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10,000 Cameras Ineffective At Deterring Crime

Mike writes "London has 10,000 crime-fighting CCTV cameras which cost £200 million but an analysis of the publicly funded spy network has cast serious doubt on its ability to help solve crime. In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average. The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any. Could this be an effective argument against the proliferation of cameras or will politicians simply ignore the facts and press ahead?"

30 of 414 comments (clear)

  1. The answer is... by llamalad · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead.

    1. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead. The politicians aren't ignoring the facts. These cameras weren't bought to fight crime. That is only how they were sold.
    2. Re:The answer is... by jhol13 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh yes they were.

      Politicians view of what is crime might be different from yours, but there is no point in wearing a tin foil hat.

      Or, more to the point, politicians view of what is acceptable to "protect the children" most likely is very different of how much "privacy" you are willing to lose.

      Myself? I both love and despise the cameras. They can (and therefore will) be used for good and bad. YMMV.

  2. Bad statistics. by solafide · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average." All this suggests is that those boroughs have a lot of crime, and as a result extra security cameras were installed. It would be unwise to judge the efficacy of security cameras based on these statistics alone, since surely the very reason the cameras are there is because those areas are already predisposed to crime?

    is the first comment by RandomVisitor on the story at Bruce Schneier's blog. It's really quite true; we can't judge based on these statistics whether it's working or not.

  3. Camera proponents spin it both ways by gvc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A drop in crime is evidence that the cameras work.

    An increase in crime is evidence that more cameras are necessary.

    1. Re:Camera proponents spin it both ways by Zeio · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They take our rights away slowly. First it was less guns less crime. (cities with effective gun bans are the worst in crime, see DC and Chicago.)

      Now its more cameras, less crime.

      10-15 years, there will be no rights here.

      --
      Legalize the constitution. Think for yourself question authority.
  4. I dont see the point in arguing effectiveness by Pizaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Once you start arguing effectiveness then all it takes is a new study to show that it's still promising technology and that it just needs to be continued/improved/advanced/made more comprehensive/etc.

    Dont fall into the trap of arguing the effectiveness (or lack thereof) of something that we already know has nothing to do with crime.

  5. Interesting but useless by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The study (or at least what was published in this article) says nothing about the rate of crimes solved before the cameras. The study doesn't talk about other issues like police force funding Nothing about the demographics of each borough. So while it may be true that cameras don't stop crime or help to solve it, there is nothing in this article to support that assertion.

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  6. on another hand.. by zome · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any.

    on another hand, if I want to do crime, I wouldn't want to do it in place that has hundreds of cameras.

    If the cameras help reducing crime rate, then they work.

  7. perception & reality by wes33 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The point of these cameras is not to make people safer, but to make people *feel* safer. Last I heard, the Brits love the things ...

  8. Poor analysis by Andrew+Aguecheek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The cameras are not there to catch criminals, but to deter them. Those who would otherwise be committing crimes in full catchable view of the cameras are no longer doing so.

    Don't get me wrong, I like my privacy as much as the next /.er but accuracy is important.

    --
    Tomorrow, I may eat another house plant
    1. Re:Poor analysis by jrumney · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Furthermore, I won't buy arguments that cameras deter crime generally because criminals don't know where cameras are, so they simply stop committing crimes all around. Criminals, though they risk injury and imprisonment in their chosen profession, really aren't stupid. They are clever like a fox -- they find 'safe' areas to prowl and pick 'marks' to target. If they know a camera is in the area, they will avoid it. If you ever doubt that criminals are clever and crafty, overhear a conversation amongst drug dealers and buyers. They know the ins and outs of reasonable search, suspicion, evidence, punishment, and mandatory sentencing.

      When a friend asked the police to check the cameras after theft of his motorbike, he was palmed off with "it'll be a waste of time, it'll just show us a bunch of kids in hoods". This shows two things 1) that the police aren't using the cameras to solve most crime, and 2) the criminals are concealing their faces so it doesn't matter if they're caught on camera or not.

  9. Re:ignore the facts and press ahead. by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes that's how science works.

    Hypothesise at random, spend a wad or two on well-connected suppliers and contractors, in the absence of empirical validation of the utility or necessity.

    Then declare on failure to achieve any result at all that one has now acquired a valid data point.

    Hmmm.... Better try this again, with a different type of camera! Then - at worst - we'll have eliminated two possibilites, at the bargain cost of 400 Million!

    GET THIS THROUGH YOUR HEAD! Crime is the excuse used to end dissent. If there were political protest of any size, you can bet the participants would have all been ID'd and added to the "terror" database.

    V for Vendetta.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
  10. Confusion by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Don't confuse the politicians with facts, they have demagoguery to accomplish.

    Seriously, when did "facts" actually figure into politics. Everything is emotion. "Its for the children", "War on _______", "help the homeless" etc are all emotional stimuli.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  11. Cameras don't deter criminals. by khasim · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Exactly. The only people who have anything to worry about from the cameras are the "law abiding" people who do not support the current government and are willing to be seen protesting.

    1. Re:Cameras don't deter criminals. by 6Yankee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Wild-ass guess - was that originally intended to nail the Ku Klux Klan?

    2. Re:Cameras don't deter criminals. by frp001 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      >> Technology has made it much too difficult--the real deterrence is the combination of camera
      >> and the willingness to prosecute. ...
      >> Once the technology is deemed good enough, it will be deployed to troubled areas like Baghdad.

      Interesting. Would you care to explain how to prosecute a suicide bomber?

      --
      May I use your sig please?
  12. Police by photomonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Given the assumption that not all cops are bad, and going further saying that most cops are good, the solution to the crime problem is to get police back on foot in communities.

    You can only stop so much crime blowing through an arterial road at 45mph. But regularly patrolling an area on foot, a good cop will notice that "Mrs. Allison's car is gone, and the front door is wide open" prompting a closer look.

    Also, foot patrol (or bicycle, rollerblade, whatever) cops aren't generally tied up with traffic stops and other non-criminal events. They are free to stop the little crimes (graffiti, vandalism, burglary) that scare off the 'good' folks allowing seedier elements to take over an area.

    But, cops on foot are expensive. And you need a lot of them to be effective. And since they're going after criminals, they're not making the city any money in the form of tickets and fines.

    There are some jobs best done by real humans on location. Maybe your board meeting with the Beijing office can be done via teleconference, but protecting residents and preventing crime cannot.

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    1. Re:Police by dada21 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not sure more cops is the answer, either.

      When it comes to "fighting crime," the answer is much deeper and more complex than just trying to figure out how to use public force to prevent what ends up being a private property issue.

      I personally do believe in John Lott's research that more guns means less crime, but I don't think that is the answer -- just handing out guns. When you have responsible gun owners (which can include children, too), and a responsible knowledge of what constitutes private property, you increase a criminal's risk in going forward with a crime. A property owner that is responsible has many reasons to use defensive force to protect their property; a public officer has almost no reason to stop a crime from being committed, and if the property owners aren't aware that they are the first line of defense, there will never be enough cops to stop crime.

      For me, before we even really discuss decriminalization of guns, we have to consider how many crimes may be committed because of non-violent actions that have been criminalized. How many crimes are committed in protecting a black market of goods from one competitor to another? Drug sales are non-violent (two consenting parties bartering), as is prostitution, gambling, and a plethora of other non-violent actions that are called criminal. These create massive black markets where guns are the answer to protecting markets. By removing non-violent actions as crimes, you can greatly decrease these black markets -- bringing down the crimes associated with protecting those markets.

      In addition to reducing black market crimes, decriminalizing said non-violent actions has a long term effect of putting fewer people in prison. As someone who has known more than one person go to prison for a minor offense only to come out with more ideas for committing more crime, I would believe that we'd have fewer violent criminals if we put fewer non-violent criminals in jail. Again, this is a long term effect that you can't judge as fruitful overnight.

      We need more private property freedom -- that's the end goal. When people are free to protect their property, and free to use their property in non-violent bartering, you also have more reason for people to defend their property rather than put hope in the cops. I have no hope in the cops: not the traffic cops, not the anti-gang cops, not the anti-drug cops. I have faith in myself, and my direct family and friends.

  13. There's a certain presumption ... by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    10,000 Cameras Ineffective At Deterring Crime

    ... that criminals are incapable of changing their tactics/habits, and that having cameras simply makes it impossible for them to work. That's just not true: criminals will adapt to changing circumstances and will find new ways to achieve their nefarious ends. Cameras merely change the face of crime, they don't eliminate it.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  14. Hollywood lied! by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wonder how much of this has to do with the misconception that somebody can use Photoshop to extract a high resolution image from a crappy CCD cam.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  15. Many around here ignore facts as well ... by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead.

    Many around here misrepresent and ignore facts as well. That and they have emotional poorly thought out reactions that are rooted more in their politics than it logic. Note the statement:

    "The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any."

    If you apply a modest amount of logic it might occur to you that everything seems to be described in terms of percentages. The fact the percentages may be similar does not mean cameras are ineffective. What is the volume of crime? The absence of such info should make an unbiased reader quite suspicious. Also what were the volumes before the cameras? One of the stated goals of the camera systems is that they would be a deterrent. The volume of crime could be a fraction of pre-camera days and the percentage of solved crimes could be the same.

    1. Re:Many around here ignore facts as well ... by hedwards · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is correct, one of the things which cameras tend to do, is to push crime to other areas where there are no cameras.

      The other thing is that if people know that there are a huge number of cameras, they are more likely to where hats or utilize other means of being hard to id with cameras.

      I haven't seen the images that the cameras capture, but the images I see from bank robberies and similar when the FBI releases them, are usually grainy and difficult to make out what the person looks like. Good if you want to be incognito as it makes it more difficult to identify scars and such, bad if you want the public to find the person.

      The main thing that a camera system is good at doing is tracking people. And while that is a huge security problem, it can be beneficial to people that have been accused of a crime falsely, as it makes for an easier alibi.

      Overall, though the results don't seem that much different than what one might expect. Even the definition of a below average number of crimes being solved seems a bit tough of a sell, as there really isn't such thing as an average crime, each crime tends to be somewhat different than the others, it could very well be that the dumber criminals moved out, and the smarter ones moved in because of less competition from other criminals for targets.

    2. Re:Many around here ignore facts as well ... by mosch · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You'd have a point if this wasn't simply the latest in a string of studies that all showed the same thing.

      Instead of rushing to apply logic, you should have spent a bit more time learning about all the data that was available. If you had done so, you would have realized that this was just another metric that demonstrated a lack of improvement, rather than being the only or even the primary metric that showed no improvement.

      I know, it's an unfair criticism. After all, research is hard, but a pointless and distracting game of "devil's advocate" is easy.

    3. Re:Many around here ignore facts as well ... by Warbothong · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I'm suprised you didn't pick up on this one:

      "In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average."

      If I was in charge of using CCTV cameras to try and prevent crime then I would try and put the most cameras in areas with below average crime solving rates. In that case such comparisons are useless, only comparisons with previous rates for those areas would be useful (for instance the crime rate might go down by 10%, but can still be below average).

      I am not defending blanket CCTV coverage, but likewise I can't let such horrible statistic interpretations go unnoticed. After all, pirates stop global warming.

  16. The longer, more accurate answer is... by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... the people simply ignore the facts, and politicians cash in on their fears about crime on the streets.

    --
    You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
  17. Whats their strategy? by Myrcutio · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are two ways to use CCTV cameras, one is simply having them there as a deterent to try and scare would be offenders, the other is to catch someone in the act and identify them. Now, the second strategy is complicated by the fact that in a public place almost all your footage is going to be out of focus. A camera has to be set to a specific focal length which can cover a specific distance from the camera and anything closer. If you set the length too far away, you get a horribly small field of view. So, given that you might have 3-4 cameras covering a block thats maybe 10,000 square feet, and perhaps 100 square feet of that is actually clear on camera, the odds of catching a crime clearly enough to identify an offender would be minimal. Therefore if their strategy is simply as a deterent, then we have one conclusion: the criminals in this area don't care if they're being watched, and you just wasted an obscene amount of money.

  18. Seriously? Look at the war on drugs. by sudnshok · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The US currently spends over $50B per year on the war on drugs. They have been "fighting" this war for over 30 years and have not even made a dent. So, every year, they spend more. If this isn't the clearest example of politicians ignoring facts then I don't know what is.

    --
    People who say "money does not buy happiness" are just people without money trying to make themselves feel better.
  19. You bet your ass... by TaleSpinner · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > Could this be an effective argument against the
    > proliferation of cameras or will politicians simply
    > ignore the facts and press ahead?

    It has been shown by traffic engineers that American
    speed limits are set too low. The rule they use is
    the 85% rule - the average speed of 85% of the traffic
    is the best speed. By definition, in fact, as it there-
    fore guarantees that cops only have to deal with the 15%
    of the population who will not drive reasonably and
    prudently. This rule-of-thumb has been shown useful
    again and again. Yet the US persists in restricting
    speeds to 55 or 65 miles an hour. According to many
    traffic engineer studies, this results in 75%(+/- a
    small number, I don't recall) offenders, far more than
    police can handle. Have the speed limits been raised
    to recommended levels? They have not. 75% offender
    rates are great for bringing in the fines. And
    those tickets also mean insurance companies can raise
    your rates, even though they know perfectly well a moving
    violation has no effect on your probability of a
    claim. So, why the obstinacy? Could it be because every
    municipality in the country is trying to get photocops
    installed everywhere? Do they reduce accidents? No.
    But they are great for revenue - as long as you get rid
    of that "punishing the transgresser" nonsense and just
    assume the registered owner of the violating car is guilty.
    Guilty until proven innocent is so much more efficient.
    Especially when there is no amount of proof that will
    satisfy a traffic court judge that anyone is innocent.

    And then we have red-light cameras. Again, traffic
    engineers have pointed out - many times - that
    extending the yellow light to 4 seconds and making it
    consistent for all traffic lights does, indeed,
    make red-light intersections safer. So do we do that?
    We do not. Rather, we put up a red light camera, and
    then we shorten the yellows to push up the take.
    And does this make intersections safer? No, in fact the
    accident rate doubles, and in some instances triples,
    almost all of them, predictably, rear-end collisions.
    And, I hardly dare to point out, this, again, requires
    eliminating "innocent until proven guilty" and making
    the registered owner responsible.

    Oh, sure, the registered owner can finger the real culprit
    - who is most often their spouse, but hey, it's a tort law,
    so it's okay to stress and strain a marriage for the sake
    of that fine.

    So they all ride the gravy train, and we all pay. We pay
    in money for fines and insurance rate increases, we pay in
    time, as if commute distances aren't already ridiculous.
    We pay in aggravation, which either damages relations with
    other people or which will corrode your arteries faster than
    any amount of Ben and Jerry's best. And, finally, we pay
    with our lives because all of this is very profitable
    for the gov't, but it causes accidents, lots of them, and
    people get badly hurt or killed in such accidents -
    entirely preventable accidents
    - every day. Think of that
    when you pass one of those crosses set up by the side of the
    road, and remember that money was more important to the gov't
    than the life of that person, someone's son, daughter, spouse,
    sibling, friend. The $$$ are more important.

    So will we wind up in George Orwell's nightmare here? With
    the current mania for gov't spying on Americans I'd say it's
    all but guaranteed. But if there is a way to use the system
    to catch jaywalkers, parking violations, right-of-way rules,
    inattentive wandering between lanes while sipping one's latte,
    well, you can bet we'll see those cameras - everywhere.

    Freedom. Liberty. Rights. None of these can stand up to
    paranoia or the almighty dollar.

  20. Police are part of the problem by Flying+pig · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I grew up in a village in Hertfordshire (north of London) where we had a village policeman who lived in the police house. If he was on patrol you could usually find Mrs. Policeman there, and she would know what to do. He didn't have loads of sophisticated equipment, but he was one of the community leaders (along with the Rector, the head of the local school and the people on the village council) who people knew to go to in an emergency. It wasn't perfect but it worked well.

    Forward to 2000 or thereabouts, and the police are remote figures in flak jackets, almost always inside cars. They are not part of the community, and most teenagers don't identify with them at all. The Government wants to reintroduce the village policeman, under the name of "Community support officers". And who opposes it? The police. The truth is, too much exposure to US TV programs (yes, a study in Manchester showed that some police there were consciously emulating "police" in cop shows) has poisoned their own perception of their role, and many of them are afraid that community police will be too successful.

    Where I live, which is effectively a village on the edge of a small town, we now have these PCSOs. Many evenings I see them out talking to the kids on the street, just talking to them, like our village policemnan used to talk to us in the 1960s. The wheel is coming a bit full circle, and it's about time it did. Cameras are useless without the desire of the community to support its rule enforcers.

    However, one big factor has changed. Our village policeman did not have to deal with large numbers of drunks about from 11p.m. to 4a.m. on Fridays and Saturdays. He occasionally had to put a drunk in the cell, but that was about it. Community policing does not work in the UK's disgusting and horrible drunk culture because reasonable people cannot deal with aggressive, knife wielding drunks.(I'm allowed to say this; it's the most shameful thing about this country.) This is the root cause of the cameras. If we fixed the drunk problem, there would be no need for security cameras. This is one case where the US has mostly got it right and we have got it wrong, and I would vote unthinkingly for the first politician who was willing to bring in the laws that apply in Utah, or even Manhattan.

    --
    Pining for the fjords