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The Story of Baikonur, Russia's Space City

eldavojohn writes "There's an article up on Physorg about Russian space launch city Baikonur, rented by Russia from Kazakhstan. Although it is essentially the same as it was in the 60's and 70's, it is amazingly efficient and still operational. 'Even the technology hasn't changed much. The Soyuz spacecraft designed in the mid-1960s is still in service, somewhat modified. It can only be used once, but costs just $25 million. The newest Endeavor space shuttle cost $2 billion, but is reusable. Life and work in Baikonur and its cosmodrome are also pretty much what they were in the Soviet era. The town of 70,000 - unbearably hot in summer, freezing cold in winter and dusty year round - is isolated by hundreds of miles of scrubland.'" We last discussed Baikonur back in 2005.

237 comments

  1. Borat, yes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am #1 cosmonaut in all of Kazakstan!

    I'm sure someone can come up with a better joke.

    1. Re:Borat, yes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about "In the soviet union, you embarrass that borat guy"

    2. Re:Borat, yes? by blackdew · · Score: 0, Redundant

      In soviet Kazakhstan, the jokes come up (literaly) with YOU!

  2. Costs by stoolpigeon · · Score: 5, Informative

    This Nasa space shuttle faq lists endeavour's cost at 1.7 billion. Maybe they just rounded off, but a third of a billion seems significant to me.

    It also lists the launch costs for a shuttle at about $450 million. I don't know if that's just the launch itself or if that includes the turn around costs. Of course - the article doesn't list similar numbers for the Soyuz - but it seems that while reusable - the shuttle still is exponentially more expensive. Although - I don't know of anything else that can get as much weight to orbit as the shuttle.

    --
    It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    1. Re:Costs by tilandal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The shuttle is much larger and can carry far more of a payload. The shuttle can carry up to 24,400 kg to low earth orbit, that is substantially more then the Soyuz can carry. Many of the segments of the ISS were only able to be lifted into orbit with the Shuttle.

    2. Re:Costs by slashqwerty · · Score: 5, Informative
      I don't know of anything else that can get as much weight to orbit as the shuttle.

      At 21,000 kg to LEO, the Ariane 5 ECA comes pretty close. And it does a lot better than the shuttle to Geostationary Transfer Orbit. The Delta IV does slightly better than the shuttle at 25,800kg to LEO versus the shuttle's 24,400kg.

      The Saturn V could put them all to shame. Although the planned Ares V can carry even more than the Saturn V.

    3. Re:Costs by Daengbo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It can only be used once, but costs just $25 million. The newest Endeavor space shuttle cost $2 billion, but is reusable.

      When I was a little boy, I sat in on one of my father's presentations on the (then future) space shuttle to interested people in the aviation community (he was with the FAA). The talk was glowing and emphasized how much we'd save by re-using this material. As a sci-fi enthusiast like my father, I remember being so excited about what I was hearing.

      Sadly, that cost savings never came. I have read numerous reports about how much more that shuttle system costs than a traditional system. In my not-so-educated opinion, focus on the shuttle has left our space program behind where it would have been had we kept going with the tech we had at the time.

      What's the next-gen shuttle going to cost us?

    4. Re:Costs by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 3, Informative

      The shuttle can carry up to 24,400 kg to low earth orbit, that is substantially more then the Soyuz can carry.

      ...is an understatement. Current Soyuz payload is 880kg.

    5. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Third of a billion is significant? You're obviously not a God fearing Republican. You must be one of those libruls who would rather spend money on domestic problems rather than spreading Jesus to the godless Brown people and oil control to Fearless Leader and his God-Fearing Business Pals. HOW CAN YOU PUT A PRICE TAG ON THAT?

    6. Re:Costs by Riktov · · Score: 1

      the shuttle still is exponentially more expensive.

      So Soyuz costs $25 million per launch, and the Shuttle currently costs $450 million per launch. 450,000,000 =~ 25,000,000 ^ 1.17. So the next Shuttle launch will cost 25,000,000 ^ 2.17 = $1,130,000,000,000,000? Or should that be 25,000,000 ^ 2.34 = $20,470,000,000,000,000?

      Is that how it works?

    7. Re:Costs by ozmanjusri · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Sadly, that cost savings never came. I have read numerous reports about how much more that shuttle system costs than a traditional system.

      Going on the numbers given here, the Shuttle costs $18,400/kg lifted to LEO, while the Soyuz costs $28,400 for the same lift.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    8. Re:Costs by Daengbo · · Score: 2, Informative
      I wasn't comparing it to the Soyuz: I was comparing it to where we'd be now if we hadn't used it.

      The NASA Chief Administrator Michael Griffin has recently suggested the decision to develop the Space Shuttle and International Space Station was a mistake by saying, "It is now commonly accepted that was not the right path. We are now trying to change the path while doing as little damage as we can."[1]

      and

      While the Shuttle has been a reasonably successful launch vehicle, it has not met the goal of greatly reducing launch costs. There are various ways to measure per-launch costs. One way is dividing the total cost over the life of the program (including buildings, facilities, training, salaries, etc) by the number of launches. This method gives about $1.3 billion per launch[1]. Another method is calculating the incremental (or marginal) cost differential to add or subtract one flight -- just the immediate resources expended/saved involved in that one flight. This is about $55 million. Neither figure is right or wrong; they are simply different ways to examine the picture.

      The total cost of the program has been $145 billion as of early 2005, and is estimated to be $174 billion when the Shuttle retires in 2010. NASA's budget for 2005 allocates 30%, or $5 billion, to Space Shuttle operations.

      Original goals of the Shuttle included operating at a fairly high flight rate (roughly 12 flights per year, at low cost, and with high reliability. Improving in these areas over the previous generation of single-use and unmanned launchers was a motivation. Although it did operate as the world's first reusable crew-carrying spacecraft, it did not greatly improve on those parameters, and is considered by some to have failed in its original purpose.

      Although the final design differs from the original concept, the project was still supposed to meet USAF goals and be much cheaper to fly in general. One reason behind this apparent failure is inflation. During the 1970s the U.S. suffered from severe inflation. Between when the program began in 1972, and first flight in April 1981, inflation increased prices over 200%. When evaluating shuttle development costs in later-year dollars, this superficially appeared to be a large cost overrun in the program. In fact when discounting inflation, the shuttle development program was within the initial cost estimate given to President Richard M. Nixon in 1971.

      The high shuttle operational costs have been much more than anticipated, if counting all associated support resources (total expenditures, including development costs, divided by number of flights). Some of this can be attributed to a lower flight rate, operating beyond the 10-year anticipated lifespan of each Shuttle, and higher than anticipated maintenance costs. The marginal or incremental per launch costs have been about 50% more than early projections.

      Some reasons for higher than expected operational costs can be ascribed to:

      Maintenance of thermal protection tiles turned out to be very labour intensive, averaging about 1 personweek to replace a tile, with hundreds damaged with each launch.

      The main engines were highly complex and maintenance intensive, necessitating removal and extensive inspection after each flight. Before the current "Block II" engines, the turbopumps (a primary engine component) had to be removed, dissembled, and totally overhauled after each flight.

      Launch rate is significantly lower than initially expected. This does not reduce actual operating costs, but if dividing total program costs by number of launches, more launches per year produces a lower per-launch cost figure. Some early hypothetical studies examined 55 launches per year, but the maximum possible launch rate was limited to 24 per year, based on manufacturing capacity of the external tank. Early in the shuttle development, the expected la

    9. Re:Costs by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      THe soyuz is about 50 million a launch for 3 guys (russia charges about 25M for tourists; 1/2 of the costs). Russia also sends up progresses for doing supplies. THe progress costs about the same (50 M) for 3200 kg of payload. A shuttle costs ~450 Million / launch (depends on number of launches per year, which leaves the high fixed costs spread across those), but can deliver 7 astronauts AND 24,400 KG. That is, it delivers more than 2x the ppl AND about 8x the cargo. So, do 8 * 50 for the cargo and 2 x soyuz, and you are at about the same costs. The 2 big difference is that the shuttle is the only one able to add large sections to the ISS, while the progress is able to stay in orbit for a LONG time.

      As to the weight issues, there are a number of launchers that can carry CLOSE to the shuttle, but not more. At this time, it is the largest.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:Costs by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, that is why something like 80% of ISS supplies did not arrive there by the Progress launch, no?

      And the major Russian modules had to be lifted by the Shuttle, certainly?

      Or perheaps the Russians use separate payload carriers which can range up to the Energia class of rockets which make the Space Shuttle look like a wimp at 4 times its payload to LEO and equal to the Shuttle's payload to .. Mars.

      So one should really compare 2 Soyuz capsules (6 people) + payload launch = 1 Space Shuttle launch. Still its something like $25 mil x 2 for the Soyuzes + $60 mil for the Energia (at the expensive, all frills added end - the technology is not radically different from the Soyuz boosters) = $110 mil per launch. Which is 1/4th of a relaunch of a Shuttle, never you mind the up-front $1.7 billion cost. And the Shuttle, unlike the Energia payload, is rather unlikely to make it to Mars or Venus.

      Not to mention that the thing is a death trap which killed 14 astronauts in the last two decades and is unlikely to stop there.

    11. Re:Costs by Daengbo · · Score: 1

      The second quote should be attributed, but it's not. See here. No time to preview. Meh.

    12. Re:Costs by Cecil · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Don't forget the Russian Proton K. As it's able to lift 22,000 kg to LEO, I believe it's third among today's launch vehicles behind the shuttle and the Delta 4 Heavy (which is brand new). There are a few others worth mentioning as well. The Titan IV is not too shabby at 21,700 kg, and the Atlas V can lift 20,000 kg.

      You're right that Saturn V is still king though, and will remain so for the immediate future. 118,000 kg, that's incredible, really.

    13. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But, could an American launch ever be as "cost effective" as a Russian?

      Russian labor is incredibly cheap, Kazakh even more so. Even the biggest brains don't command nearly the salaries their U.S. counterparts do (in fact many are lifetime military.) Their space program is almost entirely an "in-house" function of the government.

      Compare that to our space program, with its tangled web of contractors and subcontractors, hundreds of companies involved, expensive talent to keep from being snatched by Google. It's the age old story, of course, but doesn't it just naturally have to cost much much more to do anything here?

      (And for that matter, if the money is pumped back into the economy, particualrly the high-end tech sector is all of that $450 million really wasted?)

    14. Re:Costs by XNormal · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think you may be mixing up the Soyuz launcher with the Soyuz spacecraft.

      The launcher can lift 7,800 kg to LEO.

      --
      Stop worrying about the risks of nuclear power and start worrying about the risks of not using nuclear power.
    15. Re:Costs by BuR4N · · Score: 1

      But the un-manned "version" of Soyuz, Progress, can in its current incarnation lift around 2.5 - 3 tons of supply, both "dry" and "wet".

      --
      http://www.intellipool.se/ - Intellipool Network Monitor
    16. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kind of forgetting the Energia arent we? Its final incarnation, the Vulkan-Hercules could put 175 tonnes into orbit.

    17. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, can you build anything better, trash hauler? Or can you just spout bullshit on slashdot while masturbating in your feces?

    18. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Its Soviet cousin the N1, had a launch capacity of 75,000 kg. I guess we can't count it as it never successfully launched.

    19. Re:Costs by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I blame the exchange rates of the USD. I mean, between the time when the shuttles were created and today it lost like 50 percent of its value compared to European currencies.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    20. Re:Costs by Tom+Womack · · Score: 1

      It depends what you mean by weight to orbit.

      The Shuttle stack - the solid rocket boosters and the main engines - gets just under thirty tons of payload *and 68 tons of shuttle* into orbit, which is pretty close to the weight of the whole Apollo stack. In comparison, a big comsat might be seven tons, Envisat is eight tons, Hubble is eleven tons.

      This is why the Shuttle-C project, which would have used the rockets from the Shuttle to launch something much more like a standard payload, was so appealing; you could launch most of a Space Station, or enough fuel for a manned mission to Mars, in a single shot.

    21. Re:Costs by caluml · · Score: 1

      Maybe they just rounded off, but a third of a billion... Yeah, that's around £75,000 these days. You could buy a broom cupboard in Sheffield for that, and still have some money left over for a pint or two.
    22. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can tell an egg is rotten without the ability to lay eggs.
      Which part of his note was untrue?

    23. Re:Costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not about costs, they aren't dramatically different per kg.
      It's safety track record of oyuz that is really unparalleled, as already two full crews got killed in a Shuttle, not to mention also delays and additional costs this caused. US doesn't really have an alternative to Shuttle ATM, so they are put to shame as they rely on Russian relics (old but working surprisingly well throughout 40+ years).

      Someone mentioned Arianne. Regarding their cargo lifting reliability, ESA already lost too many rockets.
      It's like motorsport. More complicated machines fail more often, KISS principle seems to be a winner in this case.

    24. Re:Costs by coolGuyZak · · Score: 1

      He could have meant "an order of magnitude more expensive", but lacked the vocabulary. :)

    25. Re:Costs by FallOfDay · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Although - I don't know of anything else that can get as much weight to orbit as the shuttle."

      Saturn V lifted 118,000kg to LEO, Ares V will be 130,000kg to LEO. The shuttle is a mere 24,400kg to LEO (discounting the mass of the shuttle orbiter, itself).
      All would've been outperformed by a maximum-configuration Energia-Vulkan @ 175,000kg to LEO. Frankly, nobody's ever come up with anything like a big enough rocket to really put human spaceflight into gear (i.e. Putting supplies & 20-50 people up, at once). You'd be looking in the range in excess of one kiloton to LEO, for this (i.e. Lifting a mass equivalent to twice the ISS, simultaneously). Just for an idea of scale, this would make any rocket about eight times more massive than a Saturn V, using present engine technology.

      As has been pointed out elsewhere, Russian tech is excellent value & often to a higher standard than it's NASA equivalent. Energia-Vulkan would've put Ares V so shame, both on lifting ability &, no doubt, on cost too. A damned shame it was never fully developed, as it would've shown everyone the way forward. The price we pay for finishing off Communism, eh? However, it isn't as though NASA hasn't relied on Russian technology on their own rockets, in the past, either. The RD180 engine design was acquired pretty much straight from Energomash's RD170 & used on an Atlas rocket, just because it had a feedback mechanism to the engine, for unspent fuel, making the engine more efficient; something which NASA engineers hadn't even thought about.

    26. Re:Costs by BuishMeister · · Score: 1

      That's right 1.7 billion metric dollars is the same as 2.0 billion imperial dollars.

    27. Re:Costs by bleckywelcky · · Score: 1

      Wow, first time I've heard someone refer to the Shuttle as a "death trap".

      Funny.

    28. Re:Costs by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Wow, first time I've heard someone refer to the Shuttle as a "death trap".

      It is statistically the deadliest space vehicle ever produced (to its crew).

      Funny.

      Am sure the final crews of Challenger and Columbia thought so too!

    29. Re:Costs by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      When I first heard about the shuttle when I was a kid, it was sold as a "spaceship" type craft that would take off and land much like an aircraft. By the time it actually emerged (and Rockwell had cashed their huge check) the reality was more like a ridiculously expensive splash-down pod with wheels and a cargo bay. It is "reusable" only in the sense that, if you completely rebuild it and attach new giant rockets to it, you can use part of it again.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  3. Don't believe the $25 million by FlyingSquidStudios · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's just the sticker price. Then they hit you with the optional features like power steering and oxygen.

    1. Re:Don't believe the $25 million by empaler · · Score: 1

      It's just the sticker price. Then they hit you with the optional features like power steering and oxygen. Not to mention insurance.

      Would you bet on Soviet technology at an 80th the cost without having insurance?
    2. Re:Don't believe the $25 million by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 2, Insightful

      maybe you should consider the safety records of Soyuz vs the shuttle, before making such statements...

    3. Re:Don't believe the $25 million by aliquis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes.

      Also you would probably save your government a hell of a lot of money if you let the russians produce the hardware.

      If there is anything they do it's reliable stuff. (True for tanks, guns and whatever aswell.)

    4. Re:Don't believe the $25 million by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Given their record, yes. Or rather, I'd rather than bet on them than on the shuttles. Those shuttles are falling apart, either at start or reentry.

      Count the dead astronauts vs. dead cosmonauts, and watch when those accidents happened. On top of my head, I count one dead cosmonaut in Soyus I and three in another Soyus accident when they suffocated in reentry. Compared to 2x7 shuttle crews (and we won't count Apollo I for argument's sake since it wasn't in space), and the fact that both Soyus accidents were in the 60s and 70s, while the shuttles blew up in the 80s and after the millenium, I'd say Russian technology improves while US technology gets worse. Or rather, ages.

      In short, we have a capsule that went from really crappy to fairly reliable, and a bunch of shuttles that are past their prime and should be replaced. You can't go into space on the premise "it has to be cheap". Cheap==deadly in space.

      Training an astronaut costs a lot of money. Those people are expensive. Losing them costs you more than improving the crates to ship them.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:Don't believe the $25 million by glitchvern · · Score: 2, Informative

      maybe you should consider the safety records of Soyuz vs the shuttle, before making such statements... Their safety records are similar. The shuttle has flown 119 times, the initial 4 missions with a crew of 2 all following missions 5-8, only 2 have had 8. The shuttle has had 2 disasters with all hands lost. The soyuz has flown 98 times, has a maximum crew of three and has had 2 disasters with all hands lost. Some people like to point out the last fatal incident for a manned soyuz spacecraft was 1971, but an unmanned soyuz-u launch vehicle did explode as recently as 2002 killing one and injuring seven. Admittedly the soyuz launch vehicle used on manned missions does go through higher quality assurance, but basically the highest success rate your going to get for a launch vehicle is around 98%.
  4. Soviet Russia by Stormx2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know this may be a little controversial, but can we just skip all the "In Soviet Russia..." jokes? Regulars don't find them funny. They're only modded up by people who've just got mod points for the first time and want to fit in. Come on, be original!

    1. Re:Soviet Russia by FlyByPC · · Score: 2, Funny

      Regulars don't find them funny. Well, someone voted it Best Meme!

      In Soviet Russia, the memes mod YOU!
      --
      Paleotechnologist and connoisseur of pretty shiny things.
    2. Re:Soviet Russia by 2.7182 · · Score: 1

      Oh I understand all of a sudden. YOU ARE the guy whose been posting that troll that starts something like

      "I went into my local library bathroom and out comes this big blond guy from a stall..."

    3. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      You do realize that requests like this are about as effective here as on the playground in elementary school? "Stop doing X" is seen as an invitation to "Do more of X" by people who want to annoy you. And there is no shortage of people who want to do that. :)

    4. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In soviet Russia jokes write you

    5. Re:Soviet Russia by cyphercell · · Score: 0

      watch out guys, he's running with the mod squad, in soviet threads russia the trolls mod you! :)

      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    6. Re:Soviet Russia by Neon+Aardvark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm a regular, and I think "In Soviet Russia" jokes are funny precisely because they are so pointless and unfunny, just like the CowboyNeal poll options.

      --
      Azural - instrumentals
    7. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're only modded up by people who've just got mod points for the first time and want to fit in.

      They should move to Soviet Russia then. Because in Soviet Russia, they want you to fit in.

    8. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DON'T LISTEN TO PARENT POSTER, FOLKS.
      He wants us to forgot about the Soviet Union, being the neo-Stalinist that he is!

    9. Re:Soviet Russia by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Funny

      In Soviet Russia, memes don't find Slashdot regulars funny.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    10. Re:Soviet Russia by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

      Regulars don't find them funny. They're only modded up by people who've just got mod points for the first time and want to fit in.

      Yes, Mr Stormx2 1003260

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    11. Re:Soviet Russia by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Funny

      You must be new here

    12. Re:Soviet Russia by hasbeard · · Score: 1

      That's actually pretty good ;)

    13. Re:Soviet Russia by BungaDunga · · Score: 1

      In Soviet Russia, poll options you! ... Heh, yep, I still find them funny. In Soviet Russia, "In Soviet Russia" jokes find funny YOU!

    14. Re:Soviet Russia by fm6 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In Soviet Russia, worn out jokes own you!

      Actually, I suspect that many regulars do like the endless repetition of "in Soviet Russia" and "our x overlords". You and I get tired of hearing the same jokes over and over, but we might well be in the minority.

      One problem is that the mod system give you a way to mod up good jokes, but no way to mod down bad ones. ("Overrated" is not supposed to be used for that, though it sometimes is.) So anybody who has a reaction to a story that's even vaguely humorous jumps in with it, because theres a good chance they'll be modded up.

      Solution: balance the upmode "funny" with a new downmod: "lame".

    15. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I for one welcome our new "lame" moderating overlords.

    16. Re:Soviet Russia by Neurotoxic666 · · Score: 2, Funny

      In Soviet Russia, jokes mod YOU down.

      --
      You are more than the sum of what you consume. Desire is not an occupation.
    17. Re:Soviet Russia by zen-theorist · · Score: 1

      I know this may be a little controversial, but can we just skip all the "In Soviet Russia..." jokes? Regulars don't find them funny. They're only modded up by people who've just got mod points for the first time and want to fit in. Come on, be original!
      In Soviet Russia, the jokes find regulars funny!
    18. Re:Soviet Russia by kaizokuace · · Score: 0

      In Soviet Russia "In Soviet Russia" joke YOU!
      Also I don't need to fit in. And such jokes become funny again after you've beaten them down enough. It's hard work.

      --
      Balderdash!
    19. Re:Soviet Russia by BennyBigHair · · Score: 1

      those haven't been modded up in general for awhile
      there is still the occasional really good one that deserves to be modded
      honestly why do you worry? just don't mod it, or metamod it UNFUNNY

    20. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fine! How about ..

      "The city of Baikonur is not in charge of Gundam" ??

    21. Re:Soviet Russia by Paul+Jakma · · Score: 1

      You young 'uns. Now, when ah wur a lad...

      --
      I use Friend/Foe + mod-point modifiers as a karma/reputation system.
    22. Re:Soviet Russia by Brother+Seamus · · Score: 1

      ...endless repetition of "in Soviet Russia" and "our x overlords".

      ...no way to mod down bad ones. The "redundant" mod works nicely in these situations.
    23. Re:Soviet Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I always find them funny, you insensitive clod!

      Captcha: contrary

    24. Re:Soviet Russia by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      One problem is that the mod system give you a way to mod up good jokes, but no way to mod down bad ones. ("Overrated" is not supposed to be used for that, though it sometimes is.) So anybody who has a reaction to a story that's even vaguely humorous jumps in with it, because theres a good chance they'll be modded up.
      otoh funny doesn't give karma but overrated does take it away.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    25. Re:Soviet Russia by steelfood · · Score: 1

      There's also the matter of karma points, wherein the positive gets no karma points, while the negative loses karma points. So unless someone has karma to burn, posting something funny typically is a lose-lose situation.

      With a corresponding negative modifier, there'll be a lot less AC jokes, I'm sure.

      On the downside, it might introduce mod wars where a comment constantly jumps between 3 and 5 every few seconds because mods keep trying to add to or subtract from it. Unfortunately, what's funny and not is highly subjective and varies far more than the other modifiers, despite /.'s readers largely falling into one demographic.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    26. Re:Soviet Russia by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      I read slashdot for at least six months before I got my first account, then I lost the password and had to make a new account later. If only I knew then what I know now...

    27. Re:Soviet Russia by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Actually, I suspect that many regulars do like the endless repetition of "in Soviet Russia" and "our x overlords". You and I get tired of hearing the same jokes over and over, but we might well be in the minority.

      You just haven't heard them enough. It was funny the first time. It wasn't funny the 10th time. It's funny the 500th time... but for totally different reasons.

    28. Re:Soviet Russia by fm6 · · Score: 1

      It's funny the 500th time... but for totally different reasons.
      Do you and I belong to the same species? I'm skeptical. In any case, I have heard the ISR joke at least 500 times — it would be hard to browse Slashdot without that happening. Maybe the problem is that I didn't think it was funny the first time.
  5. In Soviet Russia... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slashdot fit you!

  6. Bargain space flight by davmoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Just off the top of my head...

    If the shuttle costs $2 billion, and a Soyuz is only $25 million, we could send up 80 Soyuz launches for that same $2 billion.

    And if we expand it to cover that there have been 5 shuttles built, that becomes 400 Soyuz flights.

    To put that in to perspective, there has only been 119 shuttle launches thus far, and 2 of those $2 billion dollar shuttles came back in little pieces parts. Plus, it doesn't even figure in launch expenses, just the price of the shuttles themselves. Hard to believe that way back when the shuttles were designed, they were expected to each be launched 100 times.

    At those rates, it doesn't matter that a Soyuz isn't reusable.

    --
    I want a new quote. One that won't spill. One that don't cost too much. Or come in a pill.
    1. Re:Bargain space flight by stoolpigeon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I mentioned the same above and have been doing some more digging. This popular mechanics interview with Greg Olsen was interesting. Here is the part that got it to pop up in my search:

      PM: Soyuz costs $50 million a mission--the space shuttle costs more than $2.5 billion to get back up, and under the best conditions it costs $500 million ...
      GO: That's tough. Remember, we could not have built the ISS without the shuttle. The shuttle has a huge cargo-carrying capacity. The Soyuz cannot do that, as reliable as it is. The shuttle has had its drawbacks, but it is the workhorse, and it was necessary in order to do the ISS.


      They give more about cost - and he gives one view about the shuttle's capacity that adds a different perspective.

      --
      It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    2. Re:Bargain space flight by maxume · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I dare, nay, double dare you to fit Hubble into a Soyuz capsule:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Space_Shuttle_vs_Soyuz_TM_-_to_scale_drawing.png

      The Shuttle is probably a stupid way to put people in orbit, but that isn't all it is used for.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Bargain space flight by tftp · · Score: 1
      Hard to believe that way back when the shuttles were designed, they were expected to each be launched 100 times.

      At that point (1970?) some complacency was setting in, around the generally successful Moon flights. The military also added fuel to the fire by asking for some configurations that are almost impossible. This resulted in a very complex machine, and one flight can bankrupt a medium-sized nation. Nobody knew how much has to be rebuilt after each flight until they got a vehicle back and looked at it.

      As an added annoyance, most of the options requested by the military were never used, and options requested by sane people (a launch abort that does not kill everyone, for example) were never implemented.

      Today everyone agrees that with technology and science that we have we can not build an economically feasible reusable craft of this size. Smaller ones are possible, and many are on drawing boards. But this space truck, with such an array of engines ... no way. An anti-gravity engine would fix all the troubles; but all the pyrotechnics that the Shuttle has demands respect, and costs a lot.

      With regard to launch costs, Wikipedia offers the calculation:

      Per-launch costs can be measured by dividing the total cost over the life of the program (including buildings, facilities, training, salaries, etc) by the number of launches. With 115 missions (as of 6 August 2006), and a total cost of $150 billion ($145 billion as of early 2005 + $5 billion for 2005,[7] this gives approximately $1.3 billion per launch. Another method is to calculate the incremental (or marginal) cost differential to add or subtract one flight -- just the immediate resources expended/saved/involved in that one flight. This is about $60 million.

    4. Re:Bargain space flight by ceejayoz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Of course, that argument requires the assumption that we couldn't possibly make something with similar carrying capacity to the shuttle for cheaper than $500 million to $2.5 billion per launch.

      The Saturn V had the ability to lift 118,000 kg to low earth orbit, to the Space Shuttle's 24,400 kg - and that at a similar cost per launch.

      The Delta IV can lift up to about the Space Shuttle's capacity at $250 million a launch. The Russian Proton-M can lift a little less than the Shuttle at $100 million a launch. There are plenty of alternatives to the Shuttle for launching large payloads.

    5. Re:Bargain space flight by clarkkent09 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The comparison seems a little bit unfair on the Shuttle.

      First of all, does the Soyuz figure of 25 mil include the cost of the launch vehicle or just the spacecraft? A search for per launch cost of Soyuz gives me figures from 40-60 mil.

      Secondly, Shuttle has a maximum payload of 50,000lb, Soyuz is more in the region of 15,000lb. That gives about $200 mil for 4 Soyuz launches versus $450 mil per one Shuttle launch for equivalent amount of cargo. Of course there is the initial cost of the shuttle as well to take into account but unlike Soyuz that is spread over multiple launches.

      Still, he only thing that really matters is the cost per pound of payload and Soyuz still beats Shuttle by a long way.

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    6. Re:Bargain space flight by seadd · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's tough. Remember, we could not have built the ISS without the shuttle. The shuttle has a huge cargo-carrying capacity. The Soyuz cannot do that, as reliable as it is. The shuttle has had its drawbacks, but it is the workhorse, and it was necessary in order to do the ISS. According to data from Wikipedia: SS payload to LEO: 24400kg Orbiter mass: 68,586.6kg So, to get 24 tons of cargo into orbit, we send nearly 70 tons extra. As a comparison, Russian Proton rocket launches 22 tons into orbit, and uses 40 years old proven design, and was used for launching the parts of the Mir station. So, why exactly do we need Space Shuttle? Do I hear someone mentioning Saturn 5?
    7. Re:Bargain space flight by silas_moeckel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It would seem a lot of the logic behind the shuttle was to get the gear and the people there on one transport. While I personally think the shuttles design was most about getting the funding not building the most efficient/safe unit.

      In any event it seems like the saturn v's could have gotten the IIS up in aprox 4 lifts, this would seem more efficient as there would be less hardware joining sections together.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    8. Re:Bargain space flight by Nim82 · · Score: 1

      The shuttle wasn't designed for building space stations, it was designed to service satellites (read spy birds) and bring them back down to perform maintenance if necessary (this was later found to be uneconomical and dropped). The Russians built Mir fine without a shuttle, the only real benefit of the shuttle is the additional crew and arm for space walks.. but there's no reason why they couldn't put 2 Soyuz's in orbit if needed (to beef the ISS crew up), or develop a more advanced orbital module for the role of constructor.

    9. Re:Bargain space flight by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I dare, nay, double dare you to fit Hubble into a Soyuz capsule:

      Why would you want to?

      Launch cargo(like satellites) on cargo rockets. Life people in capsules designed for people.

      As others have pointed out, there are a number of rockets capable of lifting a similar payload as the shuttle - for half the launch cost of the shuttle.

      I've seen figures of $500 million for a shuttle launch, $50M for a soyuz(including the capsule), $250 for the Delta IV.

      That means we can duplicate the shuttle for about three launches - 2 soyuz(a shuttle can hold more people) $100M total, and a Delta IV for $250M. This totals $350M, leaving me 150M off the launch costs alone to use for other purposes. Like building a space station that's actually useful.

      For rather less than the cost of a shuttle, you should be able to design a 'soyuz/apollo heavy' capable of lifting the same number of people as the shuttle.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    10. Re:Bargain space flight by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why would you want to launch the Hubble from the Shuttle? Use a Titan IV.

    11. Re:Bargain space flight by timeOday · · Score: 1

      Remember, we could not have built the ISS without the shuttle.
      Oh, so we should add another $100 billion to the shuttle's tab? The ISS is not much of a justification for anything.
    12. Re:Bargain space flight by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      Secondly, Shuttle has a maximum payload of 50,000lb, Soyuz is more in the region of 15,000lb.
      Lose a zero. Closer to 1,500lb (880kg) for Soyuz. Adjust your calcs accordingly.

    13. Re:Bargain space flight by CharlieG · · Score: 5, Informative

      Remember the MAIN design goal of the shuttle wasn't JUST to bring "stuff" to orbit, but to be able to bring sats DOWN from orbit - in fact, part of the design criteria was launch from Vandenburg, grab a sat, and LAND in ONE orbit (Military wanted to be able to snach Sats)

      They did bring 2 or 3 Sats down from orbit in the early days

      --
      -- 73 de KG2V For the Children - RKBA! "You are what you do when it counts" - the Masso
    14. Re:Bargain space flight by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

      In any event it seems like the saturn v's could have gotten the IIS up in aprox 4 lifts

      And it put Skylab up in one.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    15. Re:Bargain space flight by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Von Braun's body is a moulderin' in the ground so we aint got Saturn V's no more.

      To be quite serious there are a lot of people and infrastructure missing to recreate a Saturn V so it would be better to do something else that it's designers understand in every detail from early in it's development. The Russians have a large rocket in development - there's an ISS so why not international effort on a launch vehicle?

    16. Re:Bargain space flight by clarkkent09 · · Score: 1

      Ok, I was talking about the maximum payload capacity for the launch vehicle: http://www.fas.org/spp/guide/russia/launch/soyuz.htm 7,300kg = about 15,000lb

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    17. Re:Bargain space flight by kestasjk · · Score: 0

      I hear the Mexican Space program can get a whale to the moon for $100

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    18. Re:Bargain space flight by ckolar · · Score: 1

      That is either unfunny or flamebait. There are more engineering students in Mexico than in the United States right now. So if there is a race to get a whale to the moon, they will probably bury us.

    19. Re:Bargain space flight by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      Is it really true that the ISS could not have been built without the space shuttle? The shuttle has a maximum payload of around 100 tons but as far as I know this amount of payload has rarely if ever been flown during the entire shuttle program (the chandra x-ray observatory payload weighed 50 tons or so, but that was not part of the ISS construction). The Russian Proton heavy lift rocket is reputed to be have a lifting capacity of 22 tons for Low Earth Orbit and even if more launches were needed to accomodate this somewhat lower payload it would still have been cheaper (almost certainly) than using the shuttles to build the ISS as we did.

    20. Re:Bargain space flight by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      The Hubble Space Telescope could have just as easily been launched using either Delta IV OR Proton M rockets instead of the Shuttle. It might be argued that the subsequent servicing mission to correct the optics (an uforseen event) would have required the shuttle, but that does not negate the central point that the Hubble *could* have been launched without the Shuttle.

    21. Re:Bargain space flight by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      If the shuttle costs $2 billion, and a Soyuz is only $25 million, we could send up 80 Soyuz launches for that same $2 billion.

      Sure. If all we were sending were cargo in 50lb chunks or people, that would make sense.
       
       

      To put that in to perspective

      The perspective is simple - your 'analysis' concerns itself only with costs. It utterly ignore capabilities. Which makes it irrelevant.
    22. Re:Bargain space flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      it would be better to do something else that it's designers understand in every detail from early in it's development.

      The Ares V is in development. It can carry even more than the Saturn V.

    23. Re:Bargain space flight by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Launch cargo(like satellites) on cargo rockets. Life people in capsules designed for people.

      Why? If you can't trust a rocket with billion dollar one-of-a-kind payloads, why should you trust it with people? Conversely, if you can't trust a rocket with people - why would you trust it with billion dollar one-of-a-kind payloads?
       
      [The following is in reference to duplicating a Hubble delivery or servicing mission.]

      That means we can duplicate the shuttle for about three launches - 2 soyuz(a shuttle can hold more people) $100M total, and a Delta IV for $250M. This totals $350M, leaving me 150M off the launch costs alone to use for other purposes. Like building a space station that's actually useful.

      It also means you triple the launch risk[1], since you are now launching three vehicles rather than one. You also double the re-entry risk[2], since you are now landing two space craft rather than one.
       
      Then you run into another problem - a stock Soyuz cannot support spacewalks, which means a hypothetical servicing mission now requires a launch just for a servicing support mission module, which will wipe out your savings - and more. Then there is the problem of Soyuz's severely limited on-orbit duration, something a little over 100 odd hours (compared to 400 odd for Shuttle) - as Soyuz is a highly specialized space station taxi. With a space station to go to and to provide power and life support, you'll need to either modify the Soyuz or buy an additional launch (and module) for each and every non-station mission you use it for. (And niether will be cheap - either will wipe out your 'savings' and more.[3])
       
       

      As others have pointed out, there are a number of rockets capable of lifting a similar payload as the shuttle - for half the launch cost of the shuttle.

      But there is no single vehicle capable of duplicating the capabilities of the Shuttle - at any price. And, as demonstrated above, you'll be hard pressed to do it cheaper with any existing vehicles.

      I cannot claim that Shuttle is without problems - but your analysis of replacing the Shuttle with Soyuz fails when you actually compare capabilities directly rather than simplistically and naively compating raw costs.

      You can't compare apples to oranges on price alone.

      Notes:
      ------
      [1] Soyuz (the capsule) has had two non fatal complete loss-of-mission accidents during launch, and (IIRC) five non-fatal complete loss-of-mission incidents on orbit. Soyuz (the booster) has had several dozen launch failures. The capsule and the booster, separately or together, have a reliability level that is roughly the same as the Shuttle. Delta IV doesn't have enough of a record to evaluate it's reliability, but one of the six flights to date had serious problems - which is not very promising.

      [2] Soyuz (the capsule), if you will recall, has had not one but _two_ fatal re-entry accidents. It also has a long string of near fatal accidents (like jettisioning a module early, or jettisioning a module late), and a long string of serious landing incidents (like landing significantly off trajectory or off target), plus the loss-of-mission accidents and incidents mentioned in note 1, . The amazing part is that the Soyuz capsule has accomplished all this in thirty fewer flights than the shuttle - which has accumulated two fatal accidents and no complete loss-of-mission incidents. (IIRC the Shuttle has had three partial loss-of-mission incidents, all of which were later reflown. None of the Soyuz loss-of-mission incidents were.)

      [3] No, its not as simple and easy as adding tankage to Soyuz. (Actually, even adding tankage isn't easy and simple, or cheap, in it's right.)
    24. Re:Bargain space flight by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Why would you use the only vehicle ever built that makes Shuttle look like a bargain?

    25. Re:Bargain space flight by MadMorf · · Score: 1

      At those rates, it doesn't matter that a Soyuz isn't reusable.

      Well, if you don't take payload into account, as mentioned previously...

      400 Soyuz flights * 880kg payload = 352,000 kg lifted to orbit.

      119 Shuttle Flights * 24400kg payload = 2,903,600 kg lifted to orbit.

      So...Significantly different.

      Ariane 5 and Delta IV are still better deals, but Soyuz, not so much.

    26. Re:Bargain space flight by Rocketship+Underpant · · Score: 1

      "It would seem a lot of the logic behind the shuttle was to get the gear and the people there on one transport."

      Besides, it's the only current space vehicle that you can realistically do a spacewalk outside of, and then demand that someone open the pod-bay doors for you.

      --
      He who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.
    27. Re:Bargain space flight by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      The Shuttle is usually a stupid way to get anything into orbit. If it wasn't a sacred cow, I think NASA would get much cheaper ways to get heavier payloads into orbit. It didn't do certain things that it was good at very often, which was take very large payloads and bring them back. It was used to repair the Hubble, but NASA can build & launch specialized telescopes that greatly advance cosmology and astrophysics for about the cost of a shuttle servicing mission. Most of those don't get such in terms of nice pictures for the public. I think public pressure is why Hubble still gets servicing considerations that it might not otherwise get, not that I'm complaining, Hubble can still do many things that the other orbiting and ground-based telescopes can't.

    28. Re:Bargain space flight by khallow · · Score: 1

      The economics of the Titan IV were peculiar due both to its extremely low launch frequency, the impromptu nature of its creation, and apparently the rocket was assembled in a peculiar and costly way. With NASA's vehicle assembly building to ease stacking of a Titan IV and a bunch of NASA flights, I doubt the Titan IV would look so bad.

    29. Re:Bargain space flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I dare, nay, double dare you to fit Hubble into a Soyuz capsule:"

      As many other commentators have pointed out, Soyuz the capsule is not Soyuz the launcher... and there are many other launchers able to loft Shuttle payloads, unmanned, at much lower cost and much higher assurance of availability.

      "The Shuttle is probably a stupid way to put people in orbit, but that isn't all it is used for."

      There is only one thing a Shuttle can do that other launchers can't- bring stuff back in the cargo bay. But only if you build special adaptors to put into the cargo bay, which themselves take up some part of the return weight. And only if you can maintain the weight-and-balance restrictions neccessary to allow the Shuttle to fly in the atmosphere. For this luxury, you pay the exorbinant cost of lofting wings into space. From the very earliest days of rocketry, folks have looked at the exorbinant cost of throwing away expensive launchers... and have tried to get around that by adding wings. The wings thing just hasn't worked. Neither have many other recovery options. Too much weight- another way to look at it: the Shuttle stack is actually able to loft weights similar to other heavy lifters ( Saturn V, Energia, N-1, etc )... unfortunately, most of that weight is Shuttle. Maybe someday the whole wings thing will be figured out. But that is going to take a bit more than what we know right now, and it is hard to beat assembly-line launch rates of reliable launchers ( Soyuz, Proton, etc ) even if they must not seem to be glamorous. Plenty of satellite owners will settle for reliable and cheap.

    30. Re:Bargain space flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately the Saturn V is no longer an option. Hasn't been for decades. The people who knew how to put it together are long gone, as are the companies who made the very special parts needed to make it work. Pumps working at insane speeds and pressures as they supply fuel and oxidizer to the engines. I'm told that the plans etc for the Saturn V occupy 5 large hangars on a desert AFB.

    31. Re:Bargain space flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The Saturn V had the ability to lift 118,000 kg to low earth orbit, to the Space Shuttle's 24,400 kg - and that at a similar cost per launch."


      I think you are confused about mass to LEO versus mass of useful payload. The STS system delivers 285,000lbs to orbit, of which is up to 60,000lbs of payload. Much of the orbiter mass flies back to Earth. The Saturn delivered about 250,000lbs of S-IVB stage, Apollo Command Module, and Apollo Lunar Module to orbit, which is significantly *less* than STS. The Shuttle is indeed a marvel. Ares V will trump them all at 350,000lbs LEO.


    32. Re:Bargain space flight by sgarringer · · Score: 1

      They can also, apparently, launch a Southpark reference right over your head.

    33. Re:Bargain space flight by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Why? If you can't trust a rocket with billion dollar one-of-a-kind payloads, why should you trust it with people? Conversely, if you can't trust a rocket with people - why would you trust it with billion dollar one-of-a-kind payloads?

      Suitability for purpose. Cargo rocket, capsule for people. You can put the capsule on the same rocket you launch cargo with if it's reliable enough.

      People take a lot of support equipment to exist up in space. A satellite shouldn't need any of that, so you simply shield it so it's safe during launch.

      Think of it as the difference between a personnel car vs a cargo car on a train. The personnel car is going to have much more ventilation, heating, cooling, bathrooms, etc... Unless the cargo car is for something special, it's not going to have any of that.

      It also means you triple the launch risk[1], since you are now launching three vehicles rather than one. You also double the re-entry risk[2], since you are now landing two space craft rather than one.

      Statistically it's a wash though, as you're also less likely to loose the whole crew. The shuttle is currently sitting at ~2% chance of complete loss per mission. Soyuz capsules are doing better than that.

      Then there is the problem of Soyuz's severely limited on-orbit duration, something a little over 100 odd hours (compared to 400 odd for Shuttle) - as Soyuz is a highly specialized space station taxi.

      I'm argueing that a taxi is exactly what we need though.

      you'll need to either modify the Soyuz or buy an additional launch (and module) for each and every non-station mission you use it for. (And niether will be cheap - either will wipe out your 'savings' and more.

      Actually, in another post I suggested designing and deploying a space-only servicer, launched from a space station. The ISS isn't in a very good orbit for it, but it can be done. Supplies come up via the cheap cargo booster.

      But there is no single vehicle capable of duplicating the capabilities of the Shuttle - at any price. And, as demonstrated above, you'll be hard pressed to do it cheaper with any existing vehicles.

      Very true. What I'm arguing is that a fleet of dedicated vehicles can duplicate what the shuttle can do - ultimately cheaper and faster. I'm replacing an enourmous bus SUV with a couple of geo metros and a panel van.

      I cannot claim that Shuttle is without problems - but your analysis of replacing the Shuttle with Soyuz fails when you actually compare capabilities directly rather than simplistically and naively compating raw costs.

      And you seem to keep ignoring that I'm not proposing replacing the shuttle with just Soyuz - I'm including dedicated cargo lifters in there and extensive use of a space station.

      You can't compare apples to oranges on price alone.

      It's not such a comparison though. How many satellites other than Hubble has the shuttle serviced? Most of it's missions today are servicing the ISS.

      The shuttle can carry X people, Y pounds into orbit for Z amount of time.

      A couple soyuzs can carry X people, a cargo rocket makes the difference up for Y, and the ISS or any replacement handily beats Z.

      Soyuz (the capsule), if you will recall, has had not one but _two_ fatal re-entry accidents.

      Hmm... Two fatal accidents for soyuz, both occuring 30 years ago, whereas our accidents occured in the last two decades.
      In addition, if you look at the people launched and the fatality rate, the Soyuz has a slightly better safety record than the Shuttle.

      I'm not talking about using the Soyuz platform exclusively. And updated, larger, more capable, and reliable capsule is desireable.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    34. Re:Bargain space flight by ckolar · · Score: 1

      I was writing my essay and it went right over my head.

    35. Re:Bargain space flight by maxume · · Score: 1

      Sure. That doesn't make the OP's comment any less silly, as operating a people carrier alone is a much different thing than doing people and big cargo.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    36. Re:Bargain space flight by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      In other words, you don't want to use a real Titan IV - you want to use some fantasy Titan IV. I guess anything is possible in fiction.

    37. Re:Bargain space flight by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It also means you triple the launch risk[1], since you are now launching three vehicles rather than one. You also double the re-entry risk[2], since you are now landing two space craft rather than one.

      Statistically it's a wash though, as you're also less likely to loose the whole crew.

      The chances of losing a whole mission/crew are irrelevant when you've significantly increased the chances of a partial loss. (And significantly increased the chance of killing some of the crew, from 2% to 4%.)

      The shuttle is currently sitting at ~2% chance of complete loss per mission. Soyuz capsules are doing better than that.

      The Soyuz is currently sitting at about 2% chance of a complete loss per mission - how, precisely, is that better than the Shuttle? Especially considering the history of the Soyuz. Hell, it had a serious failure yesterday - the second in just ten missions!

      you'll need to either modify the Soyuz or buy an additional launch (and module) for each and every non-station mission you use it for. (And niether will be cheap - either will wipe out your 'savings' and more.

      Actually, in another post I suggested designing and deploying a space-only servicer, launched from a space station. The ISS isn't in a very good orbit for it, but it can be done.

      It doesn't matter which orbit you put your station into - 90-99% of satellites are going to be inaccessible from it without a large (and heavy and complex) OTV and tens of tons (if not hundreds of tons) of fuel. Period.

      But there is no single vehicle capable of duplicating the capabilities of the Shuttle - at any price. And, as demonstrated above, you'll be hard pressed to do it cheaper with any existing vehicles.

      Very true. What I'm arguing is that a fleet of dedicated vehicles can duplicate what the shuttle can do - ultimately cheaper and faster.

      And that's a problem - you are merely arguing, I'm introducing facts - facts which you persistently ignore.

      I cannot claim that Shuttle is without problems - but your analysis of replacing the Shuttle with Soyuz fails when you actually compare capabilities directly rather than simplistically and naively compating raw costs.

      And you seem to keep ignoring that I'm not proposing replacing the shuttle with just Soyuz - I'm including dedicated cargo lifters in there and extensive use of a space station.

      And I pointed out the problems with your fleet of cargo lifters and the use of a space station. Your proposal fails because you keep compating costs and ignoring capabilities.

      You can't compare apples to oranges on price alone.

      It's not such a comparison though. How many satellites other than Hubble has the shuttle serviced? Most of it's missions today are servicing the ISS.

      There have been (IIRC) 4-6 satellite recovery/repair missions (other than Hubble). That doesn't count the 4-6 missions of experiments that have flown multiple times. Even when it comes to servicing ISS, your proposed system founders - because of the cost of the increased capability to support assembly spacewalks that using a Soyuz/cargo lifter system will require. Not to mention the increased cost, weight, and complexity that delivered cargo will require - since the cargo vehicle and/or the payload itself will have to supply the support and delivery functions currently provided by the Shuttle. (And which are reuseable to boot.)

      The shuttle can carry X people, Y pounds into orbit for Z amount of time.

      A coupl

    38. Re:Bargain space flight by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The chances of losing a whole mission/crew are irrelevant when you've significantly increased the chances of a partial loss. (And significantly increased the chance of killing some of the crew, from 2% to 4%.)

      Depends on the failure mode. RAID 0 array, yes, this would be bad. Raid 5 array, this would be good. Can at least some of the mission go on with the surviving astronaughts?

      Besides, did I or did I not propose developing a better equivalent of the soyuz?

      The Soyuz is currently sitting at about 2% chance of a complete loss per mission - how, precisely, is that better than the Shuttle? Especially considering the history of the Soyuz. Hell, it had a serious failure yesterday - the second in just ten missions!

      Serious failure; not 'complete loss of craft to include all passangers'.

      It doesn't matter which orbit you put your station into - 90-99% of satellites are going to be inaccessible from it without a large (and heavy and complex) OTV and tens of tons (if not hundreds of tons) of fuel. Period.

      Time; solar panels; ion engines; light craft. Once you're off the ground you can afford to be creative with your thrusting. You're not restricted to chemical engines.

      And I pointed out the problems with your fleet of cargo lifters and the use of a space station. Your proposal fails because you keep compating costs and ignoring capabilities.

      As far as I'm concerned, you keep ignoring me when I address capabilities. I compare costs for comparable capabilities. Sure, I use more vehicles to do that - but you can save a lot of mass by using special use vehicles, and that's the most expensive thing in space.

      It doesn't matter how long ago the accidents occurred - they still count in the statistics. (Especially considering the ongoing issues with Soyuz, issues you chose to ignore.)

      I'm just pointing out the death rate. And yes, it does matter 'how long ago' the accidents occured - If you don't, it can become like saying cars are unsafe today by looking at Model T deaths; the state of art has progressed since then.

      You don't forget about them, but it'd be perfectly valid to place a factor in the statistics that emphasises recent occurances.

      Actually, no. Shuttle has killed a smaller percentage of it's passengers and crew that Soyuz. In addition, no matter how you count it (total bodies carried, or total individuals carried) Shuttle has transported either three times as many, or four times as many, people to orbit as Soyuz.

      Again, I'm not married to the Soyuz. It's just the closest competitor for manned space flight the shuttle has today. We could ressurrect the apollo program. I'd like to see a US design based on the Soyuz. Get creative.

      I'd just like to get away from the space bus vehicle we have now and go to dedicated systems. People are lifted in systems designed for people. Cargo is pre-launched via cargo rocket.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    39. Re:Bargain space flight by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that for what we could be saving by transitioning to something other than the shuttle we could probably send up a new Hubble every year or two (sure, the cost of the Hubble was huge - but that was for ONE - the second has to be a lot cheaper). It is like buying non-refundable tickets - the 1/100 flights you cancel doesn't cost nearly as much as what you'd pay every time for the right to cancel at the last minute.

    40. Re:Bargain space flight by khallow · · Score: 1

      As I see it, you don't understand the tradeoffs that went into the Titan IV, hence you don't understand my remark. The Titan IV was the Department of Defense's emergency workaround for the Space Shuttle after the Challenger disaster. They had to duplicate all the infrastructure that NASA already had in place. Further, they put into place various expensive innovations like a mobile launch platform, wheeled out on rails, that only made sense with high launch volumes (the Shuttle experienced the same problem of lower than expected launch frequency). Also, they used hypergolic propellants which would have been unnecessary for a NASA vehicle. As I mention earlier, there apparently were other complex and expensive payload integration issues. Since there were only 22 launches, the economics wasn't there to justify the program.

      The point is that NASA had most of the necessary infrastructure in place for the Titan IV and the extra launches would have driven the price of the vehicle down naturally. Come to think of it, if NASA had been involved from the begining and the Titan IV had a proper development cycle, we'd probably have ended up with something similar to either the Atlas V heavy or the Delta IV heavy.

    41. Re:Bargain space flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, they would probably just tunnel up to the shuttle launch pad and sneak the undocumented whale payload onto the shuttle for a free ride.

  7. Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "The Soyuz spacecraft designed in the mid-1960s is still in service, somewhat modified. It can only be used once, but costs just $25 million. The newest Endeavor space shuttle cost $2 billion, but is reusable"

    Each shuttle mission costs a half-billion to launch. So many systems have to be rebuilt and retested that it would be cheaper to make them throw-away.

    For example, by the time the shuttle engines are on the launch pad, they've been rebuilt pretty much from scratch and retested, which takes up almost 90% of their rated lifetime. Like a race car engine that has to be rebuilt every 750 miles, but is test for 675 miles before the race ...

    Saying the shuttle is re-usable without looking at the real costs is ignoring reality.

    1. Re:Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      What I want to know is, how do I get ahold of a used Soyuz capsule? It would make just about the most awesome lawn decoration/flower planter possible ;).

      Or even a little piece of it; something big enough and flat enough to turn into a coffee table. I'm not picky.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    2. Re:Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by glitchvern · · Score: 4, Informative

      For example, by the time the shuttle engines are on the launch pad, they've been rebuilt pretty much from scratch and retested, which takes up almost 90% of their rated lifetime. Is this still true? I know at the beginning of the shuttle program this was true, but that was about 5 major space shuttle main engine versions ago. Phase II engines first flew September 29, 1988 (STS-26 first post Challenger flight); Block 1 engines first flew July 13, 1995 (STS-70); Block IIa engines first flew January 22, 1998 (STS-89); Block II engines, which yes came after Block IIa engines, first flew July 12 2001 (STS-104) Boeing SSME paper. From 1992 to 2000 Space Shuttle annual operating costs decreased 40% Nasa Fact Sheet in part due to decreased SSME maintenance costs. How much does it costs to rebuild a Block II SSME? I can't find any numbers for that anywhere. It should be noted that a Block II SSME is the most reliable rocket engine ever built in large part because it's reuseability allows extensive static fire testing of each engine. The space shuttle may be crap, but a lot of the parts are awesome and SSME is one of them. It'll be a shame we will no longer use them when we discontinue the space shuttle, but attaching expensive reusable engines to an expendable booster really doesn't make a lot of sense.
    3. Re:Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      For example, by the time the shuttle engines are on the launch pad, they've been rebuilt pretty much from scratch and retested, which takes up almost 90% of their rated lifetime.
      Is this still true?

      No, it isn't, and hasn't been for years. IIRC current generation SSME's are removed for inspection and testing (without dissasembly) every second flight and are removed for overhaul (IOW, dissasembly) every fourth flight.
    4. Re:Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      The Space Shuttle Main Engines are now marvels of modern engineering because of all the highly expensive testing and experience that went into building them. They are the only restartable main engines in the world, including any of the great rocket engines the Russians have. The first iterations of the SSME were not good at all. They were designed component-by-component then stuck together without much testing as a unit. The engine also suffered from all sorts of integration problems. Through all the testing, engineers were able to build new models of the SSME that were much improved in terms of lowered maintenance costs and reliability.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    5. Re:Reusable shuttle? Not really .. by bbc · · Score: 1

      What I want to know is, how do I get ahold of a used Soyuz capsule? It would make just about the most awesome lawn decoration/flower planter possible ;).


      You probably need to contact Roscosmos (I assume they own the modules).

      But you could also go for the Soviet Union's test shuttles, as several of them are for sale at buran.ru.
  8. OK by yoprst · · Score: 0, Redundant

    can we just skip all the "In Soviet Russia..." jokes? Regulars don't find them funny
    Ok, but only once

  9. Reliability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "unbearably hot in summer, freezing cold in winter and dusty year round"

    I wonder if having to design for these adversities has helped make launch vehicles more reliable ours seem to be. Instead of spending a bunch of bucks for clean rooms we should be designing our stuff to just work!

  10. The Space Shuttle is GREAT by tjstork · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It seems rather fashionable to knock the Space Shuttle - it's expensive, it was overhyped, putting the thing on the side of the tank is a design mistake, and the tiles are a maintenance nightmare. It's easy to knock the Shuttle and demand a retreat to older style systems, and I've done it. But the more and more I think about it, the more I think, junking the shuttle and the approach of the orbital space plane is a huge mistake.

    We are all aware of the negatives of the shuttle, but let's look at some of the positives of this system. First and foremost, the interior of the space shuttle is -huge- compared to the interior of a Soyuz, or for that matter, any other manned space craft. The Soyuz can bring up 2 or 3 astronauts, while shuttle missions with 6 or 7 are not uncommon. The Soyuz, the Apollo and the nascent Orion are essentially ballistic nosecones with people stuffed in it. The space shuttle has a habital volume, for its crew compartment alone, of over 70 cubic meters. The soyuz, on the other hand, has a habital volume of just 7 cubic meters. Astronauts in these capsules basically sit in their chairs, but in the shuttle they can get up, move around, and do things. The space shuttle is practically a space station in its own right.

    The space shuttle has a cargo bay, and, thanks to the Canadians, has a really cool mechanical arm. The cargo bay can be pressurized for even more space, or it can contain additional research facilities. Have we forgotten that the European Space Agency has flown a science station in the space shuttle cargo bay already? Have we forgotten about the repairs made to Hubble? The Space Shuttle can and has repaired other satellites, and right now, is the ONLY SYSTEM that can bring them back a largish cargo from space to earth.

    Everyone seems to like knocking NASA, cheering on the likes of Burt Rutan and the X-Prize in hopes for some private sector miracle, but I've not seen any private sector initiative, from scratch, put so much as a suitcase into orbit, certainly not a man, and nothing like the space shuttle. Those fancy suborbital flights are a joke - 3000mph requires a fraction of the total kinetic energy to attain the orbital velocity of over 17000mph. Let me know when anyone, really, anyone builds something as cool as the shuttle...and the thing is, when we're back to tiny capsules for manned space flight, when the naysayers win and the shuttles are tossed off to museums, everyone is going to compare the capsule to the shuttle and say geez, by far, the shuttle was the cooler thing, and the capsule is a step backwards, not forward, and that our next space ship should have been a newer version of the shuttle, not a rehashed capsule.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by corsec67 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One of the biggest problems with the Shuttle is that the crew area is on the side of the external fuel tank, and the booster rockets. Yes, capsules on top may be "old hat," but it is a lot safer when you are going up and all of the almost-explosive stuff is under you. That, and there is nothing to fall onto the crew part. Who cares if the insulation on the tank gets damaged if it is below the crew part.

      For example, how many missions prior to the Shuttle had problems with insulation falling onto other parts of the rocket?

      I am not saying that a capsule instantly makes it safe, but it does alleviate a bunch of concerns NASA has with the Shuttle, especially since the Columbia accident.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    2. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of truth there - reminds me of the Concorde in many respects.

    3. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by rbanffy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's true the shuttle does things that are really necessary and quite cool - getting people to space and back, getting big things to space and getting other big things back, but the fact that those abilities are seldom needed at once is a killer.

      There must be a way to ferry big stuff into orbit frequently - even if it is just a truckload of provisions for the ISS or a whole vehicle capable of taking a crew to the Moon and back. There must be a way to send people to the ISS and back. There must be a way to allow those people already in space to repair expensive stuff like the Hubble. Finally, there should probably be a way to return things the size of the Hubble back to Earth in one piece.

      Sending large things to orbit is very frequent, ferrying people is less frequent and bringing back stuff is even less frequent if needed at all.

      Having something that does all three at the same time seems like a bad idea.

    4. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Great, it's a reusable space station. The point that I'd make is that it shouldn't be. For the cost of what we do with it, we could have an even larger permanent space station, just use smaller capsules(and large cargo rockets) to get there.

      Design a space station that only has to survive being lifted once, and doesn't have to come down intact. Heck, make it modular - remove pieces as they wear out and let them drop back if you want to.

      For satellite repair design a space tug that can go out with some astronauts and the robotic arm to conduct repairs on satellites. It should be almost an order of magnitude lighter than the shuttle, so it shouldn't take much fuel. For longer repairs, consider hauling the satellite back to the station. Heck, have a bigalow structure you can haul larger cargo into and pressurize if you want.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by khallow · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The reason the Shuttle is a bad idea and remains so, is that it isn't economical to use. Many of those capabilities are unnecessary and add little value to the Shuttle. That's why it's only being used for launching ISS components and a Hubble repair mission. If the ISS were complete, the Shuttle would already be dead, and we'd be saving ourselves $2 billion or more a year.

      Everyone seems to like knocking NASA, cheering on the likes of Burt Rutan and the X-Prize in hopes for some private sector miracle, but I've not seen any private sector initiative, from scratch, put so much as a suitcase into orbit, certainly not a man, and nothing like the space shuttle. Those fancy suborbital flights are a joke - 3000mph requires a fraction of the total kinetic energy to attain the orbital velocity of over 17000mph. Let me know when anyone, really, anyone builds something as cool as the shuttle...and the thing is, when we're back to tiny capsules for manned space flight, when the naysayers win and the shuttles are tossed off to museums, everyone is going to compare the capsule to the shuttle and say geez, by far, the shuttle was the cooler thing, and the capsule is a step backwards, not forward, and that our next space ship should have been a newer version of the shuttle, not a rehashed capsule.

      Orbital Sciences and the Pegasus did just that in the late 80's. NASA started feeding them contracts so they wouldn't compete with the big players. Second, those fancy suborbital flights are closer to orbit than you think. They have higher delta-v's due to gravitational and air resistance losses (I'd say it turns a factor of five into a factor of 2-4). Also you can stage lifters. My take is that a three stage rocket will get you there. And we all know there are two stage to orbit launchers out there. No reason a private company can't repeat with its own funds what a private company did with government funds.

      Ultimately, economics is far more important than "coolness". The Shuttle never was economical. Too bad it took us around thirty years to figure that out.

    6. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by caffeine_high · · Score: 1

      and it has wings. :-)

      --
      The smarter home exchange, http://switchhomes.net
    7. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by confused+one · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't knock the shuttle generally. It's a fantastic machine. Everything you say about it is true. BTW, that includes the negatives about the tiles and mounting the thing on the side of a tank that you can't escape from. The problem is that it's such a marvelously complicated machine, that it's MTBF is unacceptably low. It's OVERcomplicated, being a system full of compromises designed in by multiple committees with differing goals. Don't misunderstand me, I love the things. BTW, FWIW I work for a NASA contractor adjacent to the Langley facility. It bothers me that about 1 in 100 have not returned in one piece. As an engineer, it also bothers me that the system is running wayyyy beyond it's design life.

      The Soyuz system is remarkable in that it's been reliable. They're not perfect. Yes, they had fatal accidents, however, the last one occured in 1971. They learned from those failures and implemented design changes in the later modules. Yes, it's also true that Soyuz has only flown around 100 manned flights; but, even when it fails, as the NAV system did today, the people return alive. That's a reputation that's hard to argue with.

      I think what we've learned from operating the shuttle and looking at the Russian program, is that simple makes for a better MTBF and does it at a lower cost. It may not be gee-wiz. It may appear to be a step backward. If this means the people come home alive, it's the right move. Use the big boosters, in parallel, to put the equipment in space and then have the people meet it there.

      It's like we tried to run, when we didn't know how to walk yet. We stumbled a few times, scrapped our knees. Now we're being a little more cautious as we learn to walk with confidence. We'll run again, when the times right, that is, when the technology catches up and the infrastructure is in place.

    8. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by rbanffy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In fact, the Buran design was superior - it had no lift engines of its own and could ride on top of the real rocket. This simplifies the loads on the main rocket, allow for more cargo and makes the vehicle immune to insulation damage.

      Of course the Soviets noticed this was a bad idea (it would be smarter to send the cargo on top of the Energia rocket and not carry Buran's dead weight) and aborted the project after the first flight.

      They could have aborted it before, but then there was that national pride thing...

    9. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      Of course the Soviets noticed this was a bad idea (it would be smarter to send the cargo on top of the Energia rocket and not carry Buran's dead weight) and aborted the project after the first flight.

      That's a bit revisionist. The design was not in question. The Soviets ran out of money. If they hadn't they would have continued with the program.
    10. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "First and foremost, the interior of the space shuttle is -huge- compared to the interior of a Soyuz, or for that matter, any other manned space craft. "

      That's exactly what we're complaining about, and the reason it's such a stupid design. It's large. It DOESN'T need to be. So most of the time you are carting useless weight around, except for the few times you have a Hubble to carry.

      And the Soyuz rockets can easily carry something big if they have to. They just make a biger nose cone for it. The size issues that are being made in this argument are irrelevant. What happened is that we believed in Hollywood, and made a Space Truck for a job which would have been better done by a Space Motorcycle!

    11. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by rbanffy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not revisionist to think they probably ran out of money _because_ the Buran solved no real problem that had not already been solved with other technologies. Had the Buran a real task to do, it would probably get some funding.

      Since the intention behind it (and other projects as well) was to give technical parity between the two superpowers and the Buran gave nothing new (the USSR could launch people and cargo to space better without it), it got scrapped. They could not afford to let the US develop something significantly better, so they had to do something on the same lines, just to be safe. The main difference is they took less time to figure out it was a really bad idea. And keep in mind theirs was a better one.

      The problem is not "build a reusable spacecraft" but rather "get this thing to orbit, for less money than we already pay". If you focus on the wrong problem, it's inevitable you arrive at the wrong solution.

      As it happened, Buran was a great solution to get something down in one piece. Unfortunately, that doesn't happen often enough to justify the money spent on it.

    12. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      It seems rather fashionable to knock the Space Shuttle - it's expensive, it was overhyped, putting the thing on the side of the tank is a design mistake, and the tiles are a maintenance nightmare. It's easy to knock the Shuttle and demand a retreat to older style systems

      Yes, and the older systems have much to recommend themselves over the shuttle as the European Space Agency, the Russians, and the now the Chinese have demonstrated.

      But the more and more I think about it, the more I think, junking the shuttle and the approach of the orbital space plane is a huge mistake.

      The space plane idea was considered by various people and agencies long before the space shuttle, or indeed any other space vehicles, first flew and was discarded for very good reasons, not the least of which was the fact that launching from the surface of the earth straight to orbit in one stage, with all or most of the fuel and thus the mass being in that one stage, is very difficult (if not impossible given the limitations of technology) and inefficient in any case. It was also known from an early stage (pun intended) that multiple-stage-to-orbit vehicles made the most sense in spite of the fact that most of the vehicle was not going to be reusable. The primary concerns in space flight are cost, performance, reliability, and safety (not necessarily in that order depending upon what the priorities are of the funding entity). If reusability does not somehow enhance or contribute to those goals then it is very arguably irrelevant.

      The Soyuz, the Apollo and the nascent Orion are essentially ballistic nosecones with people stuffed in it.

      Granted, but that does not mean that a larger vehicle, with more habitable space, cannot be launched by rocket. The Skylab was launched with a left over Saturn V booster if you recall.

      The soyuz, on the other hand, has a habital volume of just 7 cubic meters. Astronauts in these capsules basically sit in their chairs, but in the shuttle they can get up, move around, and do things

      That is true, but for most of the last 30 years the Soyuz platform has been used as a taxi service to ferry cosmonauts and later astronauts to and from space stations where they can get up, move around, and do things (which is of dubious value nowadays anyway but that is a whole other argument...manned vs unmanned space flight).

      The space shuttle is practically a space station in its own right.

      Which has to be launched all the way from the ground each time it is used. The ISS is both larger (or will be when it is completed) and permenantly parked in orbit with periodic and more economical booster rockets required to keep the station from falling back too far from atmospheric drag. If you want to have a sustained human presence in orbit (the shuttle was designed to fly regularly if you recall...even though it hasn't lived up to expectations in that department) then it is cheaper and better to do it with a space station instead of the shuttle.

      The space shuttle has a cargo bay, and, thanks to the Canadians, has a really cool mechanical arm.

      I suppose that even the Canadians have their occaisonal days in the sun, but like the man said, "what have they done for us lately?" But seriously, how is the cargo bay different from a heavy lift rocket? The rocket technology has gotten to the point where a payload can be parked in a close parallel orbit or even automatically docked with the station both regularly and reliably.

      Have we forgotten that the European Space Agency has flown a science station in the space shuttle cargo bay already?

      Yes, the much hyped ESA module. Have you noticed that they don't fly with it much anymore? Why do you suppose that they have largely abandoned the sealed lab in the cargo bay concept? Does the Shuttle not alreay offer enough enclosed space? After all, you yourself have told us how cavernous and spacious it is compared to the Soyuz.

    13. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Build a huge orbital station that is easily reached from Earth by low cost, Soyuz like boats. Then build a big inter planetary ship that can get us to Mars, Jupiter and Beyond. We still seem to be stuck with figuring out how to get our @sses's off mama earth - it's time we start exploring the neighbourhood.

    14. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In fact, the Buran design was superior - it had no lift engines of its own and could ride on top of the real rocket.

      Have you ever actually looked at a picture of a Buran on the launch pad? Try this one.
       
       

      Of course the Soviets noticed this was a bad idea (it would be smarter to send the cargo on top of the Energia rocket and not carry Buran's dead weight)

      Oh? Check out this picture of Energia configured to carry cargo.
       
       

      and aborted the project after the first flight.
      Actually, Buran first flew in 1988 and wasn't cancelled until 1993 - with the intervening five years spent building what was intended to be the operational craft (four of them).
       
      Buran, and Energia, were cancelled because the country that built them (the Soviet Union) collapsed - and the country that replaced it (Russia/CIS) was broke.
       
      Or, to put it simply you are zero for three.
    15. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Great, it's a reusable space station. The point that I'd make is that it shouldn't be. For the cost of what we do with it, we could have an even larger permanent space station, just use smaller capsules(and large cargo rockets) to get there.

      That seems true - until you actually cost out the flights. The small (people carrying) rockets are expensive because they flight often. The large (cargo/station module carrying) rockets are very, very, very expensive because they fly so rarely. The Shuttle, by combining both roles, is a very expensive middle path.
       
      Using existing vehicles, other than the Shuttle, to build an ISS equivalent - you save about 10%-15% on paper. In reality it comes up a wash, or even somewhat more expensive, when you consider all the extra weight and costs that the modules/parts will now need because they must support and navigate themselves rather than relying on the Shuttle to do it for them. (And that extra weight causes problems down the road - as it means extra fuel is needed for reboost, though reboosts are needed slightly less often due to the increased density of the station.)
       
       

      Design a space station that only has to survive being lifted once, and doesn't have to come down intact.

      Which means a vehicle which flys very rarely indeed - which means a vehicle that is incredibly expensive, a vehicle that makes Shuttle look like a Yugo. Worse yet, a vehicle that flys rarely is less reliable because the skills of the assembly and launch crews atrophy between launches, and fewer launches mean fewer chances to debug the vehicle.
       
      The trick to making spaceflight cheap is to make a versatile and reuseable design with minimal man-hours of maintenance between flights - and then fly the living hell out of it to amortize your fixed costs across as many flights as possible. (In other words, exactly the same methods used by every other form of transportation.)
       
       

      Heck, make it modular - remove pieces as they wear out and let them drop back if you want to.

      That's a great idea. Until you have to replace a module in the middle - then it becomes very difficult, very expensive, and very risky.
       
       

      For satellite repair design a space tug that can go out with some astronauts and the robotic arm to conduct repairs on satellites. It should be almost an order of magnitude lighter than the shuttle, so it shouldn't take much fuel. For longer repairs, consider hauling the satellite back to the station.

      That works real well - so long as the satellite is in pretty much the same orbit as the station. For the 99% of satellites that won't be, it doesn't work at all.
    16. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I really don't believe someone can claim to be an engineer - and then write the following with a straight face. Either you are nothing but a fanboi, or you are ignorant of Soyuz's actual record, or you aren't actually a real engineer.
       
       

      The Soyuz system is remarkable in that it's been reliable. They're not perfect. Yes, they had fatal accidents, however, the last one occured in 1971. They learned from those failures and implemented design changes in the later modules. Yes, it's also true that Soyuz has only flown around 100 manned flights; but, even when it fails, as the NAV system did today, the people return alive. That's a reputation that's hard to argue with.

      It doesn't matter when the last failure was - it still counts in the statistics. You can't have it both ways - if you want to claim the positive parts of the long flight record, you have to take the negatives as well. Otherwise what you are left with is the current mark of the Soyuz, with less than ten flights and significant troubles on several of them (Including having the navigation system fail twice) - and handwaving away significant troubles is exactly what people take NASA managers to task for in the Challenger and Columbia accidents.
       
      Yes, it's true that people return alive. But an engineer actually concerned with safety and reliability would look at the flight record of Soyuz - and shudder. Out of ninety odd flights they have had: two non fatal complete loss of mission launch accidents, (IIRC) five complete loss of mission on orbit incidents, two fatal reentry and landing accidents, two significant (though non fatal) accidents during reentry[1], and (IIRC) *twenty* significant incidents during reentry and landing. Worse yet, those accidents and incidents are fairly evenly spread across the entire life of the program to date. That's not the track record of a program that learns from accidents and incidents.
       
      Slashdot is a poor enviroment for a full discussion, I invite you to drop by the usenet group sci.space.shuttle for that[2]. Or just google it for "soyuz safety" and "soyuz reliability". (I particularly commend the posts of Jorge Frank to you - who is a NASA engineer, and not particularly a Shuttle or Soyuz fan.)

      [1] Both of them extremely close calls, the crews are alive today by luck.

      [2] Which, despite its name, is not a shuttle fanboy group. By-and-large the majority of the regulars are shuttle detractors, but unlike the vast majority of Slashdot - they are informed detractors.
    17. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by RedWizzard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not revisionist to think they probably ran out of money _because_ the Buran solved no real problem that had not already been solved with other technologies. Had the Buran a real task to do, it would probably get some funding. You do know that the soviet union was collapsing at the time, right? The lack of funding for Buran had nothing to do with the program and everything to do with the economic and political state of the union. Buran could have been the greatest space program ever conceived and it still would have been cancelled.
    18. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's my two cents: I was born within 11 miles of the launch pads of Apollo. I watched, heard, and FELT the launches that put men on the moon. THAT was f*cking awesome.

      Shuttle... has spent decades being an unglamorous space truck. That is what NASA designed it to be, quite deliberately. I have never had any interest in it, aside from watching the first launch from my hometown for old time's sake. Maybe I'll try to take my daughter to see one of the last launches. But LEO? Puh-leeez. Been there, done that, back in the 60's. Near as I can tell, LEO of 2007 is pretty much your basic Grandaddy's LEO. Big space station there... in LEO. Where we've been. Since the 70's.

      These days, I watch the unmanned spaceflight scene. Neat stuff going on there. But manned? Oh god. Yet another "Hey, another busload of astronauts are visiting ISS again" story. Just like small-town "who visited who for dinner" stories. Get beyond LEO and then, by God, I'll be interested. And no, you don't need a Shuttle to support ISS. Saturn V could have lofted much larger components in many fewer launches ( as could Energia, which isn't flying anymore either ).

      As for the whole "it has an arm!" thing, know what? Its attached to a Shuttle. Get over it. You can attach arms to other, more appropriately designed spacecraft.

      But when Ares-V launches... oh yes indeed, I will definitely be taking my daughter to see one of those. And I will tell her about a nation that lost its way, forgot what it was about, and perhaps, might be remembering, finally, why we do this. Perhaps she will have the chance to pick up the story where it was left off in 1972. Hell, maybe I'll even live long enough to see humans on the moon again, and the beginnings of the real fun out beyond the moon. But I'm cautious about that hope- even though this time, unlike the two or three other previous "bold new reach for the moon by 19XX, er 20XX" proclamations, it really looks like they're serious about it.

    19. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      "You do know that the soviet union was collapsing at the time, right?"

      While it is true the USSR was collapsing, it is not clear how much the Buran would be hit if it could deliver on its initial promises.

      But I agree with you they were doomed by the economic collapse - both the Buran and Energia programs had very little to do. Buran, even being better than the Shuttle, was still a bad idea (why send a return vehicle when, most of the time, there is nothing to return?) and Energia was mostly useful for lifting really big stuff (like the Buran), a need that never really materialized. The Energia could have been used to haul lots of parts for the ISS but since it was downsized to its current configuration, there is really not much of a need for a big booster. If even the Soyuz and Mir programs were badly hit (and there was some demand for them in the form of a NASA partnership, IIRC), it's no surprise the USSR chose to cut the big ones.

      It's sad because going back to the Moon will require almost exactly the big boosters we already had decades ago. Instead or redesigning stuff, we could just be using and upgrading the ones we had.

      BTW, the side-mounted boosters on the Buran were liquid-fuel ones. How would they compare to the idea of using solid fuels for the first stage of the Ares I? While simpler (a SRB is the image of simplicity), are they really cheaper?

    20. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by loopkin · · Score: 1

      You do know that the soviet union was collapsing at the time, right? The lack of funding for Buran had nothing to do with the program and everything to do with the economic and political state of the union. Buran could have been the greatest space program ever conceived and it still would have been cancelled. Actually, you have it reversed: precisely because the USSR was collapsing, if the Buran project had some value, they would have sold it in some way, like they did with most of the technologies that had some value (that included planes, helicopters, rockets, nukes, and so on...)
    21. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't matter when the last failure was - it still counts in the statistics.


      Where did he say it doesn't count in the statistics, you idiot? He did acknowledge that it had accidents, but the fact still stands that no one has died on a Soyuz since 1971. How recent were the last deaths on a Shuttle? That is significant, no matter how much you would like to spin the averages and statistics. It shows a definite improvement in safety since those days, even though the Soyuz track record is far from perfect, which nobody here is denying. The point here is that there are no similar safety improvements of the Shuttle, with tragic consequences unfortunately. It's still the same remarkable but overcomplicated piece of equipment prone to failure that it's always been.
    22. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      Which means a vehicle which flys very rarely indeed - which means a vehicle that is incredibly expensive, a vehicle that makes Shuttle look like a Yugo. Worse yet, a vehicle that flys rarely is less reliable because the skills of the assembly and launch crews atrophy between launches, and fewer launches mean fewer chances to debug the vehicle.

      The trick to making spaceflight cheap is to make a versatile and reuseable design with minimal man-hours of maintenance between flights - and then fly the living hell out of it to amortize your fixed costs across as many flights as possible. (In other words, exactly the same methods used by every other form of transportation.) I think the premise the gp was proposing is that a sattelite shouldn't be a vehicle. It should only be launched once, which counts as flying the same way putting a container on a cargo ship counts as sailing. Keep in mind, when we build houses, we generally don't build them with an eye to easy mobility. Those that are built for mobility (mobile homes, motorhomes) are generally lacking compared to both dwellings (size, cost per square foot) and vehicles (max speed, fuel efficiency).

      Heck, make it modular - remove pieces as they wear out and let them drop back if you want to. That's a great idea. Until you have to replace a module in the middle - then it becomes very difficult, very expensive, and very risky. Things can and have been designed to be modular before. I'm no engineer, but I imagine if a space station was made with airlocks between each module and had a lattice superstructure, you could take pieces out of any location with relatively little effort and not have the entire structure fall apart. Think K'nex, not Lego.
      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    23. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When the USSR crumbled, the only country that could have used (or afforded) a Buran and its launcher already had one.

    24. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

      In this discussion about the shuttle, what has not been mentioned (OK, I haven't read everything here) is the improvements to the Shuttle Design.
      Since the shuttle was launched, there have been numerous improvements. I look at the X-33 and it's use of an inverted Delta-V exhaust. The pressure from the atmosphere shapes the outgoing exhaust into the right shape -- straight down for low earth and spread out for space. You can get rid of that very complicated piece of equipment that shapes the exhaust at the edge of failure and replace it with a solid piece of ceramic.

      The idea of a space plane never took advantage of the main advantage of a Plane -- that is, using aerodynamics and a lifting body to get you up in the air where there is atmosphere. Some shuttle designs have been tethered to 747s. Or you could use a "lifting platform" and launch from a heli-blimp (invented to move large trees by loggers in Canada). But if you can fly the Shuttle up to about 8,000 feet -- you lose the need for about 1/3 to a 1/2 of the fuel. Thus making the payload bigger, or the weight smaller (which would reduce the fuel needs). Single-use rockets are cheaper, because you don't have to carry stuff that has to be re-used. If the re-usable parts (like wings) can help lift it -- it's a win-win.

      Or we could just mount an expedition into India and find those ancient records of magnetic propulsion that was lost about the time Atlantis fell into the sea. Anti-gravity would beat out both shuttles and rockets. ;-)

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
    25. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Random832 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter when the last failure was - it still counts in the statistics. Yes, it does count in the statistics. A long time without a failure drives up the MTBF. Each mission where there was _not_ a fatal accident drives down the percentage of missions in which there was one.
      --
      We've secretly replaced Slashdot with new Folgers Crystals - let's see if it notices.
    26. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

      The cargo bay can be pressurized? I've never heard that before. I was under the impression that the cargo bay doors had to be open to expose the radiators. Or do you mean that it can carry a space lab module?

    27. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      That seems true - until you actually cost out the flights. The small (people carrying) rockets are expensive because they flight often. The large (cargo/station module carrying) rockets are very, very, very expensive because they fly so rarely. The Shuttle, by combining both roles, is a very expensive middle path.

      Under my plan, both would fly frequently enough to drop costs a bit. You'd be launching 'big boosters' quite frequently, so the costs for them would drop as well.

      Using existing vehicles, other than the Shuttle, to build an ISS equivalent - you save about 10%-15% on paper. In reality it comes up a wash, or even somewhat more expensive, when you consider all the extra weight and costs that the modules/parts will now need because they must support and navigate themselves rather than relying on the Shuttle to do it for them.

      The shuttle is too big and heavy to be an economical tug. Launch station modules into an orbit, then send a space tug out to go get them and haul them back to the station. That way the space tug can be optimized for space - it doesn't have to worry about surviving reentry.

      (And that extra weight causes problems down the road - as it means extra fuel is needed for reboost, though reboosts are needed slightly less often due to the increased density of the station.)

      You could always make the thrusters reusable or removable.

      Which means a vehicle which flys very rarely indeed - which means a vehicle that is incredibly expensive, a vehicle that makes Shuttle look like a Yugo. Worse yet, a vehicle that flys rarely is less reliable because the skills of the assembly and launch crews atrophy between launches, and fewer launches mean fewer chances to debug the vehicle.

      It's not a vehicle. It's like a manufactured home - it's only designed to be moved once, and it doesn't move itself - it's moved by a truck, not much different than any other oversized cargo, such as wind turbine blades.

      You discover a problem with the design - you fix it in the next version of the module, or have them perform the retrofit while on station if it's critical.

      Meanwhile it's launched as cargo, so it's no different than sending up a rocket of supplies to the station. Lots of experience there.

      The trick to making spaceflight cheap is to make a versatile and reuseable design with minimal man-hours of maintenance between flights - and then fly the living hell out of it to amortize your fixed costs across as many flights as possible. (In other words, exactly the same methods used by every other form of transportation.)

      What do you think I'm proposing? Well, except that with space design so far it's actually cheaper to build disposable than reusable. My philosophy is that launching stuff to space is generally so expensive and stressful that saving 50% of the weight by making it disposable is cheaper than refurbishing something for relaunch. If you're going to be using it for a while, launch it and leave it up there. Though now that I think about it, there's no reason we couldn't make the capsule reusable. Recharge it, check it out, spray a new ablative coating on the bottom, reload it onto a rocket. $10 million saved.

      Meanwhile, you're frequently launching people to the space station to do work, launching supplies to said staion, launching modules and satellites for the station to install, etc...

      Heck, now that I think about it, launch satellites with a hard point - have a robotic tug that has solar panels and some powerful ion engines. It latches onto the hard point, uses it's expensive but highly efficient engines(can be fairly heavy as well, as it only has to be launched once) to move the satellite to the correct final orbit, which it then releases and moves on to the next one. Can even be used to boost satellites's orbits to conserve the sat's fuel. Or have the tug be capable of orbital refueling through the hard point.

      That's a great idea. Until you have to replace a module in

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    28. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I think the premise the gp was proposing is that a sattelite shouldn't be a vehicle. It should only be launched once, which counts as flying the same way putting a container on a cargo ship counts as sailing.

      You still need a vehicle to boost the sattelite into orbit - which is what I was talking about.
       
       

      but I imagine if a space station was made with airlocks between each module and had a lattice superstructure, you could take pieces out of any location with relatively little effort and not have the entire structure fall apart. Think K'nex, not Lego.

      So what happens when the lattice superstructure needs to be replaced? The cables, ducting, etc... that it will have to carry to support the ability to remove pieces in the middle will themselves wear out over time.
    29. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by gentlemen_loser · · Score: 1

      Ultimately, economics is far more important than "coolness".

      I strongly disagree. Somehow, within the last 50 years or so, there has been a significant shift in this country away from doing science for the sake of science and towards doing it for monetary gain only. To put it in terms a strict economist could understand, the following inventions were a direct result of the shuttle program:
      The most accurate topographical map of the Earth, nerf gliders, and new alloys used in golf clubs.

      We, as a country that can afford to do so, need to invest in science, art, and culture as a whole as part of humanity's quest for knowledge, experience, and understanding of the human condition and the world around us. Honestly, what would the immediate benefit of ending manned space flight be? That's right, not a fucking thing. And PLEASE do not quote me the dollar figure that would be saved. The money would go nowhere useful and invariable line some rich-prick-trustfund-baby's bank account by way of saved tax dollars. There are countless other useless/wasteful government pursuits (such as the Iraq war) that could be curbed first. Conversely, killing scientific research stifles creativity and constrains the human spirit. Once we have successfully tanked all scientific research (and killed off those branches of science with limited financial benefit, like Anthropology), we'll be able to start focusing on tanking other "non-lucrative" human pursuits, like art. Oh! Just think of the joy of automatons rolling around producing more "units", resulting in more revenue! Now THAT is exciting! Fuck you, and the entire movement of individuals looking to limit scientific research.

      Sincerley,
      Someone interested in science and the well being of humanity

    30. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Under my plan

       
      I'm not talking about your plan - I'm talking about reality. The gulf between them is so vast as to defy description.
    31. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You still need a vehicle to boost the sattelite into orbit - which is what I was talking about.

      You'd still be launching them about as frequently as we do the shuttle, so I don't see how that'd be a problem. Bonus - with the money saved by not bothering with the shuttle, we could send up even more launches.

      So what happens when the lattice superstructure needs to be replaced? The cables, ducting, etc... that it will have to carry to support the ability to remove pieces in the middle will themselves wear out over time.

      I figured the connections would all be in the modules, located around the airlock ends. Still, keep the lattice simple enough it won't wear out before it's time to replace the whole structure - after all, it's not that difficult to build a plug that can be used thousands of times, if not more.

      Or you design a redundant lattice - you have A&B side lattices, and you just replace them one at a time.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    32. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      And I'm talking about better ways to do business.

      As part of looking at economical ways to have a space program - I look at various means of doing business. Doing without the space shuttle requires a large number of changes - thus it becomes a plan.

      Sure, there's not much connection today between reality and my ideas(which have been proposed by many others). Oh well. That doesn't mean that it couldn't be done.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    33. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      You still need a vehicle to boost the satellite into orbit - which is what I was talking about. And the shuttle doesn't match that criteria either - it's lifted by the massive boosters it rests on. There's no reason a heavy lifter for large satellites or crew capsules couldn't be used to lift parts of a manned space station. That vehicle, not unlike a cargo ship, could be used multiple times. Even if each one is single-use, knowledge and performance parameters from each launch could be used to increase the reliability of those boosters, not unlike what happens with the boosters in use now.

      So what happens when the lattice superstructure needs to be replaced? The cables, ducting, etc... that it will have to carry to support the ability to remove pieces in the middle will themselves wear out over time. First, how many times has the empire state building been rebuilt? Yep, never has. There is going to be a point with anything where replacing it wholesale is less hassle than maintaining it. The superstructure would likely fit in this category. That said, again using the K'nex analogy, there's no reason you couldn't replace parts of it in sequence until you'd replaced the entire thing with little or no reduction in performance, if it was designed right - just remove one piece, put in the new one, then take care of the next piece in the list. You never have to have more than one piece missing at a time, and if you've designed it so that it's unstable until fully complete it's a failure already.
      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    34. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by loopkin · · Score: 1

      Not quite. ESA was studying Hermes ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hermes_(shuttle) : note the design that looks a lot more like Buran than the American Space Shuttle), Japan, too, was building its first generation of heavy launchers, and could have been interested. I tend to think that, by then end of the 1980s, everybody knew that the Space Shuttle / Buran designed was an expensive failure. This opinion is reinforced by what i heard from French and Russian people involved in the "business", and by comments publicly said on TV after the crash of Columbia by French astronauts.

    35. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by pereric · · Score: 1

      Hmm ... technically advanced, US-made, breaking often, lots of crew and cargo compartment where in most cases a smaller vehicle would do. Not very modular or elegant, and huge running costs: sound quite like driving a SUV to a just few blocks, instead of riding your bike :-).

      (OK, I like the shuttle far better than cars - you cant bike or take the train into space ...)

    36. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "In fact, the Buran design was superior - it had no lift engines of its own and could ride on top of the real rocket."
      But it didn't. It was mounted on the side just like the shuttle.
      And the truth is they ran out of money.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    37. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Sure, there's not much connection today between reality and my ideas(which have been proposed by many others). Oh well. That doesn't mean that it couldn't be done.

      There's not much connection ever. You are utterly and completely clueless on the topic - and I don't mean that in a perjorative manner, I mean it literally. The engineering, the economics, the mathematics, the whole shooting match. You can parrot a few buzzwords and string them together, but you don't understand what they mean.
    38. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      First, how many times has the empire state building been rebuilt? Yep, never has.

      Yep, you are not only wrong - but clueless. The guts of the Empire State Building have been replaced several times - not to mention the work needed to bring various bits up to modern safety codes and to provide services and amenities expected in a high prestige office building today.
       
       

      That said, again using the K'nex analogy, there's no reason you couldn't replace parts of it in sequence until you'd replaced the entire thing with little or no reduction in performance,

      Everything is easy on paper if you simply your analogies to the point of absurdity. The real world is rather messier.
    39. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      Of course I have seen pictures of Buran and Polyus. Many earlier designs of the Energia/Buran combined vehicle called for the top mount and, IIRC, it was still an option - but it would require some retooling and some larger equipment (the vehicle is rolled on it's back into the platform and then rotated into its final launch position). The Polyus was launched before the Buran and was, more or less, a collection of repurposed parts and technology. It could have flown on top, but I guess they didn't have the spare parts and the equipment for that.

      Side-mounted passive loads are rare for a reason - it's harder to design a vehicle for that kind of use. The Shuttle goes up side-mounted not because it's a clever design, but because it has its own engines that are needed for the lift.

      The Energia design also calls for re-usable boosters and main engines (eliminating the need for SSME-like engines on the orbiter itself). I am not sure how they would do that and, in fact, I don't think they were either - they never did it.

    40. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      The Polyus was launched before the Buran and was, more or less, a collection of repurposed parts and technology. It could have flown on top, but I guess they didn't have the spare parts and the equipment for that.

      No, it wasn't flown on top because Energia wasn't built to carry loads on top - it's not the early designs that matter, it's the hardware that's built.
       
       

      The Energia design also calls for re-usable boosters and main engines (eliminating the need for SSME-like engines on the orbiter itself). I am not sure how they would do that and, in fact, I don't think they were either - they never did it.

      There seems to be a lot of things you don't know about Energia. Try taking a look at the boosters on the side - see the squarish bulges just below the nose? Those would have been parachute containers for the boosters, the Soviets know damm well how thet were going to do it, but they never did because they went broke. (There never was any intent to re-use the main boosters in the Energia itself - though they would have been in the proposed Energia II.)
       
       

      Side-mounted passive loads are rare for a reason - it's harder to design a vehicle for that kind of use.

      Actually across the history of rocketry they have been fairly common - if you are familiar with the history of rocketry. (Which you patently are not.)
       
      Oh-for-Three. Care to try again?
       
       

      The Shuttle goes up side-mounted not because it's a clever design, but because it has its own engines that are needed for the lift.

      Duh. I supposed that Captain Obvious will tell me the sun rises in the East next?
    41. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by Peeteriz · · Score: 1

      "But if you can fly the Shuttle up to about 8,000 feet -- you lose the need for about 1/3 to a 1/2 of the fuel."

      This is completely false, as the fuel is spent not to gain height, but to gain orbital velocity. Getting to 1/3 of the height is pretty irrelevant for this purpose, it does not save 1/3 of the fuel.

      It does work for purposes of reaching "orbital height" as SpaceShipOne is doing, but for true orbit, even if you started from the orbital height, you'd still need to spend 90% of the same fuel to gain enough speed to *stay* in the orbit instead of falling down.

    42. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by NeuralSpike · · Score: 1

      Have you ever actually looked at a picture of a Buran on the launch pad?

      Have you ever actually read what those engines were for? Maybe, instead of relying on a simple picture from an anemic wikipedia article, you should read what they were really used for: propulsion in orbit. In other words, not for lift.

      So, I think that amounts to at least 1 for 3, not abad, if we were playing baseball batting average.

    43. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Try reading his comment about where the Buran rode on Energia and then comparing his comment to the picture.

      Idiot.

    44. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      The guts of the Empire State Building have been replaced several times - not to mention the work needed to bring various bits up to modern safety codes and to provide services and amenities expected in a high prestige office building today. You seem top be mistaking renovations with rebuilding. Moving a few walls around is nothing, adding cabling and piping is more difficult but no more integral. Hauling a castle from Europe to North America would more accurately count as rebuilding. From the research I was able to do on the internet (I'm not able to find exact details of the construction history of the structure that doesn't include me buying books I have little interest in) even the crash of a B-52 into the building required no structural repairs. From everything I can discover the superstructure has been untouched since original construction, which is the norm for most major structures - it's just too expensive to maintain, if it's even possible.
      Quaint little things like ramps, bathrooms, and moving walls around is about the equivalent in the grand scheme of things to the limestone coating the Great Pyramids used to have. Pretty, but not a fundamental part of the structure, and easily changed or removed.

      Everything is easy on paper if you simply your analogies to the point of absurdity. The real world is rather messier. You apparently have never looked into the details of construction for major structures. If you can't see an obvious correlation between plastic rods and connectors and I-beams, connector plates, and bolts/rivets used in conventional construction, then I can't go further. Having had the opportunity to work with both, I'd have to say it's only the detail that change. Granted, Meccano has some similarities to the real world, too, but more in the connectors than in the structural elements.
      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    45. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      precisely because the USSR was collapsing, if the Buran project had some value, they would have sold it in some way, like they did with most of the technologies that had some value (that included planes, helicopters, rockets, nukes, and so on...) Buran wasn't a finished product. There was one mostly completed vehicle that flew once. Trying to transplant that partly complete project into another country would have been a complete nightmare. It's not like buying a plane. And by the time it was actually cancelled in 1993 it would have been very difficult to get another useful together.
    46. Re:The Space Shuttle is GREAT by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      Not quite. ESA was studying Hermes Hermes was a much smaller scale vehicle that Buran. I think it's highly doubtful that the ESA would have been interested in Buran. It would have been too difficult to pick up the project and too expensive to run it. Same goes for Japan. Notice that neither the ESA or Japan have developed any alternate manned launch system (though the ESA has Soyuz now). Surely they would have if the need and the money was there, especially if they felt they could do better than Buran.

      note the design that looks a lot more like Buran than the American Space Shuttle) Hardly. Buran and the Space Shuttle are very similar in terms of physical design. The most significant difference being the lack of engines on Buran. Hermes is similar to Buran only in the lack of engines.
  11. Command Economy by kencf0618 · · Score: 1

    I'm appalled and impressed: I've always liked the design philosophy of the Soviet-cum-Russian space program. Keeps a licking and keeps on ticking!

    Bruce Sterling noted on Nightline some years ago that NASA was a command economy. Overall the Russian space program seems to have adapted better. Oh, the irony.

    Next up: China.

    1. Re:Command Economy by Robonaut · · Score: 1

      It seems that everyone forgets that the Russians had their own (almost identical) version of the Space Shuttle called Buran. The Soviets/Russians had completed or were finishing construction of 5 space capable vehicles. 1 of which actually flew into space and a second that was being readied for launch before the plug was pulled. In the end, NASA has gotten well over 100 manned flights from its program, the Soviets/Russians only got 1 unmanned. I am not suggesting that NASA is perfect, but its Russian counterpart is not either.

    2. Re:Command Economy by dbIII · · Score: 1

      NASA has gotten well over 100 manned flights from its program, the Soviets/Russians only got 1 unmanned

      Patriotism is a virtue but shifting into a small subcatagory that the others didn't even have a real start in just to win is a bit much. Isn't first man on the moon enough?

    3. Re:Command Economy by Stormwatch · · Score: 1

      But that's the point, they axed the Buran because they realized it was not cost-effective. Just as NASA should have axed the Shuttle.

    4. Re:Command Economy by Derling+Whirvish · · Score: 1

      Just as NASA should have axed the Shuttle. Finish your sentence. Should have asked the Shuttle what?
    5. Re:Command Economy by GnuDiff · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Umm, not neccessarily.

      Remember, the collapse of the SU - nobody had time nor money for space. Apart from several succesful science divisions, most of Soviet-time science institutions were struggling for survival (and many of them didn't survive) both in Russia and in its former republics. There was rampant stealing and selling of scientific machines, technologies and what have you. So, Buran might've been axed just because there was no interest in space exploration at that time at all.

      Additionally, considering the costs mentioned, I wouldn't be at all surprised, if some costs that are significant in the US are simply not taken into account in Russian space programs. For example, it could well be that astronauts are paid next to nothing, or fuel is being diverted by government rather than being bought. Etc.

  12. cost effectiveness by WinchesterPC.Com · · Score: 1

    So, the Endeavor pays for itself after...80 flights?

    1. Re:cost effectiveness by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      Nope, shuttles must be overhauled after each flight.

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
    2. Re:cost effectiveness by WinchesterPC.Com · · Score: 1

      God Bless Bureaucracy

  13. Dupe by russlar · · Score: 1

    We last discussed Baikonur http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=05/05/29/2239236&tid=160back in 2005.

    Well, at least they admit it this time.
    --
    Anybody want my mod points?
  14. You're missing the fucking point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What you and the other fucktards have ignored is volume of the cargo compartment. The lifting capacity for dense objects leaves the shuttle lacking, even when you add in 2 more launches to get the astronauts up there too. (6 v.s. 3, I think, for soyez). However, the cargo compartment on the shuttle is much larger then that of the araine or soviet rockets. If you want a big open space (like, say, an ISS module or spy satellite) in orbit, the shuttle is *the* way to go. How big is the shuttle? Just barely big enough to carry a keyhole satellite. Why don't we trash it? Because we need to be able to replace the satellites when the Chinese decide to start shooting them down.

  15. In Putin's Russia by Latent+Heat · · Score: 0

    It's pretty much the same thing.

  16. Baikonur - Kazakhstan vs. Russia by ChemE · · Score: 2, Informative

    One thing not mentioned in the article (but is mentioned in the 2005 article) is the problems between the Kazakh and Russian governments.They are still debating over problems (especially money) due to failed rocket launches, most recently in September. The Kazakh government keeps suspending and then unsuspending Russian operations at the base.

    See this article from EurasiaNet: http://eurasianet.org/resource/kazakhstan/hypermail/news/0011.shtml

  17. Says who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sorry, but who says they're not funny? Have you canvassed the regulars yourself? And as another poster pointed out, In Soviet Russia was voted as the best meme, which invalidates your assertion. Speaking of regulars, how does someone with a 1,000,000+ userid qualify as someone who speaks for the majority anyways? You'll be welcome back on my lawn when you can at least grow a beard. As to your call to be original, the trick to making an In Soviet Russia joke funny *is* to make it original.

  18. Go Meme Yourself by fm6 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Calling a tired old joke a "meme" is pretentious crap. The word comes from Richard Dawkins's theory that some ideas are to culture what genes are to biology. I think that's an overrated theory, but even if I took it seriously (especially if I took seriously) I'd be irritated at people who think that telling the same joke over and over to the same audience is somehow spreading an idea. It's more like a social earworm. Mindworm?

    1. Re:Go Meme Yourself by Skrapion · · Score: 1

      Your post counters the GP that you're otherwise agreeing with. The GP claims that the jokes get modded funny by new mods who haven't heard the joke, which means it is being spread.

      And it's also pretty interesting how a joke can start in one small place on the Internet, and if you pay attention, you can watch it infect more and more Internet communities.

      --
      The details are trivial and useless; The reasons, as always, purely human ones.
    2. Re:Go Meme Yourself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      War. War never changes.

      Sorry, your sig just jogged my memory. Best. Intro. EVER.

    3. Re:Go Meme Yourself by fm6 · · Score: 1

      And it's also pretty interesting how a joke can start in one small place on the Internet, and if you pay attention, you can watch it infect more and more Internet communities.
      That describes things like LOLcats. It doesn't describe things like telling the same joke in the same forum over and over.

      And although I love LOLcats (no flames please; either you're a cat person or you're not) I think it's dumb to call a LOLcat a meme. "Cats are funny" is hardly a new concept.
  19. A car analogy to put things into perspective by monkeySauce · · Score: 1

    So basically what you are saying is that the Russians have the Soyuz, which is inexpensive but small-- kind of like sending a Mini Cooper into space. But we could never stand for that in America, so we have the Shuttle, which is more like a launching tractor-trailer into orbit. Right?

    1. Re:A car analogy to put things into perspective by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      I think a better analogy for the shuttle would be a massive cargo ship. In the desert.

  20. Bringing lots of stuff down intact by TheLink · · Score: 1

    That's the only big technical thing I see that the shuttle can do that the other alternatives can't.

    Grab "big" stuff and bring it down without it burning up.

    However, if I made spy sats I'd make sure I could blow them up. It doesn't take very much explosive to make it too dangerous to grab with the shuttle. I bet shuttles are more expensive than spy sats, and it's more expensive to have the spy sat not blow up and be captured ;).

    So I suppose it'll only be useful if you were grabbing your own sats, or trying to get a number of people down at once from a space station.

    --
    1. Re:Bringing lots of stuff down intact by CharlieG · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yep - about it. The thing is, it was one of the BIG selling points, even in the commercial realm. Everyone was going to design their Sats to either be repaired on orbit, or recovered and returned to earth for repair/rebuild. There was even a NASA standard for how the grapple points would work.

        That all went away with Challenger. I can remember watching the couple of sat recovers on TV (Yeah - I'm an older geek - heck, I was writing some code at WORK when I heard Challenger was destroyed). I can remember the classified shuttle launches (everyones guess was one was a KH-7 and the other was a radar sat). I can remember the great talk about Vandenburg being almost ready (all the neat stuff was going to happen there), and about the next gen one piece carbon fibre SRBs. At the company O worked for we had a couple of Ex Perkin Elmer folks (they build the Hubble) and folks who worked for NASA helping build the first batch of shuttles. Heck, I can even remember the first drop test of the Enterprise

      --
      -- 73 de KG2V For the Children - RKBA! "You are what you do when it counts" - the Masso
    2. Re:Bringing lots of stuff down intact by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      OT, that's really an asshole .sig, but it is pretty funny...

    3. Re:Bringing lots of stuff down intact by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      the trouble is as you say sat stealing could be made very dangerous, you might steal a couple that way but then you grab one with a bomb on it and bye-bye shuttle.

      and bringing sats down for repair just isn't worth it at the current cost of shuttle launches, neither in most cases is repairing them.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    4. Re:Bringing lots of stuff down intact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry!

      Hope you don't get fooled the next time by either my sig or a link that's far worse...

    5. Re:Bringing lots of stuff down intact by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      I wasn't fooled this time; I've long ago learned to read links before clicking. But still funny.

  21. Q. How much does it cost to launch a Space Shuttle by guacamole · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (NASA's) Answer. The average cost to launch a Space Shuttle is about $450 million per mission.

    In other words, the whole shuttle program had been a big waste of money that set the American space exploration back by several decades. The whole thing should have been canned after the Challenger disaster. At that point it was already so damn obvious that the program failed MOST of its original goals. This situation is so bad that Russians can indeed successfully compete with us even though they're using decades old technology and at a fraction of our costs.

  22. Well, by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting
    We do not have a next-gen shuttle coming. We have a LOAD of new crafts coming online over the next 4 years.
    1. In particular, Russia is still looking to develop their Kliper (I think that they have finally gotten wise and are just going it alone).
    2. China has their copy of the current Russian system.
    3. America is developing the Oriion capsule which will use the Ares I/Ares V rockets (possibly the Ares IV). The capsule will sit 7, and the launch costs for ppl will be 100M.
    4. Spacex is doing Falcon 9 with Dragon at 35 Million for 7 ppl (COTS figures in this).
    5. Scaled Composites has a space plane approach (similar to what was going to replace apollo, but Nixon pushed the current abomination on us), but costs are not known. It is expected to be no more than spacex's.
    6. Another COTS entry now that kistler is dead (thank GOD; it was another military abomination; it was a way to funnel money from NASA to military companies such as l-mart). The new one is likely to be spacedev's dream chaser, though I think that t/space has a shot at it as well. t/space has the same weaknesses as kistler; ran by more ex-military ppl, while spacedev is ran by businessmen similar to spacex.
    7. EADS is supposedly looking at doing at European space plane, but they have as much progress as Russia's kistler; sitting @ an idea.

    So, to answer your question, I do not know. I do know that it will be a LOT cheaper very soon. Spacex has set the bar on that at about 5 million to launch a person. And the other launch systems will have to come close or beat it.

    BTW, good to see you around again. You still in asia (thailand?)?
    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Well, by Daengbo · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the update on all that. It's definitely NOT my area of expertise, but I was relaying my feelings from thirty years ago compared to what I read now. I'm glad to hear so much is coming up soon.

      I never really left, though my posting is sometimes more than others. I moved my journal off of Slashdot, so you won't see me post to it often. The sex stuff went on my AFF blog, where it probably belonged in the first place. I think the sexy Slash journal cost me that job with the Thai LinuxTLE team (though in retrospect, I'm glad, since FLOSS in Thailand is dead now). The Linux stuff went onto my Ubuntu blog, and the weightlifting stuff went on another Blogspot blog.

      Still in Asia, and about to hit eight years here. Some days are good. Korea (3/12 years now) sucks compared to Thailand, but I don't know how I'd live with less than 10Mb/s to the house if I left here. (I was just offered fiber with 100Mb/s for 30K won = US$35).

      Cheers

    2. Re:Well, by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yeah, my brother lives in South Korea, married a korean national. He speaks about the high speed there all the time (he is well aware of the crap that we have stateside).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Well, by glitchvern · · Score: 1

      Wow, I didn't know kistler got taken out. Isn't scaled involved in t/space? Weren't they the only company to receive second round funding not to win a contract? Where can I get more info?

  23. Sounds strangely familiar... by StinkFloyd · · Score: 1

    Life and work in Baikonur and its cosmodrome are also pretty much what they were in the Soviet era. The town of 70,000 - unbearably hot in summer, freezing cold in winter and dusty year round - is isolated by hundreds of miles of scrubland. This statement is equally true if you replace "Baikonur and its cosmodrome" with "Saskatoon."
  24. the real difference by G+Fab · · Score: 1

    the real difference is that the shuttle can bring things back to earth.

    We don't hear about that ability being used, but it certainly is. It has military significance, too.

    It would be a hell of a lot cheaper if the manned vessel and the cargo vessel were different ships, though.

  25. BTW, by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Sooner or later, either the DOD or NASA will get smart and push to have a tug up there. It will be a system that can stay in space for a long time, but can then maneuver to hook up with a number of crafts. I suspect that it will have a canada arm on the front of it. When that happens, I think that we will see space dev jump in there with a system that uses their hybrid rocket engine. In fact, I would not be surprised to see bigelow order up one or more of these.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  26. No. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    because a soyuz costs a great deal more than 25 million. it WAS ~20 million per person. For example, see here. THe funny thing is that every runs around thinking that the soyuz costs that little, but it never has.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  27. Not a problem for me! by rts008 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Absofuckinglutely!

    I second both IWannaBeAnAC and aliquis on this one, they are giving it to you straight up.

    Also, I would consider insurance no matter what the source of my hardware for a 'Space Operation'....there are so many things that can fail and cause catastrophic failure.

    As an American I hate to admit it (yes, I'm old enough to remember McCarthy, and having every public access gov't. building having to have a bomb shelter), but as far as heavy lift solutions, they are at the top of the heap. Effeciency, cost, capibility,reliability-they have it all...best orbital 'bang for the buck' solutions at this time.

    --
    Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
  28. Wikipedia would disagree... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    In fact, the Buran design was superior - it had no lift engines of its own and could ride on top of the real rocket. This simplifies the loads on the main rocket, allow for more cargo and makes the vehicle immune to insulation damage.

    Actually, most pictures of Buran clearly show the rocket riding alongside the Energia booster, just like the Shuttle rides alongside the fuel tank.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buran_program

    So, Buran would have had the same problems as the Shuttle, re: chunks of stuff from supercool tank falling off and bashing the ship.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Wikipedia would disagree... by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      Although capable of being mounted on the top, the Buran was never in this configuration.

      IIRC, the Energia-Buran combined vehicle arrived on its side and had to be rotated into position and rotating a bigger rocket would require bigger structures that would have to be built before the vehicle proved its worth.

      To say it was never used in a given configuration is not really much, mainly because it flew only once. We can't know how it would be mounted if it ever entered active service (as much of a bad idea as it was).

  29. Real idea of Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I always thought that the idea was.. let's say you get on a new 747 plane and go to england. Then you get off and you see it's carted off to a dump where they break it up and there's a line of other planes waiting to be scrapped. And they tell you, that's ok, we got a dozen of new-built ones waiting to take you back. Now obviously that wouldn't work too good even though one 747 is only about 150mil. The plane keeps flying and flying. That's why tickets are cheap. Now we want the same thing, for for space. Obviously with Soyuz and same type of vehicles, even if soyuz launch is only $25m, it will always be much too expensive. With shuttle.. at first glance you'd think it may be much cheaper. But it doesn't fly up like an airplane.

    That was my first thought immediately the first time I've ever seen shuttle. Of course it should fly up from a runway just like a 747!!! Then, when it's high enough, half way there, it can switch to rocket engines and get into the orbit. You will save on fuel and it will be reusable.

    Of course, if it was that easy that's what they'd do, but instead the shuttle is so expensive; it's the opposite of what the advantage of reusability should have brought.

    It was a terrible blunder. NASA does not have all the money in the world, it has very little, relatively. There's two possible things to do in space right now: try to make a human settlement either on orbit, on the moon or on mars; or send tons of robot probes to experiment and explore.

    It's pretty damn obvious that we can't send many people up there now; we can't have a real settlement, just a few people for trials. At the same time it's really expensive.

    IMHO this is a wrong choice. We need to invent a new way of getting stuff up in orbit, 20x to 100x cheaper than Soyuz or Proton-M. That's what we should invest in AND also robot probes.

    It's dumb to send a couple of people there and all the life support, food, oxygen, ... .

    This has always been too much of a technological masturbation, the US made a blunder when they spent too much
    money to get to the moon quickly; the whole thing wasn't necessary and was pointless, but shuttle was an even
    bigger blunder.

    Right now ISS is a mistake, too, imho. Launches are too expensive. You can experiment remotely from earth. Send
    more probes out there.

    With the money that was spent we could: 1. establish a permanent robotic station on mars and on venus 2. send
    tons more probes to other planets, satellites, asteroids. 3. know MUCH more about solar system 4. send perhaps
    a probe to closest star 5. advance much farther in research on making truly cheap launches, perhaps an orbital
    bridge using nanotubes?

    Instead, we got: 1. 2 blown up shuttles 2. (1) flag on the moon 3. Half of ISS 4. too few probes to other planets 5. no stations on mars or venus and nothing for a long time predicted

    Russia did much better, although it might have been just because they didn't have money to spend in a dumb way.
    They used the most economic way to launch. They are waiting for a better ways to be found. They did a fairly
    cheap little Mir to do some research. They sent a lot of probes for cheap.

    Another thing.. miniaturization! Make smaller & more effective and complex robots that can be sent up with
    little expense. Perhaps a half-kilo robot can be flown up to stratosphere in a regular plane and then launched
    from there?

    1. Re:Real idea of Shuttle by vrmlguy · · Score: 1

      Last time that I counted, there were six US flags planted on the moon, not one.

      Also, sending a probe to another star won't be done for a long time; I'd be surprised if NASA (or even the US) is the sponsor of such a mission. (In fact, I doubt NASA will still be in existence, mostly because there's little chance that anything we'd recognize as the United States would be around that long.) Not that I have anything against the US; it's just that Alpha Centauri is, IIRC, 4.3 light-years from the Sun. That's 271,930 AU. Voyager 1 is departing the Solar System at a speed of 3.6 AU per year. If it were aimed in that direction, it would take it 75,536 years to get there. You'd need to travel at least 12.37 times that speed simply to arrive before the scheduled opening of the Crypt of Civilization in 8113. (When the Crypt was sealed in 1940, it was intended that it remain closed for as long as all of recorded history to that point.) Since energy requirements increase as the square of velocity, I doubt we'll see it happen anytime soon.

      --
      Nothing for 6-digit uids?
  30. But wherrr aarr.... by madbawa · · Score: 0, Redundant

    ...the "In Soviet Russia..." jokes?

  31. Please quit promoting the physorg tarpit. by argent · · Score: 1

    All physorg does is reprint articles from news feeds and press releases, and they ALWAYS remove all links and online references from the original story. It's a "link tarpit".

    In this particular case the story doesn't seem to have had much to wipe, but a little googling would have gotten you versions that didn't promote physorg.

    http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/tech/2007/oct/21/102106464.html
    http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/world/5232431.html
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071021/ap_on_sc/russia_s_gateway_to_space

  32. The problem with the shuttle by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    The problem with the shuttle is simple, it was never supposed to be like this. The basic idea started when funding for the space program was still high, and the current shuttle design was supposed to be a trial for a new SET of tools for NASA. The space shuttle as it currently exists was never meant to be. Instead the original vision saw a need for a small craft to ferry personal to and from space, combined with a heavy cargo lifter. The current space shuttle was a support vehicle for that, mostly designed to deal with repairing and recovering satelites. It was to be used when you want the cargo and the people together and you don't need much cargo. (The space shuttle will ALWAYS be limited because it has to carry the cargo inside)

    As funding was cut the space shuttle was lumbered with more and more tasks (the shuttle was never meant to be a lab, a permenant space station was supposed to be the lab) and was used for far longer then it was designed to be. In fact it came to replace everything else.

    The russians on the other hand simply kept the same design, a small rocket for personell, and a big one for cargo and have them meet up in space. Practical.

    IF the americans had kept up the original vision they would have had an amazing fleet of spacecraft and owned space by now, but reagonomics and a loss of will just never made that vision come true and so the russian method of cheap and reliable proved more effective.

    The americans ended up with a people carrier for commuting, too big for one person, too small to move house in. THe russians got an old truck and an old motorcycle, excellent for moving house and commuting at a fraction of the costs.

    Basically the space shuttle just never got the missions it was designed for, recovering and repairing sattelites. Remember that story about the satelite that went to the sun and then crashed? THAT was a space shuttle mission, pick the thing up in orbit and land it softly. IF space production had ever taken off, that would have been a space shuttle mission, get your goods back home in one piece.

    It was NEVER meant to be a heavy lifter OR a personal transport. Oh, and it was never meant to serve this long.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:The problem with the shuttle by TheHawke · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up.

      We're not going to have that argument again on here. The STS project has turned into a overpriced, overblown SUV that has cost us more lives than the Soyuz program has. If the shuttle went as how we had initially designed it the (PRIME, Dyna-SOAR projects, Skylab) vehicle would be more compact and durable. The Saturn HLV would have evolved into the Block 100s and 120s, doubling and tripling it's ultimate payload cap, hauling incredible payloads so tall the VAB complex would have gotten a penthouse tacked on. Nope, someone in NASA was smoking banana peels when they made the decision to go with a RLV and yanked the rug out from under the Air Force and their projects.

      --
      First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  33. so... by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

    I'm a european and it means that media isn't used to get money for science funds. The same counts for russia, and as a result of media we allways are made believe that amercians are better in hardware. This is however a missunderstanding, in technical design Russia is ahead, especialy in design of technology hardware. Example turbo charged rocket engines design credits go to them Amazed about the (german design based WOII) American flying wings, well take a look at the earodynamics of a mig 29 it can tilt backwards in flight. And how about sikorski Oh and their space airplane first space flight was radio controlled inlcuded the landing. Imagine the space shuttle did no human no risk cargo shipping, hmmmm.....

    --
    I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
  34. Yeah, but that is today. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Before 7 years ago, 1/3 Billion of US$, was worth more than 1/2 B of £. These days, with our monster trade and federal deficits, it is amazing that it is as high as it is. The funny thing, is that China still has their money pegged to the dollar (via a fake basket), and sooner or later, they will have to allow these to float free. When it does, it will cause all their $s to plummet. It will make the wild times of the 70's seem positively minor (and those were caused by the untieing of the dollar to the franc and marc (as well as the oil embargo).

  35. How did you get modded up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First, The Energia has not been launched since the days of the Soviet Union. It is in the same boat as the Saturn V. That is, it is DEAD. Russia has openly come out and said that it will not launch again. But if you are going to do sad comparisons, then please compare the Engeria to the Saturn. After all they are truly in the same classes. And 60 million for an Energia launch? Maybe in the 90's during the Soviets, but not today.

    Finally, trying to compare the costs of 2 soyuz (developed in the 60's and holds 3 guys, and little else), to the shuttle has to be the true joke. Based on that, then you should compare the apollo capsule costs against the soyuz. Worse, you play games with comparing the original costs vs. a launch costs.

    You picked a good nick.

    1. Re:How did you get modded up? by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      First, The Energia has not been launched since the days of the Soviet Union. It is in the same boat as the Saturn V. That is, it is DEAD. Russia has openly come out and said that it will not launch again. But if you are going to do sad comparisons, then please compare the Engeria to the Saturn.

      True, I had Energia mixed up in my mind with the Protons and the like. This does not matter however since what I was talking about is the practical concept and the costs of disposable boosters versus the cost-plus subcontractor's wet dream, the white elephant of a Shuttle.

      Also unlike the Energia, the Saturn is not even possible to be built again as the NASA bureaucrats decided that its core technologies were not worth preserving. The Russians are still designing all sorts of new boosters, some of them comparable to Energia in capabilities.

      Maybe in the 90's during the Soviets, but not today.

      Energia was nothing but 2 Protons stuck to a larger core, none of which had any revolutionary departures from the present designs. The costs were simply linear progression in labour and materials.

      Finally, trying to compare the costs of 2 soyuz (developed in the 60's and holds 3 guys, and little else), to the shuttle has to be the true joke. Based on that, then you should compare the apollo capsule costs against the soyuz. Worse, you play games with comparing the original costs vs. a launch costs.

      No, I compared both, because the "original" cost of a Soyuz includes its launch cost. It is not a reusable vehicle.

      Also, we are comparing the "bang for the buck" results, not the lengths of dicks of the nationals of the respective nations. Space Shuttle is only good at one thing: delivering pork barrel to contractors. At everything else it is a sub-standard vehicle for its expense, by all objective measures.

      The US had the technology (as you yourself point out) to base their inexpensive vehicle designs on, but it chose instead to put greed and politics ahead of technical merits. And so the death-trap, completely uneconomical Shuttle is the result. The Russians are in no way responsible for American screwups, they merely chose to follow the proven path (and they have abandoned "pissing contest" impractical projects such as the Buran).

  36. EVERYONE ONE OF YOU IS OVERLOOKING... by eXFeLoN · · Score: 0

    the most important reason for keeping the shuttle program going. If we don't have the shuttle, Bruce Willis can't destroy the asteroids/comets that are trying to destroy us all. Not even the mighty Bruno can land one of those BDB (big dumb boosters) on an icy rock in space, plant a bomb, and then take off again. Think of the children!

    --
    My other sig is a knife wound.
  37. Insightful huh? by SIIHP · · Score: 1

    "And the Shuttle, unlike the Energia payload, is rather unlikely to make it to Mars or Venus."

    Well, since the Energia isn't produced anymore, I'd say the likelihood of it making it to Mars is currently pretty low.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energia

    "Production of Energia rockets ended with the fall of the Soviet Union and the end of the Buran shuttle project."

    Why are you blathering on about the technical qualities of a rocket that was discontinued?

    --
    I only go to buffets for the unlimited soft serve.
    1. Re:Insightful huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Buran was also an almost 1:1 shuttle copy.

    2. Re:Insightful huh? by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Why are you blathering on about the technical qualities of a rocket that was discontinued?

      Because it is not the particular model (of which there are many, like Zenit, Proton, the new Angara) but the concept of cheap, disposable boosters which is important. The cost differences between the two programs for comparable results are simply staggering.

      And the Russians do not have some sort of universal panacea on space travel, simply common sense. On the US side, the technical difficulties (growing with age) of the horribly designed (by cost-plus subcontractor committee) Space Shuttle are the reason for all of the insane costs incurred. It the US did not use its "space" program as pork barrel for contractors and if it spent all that money on improving its launch vehicles derrived from their 1960s technologies, Saturn included, they would have been far, far ahead of the Russians. As it is, the Russians, barely recovering from their financial disasters are still managing to beat the US in launches and the payload delivered to the ISS.

      Not to mention that Saturn technology is at this point completely lost because the NASA bureaucrats did not see it fit to be preserved. And so now the US is doomed to re-invent the wheel again, at some more astronomical costs.

    3. Re:Insightful huh? by SIIHP · · Score: 1

      "Because it is not the particular model (of which there are many, like Zenit, Proton, the new Angara) but the concept of cheap, disposable boosters which is important"

      Which still doesn't explain why you chose to discuss the Energia instead of one of the other rockets that are actually being used.

      --
      I only go to buffets for the unlimited soft serve.
    4. Re:Insightful huh? by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      The Buran was also an almost 1:1 shuttle copy.

      And it was scrapped as not worth the expense, just after a few tests and one launch. Otherwise they would be in the same boat as the US, with an impractical and insanely expensive vehicle. All the new reusable vehicle proposals are based on traditional, top of the launch stack mounted designs.

    5. Re:Insightful huh? by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Which still doesn't explain why you chose to discuss the Energia instead of one of the other rockets that are actually being used.

      Because I find all the Russian names hard to keep track of and Energia and its costs somehow stuck in my mind from some article. It was just an example.

  38. Blah, no pictures by gravis777 · · Score: 1

    Well written article, but not a single picture anywhere in sight. How can you write an article about anything to do with space, and not post a picture?

  39. Re:Baikonur - Kazakhstan vs. Russia by borat4president · · Score: 1

    You're right, but only Proton launches usually get suspended since these spacetrucks just keep blowing up and polluting the place down here. Also, the last one fell less than 100 miles away from the place where Kazakh president was at the moment which I think made the guy angry.

  40. Aha! by jetpack · · Score: 1

    Now, finally, when someone sees a Pontiac GTO on the street and asks me what in hell "GTO" stands for, I can give them a definitive answer: Geostationary Transfer Orbit.

    Thanks!

  41. The whole big idea why shuttle flies to ISS... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Russians: lets build a space station together!
    US: YEAH! Lets!
    Russians: OK, so we'll supply our knowledge about orbital flights, how to construct heavy orbital stations, the Progress and Soyuz delivery vehicles... a bunch of other stuff... Well, hmmm... remind us, why exactly do we need you again?
    US: Umm.... hmmmm... well, you could use our Shuttle dumptruck to haul your stuff up there...
    Russians: but it's no better than a freaking 5 MPG SUV!
    US: Well okay... we'll pay for our own gas!
    Russians: Okay sistah, you said it!

  42. Shuttle vs Soyuz by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

    The $25 million figure in the article is wrong. I would guess it's either a very outdated cost, or is the price of the Soyuz spacecraft only, not of a complete Soyuz launch. Or perhaps they were reporting the cost of flying to the ISS as a tourist on a Soyuz, which is most definitely not the launch cost.

    Last I heard, a Soyuz launch to the ISS costs about $70 million, but Russian launch prices have been skyrocketing lately (no pun intended) due to demand and the improving Russian economy.

    There's quite a few ways to calculate the cost of a shuttle launch. The direct costs incidental to launch add up to only around $60 million, but there's a lot of facility and periodic maintenance costs that must be accounted for, and if you include the development costs, a shuttle launch is somewhere around $1.3 billion. The fairest figure I've heard estimates what it would cost to add additional shuttle launches to the manifest and is around the $450 million the parent cited.

    But it's still an apples to oranges comparison. The Soyuz is a no-frills people transporter. The Shuttle is a somewhat over-featured cargo/personal transporter that can on its own serve as an orbital laboratory and work platform and even return large cargos to earth.

    The difference is well illustrated in this picture. In fact, the space shuttle could carry an entire, fully fueled and crewed Soyuz spacecraft in its payload bay, with quite a bit of room and literally tons of mass to spare, in addition to its regular 7-man crew.

  43. Misconceptions about Russian aerospace by amightywind · · Score: 1

    I'm a european and it means that media isn't used to get money for science funds.

    Yes, you use the funds to pay idle farmers.

    This is however a missunderstanding, in technical design Russia is ahead, especialy in design of technology hardware.

    Like these?

    American flying wings, well take a look at the earodynamics of a mig 29 it can tilt backwards in flight.

    Only a fool would suggest that a Mig 29 makes anything but a fine target for a front line American fighter.

    Oh and their space airplane first space flight was radio controlled inlcuded the landing. Imagine the space shuttle did no human no risk cargo shipping, hmmmm.

    The shuttle is capable of flying completely automated. Rumor has it that Buran fly with 4 tons of lead acid car batteries because the Russians could not master H2 fuel cells. If Buran was so good, why did it fly once?

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
  44. My Uncle Vladimir by Latent+Heat · · Score: 1

    Ha, moderated down, Uncle Vladimir is up to his old tricks of suppressing criticism.

  45. Re:Real idea of Shuttle: Gerbilology by aqk · · Score: 1

    A cosmonaut named Vladimir,
    Kept a cageful of gerbils on Mir.
    With cardboard tubes and some twine,
    He used them one at a time-
    An experiment he called 'Richard's Gear'



  46. Re:Well,; Sorry, I missed your post. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    yeah, kistler has lost the contract. They are going to appeal, but that would be like charles manson's appeal; it ain't going to happen. The reason is that they pissed off NASA, after NASA bent over backwards for them (it was an inside job (all of them were ex-DOD and NASA) rather than being won on performance). In fact, out of ALL of the choices, Kistler was universally regarded as the LAST choice. Kistler's top ppl acted like NASA had screwed them royal, even though they had burned 25 million good dollars and produced NOTHING (typical DOD operation; it does not get results until the real money flows).

    Scaled has a 2 part craft; White Knight and SS[123]. The white knight was scaled up (so to speak), and is carrying more loads than just SS#. In particular, NASA and the DOD are now using it to launch their test crafts. NASA had an old B-52 for that, but it was far too expensive to keep up and run. WK is far cheaper, flies higher, is faster, and was designed for just this job. T/Space is also contracting to use it. IOW, if T/space wins the NASA contract, it will be used just to fund the drop craft which will be equivilant to the SS3.

    WRT COTS, there were something like 8 companies vieing for the award. 2 of them won; spacex for ~ 300M and kistler for ~200M. Now that kistler has lost this, the other 6 will have something like 30 days to present their current progress. As I said, my bet is on spacedevs, BUT I do not know where everybody is at, and who the players are. The truth is that t/space will stand a chance for the exact same reason as kistler; insiders. Hopefully this time griffin's ppl will not be so stupid, and will instead pick a winner based on performance. The reason why I say that spacedev stands the best chance is that they have already lined up to use both spacex AND boeing/lmarts rockets, have a proven rocket, and have picked a well tested design (the H-20). By using United Launch Alliance (boeing and lmart) delta, they can be up in orbit by mid 2009 IFF they have been busy. And they are like spaceX, needing to not just win this contract, but also have some of the ISS business. In fact, this is an easy win for these 2. The reason is that if America has personal and cargo access via another much cheaper method, the shuttle would be stopped today. Griffin would stop it instantly and throw all the resources into building Ares I and probably IV or V. One interesting area that SpaceDev could get into quickly is building a tug. I suspect that if they win the NASA contract, they will also elect to use the backend of their dreamchaser for a tug (think of it as a relatively dumb frontend with a candiarm). With that combo, it will be hard for NASA to say no.

    One good place to look for this, would be google and wikipedia. What I have been doing is checking the news section of google for spacex and bigelow (as well as eestor) sorted by most recent. Look for kistler stuff around oct 17th. It will also talk about why they lost it and what is going to happen now.

    Hope this helps.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  47. Oh, snap by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I just read some of your other posts. You almost certainly had a clue about the stuff that I just laid out for you. I am sorry if I bored.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.