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Governments Preparing To Bail Out DRAM Makers

An anonymous reader writes "DRAM makers are facing one of the worst downturns in their history and governments around the world are lining up to help companies through the mess. Taiwan, Germany and South Korea all appear poised to offer some assistance to their DRAM chip makers. The chip makers' problems are indicative of global woes. Easy lending terms and a bright view of the future prompted them to build too many new DRAM factories. Much of the new output was aimed at Microsoft's Windows Vista, which has higher memory requirements than XP."

79 of 494 comments (clear)

  1. Bailout Bandwagon by slifox · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Do government bail outs happen all the time, and its only recently that the term "bail out" has become popular? Or are all industries everywhere simultaneously going broke just now?

    I don't follow the financial world much, so all of a sudden I see * industry bailouts over and over again... From an outsider's perspective, it kinda seems like a bandwagon

    Where do I sign up to get bailed out of my personal company's (i.e. me) financial problems by the government?

    Anyways, isn't bankruptcy supposed to be the "bail out," but with accountability instead of just writing large checks and calling it a successful bail out?

    If anyone gets any government money, they ought to be held accountable for its use and for making sure that this situation never happens again.

    I wish politicians, CEOs, and just the general public would start looking at the long term costs and benefits rather than focusing on immediate reward. Think of all the current worldwide problems we wouldn't have to worry about! Then again, thats much easier said than done...

    1. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by jcr · · Score: 4, Informative

      are all industries everywhere simultaneously going broke just now?

      You can get a pretty good idea how we got into this situation from here.

      Not all industries are going broke, but economic activity in general is falling sharply. How long this lasts will depend on how much effort governments put into delaying and interfering with the repricing and deflation that must follow an inflationary bubble of this magnitude.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by Dr.+Hellno · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'd gotten the same impression, but it seems that the term has been in use for a while. Here's one example from 1979

      I hardly expect anyone to read that, so I'll summarize. In 1979, according to this article, the Carter administration offered 1.5 billion dollars to Chrysler in what was referred to as a bailout (also called, somewhat quaintly, a "tide-me-over"). Amazingly, the company was proposing a shift to fuel-efficient cars that would get them back to profitability "by 1981". This is all before my time, but I do know that if they ever followed that business model it can't have lasted very long. And so we find them today, stuck in the same ditch they'd driven into back in 1979.
      We've all heard that history repeats itself, but this is one of the most startlingly clear examples that I've seen. The difference today, as far as I can tell, is that in 1979 the bailout package called for Chrysler to have a clear plan going forward, and laid out strict conditions (I won't cite them here, but feel free to click on that big ol' link up there). By contrast, I've seen snippets of the recent hearings on a present-day auto-industry bailout. Irrelevant grandstanding about jets aside, these execs manifestly do not have any plan, and have admitted that they really don't know if the bailout will be enough to save the industry.

      We should not stand for this. The whole tired show has been seen before. The only difference, again, between the bailouts of today and those of yesteryear is that we no longer ask for any sort of accountability. That, and a couple orders of magnitude.

    3. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Chrysler loan guarantee is usually cited as an example of a successful intervention by the government, but that's a rather shallow analysis. The money lent to Chrysler because of the guarantee wasn't available for other uses. Even though Chrysler paid back those loans ahead of schedule, the bailout allowed them to go on to destroy tens of billions of dollars of capital since then.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    4. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by davester666 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's just that more businesses are eligible for getting a bailout now.

      The basic rule for getting a government bailout, is that you need to be actively botching the handling of AT LEAST 1 billion dollars. Anything less than this, and you are just some nickel and dime mom and pop corner store, and don't deserve a handout. Once your company has reached the ability to loose over 1 billion dollars, you finally are in the range of handling real amounts of money, and thus, you must receive the backing of the government when you make incredibly stupid decisions about how to spend your money.

      Even ten years ago, the number of companies eligible for a bailout was much lower (of course, all the companies already receiving them in the US have been eligible for decades). Now, a lot more companies have reached the billion dollar range.

      10,000 small businesses, each employing 10 people can go out of business and the federal gov't wouldn't bat an eyelash, but 1 company with 100,000 just must not be permitted to fail, no matter how boneheaded the management of the company may be...

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    5. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by doktorjayd · · Score: 2, Funny

      From an outsider's perspective, it kinda seems like a bandwagon

      merchant bankers, stockbrokers, debt traders... seems more like a conga line to me!

    6. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by aliquis · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Could you explain why the dollar gain strength when the american economy fails? Is it just because it's so big people trust it more?

      A smaller one would just crash wouldn't it?

    7. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by Z00L00K · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The real estate values has been inflated much by the ability to pay, which in turn is a result of the ability to get loans with low security.

      Very few considers that the value of a property may have to be looked at for the long term, and not just short term.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    8. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by geighaus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The dollar got stronger, because everyone is busy paying back their loans denominated in dollars. This creates a temporary demand for dollar. But rest assured with injections of trillions of newly-created dollars into the economy, little of the value dollar has left will be disintegrated. Correct me if I am wrong.

    9. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by AlecC · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The problem comes with the concept of "too big to fail" due to concentration. In the general case, you are quite right, If you have a hundred bakers, and there is not enough demand for bread to keep them all in business, the least efficient ones go bankrupt and the more efficient ones thrive, thus increasing the general efficiency of the baking business.

      The problem is when you have monolithic industries, or quasi monolithic industries, where the whole industry for one region sinks together. If you have one mega-bakery and that is badly run, you cannot let it go bust because there will be no bread and people will starve.

      The DRAM industry has become increasingly capital intensive: a new Fab costs billions, but produces vast numbers of chips. This means that there are very few fabs in one country, probably only one. Healthy shrinkage, by a few percent, is not possible: you lose 50% of your industry or none. And, politically, that is unacceptable for any single country. Worldwide, it would be correct to close down one or two DRAM fabs at the moment. A World Government, with perhaps 12 fabs, could look at the big picture. But Taiwan, Germany, and South Korea, with two or three each, cannot accept losing such a large slice of their industry.

      The same was true in the finance industry: because of their size, AIG, Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac were "too big to fail". Lehmann was adjudge not to be too big - but the repercussions of its failure are turning out much larger than expected.

      The same is true in cars. "Detroit", the Big Three American car manufacturers, is collectively "too big to fail". And they are so interlocked in the public mind that they would appear to sink or swim together. Mind you, their problems are basically the result of baling out Chrysler twice instead of letting it fail at a time when it could have failed on its own and brought the appropriate slimming down to Detroit.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    10. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by node+3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your assessment sounds a lot like the idea that a doctor saved a person's life is a 'shallow analysis', because the patient spent the next three decades smoking and eventually died of lung disease.

      A better example of shallow analysis comes from people who simply jump to the conclusion that government intervention always turns out badly.

    11. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by theaveng · · Score: 2, Funny

      On Monday December 15, 6:19AM, geighaus wrote:
      >
      > But rest assured with injections of trillions of newly-created dollars into the economy,
      > [what] little value [the] dollar has left will be disintegrated. Correct me if I am wrong.

      There you go. :-)

      --
      FOX NEWS.com should be BANNED from television and internet. Have the Congress take it over and give us Truespeak.
    12. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by theaveng · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Chrysler did make fuel-efficient cars upto 1995 (like the 30mpg Dodge Shadow and 35mpg Neon), but outward pressure from Americans forced them to start making gas-guzzling Bricks known as SUVs.

      --
      FOX NEWS.com should be BANNED from television and internet. Have the Congress take it over and give us Truespeak.
    13. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I left HS in 76, just after the oil crisis and the same year that the gang of four lost control of a famine infested China, since then I've seen bubbles pop, I've seen nations go broke, Japan make a decent car, the USSR military machine reduced to rust. There used to be a saying, "if the US economy sneezes the world catches a cold". As far as I can tell the US economy has just had a seizure, fell into a coma, and is still heavily sedated. Everyone else is hoping some Chinese medicine will save them.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    14. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by apoc.famine · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I do wonder how a modified capitalist system would work, where there was a "written in stone" law that as soon as you owned more than 25% of a market, you were automatically required to split your company in half. It seems like this would promote all sorts of competition, and prevent "too big to fail" from ever happening.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    15. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by timmarhy · · Score: 5, Insightful
      please stop talking nonsense - where did you get this idea we are over producing? we have been unable to meet demand for years now for most commodities that are used in the production of "things". if we really were over producing we wouldn't have had such massive commodity price rises.

      the issue here is purely over speculation and a lack of a reality check in the financial sector. this has resulted in no more capital left for large projects, which has a down stream effect on everything.

      as for the USA not being a super power anymore, your on drugs, their military can wipe the floor with anyone. i suspect this talk of over production is a cover for some other ideology you have...

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    16. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by AlecC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One problem with this is to define a market. All vehicles, or just passenger cars, or just "traditional American gas guzzlers". All aircraft, or only 400+ seat aircraft (i.e. Boeing's thirty year monopoly with the 747)? If you introduce a brand new product (the microprocessor, USB sticks, commercial orbital launchers, a new drug) then by definition you own 100% of the market the day you sell your first product. Windows has 90% of the market for desktop OSes. Would it do any good to split MS up into four different suppliers of the identical code? Or to have four diverging implementations of Windows because the four companies would be prevented from co-operating by anti-trust laws. Splitting off, say, Office wouldn't reduce the OS competition.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    17. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      That much is obvious. Perhaps the words "Financial Crisis" didn't make it to Fox News yet?

      Fox News covers it. Neil Cavuto, for example, has had Dr. Paul on several times to talk about it. Peter Schiff gets interviewed on various Fox News programs as well (one thing I miss about Glenn Beck on CNN was his frequent Peter Schiff and and Stephen Moore interviews).

    18. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by Dr.+Hellno · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The way I see it, citing the 1979 Chrysler "tide-me-over" (can we PLEASE start using that instead of bailout because it is awesome) as a successful example of government intervention is shallow analysis because that was a fairly specific type of government intervention, much more supervised than anything proposed in the current situation. I'm not against government intervention at all, so long as we have reason to believe that it will be used well. That is to say, I also don't believe that all government intervention is good. It depends on the situation. In the specific situation of the current discussions about an auto-industry "tide-me-over",
      - The jackholes we might give money to have NO plan this time and they make no guarantees.
      - There will be very little oversight
      - We'll have to bail 'em out again in another 30 years, and we KNOW this, because they were in the exact same situation 30 years ago (or at least Chrysler was).

    19. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by wellingj · · Score: 3, Informative

      USA doesn't over produce, it under produces at the expense of the rest of the world.
      This economic crisis is just a revaluation of how much the US is worth.

    20. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by FishWithAHammer · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Russia doesn't have the economic infrastructure or, these days, the world standing to be a real economic superpower. (They weren't much of an economic superpower during the Cold War, either, when compared to the United States.) And frankly, I don't think Europe has the steel in the spine to stand up to their threats (Russia, China-to-a-lesser-extent, Muslim immigration and the recent problems therewith, and even the United States) in any significant capacity.

      China--there, you have something. But it's not going to be "divided across China, Europe, and Russia." If anyone "fights," it's going to be a fight between the United States and China, and the rest of the world, like it or not, are the chess pieces. But even then it's not going to be the drag-out fight, because it is mutually beneficial for China and the United States to stay very close trading partners. (For more on this, I suggest Tom Friedman's The World Is Flat--I don't agree with all his conclusions, but it's worthwhile for sure.)

      Everybody owes the United States money and the United States owes everybody money. That means a U.S. recession will be a global problem for a very, very long time. Do you realize that China had something like 10% of GDP in Freddie Mac and Frannie Mae? Everybody's money is here.

      I think you need to learn more about modern politics and economics before you make sweeping statements.

      --
      "You can either have software quality or you can have pointer arithmetic, but you cannot have both at the same time."
    21. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by jcr · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No, the shallowness I refer to is looking only at the effect on chrysler, while ignoring the effects of the misdirection of capital to Chrysler instead of to other people and businesses.

      A better example of shallow analysis comes from people who simply jump to the conclusion that government intervention always turns out badly.

      Show me an example of a government intervention in the economy which turned out well. You might want to read up on the Broken Window Fallacy first.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    22. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by larry+bagina · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Chrysler of today isn't the Chrysler of 1979. Mercedes/Dahmler bought them, realized it was a huge mistake, and sold them to Cerebrus. Cerebrus basically buys companies, breaks them apart, and resells the pieces. GM and Ford have ownership stakes in "foreign" auto companies. GM and Ford have an international presence. Chrysler has been stripped of those things. At this point, bailing out Chrysler isn't saving jobs, it's saving a capital management company that made a bad bet.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    23. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by n17ikh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you ever driven a Dodge Neon? Worst car I've ever been in, hands-down. It's no wonder Chrysler is in trouble if the best build quality they can manage is a throwaway car.

      --
      Hard work pays off tomorrow, but procrastination pays off NOW!
    24. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by babblefrog · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Things change. I'm guessing in another few years, the US won't be able to afford anything like the military it has now.

    25. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by sumdumass · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem with short term values is that not too many people in that position are actually being effected compared to all of the people who rode the wave for the right reasons.

      The ability to pay however is the key to this. Energy costs had skyrocketed which greatly effected the ability to pay. Not only does it suck the disposable income from your pocket, there was a breaking point in which everything else from food to toilet paper started costing more because of it. There is nothing in the US or most modern countries that isn't effected by energy costs if not just to ship them to the store.

      Unfortunately, energy costs are sort of a pet peeve of mine. There is a big push for alternative energy that simply doesn't compete with traditional sources in costs, efficient, and reliability, which will cause costs to increase again. Carbon taxes and use taxes based on carbon output seems to be in the future too, with both presidential candidates drinking so much cool aid this last election cycle and making sure the public knew about it, they are going to impose artificial limits to energy use and production in order to encourage the more expensive alternative energies. We have even seen certain party officials making statements that they want to raise gasoline taxes to bring the cost of fuel back up to $4.00 a gallon because it effected people's usage the most. For these reasons alone, it will be longer then two years before there is a recovery because now instead of adjusting and coming out of the problems, we will be adding back to them as soon as we start clearing them.

    26. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by RogerWilco · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I haven't read all of the website you're linking too, but I don't really agree with a lot of the assumptions it makes.

      I'll pick one, in that it says that according to Keynesian Economics and Karl Marx the boom and bust cycle is inherent in the system, is contradicting the assumption that the free market always tries to maintain equilibrium between supply and demand.

      I think that the free market only works if the market is fully transparent and all players on it are known. Next to that, is assumes there is no inertia in investment.

      This is why often recessions and depressions happen after a change in technology and subsequent over investment in it. For an emerging technology it's fundamentally hard to get a good idea of what the limit is on it's demand, and investment and supply of it keep growing until the real limit on demand is met. Due to the inertia of investment there will be an overshoot, creating the "bubbles".

      We've had other crises when one party controlled supply, oil for example.

      My country is known for one of the earliest boom-bust cycles, the Tulip Mania of 1637.

      What I've seen if you look back in history is that most bubbles work like pyramid schemes, but not just with people spending their own money, but also borrowed money, in the hope that their profits in the scheme will have them repay the borrowed sum and have a profit.

      As lending is culturally accepted and popular in the USA, most of the bubbles have been created in the USA, at least since the early 1800's. The credit crisis is a perfect example of this American tradition.

      The mechanisms of the Tulip Mania is still alive today, but what happened in 1637 is one of the least complicated examples to study.
      It's closely linked to the mechanisms of the Pyramid scheme.

      It's one danger of the stock market system, that it easily creates positive and negative feedback loops, instead of the equilibrium that market economy laws of supply and demand would suggest.

      Not all crises are caused by such mechanisms, as I said, someone creating a monopoly and using it, can also create a crisis.

      --
      RogerWilco the Adventurous Janitor
    27. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by jcr · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nah, it's the same old socialism. Robbing the productive to support the unproductive.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    28. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Lack of sales is directly related to disposable income that has been shrinking due to energy costs.

      Those energy costs were largely the result of over speculation as the OP had stated. People can't buy things when their paycheck goes to getting to and from work and keeping food on the table and making sure the kids don't freeze. In the last two years when energy costs started skyrocketing, (yes, when the dems took over congress in 2006) we saw food increase between 11 and 19 percent, home heating and electricity in many areas increased by 40% while some either already have or are in the process of increasing their rates by 50 percent or higher. Propane and home heating oil kept pace with gas inflation and so on. This was all accountable to energy costs. The gap between disposable income and discretionary income has gotten so wide that the workforce can't buy anything anymore, they can't keep their homes because they can't afford to work and pay their mortgage, and so on. The sub prime mortgage problem wouldn't have been near as big of a problem is energy costs, directly or indirectly, suck up so much disposable income.

    29. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Welcome to the new socialism.

      This "new socialism", where governments don't own the means of production outright, but rather have "partnerships" with private companies where the governments cover the risk and have a large degree of control (perhaps via an overseer, or "auto czar" in the case of car companies)... it looks suspiciously similar to the old fascism.

    30. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by russotto · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Could you explain why the dollar gain strength when the american economy fails? Is it just because it's so big people trust it more?

      Because the American economy dragged down many other world economies with it. Surprised a bunch of smug Europeans who were rubbing their hands with glee waiting for the impending American collapse. The pound was especially hard hit because not only were UK banks invested in US real estate securities, but the UK had a real estate bubble of its own.

    31. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by Hognoxious · · Score: 2, Insightful

      please stop talking nonsense - where did you get this idea we are over producing?

      By the amount of stuff that gets thrown away?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    32. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by drsmithy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Show me an example of a government intervention in the economy which turned out well.

      Is your benchmark for "turned out well" the most efficient allocation of money, or not having people dying of starvation because they can't afford to buy food ?

    33. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by j79zlr · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually the parent is wrong. The USD is gaining strength because the rest of the world is also in a recession. US Treasuries are the current preferred safe haven, its bad here but worse every where else. When other currencies are sold and US treasuries bought, the yield dives and the relative value increases. We are in rapid deflation, look at the prices of everything, they are down down down. The Fed printing money will have an inflationary affect but it ain't happening yet, the key is that they raise the interest rates and fast once this economic cycle is over to help curb inflation.

      --
      I'm not not licking toads.
    34. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by DinDaddy · · Score: 2, Informative

      An even smaller number of customers who are able to pay for their goods?

    35. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by lysergic.acid · · Score: 4, Interesting

      it's funny how Americans get all up in arms about true socialism that actually serves public interest, like socialized medicine/higher-education/sciences/internet access/etc., but you never hear a peep out of them about tax dollars being funneled into companies like Halliburton/KBR, GE, Carlyle Group, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, etc. that serves only the MIC. likewise, no one made a fuss about Harley Davidson receiving, essentially, a government bailout from the Reagan Administration in the form of overt protectionism during the 1980's while Reagan was simultaneously espousing the virtues of free market capitalism. and now we're outright giving government subsidies to the Big Three automakers to bail them out, and again there is practically no opposition to this either.

      frankly, the recent corporate bailouts are more akin to Reaganomics than socialism. after all, nothing is being socialized. the Big Three automakers aren't being nationalized. American citizens aren't getting free cars or anything else out of this. it's just taking from the poor to give to the rich. that's been going on ever since monetary economies were created. today we're just corporate sharecroppers rather than feudal serfs.

    36. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by FiloEleven · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I always thought the boom and bust was the market trying, not very well, to keep its balance.

      You're half right according to Austrian economics (the kind pushed by Mises.org). The booms are caused by intervention in the market and the busts are the market's reaction to keep its balance. To overextend the drunk analogy, the forces that cause the loss of equilibrium would be whoever keeps giving the drunk more liquor. The Federal Reserve plays that role when it manipulates interest rates--the easy credit it offers is exactly like alcohol to a drunk. There's no way he will turn it down, and it will cause him to make poor decisions--in the most recent high-profile case, investing in building thousands of new houses that appear to be profitable due to artificially low credit interest rates rather than consumer interest. This is the boom portion of the cycle.

      The bust comes when the drunk realizes that he has built way too many new homes and tries to salvage as much money as possible, causing the market to take a tumble. The same thing happened in the dot-com bubble, where microniche-market startups were inflated to ridiculous values because of loose credit policies. The same thing happened in the oil speculation bubble for the same reasons. So the boom part of the cycle is the abberation while the bust is a market correction. Each bubble has its individual facets, and in each case something different tipped the markets into bust mode, but the root cause of each is the monkeying-about of interest rates.

      The problem with government bailouts is that we end up throwing more money at a problem caused by excessive amounts of money in the first place. Failure, while not good for the individuals involved, is necessary for a free market economy to work. If governments continue to bail out failing industries, the process will only be prolonged and, since many governments don't HAVE the money for these bailouts, new money is created which devalues all of the currency in circulation. There is a big advantage to being first in line for new money as the markets will not have adjusted to the inflated money supply yet, which gives ordinarily responsible bankers incentive to take as much credit as they can get. Early birds get more bang for their buck while we Joe Schmoes see only costs rising faster than our pay rates.

      I'm getting off-track because it's a big, interrelated tangle that can only be solved by cutting the worm out of the root: getting rid of, or at least heavily restricting, the Federal Reserve and other central banks. I'm also pretty new to this stuff, so hopefully a more seasoned scholar of Austrian economics can correct the mistakes I may have made here. For an in-depth analysis of the boom/bust cycle, check out Economic Depressions: Their Cause and Cure on the Mises.org site. It's lengthy, so if you want to get right to the meat, start at this sentence:

      Fortunately, a correct theory of depression and of the business cycle does exist, even though it is universally neglected in present-day economics.

    37. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by ShooterNeo · · Score: 2, Informative

      Here's the deal : burning hydrocarbon products causes measurable economic damage to other people besides the entity burning them. I.E. : if you burn a gallon of gas, you create air pollution. Also, your country may have to fight a war to make sure that gas is available.

      Economists call these things "negative externalities". The correct approach to fixing negative externalities is to charge a tax on the activities that cause a negative externality to other people.

      This would have the net effect of making alternative energy relatively cheaper, stimulating more investment in it, and eventually replacing the use of hydrocarbons for energy altogether.

    38. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by FishWithAHammer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I knew somebody would question that. Keep in mind that this is not a condemnation of the Muslim religion or the majority of its adherents.

      That said, a) riots among Muslim youths in Western Europe, b) the rise of madrasa-type schools across Europe, c) the outright refusal to assimilate into the general culture into which they're moving, and d) the viciously forceful insistence on bending the general culture to do what they as a small minority want--I consider those all pretty gnarly problems with Muslim immigration as a whole right now, and it looks very much like Europe would rather capitulate and hand everything to these groups on a silver platter than assert their own status as sovereign nations.

      As such, I question whether they have the strength of will, as an organization, to assert the power that they have as a large, affluent, influential group of nations.

      --
      "You can either have software quality or you can have pointer arithmetic, but you cannot have both at the same time."
    39. Re:Bailout Bandwagon by theaveng · · Score: 2, Insightful

      On the other hand "sharing" of wealth discourages warfare, because if one nation (say China) declares war on another nation (say USA) then they are only hurting themselves by blocking access to their main customers.

       

      --
      FOX NEWS.com should be BANNED from television and internet. Have the Congress take it over and give us Truespeak.
  2. What happened to "risks of doing business"? by Whuffo · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It used to be that if you made a poor business decision and lost money you went out of business. But somehow in the recent past someone came up with the idea that just because someone is running a business they deserve to make a profit and stay in business.

    It's not just the financial institutions - now it's the car companies (stalled for the moment), airlines - and foreign businesses are lining up for a handout now too.

    Why bother with improved products or competitive pricing? Let's just build a factory, make some overpriced junk, then have the government give us a bunch of money? Seems like this is the new gold rush...

    1. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by setagllib · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm all for fair and equal, free market economics, but if it looks like a whole industry is going down, not just a single company, fair and equal bailouts are the right thing to do. If any one industry fails, it could cause a chain reaction that stalls virtually all production and maintenance, and things degenerate into the stone age or at least third world.

      Without RAM we don't have new computers, without new computers we can't even sustain the infrastructure we have, let alone grow it to keep up with new demand and progress. Recycling everything can only take you so far, especially with computer parts whose MTBF is a few years.

      --
      Sam ty sig.
    2. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by totally+bogus+dude · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If RAM is so crucially important, why are all the RAM makers having such a hard time? I can't see there'd be no demand for RAM for any significant (or even insignificant) period of time, since as you say it's an integral component of crucial infrastructure all over the world.

      Perhaps there actually is too much competition (i.e. more suppliers than the market can really sustain) and they're having to sell their product at prices which are unrealistic in the long term? One of the necessary side-effects of a highly competitive market is that there's lots of failures, after all. Especially if you consider the high price of setting up a factory, having a business plan that requires you to sell loads of RAM with tiny profit margins for the next few decades in order to break even is probably not a sound strategy.

    3. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by HateBreeder · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's not like there is no demand for RAM at all.
      The DRAM companies would not cease to exist, as people will still want to buy RAM.

      If a company fails, they usually sell their facilities to try and recover some of their debt..
      Someone would buy some of the fabs since there's still a lot of money to be made... hence, you get a smaller company doing the same thing.
      not a chain reaction that destroys all markets.

      --
      Sigs are for the weak.
    4. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by thetoadwarrior · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We tell children they're all special and can't fail these day so is it no wonder we treat businesses the same way?

      Everyone is special and deserves a gold star.

    5. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by stephanruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm all for fair and equal, free market economics, but if it looks like a whole industry is going down, not just a single company, fair and equal bailouts are the right thing to do. If any one industry fails, it could cause a chain reaction that stalls virtually all production and maintenance, and things degenerate into the stone age or at least third world.

      Come on, let's say a couple of car manufacturers go down, then the surviving car manufacturers just come in and buy up the contracts and factories for pennies on the dollar. If you don't let this natural garbage collection process occur, then you're effectively choking the entire system -- you're not releasing resources -- and you're compounding the problem even more. Keep this up, and then yes, we'll get to the stone age/third world doomsday scenario you speak of.

      If you ask me, this entire mess proves that bankruptcies are taking way too long. We should fast-track the bankruptcy system (at the very least, for the people we know who purposefully lied on their loan applications, and the bankers/lenders who helped them do it). The sooner we can do these quick fire sales, the quicker we'll get the economy up and running again.

    6. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by Xest · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's a little more complex than that. You're right as you say, the companies asking for bailouts wouldn't completely collapse, they'd sell off some of their factories that's true.

      But not all their factories would get bought up- the whole point is there's overproduction for the market's current demands so a small company isn't going to have anymore demand for their extra supply than the big company did for it's oversupply. Essentially, whatever happens, jobs are going to be lost to cut company costs, and there's the problem.

      As jobs are lost because of this sort of thing, there are a greater number of unemployed no longer available to buy products such as DRAM or whatever and so demand falls further, this has the inevitable result of further redundancies and the cycle continuous.

      So, particularly in the case of the US car manufacturers where so many people have the potential to lose there jobs there could indeed be an absolutely massive impact. I don't generally subscribe to doomsday scenarios so I don't think we'll see complete melt down, at the end of the day, the guys at the top will fiddle the system and magically conjure up some more money from their magical money device as usual. If things were left to run their natural course though, then there certainly is the theoretical possibility that everything could indeed go down the drain as collapse leads to collapse.

    7. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by jambox · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I agree that businesses that make bad decisions should be allowed to fail. So did the UK government, until they saw what happened after Northern Rock (a bank) failed and caused a run.

      I'm no expert on this but my understanding is that they then realised it was just the first of many. It then looked like if there was no intervention, most of the banking industry would fall apart. Sure, Lloyds TSB might have been ok plus a few smaller ones but it would've taken out the savings and current accounts of millions of people, plus destroyed a lot of infrastructure, making it difficult for the survivors to take up the slack as would be ideal.

      In the meantime, very many cashpoints would stop working and therefore many people would be unable to get cash or use their cards in order to buy food. BANG! Society falls apart.

      If this is anything like the UK banking sector, you may be greatly underestimating the danger that the memory chip business is in!

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    8. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is that there is currently too much capacity so one or more of the DRAM plants should close ...but which ones, each country has the attitude "not the one in my country" since they quite rightly assume that the survivors will be profitable and when economic times improve the countries without a DRAM plant won't get one in the short term

      DRAM plants are very costly to build and take a long time to get going but are very profitable when working near capacity ... the problem is there are currently too many and so all are working under capacity and so are losing money ..

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
    9. Re:What happened to "risks of doing business"? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      As with much of the current economic downturn, the problem is liquidity, not capital. All of the manufacturers have very expensive assets (their fabs) and make things that have a large market. The problem is that due to decreasing liquidity everywhere, fewer people are buying RAM suddenly. In the long term, it is expected that this will end and people will start buying again. Once they do, the manufacturers will make large profits again. Until they do, they have large debts from building their fabs that need servicing, and not enough income to do so. If one of them goes bankrupt, then whoever buys their assets will make a killing.

      In a more healthy economy, a bank would look at them, judge them a good medium-term risk, and lend them the money to cover their outstanding debts with a relatively high interest rate. Once the demand recovered, the bank would then get its money back plus a large percentage. At the moment, however, there is a shortage of banks with sufficient liquid capital to be able to make such a loan.

      The alternative is for national governments to step in and guarantee their debts. This allows the manufacturers to keep operating in the short term. If done correctly, it will mean that the taxpayer will see a long-term benefit, since they will have the bail-out amount repaid with a reasonable amount of interest when the market recovers.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  3. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Bail out people, not businesses.

    No.

    Robbing Peter to pay Paul is wrong, whether Paul is a corporation or an individual.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  4. Bail Out Madness by CuteSteveJobs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    These Bail outs are out of control. Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd just bailed out Australian Car Dealers to the tune of $2B -- yes! That's car salesman! -- , hot on the heals of an $6B Bailout of Australia's world famous COUGH COUGH car industry. Not that America's $15B car industry is any more deserving. Oh and he just bailed out a failed child car company to the tune of $40M, but no one noticed. Hey real estate agents and IT workers are hurting too. What about bailing out us?

    Now I understand bailing out banks via FIDC, but now we're bailing out investment banks too, and now of all things DRAM Makers? Because they overmanufactured? There comes a time to let nature take its course and let more efficient *smarter* companies rise from the ashes. Why are we propping up dinosaurs? With taxpayer dollars at that?

    1. Re:Bail Out Madness by EmagGeek · · Score: 5, Informative

      A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been about 200 years. These nations have progressed through this sequence: '>From bondage to spiritual faith; From spiritual faith to great courage; From courage to liberty; From liberty to abundance; From abundance to selfishness; From selfishness to apathy; From apathy to dependence; From dependence back into bondage.

      Alexander Fraser Tytler (1747-1813)

    2. Re:Bail Out Madness by flyingfsck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "The budget should be balanced, the treasury should be refilled, public debt should be reduced, the arrogance of officialdom should be tempered and controlled, and the assistance to foreign lands should be curtailed lest Rome become bankrupt. People must again learn to work, instead of living on public assistance."
      -- Marcus Cicero, circa 50BC.

      Some things never change.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  5. Re:What about bailing out people? by supernova_hq · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ok, I see your point, but I still think it's flawed. If you just hand money over to corporations so they don't fail, those corporations are going to use that money the same way they used the money the earned...badly. If, however, we pay the employees (who are layed off), the companies will realize the fucked up, and change their business plans. The coporations will lose some money (short term), the layed off employees will get some money till they find new jobs and the corporations will finally learn that daddy-USA is not going to bail them out every time they screw up.

    Auto Industry Poster

  6. Re:What about bailing out people? by martin-boundary · · Score: 2, Funny

    But the government is *for the people*. Corporations should never get the money, people should.

  7. Bad news for Micron? by jerk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As the only remaining DRAM manufacturer in the US, what does this mean for Micron? How will they be able to compete if the overseas companies get bailed out?

  8. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Corporations should never get the money,

    Up to this point, you're correct.

    people should. ..and here's where you go wrong.

    There is no action that is immoral for an individual, that becomes right when done by a collective. If I take losses in the stock market, I have no right to rob you to make up what I lost. It doesn't become right if I employ a gang of thugs to rob you. It doesn't become right if I have the government do it for me.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  9. perpetual growth is a falacy by cheekyboy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Economists have no mathamatics training.

    They think the world is an infinite size with zero stoppage.

    Try growing 1000 fish in a small fish tank, eventually it will get so crowded, that 90% die.

    I think that 2B bailout wasnt free cash, it was just no questions asked loans, which the banks wont do anymore. Hello banks, you can keep all the billions in cash, but its useless if you cannot spend it, or loan it.

    But no amount of free cash or 0% loans will save the economy. Its unsavable, it has to crash/reboot/reformat/reinstall a new system.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  10. Blowing my mind by NinthAgendaDotCom · · Score: 4, Funny

    Much of the new output was aimed at Microsoft's Windows Vista

    So you're telling me Vista is actually good for something, stimulating an industry? :-)

    --
    -- http://ninthagenda.com/
    1. Re:Blowing my mind by kazade84 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hasn't every Windows release been (at least partially) responsible for the upgrade treadmill which in turn gives hardware manufacturers plenty of business?

    2. Re:Blowing my mind by alienunknown · · Score: 2, Funny

      For the economies sake then, we can only hope that Microsoft does the right thing and makes Windows 7 the most bloated version of windows yet. Also including the added bonus of optional "economy-booster" slowdown packs available exclusively through Windows Live.

  11. Re:What about bailing out people? by martin-boundary · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I disagree. Moral imperatives are a function of the social system, there are no absolutes. In a democratic system where the people are sovereign, robbing corporations to benefit the people (for example) can easily be justified within the system, while the converse (for example) cannot (easily). There is a fundamental asymmetry.

  12. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Moral imperatives are a function of the social system, there are no absolutes.

    If you believe that, then I certainly don't want you for a neighbor.

    robbing corporations to benefit the people (for example) can easily be justified within the system

    Rationalization and justification aren't the same thing.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  13. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Libertarian philosophy does not justify itself.

    Freedom doesn't require justification. If you want to use force to impose your will on someone else, the burden of proof for the necessity of doing so lies with you.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  14. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's not justified in any case.

    Besides failing morally, it also fails from a utilitarian standpoint. When a company fails, the market has shown that people don't want that organization to persist. Keeping it alive misallocates capital that can be better used elsewhere.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  15. Re:What about bailing out people? by Xanius · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The bail outs have a very specific purpose that ideally will be held to.
    I think they should be handled better than they are but the theory behind them makes sense.

    Let's assume all 3 major autos go out of business. With out the manufacturer to perform warranty repairs and someone to be held accountable for defects that are life threatening people will not buy those cars.
    This causes layoffs and closings of the dealerships, potentially 10's of thousands or hundreds of thousands of people.
    On top of the dealerships going under you'll have the parts suppliers losing both of their major clients, the auto makers and the dealerships that do repairs for those makers, this causes them to lay off people and close down, another potential hundreds of thousands of people for just the warehouse/store work. Without the store fronts and warehouses selling merchandise the manufacturing aspect of these companies will also be shut down, another potential 10's of thousands or hundreds of thousands of people laid off.

    At this point you get the picture of how it could spiral downward from 3 companies going out of business.
    They are major companies that are the backbone of a gigantic section of the US economy.
    They need to fix their business model, last I heard they are losing several thousand dollars on each car sold and expecting to stay in business which is why they need another bailout, that and people not wanting to buy gas guzzling monsters when gas is $4/gallon.

  16. Thought it was DRM by yowlanku · · Score: 2, Funny

    I read the whole article replacing DRAM for DRM, but it was fun :)

    --
    dot slash dot slash dot org
  17. Re:What about bailing out people? by martin-boundary · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you believe that, then I certainly don't want you for a neighbor.

    Luckily, where I can or cannot live is not up to you, so your concern is unnecessary, thank you :)

    Rationalization and justification aren't the same thing.

    True. Justification means proving legality within a system of laws, which is exactly what I'm claiming in this instance. However, your ideological preconceptions about right and wrong have clearly caused you to rationalize an absolute opposition to government bailouts, regardless of the circumstances.

  18. Re:What about bailing out people? by Nursie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Pure libertarianism is a recipe for disaster, poverty, concentration of wealth and power, abuse of the weak and, before long, an aristocracy and indentured servitude for the rest.

    It is a step backwards to the medieval.

  19. If it doesn't work, stop trying to fix it by ffoiii · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Weren't DRAM manufacturers just involved in a huge price fixing scheme? Oh yeah, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DRAM_price_fixing.

    So the industry that flouts the law is now requesting artificial support to help them through hard times? What's the real impact if these companies fail? Their assets get sold at a discount, their creditors take a loss, and the world moves on. The technology doesn't disappear. The knowledge of their employees doesn't evaporate. If the business can't survive without manipulating the market or government support, it doesn't deserve to exist.

    If DRAM is a valuable technology, somebody, somewhere, can run a business doing it. If that's not possible, then stop doing it.

    Maybe everyone should just name a new industry and then mandate that people give them money. That would be so much easier, than say, actually creating value.

  20. Re:What about bailing out people? by martin-boundary · · Score: 4, Informative

    Beware when the (people in) government wants to impose and act out its idea of what is a morally just intervention.

    The usual quote "eternal vigilance is the price of liberty" naturally applies. However, don't forget that intervention *is* the purpose of government. It is the official mechanism for imposing the will of the people, whatever that will happens to be.

  21. Re:What about bailing out people? by Nursie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "taxing corporations in order to feed the poor sectors" is inherently prejudicial.

    Please explain how a tax on business profits to feed the poor is "prejudicial"?

    You'd rather people starve or rely on charity? Welcome to grinding poverty and people starving to death. Whatever your "moral" feelings about tax and people or corporations right to keep their profits, you have to realise that no man (or company) is an island. Without the society they are in they would not be able to get where they are. Contributing back (yes, forced contributions in the form of tax) is not immoral in that light.

  22. Re:What about bailing out people? by El+Yanqui · · Score: 4, Insightful

    However, don't forget that intervention *is* the purpose of government. It is the official mechanism for imposing the will of the people, whatever that will happens to be.

    That is a really scary sentence and one that I don't think you've thought through. The purpose of the government is to enforce the laws not to impose the 'will of the people' willy nilly. That shifts like the wind and is often counter to what needs to be done, should be done and is right to do. There is such a thing as tyranny of the masses.

    --
    Well, thanks to the Internet, I'm now bored with sex.
  23. The real problem is consolidation by ursuspacificus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There's a giant elephant in the room that no one wants to mention.

    As companies increase their market share, they reduce competition, and increase the damage to the economy if they fail. The nation-wide, interstate banks in the US are a creature of deregulation unleashing unmitigated greed on the banking sector. If one of these banks fails, we're in deep excrement. A handful of companies control effectively ALL the DRAM manufacturing in the world. further it seems that this handful of companies behaves as a monolithic block. They collectively banked on Vista being a huge driver for more memory. Too bad, so sad.

    If these outfits want government help, here's how I propose we give it to them (It's actually about the US auto industry, but can be applied to just about any heavily consolidated industry with a few tweaks).

  24. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You have that exactly backwards. Nobody abuses the weak more than governments, and government is the ultimate monopoly. The more power you cede to government (to save you from the scary rich people!) the less freedom you will have.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  25. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Justification means proving legality within a system of laws

    Nope. Justification means to show or prove that something is right or reasonable. What you're doing is rationalizing.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  26. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 3, Informative

    Without regulation people are free to abuse others however the hell they feel like

    Try to grasp the difference between the rule of law, and the government intervening to reward some people at other people's expense. The former is what we create governments for, to secure our freedom. The latter is how governments destroy freedom.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  27. Re:What about bailing out people? by jcr · · Score: 2, Informative

    Social Security is as unfair and unjust as any other Ponzi scheme.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."