsolete the moment it is published.

    (Godwin didn't publish this, but I might get around to editing his Wikipedia entry to say that he did).

  5. 7 years??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've been noticing some of the edit histories for articles that are 5 years old on Wikipedia stop well before 5 years ago. Were some of the edit histories been lost or deliberately truncated?

    1. Re:7 years??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Some edit histories are also completely messed up in random order. Look at the weird edit history for Wikipedia's article on Pi "Revision as of 21:54, 8 September 2002" precedes older revision "Revision as of 06:17, 5 December 2001"
        How can we trust the Wikimedia software if it corrupts the edit database?

  6. Doesn't take into account common myths by Cryophallion · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So, if there is a myth that a lot of people believe is true, then it will stay up there as it is not challenged. So, it still gets reputation, and therefore more credibility, making it more likely that the myth will be perpetrated.

    Also, if someone hasn't noticed something that is wrong on an esoteric entry, it will also be given credibility, and once again be more likely to be considered to be fact.

    While you could add voting to the algorithm to have people vote on whether it is true, that still gets destroyed by someone who just votes because they think it's true, not because they have verified it.

    Either way, it potentially gives additional credibility to something that may be very wrong.

  7. Seems to work ... by Purity+Of+Essence · · Score: 5, Funny

    Seems to work, the entire page turned orange.

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  8. hmmm... by PJ1216 · · Score: 5, Funny

    They should just call it wiki-karma.

  9. #REDIRECT by Chris+Pimlott · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It appears they include #REDIRECT pages; the very first page the random link took me to was Cheliceriformes, with the #REDIRECT line in orange. Seems an easy way to gain trust, once a redirect is created it is hardly ever changed.

  10. I dunno about this system. by Wilson_6500 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Does it take into account magnitude of error corrections? If major portions of someone's articles are being rewritten, that's a good reason to de-rep them. If someone makes a bunch of minor spelling or trivial errors, then that's not necessarily a reason to do so.

    And, of course, there is the potential for abuse. If the software could intelligently track reversions and somehow ascribe to those events a neutral sort of rep, that would probably help the system out.

    As it stands, they're essentially trying to objectively judge "correctness" of facts without knowing the actual facts to check. That's somewhat like polling a college class for answers and assigning grades based on how many other people DON'T say that they disagree with a certain person in any way.

  11. I suspect this heuristic measures.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    the relative controversy of the item being edited.

    If I edit a history page of a small rural village near where I live, I can guarantee that it will remain unaltered. None of the five people who have any knowledge or interest in this subject have a computer.

    If I edit an item on Microsoft attitude to standards, or the US occupation of Iraq, I'm going to be flamed the minute the page is saved, unless I say something so banal that noone can find anything interesting in it.

    But my Microsoft page might be accurate, and my village history a tissue of lies....

  12. Tuned for Subject Matter by erroneous · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sounds like a worthy start to the process of introducing more trustworthyness into Wikipedia entries, but this maybe needs tuning for content type too.

    Afterall just because someone is a reliable expert at editing the wikipedia entries on Professional Wrestling or Superheroes doesn't necessarily mean we should trust their edits on, for instance, the sensitive issues of Tibetan sovereignty.

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  13. Unpopular but neutral points of view? by Knuckles · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I realize that an encyclopedia by definition will always emphasize the established majority opinion about any given subject. But it seems that this tool might strengthen majority opinions beyond what is reasonable. If you happen to edit an article by adding valid but unpopular dissenting points of view, and the other contributors are sufficiently boneheaded, you lose karma (or whatever the tool calls it) for no good reason. This might then easily develop a life of its own, and you are screwed.

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    1. Re:Unpopular but neutral points of view? by gplus · · Score: 2, Funny

      And by far not all information that isn't backed up by source links right now is worthless or wrong. I want that sentence taken outside and shot. :)
  14. Tyranny of the majority by G4from128k · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Although this method will certainly help filter pranks and cranks, it won't help if the "consensus" among wikipedia authors is wrong. If a true expert edits a page, but the masses don't agree with the edit, they will undo the expert's addition and give the expert a low reputation. Thus, the trust rating becomes a tool for maintaining erroneous, but popular ideas.

    That said, I can't help but believe that this tool is a net positive because it makes points of debate more visible. One could even argue that it literally highlights the frontiers of human knowledge. That is, high-trust (white) text is well known material and highlighted (orange) text represents contentious or uncertain conclusions.

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    1. Re:Tyranny of the majority by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, this system demonstrates the correlation between the content and the majority opinion, not between the content and the correct information (assuming such objectively exists).

      Of course, if you take as an axiom that the majority opinion will, in general, be more reliable than the latest random change by a serial mis-editor, then the correlation with majority opinion is a useful guideline.

      Something that might be rather more effective, though perhaps less practical, is for Wikipedia to bootstrap the process much as Slashdot once did: start with a small number of designated "experts", hand-picked, and give them disproportionate reputation. Then consider secondary effects when adjusting reputation: not just whether something was later edited, but the reputation of the editor, and the size of the edit.

      This doesn't avoid the underlying theoretical flaw of the whole idea, though, which is simply that in a community-written site like a wiki, edits are not necessarily bad things. Someone might simply be replacing the phrase "(an example would be useful here)" with a suitable example. This would be supporting content that was already worthwhile and correct, not indicating that the previous version was "untrustworthy".

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  15. A reasonable first step... by dbolger · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...but call me when there's a tool to measure the truthiness of an article.

  16. Goddamn... by gowen · · Score: 5, Funny

    How did they pass up the chance to name this algorithm "Truthiness"?

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  17. Don't Care. by pdusen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I might give a damn if Wikipedia editors had any actual interest in keeping articles truthful.

  18. It doesn't have to be perfect by KingSkippus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No algorithm, except maybe personally checking every single article yourself, will ever be perfect. I suspect that the stuff you talk about will be very rare exceptions, not the rule. In fact, one of the reasons that it is so rare is because people who know what the actual truth of a matter is can post it, cite it, and show it for all to see that some common misconception is, in fact, a misconception. This is much better than, say, a dead tree encyclopedia where, if something incorrect gets printed, it will likely stay that way forever in almost every copy that's out there. (And, incidentally, no such algorithm can exist, since dead tree encyclopedias generally don't include citations and/or articles' editing histories.)

    The goal wasn't to create a 100% perfect algorithm, it was to create an algorithm that provides a relatively accurate model and that works in the vast majority of cases. I don't see any reason this shouldn't fit the bill just fine.

    1. Re:It doesn't have to be perfect by duggi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why bother with an algorithm in the first place. Wikipedia is good for learning facts. If someone wants to know what Mary's room experiment was, they can find it. But if they want to know who did it and what kind of a person he is, should they not be referring to two or more sources? I guess the problem with credibility arises only when there is an opinion involved. It might work , sure, but when you come to know that the article is one big lie, would you not do some more research on finding out what is right? And if you see the page is clean, would you stop at that point?

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  19. This will promote one thing by Daimanta · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Groupthink.

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  20. AfD: nn by tepples · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If I edit a history page of a small rural village near where I live, I can guarantee that it will remain unaltered. None of the five people who have any knowledge or interest in this subject have a computer. If nobody else who has a computer cares, then it's less likely that your edits can be backed up with reliable sources. In fact, people might be justified in nominating the article for deletion on grounds of lack of potential sources.
  21. Maybe in the future by Unique2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    What we really need is some sort of algorithm that compares new information to that which is already stored. It then could test hypotheses to gain further understanding. Unfortunately a machine with enough processing power to run this "critical thinking and understanding" algorithm would be impossible to build with today's technology. We would need a new type of processor that has maybe billions of "organic neurons", it would need to be equipped with highly sophisticated sensors, a method of self transportation, self-healing and even it's own energy production system which could harvest energy indirectly from the Sun. We can only dream of such technology being available to everyone.

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  22. Should be called "stability" by Random832 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "trustworthiness" doesn't enter into whether something gets edited out, for precisely the same reason a need for this is perceived at all: it can be edited by anyone!

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  23. Re:If by Tribbin · · Score: 2, Funny

    Whereas the implementation of "+1 funny" will be the end of the information age.

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  24. Algorithm doesn't prove what it thinks it does by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 2

    That algorithm is a model that does not match real world data. It might be useful to measure who has protection from the bureaucracy, but it won't and can't decipher how true something is simply by how many times and at what frequency people scribble over it. This algorithm is psuedo-scientific, by assuming a premise without investigating the veracity of said premise, and then running away with it as if it were a proven one.

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  25. It's progress over edit counts by Animats · · Score: 2, Interesting

    One big problem with Wikipedia has been that editor status, and promotion to "adminship", is based on edit counts, the number of times someone has changed something. The editors with huge edit counts don't generally write much; it takes too long. Slashdot karma is a more useful metric than edit counts, but Wikipedia doesn't have anything like karma.

    I'd suggested on Wikipedia that we needed a metric for editors like "amount of new text that lasted at least 90 days without deletion". This UCSC thing is a similar metric.

  26. Never confuse popularity with factual truth by presidenteloco · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They might be somewhat correlated, on a statistical basis, over
    many cases, but there are many individual cases and times
    when the currently popular view is wrong and the lone
    wolf opinions are later proven to have been correct.

    This algorithm would seem to be more of a popularity contest
    than a truth finder. I think we have to be very wary of
    the truth by mass agreement theory.

    Hint: Remember the "weapons of mass delusion" ?
    I bet someone commenting that the US government is lying
    through their teeth about it would have been re-edited
    pretty quick.

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  27. Re:Hmmmmmmm by skoaldipper · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What's prevents Wikipedia setting up a foo area moderated by a panel of foo experts known to the foo community?
    Define experts.

    Wikipedia does an extroadinary job from a wide variety of peer resources, both professional and layman alike. So called "experts" like academia are just as political in their research and analysis as well - specifically, in the social sciences. Peer review never really amounts to much more than a consensus, but not necessarily an accurate one. Objectivity is the holy grail which I don't think will ever be achieved whether in Encyclopedia, Wikipedia, or newspaper for that matter. The objectivity is best left to the reader, as well as the research, imho.

    What you're asking for is really nothing more than some sort of certification, which most use as nothing more than back patting for their particular opinion. I say, take an Encyclopedia or Wikipedia for what it is, and just move on to the next.
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  28. Spelling Mistakes? by logicnazi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What I want to know is if it is smart enough to distinguish edits that correct spelling and grammar mistakes from those that change content.

    In particular I'm worried that the system will undervalue the information from people whose edits are frequently cleaned up by others even if that content is left unchanged.

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  29. Re:algorithm by Synic · · Score: 2

    No, actually you could use a dummy account to smear anyone's reputation by constantly re-editing their page back to whatever you want. By fighting over the content of a page, you effectively decrease the reputation of both parties. Since the dummy account isn't a real person, you are safe to throw it away after you are finished.