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NASA Outsources ISS Resupply To SpaceX, Orbital

DynaSoar writes "NASA has signed two contracts with US commercial space ventures totaling $3.5 billion for resupply of the International Space Station. SpaceX will receive $1.6 billion for 12 flights of SpaceX's planned Dragon spacecraft and their Falcon 9 boosters. $1.9 billion goes to Orbital for eight flights of its Cygnus spacecraft riding its Taurus 2 boosters. Neither of the specified craft has ever flown. However, the proposed vehicles are under construction and based on proven technology, whereas NASA has often contracted with big aerospace companies for services using vehicles not yet even designed."

151 comments

  1. obama is gonna be happy by ionix5891 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    as the work will stay in the US hopefully creating employment(tho i hope the money doesnt end up in cayman isle accounts)

    1. Re:obama is gonna be happy by Ethanol-fueled · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's also a way to save our domestic space program from Nasa's ponderous bureaucracy while simultaneously breathing new life into it through many happy and willing contributors(probably an open source analogy in ere somewhere).

      Most importantly, outsourcing our space program to $CHEAP_NATION is even more shameful than outsourcing our other jobs!

    2. Re:obama is gonna be happy by mcpkaaos · · Score: 0

      1c1
      < It's also a way to save our domestic space program from Nasa's ponderous bureaucracy while simultaneously breathing new life into it through many happy and willing contributors(probably an open source analogy in ere somewhere).
      ---
      > It's also a way to save our domestic space program from Nasa's ponderous bureaucracy while simultaneously breathing new life into it through many happy and willing contributors(probably an open source analogy in here somewhere).

      --
      It goes from God, to Jerry, to me.
    3. Re:obama is gonna be happy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      s/ere/here idiot. Must be a COBOL programmer.

    4. Re:obama is gonna be happy by Xaoswolf · · Score: 1
      1. Plan future spacecraft

      2. Start building

      3. Sign with NASA

      4. ???

      5. Profit!

      wait...

      There is no step four, just sign the billion dollar contracts and hope that they don't notice that they prototype is made out of cardboard before your private jet takes off...

    5. Re:obama is gonna be happy by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      There is no step four, just sign the billion dollar contracts and hope that they don't notice that they prototype is made out of cardboard before your private jet takes off.

      That seems to be pretty much true for Orbital Systems, since their "launch vehicle" is in "the early stages of development".

      SpaceX at least HAS a launch vehicle. Sitting on the pad (figuratively) at Canaveral for launch early next year. Whether it'll work is another question, of course, though all the components were basically tested with the Falcon 1 launches over the last couple years.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:obama is gonna be happy by Penguinisto · · Score: 1

      Actually, GP attempted to mimic diff.

      Must be a COBOL programmer.

      ...and you must be an MCSE, 'cause there ain't no COBOL in that critter. ;)

      /P

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  2. The genius of outsourcing... by letchhausen · · Score: 1

    Up up and uh ooops.....

    --
    Hey, you think your house is cool?
    1. Re:The genius of outsourcing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's just a simple anomaly.

  3. Problems by Darkness404 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Things like this is exactly why people are questioning our space program, we just seem to do things just to say we can. What really needs to happen is that taxpayers fund government research which releases *all* findings/blueprints/formulas/source/etc to the public (minus *real* national security issues, such nuclear weapons). Private businesses (such as Virgin Galactic and SpaceX) then can take the information and adapt them to create things thereby reducing taxpayer load. Our current system of hiding anything and everything under the guise of "national security" is what is making our space program fail, and outsourcing things to private companies does nothing to benefit the public.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    1. Re:Problems by QuantumG · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The world isn't a simple as you make it out to be. Patents and copyrights lock things up, but trade secrets lock them up even more. Government intervention to make people act against their own interests is a never ending spiral. There's no way to mandate that people do good science. It's interesting that you mention national security. Current legislation basically makes good science and engineering in rocketry illegal.. cause any improvement to a rocket is an improvement to the death count of a potential weapon using that rocket. I, personally, care more about the progress of rocketry than I care about the number of potential lives lost in a potential war fought with potential rocket-based weapons in the potential future, but other people think differently.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:Problems by davolfman · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Anything made under government contract for its design should logically be considered "work for hire" and be public domain by default. That's the assertion I'm going to make.

    3. Re:Problems by virtue3 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      What really needs to happen is that taxpayers fund government research which releases *all* findings/blueprints/formulas/source/etc to the public (minus *real* national security issues, such nuclear weapons).

      You are completely and utterly out of your mind if you think we should be letting out all of our rocket technology to the public.

      Absolutely insane.

      The only thing keeping us from getting "missiled" at this point is that few countries have the ICBM technology to hit us. Which is why we're developing these "missile shields" (which sometimes work... the patriot missle defence is more or less useless at this point against modern missiles).

      Giving other countries access to our space shuttle tech (aside from the iron state memory and whatever else is inside the shuttle is pretty much useless), I'm sure they could use at least the engine to design a better missile.

      Some of this stuff needs to be kept safeish right now.

      On a side note, lots of companies make a lot of money and jobs by being given these contracts and they usually do it more efficiently than the government can so I'm all in favor of it (I'm not saying they're perfect, I've heard enough stories of the government contract jobs that it really pisses me off when I pay taxes...)

    4. Re:Problems by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      I know this is a common US principle that is largely ignored in practice, but it's not at all common in the rest of the world. I think it's a good idea.. but, frankly, it's totally irrelevant for rocketry as the governments of the world have decided that rocketry is just too damn awesome for making weapons to be freely able to be published.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    5. Re:Problems by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      The only thing keeping us from getting "missiled" at this point is that few countries have the ICBM technology to hit us. Which is why we're developing these "missile shields" (which sometimes work... the patriot missle defence is more or less useless at this point against modern missiles).

      There are more reasons than just the lack of technology. If a country would ever attack the US in an organized strike (invasion, missiles, bombing raids, etc) we would nuke them and they know that. Also would be the lack of precession and rarity of materials needed to make ICBM, many developing countries can simply not spend that amount of money needed to make a single ICBM nor effectively deploy them. Honestly, nuclear war is, despite possible, considered to be useless by most countries as it would accomplish nothing.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    6. Re:Problems by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And what makes you think this (releasing) isn't done? (Not to mention your comment is a complete non sequitur.)

    7. Re:Problems by virtue3 · · Score: 0

      Yes, but there is nothing stopping them from swiping the plans for the rocket boosters and developing a few payload systems that could easily hit US shores with a dirty/chemical warhead.

      Technically, this would not result in massive retaliation. Technically, as we weren't nuked, but I have no idea how governments would react to this kind of attack. And frankly, if it was a terrorist/extremist group it would be just as bad I guess.

      Either way, I'd really prefer it if our rocketry sciences weren't put into public domain. (Although, yes, the ingredients are one of the hardest parts... as I believe the rocket fuel for NASA was published at some point and people COULD make it if they improvised on some of the ingredients and it would do some pretty awesome stuff).

    8. Re:Problems by Darkness404 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, but there is nothing stopping them from swiping the plans for the rocket boosters and developing a few payload systems that could easily hit US shores with a dirty/chemical warhead. Technically, this would not result in massive retaliation. Technically, as we weren't nuked, but I have no idea how governments would react to this kind of attack. And frankly, if it was a terrorist/extremist group it would be just as bad I guess.

      Just look at Pearl Harbor and the 9/11 attacks, minor attacks that launched major offensive strikes by the USA. And, a terrorist group with an ICBM? I doubt that would ever happen, about the closest would be North Korea but as far as we know they only have slightly long range misses, not ICBMs, and because North Korea is so poor, I doubt they would have the capability to build one especially with international pressure along with resource constraints. The main threat is a nuclear device by a terrorist/extremist group, something more akin to a "suitcase nuke" than a full ICBM.

      Either way, I'd really prefer it if our rocketry sciences weren't put into public domain

      ...But honestly, there is no accountability. Why should I pay taxes just for some pretty pictures of a distant galaxy? Why should I have to pay in part for a billion dollar exploration mission to Pluto? If the findings of both the scientific and rocketry aspects aren't put in the public domain, then its no better than paying for the president to have a billion dollar dinner, either way, no one but the government benefits from it. And really, that is the public sentiment about space exploration in 2008.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    9. Re:Problems by danwesnor · · Score: 1

      It's not national security, it's corporate information developed under IRD that prevents the info from going public. The government cannot compel any organization to release privately owned information to it's competitors (except in cases of national security). However, if SpaceX would like to pay Orbital to teach them how to build a missile that works the first time, I'm sure Orbital would love to help out. And outsourcing to private companies does help by reducing the cost of space launch to other US companies that need to put satellites up.

    10. Re:Problems by EODisFUN · · Score: 1

      Although I'm with you one this, the State Department is not. ITAR (International Traffic in Arms Regulation) frequently withholds a lot of detailed technical information including things as innocuous as lithium-ion battery technology from foreign hands. The inanity of this bill is only matched by the sheer loss in funds American companies have lost to foreign competitors who have had now built a large technical library and talent pool getting around these asinine regulations.

    11. Re:Problems by danwesnor · · Score: 1

      Any new work done with government funding is, in fact, owned by the government. But if that work is not totally new, but is instead derived from inventions or designed under the companies funds, that part funded by the company cannot be compelled to be released to the government or any other party. It is up to the government to make work they own public domain. Obviously, they're not going to release ICBM designs on the internet, but they do give designs they own to other companies to replicate or improve on.

    12. Re:Problems by rmcclelland · · Score: 1

      It would be great if NASA would make all it's documents publicly available. I work in the industry and it would make my job easier. However, most of NASAs technology is publicly available through publications. Anytime they come up with something novel, it gets into a conference or journal. Between conference proceedings, journals, and textbooks, almost every technology NASA uses is publicly available. From the very beginning of a project NASA programs have to have a 'technology transfer plan' to get any new tech to industry. They even put out an annual book on new NASA technologies and other uses for them. Compare this to the military space program which has double the annual budget and gives the public nothing back but wrong intelligence.

    13. Re:Problems by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      Things like this is exactly why people are questioning our space program

      And those questions are only very, very recently becoming valid.
      If you remove Lockheed/Boeing/GD/Northrup (the commercial arm of NASA), there has not been a viable commercial launch capability until maybe 2 yrs ago. Those major players would never have done it without NASA, and NASA never had the actual factories to build it. Hence the synergistic relationship.
      All the new players (Virgin, SpaceX, etc) are building off all the tech, info, designs, and risk of NASA and the aforementioned major players.

      And 'real national security issues' are not only the warheads, but also the guidance and delivery systems.

    14. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      any improvement to a rocket is an improvement to the death count of a potential weapon using that rocket.

      Maybe not. A friend of mine spend a few weeks, long ago, studying the characteristics of various US ICBMs to see if they were usable as orbital launch vehicles. It didn't take him long to learn that they weren't, partially because none of them had adequate delta-V. I'd be the last person to claim that we've reached a dead end in the development of guided or ballistic missiles, but I don't think that the latest orbital advances are needed for that, either.

      --
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    15. Re:Problems by symbolset · · Score: 1

      I doubt that would ever happen, about the closest would be North Korea but as far as we know they only have slightly long range misses, not ICBMs, and because North Korea is so poor, I doubt they would have the capability to build one especially with international pressure along with resource constraints.

      North Korea is pretty well understood to have a good source of money.

      Why should I have to pay in part for a billion dollar exploration mission to Pluto?

      Look, not everybody has a problem with the space program. Some of us are quite fond of it, even if all we see are pictures. The hairless ape is a curious beast, forever poking his nose into things. If you don't like Nasa, that's fine, but there are better things in the budget to cut. Certainly hiring these American companies to do this is better than continuing to hire Russia. Rumor has it Russia's commitment to international cooperation in space and other things might not be permanent.

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    16. Re:Problems by x2A · · Score: 0

      "something more akin to a "suitcase nuke" than a full ICBM"

      A snuke?! Better start investing more in sniffer pigs!

      --
      The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia
    17. Re:Problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No attack that instigates a major offensive is a minor attack. Your problem is that you're measuring "minor" by a 2008 standard bodycount.

    18. Re:Problems by evanbd · · Score: 1

      The problem with that is that there are plenty of cases where a company would like to modify an existing design to meet the government contract. Fewer in aerospace than elsewhere perhaps, but they're still present. Do you require them to open up the whole thing? If so, that means you're likely to get charged more. If not, drawing the line of what gets opened and what doesn't is somewhere between very difficult and impossible (read: expensive). I don't completely disagree with you, but the position does have its problems.

    19. Re:Problems by x2A · · Score: 1

      Riiiight... because no scientist would ever take a taxi to their lab, or call out for a pizza?

      --
      The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia
    20. Re:Problems by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      You pay your taxes because if you don't they'll kill/imprison you. Stop deluding yourself and be thankful you get "some pretty pictures of a distant galaxy" out of it.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    21. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Just look at Pearl Harbor and the 9/11 attacks, minor attacks that launched major offensive strikes by the USA.

      At Pearl Harbor, the Japanese damaged twenty three American ships, three of them unrepairable. Two of the ships lost were battleships. They were the only American battleships sunk during WW II. I don't call that a minor attack, I call it a major defeat!

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    22. Re:Problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you might want to ask the palestinians about their rocket potential before you go open-sourcing it.

    23. Re:Problems by Iamthecheese · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      You know what? I hope the palestinians develop highly advanced sciences of every type tomorrow. Science brings freedom of information and freedom from bias, and freedom of information with freedom from bias trumps bigotry.

      --
      If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    24. Re:Problems by ppanon · · Score: 2, Informative

      The development of the aircraft carrier had made those battleships obsolete. The aircraft carriers were much more effective in force projection. I believe that modern navies don't have anything bigger than a cruiser because they're just too much of an indefensible target for modern missiles, and that became true with the advent of the torpedo bomber. You're better off with the same tonnage in a lot more smaller ships. Some say there's a good reason why the US aircraft carriers were out on manoeuvres and the battleships weren't.

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    25. Re:Problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot to mention something about freedom.

    26. Re:Problems by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1
      Let me fix that for you:

      Private businesses, North Korea, Iran, and other rogue nations then can take the information and adapt them to create nuclear or conventional warhead delivery systems that can reach anywhere in the world in 30 minutes...

    27. Re:Problems by ckaminski · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Okay, general rule, one that the Soviet's learned the hard way. Making rockets is easy. Making GOOD rockets is a little ->. harder. Making rockets that can hurl a thousand pounds to a pin-point target 1000 miles away is damn near impossible without a huge, developed and modern industrial base. And if you have that, odds are your populace is happy living like fat cats, you've got money coming out your asses, and you're not stupid enough to bomb a country with more nuclear weapons than God.

      So there's really no reason to keep rocketry secret, because making rockets -> ISN'T HARD. And GPS pretty much screwed the pooch for everyone. Keep your rocket under 600 mph, and you can use nearly any off-the-shelf receiver to guide your rocket-bomb within 10m of it's target.

      Then again, it just occurred to me what Kim Jong Il would do with Atlas V plans... so maybe I am a pie in the sky idiot...

    28. Re:Problems by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Some Peacekeeper missiles were retasked to satellite launch, so your friend is mistaken.

      http://www.nationalmuseum.af.mil/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=12225

      http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/LGM-118A_Peacekeeper
      [quote]
      The rockets are being converted to a satellite launcher role by Orbital SciencesOrbital Sciences Corporation, as the OSP-2 Minotaur IV SLVMinotaur (rocket), while their warheads will be deployed on the existing Minuteman III missiles.
      [/quote]

    29. Re:Problems by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Not just ingredients, but materials science. The shuttle parts are on the BLEEDING edge of technology, no matter how decrepit we think the whole STS is. The turbopumps in the SSME alone are some of the most amazing things to ever be invented. That's not technology you can easily build from scratch in some desert.

    30. Re:Problems by ckaminski · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yea, but the world didn't figure that out until the battle of Midway and the unrestricted ASW performed against German subs in the Atlantic. When Pearl happened, the US was still building BBs.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_battleships_of_the_United_States_Navy#Mid_to_late_1900s
      The last ship, Wisconsin (BB-64), commissioned in 1944 (Wisconsin was approved last; however, Missouri commissioned 3 months later, due to delays from additional aircraft carrier construction)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attack_on_Pearl_Harbor
      Because both Japanese and American strategic thinking and doctrine was derived from the work of Captain Alfred Mahan,[27] which held battleships were decisive in naval warfare,[28] it was also a means of striking at the fighting power of the Pacific Fleet;

    31. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      A friend of mine spend a few weeks, long ago, studying the characteristics of various US ICBMs to see if they were usable as orbital launch vehicles. It didn't take him long to learn that they weren't, partially because none of them had adequate delta-V.

      For what it's worth, Mercury was launched atop Atlas (an ICBM), and Gemini was launched atop Titan II (another ICBM).

      Sputnik was also launched atop an ICBM. And as far as I know, pretty much every Soviet launch vehicle except Proton was developed from that same ICBM, mostly by adding an improved upper stage.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    32. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Some say there's a good reason why the US aircraft carriers were out on manoeuvres and the battleships weren't.

      Yeah, because the CV's got the crap assignments. Sunday, in peacetime, is usually a time to stand down and do shore leave. The BB's were in port standing down, taking shore leave, while the CV's were at sea doing the kind of thing that usually causes the sailors to grouse about missing their Sunday liberty.

      Note also that Pearl Harbor had just become the base for Pacific Fleet a few months earlier - most of the carriers were stationed elsewhere still. For that matter, most of the BB's were stationed elsewhere - the seven at Pearl were just the largest single group in the Pacific, not our entire battleship strength.

      Note finally that the attack on Pearl Harbor was a strategic cluster-fuck. They hit the things that least needed hitting (the ships), and largely ignored the targets that would have forced the Navy to relocate to San Diego (tank farms, repair facilities suitable for battleships/carriers, that sort of thing).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    33. Re:Problems by mea37 · · Score: 1

      Well, just to bring this around to the topic at hand...

      What you say is all well and good, but this story isn't about the government contracting design work. The companies were already designing and building the vehicles for their own private ventures. The government is buying passage on the companies' ships; they're a customer of said private ventures.

      Buying use of a tool or service is not the same as buying the design.

    34. Re:Problems by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      Sure. We'll just tell you how to make ICBMs (which is what most rockets basically are), nuclear bombs, F-22, stealth technology in general, the Blackbird, cruise missiles, warheads, explosives, carriers, and the supercomputers that the NSA use.

      Or perhaps we won't.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    35. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The development of the aircraft carrier had made those battleships obsolete. The aircraft carriers were much more effective in force projection. I believe that modern navies don't have anything bigger than a cruiser because they're just too much of an indefensible target for modern missiles, and that became true with the advent of the torpedo bomber.

      This is conventional wisdom, and not entirely correct. Consider the efforts by Third Fleet to sink the Japanese battleships at Leyte Gulf. Which battleships had no aircover, and were outnumbered three to one by our CVs and CVLs alone, not even counting the air complements of the CVEs (another 400-500 planes). As I remember it, no more than one of the battleships was sunk exclusively by air attack from the sixteen carriers trying to sink it (that one may have been actually sunk by a submarine - it's hard to say what the source was, given that we don't have the hull to do a post-mortem on). And most of the battleships sailed through those attacks, either into the Taffies (where several hundred planes managed to sink none of the battleships) or into Seventh Fleet, where they were sunk by...battleships.

      Historically, there is scant evidence that the aircraft carrier was capable of defeating battleships. Pearl Harbor hardly proves anything, as you have an active carrier force attacking battleships in harbor in peacetime routine (which means substantial parts of the crews not even aboard, much less prepared for attack.

      Bismark was attacked from the air for many hours without being sunk, though the air attacks certainly made it possible for the surface forces to catch and sink Bismark the old-fashioned way (air attacks jammed Bismark's rudder so that she could no longer proceed in a straight line away from her pursuers.)

      The only really evidence that carriers could beat battleships was the sinking of Prince of Wales and Repulse, which were done exclusively by aerial attack. But not from carriers, so even there the evidence is less than clear.

      The REAL reason we don't build battleships anymore is that they're bloody expensive! Too much so to convince Congress (or any national government) to pay for one, much less the number that would be needed to be worthwhile.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    36. Re:Problems by mdm-adph · · Score: 1

      Checked the news lately? Kim Jong Il ain't doing much these days (though his photoshopped image sure is getting around). The plans are safe!

      --
      It is by my will alone my thoughts acquire motion; it is by the juice of the coffee bean that the thoughts acquire speed
    37. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      My friend did his study in the mid-70s. I don't think the Peacekeeper was designed until later, so no, he wasn't mistaken. None of the ICBMs that were in use at the time were adaptable as an orbital lift vehicle.

      --
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    38. Re:Problems by witherstaff · · Score: 1

      You're right. Now that you can build a cruise missile for 5 grand I'd be more worried about that than some Astronaut Farmer making an ICBM.

    39. Re:Problems by Captain+Nitpick · · Score: 1

      My friend did his study in the mid-70s. I don't think the Peacekeeper was designed until later, so no, he wasn't mistaken. None of the ICBMs that were in use at the time were adaptable as an orbital lift vehicle.

      None of the ICBMs that were in use at the time that had not already been adapted as orbital launch vehicles were suitable for the task.

      In the mid-1970s, the US had Minuteman I and II missiles, as well as Titan IIs which were in the process of being decommissioned. Titan IIs were quite capable of orbital launches, having been used for the Gemini program in the mid-60s. Fourteen of the decommissioned Titan IIs were hauled back out of mothballs and refurbished for space launches in the mid-80s.

      Of the major US ICBM series (Atlas, Titan, Minuteman, and Peacekeeper), only the Minuteman hasn't been used for orbital launches.

      --
      But then again, I could be wrong.
    40. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      None of the ICBMs that were in use at the time that had not already been adapted as orbital launch vehicles were suitable for the task.

      Thank you. I'd never asked him for details, and had to guess a little. Also, at the time I knew him, the incident was already over a decade old.

      --
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    41. Re:Problems by hairyfeet · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What I don't get is how we are spending huge amounts of money to protect ourselves from ICBMs when thanks to MAD the odds of even the most crazed fundie launching one is less than winning the lotto while being struck by lightning. If some crazy jihadist wants to rack up maximum body count he would be nuts to launch a missile, which paints a giant "please kill us all" bullseye on his country when he can just sneak through our giant leaking sieve border and drive a Ryder or stolen FedEx truck right to the center of any major city and just push the switch.

      So while I can understand them not wanting our advanced missile plans leaked out simply to keep the middle eastern countries from blowing each other up, the crazy amounts of money we are spending now on missile defense, especially when we can't pay for health care, higher education, or our giant leaky borders to be sealed, is to me the height of insanity.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    42. Re:Problems by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Assuming you ignore all the evidence since WWII, your argument almost makes sense. Indeed, your best WWII fighter planes were ill-equipped to sink battleships of any era.

      Today, of course, they could take one out easily. Indeed, as far back as the 80's I'd put more faith in a few Etendards with Exocets than a battleship, and little countries that couldn't hope to buy a battleship had no trouble buying Etendards and Exocets. Now, in the 21st century, not only would a full-size battleship be bloody expensive, but it'd be a bloody expensive asset you'd be afraid to take anywhere near a war zone, since the same amount of money put into making one battleship could buy enough hardware to sink a thousand of them easily. In the 21st century, the most well-equipped, well-funded, high tech navies can't hope to keep them safe from little third-world nations.

      The only safe way to use a battleship these days would be to load it up with cruise missiles and keep it hundreds of miles away from the enemy at all times. But destroyers can fire cruises missiles from hundreds of miles away just as easily. The only thing the battleship had going for it was guns so big you couldn't put them on anything smaller. But the era of the big gun is long, long past. Might as well give all the seamen on board cutlasses while you're at it. The REAL reason we don't build battleships anymore is there's NOTHING they can do that can't be done better by something else today. Even if they weren't expensive, they'd still be ill-considered wastes of money.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    43. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The only thing the battleship had going for it was guns so big you couldn't put them on anything smaller.

      Plus that armour. Mustn't forget the armour. You remember that part? The armour that survived a nuclear explosion at Bikini Atoll. Nevada survived an aerial detonation at 615 yards, Arkansas at 620 yards, Nagata at 900 yards. Note that the first test bomb exploded about 600 yards from its aimpoint (it was intended to detonate directly over Nevada, which would have left it about the same distance from Arkansas as it actually exploded).

      Note that Nagato, at just under 1000 yards from an explosion the size of the Nagasaki bomb suffered only minor damage.

      Note further that any defense that can be applied to a smaller ship can be applied in larger numbers to a larger ship - carriers have more point defense systems than destroyers, and when the Iowa class battleships were last used, they had those same point defense systems installed, in still greater numbers. The reverse is not true - enough armour and compartmentation to survive a nuclear attack cannot be put on anything smaller than a battleship.

      The REAL reason we don't build battleships anymore is there's NOTHING they can do that can't be done better by something else today.

      Can't really argue with this. But, frankly, the only role battleships have EVER had was to sink the other fellow's battleships. Even before WW2 (or WW1 for that matter), battleships had no real role that couldn't be done by other ships (other than sink each other).

      Note also that that argument has been used against the aircraft carrier pretty much since the first atom bomb went off. And similar arguments were used against them as far back as the '30s.

      Consider that even in WW2, much less with modern armaments, aircraft carriers were sunk by relative handfuls of carrier planes (basically, each American carrier attacked a separate Japanese carrier in the first go), while battleships were surviving attacks by hundreds of carrier planes (five battleships, six heavy cruisers, plus escorts were attacked by around 1000 American planes - one battleship was sunk).

      Note, finally, that the important part of the "battleship" concept isn't the big honking guns (they were the weapon of choice back when they were the only weapon available), it's the nearly invulnerable armour. Being nearly immune to damage by lesser ships is really kind of neat.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    44. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      But, frankly, the only role battleships have EVER had was to sink the other fellow's battleships.

      Shore bombardment. There were four battleships (two US) at D-Day, and others at just about every major landing in the Pacific. That's why we keep the New Jersey around. There's something about exploding VWs in close formations of nine that nothing less than a nuke or FAE can compare with, and they can be used in places where nothing else is appropriate. And, with a range of 25 nautical miles, you don't have to be right on the coast to be in range.

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      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    45. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      believe that modern navies don't have anything bigger than a cruiser because they're just too much of an indefensible target for modern missiles, and that became true with the advent of the torpedo bomber.

      A battleship is designed to do two things: dish out considerable punishment to anything it hits and survive an equivalent licking from its opponent while doing so. I suggest that you look at how many bombs and torpedoes it took to put down the Yamato and Musashi. In the Musashi's case, it took 17 bombs, 20 torpedo hits on her, plus 18 near misses. No aircraft carrier of the era could have survived that long. IIRC, the Japanese carriers sunk at Midway took either three or four bombs at most.

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    46. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      The only really evidence that carriers could beat battleships was the sinking of Prince of Wales and Repulse, which were done exclusively by aerial attack.

      Neither the Repulse nor the Prince of Wales were battleships. They were both battlecruisers. That was a class of ship with a battleship's guns, engines and hull, but the armor of a heavy cruiser. The idea was that they could outrun anything they couldn't beat and win against anything that could catch it. Oddly enough, it was the only class of ship that couldn't engage another of its own class because it would be suicidal for both.

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      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    47. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Neither the Repulse nor the Prince of Wales were battleships. They were both battlecruisers. That was a class of ship with a battleship's guns, engines and hull, but the armor of a heavy cruiser.

      Repulse was a battlecruiser, but Prince of Wales was a battleship. The second King George V class battleship, in fact, and as new and modern as any in the world at the time. Unfortunately, Churchill felt the need to make a gesture, and expended her to make it.

      Note also that there was an alternate definition of battlecruiser (the original one, in fact) that would have made the Iowa class BBs "battlecruisers". That particular definition was something with a battleship's guns and armour but a cruiser's speed and range. Note that HMS Hood met this definition of "battlecruiser", since she had armour and armament comparable to contemporary battleships, with speed comparable to contemporary cruisers.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    48. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Shore bombardment. There were four battleships (two US) at D-Day, and others at just about every major landing in the Pacific. That's why we keep the New Jersey around. There's something about exploding VWs in close formations of nine that nothing less than a nuke or FAE can compare with, and they can be used in places where nothing else is appropriate. And, with a range of 25 nautical miles, you don't have to be right on the coast to be in range.

      Alas, the Jersey has been out of commission for 17 years or so. Along with her sisters.

      Yeah, there was always something special about using a BB's guns for shore bombardment. But, fact of the matter is that you're better off with close air support from Marine Aviation than you are with the New Jersey providing fire support.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    49. Re:Problems by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      Keep your rocket under 600 mph, and you can use nearly any off-the-shelf [GPS] receiver to guide your rocket-bomb within 10m of it's target.

      I'd love to see your idea of how a ballistic missile with any range could be kept under 600 mph...

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    50. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      The definition I gave wasn't a formal one, it was a practical one. In most cases, the way they got the battlecrusier's speed up was by skimping on the armor, making them, in effect, underarmored battleships. As to the Prince of Wales, I sit corrected; I'd thought it was a battlecruiser and never checked.

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    51. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      Alas, the Jersey has been out of commission for 17 years or so.

      And for a very good reason, too. Keeping a battleship in commission when there's no current use for it is very expensive. Mothballing it not only saves money, it saves wear and tear on what is now very old equipment. No point using up its service life when there's no mission needing it. Close air support is great; it's more flexible than artillery, but there are times that what you really need is 2100 pound shells coming screaming down from the sky. Got a bunker you can't bust? Try some armor piercing shells, tipping the scales at a hefty 2700 pounds...

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    52. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The definition I gave wasn't a formal one, it was a practical one.

      Your definition of battlecruiser is one of the standard ones. But, when it comes right down to it, some "battlecruisers" were so labelled for different reasons. Around WW1, the Brits labelled a battleship a battlecruiser because she was capable of more than 24 knots. She (HMS Hood) was later sunk by the Bismark.

      Using that particular definition (which the USA never used), the last eight battleships built in US yards were "battlecruisers".

      Note, by the way, that another way that ships were "trimmed" to make "battlecruiser speed" was to eliminate one main turret. Six 15" guns in three turrets saved a lot of tonnage over eight in four, and allowed for faster ships without sacrificing armour.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    53. Re:Problems by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Got a bunker you can't bust? Try some armor piercing shells, tipping the scales at a hefty 2700 pounds...

      Or get a bunkerbuster bomb out of stores, and drop it on top. Again, nothing the battleship can do that can't be done by something else. Except sink battleships.

      Note that with the Jersey in mothballs, it's effectively unavailable for any war that takes less than years. And we don't do so much of that anymore.

      Yeah, Iraq has lasted years. But since Bush first said "mission accomplished", there has been nothing we'd want Jersey or her sisters for. Same with Afghanistan, even if she could fire so far.

      The only thing we might want Jersey for in the future is a war on Korea. That might last long enough to get her back in service, and certainly would present a plenitude of targets. But, frankly, it wouldn't be worth the bother.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    54. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      Or get a bunkerbuster bomb out of stores, and drop it on top.

      Do you know what a bunkerbuster bomb is? It's an old 6" artillery tube stuffed with explosives and a set of fins stuck on the back. Not exactly something you keep in stores. It reminds me of the armor piercing bombs from WW II: 12" armor piercing shells with fins, because we weren't using guns that small any more.

      There's a story (true or not, I've no idea) from 'Nam about a bunker they hadn't been able to break from the air. They called in the Jersey. One turret pointed at it, and one tube went off. Short. The next tube elevated some more. Over. The third one split the difference, hit the bunker and collapsed it. One hit did more than hours by the Air Force. And that was bombardment rounds, mind you, because I don't think they had any armor piercers with them.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    55. Re:Problems by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      Six 15" guns in three turrets saved a lot of tonnage over eight in four, and allowed for faster ships without sacrificing armour.

      IIRC, the Iowa class was built with nine 16"/50s in three turrets, but your point is well taken. BTW, the main "flaw" that caused the explosions at Jutland, and killed the Hood weren't in their design, but in how they were fought. In peacetime practice, the powder monkeys would clip back the blast curtains to get a faster loading rate, and then did the same thing in battle. Thus, a turret hit could flash right down to the magazine and set it off because the only thing stopping it had been disabled by the crew.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    56. Re:Problems by Shooter6947 · · Score: 1

      I don't understand the problem, here. All data from NASA planetary missions are made public 1 year after they are taken. Here, you can go download them and use them for whatever you like at the Planetary Data System . There's a group of enthusiastic amateurs that use and interpret the raw data at UMSF , among other places. You're welcome to use these data and do science with them and publish them, scooping other scientists. Believe me, there's plenty of science left to be done in there.

    57. Re:Problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you want to know why the situation with space flight is so slow and the private ventures are only now getting to the point of being able to fly on their own, the answer is simple: Space flight is really really freakin difficult.

      It's difficult, but not quite that difficult.

      The worst problem was that NASA has tended to cut the legs out from underneath private launch companies by offering to launch things at cheap prices. The true cost of a Shuttle launch is embarrassing, and NASA has cooked the books enough to try to disguise just how expensive it really is. If NASA charged the true cost for launching things into space, the private companies would be much better able to compete.

      This is why I'm delighted to see this throwing of business to the private sector. Instead of taking launch business away from SpaceX and Orbital, NASA are outsourcing to them.

      What we need is cheap and fast access to space. What the Shuttle gives us is expensive ability to put a really damn huge payload into low earth orbit. Once private industry solves the cheap and fast problem, WATCH OUT, the future of space will finally begin.

  4. 2016? In Obama's Term. by perlhacker14 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The article states that the contracts are valid through 2016. But, will this last when Obama comes in to office, with the expected cuts? I do realize that this is important for the future functions, but is it the biggest priority for the new president?

    1. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But, will this last when Obama comes in to office, with the expected cuts?

      Oh dear lord yes.

      I stopped posted to space & spaceflight related threads on Slashdot years ago, because damned near all of the people posting are clueless. (Even most of you who think you have a clue. Really.) Trying to correct (or even read) so many screwed up posts is agonizing.

      But, this is important, so let's be very clear about this: COTS and these Commercial Resupply Services contracts are critical first steps on the "new path" for American spaceflight. The members of Obama's NASA transition team are very aware of this. Regardless of whatever other elements of our human spaceflight program get discarded, this is likely to remain intact.

      This is the first glimpse at the future, people. Try to grok it. If you can, you may come to understand how some of us intend to settle the solar system.

    2. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I stopped posted to space

      I stopped posting, even. Damn, I need a whack with my own cluestick.

    3. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by markov_chain · · Score: 1

      I miss sci.space.tech!

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    4. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by x2A · · Score: 1

      These actually sound exactly like the kinds of things he'd go for. Slashing launch/supply costs, improving the domestic commercial space sector, not just shipping it all out to russia? I'm sure he'd see that as a win/win/win.

      --
      The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia
    5. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

      This is the first glimpse at the future, people. Try to grok it. If you can, you may come to understand how some of us intend to settle the solar system.

      Settling the solar system makes about as much sense as building Condos at the bottom of the ocean under the North Pole.

      In case you haven't noticed...we pretty much have the best planet and we are slowly screwing it up, with apathy and ridiculous pipe dreams like moving to Titan.

    6. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by phayes · · Score: 1

      yeah, me too. If you look at my friends you might recognize a dame or two like derek lyons...

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    7. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      These actually sound exactly like the kinds of things he'd go for. Slashing launch/supply costs, improving the domestic commercial space sector, not just shipping it all out to russia? I'm sure he'd see that as a win/win/win.

      Slashing launch/supply costs? Did you look at these contracts? Between then, they're moving less in the way of supplies than a single shuttle flight could, for "only" $3.5 billion.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    8. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by DigitalisAkujin · · Score: 1

      I don't want to move to Titan. I wanna turn Mars and Venus into Earth 2 and 3.

    9. Re:2016? In Obama's Term. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While not necessarily building condos at the bottom of the Arctic Ocean, I wouldn't mind owning some real-estate in Antarctica with mining and oil drilling rights.

      If you can tell me how I can do that, it would be appreciated. Not the technological steps, but rather the bureaucratic red tape and what government agencies would be willing to participate in such a sale and assure peaceful control over such real-estate without having to hire or build my own private army to keep idiots off any land I might own.

      Pretty much the same bureaucratic red tape that keeps sales of Antarctica from happening is also preventing the development of anything else in the Solar System (or frankly much of the western USA, but I digress here). It isn't if the development of such real estate is technologically or economically viable, but rather if the "power that be" would even permit such a development in the first place.

      While I see some logic for protecting the environment of Antarctica, I see absolutely zero logic for protecting the "threatened" species of creatures living on the Moon or protecting the lunar atmosphere from "pollutants". Yet development of lunar resources is actually going to be more complicated from a legal perspective than even extracting similar resources in Antarctica.

  5. why not contract with the russians? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i mean, their technology is proven, is known to work and they can "do it" for cheap. why in ${deity}'s name did nasa sign a contract to use unproven, never used equipment operated by an unproven staff?

    or why not go with arianespace if usa right-wingers get sick at the idea of paying the russian?

    personally, i smell some sort of ... 'money pit' (is this the right expression?), some misplaced favoritism or even some political dogmatism instead of a will to 'get things done despite a limited budget' mentality.

    1. Re:why not contract with the russians? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Because using american tax dollars to pay russian salaries isn't good economic sense.

      Duh.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:why not contract with the russians? by mark_hill97 · · Score: 1

      Because it is a good way to help with the space tourism industry. Begin financing industries trying to monetize space and we may have a whole new industry spring up (with all the associated jobs!)

    3. Re:why not contract with the russians? by TimSSG · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think it is an issue of redundancy; to have the ISS just depending on the Russians would be an issue. Now, I think they could have looked to the "arianespace", but I think Buy American is back into the default way the US Government does things. Tim S

    4. Re:why not contract with the russians? by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      why in ${deity}'s name did nasa sign a contract to use unproven, never used equipment operated by an unproven staff?

      Well...lets see:
      Mercury-earth orbit - totally unproven, until someone did it.
      Gemini-2 man, docking with another craft in orbit - totally unproven, until someone did it.
      Apollo-Landing on the moon and coming back - totally unproven, until someone did it.

      Do we want to stick with the old, (semi)safe stuff, or do we want to bring some new minds and technologies on board?

    5. Re:why not contract with the russians? by mea37 · · Score: 1

      Politics is surely part of the equation. You might recall not long ago there was a question over whether, in light of Russian treatment of the Ossetia conflict, the U.S. would extend the exemption that allowed NASA to contract for passage on Russian flights in spite of the Anti-Proliferation Act (can't remember the full title of the act; it's a US law that limits trade with countries that don't cooperate with our nuclear non-proliferation vision). I don't know what ever happened to that, but it highlights that relying on a tenuous ally may not always work.

      Also, there is a real economic reason to favor American suppliers. Have you ever heard people say "The problem with the U.S. economy is that we don't actually make anything ourselves anymore"? Well, there's only one way to fix that.

    6. Re:why not contract with the russians? by khallow · · Score: 1

      One of NASA's purposes is to build up US space industry. So of course, they would prefer to buy US space launch over a foreign competitor.

  6. New Possibilities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In theory this is not much different than contracting rocket engines to Thiokol or communication systems to Motorola. In practice however this might prove to be a boon to NASA. Not only does it allow for the centralization of specific projects under one roof, it allows commercial companies to organize entire projects instead of merely building ships - I'm of the opinion private industry can organize and meet specific goals better than the government. With that NASA can allow private competition for public funds to improve space transportation systems; and therefore serve as the arbiter of their performance. On top of that NASA can further focus on its most important job: conducting experiments in space and preparing for manned missions to the Moon and beyond (if it ever does become feasible).

  7. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  8. Hell of a deal by tripmine · · Score: 4, Informative

    $1.6 billion for 12 flights of SpaceX's planned Dragon spacecraft and their Falcon 9 boosters. $1.9 billion

    Compared to the shuttle, it's a pretty damn good deal.

    1. Re:Hell of a deal by gregbot9000 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      NASA said it was looking for each selected team to deliver a minimum of 20 metric tons to the space station over the seven-year life of the contract

      At $1.6B for 20 metric tones per contract thats about $36,287 per pound. So it's actually a good deal if you take the worst cost estimate of the Shuttle running $40,000 a pound. And that the company only does the bare minimum. for the twelve launches for the Falcon 9 at $1.6B that comes out to $133M.

    2. Re:Hell of a deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the space shuttle cost is $10 BILLION/LB not $40,000. cuz it will cost $10B for a replacement. the shuttle used to cost $40,000/lb before it was scrapped, just as ther saturn V used to cost $10,000/lb.

    3. Re:Hell of a deal by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Compared to the shuttle, it's a pretty damn good deal.

      Just to elaborate on that... a Space Shuttle has a payload to orbit of 24,400kg. The shuttle costs $500-$1,500 million per flight (depending on how you tabulate it). SpaceX's Falcon 9 Heavy has a payload to orbit of 27,500kg. The commercial price per flight is $90 million; under the current contract SpaceX is charging a fixed price of $133 million per flight, which presumably is higher due to the cost of the Dragon capsule and development fees.

      That makes SpaceX's price for delivery to the space station 4x-11x cheaper than the Shuttle's. With this sharp cost reduction, NASA will be hopefully be able to get much more exploration and research done on their limited budget.

    4. Re:Hell of a deal by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not bad considering it costs $450 million per shuttle launch.

      http://www.nasa.gov/centers/kennedy/about/information/shuttle_faq.html

      Q. How much does it cost to launch a Space Shuttle?

      A. The average cost to launch a Space Shuttle is about $450 million per mission.

    5. Re:Hell of a deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dragon isn't flying on a Falcon 9 Heavy--they're using a standard Falcon 9. Between pressurized and unpressurized volumes, Dragon can bring 6000 kg of cargo.

    6. Re:Hell of a deal by confused+one · · Score: 1

      It works out to an even better deal if you realize that SpaceX is not just pocketing the money, but is channeling a considerable fraction of it back into their own internal R&D programs. Their intention is to get the Falcon9 and Dragon man-rated. The published development schedule appears to be fairly agressive. In some respects, I believe they are further along than the Ares 1 and Orion CEV programs are. Imagine a COTS program comprised of crew transport to and from the ISS or LEO.

    7. Re:Hell of a deal by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Thanks for pointing that out. I wonder if SpaceX has the option to fly a Falcon 9 Heavy instead of a normal Falcon 9 if they wish to, because of the better cost-efficiency. With a Falcon 9 Heavy they could lift up the prearranged NASA payload, while also selling the excess payload mass to make additional money.

    8. Re:Hell of a deal by FleaPlus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Their intention is to get the Falcon9 and Dragon man-rated. The published development schedule appears to be fairly agressive. In some respects, I believe they are further along than the Ares 1 and Orion CEV programs are. Imagine a COTS program comprised of crew transport to and from the ISS or LEO.

      Obama's space transition team seems to be imagining this as well:

      http://www.space.com/news/081202-obama-space-spending.html

      The transition team also wants information from NASA about accelerating plans for using the agency's Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) program to fund demonstrations of vehicles capable of carrying crews to the international space station, a proposal Obama supported during his campaign.

    9. Re:Hell of a deal by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Compared to the shuttle, it's a pretty damn good deal.

      Only if you make the most simplistic of comparisons. The Shuttle's cargo capacity is 24k kg, while the Falcon 9's total capacity is 27k kg. Which means the amount delivered by Falcon will less than you think because you haven't accounted for the cargo delivery vehicle. For reference (dry weights), Progress weighs 7k kg, HTV weighs about 10k kg, ATV comes in at a whopping 20k kg. (Which means even the simplest existing delivery vehicle eats just over a quarter of your raw capacity, not to mention you have to account for it's cost as well.)
       
      When you compare the Dragon to Shuttle, the numbers again aren't pretty - Dragon can deliver 7 people and 2.5k kg of cargo, while Shuttle delivers 7 people and 24k kg of cargo.
       
      Not to mention that Dragon cannot support spacewalks, and Falcon (or Falcon+Dragon) cannot deliver or return ISS racks.

      [Rant]
      I get dammed tired of people comparing spacecraft just on cost or raw payload weight. You don't buy computers, cars, or practically anything else without comparing features - why do people fail to do so when it comes to spacecraft?
      [/Rant]

    10. Re:Hell of a deal by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Informative

      under the current contract SpaceX is charging a fixed price of $133 million per flight,

      Under the current contract, SpaceX is selling about 10% of their payload for 12 flights for $133 million. Remember, they're only promising to deliver 20 tons over 12 flights, NOT the 240 tons they'll be pushing into space in those 12 flights.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    11. Re:Hell of a deal by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, speaking as a liberal, mere efficiency is not the only measure of a government program. While efficiency is good it's not the only good; given two social programs, a more efficient one is not necessarily better if it doesn't accomplish as much.

      Here we have a case in point. These companies might not be much, or any more financially efficient; given the nature of the Shuttle's design and program history, it should be possible for NASA itself to do much, much more financially efficient launches. So why pay private industry almost as much?

      Because, presumably, it is nationally important to have a private space launch industry capable of generating its own designs. It amounts to a kind of investment. There are other ways of doing this of course, such as actual financial underwriting. But it seems to me that paying somewhat high prices is the fast track to creating an independent space indusatry. How high? Well, high enough that you get a choice of vendors, but not higher.

      Getting free of government control is important, specifically because government is not so concerned with efficiency. Creating completely government controlled markets, as we have in military support services, results in the worst of both possible worlds. The vendors don't care if the services make sense, and the government buyers don't care if the services are financially efficient.

      Government should be concerned with things that need to be done, but which are not efficient in and excludable, short term sense. The scope of those activities should be as small as possible consistent with getting the job done. Access to space is something that is commercially valuable; it would be better to let private industry provide it. However that was not, until now, feasible. It is not quite feasible now either. The transition to a more efficient public/private system is not going to be the cheapest way to do the task at hand.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    12. Re:Hell of a deal by khallow · · Score: 1

      At $1.6B for 20 metric tones per contract thats about $36,287 per pound. So it's actually a good deal if you take the worst cost estimate of the Shuttle running $40,000 a pound. And that the company only does the bare minimum. for the twelve launches for the Falcon 9 at $1.6B that comes out to $133M.

      That's for a minimum of 20 metric tons and they don't pay the $1.6 billion up front. If the contractors fail to deliver, they don't continue to get paid by the contract. If these contractors can launch 50-60 metric tons more per year including manned flights (includes Shuttle payload, crew rotation, and a propellant boost each time the Shuttle docks with the ISS), then you can disband the Shuttle early. That's more than two billion dollars a year drain on NASA that can be directed into something else.

  9. The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in 1/2 by rmcclelland · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Supporting SpaceX/Orbital in this endeavour could be a game changer for the whole space industry. SpaceX is charging half of going rate for launches. Once they get flying regularly, NASA and commercial projects will be able to spend more on satellites and less on launching which means more spacecraft, science, and bandwidth.

  10. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    Why don't we privatize our armed forces next..

    Hehe, you don't read the paper much do you? There's a whole lot of contracted "security" firms in Iraq right now being paid by the US government. You might remember some of them were running a prison.. you might remember the atrocities. Ya.

    Anyway, space tourism will pay for itself.. give it time.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  11. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Boeing/Lockheed/Thiokol initially only charged 1/2 the final rate too. What will the actual bill from SpaceX be, once they can suck at the govt's teat?

  12. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

    Nope..it won't. Using tax payer money to subsidize some sort of cosmic carnival ride with no public benefit is a joke. It's not the kind of jobs the world needs...unless you perhaps you think we ought to go back to building pyramids or something

  13. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    Umm.. about the only people who are doing space tourism is the russians.. and they are doing it to subsidize their national space program. Maybe soon we'll see Virgin Galactic doing some suborbital space tourism.. and that's being done without a nickle of tax payer funds. So, what, exactly, are you on about?

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  14. Science by copponex · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Please provide us with the most recent scientific breakthrough not carried out by a government funded lab or subsidized university.

    Don't worry. We'll wait.

    You see, no corporation does anything beyond what's sensible to make a profit. And often that thing is actually detrimental to society without proper regulation, dependent on your definition of progress, and no company could survive the lawsuits if they focused on pure R&D instead of R&D designed to deliver a product for sale. Imagine a company formed for fusion reactor research, promising little to no chance of return for billions of dollars of investment. It wouldn't get off the ground, and would be the laughingstock of wall street. In this case, they are refining rocket technology, not inventing it.

    Good science only happens when you throw huge amounts of money into pure research. Engineering happens trying to solve problems, but not advances in science. The government doesn't force people to research anything, but it does give out wads of cash for things it wants, like the technology found in Predator drones. This is because problems are now extraordinarily complicated and require huge investments to be solved. That's not to say there aren't rare exceptions... and definitely not to say that agencies like NASA aren't in need of serious restructuring. But for the most part, it's government funded research that provides modern technology.

    Also, you're totally wrong about homeland security. It's funded billions of dollars for advanced aerospace research, but to large corporations instead of backyard enthusiasts.

    1. Re:Science by QuantumG · · Score: 1, Interesting

      We were talking about engineering, but ok.

      IBM does more basic science than any other company in the world.. outside Japan. They're also better financed and have institutional knowledge that exceeds most universities by light years. As for government labs, they're good for nuclear research and that's about it.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:Science by ppanon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah you're clearly right. All that work done by the CDC and the NIH never amount to anything..

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    3. Re:Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Except sometimes only the Government has the cash to "waste" on things that don't have an immediate commercial application. Little things like the Arpanet, for example.

    4. Re:Science by khallow · · Score: 1

      Medicine. Computers. And space technology to name something relevant to the topic. Sure, the government spends money in these areas. But they aren't making the breakthroughs.

    5. Re:Science by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Please provide us with the most recent scientific breakthrough not carried out by a government funded lab or subsidized university.

      How about Microsoft Research?

      While I'm a major critic of Microsoft as a company, some of their basic research activities are simply amazing and certainly aren't done through government subsidies.

      Microsoft certainly isn't alone here, and private R&D does happen by forward thinking individuals and companies. IBM is another company who has done some incredible pure research into material science and nano-technology.

      Yes, I understand that the government is a major player in scientific research, but it doesn't have to be the only game in town. Certainly relying on only the government to come up with new ideas is a horrible approach for society, and incredibly wasteful of economic resources.

      Also, what needs the government has for scientific research are not necessarily things that are needed by ordinary people, for businesses, or even society as a whole. Is there a role for government-sponsored research? Yes! But it isn't the only nor should it be the only possible place for science to be advanced.

      BTW, the old AT&T Bell Labs came up with a host of original and innovative scientific advancements.... all coming from non-government dollars. What is left now is a shadow of what it used to be, however this is a direct result of government interference in the company and not as a result of a lack of interest in basic research. Just look at the wiki article about Bell Labs and you can find hundreds of scientific break throughs that came from this non-government sources.

    6. Re:Science by hoooocheymomma · · Score: 1

      One stereotype that leaps to my mind is drug companies funding their research into cures for horrible diseases by selling you speed for your kids' "ADHD". It's yucky, but am I wrong that drug companies do just fine advancing chemical engineering without government help?

    7. Re:Science by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Bell Labs was an arm of a government granted monopoly that essentially taxed its users. You couldn't get phone service except through Bell at the price Bell charged. That price was regulated, and the incentive for a monopoly utility under that regime is to increase costs as far as humanly possible, because they were granted profit as a margin above its costs. Thus we have them doing justifiable but ... inefficient things like basic research.

      After the monopoly was broken up, telephone calls became very, very cheap. But ... no more Bell Labs. Not like it used to be. In the free market, as part of the slow motion financial wreck that is Lucent, Bell Labs is a shadow of its former self. Just this year, Alcatel-Lucent announced it is pulling entirely out of basic research to focus on more product oriented research. This means that weaned of it quasi-public status, the labs will no longer produce fundamental advances in fields like solid state physics.

      By the way it's a gross exaggeration to say that Bell's scientific work was "all coming from non-government dollars." Bell received huge amounts of government grant money. Much of its pioneering work in computing was funded by the US DoD.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    8. Re:Science by khallow · · Score: 1

      Look at what the parent was claiming. The CDC and the NIH didn't make every recent "breakthrough" in medicine. Not even close. Even for research funded by the NIH, most of it will require a business to transform it into a viable product that helps people.

    9. Re:Science by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Once a company has a monopoly that utterly distorts the market and prevents it from having to deal with normal market forces like other companies, due to a lack of competition, they can use all the money they can rake it from this arrangement to engage in research no non-monopoly company in a competitive market can manage.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    10. Re:Science by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      Please. You simply repeat the fallacy.

      Yay. Statist research at any cost.

    11. Re:Science by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      You are wrong. This fallacy of raw vs. net profits of enterprises has been refuted since the beginning of the 20th century by liberal theorists. If a company, say SpaceX, takes in a healthy profit, it is only because its successfully supplying a demand. Be sure that SpaceX will invest, not necessarily tons of money, but more importantly, more wisely and rationally than governments ever could, exactly because of their self-interest to make a buck.

      It is the 'potentially democratic' governments that usually take people's money and put it into regulations and programs detrimental to society as a whole. It was no profit seeking corporation that brought us the H-bomb. It is government who pays landowners NOT to grow crops, and thereby reducing supply of food as a pitiful attempt to raise producers prices at the expense of a hungrier world. The US would have cleaner and more efficient nuclear power were it not for its government's stupidity in basically shutting down that industry, even the French etatists are a little more farsighted.

      And while you praise the results of 'pure science' brought about by massive redistribution of money by governments, you are making the basic mistake of focusing only on what is to be seen, i.e. the outcome of this intervention, and you are ignoring what is not to be seen, namely, what other kinds of innovation and improvement in the standard of living that capital would have made possible if government hadn't seized it from individuals in the first place.

      If I may be so bold as to recommend you a challenging read, take up Henry Hazlitt's 'Economics in one lesson' and give it whirl.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    12. Re:Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please provide us with the most recent scientific breakthrough not carried out by a government funded lab or subsidized university.

      Well, it's not very recent, and all I did was put "ibm scientific breakthrough" into Google and press "I'm feeling Lucky", but here's one from IBM. I can also recall various semiconductor, nano-transistor and racetrack memory discoveries from IBM, so the idea that all research is government funded isn't exactly correct.

  15. It's only .005 TARPS by tjstork · · Score: 3, Funny

    Why should anyone complain about this? For all of his other faults, the Bush administration has given us some great new units of federal spending that we can use the same way we measure storage capacity with "libraries of congress". Why think in terms of millions or billions or even trillions, when we can say that this new NASA contract is only .005 TARPs, 0.00583 Iraq wars, 0.014 Katrinas, 0.00875 Medicare Prescription Drugs, and 0.0175 Farm bailouts.

    It's chump change!

    --
    This is my sig.
  16. I'm glad I'm around to see it. by Patchw0rk+F0g · · Score: 1

    I've always been a big Robert Heinlein fan, and the character of D.D. Harriman was particularly fun to imagine.

    With this, it looks like Bob's vision of commercial space flight is finally starting to stretch to the plateau that he saw. I'm more than excited: maybe this means that that elusive space elevator is possible too? Oh, not by the same people, but hey! Maybe that's the next step.

    In any case, kudos to the two companies. Thanks for seeing Mr. Heinlein's vision come true.

    --
    When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. ~~ Hunter S. Thompson
  17. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by x2A · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What?!! You think building pyramids will get people to space?

    When you say "no public benefit", I think you forgot to finish the sentence properly, you missed out the "that I know of" bit. It's a very narrow mind that assumes nothing exists beyond it's own knowledge. I would say that kind of mind doesn't serve the public one bit, but thinking about it, I've been to macdonalds.

    --
    The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia
  18. What's special about this? by heroine · · Score: 1

    It doesn't sound any different than Lockheed or NGC getting $3 billion. The concept drawings from any of these companies are equally far from the real thing. Maybe the CEO of SpaceX is worth a little more than the Lockheed CEO. It's not the populist access to space we envisioned 5 years ago. We only think it is because Elon Musk says so.

    1. Re:What's special about this? by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

      It doesn't sound any different than Lockheed or NGC getting $3 billion.

      As I've noted in another comment, the difference is that Lockheed/NGC have cost-plus contracts, while this is a fixed-price contract. Lockheed et al get more money if they go overbudget. SpaceX has to pay the cost if they go overbudget.

      The concept drawings from any of these companies are equally far from the real thing. Maybe the CEO of SpaceX is worth a little more than the Lockheed CEO.

      Concept drawings? SpaceX's Falcon 9 has already been transported to Cape Canaveral, and will be fully assembled and vertical within the next week.

  19. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by FleaPlus · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Boeing/Lockheed/Thiokol initially only charged 1/2 the final rate too. What will the actual bill from SpaceX be, once they can suck at the govt's teat?

    One big difference is that Boeing/Lockheed/Thiokol have cost-plus contracts, where if you increase the final bill you make more money. SpaceX and Orbital have fixed-price contracts, where if SpaceX or Orbital's cost estimates are too low, the companies eat the extra cost; on the other hand, if the companies figure out ways to do things more efficiently, they get more of a profit. Doing space launches under this sort of arrangement is almost unprecedented for NASA, and hopefully something we'll see much more of in the future.

  20. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

    Name "One" important science discovery from the ISS.

    It's a joke. It's a zillion times cheaper to do research on earth. Putting people into space for no other reason than putting people into space is a little silly. We've proven it can be done 40 years ago, but created this stupid idea that we need to keep doing it...at tremendous expense..for pretty much no other reason than National Pride. That's why it's like the Pyramids. Making it bigger is criminally idiotic. Unfortunately, it's probably gonna take another few generations until the mankind figures this out.

    Our biggest problem for the planet is our population. Not putting 5 or 6 people into orbit so they can go on speaking tours and write a book.

  21. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    I'm trying desperately to see a coherent argument here. Are you complaining that your tax dollars are being squandered.. cause, ya know, that's what governments do. If you're pissed at the cost of ISS, maybe you shouldn't take a look at the national budget any time soon. If you're all about scientific research, maybe you shouldn't look at the kind of research the NSF chooses to fund. I'm still trying to understand what any of this has to do with space tourism. Or are you basically saying that people shouldn't be free to pursue goals that you consider stupid?

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  22. Anyone else thinking... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Woohoo, now we can have SPACE truckers!

  23. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

    It's a very narrow mind that assumes nothing exists beyond it's own knowledge. I would say that kind of mind doesn't serve the public one bit

    The problem with that argument is you can use it to justify anything. At some point you need to exercise that thing between your ears.

    Einstein did his work with a few books and paper and pencil, and we haven't gotten to the bottom of that in over 100 years. NASA uses billions of dollars to launch Paper Airplanes

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Origami_airplane_launched_from_space

    If you refuse to question anything NASA does, then you'll get just what you deserve.... 10 billion dollars to burn up a bunch of Paper Airplanes.

  24. More details by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

    For anyone looking for more info, here's some handy links:

    * RLV News's link round-up on the announcement

    * Notes from the question-and-answer teleconference after the announcement

    Some pasted notes from the teleconference which were missing from the article linked in the summary:

    • This is a true, standard procurement contract. COTS deals with R&D.
    • No relationship to decision on COTS-D manned option. [this is the commercial contract many are hoping for which would involve fixed-price payments to transport astronauts to the ISS]
    • Dec. 2010 first SpaceX flight, Oct 2011 - first Orbital flight
    • Extensive set of reviews will insure that vehicles are ready to deliver cargo
    • Bid decision involved technical evaluation of vehicles, evaluation of readiness for 2010-2011, evaluation of the companies, etc. Our evaluation is that these systems will be ready in time.
    • Commercial services will carry 40%-70% per year of US cargo to the ISS (larger percentage as time goes on)
    • Schedule payment is based on milestones. Final payment upon delivery of cargo for a given mission.
    • Shuttle extension would not affect this contract. Use any excess shuttle capability for other items, e.g. experiments.
    • Truly committed this time to commercial cargo delivery.
    • Both use common berthing mechanism as with Japanese HTV
    • Orbital to launch from Wallops, SpaceX from the Cape
  25. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

    I guess I see the ISS as being a big floating resort in the sky....and not much else

  26. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    One big difference is that Boeing/Lockheed/Thiokol have cost-plus contracts, where if you increase the final bill you make more money

    They could mandate those contracts, because they could. They were already big players. SpaceX and Orbital aren't. Yet.
    Their costs will go up to meet the inevitable requirement creep, and so will the final bill.

    We need more players in the game. But let's not delude ourselves that the new kids will be that much better/cheaper, while retaining the same performance & safety factors.
    Space ops is expensive.

  27. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    Then you're one up on the politicians. The justification for the ISS was that it would keep Russian engineers busy making peaceful space stations rather than working on missile technology which they would most likely be selling to Iran and other nations that the US considers likely to result in destabilization of the middle east.. which is where all the oil is.. which is an important resource.. I don't know how much depth I need to get into here, you seem pretty naive. If the ISS can serve some sort of useful function beyond that, then yah, we're ahead of the game. Compared to the price of fighting a war with Russia, a few billion dropped on "science" and "international co-operation" is chump change. Or did you think space exploration was a national priority or something?

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  28. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

    Their costs will go up to meet the inevitable requirement creep, and so will the final bill.

    I think you may be missing something here... as I mentioned in my comment, this is a fixed-price contract, not a cost-plus contract. The requirements (deliver a certain quantity of tonnage to orbit) are already set, and the final price is already set. SpaceX and Orbital get money as they reach contracted development milestones and make actual cargo deliveries. If their costs go up, they either eat the cost and make less of a profit, or they don't make any more money at all.

    But let's not delude ourselves that the new kids will be that much better/cheaper, while retaining the same performance & safety factors.

    This is an interesting belief. Do you have any support for it? Do you disagree with NASA's readiness evaluation that SpaceX and Orbital are capable of doing this? Also, why does performance inherently matter, rather than cost/kg? And how much of a factor is safety on a cargo ship?

    Space ops is expensive.

    Actually, current space ops is really absurdly expensive. Companies like SpaceX are trying to make the cost simply expensive.

  29. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    Wow, next think you know we might be using public taxpayer money to buy privately-built cars and seats on commercially-operated airliners for transporting government personnel!

  30. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by khallow · · Score: 1

    We need more players in the game. But let's not delude ourselves that the new kids will be that much better/cheaper, while retaining the same performance & safety factors. Space ops is expensive.

    Perhaps you should learn what's actually going on first. We have two bits of information. First, development of the current SpaceX vehicles on what is a paltry amount for space development, a mere few hundred million. Orbital too has a history of cheap development costs with the Pegasus and related launch vehicles. Second, these companies accept a more difficult type of contract than the typical cost plus contracts. I consider this a significant demonstration of intent. Cost plus means you pay the company in question to drive costs up as much as you will let them. High cost is a natural consequence.

  31. Re:Fat Chance by mark99 · · Score: 1

    I imagine that when NASA launches a Falcon 9, they will manage to spend hundreds of millions on themselves somehow as well (you know, planning it, managing it, quality control, etc). Fixed and sunk costs that are now considered to be in the Space Shuttle launch, but will now be transfered to SpaceX and Oribital Sciences.

    In fact if I know my NASA, I bet in the end they will somehow make these launches even more expensive than the Shuttle is/was, especially with the economic downturn conveniently justifying practically any expenditure.

    And no, sadly I am not making a joke.

  32. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by OrbitalDude · · Score: 2, Informative

    Agree! Those costs don't include NASA's incredible infrastructure costs. Orbital and SpaceX have to create and pay for their own infrastructure (launch site and data communications). All they get is some real estate on a launch campus. In general, seems most folks in this thread have never worked on rockets or spacecraft. It really IS rocket science and it really IS hard... and it really IS very expensive. The hardest part about CRS is the business model... matching the loft capabilities of a brand new rocket (Orbital's Taurus-II and SpaceX's Falcon-9) to the unknown mass (weight) of a brand new SET of spacecraft while leaving room for the stuff that you get paid for (the cargo). Keep in mind the design teams have to develop a spacecraft that can accommodate unpressurized and pressurized cargo... with capabilities to accommodate a return vehicle as well. Also, in contrast to comments above, the government is not supplying anything other than specifications for operations near the ISS. Orbital and SpaceX have developed both rocket and spacecraft designs in-house with no help from NASA. I can't speak for SpaceX, but Orbital has some of the best rocket designers in the world. From http://www.orbital.com/SpaceLaunch/: "Combined, our space launch vehicles have launched over 115 satellites into orbit in the last 18 years." This does not include the interceptor or target systems developed by orbital (in-house). Watch out ULA (United Launch Alliance - Lockheed and Boeing's rocket business) there's some new kids on the block ;-)

  33. what there is a law ? by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    Its funny how there is now written law to say that you have to pay taxes (people asked judges to confirm this) and there has been no provided proof by the IRS.

    Yet, the threat of FBI and SWAT teams does nicely to co-erce people into paying. Even if those authorities know it to be false, they know that without taxes, their jobs are dead.

    Its just like North Korea, the only reason the populace wont revolt, is that most of it 'works' for the state, thus getting benefits such as education, and food.

    Ironically, none of the populations of USA's income taxes are used for ANY thing beneficial, ie... its all paid into interest rate debt payments to banks. Its the other indirect taxes and corporate taxes that fund the govts activities.

    Bottom line, income taxes arent needed. Its a falacy.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  34. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by OrbitalDude · · Score: 1

    I suppose that it depends on your opinion of the importance of prolonged human presence in space... Namely the Moon. I'm only guessing, but I would venture to guess that there will be permanent bases (maybe military) on the Moon within the next 50 years. Much bio research has been done on the ISS that will support extended stays on the Moon (or in microgravity in general).

  35. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by ckaminski · · Score: 1

    And that's pointless. If you can take several months to slow down your velocity without needing to do high-speed aerobraking, you don't need ANY heat shielding. Great science there.

  36. Crank damn you... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    pull ---- whoommph!---- whoommph! ---- nothing!

    honestly, this never happened to me before.

  37. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    But let's not delude ourselves that the new kids will be that much better/cheaper, while retaining the same performance & safety factors.

    This is an interesting belief. Do you have any support for it? Do you disagree with NASA's readiness evaluation that SpaceX and Orbital are capable of doing this? Also, why does performance inherently matter, rather than cost/kg? And how much of a factor is safety on a cargo ship?

    Lets take those in order:
     
    There are a lot of reasons to believe SpaceX will have a hard time meeting their commitments and to disagree with NASA's assesment - take their success rate to date. Or take the fact that both the booster and capsule being contracted for are nearly completely vaporware. (The article summary misleads you somewhat - yes, NASA has in the past contracted for new rockets from companies with established track records. A quality SpaceX lacks in spades.)
     
    Why does performance matter rather than raw cost/kg, are you kidding me? Do you buy a computer by using only raw cost? Or anything else of significant value? If nothing else, a key performance metric is meeting schedule goals because the ISS requires resupply and crew rotation on a regular basis - and meeting schedule goals is again something that SpaceX has demonstrated an inability to do. (To be fair, that's only so far as we know - because after the first launch, they stopped announcing them significantly in advance. To me, that's an ominous sign.)
     
    Safety - again, you have to be kidding me. These are manned ships. And even if they weren't, safety matters on launch, and again on docking with the ISS.

  38. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by osu-neko · · Score: 1

    There are a lot of reasons to believe SpaceX will have a hard time meeting their commitments and to disagree with NASA's assesment - take their success rate to date.

    ...

    Thankfully, the people at NASA have more sophisticated means of evaluation that this...

    --
    "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
  39. opensource our nasa technology to our allies by Earthpaladin · · Score: 1

    One way to save costs would be to let our allies in on our research. If India and Japan got the lead over china in space research it might indirectly help us. Also it would help us by cutting costs. Personally, I feel that nasa should become more like the FAA, in that it regulates companies doing business in space. Rather than doing actual launching itself. That way less people on government payroll the better.

  40. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by Kjella · · Score: 1

    What?!! You think building pyramids will get people to space?

    Yeah. I mean obviously they're landing pads, not space ships.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  41. Re:The big deal here: launch costs getting cut in by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    Why does performance matter rather than raw cost/kg, are you kidding me? Do you buy a computer by using only raw cost?

    No, but I generally ship cargo based on raw cost/kg, which is exactly what the current announcement is for.

    Safety - again, you have to be kidding me. These are manned ships.

    No they aren't. I think you're thinking of COTS-D, which has nothing to do with the recent announcement.

  42. Re:Great...Now Tax Payers developing Space Tourism by x2A · · Score: 1

    "The problem with that argument is you can use it to justify anything"

    Anything that you can think of. I can think of things where you can't use that argument against... such as any argument that doesn't include "all knowing" claims like your "no public benefit" claim.

    "NASA uses billions of dollars to launch Paper Airplanes"

    And here we have the answer... of course you can't think of any public benefits if you only know about *one* thing that they've done, which is launching a paper airplane. (hint: they've done more than one thing!)

    --
    The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia