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US Broadband Won't Catch Up With Japan's For 101 Years

An anonymous reader writes "Internet speeds of users nationwide shows that the United States has not made significant improvements in deploying high-speed broadband networks in the past year, and if the average US Internet speed continues to improve only at the same rate it did from 2007 to 2008, the country won't catch up with Japan's current download speed for another 100 years, according to findings released by the Communications Workers of America's (CWA's) Speed Matters campaign." With enough statistical mangling, nearly anything can be presented as plausible, but that's not enough to cover up my envy of Asian broadband speeds.

20 of 708 comments (clear)

  1. oook by pak9rabid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, because we all know upgrade paths are all completely linear...

    1. Re:oook by daveatneowindotnet · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not sure how this is on topic, but to bring it so. Japan is having this problem while the US is not, thanks largely to brain gain from places like India and immigration from Mexico providing a robust blue collar work force. Sure that pisses off Lou Dobbs but it will keep America afloat. In all likelihood there will just be an evaporation of the native American middle class (no not Cherokee). America has been declared dead due to worse things then outsourcing, a momentary credit crunch, and ill advised war (read: moneysink) and survived handsomely. For better or worse the American Hegemony will survive for sometime longer if only for the fact there isn't a clear successor yet.

    2. Re:oook by MrNaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Replying only because you made this on topic :)

      if only for the fact there isn't a clear successor yet

      Ahem. China? India? Heck, Brazil?

      All have far more robust economies than the US at the moment, if national budgets are anything to go by. The US government has long considered its ability to tax its citizens as an unlimited line of credit. They (you?) are about (in the near future, near being used on the historical timescale) to find out that there is no such thing as an unlimited line of credit. The US citizens' willingness to be frogboiled into paying for more and more of their income to their government's siphon-wealth-to-the-rich program is wearing thin.

      If you're cynical enough, you could postulate that the destruction of the US education system is no a political misadventure, but a deliberate act to keep the working class in a poorly educated state. This would ensure that they lack the insight to interpret political reality for themselves, instead relying solely on pre-digested conclusions drip fed to them via the mass media.

      But that's a position you'd take if you were cynical enough. I'm obviously not :)

      --
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    3. Re:oook by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wow, I thought you might have a point until you started going into the uber-right-wing whacko talk. U.S. tax rates are relatively low for a first world nation - and your assertion of it being considered an unlimited line of credit seems ill-timed considering the whole reality of taxes being reduced repeatedly over Dubya's term. If you want to go into a full libertarian rant about how the state shouldn't do things like pay for schools or roads or the military or protect the environment, then fine - at least that would be logically consistent.

      I'd at least argue that so long as we receive services, we should probably pay for them. I'd also argue that our society is better served by counteracting class disparity - especially as brought on through the mechanism of inheritance - similar to how we are best served by tempering or breaking up monopolies. Somewhat intelligent peoples such as Warren Buffett take a similar stance.

      As far as the mentioned alternatives, they have a long way to go yet. India and China will overtake us in sheer total numbers, but will remain far behind us in per capita terms and other things like standard of living. If you look at them, they're are nations in upheaval and while growing their middle class, they also have levels of poverty unimaginable to the vast majority of Americans. It's entirely possible for the wind to blow another direction and eventually every great nation crests and declines, however thinking one of these nations will be ready to become our successor in a matter of years instead of a matter of decades shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the state of the world.

    4. Re:oook by Retric · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We are talking about Japan which also develops tech and has been paying less for higher bandwidth connections for over 10 years. The US network sucks because of poor planning and poor execution and nothing else. We waste a lot of money without building fast networks because our telecoms suck and we let them get away with it.

    5. Re:oook by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The reason Japan has done so well is that the government decided broadband was something they wanted, and took a lead role in making it happen. In the UK and US, telecoms and cable companies have just been left to their own devices and so the market has driven them to offer as little service as possible for as much money as possible while spending as little as possible on upgrades. As individual consumers there is nothing we can do, only the government can speed things up.

      --
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  2. Re:Euro/Japan envy is getting stupid by Greg_D · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, like shorter work weeks, better insurance coverage, universal health care, more vacation time.

    Really, people, lighten up!

  3. Spin This So Action is Taken! by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    US Broadband Won't Catch Up With Japan's for 101 Years

    Uh, could you somehow spin (regardless of truth) this as related to war and/or military prowess so our administration will mindlessly throw money at it instead of mindlessly ignoring it?

    Like:

    US Cyber Attacking Infrastructure Embarrassingly Lags Japan's

    Japanese Identify US Broadband as "Ripe for the Pickin'"

    Cyber Pearl Harbor Imminent

    US President's Netflix Downloads 1/10 as Fast as Japanese President's

    US Administration Idles as US-Japanese Broadband Gap Widens

    Come on, these things basically write themselves! Turn it into a dick measuring contest or it's meaningless.

    --
    My work here is dung.
  4. Geography by Nerdfest · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I didn't take the time to check Google maps, but I'm fairly sure that Japan!=Asia. If you look at all of Asia, I would guess that it has quite a ways to go to catch up to Japan as well.

  5. Re:Japan is a lot smaller than the U.S. by Swizec · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have a 20/20 fiber connection available to me for cheaper than what I'm currently paying for 1/0.25 ... how lame is that?

  6. Red Herring Comparison by Scudsucker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not the old "but America is rural!" chestnut again. Scandinavian countries have lower population densities than we do yet have much better access. And the "rural" argument might make sense for why you can't get good access on a farm in Kansas, but then why don't we have 100 Mbps consumer connections in San Francisco or Manhattan?

  7. Why? by illegalcortex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Whether or not the prediciton is statistically shaky, the fact remains that there is a huge gap between the US and many other, quite dissimilar countries. The big question is "Why?" Japan and Korea aren't the only ones that far outclass American broadband speed, though they do have quite a speed lead.

    Chart of Broadband Speeds by Country

    And sure, in the US you can get FiOS at 30Mbps, but it will cost you $200/month and you have to live in a very limited area. You can get 50Mbps from Comcast only if you live in the Twin Cities (right now), but it's still $150/month.

    I could point to the geography of the US, saying how its a much bigger area than the smaller countries at the top of those charts. Sure, Japan and Korea have an incredible population density. But not Finland, Sweden, France, etc. They have population densities several orders of magnitude smaller than even cities like Houston, Miami, Phoenix, or Chicago. Why aren't these cities more like those countries?

    I could also try it from the angle of regulation/free market/competition. But I'm pretty sure those countries at the top aren't all the same in that regard.

    Is it because our companies tend to each have local monopolies over large areas? That seems less likely considering how just about everyone in a metro area can get cable. So they have two companies, phone and cable, to compete with each other.

    Is there something unique about our infrastructure? Did we make some horrible mistake that seemed like a good idea at the time but is now haunting us?

    Is the US just in a perfect storm of craptitude where all these factors come into play?

  8. Re:Japan is a lot smaller than the U.S. by Telvin_3d · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's a nice argument, but kind of falls apart when you figure that even places like New York, which has some of the highest population densities in the world, have crap internet. If the free market and unregulated business practices was going to provide good internet at competitive rates it would have already materialized, at least in select markets.

  9. Re:Euro/Japan envy is getting stupid by CastrTroy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I live in Canada, and from talking to a couple Americans, my taxes seem to be right on pay with what they are paying, possibly a little higher. Once I count in all the benefits my government provides me, like free health care, I would probably say I pay less taxes than many Americans. Americans think they have less taxes, but if you really look into it, you'll find that logic flawed. They pay a little less, but get a lot less out of their government.

    --

    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  10. Re:Bu-Bu-But the free market rules! by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You're blaming government-granted monopolies on the free market?

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  11. Re:Euro/Japan envy is getting stupid by witchman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The lack of fast internet in America is crippling all the business that relies on fast internet speeds. Sorry to burst your bubble but the Internet is actually used for more that just surfing the web. If America is supposed to be moving away from a manufacturing economy and toward a service economy (specifically an information service economy) then we need to have the infrastructure to handle the demands of that economy. Just like when we invested tons of money in the railroad infrastructure in the beginnings of the Industrial revolution and then again on our highway system in the 50â(TM)s for trucking; we need to invest heavily in our Internet infrastructure. If we donâ(TM)t then we will surely fail as an Information Economy. Iâ(TM)ve had direct experience with this as I worked for a Medical ASP and we were constantly crippled by crappy Internet speeds that would not have been an issue in most of Europe and much of Asia. Itâ(TM)s shameful how our economic growth is being hampered by a few very greedy Telco companies.

  12. So why is Finland so much better? by zooblethorpe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So how come, even in Silicon Valley, I can't get a consumer connection faster than 5Mbps? In 2008? Yet, when I moved to Japan in 2002, the *slowest* most *basic* package I could get (excepting dial-up, which was being phased out) was 12Mbps.

    Fine, we get it, the US is huge. That's no excuse. The simple fact of the matter is that the telcos are much happier to sit there and overcharge for crappy service, as they have no compelling reason to upgrade. If population density and geography alone were the only limiting factors, US residents would still be able to get decent high-speed connections in the urban areas. But they don't exist. I mean, jebus, FINLAND has better download speeds, by a factor of almost 9x (2.4Mbps US vs 21Mbps Finland), despite a population density of about half the US (31/sq km US vs 16/sq km Finland).

    So quit the hyperbole, and look at the basic facts -- we're getting shafted in the name of telco profits.

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  13. Re:Euro/Japan envy is getting stupid by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Or like better beer, a rich regional culture and history, better cuisine, better wine.

    The United States doesn't have rich regional cultures? I guess you've never been to New York City or New Orleans?

    And the rest of those are purely subjective. Most of the mass market European beers (Heineken comes to mind) are just as crappy as the mass market American beers. Start talking about microbrews though I think you'll find a few American beers that stack up favorably. American wine came of age a long time ago and competes successfully on the world stage. And 'better cuisine'? Cuisine varies so much between regions (even within small countries -- ever traveled across Italy?) that I'm really interested to hear how you define "better".

    --
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  14. Re:Japan is a lot smaller than the U.S. by nacturation · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have a 20/20 fiber connection available to me for cheaper than what I'm currently paying for 1/0.25 ... how lame is that?

    You have a far faster connection available to you but you continue to pay higher prices for vastly inferior bandwidth? That is incredibly lame -- switch already!
     

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  15. Bad research? by trimCoder · · Score: 3, Insightful

    US data is taken from speedmatters at 2.3Mbps

    International data taken from theInformation Technology and
    Innovation Foundation at http://www.itif.org/files/2008BBRankings.pdf

    This report shows US at 4.9Mbps

    A significant difference in findings between the two. Ill let you draw the conclusions