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Paramount to Drop HD DVD?

zeromemory writes "The Financial Times reports that " Paramount is poised to drop its support of HD DVD after Warner Brothers' recent backing of Sony's Blu-ray technology, in a move that will sound the death knell of HD DVD and bring the home entertainment format war to a definitive end." According to the Times, Warner Brother's recent defection to Blu-Ray allowed Paramount to terminate their exclusive relationship with HD DVD. Universal Studios remains the only major studio to exclusively support the HD DVD format, though rumors have surfaced that their contract may also contain a termination provision similar to that exercised by Paramount."

73 of 470 comments (clear)

  1. Goddammit by ZorbaTHut · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's not over until Netcraft confirms it!

    --
    Breaking Into the Industry - A development log about starting a game studio.
  2. already denied by paramount by Jesus_Corpse · · Score: 5, Informative

    Paramount already denied this:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aQMGgh2LV_bU&refer=japan

    There's only a clausule that it is permitted for Paramount to drop hd-dvd if they think it's needed.

    1. Re:already denied by paramount by LarsWestergren · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Paramount already denied this:

      There has been a blitz of these "the war is over, HD DVD is doomed" stories last couple of days, and sites post them very uncritically. Same with political "assassinations" online, doesn't matter how many times they are refuted, the lies live on and will probably enter the history books one day.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    2. Re:already denied by paramount by ribuck · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Paramount's spokeswoman said "Paramount's current plan is to continue to support the HD DVD format".

      That doesn't sound like a denial at all. That just sounds like they haven't announced any changes yet, so of course it's their "current plan". We already knew that it was their "current plan".

    3. Re:already denied by paramount by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, it is a denial. The FT report is that they plan to switch to Blu-ray.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    4. Re:already denied by paramount by tbannist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...

      Of course, denying the switch is the correct course of action, whether they're going to switch or not.

      There's no sense in risking your sales by announcing shortly you won't be supporting the formatting you're selling. The rumour that they might should be enough to drive sales up a bit for the people who already have HD DVD players and don't want to switch to BluRay. Meanwhile you can be sure as hell, they're getting ready to go both formats and/or BluRay exclusive if the money works out.

      I.e. the only reason they would not use the escape clause would be because they have to give back some of the bribe if they don't complete the term of the contract.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  3. Paramount Denies by quantumplacet · · Score: 5, Informative

    Paramount had denied this allegation. http://www.computerandvideogames.com/article.php?id=178864

    1. Re:Paramount Denies by DrXym · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The statement says "Paramount's current plan is to continue to support the HD DVD format". It's a weak denial and pretty ambiguous. The way it is worded they could easily change their minds tomorrow or even go neutral. I would expect HD DVD studios to be issuing stronger statements than that if they were actually committed to the format.

    2. Re:Paramount Denies by Durzel · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Lest we forget that Warner issued a not-too-dissimilar statement just before they went all-in with the Blu-ray boys.

      Moral of the story: Never believe anything you read or hear, especially when it's said in corporate circles.

    3. Re:Paramount Denies by king-manic · · Score: 2, Funny

      Moral of the story: Never believe anything you read or hear, especially when it's said in corporate circles. Damn.. school must have been hard for you.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  4. Dateline July 2007 - by the_skywise · · Score: 2, Funny

    Paramount announces that HD-DVD is where it's at. Paramount CEO gives himself a big raise and pat on the back for his intelligence and insight.

    Dateline Jan 2008 -
    Paramount announces that Blu-Ray is where it's at. Paramount CEO gives himself a big raise and pat on the back for his intelligence and insight.

  5. 'Get out clause" by Aladrin · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That's one of the weirdest clauses I've ever heard of... I wonder how truly useful it is, and if Universal really has it as well.

    And I'm wondering if they -really- care. Most of their movie sales are going to still be DVD anyhow. And the exclusive contract won't be in effect forever, especially if HD-DVD throws in the towel. I think the most harmful thing would be if they were forced to release all their movies on HD-DVD even knowing they won't sell.

    IMHO, the format war is far from over, anyhow. HD DVD players are half the price of the Bluray players, and that means a -lot-, especially while the market is just forming. There are -very- few people buying their second high def player. Almost every player sold is to a new household.

    And as far as I can tell, they are getting out of their 'exclusive' contract, but that doesn't mean they'll flop the other way. They might just produce discs for both now.

    --
    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
  6. Is this really the end -yes -or no -or maybe? by AndGodSed · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Warners decision last week to throw its weight behind Blu-ray saw it join Walt Disney, 20th Century Fox and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer as backers of the Sony format.

    Some big players in the market there.

    The Warners move gives Blu-ray about 70 per cent of Hollywood's output, although the format's grip on film content will increase further when Paramount comes aboard.

    The words "grip on film content" makes me feel all cornered.

  7. Not holding my breath by gumpish · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'll believe it when Paramount announces it, not the Financial Times...

    1. Re:Not holding my breath by geminidomino · · Score: 3, Funny

      ..reputable media source Military Intelligence
      Jumbo Shrimp
      Microsoft Works
      Advanced BASIC
      Bug-Free code

      I like this game! :)
    2. Re:Not holding my breath by geminidomino · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah but when it comes to media outlets, that scale ranges from "entirely dis-" to "not particularly"

  8. If Sony Wins a Format War . . . by LMacG · · Score: 4, Funny

    If Sony wins a format war, does that mean the end times are near? Should I be stocking up on canned goods and water and working on my underground bunker?

    --
    Slightly disreputable, albeit gregarious
    1. Re:If Sony Wins a Format War . . . by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It means you had better get comfortable with DRM, because you're going to be seeing a LOT more of it. Just pray we don't start seeing computer blu-ray players with rootkits and stand-alone players that require internet connections to play discs (similar to the evil that was Divx [spit])

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    2. Re:If Sony Wins a Format War . . . by dintech · · Score: 5, Funny

      The can is there to prevent theft of the food. You can't open the can to eat the food without violating the DMCA. Sorry.

    3. Re:If Sony Wins a Format War . . . by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sony didn't really "create" the 3.5in floppy. They really only introduced the form factor. The guts of the floppy were created much earlier by IBM. They also didn't partner with Philips until 9 years after the prototype CD was created. Reaching further into the depths you can even find that they didn't even create the Playstation on their own. http://www.nintendowiifanboy.com/2007/06/07/original-nintendo-sony-playstation-prototype-found/ Sony is about as innovative as a rock.

  9. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by oahazmatt · · Score: 2, Informative

    Looks like Sony wins this one.
    I used to think the same thing, until I read this comment and realized it was not just a Sony product.
    --
    Those who believe the Internet is private,
    find their privates are on the Internet.
  10. Winner is the Consumer by bhunachchicken · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Thank God this war is pretty much over. Now people can stop sitting on the fences and begin actively investing in Blu-ray. Now we don't have to worry so much about "exclusives" anymore.

    I sort of feel sorry for HD-DVD supports. If they're looking to blame someone for this though, they should really point fingers at Microsoft. If they had had the foresight (or even just the balls) to put HD-DVD in to the Xbox 360, the article would be the other away around.

    And before anyone brings up digital downloads, I do stand by my opinion that we are still a good five or more years away from that. Much of the world is limited to 1MB or 2MB broadband at most; some are still on dial up! And even those with 8MB offerings still have caps in place (British Telecom, I'm looking at you). DDs are not going to happen until we have better bandwidth, lower contention ratios and guaranteed throughput.

    1. Re:Winner is the Consumer by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If they had had the foresight (or even just the balls) to put HD-DVD in to the Xbox 360, the article would be the other away around.

      Then the XBox 360 would have been late to market and expensive. I think MS had a lot more staked on the success of the XBox 360 than HD DVD.

    2. Re:Winner is the Consumer by gnuman99 · · Score: 4, Informative

      1 or 2 Mbps or Megabits per second. 1MB broadband - wtf does that mean? 1MB download total?

      MB => megabyte
      Mb => megabit

      MB/s => megabytes per second. Generally used to describe disk speed, memory speed (in the past, now in GB/s)
      Mb/s or Mbs => magabits per second. USed to describe network speeds.

      1 byte = 8 bits unless you are living in the 70s.

      BTW, 1.5 Mbps is one of the standard speeds for ADSL and would net you about 177kB/s download rate. Going at full throttle, that gives you 14.5GB/day. On 7.5Mbps speed, or 5x faster, that would give you 72.5GB/day. Since HD movies now are probably around 25-30 GB/2hours or 15GB/h, to watch that real time, you'd need a 36Mbps broadband minimum or download speed of 4.3MB/s. Since HD content will be less compressed on the 50GB discs, you'll need about 70Mbps for that to download.

      For regular DVDs, they tend to be about 3GB/h so you'd need a 7Mbps service minimum to be able to watch DVD quality movies real time.

      Neither of the scenarios will be a reality for vast majority of the Internet users. If it costs you $1.5/GB to get the stuff in network charges, the HD content would cost you $50-$100. The DVD would be about $12. A mailed rental DVD costs you a lot less than that and even buying one may be cheaper.

      So yes, you are correct. DL is *way* off in the digital future, just keep the darn units correct.

    3. Re:Winner is the Consumer by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, Microsoft is not to blame. Assuming HD DVD is dead (and the lead story here is false, but it does feel right now like it's a matter of time), then I blame a number of groups. Microsoft shouldn't have put HD DVD in to the X-Box 360, it would have hurt X-Box 360 owners just as Blu-ray did Playstation 3 buyers. I'm not going to criticize them for doing the right thing.

      Microsoft's support for HD went beyond what was right for Microsoft. They ruined Vista in part by implementing a viable DRM and "secure path" systems to make it easier for Windows based systems to play AACS based content. This delayed Vista, reduced its compatibility with previous versions of Windows, and made the operating system less friendly to end users.

      And to their credit, they pushed for features of the HD DVD standard that, had (or if...) HD DVD taken off, would have been net gains for consumers, notably the mandatory managed copy system that would have provided some means for format and space shifting of access controlled content. Had/if HD DVD taken off, we'd see HD DVD players that can store entire libraries of movies, and stream them around the house. You'd be able to store HD DVD movies on your laptop computers instead of carrying the discs around with you. You'd be able to condense movies into forms storeable on compatible portable video players.

      What's happened is that the DVD Forum didn't push hard enough. Before Christmas, I saw huge amounts of advertising for Blu-ray and nothing for HD DVD. I saw stores locked up so they only sold and marketed Blu-ray. HD DVD advertising has concentrated purely on high quality video, the only area where it's identical to Blu-ray in features.

      The equipment making supporters of HD DVD didn't push out the equipment fast enough. HD DVD burners are hard to come by. HD DVD jukeboxes and other devices that make use of the managed copy features are non-existent. Toshiba was also pretty close to alone in pushing the format, with most of the other manufacturers making token efforts but skimping entirely on the marketing.

      Today if you want HD DVD, you can get a player to do it that has no major advantages over a Blu-ray player except in that it doesn't need constant firmware updates. And as most consumers have never heard of firmware, and aren't aware that Blu-ray isn't finished and that discs sold within the next couple of years will be unplayable on current equipment without updates, consumers have largely gone for the marketing pushed brand.

      The DVD Forum would have won if they'd gone either positive or negative on the advantages over Blu-ray. They instead have ignored it. They have a few months to turn this around, and I think it's doubtful they'll be able to do it.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    4. Re:Winner is the Consumer by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1997
      The huge size of a an audio song encoded in either raw au or mp3 format (about 5 MB!) will make it too daunting for people to download full CD tracks

      2005
      The huge size of a two hour movie encoded in either mpeg or other format (about 1 GB!) will make it too daunting for people to download full Movies

      2008
      The huge size of a two hour movie encoded in either VC-1 or AVC format (about 30 GB!) will make it too daunting for people to download full HD

      2015
      The huge size of the internet encoded in either xhtml or other format (about 30,000 PB!) will make it too daunting for people to download the entire sum knowledge of human kind

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    5. Re:Winner is the Consumer by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > If they had had the foresight (or even just the balls) to put HD-DVD in to the Xbox 360, the article would be the other away around.

      I call BS on this. If MS did this then the xbox would have been 100 dollars more, fanboys would have complained, and they still would have lost the format war. They might even have lost the console war.

      First off, MS is not Sony. They dont own a movie studio and billion dollar movies. MS is always fighting off regulation and is somewhat controlled by the threat of lawsuits and the judgement against them. In Japan, Sony is a powerhouse that is encouraged by the government. Its a brand thats part of their national pride.

      MS knew that HDDVD was a huge gamble when going up against Sony in the movie business and along with Toshiba and others they lost. Xbox is still pretty cheap, ironically , a much better value and success than the ps3. So Sony lost the console and got the movies. Good for them. Here's to more Sony style managerial decisions like spyware on my discs, proprietary everything out the wazoo, and huge premiums.

    6. Re:Winner is the Consumer by Zakabog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sorry, how has blu-ray hurt PS3 owners? I have a system that can support game discs as large as 50GB, along with a blu-ray disc player AND I can install Linux on it. I've never been happier with a game system before, I think Sony did everything right with the PS3 for those who can afford it. People who can't, will be able to one day when the price drops down so it's not that big a deal. I was expecting this to happen to HD DVD, as soon as I heard that the PS3 would play blu-ray discs it was just obvious to me that it would be the winning format just because every kid who buys a PS3 would have a blu-ray player. They'd get curious one day as to how good blu-ray really is, they'd buy a disc, watch some HD content on their 1080p TV (if they have one) and most likely get blown away by how amazing it looks. That was the general reaction from the dozens of people who've watched just 30 seconds of my Planet Earth blu-ray set. One or two of these people knew what 1080p meant, everyone else just knew that it looked amazing and had no idea HD DVD would look the same but they did know that when they bought a PS3 they'd have a blu-ray player.

  11. Porn studios showed the way. by siyavash · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well, This was almost clear from the start... as with VHS back in 80s... porn studios go mostly BlueRay then HD-DVD... One example is Vivid Entertainment that decided to publicly back Blu-Ray. :)

    1. Re:Porn studios showed the way. by LarsWestergren · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Porn studios showed the way.

      The myth that it was the porn studios who cased VHS to win over Betamax has been pretty thoroughly debunked... besides, even if it was so, this does not mean it must happen again 20 years later -

      *People can get porn online easily these days.
      *Porn might be one of the few genres that DON'T benefit from high-definition.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    2. Re:Porn studios showed the way. by LarsWestergren · · Score: 2, Insightful

      High Def porn is a good thing. If you like what you're looking at then more def is usually good. Hell a real female is infinitely more "hi def" than the TV is they are still generally prefered over porn.

      Yes but real people don't have genitals the size of 42" screens and razor pimples the size of tennis balls...

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    3. Re:Porn studios showed the way. by MBGMorden · · Score: 2, Informative

      All a matter of perspective and how close you are. Real genitals at 6 inches away are likely more detailed than 42" screen closeup genitals from 6 feet away.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
  12. May I be the first to say... by slyn · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Finally!

    I always suspected Blu Ray would win (partly because I wanted it to win, partly because of the PS3), but it took far longer than I thought it would. For the most part when corporations compete for the consumers business, the consumers win because they get a better product. In the case of the Next-Gen DVD format, neither the corporations nor the consumers won (or maybe they both won but it was a phyrric (sp?) victory). The products a few years ago are barely any different than what they are now (albeit significantly cheaper), so all that resulted in this conflict was consumer confusion and lost sales from people waiting out on a "winner".

    I must say though I'm glad that Blu Ray won given that the only end user noticeable difference is storage and price, and Blu Ray win's on storage space, and will eventually get equal in price.

    1. Re:May I be the first to say... by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sony are DRM-crazed control freaks. This is NOT a victory for consumers. May I remind you which studio was putting rootkits on all their CD's not so long ago? Do you really think they won't use their dominance to try some similar stuff with blu-ray?

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    2. Re:May I be the first to say... by ProppaT · · Score: 2, Informative

      To me this is a major loss for consumers.

      1) Sony likes to fix market prices.

      2) Blue Ray players are a royal pain to program for, where HD-DVD's devopment tools are quite robust and relatively easy to use. This is a loss for DVD collectors such as myself who often buy DVD's just for the bonus features.

      3) Discs will be more expensive to print because BR is not an open standard and royalties will have to be paid to Sony.

      4) DRM, blah blah. Good luck ever being able to rip those movies onto a media server.

      The only positive I see is that BR winning over HD-DVD is that it might allow Sony to drop the price of the PS3 sooner.

      --
      Wise men say, "Forgiveness is divine, but never pay full price for late pizza."
  13. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by Iphtashu+Fitz · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Looks like Sony wins this one.

    I guess it's about time they won one of these format wars after the failures of their memory sticks, mini disks, DAT, etc.

  14. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by LarsWestergren · · Score: 5, Funny

    Looks like Sony wins this one.

    A more positive way to view it is that Microsoft lost! :)

    Besides, as others have pointed out, lots of companies were behind Bluray, not just Sony.

    --

    Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

  15. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by igb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't think the death of HD-DVD (even if it happened) would be a victory for Blu-Ray. All those pissed-off HD-DVD customers, the general ``HD video is a good way to get ripped off'' buzz, in a tightening economy, spells trouble. DCC was `beaten' by MiniDisc, but in the end it was a pyhric victory.

  16. Seems like this is a war not worth winning by podperson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder if -- and indeed expect that -- the victory will prove Pyrrhic.

    Gates famously said this would be the last format far. I think that it will prove to be the last plus one. Most people are going to be uninterested in buying video in a locked format; unless blu-rays allow you to play your videos on a generic DVD player, rip your video into your computer, play your video on your PSP, iPod, iPhone, or whatever, not enough people will want them to generate economies of scale.

    I suspect that 1080 will turn out to be a mere stepping stone to arbitarily large screen resolutions. DVD, VHS, etc. all targeted an otherwise very stable market of equipment: NTSC televisions and stereo (or even mono) audio. The old CE companies have tried to create a new ecology (HD TV + Surround sound) but the real ecology is much more complex and diverse (PCs, laptops, cellphones, iPods, and stuff we haven't even dreamed of yet) and it's not going to stay even vaguely stable for long enough for a deeply flawed and mistargeted technology to gain traction.

    1. Re:Seems like this is a war not worth winning by RobBebop · · Score: 4, Funny

      The old CE companies have tried to create a new ecology (HD TV + Surround sound) but the real ecology is much more complex and diverse (PCs, laptops, cellphones, iPods, and stuff we haven't even dreamed of yet)

      You know better than to say "stuff we haven't dreamed of yet". The real winner will be the format that can run a lifelike virtual reality pornography simulation. Last I checked, Blu-Ray doesn't even come with a mechanical dildo (but imagine how quickly your wife would want it if it did).

      In all seriousness... there are 5 human senses. Sight and hearing are taken care of. Really good movies can give you the chills or make you cry - so that *partially* handles the sense of touch. More work with that, and then an entertainment platform that can simulate smell are around the corner.

      When you can smell Jenna Jameson's perfume as her virtual body climbs over you... that is when the Format War will be over.

      :)

      --
      Support the 30 Hour Work Week!!!
    2. Re:Seems like this is a war not worth winning by sherpajohn · · Score: 2, Funny

      When you can smell Jenna Jameson's perfume as her virtual body climbs over you... that is when the Format War will be over.
      No, then it will merely be getting started...when you can also taste the various parts of her virtual body as it climbs over you, and feel the goosebumps that creates on her virtual flesh, we'll be much closer. Of course, it won't really be done til Gillian Anderson can take her place.
      --

      Going on means going far
      Going far means returning
    3. Re:Seems like this is a war not worth winning by king-manic · · Score: 4, Funny

      When you can smell Jenna Jameson's perfume as her virtual body climbs over you... that is when the Format War will be over. I'm uncertain if the smell of skank is really a good thing.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  17. Re:Yawn by michrech · · Score: 2, Funny
    MegaHD-DVD? Crap.. I'm still using my HHDD-DDVVDD player...

    I can never keep up.. :(

    Clearly, MegaHD-DVD would win. (Hint: You're going the wrong way on the spectrum.)
    --
    bork bork bork!
  18. Re:Mountain? by ilovegeorgebush · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Indeed. The visual improvements in DVD compared to VHS were just a bonus. I upgraded because VHS was slow, hard to use, and had a short life. DVDs were fast, easy to use and 'the next big thing'.

    I don't really think people see (or even understand properly) the aspects of these new formats: bigger capacity and 'better quality' (really, is there much of a difference?).

    Quite surprising that Sony won for once, though. *cough*minidisc*cough*

  19. Blame Micrsoft? That is so 90s by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sorry HD-DVD is dieing because of back room politics and its not Microsoft. Really, half the time we are claiming they are a dino and dieing off and the next time they are a world power behind the scenes, about the only thing not pinned on them is 9/11.

    This is about Hollywood studios lining up with a product more friendly with what they want.

    I went with HD-DVD initially because of price. That and the fact ALL movies start immediately without bunches of lead in crap - something that disney loves.

    I will get a BluRay once the price reaches HD-DVD player price points. Fortunately there aren't enough movies restricted to one player or the other. Do I think my "investment" in HD-DVD is wasted? No, because they aren't going to stop playing. Besides calling it an "investment" is just a lame way to justify what you spend on something that is essentially frivolous.

    Grats to Sony on the win, too bad for the consumer as I while both have overpriced movies the BluRay players are not competitive. If anything it may slow down real High Definition roll outs.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  20. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by oliverthered · · Score: 2, Insightful

    a less positive way to view it is that HD-DVD is easier to copy than blu-ray.

    looks like the chances of getting a next gen dvd player for linux are out the window.

    --
    thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  21. Oh geez. by Viewsonic · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They denied it, pure and simple. Just because someone can do something doesn't mean they're going to. How about instead of ignoring their denial, you take it for face value until, you know, they actually do it. Until then, the rest of the world will be waiting for sub $100 Blu-Ray players before we even think about jumping on this train.

  22. Maybe it's the name by Jeff1946 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Over Xmas, I would hear people in electronics stores using the term Blu-ray. I think it is a name with a better cachet to it and believe this has had some effect on its success. The buying public often will pay more for a "better" name so they can say "I have a Blu-ray player." Sometimes the technology or other features will take second place to the name. Remember most of the folks buying these things are not literate /. readers.

  23. Blu-Ray::Obama ; HD-DVD::Hillary! by elwinc · · Score: 2, Funny
    It's all about the momentum! Sure, NTSC DVD is still President, but it's flaws are well known and everybody scorns it even while we're stuck with it. But of the new guys, HD-DVD offers stability: compatibility with existing DVD players and big money (Microsoft) backing. Blu-Ray has higher peak bandwidth and potentially more room on the disk; i.e. more hope for a better future.



    Voters, um, I mean buyers, seem to be moved by that message of hope! Obama, um, I mean Blu-Ray, seems to be surging unexpectedly ahead! Change is in the air! The big mony gang is frustrated -- they've been causing change for 25 or more years -- why aren't more people listening? Iowa was a shock; Blu-Ray is 10 points ahead in the latest NH polls; south Carolina won't save HD-DVD; they've gotta re-group and start pointing out Blu-Ray's flaws from now until Super Tuesday!



    Only thing I can't figure out is where is Ron Paul in all this? I think he represents 3D holographic TV. It's the darling of the techno-cognoscenti, but nobody really expects it to see the light of day.

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
  24. Re:The impossible happened, hell froze over by ergo98 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Bluray does 1080p, and HD-DVD does 1080i, at least with the way things are set up right now.

    Get educated.

    Firstly, the difference between the two is completely irrelevant for movies (which is what we're talking about). I want 1080/24p, not the 1080/60p that the kids are giggling over.

    Secondly, HD-DVD is the same 1080p as Blu-ray. Perhaps you mean specific players? There are 1080i and 1080p players for both formats.
  25. Re:no more price war? by 0111+1110 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Why does everyone assume there is going to be a winner? If you look at the history of previous format wars, you can see that most of the time no one wins. For a recent example look at CD/DVD +/-R formats. We are stuck with somewhat more expensive players because of that stalemate. Although they are so cheap at this point that no one cares except for the manufacturers perhaps. OTOH, some formats obviously lost like DVD-RAM. Of course this is a little different because it is the studios that get to decide.

    If in fact blu-ray does end up the 'winner', is there anyone else here who attributes this more to the early success of hackers and the AnyDVD devs at HD-DVD ripping? For all we know blu-ray is in fact unhackable, with that ability to change the DRM whenever they want.

    Blu-ray supports region encoding. Don't tell me the studios don't love that annoying ability. Blu-ray discs have a thinner protective layer, so that a scratch can more easily result in an unplayable disc and hence a resale of the same disc multiple times, especially since blu-rays are so much harder to backup. And the much greater data density is also of great value from a copy protection and distribution POV. Hard drive storage of ripped movies becomes much more expensive. Internet downloads are even more prohibitive in terms of both bandwidth (not everyone has unlimited high bandwidth connections) and time (not everyone has the patience to wait 3-6 weeks to download a movie they want to see). It has always been obvious that from the studio POV manufacturing cost savings was the only advantage of HD-DVD. In every other way, blu-ray was a win-win for them.

    So from the POV of anyone who would like to be able to backup their HiDef movie collection to something that is not so vulnerable to scratches, this is bad news. Of course from a pure videophile perspective this would be good news. More space should equal higher bitrates. Although in practice we may see the studios don't give a rats arse about higher bitrate transfers. After all, superbit DVDs never really took off even though they clearly had superior picture quality.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  26. Re:do not want by Joe+Random · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I hate the idea of spending hard earned cash on DRM infested discs that will be obsolete in five years.

    There's always NetFlix. Personally, I watch individual movies so infrequently that it doesn't make sense for me to actually buy them. I don't mean that I don't watch movies. Just that, if I've seen a particular movie, I probably won't feel like watching it again for several years.
  27. It figures because "Serenity" was HD DVD. by Stopher2475 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Should have known HD DVD would be the loser as soon as they released "Serenity" on it. That show can't buy a break.

    1. Re:It figures because "Serenity" was HD DVD. by powerlord · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No kidding. Its at the top of my list of "Movies I would buy if they were out in Blu-Ray."

      On a related note, if you enjoyed watching Summer Glau (River) kick Reaver butt, check out the "Sarah Conner Chronicles". Not sure how good the show will be, but she's playing the "Good" Terminator. :D

      Oh ... They are also setting the series after T2 (effectively ignoring T3?)

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
  28. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by igb · · Score: 2, Insightful

    People that slashdot readers know aren't a good model of the population at large. I'd be prepared to bet that of my wife's friends, less than 10% of them know there is a format war at all. The main decision they're involved in is ``keep the VCR vs Buy a DVD recorder vs Buy a hard-disk recorder'' for timeshifting. In my guise a technology consultant to a large pool of social acquaintances, not one person has mentioned HD. And over lunch in a technology company where I work, the general view is ``maybe at some point, but who cares?''. Note this is England, where a TV over 26" is the mark of he working classes.

  29. Re:Yawn by Monkeys+with+Guns · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sad. I'm still using my DVDA player.

  30. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by iainl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The thing is that since the run up to Christmas started, right up to this Warner switch announcement, the weekly ratio of Blu to HD-DVD sales has been static at around 61:39, despite individual big titles on both formats and a non-stop series of Buy 1 Get 1 Free offers on Amazon.com and in stores for Blu.

    Far better for HD-DVD than the 2:1 to 3:1 we were seeing during most of the summer, and a hell of a lot better than the 8:1 or more that some Blu fanboys were suggesting we'd see by Christmas six months ago.

    No, what really seems to have caused the announcement of the switch isn't the ratios at all, but that the raw numbers, and certainly raw profit numbers were far worse than expected. Loads of people sitting out the battle because they didn't want to back the loser, and loads of loss-leading promotion being run on both sides to ensure it wasn't them.

    Warner want one side, any side to win, so the fence-sitters might dive in. They just jumped the way they thought might make the most difference.

    --
    "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
  31. Re:The impossible happened, hell froze over by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Interesting

    HD DVD can offer unencrypted content, and the mandatory managed copy system means even encrypted content can be stored in a central library, format shifted, and even streamed, if you're willing to use consumer tools to do so.

    Blu-ray also has a number of downsides over both HD DVD and DVD, most notably that the BD+ system requires regular firmware updates, and that these firmware updates will be needed for the next year or two anyway because the Blu-ray spec, unlike HD DVD, still hasn't been finished.

    And that pretty much guarantees that regardless of whether HD DVD dies or not, Blu-ray never, ever*, will displace DVD. A only marginal improvement in image and sound quality in return for a system unusable to a large portion of the population who neither have the skills nor resources to ensure their players are connected to the Internet.

    * Well, ok, it might if they fix the bloody thing. But, at least as currently built, Blu-ray objectively is worse than the technology it supposedly obsoletes. If the Blu-ray consortium freeze the spec within the next six months and remove BD+ from it, then it might displace DVD. Operative word "might", the more expensive standard has to have real, discernible and compelling, advantages over the cheaper, incumbent, standard if it's going to get anywhere, and I'm just not seeing them. HD DVD did.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  32. Heh by Enahs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Every negative HD-DVD story on Slashdot is plastered with Blu-Ray ads. Heh.

    Well, I bought one of the HD-DVD players at Christmas time and was quite happy with it...for about a week, when WB cut the legs out from under the format. The only actual title I've bought so far was a WB title. Heck, I took their statements about continuing neutrality to be honesty.

    I figured it'd turn out that way, but thought the worse-but-final-and-cheaper format might pull one out. I guessed wrong, but at least I got a good upscaling DVD player out of the deal, and I think I'll go ahead and grab some titles before they disappear.

    And as far as Blu-Ray goes, I'll wait until there's a non-sucky entry-level player that doesn't cost more than double my 3rd-gen HD-DVD player. I mean, really, a stand-alone player that sucks ass and costs as much as an entry-level PS3, which also plays Blu-Ray and comes with 5 free movies? What kind of moron is going to buy into that right now? I guess the same kind of suckers who buy brand-new computer tech as soon as it comes out.

    The way I look at it, these studios just set HD movies BACK a year, and in that time, people won't be buying as many DVDs either, since the studios will take the attitude, "Just buy the Blu-Ray titles, morons!" before long. So have fun losing that revenue stream, guys.

    --
    Stating on Slashdot that I like cheese since 1997.
  33. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by ZiggyStardust1984 · · Score: 5, Funny

    and Java also won as every Bluray player will contain a JVM. Thus, bluray will damage the brains of the CS students.

  34. This just in... by Brad1138 · · Score: 2, Funny

    SCO claims BluRay using proprietary SCO technology and is pursuing a cease and desist order against Sony and other companies listed here.

    --
    If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
  35. Re:do not want by geekoid · · Score: 2, Informative

    Blu-Ray players will play your old DVDs.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  36. Re: DAT by jonfromspace · · Score: 2, Informative

    I don't know if you could call DAT a failure... Mini disk and memory sticks, maybe, but DAT was/is pretty popular in the recording industry.

    --
    I am become Troll, destroyer of threads
  37. Re:It will be a cold day in hell by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 2, Informative

    1) Blu-Ray movies don't cost $25-30, unless we're not using US dollars here. They cost more like $20-$25, I rarely see Blu-Ray titles for >$25.
    2) So they're encrypted. Whoop-de-fuckin' doo. So are DVDs, I hope that you have just as much moral objection to them, and refuse to use them.

    --
    "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
  38. And Warner denied last month as well by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sure, just like Warner was denying their format exclusivity right up until the day they were not.

    If there is a clause, what makes you think it's not needed? HD-DVD sales have tanked on Amazon, and there are also rumors of some retailers dropping HD-DVD altogether. If that happens, I would say Paramount would consider it nessecary to invoke the clause.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  39. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by king-manic · · Score: 2, Informative

    Mem sticks is a failure. MD is actually a huge success in Asia. 3.5" and CD were the other Sony victories.

    --
    "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  40. Re:The impossible happened, hell froze over by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I was watching a Blu-Ray movie and it didn't look like a movie, it freakin' looked like I was watching action just outside a window. It was literal jaw dropping. I have yet to see that with HD-DVD.

    Given they both use the same encoding, really, I seriously doubt that you've noticed any quality improvement Blu-ray has over HD-DVD watching the same movie on the same screen. No serious commentator is suggesting either format has an edge with quality. And right now, anyone who doesn't have a very, very, large TV, that does 1080 and has a really good contrast ratio is not going to notice a significant advantage either format has over DVD. It's not that there's no difference, I was pretty excited seeing the opening scene of "Bladerunner" on HD DVD, and there are a few panoramic shots in The Bourne Ultimatum that stand out too; but for most of most movies, there's no significant improvement. It's a scene here and there that looks slightly better but you'd never have even noticed a lack of quality on DVD.

    Besides, HD-DVD uses rep to identify their movies; where as Blu-Ray uses blue.

    Wow, there's a technical advantage right there! I'm going to create the SuperAwesomeHD format, they'll have to switch to it with a name like that!

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  41. Re:The impossible happened, hell froze over by liquiddark · · Score: 3, Funny

    Given Microsoft's involvement, the fear is that any green identifier used would eventually turn red, at which point you would have to ship your HD DVD back to the factory for service.

  42. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by terjeber · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Take Blu-ray. The player sales have been dismal.

    Despite the fact that Tosh has been dumping players at somewhere around 1/2 of production price, the uptake of HD DVD has been pretty dismal. In fact, uptake of HDM in general has been dismal. This is the problem Warner was facing. They, and only they, had the power to put an end to a format war that kept the consumer on the fence. To do so they only had one move open to them. They made it.

    There is no reason to think Warner was paid off in the way Paramount was, but it is not unreasonable to assume they got some good disk-printing incentives. Warner executives denies Warner was paid, and with Sarbanes-Oxley, it is reasonable to assume they are speaking the truth about that. I find it odd that the HD DVD fanboys are so adamant that Warner is unable to make rational business decisions. As with most nutcase theories, there has to be a conspiracy somewhere.

    Oh, and BTW, in December, the sales of stand alone Blu-Ray players was higher than that of HD DVD players, despite the fact that they are priced twice or more of HD DVD. So, what can we say? Even when you give away HD DVD players, the general public say shrug, I don't care. That hurts everybody, and Warner needed to do something about that.

    Combine that with the fact that less than 1 in 5 PS3 owners even know they have a BD player....

    Now, now, let's not just make up numbers willy nilly or distort pretty ancient numbers. A good portion of PS3 players by now was sold with a Blu-Ray movie, the consumer isn't that stupid.

    I'll stick with DVDs.

    And that is your prerogative. I prefer to watch HD movies. You apparently want to watch SD movies rather than going with a format that your religion says you should not use. Good for you.

  43. Re:Yawn by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 2, Informative

    Since the time this news was in the firehose till now... we are now discussing green-ray vs MegaHD-DVD. The old war is over.

    I know this was a joke, but in many ways you aren't far from the truth:
      - Holographic Storage: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holographic_data_storage
      - Tapestry Media: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tapestry_Media
      - Enhanced Versatile Disc: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enhanced_Versatile_Disc

    --
    Jumpstart the tartan drive.
  44. Re:Seems like HD-DVD is dead by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You make absolutely no sense. Let's assume Warner got paid. There is no proof and no rumors of any substance to back that up, but let's run with it. Paramount got paid to do HD-DVD, and that is well known. So how does it make it any different?

    According to vgchartz.com, the PS3 has only sold slightly under 9 million units. Let's pretend that is correct, and also that you're made up number of 1/5 is also correct. That still puts people who know they have a Bluray player at about double your number of 1 million HD-DVD player buyers. But we haven't counted people who bought stand alone Bluray players.

    You're last paragraph is where you lose me. So you are in the HD-DVD camp. That's fine. But then you go on to say you refuse to go Bluray until fair use is supported. Where is fair use supported in HD-DVD. Just because the DRM has been cracked, doesn't mean it's supported. So OK, you say you'll stick with DVD. Again, there is still DRM and breaking it is not supported. But how are you going to stick with DVDs when you are in the HD-DVD camp?

    There are two givens here: prices will come down (just like DVDs did) and DRM will be cracked (just like it always is).

    --
    Stop Global Warming!
    Just say no to irreversible processes!
  45. Re:Waiting... by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Those HD-DVD movies are going to be useless now unless you either keep your HD-DVD player just for the 20 movies you have on HD-DVD or unless you get a dual format player. Or rip them.
    --
    Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  46. Wow! Biased much? by Nursie · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Blu-ray supports region encoding."

    HD-DVD was getting it too.

    "Don't tell me the studios don't love that annoying ability."

    Oh they do and it pisses me off no end, no argument there.

    "Don't tell me the studios don't love that annoying ability."

    I believe they're also made of a far more scratch resistant material.

    "And the much greater data density is also of great value from a copy protection and distribution POV. Hard drive storage of ripped movies becomes much more expensive"

    Wait, wait, am I reading this right - more capacity is a BAD thing?

    Internet downloads are even more prohibitive in terms of both bandwidth (not everyone has unlimited high bandwidth connections) and time (not everyone has the patience to wait 3-6 weeks to download a movie they want to see).

    Newsflash for ya - the storage format isn't gonna matter a rats arse (to borrow your phrase) when it comes to net downloads, which will continue to be downsampled and compressed as necessary. It doesn't matter whether HD-DVD or BluRay becomes the defacto standard, it's utterly immaterial to downloads.

    "More space should equal higher bitrates."

    And with BluRay it does.

    Now, the DRM is an issue I'll agree with you on, it sucks big time. But the rest of your post wasn't much help.