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Satellite Images Used to Monitor Burmese Junta

BurmesePython writes "Human rights groups are using high-resolution satellites images to reveal the activities of Burma's junta as it gets tough with pro-democracy protesters. Apparently 'it should be easy to spot groups of monks because of their distinctive maroon robes'. Like previous efforts to use satellites to monitor the humanitarian crisis in Darfur, the hope is it will prod the UN and other international actors into putting pressure on the Burmese rulers."

52 of 231 comments (clear)

  1. Unfortunately... by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Funny
    > Apparently 'it should be easy to spot groups of monks because of their distinctive maroon robes'.

    What was maroon
    Shows as red
    In the street
    Monks lie dead

    - Myanmar Shave

    1. Re:Unfortunately... by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
      > Good poem, but why marked funny????

      We choose to laugh
      When people die
      It feels better
      To laugh than cry

      - Burma Shave

      Which is the closest thing to a koan that I could fit into the Burma Shave rhyme structure. The words won't fit through the door. (And thus, the Slashdotter was Moderated.)

  2. Don't you just live it when.... by iknownuttin · · Score: 2, Insightful
    FTFA: This has allowed them to verify claims by human rights organisations and ethnic groups that Burmese soldiers are committing human rights atrocities.

    Don't you just love it when technology developed for governments for their "reasons", whatever they may be, are then used to make the World a better place?

    --
    I prefer Flambe as apposed flamebait.
  3. Where's the pictures? by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It would be nice to see the satellite pictures in question.

    But so far all the articles I've seen on this either have no pictures or other pictures (such as the smuggled cellphone images of the marching monks).

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Where's the pictures? by homerjs42 · · Score: 5, Informative

      National Geographic has a small copy of one of the images: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/09/070928-burma-satellite.html

  4. somebody please think of the governments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's just not right that governments should be under such scrutiny by citizens. It's like they can't do anything without being monitored anymore. Imagine you just were trying to do your job of restoring order and punishing disruptive monks, with Little Brother looking over your shoulder. This slide into an accountable society is terrifying.

    1. Re:somebody please think of the governments by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's like they can't do anything without being monitored anymore.

            If they haven't done anything wrong, surely they shouldn't mind being monitored. After all, turnabout is fair play, right? :)

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  5. Military Junta speaks at Columbia University by Nymz · · Score: 2, Funny

    In Burma we don't have pro-democracy protesters like in your country, I don't know who told you that.

  6. Re:Pressure the UN? by clarkkent09 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why is it that the Americans generally think that the UN is pointless? Because they heard it said on fox or cnn? What exactly is your rationale for thinking that the world would be better off and not worse off without the UN?

    --
    Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
  7. Re:Pressure the UN? by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sure it does all sorts of things, but when you watch it rendered impotent because a Security Council member is good friends with a pack of murderous military rulers, it's hard not to be just a tad cynical about its abilities.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  8. Re:Pressure the UN? by rossz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How about we think the UN is useless because they haven't done a fucking thing to stop the genocide in Darfur, to name one of many world crises.

    The UN to murdering governments, "Stop, or we'll stay 'stop' again."

    --
    -- Will program for bandwidth
  9. Re:Pressure the UN? by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes. And toothpaste doesn't cure cancer, so we should ditch it and teeth brushing altogether?


    I feel sorry for anyone who thought that was a reasonable analogy.
    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  10. Re:Pressure the UN? by clarkkent09 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    UN does not have an army. It only has the power that the nations that make it up allow it to have, primarily the security council members. If the USA wanted to send the military into Sudan to stop the genocide nobody was stopping it. If the USA wanted to submit a resolution to the UN to form an international force to go in, nobody was stopping it either.

    --
    Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
  11. Re:Pressure the UN? by Wandering+Wombat · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'm terrified... I mean, UN sanctions could restrict the flow of English Top 40 CDs and name-brand clothing. That's fearsome.

    --
    I like to place meaningful quotes in my sig, so people will know that I know what meaningful quotes are.
  12. prod the UN by drfrog · · Score: 2, Informative

    the UN needs to step up or pull the plug

    sure we all want the Burmese leaders to be accountable, we want everyone to be accountable, unless it US

    like when nicaragua brought charges against the us to the UN security comission

    and SOMEHOW the US was able to veto their own charges

    the UN is nothing but a bandaid, that keeps falling off

    --
    back in the day we didnt have no old school
    1. Re:prod the UN by LingNoi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Whatever the americans have done it's not as bad as killing people in the street.

      It's not as bad as raiding Monks at their sanctuaries shooting and beating them and taking them away in trucks. They're probably in a big death pit right now being covered with soil to hide the evidence, one can only guess.

  13. Re:Real help still illegal! by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Dropping weapons is one thing. Just because they're armed doesn't mean they represent an effective fighting force to take on the Burmese Army. It's a nice thought, but one which would probably only produce far more casualties, mainly on the civilian side of things.

    The real solution to this is for Beijing to get off its ass and threaten to pull its support for the Junta and to publicly announce that it will abstain from all Security Council votes regarding the country.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  14. Re:Pressure the UN? by rossz · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yeah, but every time we do, you Europeans scream like schoolgirls.'

    --
    -- Will program for bandwidth
  15. Re:Pressure the UN? by LingNoi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes that is exactly what should happen. We should say "Fuck russia and China's vetoes" and go in there and fuck up their regime Iraq style. Sorry about the swearing but how could you think the UN could do anything with all that in-fighting?!? Oppressors of the world unite it veto doing anything on Burma.

    Then again why should we care right? They're not Muslim so it's ok.

    Look at Thailand's ex prime minister there is an arrest warrant out on him for stealing hundreds of millions of tax payers money and he is suspected of funding multiple bombings in Bangkok. He is a terrorist but the UK welcomes him with open arms and lets him buy a football club with Thailand's tax payers money. DOUBLE STANDARDS.

  16. Re:Pressure the UN? by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I suppose China could dump all those American dollars, and you would have to call back your armies from everywhere because, well, the US would be broke and completely dipping into a major recession.

    I think it's time that Americans started boning up on their history of 4th century Rome. There's some lessons there about overextension and debased currency that some might find educational.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  17. Re:Pressure the UN? by bulled · · Score: 4, Informative

    It could be that the US tends to ignore what the UN says anyways. Not like they were right about Iraq or anything. And not like the US actively sanctions another nation ignoring numerous resolutions to return land acquired by force. The UN is useless because the US has shown that if you are powerful enough, you can ignore the rules.

  18. Re:Pressure the UN? by Andrew+Aguecheek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When was the last time Europe refused to back military intervention? How's that working out for you?

    --
    Tomorrow, I may eat another house plant
  19. In related news... by interactive_civilian · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Burmese troops are starting to mutiny. In parts of Rangoon, some soldiers have turned against the others to protect the protesters. In Mandalay, some soldiers are refusing to fight. From my link:

    The organisation Helfen ohne Grenzen (Help without Frontiers) is reporting that "Soldiers from the 66th LID (Light Infantry Divison) have turned their weapons against other government troops and possibly police in North Okkalappa township in Rangoon and are defending the protesters. At present unsure how many soldiers involved."

    Soldiers in Mandalay, where unrest has spread to as we reported this morning, are also reported to have refused orders to act against protesters.

    Some reports claim that many soldiers remained in their barracks. More recent reports now maintain that soldiers from the 99th LID now being sent there to confront them.

    Good on those soldiers for doing the right thing. Also, the article mentions that most phone lines into and out of the country have been cut, the mobile network has been shut down, and so had the national ISP. The government is trying to control the flow of information. HAM radio operators to the rescue?

    I doubt I am alone in hoping for a revolution that reinstates the proper, democratically elected government in Burma.

    --
    "Empathise with stupidity, and you're halfway to thinking like an idiot." - Iain M. Banks
    1. Re:In related news... by Deadstick · · Score: 2, Informative
      HAM radio operators to the rescue?

      Last I heard, amateur radio was either illegal or very tightly restricted in Burma.

      rj

    2. Re:In related news... by jcr · · Score: 2, Informative

      Similar reports came out during 1989's Tiananmen Square Massacre, only to be proved untrue later.

      No, there were PLA units marching with the protestors in 1989, which is a large part of why the kleptocrats panicked, brought in troops from way out in the countryside, and ordered a massacre.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  20. Re:Pressure the UN? by LingNoi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm English not American and I don't want terrorists/murderers running around free in my country just because they're rich.

    We should send all Burma's diplomats packing as they have no respect for human life.

  21. Re:Pressure the UN? by Loke+the+Dog · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well, if the US isn't to blame for deaths in iraq, why is the UN to blame for deaths in Darfur?

  22. Re:Pressure the UN? by davidsyes · · Score: 2, Interesting

    /sets up soap box

    OK, FINALLY, a Slashdot topic to which I can bluntly state (some of) my political stance: ... Which is WHY the world needs a new stateless naval and military/policing force made of individuals released from their nations' "sovereignty" so that these uniformed volunteers cannot be commanded to invade some country at the behest of their own home countries.

    Basically, the maritime police force *I* envision would "deprecate all power-projecting nations' flag-waving navies into nothing more than own-shore coastal patrol units", thereby neutering/spaying or restraining other nations.

    I assume the US, Japan, and South Korea, as well as the UK, Australia and some others wont' like it, but tough. 200 years from now we have to have arrived at improvement, and I see one way, one potential way.

    Suppose Chinas growing wealth is diverted to funding the construction of STATELESS (read: non-nation-owned) policing ships that pack enough punch to SINK ANY US or other vessel that DARES to sink a stateless, multi-nationally-crewed policing vessel, and then after 25 years of service, these ships are turned over to the last captains home nation. If such an entity could gain favor, it would put the US Coast Guard in charge of US border security and have the USN and similar navies looking toward (but not forward to) retirement or deprecation.

    The idea is that NO EXISTING warships are eligible to be in this program. Only new, monk or rabbi or priest-blessed/etc ships constructed for the SOLE PURPOSED of being maritime police to reduce the legitimacy of claims standing-navy nations now have and use as excuses to deliver a punch to people they don't like.

    Moreover, such an entity/organization would stand a better chance at demolishing regimes of massive, global waste and redundancy.

    Primary missions of the entity would be:

    - rescue at-sea storm victims
    - rescue victims of piracy or terrorism at sea or near sea
    - rescue land-based earthquake/tsunami/flood victims
    - use fresh-water over-production capacity of these ships to deliver potable water to lessen water wars
    - locate, apprehend and bring to justice any seafaring scofflaws/criminals
    - force the surfacing of submarines lurking along coasts where they don't belong, collecting datum, and distributing that tracking data globally to ensure the obsolescence of bad-ass-wannabe subs
    - other missions as arrived upon that don't involve: sinking ships, killing crews en-masse, waving national flags, propping up corrupt regimes...

    And, these ships I design won't carry nukes, nor will they carry any intercontinental weaponry, just only what it takes to take out retribution against incursion faction ships of nations that can't seem to get it in their heads that if the coast is not theirs, they shouldn't be prowling or lurking or setting down lying in wait.

    Humanity needs to move forward. Sure, a lot of national pride might be globally blunted, but humanity deserves better. And, if anything, it *MIGHT* help reduce terrorism aimed at specific countries. //steps down from soap box...

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  23. Re:Pressure the UN? by Maow · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sure it does all sorts of things, but when you watch it rendered impotent because a Security Council member is good friends with a pack of murderous military rulers, it's hard not to be just a tad cynical about its abilities.


    It's ironic that the "UN is useless" meme is strongest in USA, which stops the UN (Security Council) from doing anything that would interfere with US economic interests when those interests involve murderous rulers friendly to those US economic interests.


    Or ignores the UN when USA wants to take part in an illegal invasion. Then whines that the UN isn't doing enough to clean up the mess that USA has made of Iraq.


    Kinda like USA sitting out years of WWI and also sitting on its collective hands for > 2 years of WWII. Hitler not a murderous enough bastard for Americans?


    Excuse me whilst I gag on "Yer with us our yer with the terrrrrrrsts" as I think back on that.

  24. Re:Pressure the UN? by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why is it that the Americans generally think that the UN is pointless?

    Oh, maybe because of little things like Libya being on the UN human rights commission?

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  25. Re:Pressure the UN? by Dahan · · Score: 2, Informative

    Look at Thailand's ex prime minister there is an arrest warrant out on him for stealing hundreds of millions of tax payers money and he is suspected of funding multiple bombings in Bangkok. He is a terrorist but the UK welcomes him with open arms and lets him buy a football club with Thailand's tax payers money. DOUBLE STANDARDS. Speaking of junta... guess who's making those claims? That's right, the junta that staged a coup d'etat against Thailand's ex-PM. There's no actual evidence that he's done any of that stuff though. He made his huge fortune as a telecom tycoon--before he became PM. Right place at the right time, and all that.
  26. Re:Pressure the UN? by Loke+the+Dog · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes, even though the world bank says he actually reduced corruption in the country more than what had previously been done. But I guess he reduced other peoples corruption and added his own. And bombings? Who suspects that? I mean, apart from the people behind the recent military coup of a democratically elected president?

    I'm sorry, but you just seem to be someone who has completely swallowed the propaganda of anti-democrats. If you want to live like that, fine, I don't care. I just want you to know that from a bystanders point of view, you appear quite insane. If many people in Thailand shares your views, it would be very bad if the UK sent him back; he might very well be killed by a bunch of lunatics!

  27. Re:Pressure the UN? by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    at least there is a human rights commission

    So what? There are elections in Cuba. Both are examples of form over substance.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  28. Because it's a substitute for actual action? by Quadraginta · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As another commenter points out, the UN in and of itself has zero power. It has no army, no police, no way of enforcing its will at all. The only power it gets is from member nations.

    But if the only real power involved is the power of member nations, why don't the member nations just act and cut out the UN "middleman"? This is, after all, historically the way international action has been carried out. European governments trying to cope with Napoleon, the Kaiser, Hitler or (going further back) the Mongol or Ottoman invaders didn't feel a need to create a standing bureaucracy to validate by inscribing (in five official languages) on parchment what they'd already collectively decided to do. They just acted, forming governing councils and agreements as and where they were needed -- and not otherwise.

    So why don't we do that nowadays? If Darfur (or Burma) is an international outrage, and most every reasonable person agrees on what should be done, what's to stop the four or five biggest countries from just forming an ad hoc Stop The Burma Slaughter task force, assigning it 25,000 troops and a naval task force, and punching the Go button?

    Nothing, really. Except that this silly imaginary "world government" called the UN exists, and because it exists the major countries are off the hook. If you ask why doesn't somebody DO something, everyone can point to the UN as the agency that should be doing the doing.

    In short, the UN pretty clearly now exists as a substitute for coordinated, effective international action. It's like how, in Congress or a university, if you want to just quietly kill a proposal for action, you refer it to a committee for a report. The UN exists so that big nations can ignore sticky problems by referring them to the UN for a report...or a vote on "sanctions"...whatever. You can look like you're doing something with actually, well, doing something.

    Since Americans have always tended to favor action over talk, they tend to take a dim view of an institution which effectively and efficiently functions to replace action with talk. That's not what the UN is supposed to do, of course, but that's what it actually does. Yet another illustration of the Law of Unintended Consequences: there'd be much more effective international humanitarian action if the UN did not exist.

    1. Re:Because it's a substitute for actual action? by rcw-home · · Score: 3, Interesting

      why don't the member nations just act and cut out the UN "middleman"? This is, after all, historically the way international action has been carried out. European governments trying to cope with Napoleon, the Kaiser, Hitler or (going further back) the Mongol or Ottoman invaders didn't feel a need to create a standing bureaucracy to validate by inscribing (in five official languages) on parchment what they'd already collectively decided to do. They just acted, forming governing councils and agreements as and where they were needed -- and not otherwise.

      The rationale goes back to preventing another World War I. At the turn of the century, most nations in Europe made alliances with each other that if one of them were attacked, their ally would step in to defend them. They grouped themselves into the Entente Powers and the Central Powers. Now, if governments were the only actors, and if these alliances were public knowledge, this might have resulted in a tense, but stable environment. What actually happened was a terrorist group from Serbia (the Black Hand Society) assassinated the heir to the throne of Austria-Hungary. Both sides reacted disproportionately, Austria-Hungary declared war, most of Europe honored their treaty obligations, and millions died.

      The League of Nations, the predecessor to the UN (and ineffective even in comparison to the UN) was the response to the perceived causes of World War I.

  29. Re:Pressure the UN? by s4m7 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I suppose China could dump all those American dollars Yeah, making them effectively worthless, and dropping a lot of the value that is propping up the Yuan. Oh but they could make it all back on their industrial strength.... except as you pointed out, they just plunged their largest consumer market into recession.

    There's some lessons there about overextension and debased currency that some might find educational.

    That's where you're spot on though. All these fools who don't see how overextending ourselves in two expensive and unwinnable (militarily) conflicts isn't eroding our national security need to get off fox news and go read some history. Islamofascism (whatever that is) might be a threat, but hardly on the scale of cold-war USSR, modern-day china, north korea... or more importantly our domestic education, health-care, social security, and sundry economic problems, to say nothing of global climate change, which threatens to be a bigger threat than all of the above.

    I think that too many people want to see us recapture our WW2 era success, but without any of the domestic sacrifice that that conflict required of the average citizen.

    --
    This comment is fully compliant with RFC 527.
  30. Burma? by tarogue · · Score: 3, Funny

    Where's Burma? Isn't that next to Siam?

    --
    Life sucks, but death doesn't put out at all. -- Thomas J. Kopp
  31. Airdrop by maz2331 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just airdrop a couple hundred thousand AK-47s, ammo, and green robes and see just how long the junta lasts.

    1. Re:Airdrop by MuffinSpawn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, all those Buddhist monks who have sworn themselves to a life of non-violent self betterment will suddenly go Rambo on the Junto once they have some AKs.

      The monks are engaged in a non-violent civil disobedience act. As Ghandi and Martin Luther King demonstrated, these can be much more effective than armed conflict. The monks know this and have the discipline to carry it through. The first time I read about this I knew the Junta's days were numbered. The last thing you would want to do is pull a U.S. on Myanmar by changing the military power balance. That will just undermine what the monks are trying to accomplish.

    2. Re:Airdrop by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The monks are engaged in a non-violent civil disobedience act. As Ghandi and Martin Luther King demonstrated, these can be much more effective than armed conflict.
      Not necessarily. The problem is that you don't usually hear about the less successful attempts as they are drowned in blood. Besides, Ghandi, for example, was dealing with the British democracy, and he could win by winning the sympathy of the British citizens. It does not work this way against the real bloody tyrants.
  32. Using "Myanmar" legitimizes the military junta. by Valdrax · · Score: 4, Informative

    Burma's the name that the last democratic regime in the country called it. Myanmar's what the military junta renamed it in 1989. Burmese opposition groups still call it Burma because they don't recognize the legitimacy of the military regime.

    You can read more about it here. Personally, I use Burma. Let a legitimate regime change the English name one ever comes around.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  33. Re:Pressure the UN? by flyingsquid · · Score: 4, Insightful
    When was the last time Europe refused to back military intervention? How's that working out for you?

    "We are the strongest nation in the world today. I do not believe we should ever apply that economic, political, or military power unilaterally. If we had followed that rule in Vietnam, we wouldn't have been there! None of our allies supported us; not Japan, not Germany, not Britain or France. If we can't persuade nations with comparable values of the merit of our cause, we'd better reexamine our reasoning."

    Robert McNamara, United States Secretary of Defense, 1961-1968.

  34. Re:Pressure the UN? by clarkkent09 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    But you see that is not the problem with the UN but with the nation state system. Who gets to decide which country is a good citizen (USA in your opinion? Most people on this planet would disagree) and which one is a "rights-abusing monster"?

    Here are the alternatives for ya, feel free to add your own:

    1. A nation state is supreme, there are no meaningful international bodies: this creates a "might is right" situation that existed for most of the history, resulting in hell of a lot of killing. A situation that UN was created to correct in the first place.

    2. There is a body above the nation state that has power to tell the nation state what to do (aka World Government): Listen Burma you better clean up your act or we will invade! OR Listen USA, we the UN have decided that your death penalty and gun laws are barbaric and we order you to change them!

    3. An international forum where the sovereign states, good and bad, can come together and work on things in a peaceful way. Perhaps occasionally get the interests of sufficient number of them aligned to the point of doing something useful. This is pretty much what we have today. Not perfect, but what's your alternative?

    --
    Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
  35. Re:Pressure the UN? by sholden · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The UN doesn't exist to stop massacres in Africa and Asia (or Europe/America/Australia), or to stop dictators from killing their people. It exists to try and stop the big powers from getting into another huge war, by providing a diplomatic channel which hopefully won't be closed in protest to whatever it was this week. The rest is just feel good crap that is just there for show.

    It doesn't matter if the guys with the big guns mess with the little countries. Or the little countries mess with each other. As long the big guns don't get used on each other all is well. Of course as with all bureaucracies it does a whole lot more, but that's all unimportant side issues.

    The world hasn't been turned into a nuclear wasteland so so far so good for the UN.

    "WE THE PEOPLES OF THE UNITED NATIONS DETERMINED to save succeeding generations from the scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind..." the rest is minor nuisance stuff (stuff like genocide in Africa, human rights abuses by everyone, etc) that simply doesn't matter in comparison with turning the planet into radioactive frozen ball.

  36. The Empire Strikes Back? by Vinegar+Joe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Burma was a British colony. Let the Brits and the Commonwealth take care of the problem by themselves for once. I look forward to watching Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe thugs forces liberating Rangoon under the Union Jack.

    --
    "The average reporter we talk to is 27 years old......They literally know nothing." - Ben Rhodes
  37. Re:Pressure the UN? by Puff+of+Logic · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yes. And toothpaste doesn't cure cancer, so we should ditch it and teeth brushing altogether?


    I feel sorry for anyone who thought that was a reasonable analogy. Of course it wasn't a reasonable analogy. There wasn't a single car in it!
    --
    P.P.S. I'm doing Science and I'm still alive.
  38. I'm sorry... by b17bmbr · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...but you've mistaken me for someone who gives a shit.

    Sincerely,
    UN

    --
    My problem? I was perfectly gruntled, until some numbnuts came by and dissed me.
  39. People get a little confused with the China thing by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, they can't just dump all the dollars. Couple problems with that:

    1) Most of those funds are in the form for treasury securities (T-Bills/T-notes/T-bonds). Those are promissory notes issued by the US government. Basically it says "We agree to pay you this much money by this date." Fair enough, but the value is only because the government honours that agreement. So far, US securities are one of the safest things you can buy. They have always made good and have plenty of systems in place to make sure that keeps happening. However, they could if they wanted just not honour the notes issued to China. All of a sudden that wealth is gone. China can't sell the notes if the US has made it clear they are worthless, they can't redeem them, the wealth just goes away. This would, of course, have severe consequences to the US government in terms of the ability to issue more note sin the future since people wouldn't trust them as much, but it can be done.

    2) China's economy is very dependant on it continuing to grow and the money continuing to come in. A big part of that is that America continues to be willing to buy their goods. Well, if America's economy got fucked up, and if it was well known that the cause was the Chinese, that would all go away. Not only does a depression put people in to a mode where they spend little money especially on non-essentials (which is largely what China produces) but there would be extensive boycotts, and perhaps even governmental sanction, against Chinese products. That happens, all of a sudden China has factories without work, people without jobs, an upcoming middle class facing the return to what is quite literally peasantry. Revolutions have started over that, and they know it.

    3) China's dollar is pegged to the US dollar. For the US dollar to rapidly change is for their dollar to rapidly change, unless they un peg it, in which case it will also rapidly change. Strong and weak currencies are relative things and there is no one that is better than the other, each has advantages and disadvantages. However rapid change is problematic as your economy isn't ready for the new dynamic. Rapidly changing the US dollar would not do them well, regardless of how they chose to manage the yuan.

    The problem is you cannot look at international economies in the same way you look at something like a personal economy. China and the US dont' have a worker - boss relationship. It is a customer - distributor relationship at the closest, but still different since each controls their own currency, each has real military force such that nobody else can come in and force them to do something different and so on. It's not a case of them holding the stick and the US being in trouble, it is a case of something like economic mutually assured destruction. Yes, they have the theoretical potential to hurt the US economy, however doing so would have severe consequences to them and as such isn't a real possibility.

    It is difficult to understand fully since the globalized economy we have today is very new, and since on that scale things don't follow the same rules as the small scales we personally work on. Many people fail to understand this and thus misunderstand the intricacies of the situation.

  40. Re:Real help still illegal! by corbettw · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If there's one thing bad 70's TV taught me, it's that a pissed off Buddhist monk is NOT to be trifled with. The Burmese military doesn't know what it's in for.

    --
    God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  41. Re:Pressure the UN? by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Informative

    Let's get one thing straight. I never said the UN didn't do any good (you may have me confused with many other people here). But I do think that states that are as blatantly violating human rights as, say, Syria or Zimbabwe have no business on any human rights council. The mere fact that such states could find their way on it discredits one facet of the UN, as a primary advocate body for human rights in dignity on the international stage.

    It fails on many counts, and most importantly on its basic structural arrangement which has, for the most part, allowed dominant states to render it completely useless. The Soviets and the Americans pretty much paralyzed it during the Cold War, and now China and Russia are doing it.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  42. Re:Just propaganda by largesnike · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think you underestimate the brutality of this regime.

    most of the heroin that comes into Australia is Burmese origin. The Karen rebels try to interrupt the supply, so as to weaken the Juntas trade, but the Junta retalliate by kidnapping Karen children and have them walk in front of the soldiers as human minesweepers.

    --
    "Laugh while you can a-monkey boy!" - Dr Emilio Lizardo
  43. Re:Pressure the UN? by vertinox · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, making them effectively worthless, and dropping a lot of the value that is propping up the Yuan. Oh but they could make it all back on their industrial strength.... except as you pointed out, they just plunged their largest consumer market into recession.

    They could simply peg the Yuan against the Euro and call it a day. It would hurt them badly, but they've been through worse in a recent era and they have a system in place to control the situation if an economic crisis did occur (Remember the Cultural Revolution?)

    The US on the other hand would be left with little money or factories to restart their economy and due to the political corruption we face, I doubt we would be able recover as quickly.

    That said... China has one thing the US doesn't have, and that is patience. Its current form of manifest destiny does itself as a world power and to have a military more powerful military (and more high tech) than the US plus a space program to boot. But they don't see a need to destroy their economy in an arms race and have planned to match it with their growth. For example by 2050 their goal is to have a bigger navy and more aircraft carriers than the US. As they have been all of history, they are very inward looking and don't see the need to expand except say the Taiwan issue so unless they are provoked they would never overtly do something against us.

    However... Attacking Iran (which is one of their major foreign oil suppliers) would most likely be a catalyst for such a thing.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)