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Solar Panels Reach $1 a Watt

ZosX writes "An article over at Popular Mechanics announces that, for the first time, solar cells have been manufactured for the much sought-after figure of $1/Watt. They also talk about a new study of the cost of the particular raw materials used in different manufacturing processes. The conclusion is that the company that just achieved the $1/W milestone, using cadmium telluride technology, may not prove to be the long-term winner capable of meeting demand when it rises into the terawatt range."

381 comments

  1. thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    get back to me when a individual can buy them for $1/watt.

    1. Re:thats nice by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 5, Informative

      Well as long as they're using rare earth metals, they will never become available. Their supply is much too limited.

      Cadmium may not be that expensive, and not that super-rare (though calling the supply abundant would be a stretch), there is barely any tellurium supply.

      From the wikipedia page :

      Tellurium is extremely rare, one of the nine rarest metallic elements on Earth. It is in the same chemical family as oxygen, sulfur, selenium, and polonium (the chalcogens).

      And the reality is ... of all the atoms in the universe (and "more or less" on earth) you have the following relation, for every ton of gold in existence (on earth), there's about 100 grams of Tellurium available.

      It's not expensive, because no-one's using it. But if you start mass-producing anything with tellurium in it that cheapness will disappear sooner than you can say "exhausted supply".

      It would probably be a very good investment to buy (right now) a ton or so of tellurium and put in your basement. Perhaps a bit unorthodox an investment, but before 20 years pass it will be many times more valuable than gold or platinum. Right now it costs between $70 and $100 per pound. You can reasonably expect that to become at least several thousand within the next ten years.

    2. Re:thats nice by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      None of the elements being discussed are rare earth elements (which are indeed all metals). Cadmium and tellurium are not, and neither are copper, indium, gallium or selenium. This is too bad actually, since despite their name none of the rare earths, except of course for promethium, is very rare.

      And the reality is ... of all the atoms in the universe (and "more or less" on earth) you have the following relation, for every ton of gold in existence (on earth), there's about 100 grams of Tellurium available.

      Tellurium is fairly common for an element of its atomic weight in the Universe. On Earth it is quite rare, but instead of 1/10,000 as common as gold as you would have it, tellurium has about one fourth the abundance of gold in the Earth's crust. See this abundance table.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    3. Re:thats nice by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's not too much of a worry. Concentrating solar power costs have been falling quickly as well, and they require nothing more exotic than reflective surfaces and mineral oil.

      Also from the Wikipedia page: "Recently, researchers have added an unusual twist - astrophysicists identify tellurium as the most abundant element in the universe with an atomic number over 40." Which disagrees with the thrust of your objections, but hey, it's Wikipedia. Who knows if it's thinking straight today. The tellurium page also says that cosmic abundance is far higher than terrestrial.

      Another thing to keep in mind: one of the reasons so little tellurium is mined is because nobody has had much use for it before. Also, if tellurium becomes a limiting factor, we should be able to get more energy out of each ton by using concentrating reflectors.

      As for the "put a ton in your basement" strategy, it may be sound. But Wikipedia advises that it is mildly toxic and should be handled with care.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    4. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      What do you mean - Promethium very rare? Wikipedia says: "It was calculated that the equilibrium mass of promethium in the earth's crust is about 560 g due to uranium fission and about 12 g due to the recently observed alpha decay of europium-151"

      So, not only is there a pound of that stuff in the earth, but it is ALWAYS there. As soon as you take it away - BAM - another pound.

    5. Re:thats nice by someone1234 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wow, one pound on the whole Earth?
      That's pretty much not existent.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    6. Re:thats nice by znerk · · Score: 2, Informative

      Dang, I had the same idea... now the price is gonna shoot up overnight as all the slashdotters rush to fill their basements with tellurium!

      Actually, a little googling came up with this tidbit of info:
      http://seekingalpha.com/article/55959-the-tellurium-supernova

      Looks like the price already did its little "massive production price increase"... partially due to its use in solar panels by First Solar, starting in 2005. (surprise!)

      Interestingly, tellurium is most commonly produced as a by-product of electro-refining gold and copper. From the article I linked, we discover that "Annual global tellurium production is about 170 tons to 200 tons, based on various different estimates." Combine this with the use of approximately 8 grams per panel (also in the article), and we discover that the most massive solar panel production was using... almost 4% of the annual production. The following year, that dropped to 1.6%. Tellurium is also used in recordable optical media and electronics (it appears it is used to dope silicon to make it electrically conductive), to name just a few other uses. It would appear that its primary use is as an alloying agent in iron and steel to improve machinability.

      While tellurium is likely to increase in value slightly over the next decade or so, this is not the makings of a "gold rush". To be quite honest, this isn't even really news, considering that First Solar has been using tellurium in their solar panels for 4 years now.

      --
      This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.
    7. Re:thats nice by daeg · · Score: 1

      Mildly toxic? Just edit Wikipedia.

    8. Re:thats nice by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 4, Informative

      "So, not only is there a pound of that stuff in the earth, but it is ALWAYS there. As soon as you take it away - BAM - another pound."

      What you are implying is that promethium is the result of a process subject to equilibrium processes. Radioactive decay is not an equilibrium process.

      I have no idea the natural abundance of promethium, but if you take away a pound of promethium, there is no "BAM - another pound".

    9. Re:thats nice by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Can't we just make some telluranium out of used fish fry oil?

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    10. Re:thats nice by KevinIsOwn · · Score: 4, Funny

      I have decided, for the purposes of acquiring tellurium, that there should really be more of it available on the Earth. I have updated the Wikipedia article to reflect this. Hopefully this update gets pushed to the Earth so we can get some cheap solar panels.

    11. Re:thats nice by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Funny

      He must have been thinking of his girlfriend's ass when he said "BAM-another pound."

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    12. Re:thats nice by TheUni · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I get the feeling he was being clever...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheus

    13. Re:thats nice by qupada · · Score: 1

      Mostly Harmless

    14. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Tellurium is irrelevant. This is not a technical achievement as much as a financial one. In the first body paragraph of the Fine Article, it says:

        "But if we're concerned about the big picture (scaling up solar until it's a cheap and ubiquitous antidote to global warming and foreign oil) a forthcoming study from the University of Californiaâ"Berkeley and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory suggests that neither material has what it takes compared to lesser-known alternatives such asâ"we're not kiddingâ"fool's gold."

      And then it links to an abstract of another Fine Article, "Materials Availability Expands the Opportunity for Large-Scale Photovoltaics Deployment," Environmental Science and Technology; and they say:

      "We identify a large material extraction cost (cents/watt) gap between leading thin film materials and a number of unconventional solar cell candidates including FeS2, CuO, and Zn3P2."

      What this means is that IF someone invests in the R&D, the solar panels we end up with could be made of common semi-toxic stuff instead of semi-rare semi-toxic stuff. But having it look likely and profitable to shell-shocked investors is critical. $1/Watt does that neatly.

    15. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tellurium is extremely rare, one of the nine rarest metallic elements on Earth. It is in the same chemical family as oxygen, sulfur, selenium, and polonium (the chalcogens).

      In that case, use oxygen.

    16. Re:thats nice by baileydau · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Tellurium is extremely rare, one of the nine rarest metallic elements on Earth. It is in the same chemical family as oxygen, sulfur, selenium, and polonium (the chalcogens).

      In a previous life I worked as a Metallurgist for a copper refinery. One project I worked on was refining / recovery of Tellurium from our anode slimes. From a technical point of view it wasn't difficult to recover. I was able to easily get > 99.96% purity in the lab.

      At the time we had around 10 Tonnes / year of Tellurium in our slimes. Considering that the total world production is < 40 Tonnes, that was significant.

      Even at > $100,000 / tonne, it just wasn't worth our while to go to the trouble of recovering it.

      In the end we sold our slimes 'raw' and took the price hit for the impurities (included Copper and Tellurium)

      It's not expensive, because no-one's using it. But if you start mass-producing anything with tellurium in it that cheapness will disappear sooner than you can say "exhausted supply".

      It would probably be a very good investment to buy (right now) a ton or so of tellurium and put in your basement. Perhaps a bit unorthodox an investment, but before 20 years pass it will be many times more valuable than gold or platinum. Right now it costs between $70 and $100 per pound. You can reasonably expect that to become at least several thousand within the next ten years.

      That price is still > $200,000 / Tonne

      If the demand (and then price) really do go up, many of the refineries (or the precious metals companies that purchase their slimes) may be induced to actually recover their Tellurium, thus increasing supply.

      NB. The major use of Tellurium is currently as a free machining agent in steel (it makes it easier to drill / machine)

      --
      Ever stop to think ... and forget to start again?
    17. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, one pound on the whole Earth?
      That's pretty much not existent.

      Whoosh.

    18. Re:thats nice by EsbenMoseHansen · · Score: 1

      Wow, one pound on the whole Earth? That's pretty much not existent.

      Francium is about 20-30g on the whole Earth (or the crust, anyway). My favorite wikipedia quote:

      Francium has not yet, as of 2008, been synthesized in amounts large enough to weigh

      --
      Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.
    19. Re:thats nice by Linker3000 · · Score: 3, Funny

      ..and as soon as it's synthesized, it surrenders.

      --
      AT&ROFLMAO
    20. Re:thats nice by Clanked · · Score: 1

      Dang, I had the same idea... now the price is gonna shoot up overnight as all the slashdotters rush to fill their basements with tellurium!
      ...
      While tellurium is likely to increase in value slightly over the next decade or so, this is not the makings of a "gold rush". To be quite honest, this isn't even really news, considering that First Solar has been using tellurium in their solar panels for 4 years now.

      Ohh sure... make a post refuting the value of tellurium so that you can go out and horde it cheaper.

      I'm on to your schemes mister!

    21. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you are implying is that promethium is the result of a process subject to equilibrium processes. Radioactive decay is not an equilibrium process.

      But the Nuclear Fairy (the one that makes water glow blue) will create more at the end of the rainbow!

    22. Re:thats nice by jabithew · · Score: 1

      Radioactive decay is an equilibrium process if you are producing something that's unstable from something abundant (e.g. Uranium).

      --
      All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
    23. Re:thats nice by EsbenMoseHansen · · Score: 1

      ..and as soon as it's synthesized, it surrenders.

      On the contrary, it is quite reactive, like Sodium but much faster. Or so it is hypothesized. Attacks anything on sight would be more like it.

      --
      Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.
    24. Re:thats nice by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      It's not really the amount in earth crust that matters, it's the concentration.

      Why silver, about as abundant as gold, but significantly less expensive and in much wider supply?
      Take metal A, which appears in content of 1 gram per ton of rock spread regularly over a million tons of rock. You get a ton of it from processing the million tons. And take another, metal, "B" that appears as veins - only about a hundred tons of rock in a million contain it at all, and then they contain only like 100 gram per ton. By processing a million tons of rock you gain only 10kg of it.

      The abundance of the first metal is 1E-6. The abundance of the other is mere 1E-8. Still, production of metal B is vastly cheaper and more cost-efficient than metal A, and as such, metal B is much cheaper.

      So the argument whether there's enough tellurium on Earth is moot. It's all about its concentration and possibility to mine it.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    25. Re:thats nice by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      Why silver, about as abundant as gold, but significantly less expensive and in much wider supply?

      The fact that in reality silver is twenty times as abundant as gold accounts for much of the difference in price.

      There don't seem to be any commercially exploitable ore bodies of tellurium, and this is not unconnected with its rarity. Tellurium is produced as a byproduct of refining other metals. This puts something of a ceiling on how much can be produced each year.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    26. Re:thats nice by Superdarion · · Score: 1

      Right now it costs between $70 and $100 per pound. You can reasonably expect that to become at least several thousand within the next ten years.

      I don't think that's right. If it becomes more expensive (or harder to obtain), it will no longer be viable and thus people won't use it, and that's because there are, and still will be in 20 years, alternatives. Thus, it's not a good investment.

    27. Re:thats nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WHOOOOOSH!!!!!!!!

  2. Wow by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm not sure what my peak load is at home, but at $1/Watt I imagine I could generate all my own electricity for less than $10,000. Assuming my roof has sufficient room for it, that's really awesome. My current electric bill is around $65/mo. which means that in 153 months this would be paying for itself, or about 12 years. Of course, figuring in things like maintenance, repairs, and so forth makes this harder to gauge, but that's pretty good. Now the consumer electronics industry just needs to convert everything over to run on DC and I'm all set. How soon can I put in an order?

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
    1. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I think you forgot to buy batteries.

    2. Re:Wow by Delwin · · Score: 1

      Grid-tied and you don't have to.

    3. Re:Wow by drunkennewfiemidget · · Score: 1

      You're also forgetting, that like most other batteries/electronic generator type hardware, they degrade over time, and in 10 years, they won't be providing you with that $10,000 of electricity anymore.

    4. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Most (but surely not all) modern electronics work just fine on 170 VDC, including computers and CFL lamps. (120VAC = 170Vp-p)

    5. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You also forgot to read the rest of his post which includes: "maintenance, repairs, and so forth".

    6. Re:Wow by hack++slash · · Score: 1

      But grid-tie won't help at all when the grid goes down.

      --
      To do something right, you often have to roll up your sleeves and get busy.
    7. Re:Wow by bwalling · · Score: 1

      If I could get one installed for $10,000, it would be a no brainer. My electric bill averages around $300/month. It's lower in the winter ($275) and peaks around $350 in the summer.

    8. Re:Wow by ATMD · · Score: 1

      [CITATION NEEDED]

      --
      Nobody else has this sig.
    9. Re:Wow by Delwin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The point of these installations isn't to keep going without the grid - it's to generate your power either greener or cheaper depending on what angle you're coming from.

    10. Re:Wow by bcrowell · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm not sure what my peak load is at home, but at $1/Watt I imagine I could generate all my own electricity for less than $10,000.

      It doesn't matter what your peak load is. If you're in an area that's on the grid, then you want a grid-tied system, and therefore any power you can't generate on your own will come from the grid. At other times, when you have extra (e.g., a hot sunny day when you're out hiking), the power company buys it from you. There is typically a very strong economic incentive to buy a system that matches your yearly consumption, not your peak load. If it's providing less than your yearly consumption, then you aren't getting the best deal, because you still had to pay for a day's labor by the crew with the crane, etc., and you still had to pay for an inverter. The converse is also true: you probably don't want an oversized system. I have photovoltaics on my roof, and in my area, if I produce more than I use over a 12-month period, the electric company won't pay me for the excess. They'll just say, "Gosh, thanks for all that surplus power."

      It's typically very, very difficult to make a realistic calculation of how long it will take a residential PV system to pay for itself. People always ask me how long mine will take to pay for itself, and I always tell them honestly that I have absolutely no idea. The problem is that energy prices are extremely volatile -- that's why they exclude them from the CPI. Remember just recently when gas was $4 a gallon? Historically, the price of electric power has always tended to go up, but we don't know how much it will go up over the 25-year design lifetime of our system.

      What you can do is to consider all your local factors: latitude, amount of sunny weather, whether you have a south-facing roof, whether there is any shade on your roof, and current local prices for electricity. Every time this topic comes up on slashdot, people will make blanked statements about whether PV is economically viable. That's just nonsense. It depends on all those factors. If it was an utter economic no-go, the industry wouldn't exist. If it was 100% clear that it was economically favorable for everyone in, say, LA, then you'd see PV systems on the roof of every house in LA whose owners had sufficient capital to pay for the system. The fact that the industry exists, but is still fairly small, tells you that there's a lot of uncertainty about it. You're welcome to invest your money in the stock market instead, but it won't help with global warming.

      Now the consumer electronics industry just needs to convert everything over to run on DC and I'm all set.

      Ain't gonna happen. Network effects are one reason. Another reason is that different devices naturally want to work from different voltages, but you can't step voltage up or down if it's DC.

    11. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most (but surely not all) modern electronics work just fine on 170 VDC, including computers and CFL lamps. (120VAC = 170Vp-p)

      Not for any circuit that uses a step-down transformer. Many wall warts wouldn't work, and if you try applying 170V to a 5V input on a typical CD player you will likely being say goodbye to your CD player.

      You will need a step down switching power supply for a 170V DC input for most electronics.

    12. Re:Wow by evilad · · Score: 1

      Your peak load is irrelevant, unless you're planning to try to do this without a battery system. You really just need to meet your average load, and have enough storage capacity to last the rest of the day.

    13. Re:Wow by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Ok, so you spend $12K instead of $10K to deal with the derating that will occur over the life of the panels. Plus your utility will pay you for the power you generate with those extra panels. Still coming out ahead, it just takes a couple of years. Not all investments are short term.

    14. Re:Wow by iksbob · · Score: 1

      Yeah, no joke.
      I haven't taken apart a computer power supply recently, but most wall-wart power adapters use a good old-fashioned transformer to step the voltage down before rectifying, filtering and regulating it. If you feed DC into a transformer, you'll get a static magnetic field and heat, but no voltage on the output leads.
      And then there's your major appliances, which often use AC motors. Similar to transformers, AC motors depend on the alternating magnetic field produced by running AC power though the windings of an electromagnet. So, similarly, if you run DC through an AC motor, you'll get heat and a static magnetic field.

    15. Re:Wow by glwtta · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But grid-tie won't help at all when the grid goes down.

      It also won't help if your phone is disconnected or your house catches fire - what's your point?

      The question was whether it makes economic sense, not if it's better than the power grid.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    16. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      you're confused, the 120VAC means the same power is delivered as 120V DC. Anyway, as others have pointed out, must AC devices will not only not work with DC equivalent power, but will just "make heat". Which I find somewhat of an understatement, as you'll get explosion with fireball

    17. Re:Wow by Zackbass · · Score: 4, Informative

      First Solar has a 25 year warranty on the power output of their panels. As far as I've seen this is pretty common for panels intended for large installations.

      Here's a couple random links to back that up:
      https://energy.wesrch.com/User_images/Pdf/L02_1221963706.pdf
      http://www.evergreensolar.com/upload/pdf/us/Warranty_Cedar_Spruce_v1.5-060329_US.pdf

      --
      You gotta find first gear in your giant robot car
    18. Re:Wow by troll8901 · · Score: 1

      Maybe he just want to tilt the panels towards the directions of the winds? You know, issue a command from the basement, or something geeky like that?

    19. Re:Wow by troll8901 · · Score: 1

      I use 240VAC single-phase, you insensitive clod!

      Hmmm, I wonder what happens if I connect 340Vp-p

    20. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why? First thing that gets done in a SMPS is rectification.

    21. Re:Wow by Squeeonline · · Score: 0

      Southern hemisphere? Otherwise how is your bill higher in the summer?

    22. Re:Wow by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Informative

      Another reason is that different devices naturally want to work from different voltages, but you can't step voltage up or down if it's DC.

      Stepping voltage down is cheap and easy, you use a switching power supply. You can build one trivially for low voltage applications using one three-legged IC and two capacitors. For 5V, for example, use a 7805. The size of the caps is based on your current requirements. Without a heat sink you can usually do 150mW, with one, 1W. Need more watts? Add more 7805s (or whatever.) You're right about stepping voltage up, but these days you can get a cellphone charger which will give a considerable amount of 5V power to your phone from a common 1.5V lithium or alkaline AA battery... for about four bucks. Obviously stepping up DC voltages for low power devices is totally feasible at a low cost.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    23. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Darn, pressed the wrong button!

    24. Re:Wow by rm999 · · Score: 1

      Air conditioning can require a lot of energy.

      Also, I think winter is the cold, short-day season in both hemispheres, they just happen six months apart.

    25. Re:Wow by iksbob · · Score: 1

      Eh, well... Watts = Volts * Amps.
      Residences generally have between 100 and 200 amp service. That is, the circuit breaker box in your basement is set up to carry a maximum of 100 to 200 amps of power at any given time. Voltage is generally 240 (though it's two-phase so it can be easily divided into two 120V circuits), so 100 amps * 240 volts = 24,000 watts, or double that for 200 amp service.

      The real issue is usage. Yeah, your breaker box can handle 24 kilowatts running through it, but how often do you actually approach that number? Designing the system around your maximum load means it can handle anything you throw at it (assuming it's a nice, sunny day), but at least some of that capacity will be sitting idle 99% of the time. The trick is to figure out your average power usage, build your solar panel system around that number (or maybe slightly exceeding it) and then implement some method of storage or compensation for high-load periods. One such method is to stay on the power grid. That is, set up your solar panel system so that when it would otherwise be sitting idle, it's actually pumping power back out on to the electrical grid -- running your electrical meter backwards if you will. The utility company is required to pay you back for power you generate, so if you're using less than you're generating in a given month, you get a check in the mail rather than a bill. If your usage exceeds what your solar panels are producing, you pull the difference from the existing electrical grid.

    26. Re:Wow by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      First the image in the article is misleading, since it represents a wafer-based solar panel.

      Second, This price doesn't include the price of "Panelling", nor the price of installation and all the equipment to go with it.

      At 0 dollars a watt, this is still an expensive product to mount, install, connect and maintain. See Vinod Koshla on this one. Efficiency is the answer not cheap.

    27. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 1

      you're confused, the 120VAC means the same power is delivered as 120V DC.

      Through a resistor, yes. But not through a DC rectifier. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switched-mode_power_supply

    28. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 3, Informative

      [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switched-mode_power_supply
      [2] I'm an EE
      [3] I've tried it.

      Of course, the first thing you have to do is take it apart and make sure it's a SMPS and not a traditional 60Hz transformer.

    29. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not too sure how it is over there, but here in France you'd have paid for your panels well before then. EDF, the electrical supplier in France, is legally bound to buy back your excess energy, 5 times what you would have paid for it yourself.

    30. Re:Wow by Squeeonline · · Score: 0

      Sorry, living in a cold country (Ireland), we dont have AC, or even the need for it.

    31. Re:Wow by AdamHaun · · Score: 1

      Another reason is that different devices naturally want to work from different voltages, but you can't step voltage up or down if it's DC.

      Sure you can. You don't think all the electronics in a car run on 12V, do you? The bigger problem with running off of DC is that the voltages are typically lower, which means more current (= thicker house wiring and more safety issues). Doing efficient DC-DC conversion costs more, but the wall warts I see around me are less than 50% efficient to begin with, so even cheap regulators shouldn't be any worse.

      --
      Visit the
    32. Re:Wow by DamienRBlack · · Score: 1

      But grid-tie won't help at all when the grid goes down.

      It will if it is daytime.

    33. Re:Wow by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

      Good info, thanks; I guess I should have said "I don't know what my energy demand requirements are" rather than peak load. :) I'm looking forward to generating power on-site in the near-term future, though.

      --
      You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
    34. Re:Wow by fm6 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Now the consumer electronics industry just needs to convert everything over to run on DC and I'm all set.

      Not asking for much, are you? With a little hacking, you can probably adapt all your devices that already use wall-wart DC. But don't expect a basic change in your lifetime. Consolidated Edison just finished a changeover that went the other way, and it took them 79 years. The original plan, their final white flag in he Current Wars, was for 45 years. That turned out to be too optimistic!

      And this was for just one city! And it was in a country where AC had long been the dominant current format. I can't see a similar national changeover in less than a century.

      Besides, the original reason that AC triumphed over DC still applies. No matter how many people have solar cells on their roofs, most power will still be centrally generated, and you'll need to access it as a backup on cloudy days. As of now, AC is the only way to transmit power long distances efficiently. I've been hearing talk of "high energy DC" for this purpose, but that's decades in the future, if it's doable at all.

      You'll just have to buy a rectifier. Inefficient, but that's the price of backward compatibility!

    35. Re:Wow by bcrowell · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thanks for the correction. What I should have said is that you can't step DC voltage up or down using a transformer. I think GP poster was saying he wanted his whole house to be on DC, so that he wouldn't have to have an inverter. That only works if every single appliance works on DC. A low-power technique isn't going to help with a dishwasher. The whole exercise is also pointless unless it's cheaper and/or more efficient than the way everything currently works with 110 V AC as the standard. I doubt that the techniques you're talking about satisfy the condition (high power) and (cheaper or more efficient).

    36. Re:Wow by dwywit · · Score: 2, Informative

      My PV panels are warranted for 20 years - if their output falls below 80% of rated power in that time, they're fixed or replaced.

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
    37. Re:Wow by dougmc · · Score: 1

      120 VAC = 120 VAC RMS. The peak voltage may be 170 volts, which would make Vp-p 340 volts.

      The appropriate replacement would be 120 VDC, not 170 VDC. Some devices would handle the extra voltage OK, and others would fry quickly.

      As for most modern electronics working, that's debatable. I believe that switching power supplies generally work, but anything with your basic transformer and bridge rectifier certainly will not. Anything with an AC motor that's powered directly by the 120 VAC will not.

    38. Re:Wow by hansonc · · Score: 1

      You'd think so, but after conversations with PV solar installers it turns out that if the grid goes down you can't power your house during daylight without a battery system and disconnecting from the grid.

    39. Re:Wow by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 4, Interesting

      To plug into the grid you need a Synchronous Inverter.

      You are not suppose to dump square wave on the grid either.

      Some guerilla solar ppl who do not understand this do it anyways.

      The grid uses generators that generate sinewave power.

      To connect cleanly and correctly you need a Sinewave based
      Synchronous Inverter and that is not cheap.

      Also if you live in a heavy lightning storm area then you run
      the risk of your huge investment going up in smoke by being
      attached to the grid.

      Your best bet is to get off the grid.

      Some ppl do it a little at a time by converting all their lights
      to LED lighting and have wind and or solar charging some used
      forklift batteries that are stored outside in a fireproof box.

      forklift batteries are not the best, but used ones are cheaper
      by a huge amount than the very best made new for this purpose.

      Over time as they get more of their own power made they can
      move circuits over to the off grid system.

      The killers are central heat and air, electric dryer, fridge,
      hair dryers, vacuums, electric ovens, and microwaves.

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    40. Re:Wow by mangu · · Score: 1

      Stepping voltage down is cheap and easy, you use a switching power supply. You can build one trivially for low voltage applications using one three-legged IC and two capacitors. For 5V, for example, use a 7805.

      You probably know all this and just mixed up your wording, but a 7805 is not normally used as a switching regulator. OTOH, if you do use a switching regulator, then you can turn voltage up as easy as down. The word you're looking for is "flyback"

    41. Re:Wow by GrahamCox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For 5V, for example, use a 7805

      The 7805 isn't a switch-mode power supply, it's a simple series regulator. The voltage that appears across it x the current through it equals its power dissipation, i.e. the power it is merely wasting as heat in order to drop the voltage to 5V. That can be quite considerable - if it's handling 1A and dropping from 12V, it's wasting 12-5 X 1 = 7W, while delivering only 5 X 1 = 5W to the load. That's only 41% efficient. You don't want that sort of figure when your power source is solar.

      A true SMPS will do much better, but unfortunately is more complicated than one three-legged IC and a few caps.

    42. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 1

      120 VAC = 120 VAC RMS. The peak voltage may be 170 volts, which would make Vp-p 340 volts.

      Right, meant Vp not Vp-p

      The appropriate replacement would be 120 VDC, not 170 VDC.

      That would undervolt SMPS devices, which are what I was referring to as "modern electronics"

    43. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With companies going bankrupt right and left, I don't think a 25 year warrentee is worth very much.

      Undercarriage rust protection anyone?

    44. Re:Wow by Stephen+Ma · · Score: 1

      I doubt their warranty covers hailstorm damage. Or ablation from sandstorms, if you live near a desert.

    45. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you read the article you will find out it is that they can MAKE them for 1 dollar a watt (98 cents in this case). Typically you sell for double what you make it for. So for this to be something 'everyone' wants it needs to be manufactured for about 50 cents a watt and SOLD at 1 dollar a watt.

      You can also buy many things that are DC only (such as washers, dryers, freezers, etc...). They also happen to cost more.

    46. Re:Wow by ZOmegaZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      A true SMPS will do much better, but unfortunately is more complicated than one three-legged IC and a few caps. Actually, there are several companies that make board-mounted switching regulator modules, allowing you to step DC voltages up or down with >80% efficiency using... just a three-legged IC and a few caps. :) One company even makes one that fits in the same space as a traditional 7805, can't remember the name right now. They're a lot more expensive, but the lack of a heat sink and the additional efficiency is a big plus for certain applications.

    47. Re:Wow by NuPagade · · Score: 1

      Really you think that is good? I can put 10K in BPT (British Petroleum Trust - Alaskan Crude) paying ~11% a year. This will give you 1100 dollars a year and after taxes and your energy bill you still have money left over. Now once all your friends have brought down the cost of your solar energy system, you will be able to buy it and still have some cash left over. That is a good deal. In other words the price is still too HIGH. Here is what we need to do - Force the supply by passing legislation that requires all new homes to have solar. No solar - No home. Make it a requirement that energy utilities have to pay individuals for their excess capacity, thus allowing home owners to create and maintain these "cottage industries" with the tax benefits now only available to large utilities, this will also subsidize retro fitting existing homes, and let small companies put solar on their roofs (ie Wal-Mart).

    48. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Most(and I mean MOST), grid-tie systems shut off when the grid power goes out. This is to protect the system and line workers.

      For an extra $1k or so you can have a system that works more like an automatic transfer switch, when the main power goes out, the system will automatically power circuits depending on priority and available power. IE put the dryer last, the computer first. ;)

      http://www.oasismontana.com/Xantrex-xw-inverter.html - but I'd want to read the documentation carefully before getting one. It's listed as working in either mode, but not both at the same time, or being able to switch automatically.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    49. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Found a better one, lists that capability as standard:

      http://www.infinigi.com/beacon-power-m5-inverter-5-kw-gridtied-battery-backup-p-104.html?ref=100

      Only 5kw though. At $5k, it'd take 4 years of eliminating my electric bill to pay for the inverter alone, much less solar cells, wind turbine, or install.

      By my back of hand figuring on the basis of using ~1000kwh a month, I'd need a 4-5kw inverter anyways.
      1000kwh/month = 33kwh/day, 1.4 kwh/hour, 1400 watts average load. Times 3 for rough guess on usable/production periods vs max, 4.2kw minimum load needed. BTW, my water heater/stove/dryer are all electric, but heat is propane. I pay ~.10 cents per kwh, decreasing if I use a lot.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    50. Re:Wow by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Using a switchback circuit box, an inverter, and no batteries, you could lower your daytime electricity sufficiently to insure your rates were all at the lowest generated rates. The real electrical sting in my area comes when you go over 750kwh (apologies if my unit is off).

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    51. Re:Wow by Parallax48 · · Score: 1

      Grid Tie systems still use a battery to store generated power. However, they "Buy" power from the grid when you are using more than you are generating and your batteries are quite flat. If you have full batteries and you are generating, they "Sell" extra power. To "Sell" power and get paid, you need a special meter. If the grid gets turned off, in your house it is business as usual. However, buying power is no longer an option. If you turn off the fridge and the A/C, you might be just fine for a couple of days without the grid. Grid tie lets you save on batteries (which are really expensive)

    52. Re:Wow by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Electricity in areas with Hydro, etc. tends to be stable/ cheap.

      Areas based on fuel (like mine) have tripled in 25 years from about 6 cents to about 18 cents. And they did some scams at the peak last august that made people pay 24 cents.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    53. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, correct me if I'm wrong, but when you FW rectify the 117V RMS VAC and filter the ripple, you'll end up with 117VDC. So 170VDC will go straight through your rectifier, the low-pass filter will do essentially nothing to the signal, and you'll end up with 170VDC on something that either expects ~120VDC or 120-240VDC. So if your SMPS only accepts 120VAC, it's toast.

    54. Re:Wow by timeOday · · Score: 1

      Air conditioning can require a lot of energy.

      Seemingly you'd need need less electricity for AC if your roof had solar panels diverting energy elsewhere instead of just turning sunshine into heat. Anybody know if that's true?

    55. Re:Wow by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      I don't have a citation for you but i am an electrical engineering student ;)

      It will definately not work if the PSU uses a mains frequency transformer as it's first stage (older wall warts)

      It will probablly work (unless the manufacturer has done something stupid like put an inductor accross the input) if the PSU is a crappy SMPSU that uses a rectifier as it's first stage and takes no notice of what is going on on the mains side.

      I'm not sure what will happen on more advanced SMPSUs with power factor correction. My guess is it will probablly work though.

      Be aware that DC has a much higher risk of problems like arcing than AC at a similar voltage. This is why switches, plugs, sockets etc are often marked "AC only".

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    56. Re:Wow by timeOday · · Score: 1

      It's typically very, very difficult to make a realistic calculation of how long it will take a residential PV system to pay for itself. People always ask me how long mine will take to pay for itself, and I always tell them honestly that I have absolutely no idea. The problem is that energy prices are extremely volatile -- that's why they exclude them from the CPI.

      That just makes solar more appealing - who wants unpredictable uncontrollable costs? It gets tiring not knowing what kind of car to buy, or (for some) whether you'll be eating people food or cat food this winter due to yo-yoing energy costs.

    57. Re:Wow by davolfman · · Score: 1

      Ummm.... Isn't peak load usually after sunset?

    58. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      that has nothing to do with your statement that 120VAC was somehow equivalent to 170 VDC, it isn't. What is true is that 120VAC has about 340 V peak to peak, or goes to almost 170V about zero. Full -wave rectifying that and putting the charge on a capacitor will not give you 170VDC on the capacitor, it'll give you about 120VDC! And a switching mode power supply is just going to cause power loss due to inefficiency, what does that have to do with saying x VAC is somehow y VDC?

    59. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're getting screwed for legal reasons.

      Take a look at what North Carolina has done, with legislation that mandates the proper legal/financial framework that *requires* the power companies to pay you for your surplus power, and at fairly reasonable (but no, not retail) rates.

      New Hampshire screwed up and didn't do that, and a lot of water power, solar power and other sources are going unconsumed, i.e., wasted, because PSNH and/or NHEC aren't required to buy the power from the producers.

    60. Re:Wow by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Not true if your house is designed properly - the roof of the house actually just provides shade for the ceiling of your house, so the temperature of the top of the roof doesn't matter. Correctly designed houses are heated by the air outside and to a lessor extant the walls and windows during the summer.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    61. Re:Wow by endeitzslash · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I have moderator points. I just looked at the parent and this response, and thought to myself: "Am I smart enough to figure out who is right?"

      Answer: Nope.

    62. Re:Wow by Kneo24 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, I'll give you a clue. GrahamCox is right.

    63. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 1

      170VDC on the capacitor, it'll give you about 120VDC!

      FALSE.

      what does that have to do with saying x VAC is somehow y VDC?

      I have no idea what you're talking about. I said a rectifier turns 120VAC into 170VDC. Which is true.

    64. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The second guy is correct. The 7805 is a simple linear regulator that wastes the extra power as heat. Inefficient but simple. But there are simple switching regulators available.

    65. Re:Wow by Hadlock · · Score: 1

      Depends on if you Live in Maine or Miami and the time of year. Peak power usage is typically from 4-6pm when all the offices are still powered up and computers running virus checkers, and people are getting home, cranking their AC (in the summer, or heat in the winter) booting up their 42" tv, 1000w home stereo, pop a microwave dinner in the nuke machine and maybe do the laundry and the dishes. Timmy and Johnny just finished their homework and booted up the PS3 to play the next level in Metal Gear Solid 4 before dinner. I know in Dallas by the end of february it's light out still at 5 and starts getting dark around 6pm. By July/August it's closer to 9:30. And in Dallas it never gets below 85 in the summer, even in the middle of the night. Which means AC units run continiously from May-October here. If everyone in the state got a $7,000 waiver towards a 10,000w panel there would be a waiting list halfway across the state. We pay between 13 and 18 cents a kw-hr here in Dallas, $300 a month in the summer is about average for a house, and it's not uncommon to hear of $500/mo if you like to keep the house below 75 degrees.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    66. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      ah, so you're a theoretical plug-values-into-my-lspice boy. In the real world, you'd lose voltage across the rectifiers and about 10% from capacitor and everything downstream. but I suppose if you ever actually picked up a soldering iron and some wire, you'd fucking electrocute yourself from inexperience.

    67. Re:Wow by frieko · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://bayimg.com/image/ianfdaabn.jpg Hey look, exactly what I said! This is approaching my tolerance of trolls so I'm done. But feel free to post some bs critique/excuse for me to ignore.

    68. Re:Wow by afidel · · Score: 1

      Why heat with electric at all? Even with the relatively high of delivery propane is still about 33% cheaper per BTU than electric @.10/kwh. It's even better if you have natural gas available, even with the recent rise in prices natural gas is about 40% cheaper per BTU.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    69. Re:Wow by afidel · · Score: 1

      No, there are plenty of grid tied systems that have no batteries, just an inverter. Also you wouldn't deep cycle your batteries as you described, even expensive chemistries like those used in UPS systems don't really like to be deep cycled too often.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    70. Re:Wow by ZosX · · Score: 1

      They mention the cost of installing. It is roughly the same as the cell. Even if the finished cells are over $1 a watt they are very close to making that number go down. The problem is, as the article mentions, is that supply of materials is going to be a big problem. There aren't any easy solutions for this in the short term.

    71. Re:Wow by afidel · · Score: 1

      Uh, high power DC transmission lines are pretty well understood and used commercially in quite a few places today including California. China has a 6.4TW line coming on next year from Xianjiaba to Shanghai.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    72. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      NG isn't available, and given my usage and the cost to retrofit to propane, it wouldn't be any cheaper - electric water heaters are more efficient and leak less heat than most propane/NG units.

      Not to mention that when I was looking to replace my water heater, propane was ramping steeply up in cost.

      For the stove, well, I'm used to electrics, and with the dryer, well, again, I just don't use it enough to justify the cost, especially the running of the line over to the dryer area.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    73. Re:Wow by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      Vinod's point is that these "cheaper" cells produce less energy.

      That means you need more of them. Which /raises/ installation costs.

    74. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Important distinction here: the 98 cent figure is First Solar's cost of production. It isn't the cost they're going to be selling their panels for. There's the little matter of profit for First Solar, any overhead they might have, interest costs for any money they borrowed as they were expanding production, amortizing R&D costs, etc. Then figure there are markups for wholesalers and retailers.

      The production figure is important and it is a breakthrough. It just doesn't mean sub-$1/watt cost of the panels to consumers, which is what we need to see eventually. First Solar may get there when they get their volume up. They just aren't there yet.

    75. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are not suppose to dump square wave on the grid either.

      Some guerilla solar ppl who do not understand this do it anyways.

      I doubt that. A square-wave inverter would blow up (or at least trip for overcurrent) if connected to the grid.

    76. Re:Wow by orangesquid · · Score: 1

      RMS is not the same as Peak voltage. RMS is a notational convenience used to talk about the equivalent power dissipation in Ohmic devices compared to DC.

      See the original poster's diagram at http://bayimg.com/image/eanfjaabn.jpg for what happens from rectifying AC.

      AC is a fascinating (albeit somewhat confusing) subject. For many circuits, you can use phasor analysis to make reactive and resistive loads easier to work with, but solid state devices have I-V characteristics that make the whole thing more complicated...

      I would suggest finding an old tube oscilloscope (one that does X-Y) at a hamfest, getting a low-voltage regulated AC/DC bench supply and a signal generator off of eBay, and playing with a handful of various PN junctions (Si diodes, Ge diodes, LEDs) and non-polarized electrolytic caps (like the ones used in audio applications) and various inductors (and don't forget some current-limiting resistors for those semiconductors)!

      AC is tricky, but it becomes more intuitive when you start experimenting with it a lot :)

      --
      --TheOrangeSquid Is it any wonder things seem so awry? We swim in a sea of confusion and don't have to think to survive
    77. Re:Wow by berend+botje · · Score: 1

      As parent said: their warranty covers loss of output power due to aging.

      For warranty against other hazards, please consult your local insurance agent.

    78. Re:Wow by berend+botje · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or just plug it in and wait a minute. If it still works, it is an SMPS. When it starts to smell rather nasty, it was a traditional transformer.

      Actually, don't do this. It might be dangerous. Fire! Destruction! Loss of well-being! Don't do this, ok?

    79. Re:Wow by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      Dude, that's a serious arbitrage opportunity. If I was in France, I'd be selling them their own power.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    80. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or you can just use your head and weigh the thing. SMPS tend to weigh a lot less that the block of copper and iron of transformers.
      BR

      I've tried this by modifying a 12V-240V inverter by removing the output modulation MOSFETs and hooking up the output socket directly to the smoothing capacitors. It works a treat for CFLs and SMPS based wall worts. Of note is that you get much less noise from the mains voltage appliance, and it's slightly more efficient too :).

    81. Re:Wow by Biogenesis · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why do so many people suggest LED lighting for solar instillations or other high efficiency applications?

      CFLs have similar efficiency ratings to LEDs, and a significantly cheaper. The Philips Tornado CFL above me has 75lm/W stamped on it, only the best Cree LEDs exceed this and are rated ~100lm/W when run at below their max power.

      I guess you need a slightly more expensive inverter for a CFL system, but it will probably still work out cheaper with CFLs over LEDs.

    82. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
    83. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, it's $1/Wp (Watt peak). 1 Watt can only be generated when the sun is shining brightly at the right angle. Depending on where you live, you will only be getting about 1/30 of that in winter and about 1/6 of that in summer (on average).

    84. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ofcourse you will be able to charge the capacitor up to that value if you don't have any load but when looking at an ac current it makes more sense to see what the average power you would get from the source would be, ie the dc voltage you would have if you had a dc source that supplied a voltage relating to that power. If you are an EE I hope you know how to calc the rms value of a source? You will not be able to get a constant peak amplitude voltage level out if your actually using the power for something

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Root_mean_square#Average_electrical_power

    85. Re:Wow by Linker3000 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, Not a good idea.... Plugging something electrical into a power outlet and having it catch fire is a patented method owned by Sony and licenced to many other companies, such as Dell and Apple (I believe?)? You'll have their laywers on your ass in no time.

      --
      AT&ROFLMAO
    86. Re:Wow by fm6 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      I stand corrected. Should have done a little googling.

      The fact remains that most of our infrasructure is AC, and it's not going to be replaced by DC in our lifetimes.

    87. Re:Wow by Foolicious · · Score: 1

      You're welcome to invest your money in the stock market instead, but it won't help with global warming.

      I think you make a lot of good points; however, when the above statement is (or even appears to be) the primary driver for adopting solar, you'll have a relatively large portion of the population rolling their eyes, rather than investigating further. This is why economic feasibility is so important, even if projecting costs in the future is impossible. If you can use reasonable (even simple inflation-based) projections for future energy costs to show people how this can save them money, we don't have to argue about the science of global warming -- they'll adopt it to save some dough. And then it seems like everybody wins.

      Until we reach that point, solar will be exclusive to global warming fanatics, scientific or mechanical tinkerers and those with money to "throw away".

      --
      Please don't use "umm" or "err" or "erm".
    88. Re:Wow by b0bby · · Score: 1

      It's typically very, very difficult to make a realistic calculation of how long it will take a residential PV system to pay for itself. People always ask me how long mine will take to pay for itself, and I always tell them honestly that I have absolutely no idea. ...

      What you can do is to consider all your local factors: latitude, amount of sunny weather, whether you have a south-facing roof, whether there is any shade on your roof, and current local prices for electricity.

      I recently tried to figure out if installing PV would make any kind of sense in my area, and you're right, it is tricky. A 1kw system seems to be about $10000; if I got on a list I might get $2500 back in a state subsidy. The problem is that the average insolation in MD is only around 4-4.5 hrs a day, so I could expect to produce maybe $150 worth of electricity a year. A system like that, located here, would never pay for itself, and that to me says that I'd be fooling myself to think I'd be "green" to do it. It's much better in this area to pay the little extra to buy wind power from the farms in WV.

    89. Re:Wow by lupine · · Score: 1
      You pay off solar panels faster using a grid tied system because:
      • you don't need batteries
      • the utility pays you a higher rate for your excess energy during the middle of the day, you pay a lower rate for the electricity you use at night.
      • the utility pays you a higher rate for green energy.
    90. Re:Wow by Nakarti · · Score: 1

      I'm sure a bell curve that averages out my $85/mo(I think $0.23/kWh) would amount to.... 1300 watts peak continuous, typically in the 200-300 area (server, dvr, networking garbage powered constantly) and a deep-cycle-capable battery system could handle the heavy appliances.
      So yeah, $10k would allow me to make a damn living off my solar panels at optimum efficiency.
      But peak following a similar curve with a much longer zero period... Maybe not making a living.

    91. Re:Wow by torkus · · Score: 1

      I seriously LOL'ed on this one. Love the couple screws casually scattered on the floor as well.

      Somehow, I suspect, you're still wrong though! You'd better post calibration data on that DMM along the mfg and model of that PSU. /sarcasm

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    92. Re:Wow by torkus · · Score: 1

      Actually grid-tie systems are REQUIRED to disconnect if the grid loses power.

      Even ignoring the "minor" issue of possibly electrocuting someone working on the line: If you back-fed a one-block area you'd completely overload any kind of reasonable residential generator/PV system you could possibly have in place.

      Plus, chances are you'd be out of phase when the grid came back up.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    93. Re:Wow by bestalexguy · · Score: 1

      My current electric bill is around $65/mo. which means that in 153 months this would be paying for itself, or about 12 years. Of course, figuring in things like maintenance, repairs, and so forth makes this harder to gauge, but that's pretty good.

      You're being sarcastic, aren't you? Or is this the beginning of a new era in ROI analysis?

    94. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like a 6 legged IC and a 3 caps + inductor + protection diode?

      A true SMPS are 90+% efficient, across most of the input range. Yes, you can get 90-95% efficient voltage regulators that take input from 6-47 and output at 5, or that are adjustable. 1A output at 90% efficient. And yes, they are on a small chip for $5.

      Their efficiency is generally better the less duty the regulator need to deliver, so you want 30V => 5V @ 1A, not 6V => 5V @ 1A.

    95. Re:Wow by sys_mast · · Score: 1

      Care to give your current payout on your PV system? I understand you don't want to take guesses on future payout, but even if you've had the system for only one year, knowing system costs and what you would have paid the electric company for power you generated over those 12 months at least lets me get a feel for how well the system works. Also what part of the world do you live in(to get a feel for your climate or sun exposure)

      I do agree with not being able to calculate the break even date, due to price fluctuations and other factors, as well as resale value.

      --
      Those who can, do.
    96. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      w0h00! better response. little problem though, if you're putting out regulated voltage under load, you'll find you're not able to do 170 VDC anymore.

    97. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      you should be LOL because his meter is showing peak half-cycle voltage when it should be showing average of ripple voltage in that no-load case

  3. TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Here's something for you, that I didn't realize: apparently it costs MORE to install and set up a set of solar panels on your home than it does to manufacture them. It made me think, "wow, I'm going to install those myself for half the price!" but attaching stuff like that to the power grid is probably not a DIY project. And it isn't just a day labor job either. It's going to take a trained electrician, at $30-$60 an hour putting that stuff in.

    So, their goal is to get the cost of manufacturing down to about 60-70 cents a watt, and the cost of installation down to $1 a watt. I didn't realize the hidden cost of installation was so high.

    --
    Qxe4
    1. Re:TCO by deep_creek · · Score: 1

      My future plan is to avoid the power grid and use solar to power items around the house that don't need the grid. Say an AC window unit that could run during the day on solar to supplement my central AC unit, etc... Stuff like this can be achieved as a DIY project.

    2. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      even at $1/W for the panels, you still have the inverter cost, mounting hardware, and grid tie.

      This is a good thing, but we are still far away from $1/W installed.

    3. Re:TCO by stabiesoft · · Score: 5, Informative

      It does not take that long to put in the "grid" part. My system was wired (the part requiring an electrician) in a couple of hours. The large cost component besides the panels is the inverter for a DIY. The magical box converts the DC from the panels to a sync'ed grid AC. The DC from the panels is extracted in such a way as to maximize the power, by constantly adjusting the voltage of the panel output. Its a cool little box with all sorts of protection to make sure the power company and your line doesn't crackle.

    4. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm preparing to install solar on my roof. It isn't that hard. I've completed almost all of the paperwork for the CSI grant and local permits. Mounting the panels to the roof is simple as is figuring out which way to point them. The wiring is brain dead simple. I have a local electrician lined up to come out and hook it into the actual panel for me. Total cost for his time is about $300. I'm saving $10k by doing this myself! Total out the door cost is about $23,500 for 4.6 Kw.

    5. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      just because you didn't consider the cost doesn't mean that it's a hidden cost.

    6. Re:TCO by icebike · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well it is getting to be a DIY field, with controllers and isolators being available off the shelf as well as hundreds of how-to sites springing up all over the web concerning wind, micro-hydro and solar augmentation.

      But its no surprise that installation costs more than the pieces, that's sort of true about just about anything other than plug-it-in-turn-it-on appliances.

      Still there is no reason to assume that the basic modules coming out of FirstSolar's plant are anywhere near ready for Joe Sixpack, and TFA is pretty vague.

      The real problem is one of durability and upgrade-ability. The payout period for materials and installation of off the shelf kits to date exceeds the life expectancy of the parts, making this sort of thing only suitable for areas where there are no grid alternatives.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    7. Re:TCO by ducomputergeek · · Score: 5, Informative

      That may be true, but for TCO, we're talking set up costs vs. money saved over the expected life span of the panels. We put some up at work, enough to cover about 50 - 70% of our energy needs depending on the time of year. (we ran out of roof space to cover 100% of our energy needs) Now we viewed that as a sunk cost on the part of the business. Last year we all couldn't take anymore money home without getting bumped up into higher tax brackets. So we decided to reinvest the profits to help improve cash flow. Which it has. It freed up enough to hire a jr. developer.

      Total time to ROI is about 7 - 9 years by the absolute numbers in terms of savings on our utility bills. But the extra developer allowed us to put a product on the market this quarter instead of late Q2 or even Q3 of this year. Already it is earning enough to cover 40% of his salary and should be profitable by the end of the year. The product could make enough by this time next year to pay for the solar panels. If not next year, certainly within 24 months. If the solar panels last us 15 years, we're looking at recovering a good long term ROI even figuring in the replacement of certain parts at least once during that period.

      I would like to see more people putting these on their homes where it makes sense. Obviously places like Seattle aren't ideal candidates, but if you could turn every house and flat roof into a power producer instead of consumer. I'm sure the power companies don't want that. And I'm not sure if the current government would like that since it would empower people to take individual action to meet their energy needs instead of relying on the government. Even if every home/business just produced 20% of the power they used, it would reduce the load on the power grid by that much. And it would make life easier for places that are already having brown outs etc.. (California)

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    8. Re:TCO by icebike · · Score: 2, Funny

      Crime Scene Investigators involved even before you start work?

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    9. Re:TCO by afabbro · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      World peace will happen. http://p5y.org/ [p5y.org] It's simple.

      That has to be the silliest thing I've ever read. It makes the Communist Party look like hard-nosed pragmatists.

      --
      Advice: on VPS providers
    10. Re:TCO by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 1

      It is ironic and wasteful that we are building megawatts of DC generating solar, just to convert it to AC to power all those wall worts that convert it back to DC to power our electronics.

    11. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      IAAE (I am an electrician) and I can tell you that the major cost consideration of a on-grid PV system (after the panels themselves) is the grid tie inverter. They are SERIOUSLY expensive. The off grid equivalent would be a battery bank which is just as expensive and a potential environmental disaster in the making.

      If you want to save money, energy and the environment then I would suggest a vacuum solar hot water system any day of the week. Much cheaper, much more efficient and still does some dam useful work.

    12. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wort is the unfermented malt for beer. Perhaps you meant wart, as in a protuberance?

    13. Re:TCO by hack++slash · · Score: 1

      That's because DC doesn't travel very well along long wires.

      --
      To do something right, you often have to roll up your sleeves and get busy.
    14. Re:TCO by key.aaron · · Score: 1

      You may want to look up the inherent difficulties in transporting DC on a large scale.

    15. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 0

      Did you read the book? If you didn't, or you don't have any counter-arguments, then you are just a troll.

      But if you do have counter-arguments, I can answer them. Every single one. Because world peace IS possible.

      --
      Qxe4
    16. Re:TCO by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Damn straight. do you know how heavy all those politicians in DC are? Do you know how hard it is to get them to do anything, let alone transporting them. Heck some even require their own planes.

        Oh wrong kind of DC.

      I still agree with you though.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    17. Re:TCO by shermo · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HVDC#Advantages_of_HVDC_over_AC_transmission

      Advantages and disadvantages of DC vs AC current.

      That's because DC doesn't travel very well along long wires.

      For transporting large amounts of electricity point to point over large distances ("along long wires") DC is the better option.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    18. Re:TCO by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      I haven't read it, but I'm curious - how do you plan to solve the problem that some people are simply not good at heart and will commit violence simply to serve their own ends?

    19. Re:TCO by S-100 · · Score: 1

      The other figure often neglected is the amount of power (in kWH) generated based on your locale. Obviously, solar panels generate nothing at night, but depending upon your longitude and other factors, the average power generated is substantially less than 1/2 the rated output. For me, the figure is 2.5 full sun hours, which means that the daily average output is the rated output of the panel for 2.5 hours. So, a 10 kW array, which would generate 10 kW under full sun conditions will only generate 25 kWH on the average day vs. the intuitive thinking that you'd get 12 hours of full power output per day (240 kWH). That's almost a 10:1 discrepancy.

    20. Re:TCO by pngai · · Score: 1, Interesting

      So your cost is about $5.10 per watt.

    21. Re:TCO by NixieBunny · · Score: 1

      The cost of installation is high because there is no incentive to lower it when the panels cost so much. The solution is to make cheap panels (a local company is doing that with roll-to-roll processing) then design the installed panels to have as little added material and labor as possible. My thought was to sell them in the same form factor as asphalt shingles or roll roofing, with simple interconnect bus bars. Whatever packaging is used, it wants to be as low cost as a regular asphalt roof.

      --
      The determined Real Programmer can write Fortran programs in any language.
    22. Re:TCO by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Here's something for you, that I didn't realize: apparently it costs MORE to install and set up a set of solar panels on your home than it does to manufacture them. It made me think, "wow, I'm going to install those myself for half the price!" but attaching stuff like that to the power grid is probably not a DIY project. And it isn't just a day labor job either. It's going to take a trained electrician, at $30-$60 an hour putting that stuff in.

      None of this power stuff is that complicated. For instance, a grid-tied hydroelectric system will typically consist of a turbine or wheel and appropriate water delivery equipment (pipe/sluice etc) coupled to a generator. This generator might have an integrated charge controller, as it certainly will if you reused some automotive equipment - a bad idea in most situations, but better than having no electricity, right? Otherwise it will connect to an external charge controller which provides a regulated voltage to the battery bank. Usually it's a step-down switching power supply of some sort; if your generator has an external field control then the charge controller can simply (heh) be a device which monitors the battery voltage and the generator output voltage, and controls the field strength. Also connected to the battery is a grid-tied inverter, which monitors the frequency of the power coming to your house from the "grid", and converts DC power on its input into AC power synchronized to the grid on its output.

      The grid-tied inverted is where most of the magic happens, obviously. This inverter is typically connected to a sub-panel which is then connected into your main panel (or your main sub-panel) with a breaker and/or fuse on each end for protection. This last connection is the only thing which typically must be done by your licensed electrician, but he must inspect and "bless" (not a technical term... well, maybe it is) your installation, and then he has to do the final cross-connection. If there is room (and capacity) in your main sub-panel for you to bring the connection in from your sub-sub-panel, you can do this without requiring the power company to interrupt your incoming electrical service.

      My understanding is that instead of a "charge controller" that solar systems (typically) have a "string controller" to which multiple solar panels are connected, sometimes in a daisy-chained configuration and sometimes in more of a vine shape (with one central bus.) However, I have no direct experience with solar beyond pocket calculators and wrist watches.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    23. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      We cannot stop all people who want to commit violence, but we CAN stop them from being in a positions of power, where they can start a war.

      A leader without followers is powerless. Since war is not in the interest of most people, once they realize there is another way, they will not support leaders who bring them destruction, death, and poverty. In many ways it is just a propaganda effort, letting people know that peace IS another way, that it IS viable, and that it IS better. In that case, even selfish people will not support war because it is not in their own interest.

      There is a page addressing a lot of the biggest roadblocks to achieving peace if you are interested. Or ask me, if you have more questions or the answer I gave wasn't enough.

      --
      Qxe4
    24. Re:TCO by jcr · · Score: 1

      how do you plan to solve the problem that some people are simply not good at heart and will commit violence simply to serve their own ends?

      Oh, I dunno... Kill them?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    25. Re:TCO by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      If you want to save money, energy and the environment then I would suggest a vacuum solar hot water system any day of the week. Much cheaper, much more efficient and still does some dam useful work.

      How well does it do with lots of ambient heat but less direct sunlight? Companies won't install panels on my house because it faces north/south rather than east/west. The roof is not at an ideal angle for PV, but it is warm/hot during the equinoxes and scalding in the summer.

    26. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      But if you do have counter-arguments, I can answer them. Every single one. Because world peace IS possible.

      Okay, I'll bite. What are the solutions, within five years, for Palestine, Afghanistan, Iran, and Korea?

      And while you're typing out those solutions, jot down a few lines for Congo, Zimbabwe, Nigeria, and the other African countries with similar issues. Note that Zimbabwe isn't quite in a state of armed insurrection like the other two, but it's headed that way within a few years.

      Might want to touch on Georgia, Russia, and most of the 'Stans while you're at it.

      The biggest problem with "Peace in Five Years" is that it assumes that you can get 6+ billion people to agree on anything, much less something as profound as "So why aren't *I* in charge?"....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    27. Re:TCO by grassy_knoll · · Score: 4, Funny

      thats... ::puts on sunglasses:: ...shocking.

      waaaaaaaaaiiiiiiiilllllllllll!!!!!!

    28. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the bright side, Feb 14 2014 is a couple years after the world's supposed to end, making the whole issue moot.

    29. Re:TCO by LoRdTAW · · Score: 1

      To me the most unsafe part of a solar system is the battery bank. That is where you need to be extra careful. A battery bank can summon up hundreds or thousands of amps instantly and produce hydrogen gas when charging.

      Our shop teacher once taught us about battery banks and proper safety precautions. First off NEVER wear any metal jewelry such as chains, watches or rings when working with batteries (or just about anything dealing with lethal currents). Why? Well he told us a story of an electrician who was tightening the terminals on an industrial battery bank with a large wrench. He had his wedding band on which was touching the wrench and he slipped shorting the whole bank through the wrench and his ring. He pulled back a cauterized stump where his ring finger once was and look in horror as his finger was laying on top of the battery smoking. It was unable to be attached as the wedding band partially vaporized severing his finger. Another story tells of something similar but this time the battery exploded due to the hydrogen gas igniting from a spark. The worker was badly burned from the acid.

      So to sum it up be careful with batteries, even if they tell you "oh gel cells are much more safe to work with" yea right. Wear gloves and remove all metal jewelry when working with the bank. Also be sure they are well vented and maintained.

      Working the the mains wiring isn't that hard BUT you have to do it according to code to do it right. The NEC dictates proper wiring techniques to prevent electrocution and fires. Sometimes it is better to have an electrician do the wiring but you cam educate yourself a bit and do it right the first time. A good do-it-yourself wiring book should explain the code while giving you a visual guide to working on wiring. I replaced all the wiring in my grandmothers house and even replaced the panel box while the mains were alive. I had an electrician friend of the family come by to inspect my work and was impressed with the quality and neatness of the work.

    30. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not always... True, you have losses due to Xc, but you have much less I2R losses, which is why AC is normally transformed up to a few hundred thousand volts, which lowers current.

    31. Re:TCO by maxume · · Score: 1

      This notion is a holdover from an era when it wasn't possible to efficiently transform DC up to tens of thousands of volts. Someone already linked Wikipedia, so I'll stop.

      Almost. One huge advantage of DC transmission is that you don't have to have power systems in phase to transmit power between them.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    32. Re:TCO by dwywit · · Score: 1
      But its no surprise that installation costs more than the pieces

      This puzzles me. I've just had an upgrade put in - all in AUD$ - $8000 for replacement batteries, $8400 for more PV panels, $1200 for upgraded regulator + remote monitor and the framing and installation was $1800 - so where does this "installation costs more than the pieces" come from?

      AND it was subsidised to the tune of 50%.

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
    33. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      There is a page addressing a lot of the biggest roadblocks to achieving peace [p5y.org] if you are interested. Or ask me, if you have more questions or the answer I gave wasn't enough.

      It wasn't.

      I followed your link. All it had in the way of solutions were words to the effect of "P:5Y works to understand, address, and solve every violent and threatened conflict in effective and long-lasting ways."

      Which is all very well, but doesn't include any answer to "how are they going to SOLVE any particular "threatened conflict"?"

      Surely, if they're serious, they've already put some work into something other than high-minded slogans. After all, most of the things they think they can resolve within five years have been issues for years, if not decades. It's not like specific conflicts suddenly sprang up from nothing since their webpage was created.

      So, where's the beef?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    34. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I have never ever heard of a government employee who would rather have people dependent on the government. It makes sense in conservative land but it's not true in reality.

    35. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      We cannot stop all people who want to commit violence, but we CAN stop them from being in a positions of power, where they can start a war.

      How? Come up with, say, half a dozen ways that, if used twenty years ago, would have headed off every conflict in the last 20 years.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    36. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But that is only over very long distances and with few point(generaly two). Both AC=>DC=>AC and DC=>DC convertion cost more and is less efficient then AC=>AC.
      Nobody wants 450kV DC in their house.

    37. Re:TCO by EEPROMS · · Score: 1

      One thing you have to be wary of is that just putting the panels on your roof is not a wise idea even if you do figure out the right direction. A major factor that is just as important as the direction is the temperature of the panels. If you don't have the panels setup so there is good ventilation you can reduce their efficiency by up to 40-80% on a hot sunny day.

    38. Re:TCO by dwywit · · Score: 1

      That's a low figure (2.5 hours). You must be closer to the pole than me, or you have a lot of trees shading your roof. Around here (26 degrees south) we reckon on about 5 hours of full sunlight. You also pick up a surprising amount on either side of the "full-sun" period. Just because you're not getting full sun doesn't mean your panels aren't producing anything at all.

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
    39. Re:TCO by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Actually, the power companies would love it. See, they would make it work in their favor. They would pay you well for power during peak times, and pay you poorly for power during off-peak times. They would be perfectly happy to never have to build another power plant in their corporate lives. Power plants are expensive, highly regulated affairs with enormous capital costs and long development cycles. They do everything in their power to avoid having to produce more power.

      They might even be happy if you replaced all your power needs with solar, so long as you stayed on grid and they acted as an intermediary for transfer of power. They're really just middlemen, taking a cut.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    40. Re:TCO by dwywit · · Score: 1
      I have batteries and I'm not on the grid, but the charge controller is one clever little piece of work. It monitors battery voltage and current from the panels until the batteries reach 30VDC (boost phase), then it cuts the current to maintain 28.4VDC for 2 hours (absorption phase), then cuts the current again to maintain float voltage. At this point it can switch current over to a second bank of batteries (if you have them), or use the otherwise wasted current to power another appliance (e.g. water pump). It has an event timer to switch on (for example) your security lights at a certain time, plus other goodies.

      http://www.plasmatronics.com.au/downloads/PLRef6.2.0.pdf/

      They're made here in Oz, but most of the units head straight for China (so my supplier tells me).

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
    41. Re:TCO by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      Well, a grid-tied inverter is just a bunch of power electronics, right?

      And so the cost should drop dramatically when we start producing more of them and more companies get into the business of producing them, right?

      If you were producing only a small number of cell phones, the price would be ridiculously high, but since they are producing millions, the price is pretty low.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    42. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is true due to back-EMF in the transmission lines as a result of the changing magnetic field touching anything metallic. However when you need to step down the voltage at the destination, DC is very bad.

    43. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No, you're looking at it backwards. Maybe you aren't, but your post doesn't give me much to go on. Trying to enact peace from the top down is the wrong way to do it, and frankly impossible. We can't force the world to have peace. That is the backwards way to look at it.

      It has to come from the bottom. That is the only way it could work, and it can. Think about it, five hundred years ago, people still believed in the divine right of kings. Now if anyone came around trying to convince you to join his army because it was his divine right to be king, you would laugh at him. Look how democracy has spread to almost every country, even dictators these days make an effort to at least have the appearance of being democratic.

      I'll give you an example. 20 years ago, El Salvador was reaching towards the end of their decade long civil war. These days in El Salvador, people vote in a way that balances the power.....if any party gets too powerful, the people will vote against it to keep the balance. War was horrible for that country, and except for a few nutcases, nobody wants to go back to war.

      There is only one thing that must be done to stop war, and that is to help everyone see that there are other options, and they are better options.

      I'll say more in response to your other post.

      --
      Qxe4
    44. Re:TCO by Parallax48 · · Score: 1

      The main advantage of AC is the ability to use AC-AC transformers for cheap voltage changes.

    45. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You don't have to solve every conflict. In fact, if that's what you think the idea is, then you are right, it is essentially impossible. All you have to do is remove war as a viable alternative for conflict resolution.

      Do you like the idea of bombs going through people's homes, killing their children? Of course not, it's not even a question in anything more than a rhetorical sense, because only an insane person would be happy to think about that. Why do we do it? Why did the US bomb Iraq and Afghanistan? If there were alternatives, would you consider them? Almost everyone would.

      Ideas can change the course of the world. In the past few months I've gone through conflict with one of my coworkers that in a different time would have caused me to pull out a sword and challenge him to a duel, in order to defend my honor. Now I no longer see it as necessary; it would be silly because generally we don't see violence as a viable tool for interpersonal relationships, and because of that we find other ways to get what we want. Once the world no longer sees violence as a viable tool for conflict resolution, we will start seeing other ways to deal with it.

      You can't stop two countries from fighting who want to fight. You can't 'give' them the solution. If they really want to kill each other, they will.

      The entire campaign is based on the premise that most people are able to realize peace is better than war, that they would prefer peace to war. If that is not true, then it is pointless.

      --
      Qxe4
    46. Re:TCO by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Or to put it another way if and when home renewable installations become common net metering is going to dissapear because if it didn't it would bankrupt the power companies. Some other pricing system that was less favorable to home generators and more closely linked to reality would have to replace it. The financial viability of such installations will depend heavilly on what this structure is

      More importantly most renewable systems (whether small scale or large scale) rely heavilly on treating the grid as a battery. This works fine when such installations are a minority of generation but if we want renewables to cover a large proportion of our generation the grid will need to have actual storage attatched (which is not cheap) and/or demand side management will be needed (which is likely to face resistance from customers)

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    47. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Big questions.

      Starting with Palestine, Golda Meir said, "We will have peace with the Arabs when they love their children more than they hate us." The same could be said for the Israelis today. Israel is in a weird situation of being a small group of people surrounded by unfriendly forces, and yet at the same time being an unfriendly force surrounding a small group of people.

      There is a saying that was going around Israel for a while, "Democracy, Jewish majority, Greater Israel. Choose two." The point is that if Israel is going to have to make some concessions, they can't just bulldoze the Palestinians off the land. They are going to have to decide exactly what they are willing to give up; they need to find some kind of equilibrium state with the Palestinians. What it is exactly doesn't matter, there have been a number of good proposals which you can find if you look, and I'm sure I won't be able to come to a better one, the important thing is that both sides feel sufficiently satisfied, and both sides have ways address problems that don't involve war.

      I am not blaming Israel here, they are in the difficult situation of needing to figure out what they can give up that won't compromise their safety. If they concede too much, they will open themselves to attack from their surrounding neighbors. However, consider that the smaller the threat is, the easier it is for them to concede things, because the potential consequences are not so grave.

      I have not talked to Kim Jong-Il, but I don't think he wants war. He would be foolish. His country would be destroyed, and he would be killed. Now, considering this, the problem with North Korea isn't a problem of peace, but of how to integrate him into the international community and get him to step down as dictator. This is a hard problem, I agree, but wouldn't it be easier for him if he felt the world were extending a hand to him in friendship, instead of trying to destroy him? I will leave it at that, since I'm not trying to solve that problem.

      In Afghanistan the biggest problem seems to be the Taliban/Al Qaeda. Why are they fighting? Hard to say for sure, but they are able to get new recruits in large part because of the actions of the United States. And it's understandable. What has the US done? Lots of questionable stuff. Imagine now if instead the United States made a stand in favor of world peace. It would be very hard to call such an entity a "Great Satan." It would be hard to convince new recruits to come and try to fight against.......peace.

      I'll touch briefly on a few of the other conflicts.....where do they come from? A hundred reasons, conflict over oil, over race, over need......but not one of them is made better by war. If a country is in poverty, the war will only make it worse. They happen anyway because some leader is able to convince the people somehow that by fighting the other guys, their situation will be made better. And yet that is never true. Once people realize it is not true, they will not believe such crazy leaders and will look to someone else for solutions.

      Your final point is a good one. Fortunately, we don't have to agree on everything, just one thing: that if there is a way other than war, we should take it. And the truth is almost everyone already agrees on that. So it is a matter of getting the message out, letting people know that there are other options besides war. In the modern era, it is not that hard. Hugo Chavez, for example, has managed to get his pseudo-socialist ideas sent throughout latin America. Ideas travel quickly. Another example I will give is in El Salvador, where in the campaign going on right now, there is a presidential candidate, a political outsider, from the left, who is running on a campaign of 'hope' and 'change.' Now why does that sound familiar?

      I don't know if that helps at all, but the ultimate answer to the question "How do we make peace in the world?" is "We can't. All we can do is help people see there is a bette

      --
      Qxe4
    48. Re:TCO by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      It depends on the quality of solar heaters that you buy, but solar heaters in general do not require direct light. If your roof is at least warm when you'd want it heating, it will definitely work. It will sometimes work even if the roof would be cool.

      These work by using transparent insulation - the light gets in, but the heat can't get out.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    49. Re:TCO by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Most electricity is produced and consumed as AC. Converting the whole electrical grid to DC just for the sake of solar panels would be incredibly wasteful.

    50. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      There is only one thing that must be done to stop war, and that is to help everyone see that there are other options, and they are better options.

      Show me the magic that will convince EVERYONE of this in only five years, and I might take the idea seriously.

      100 years? Maybe, but I doubt it.

      Note that "everyone" (your word) includes those people who fighting and killing and dying right now. And none of them will be gone in only five years.

      Well, the ones who lose will be gone.

      But the winners won't. And the winners will then have more proof that war DOES work.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    51. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The entire campaign is based on the premise that most people are able to realize peace is better than war, that they would prefer peace to war. If that is not true, then it is pointless.

      Ahh, I see now. You believe that not being willing to fight will automatically make the other fellow not be willing to fight.

      Doesn't work that way. Consider that WW2 was started at the whim of ONE aging politician. Consider that what YOU believe is right and proper is not necessarily what that fellow over there believes is right and proper. You might think that having a fistfight (or a knife-fight, or a gunfight) is intrinsically wrong, but if the other fellow thinks it's good clean fun (I used to know some guys who thought that their Saturday nights weren't complete without a brawl), then you'll have trouble convincing him that you're not a complete moron who can be disregarded.

      In the same way, the people currently affected by war are pretty much screwed, since they generally don't have any way to convince the fighting men to stop without, well, fighting. Which they can't do without weapons and such. Which would mean that one war would become two (or three).

      And even if this were possible, five years is too short a time. If you were to start teaching EVERY infant in the world your principles today, and EVERY one of them held strictly to your principles as he/she/it grew older, then in 50 or 60 years, maybe. Five? No chance at all.

      And the odds of your lads getting to EVERY infant right now are ZERO.

      And if you could get to them all, the odds that EVERY one of them would do what YOU said, and not what their society says, is ZERO.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    52. Re:TCO by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      I am not blaming Israel here,

      Considering that your solution didn't suggest a single thing that the Palestinians should concede, I suspect you ARE blaming Israel.

      Tell you what, get the Palestinians to not fire even ONE rocket into Israel for 365 consecutive days, and then you might be able to get an idea of what the Israelis are willing to concede.

      Or not. They may be the complete bastards you think they are. But I doubt it.

      I have not talked to Kim Jong-Il, but I don't think he wants war. He would be foolish. His country would be destroyed, and he would be killed.

      Oddly enough, the last time his country invaded South Korea, that didn't happen. His country wasn't destroyed, his dad wasn't killed.

      And I doubt it would happen next time either.

      Also, on what basis do you believe that he doesn't want a war? You concede that you haven't talked to him, and I can't think of any news about Korea in the last few years that suggest that he's more pacifically inclined than his old man was.

      Now, considering this, the problem with North Korea isn't a problem of peace, but of how to integrate him into the international community and get him to step down as dictator. This is a hard problem, I agree, but wouldn't it be easier for him if he felt the world were extending a hand to him in friendship, instead of trying to destroy him? I will leave it at that, since I'm not trying to solve that problem.

      Actually, the world HAS been extending a hand to him in friendship. Remember, we shipped him food and oil for years to convince him not to build an atomic bomb. Of course, we stopped after he went ahead and took our food and oil and built the Bomb.

      Note that if you offer someone a bribe, and he takes the bribe without doing whatever you were bribing him to do, he probably will do it again. And again.

      How long do you want to supply his Army with food and oil?

      In Afghanistan the biggest problem seems to be the Taliban/Al Qaeda. Why are they fighting? Hard to say for sure, but they are able to get new recruits in large part because of the actions of the United States. And it's understandable. What has the US done? Lots of questionable stuff. Imagine now if instead the United States made a stand in favor of world peace. It would be very hard to call such an entity a "Great Satan." It would be hard to convince new recruits to come and try to fight against.......peace.

      And yet, Afghanistan fought internal wars for most of the last two centuries. And the USA wasn't involved in but two of them, in any way. Blaming the USA for fighting in Afghanistan is silly - the Afhganis have had a feuding, fighting culture since forever. Which you won't upset in five years without killing everyone there, men, women, and children. If you just kill the men, the women will feed hate to the children with their mother's milk, and as soon as they're grown, you're back to the status quo ante.

      Note that after we kicked the Taliban out of Afghanistan, Afghanistan HAD peace. Until we stopped paying attention, and the vendettas got going again.

      I'll touch briefly on a few of the other conflicts.....where do they come from? A hundred reasons, conflict over oil, over race, over need......but not one of them is made better by war. If a country is in poverty, the war will only make it worse. They happen anyway because some leader is able to convince the people somehow that by fighting the other guys, their situation will be made better. And yet that is never true. Once people realize it is not true, they will not believe such crazy leaders and will look to someone else for solutions.

      Oddly enough, history doesn't support your opinion that "some leader is able to convince the people somehow that by fighting the other guys, their situation will be made better" is "never true".

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    53. Re:TCO by afidel · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately much (most?) of the US is subject to hard freezes which makes solar hot water systems much more complicated and expensive. I wish I could use on but the ROI is about 18 years and the life expectancy of most systems available today is 10-15 years, not exactly a good value proposition even ignoring the time value of money. I'm doubly screwed because I live in the county with the lowest level of insolation in the lower 48. Luckily I also live next to one of the best spots for wind power in the country so eventually much of my power should come from that source =)

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    54. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For transporting large amounts of electricity point to point over large distances ("along long wires") DC is the better option.

      That's high-voltage DC - like, tens of kilovolts. You're not drawing that directly out of your solar panel unless you're getting power from x-rays.

    55. Re:TCO by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      We cannot stop all people who want to commit violence, but we CAN stop them from being in a positions of power..

      ... by shooting them in the fucking head.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    56. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's high-voltage DC - like, hundreds of kilovolts. You're not drawing that directly out of your solar panel unless you have a miljon solar cells in series.

    57. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do know, I would hope, being bumped a tax bracket doesn't mean you're worse off, right?

    58. Re:TCO by S-100 · · Score: 1

      The figure comes from a government site, based on location but assuming no blockage from trees or other objects. It takes into account cloudy days (based on historical observations) as well. The location is just north of NYC - not exactly the Arctic Circle.

      The 2.5 figure is not the number of hours of full sun - it's the total average per-day output of a panel, expressed as full-sun-hours. It's also based on fixed panels, positioned at the optimal angle. Tracking panels would generate somewhat more.

    59. Re:TCO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think they were referring to a 150kV system... So let's clarify that "low voltage" DC doesn't travel very well along long wires. Better?

    60. Re:TCO by dwywit · · Score: 1

      That makes it clearer, thanks. I'll download the charge controller data for the next 12 months and come up with a figure of my own. Hopefully I'll be able to extract some historical weather data from http://www.bom.gov.au/ and use that refine my own observations. It'll be interesting to see what my equivalent "average full-sun hours-per-panel output" will be?

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
    61. Re:TCO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      What kind of peace would it be if the Palestinians didn't stop fighting? The thing is, that's all they can do. Israel has all the power. If they decide to move the fence along the Hebron border, they can do it. If they decide to put in a settlement or take one out, Palestine can do nothing but lob pathetically ineffective qassam missiles over the border. Israel can then respond by destroying any building they want, sending in tanks, targeted assassinations, or by a number of other methods of inflicting pain. Eventually Palestine will get the picture. Remember, even the first intifada ended. Israel just needs to leave them in a state where they are not so desperate that they feel they have no recourse but to fight. Desperation breeds violence.

      The Israeli/Palestine conflict can really be divided into two sections, the West Bank and the Gaza strip. On the Gaza side, the terms have already been drawn up, Israel has withdrawn all their settlements, and essentially made their borders. Hamas will eventually realize they will get better results if they cooperate than fight, and once they do Israel can begin opening the border and letting trade through, as they once did. Israel managed to make peace with Egypt, they can manage to make peace with Palestine.

      The West Bank is a little more complicated because it is not clear which settlements Israel wants to keep, and what the final borders will be. Will Israel want to maintain a presence in the West Bank, or will they partition the country and leave them alone, as they have to Gaza?

      So, if you get in a fight, and someone punches you, you have a few options: you can punch him back, you can run away, or you can just take the punch. Last time I got in a fight, I just took the punch.

      World peace isn't about throwing down your weapons, it's about repurposing your army for protection. Think about it from the point of view of the United States (I don't know if you are American). There is no army in the world that can oppose it. The US spends as much on military as the rest of the world combined. The F22 fighter jet is enough to guarantee air superiority in any fight, which will leave the opposing army with nothing to rely on but guerrilla tactics, and a hope to survive longer than the US political will remains to fight. A nuclear arsenal like Russia's is only good enough to ensure mutually assured destruction. The United States is powerful.

      And yet, it is not enough to make us safe. More and more, terrorist weapons are enabling direct attacks on the US which the army cannot directly counter. This is why world peace is important. What we need to do is give people an alternative to trying to attack the United States.

      This is where the world peace treaty comes in. Every country will agree peace. Note that there is no such treaty in existence today, instead we have treaties which say, "If this person attacks you, we will come help you." More of a war treaty. This peace treaty will need to have teeth, it will need to be clear on how to deal with violators of the treaty. It will need to be clear that war is not an option, and that if you try to use it as a tactic, the international community will not tolerate it. This is essentially what has happened in the Balkans in the last two decades. At first some countries will agree to it grudgingly, but soon (especially after the resulting prosperity) they will realize that it is the best way (for an example, look at Costa Rica, whose citizens would be annoyed if their government tried to start an army, almost to a comic degree).

      If such a treaty were in existence a decade ago, then the aftermath of 9/11 would have been much better. If you remember, immediately after the attack, most of the world was on the side of the US. It was clear that the attack had come from Afghanistan, but it wasn't clear what to do about it. If there had been a treaty, the various governments of the world would have worked together in actions against Afghanistan. Instead, the US

      --
      Qxe4
  4. Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels and tip past the breaking point of global cooling? Where's your God now?

    1. Re:Chilling effects. by Teun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You have to be an Anonymous Coward to propose a system for Energy Destruction on /.

      --
      "The likes of Facebook and WhatsApp are free to those whose privacy is of zero value."
    2. Re:Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels and tip past the breaking point of global cooling? Where's your God now?

      then we could control the temperature by covering some of them..

    3. Re:Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Burn oil? Just an idea.

    4. Re:Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels and tip past the breaking point of global cooling? Where's your God now?

      With apologies, I've been fiddling with the Dialectizer, so here's Anonymous Coward, translated into Redneck-speak:

      Whut in tarnation happens when we line th' wo'ld's deserts wif indless fields of solar panels an' tip past th' bustin' point of global right finein'? Whar's yer God now?

    5. Re:Chilling effects. by SGDarkKnight · · Score: 1

      What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels

      Well, the first thing you would need to do is figure out a cost effecitve way for the sand in desert not to chip away at the solar panals rendering the useless after the first couple of strong winds / sand storms blow by. This has always been one of the major disadvantages of building a solar power generating station in a desert. In fact before this $1/Watt was made possible, the cost to build and maintain one of these solar generating stations was mute compared to the power savings the grid would save if they were to take that money and use it to install solar panels the individuals homes for who that plant would primarly serve.

      --

      ...A no smoking section in a restaurant is like having a no peeing section in a swimming pool...
    6. Re:Chilling effects. by westlake · · Score: 3, Informative
      What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels and tip past the breaking point of global cooling?

      What are the desert sands but another form of solar collector?

    7. Re:Chilling effects. by Macrat · · Score: 1

      one of these solar generating stations was mute

      Mute? I didn't know power stations could talk..

    8. Re:Chilling effects. by UCSCTek · · Score: 2, Informative

      For those who might take the parent seriously:

      Global cooling would only follow if we just stored all of the energy collected by the panels. Assuming we used it, or otherwise released it, which we would probably have to, this would create an amount of thermal energy equal to the initial loss. In the end, only the local energy density on Earth has changed.

      Generally, global warming/cooling effects will need to involve changing the rate at which energy enters or exits the Earth. For example, carbon dioxide emissions increase the energy retention, while increased cloud cover can decrease energy entry.

    9. Re:Chilling effects. by Delwin · · Score: 1

      This is why I've always been a little leery of the thought of solar panel satellites beaming power to Earth - that is adding energy to the system.

    10. Re:Chilling effects. by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "Where's your God now?"

      In R'lyeh, sleeping. Why do you ask?

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    11. Re:Chilling effects. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      What happens when we line the world's deserts with endless fields of solar panels and tip past the breaking point of global cooling?

      Quite a meaningless concern. Long before that could happen, Greenpeace and the other Environmental groups would have successfully sued you into oblivion for "despoiling the pristine desert" or some such.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    12. Re:Chilling effects. by maxume · · Score: 1

      Newton's law of heating and cooling will moderate the effect (a hotter system loses energy faster...).

      There isn't any reason to be super gung-ho about it, but insolation is on the order of 100 terawatts, so a few gigawatts (or a few hundred gigawatts) shouldn't lead to any irreversible catastrophe.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    13. Re:Chilling effects. by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

      Sand is glass. It reflects a lot of sun back out of the atmosphere.

      I'm not sure what the GP is saying. I think it just sounded insightful, so people modded him up.

    14. Re:Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are the desert sands but another form of solar collector?

      Depends. I'm guessing that solar panels have a lower albedo than sand, and will absorb more of the sunlight. Even if so, though, the GP's point won't be significant for another century or so of electricity-usage-growth. There's a problem for our grandchildren. :)

    15. Re:Chilling effects. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sand is glass. It reflects a lot of sun back out of the atmosphere.

      I'm not sure what the GP is saying. I think it just sounded insightful, so people modded him up.

      Because sand is silicon(*cough* dioxide *cough*), which is useful for making silicon based cells as well as the glass to protect them. A solar desert wouldn't reflect though.

    16. Re:Chilling effects. by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

      Well, the sand is more reflective than a solar panel, so covering all the deserts would warm the Earth up slightly by making it a better black body.

  5. Cost is a bad measurement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) The cost can go down if they found a cheaper source to get the material. It is not always advances in science that cause cost to go down.

    2) The cost of a watt could have been $1.01 for the past few years. Reaching a nice round number (maybe even due to inflation) is meaningless. It's big jumps that are important.

    That said, I did not RTFA.

  6. Some comments... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even if we make the materials cheap, I question how long they'll last before needing replaced. But, even so, solar power has advantages other forms of generating electricity don't have.

    Imagine if new houses were required, by law, to be built with at least 5 kilowatts worth of solar panels (or pay a fee to the state government). If enough houses get solar panels, then they'd be generating some electricity. Even if they don't bring down their power bill significantly, they'd still be contributing to the available power, especially in summer, when air conditioners are on, and especially in winter, when some people need more electricity-based heat. What I'm saying is that hopefully this will eliminate rolling blackouts in some areas.

    1. Re:Some comments... by polar+red · · Score: 2, Informative

      better insulation seriously reduces the need for airco or heating. investments in insulation are said to have a pyback time of 1 to 2 years. (this means 50% to 100% return of investment per year)

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    2. Re:Some comments... by Bobnova · · Score: 1

      Yes because solar panels work especially well in the winter when the sun is lower in the sky and it tends to be cloudy/raining/snowing?

    3. Re:Some comments... by icebike · · Score: 1

      The article says the price per watt went to 98 cents. But it didn't mention anything about the watt density.

      Without knowing this, you really can't assume you can get 5KW on a typical house roof.

      Don't get me wrong, I think its a good idea, along as rack systems and electronics were as standardized as everything else that goes into house construction. That has not yet really happened and many systems the DIY crowd is bolting onto their roofs are systems for which parts will not be available in 3 to 5 years.

      Most systems today are not designed to feed back into the Electrical grid. Most are designed for simple isolation.
      Feeding back into the grid means that the utilities should pay the home owner, but don't expect the power companies to pay going rates for this if this becomes common. They will want to charge you 10 cents and pay you 4 cents.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    4. Re:Some comments... by ducomputergeek · · Score: 1

      We just put in solar panels last october. Our building and roof is angled to the south. Our electric bill has been cut by more than half except when it gets into the single digits and we have to crank the heat up. (Ceramic tile floors get most of that morning sun and helps keep the place fairly warm through out the day.)

      But solar is not the ideal for all climates. Even in the winter time we still get about 10 hours of day light on the shortest days. If we were much further north or in a place like Seattle, then you have a point.

      The solution to the energy question is going to be what works best in your area. There is not going to be one magic bullet for this.

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    5. Re:Some comments... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, but various power companies have already figured out the "pay the home owner" scam with solar power. Check out the multi-tiered, peak vs. off-peak, summer vs. winter rate schedule from PG&E.

    6. Re:Some comments... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why even worry about this before half of the available roof space is occupied. Besides 50 square meters should do it even with Silicon. If you don't have 50 square meters, you probably don't need 5KW. CdTe is even more efficient than Si. Although I am not a fan of Cadmium. It is toxic. I also don't know if $1/W can be maintained if Tellurium demand takes off.

    7. Re:Some comments... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Our electric bill has been cut by more than half except when it gets into the single digits and we have to crank the heat up.

      Single digits F or C?

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  7. Tellurium by wiredlogic · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Volume production will outstrip the world Tellurium supply in the near future so this isn't going to be a cost effective technology for long.

    --
    I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
    1. Re:Tellurium by wjh31 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is something we are told about just about any mineral resource, and usually once it gets short, we manage to find a new resource, obviously this cant happen forever, but running out mightnt be an issue for a while. Also it means this technology isnt going to be cost effective for long using the current materials.

    2. Re:Tellurium by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      You apparently understimate the rising costs of energy of _all_ types. It is a feedback market, as one type of energy chages price, the others change along with it to keep within a natural price ratio. That ratio changes in the short term, but in the long term non-renewables become more expensive and renewables become cheaper. Are you arguing that solar energy is a non-renewable energy resource because of the tellurium supply? You do realize that there are tellurium supplies that are not currently being mined, because of cost? As volume and demand increase, those resources will be mined.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    3. Re:Tellurium by QuasiEvil · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Mod parent up - the mining industry typically just isn't wandering around prospecting for new ore veins unless they a) don't have enough reserves to meet projected demand or b) the price is high enough to justify opening new mines. When the price gets high enough or the reserves get low enough, they go looking and they usually find something. Most of these alarmist "we're out of element X" projections are based on proved reserve numbers, which are just what the mining companies know about *right now* and can extract.

      It won't last forever, but there's a lot of ground out there to be dug up yet. I can't promise it'll be as economical to extract as current reserves and prices may fluctuate accordingly, but there *IS MORE OUT THERE*.

    4. Re:Tellurium by Herkum01 · · Score: 1

      Lets not forget the obvious, once we figure out how to do it with one material successfully we starting looking at cheaper and more common materials that could do the same thing. Especially true when a market has become successful rather than a pure research project.

    5. Re:Tellurium by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It won't last forever, but there's a lot of ground out there to be dug up yet.

      Perhaps we should be asking not how much ground we can dig up, but how much ground we should dig up. Living in a county with multiple superfund sites as I do, and with the most polluted lake in the USA at least, I have to ask questions like this (also I have to ask how I get the fuck out of here.) :/

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Tellurium by znerk · · Score: 1

      You do realize that there are tellurium supplies that are not currently being mined, because of cost?

      Actually, there are no primary tellurium mines. It's mostly obtained as a byproduct of electro-refining gold and copper. That's right, this stuff we're arguing about is used in single-digit gram quantities per panel, and generated as a by-product of current operations at about 200 tons per year.

      --
      This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.
    7. Re:Tellurium by swillden · · Score: 1

      Perhaps we should be asking not how much ground we can dig up, but how much ground we should dig up.

      Digging messily and not digging aren't the only options. It's perfectly possible to mine without creating hazards. It costs more, so the stuff your digging up has to be more valuable to justify it, but it can be done.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    8. Re:Tellurium by PuckSR · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As a summer internship, I had the opportunity to work for one of the only refiners of Tellurium in the US, they happen to be a large copper refinery.

      Tellurium is indeed a rare element, but the value of tellurium was nearly nill only a few years ago. Refineries that were capturing the tellurium were literally throwing it away. Their rate of recovery hardly reflected the $200/lb that it currently trades at in the US.

      In other words, while I know that it is still a very rare element, I also know that we have the capability to recover a far higher percentage of tellurium if the demand stays high.

    9. Re:Tellurium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, if there's a limited (but currently inaccessible) supply we probably don't want to exhaust it just yet. It'd suck if in the future it turns out there's some highly useful product that can be made with small amounts of X, but by then the supply is so limited that it costs an exorbitant amount of money.

      For example, we use platinum in catalytic converters. Platinum has always been rare and expensive, so it's not likely that there's going to be any new discoveries unless the price really skyrockets.

    10. Re:Tellurium by cnaumann · · Score: 1

      You miss the point about Tellurium. Tellurium is unbelievably rare, one of nine rarest metallic elements on Earth. It may be 4 times rarer than plantnium. Tellurium is fairly cheap right now because it has very few uses. It will not stay cheap if it is used in volume produciton of solar cells. And cheap solar cells is the whole point here.

    11. Re:Tellurium by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Thanks, I really did not know that.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    12. Re:Tellurium by gawaino · · Score: 1

      There is a bunch of telluride in the mountains west of Boulder, Colorado (*not* Telluride, CO), but good luck getting permission to re-open those mines.

  8. So tell me where i can buy it. by wjh31 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Unless you can give me a link/phone number where i could immediately, as in NOW, purchase solar power at $1/W, this is a useless announcement. Additionally, the areticle says manufacturing costs are past $1/W, which is not the same as the cost to the end user.

    1. Re:So tell me where i can buy it. by Nicolay77 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This site is news for nerds, no 'news for consumers'.

      --
      We are Turing O-Machines. The Oracle is out there.
    2. Re:So tell me where i can buy it. by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Because everything is always about you?

      Some of us are interested in how the rest of the world is going.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    3. Re:So tell me where i can buy it. by radl33t · · Score: 1

      You can buy plenty of solar at less than $1/W. Check the internet bargain bins for super low efficiency cells, rejects, used cells, broken panels, surplus inventory, etc. Many options are available for you, troll. You can easily make solar power at less than a dollar a watt.

      You lose.

      If you came out from under your bridge you might know that manufacturing at $1/W has been an important target for well over a decade. Thus, the announcement hardly seems useless.

      What purpose does your whining serve?

    4. Re:So tell me where i can buy it. by Ironchew · · Score: 0, Troll

      This site is news for nerds, no 'news for consumers'.

      Tell that to the Slashdot sections on Apple, Books, Games, Hardware, Linux, and Mobile.

    5. Re:So tell me where i can buy it. by Nicolay77 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I voraciously read all that, and I don't own anything Apple, or buy that many games, etc.

      The fact that they sell the technology doesn't mean that the technology is not interesting per se.

      --
      We are Turing O-Machines. The Oracle is out there.
  9. $1 per Watt or per kW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I'm sightly confused.

    In germany 1 kW (note the lower case letter "k") solar power costs about 20 cent (Euro cent) ... that is the consumer price, not production cost.

    So I don't really get what this article is about.

    angel'o'sphere

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    1. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In germany 1 kW (note the lower case letter "k") solar power costs about 20 cent (Euro cent) ... that is the consumer price, not production cost.

      So I don't really get what this article is about

      Units. You mean "per kW hour," right? The article means "per W," as in you can buy a panel that delivers a max of 100 W for $100.

    2. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by wjh31 · · Score: 3, Informative

      20cents per kWh, one kilowatt used for one hour, whereas this is $1 per watt of capacity, i.e $1 will allow you to generate 1watt, which will generate 1kWh in 1000hrs.

    3. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For electricity from the grid to compare to Solar, you need to multiply in time. the $1/watt figure is the cost of the item, not the cost to produce electricity. They you have to factor in the day night cycle, cloudy vs clear days, and the summer/winter cycle to find out how much electricity it can produce in a year, then take into account the life expectancy.

      Your 20 cents per 1kW multiplied out over the same amount of time can be used to comparison.

    4. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Heather+D · · Score: 1

      They're referring to the cost of the panels not the cost of the electricity generated by them.

    5. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Delwin · · Score: 1

      Are you sure you don't mean kW/h?

    6. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by djmurdoch · · Score: 1

      I think you mean that 1 kWh costs 0.20 euros. Consumers pay for energy, not power.

      1 kW can produce 1 kWh in an hour. So if a 1 kW panel costs $1000 (around 800 euros), it will generate enough energy to pay for itself in 4000 hours, i.e. about half a year.

    7. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by ricree · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing that you're thinking of the price of a kiloWatt hour, the measure of energy used by power companies to bill customers.

      In this case, they're talking about the cost to manufacture a solar cell of a given instantaneous power output.

    8. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe what they're covering is the cost of manufacturing the cells, which isn't the same as the cost of the power, as the latter would apply over a period of time, such as a kWH.

      So let's say you had a 60-watt bulb, 60 dollars worth of cells would pay for it to be powered, at least as long as the sun is up.

    9. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by LehiNephi · · Score: 1

      I think you are confusing the cost to produce solar panels with the amortized cost of producing power using solar panels. The article is about the cost of manufacturing the solar panels. The .20 Euro you're seeing, I believe is the cost to the customer per kilowatt hour. Those two costs are often used to calculate how long it will take for a solar panel to "pay for itself."

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    10. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Ixlr8 · · Score: 1

      Are you sure you want to suggest another wrong unit?

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      -- Sig (appended to the end of comments you post, 120 chars)
    11. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      I'm sightly confused.

      In germany 1 liter of beer costs around 4 euros ... that is the consumer price, not production cost.

      So I don't really get what this article is about.

      Oh, wait, I think I get it! You're mixing unrelated units with each other!

      BlackPignouf

    12. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I keep looking at your figures, and they don't really make sense to me.

      Ah - now I see. 800E, a 1kW panel producing a full 1kwh each hour. 4000 * .2 = 800

      But you're forgetting about nighttime. In which case, that panel is going to take at least twice as long to produce enough power to pay itself off - on the order of a year, assuming you ultimately obtain a 50% capacity factor. 30-40% for a noticeably more sunny location than Germany.

      And that doesn't include install, wiring, or inverter.

      Note to developers: Work on getting the inverter cheaper!

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    13. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Surt · · Score: 1

      Better call it a whole year unless your solar installation migrates around the globe fast enough to keep up with the sun. :-)
      (And realistically, It's probably more like 3 years).

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    14. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by QuasiEvil · · Score: 1

      Definitely not kW/h, a really very meaningless unit. (It'd be joules / (1000*(second^2)) - what exactly are you going to measure with that?) kWh would make a lot more sense, but not in this context, as the OP was confused and not realizing this is about panels, not power.

    15. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by vlm · · Score: 1

      So if a 1 kW panel costs $1000 (around 800 euros), it will generate enough energy to pay for itself in 4000 hours, i.e. about half a year.

      Those must be metric days in Euro-land... On average you only get about 4320 hours of daytime per year, minus some storms and clouds, so its more like it'll pay for itself in one full year. Even if it's pitch black cloudy half the time, thats still only two years to payoff.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    16. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This 20 euro cents you have is the consumer price you have to consuming the solar generated energy. The price here is the price that will take to make enough solar panels to generate 1 watt of electric power.
      This is the biggest fight in the Solar Panels industry now, which company will reach the $1 dollar mark first. Look to NASDAQ and ESLR for example, and their competitors.
      Solar power is not a geek's play anymore. Now the big corps are stepping on the fight and they going to crush all pathetic dreams and make it a money-making machine as they did with oil. Just look to solar panel industries on the NASDAQ, and you will see what I am saying. But, as Warren Buffet said we, geeks, are the responsible for the World Economic crisis: "Beware of geeks bearing formulas." he said.

    17. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by ATMD · · Score: 1

      > what exactly are you going to measure with that?

      You could measure the panel's degradation over time, assuming it's linear. Although kW/year might be more useful for that...

      --
      Nobody else has this sig.
    18. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by glwtta · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say they are unrelated: one is a thousand hours of the other.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    19. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by pngai · · Score: 1

      "4320 hours of daytime per year" is not a good figure to use, as solar panels only reach their rated output during full sun. As a rule of thumb, most reasonable sites (like Arizona) can be considered to receive the equivalent of 5 hours of full sun per day. I would suggest 1825 hours/year of full rated output.

    20. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      So pi and a liter are related, because one is a pi/liter of the other? :D

    21. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Urza9814 · · Score: 1

      No, watts are joules per second, not joules per hour. A 1W panel will produce 1kWH in 16.67 minutes.

    22. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, angle of the sun. The equation is more like

      P = P_0 * { cos(2*pi*t/T - pi) : T/4 < t < 3T/4
              0 : else
       
      where t is the current time and T is the period of a day

      The average, I think we can all agree, is a fair bit less than 1/2. And doesn't count cloudy days or inclination.

    23. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what on earth do joules have to do with this? kWh means kilo-watt-HOUR, not kilo-watt-second you fucking moron.

    24. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Kumiorava · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are confusing something here. To produce 1 kW of power you need to produce 1000 Watts. 1kWh is measure of this 1 kW of power production running for one hour. Therefore 1 W will have to run 1000 hours to produce 1 kWh.

    25. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by djmurdoch · · Score: 1

      But you're forgetting about nighttime.

      Actually, I didn't think anyone would assume I meant you'd get payback in half a year, because of all those things you mention. I just meant that 4000 hours is about half a year: the whole posting was about changes of units.

      But now that I reread my posting, your interpretation is pretty natural. I'll write more carefully next time.

    26. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by maxume · · Score: 1

      Instead of reader harder, try reading easier.

      The article means that the surface area to generate 1 Watt of power (under ideal conditions) can be produced for $1.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    27. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by ooloogi · · Score: 1

      Typical yield of a 1kW panel is around 1000kWh per year. So that's 5 years. But then you need to take into account packaging, installation, electronics, maintenance, time value of money.... Maybe 10 years.

    28. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cool, where do you find PV cells that generate energy during the dark time of the year (also called nights)?

      4000 hours are more like a year of sunlight then...

    29. Re:$1 per Watt or per kW? by ericrost · · Score: 1

      *Whoosh*

  10. Cadmium Telluride? How green by yogibaer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not only is Tellurium extremely rare, Cadmium Telluride is toxic and I wouldn't want to work in a factory that handles the stuff. (although rendered harmless when build into solar cells). There is nothing to celebrate here. As long as we are not able to create energy (or most other high tech) without using up the rarest of earth's elements at an alarming pace, this is a dead end.

    1. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by dotancohen · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This sounds like the classic solar is not a renewable energy source tale because of the non-renewable materials in solar cells. You do realize that once the cells are built, that they continue to work until damaged or otherwise decommissioned, and that the nonrenewables are not consumed in the process? Also, there are alternative materials to use, and alternative places to mine what there is.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    2. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by polar+red · · Score: 1

      and, once they are damaged or destroyed, the materials can be reused ...

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    3. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by mrphoton · · Score: 0

      In optoelectronics most semiconductors are toxic or have toxic elements. e.g. GaAs (Gallium Arsenide) is used a wide range of laser diodes and photoelectrons. Come to think of it I can not thing of a single laser which does not have arsenic in it.

    4. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Nonsense. All the edges have been rubbed off the atoms, they'll never work as well again.

    5. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by QuasiEvil · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I hate to break it to you, but nearly everything is toxic at some level. The ugly truth is that we're not going to get to a green utopia without some exotic materials that'll probably kill you if you look at them funny. Coal and oil are very safe, non-toxic materials - as is any reasonable concentration of CO2 - but the reality is that they're not green overall. The "green-ness" of a material is in its overall impact, not in its intrinsic properties. We can engineer around the fact that handling them is toxic - it's just a process and plant design question.

      We aren't going to build a completely renewable energy infrastucture out of rainbows and ponies. It's going to take some very strange stuff, much of it not good for you. We just have to manage it well.

    6. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by vlm · · Score: 1

      and, once they are damaged or destroyed, the materials can be reused ...

      Tellurium is extremely rare... the best "ore" source for it would likely be .... used solar panels. Instead of meth addicts stealing the copper power lines, they'll start stealing panels for tellurium recycling. Weird but true. Wait till all the meth heads figure out automotive catalytic converters contain precious metals, and not just the high functioning ones know.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    7. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by el3mentary · · Score: 1

      In large enough quantities even water is toxic.

      --
      I reject your reality and substitute my own.
    8. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by jcr · · Score: 3, Funny

      We aren't going to build a completely renewable energy infrastucture out of rainbows and ponies.

      Shut up! I've got a three billion dollar energy department grant proposal for my "rainbows and ponies" study, and loose talk like that could blow the deal!

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    9. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by doom · · Score: 1

      Coal and oil are very safe, non-toxic materials - as is any reasonable concentration of CO2 - but the reality is that they're not green overall.

      You're losing me here. Even before you talk about CO2 emissions, coal power in the US kills thousands of people a year. It's an incredibly dirty, 18th Century energy technology.

    10. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by maxume · · Score: 1

      Controlling the meth heads is tough, but controlling the people willing to do business with them is manageable.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    11. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by JDevers · · Score: 1

      Dried ponies burn quite nicely, thank you.

    12. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 1

      Bringing the century into it is pure straw-man; how old is hydro?

      --

      --

      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
    13. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by dbIII · · Score: 1
      So are a lot of things involved in oil refining - for instance HF acid. The answer is to treat these things with respect and not let them out to kill the fish, kiddies etc.

      Also when thin films are involved chemists and material scientists are typically talking about a thickness of a couple of atomic layers. That rare Tellurium is going to spread a long way and this is only one of the many options around.

    14. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by tiananmen+tank+man · · Score: 1

      What happens when you use up all the sunshine from the sun. Then we get to live in darkness, now what smrt guy?!?

    15. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they release a lot of NOx while burning.

    16. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar isn't renewable. Once we run out of sun, that's it, there's no more and we have to go to a whole new solar system to get another.

    17. Re:Cadmium Telluride? How green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hate to break it to you, but nearly everything is toxic at some level. The ugly truth is that we're not going to get to a green utopia without some exotic materials that'll probably kill you if you look at them funny. Coal and oil are very safe, non-toxic materials - as is any reasonable concentration of CO2 - but the reality is that they're not green overall. The "green-ness" of a material is in its overall impact, not in its intrinsic properties. We can engineer around the fact that handling them is toxic - it's just a process and plant design question.

      We aren't going to build a completely renewable energy infrastucture out of rainbows and ponies. It's going to take some very strange stuff, much of it not good for you. We just have to manage it well.

      Yes it is an ugly truth but there needs to be agitation about it now so that handling of these materials is seriously considered. How many people installing solar on their property are even aware of this? My guess would be not very many. Solar companies are not going to consider safe handling without the appropriate agitation.

  11. Relative to other power sources... by andytrevino · · Score: 1

    How does this compare? My gut reaction is that, government subsidies aside, per kilowatt-hour, I'm sure just about ANYTHING is cheaper than solar at this point.

    When will we finally start building cheap, efficient, and above all clean nuclear plants again instead of wasting our time with this solar and wind crap?

    1. Re:Relative to other power sources... by polar+red · · Score: 1

      cheap

      HAHAHAHAH ! nuclear is NOT cheap. It is being subsidized MORE than wind or solar.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    2. Re:Relative to other power sources... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 0

      My problems with nuclear:

      1) For the full cost of building and operating a nuclear power plant, you could "generate" far more energy by investing in energy efficiency.

      2) Proponents never tell you that costs go up quite a bit in order to reprocess spent fuel.

      3) Nuclear power has to be highly centralized and highly regulated in a way that solar and wind do not. If you like heavy government involvement, you'll love nuclear power. It's no coincidence that France -- the poster child for nuclear energy -- is a country that horrifies most nuclear proponents in just about every other way.

      4) The costs of wind and solar are plummeting. You don't see the same sort of trends in nuclear power.

      5) Once you build the infrastructure for solar and wind, the fuel is free. Uranium's price can fluctuate dramatically. I'm pretty sure it rose and plunged with the recent commodities bubble.

      6) Nobody wants a nuclear power plant in their back yard. Okay, maybe you. But overall they're pretty unpopular.

      I'd greatly prefer nuclear to coal, but those aren't our only options. All forms of alternative energy are making quick progress, and will make even more progress over the thirty year lifespan of a fission reactor. Unless fusion comes along and makes the whole thing moot, I don't see nuclear as a viable candidate for future power generation.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    3. Re:Relative to other power sources... by forkazoo · · Score: 1

      How does this compare? My gut reaction is that, government subsidies aside, per kilowatt-hour, I'm sure just about ANYTHING is cheaper than solar at this point.

      When will we finally start building cheap, efficient, and above all clean nuclear plants again instead of wasting our time with this solar and wind crap?

      Well, in the US, at least, there are very significant subsidies on fossil fuel based power as well, so on a completely level playing field, Solar would still be in the ballpark. It's certainly not a discount power source, though. And, there is a firm limit on Earth's solar capacity -- the total amount of sunlight falling on the planet.

      Unfortunately, nuclear isn't a cure-all. Clean is certainly a relative term. Sure, CO2 emissions would basically be zero, and the probability of a Chernobyl type event in a modern reactor would be extremely small. Still, you have a bunch of radioactive crap to deal with. Some of which must be dealt with on a very very long timescale.

      IMO, throwing money at fusion R+D is the way to go, but obviously nobody has a "shovel-ready" blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet. Power output is significant in existing reactors, but most of that goes back to driving the fusion reaction, and the net output is barely enough to make a cup of slightly warm tea.

      So, with the cost of Solar falling constantly with R+D, and the fact that it currently makes economic sense in some places, and the fact that the cost effectiveness of solar increases as cost of the competition's fuel rises, and the fact the solar cost will be very stable for an installation, and the fact that it is quite environmentally friendly, I expect to see a heck of a lot of solar deployed in the next 20 years. Wind has similar advantages as solar, but probably less significant gains from R+D because the technology is better understood. (Spinny things go in circle when I blow on them.) I don't think these technologies should be dismissed as folly just because they aren't as sexy as the nuclear options.

    4. Re:Relative to other power sources... by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Be happy with a few windmills and a few KWH of solar. No large power plants are being built in the US. No coal fired plants, no nuclear, nothing.

      Population in the US is increasing. Demand for electricity has to remain level, because there are no new major plants being built.

      What does that mean? Well, probably it means we are screwed. How long does it take to build a state-of-the-art coal fired plant? At least five years. Figure 10 for nuclear. Better hope the electric demand is level for the next five years or so. If Mr. Obama has his way, better hope it stays level for at least the next 13.

      I don't think that is going to happen. We are screwed.

    5. Re:Relative to other power sources... by scotch · · Score: 1

      IMO, throwing money at fusion R+D is the way to go, but obviously nobody has a "shovel-ready" blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet.

      obody has a "shovel-ready" blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a fusion reactor yet

      --
      XML causes global warming.
    6. Re:Relative to other power sources... by quarterbuck · · Score: 1

      Seems like that is not the case.
      Coal power costs $1.3 per Watt, and Nuclear power costs $1.5 to $2. This is just on the Capital costs, with Coal and Nuclear power the running costs are likely to be significant.
      On the other hand for solar power, the manufacturing costs $1 and running costs zero. I am assuming that there is a hidden cost of land for solar power which is not included here , but then First Solar operates out of Arizona -they got plenty of desert there.

      So I guess it is the turn of Nuclear power guys to ramp up the efficiencies. Most likely that will come from India where they just got hold of a Nuclear Deal and are starting to build more. Add to that the low costs of labor, Nuclear may be competitive for a while more.
      None of this gives you backing for calling this "solar and wind crap" though. These technologies, if wiki data is to be believed, will win the price war with no subsidies, strictly competing in the marketplace.

      --
      http://slashdot.org/submission/1062723/Cheap-mobile-data-plan?art_pos=2
    7. Re:Relative to other power sources... by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Ok - here we go again with the costings.

      Which actual nuclear plant is that for?

      Until someone can answer that question it has to be consigned to the catagory of rubbery figures that came out of some orifice since there is absolutely no way to verify it.

      When the UK opened the books of British Nuclear Fuels to the taxpayer it had far less flattering numbers, as with Japan, the former USSR, South Africa's pebble bed (now with a full scale prototype in China) etc etc.

    8. Re:Relative to other power sources... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My problems with nuclear:

      1) For the full cost of building and operating a nuclear power plant, you could "generate" far more energy by investing in energy efficiency.

      It isn't mutually exclusive. If energy efficiency is economical then the investment should be made. But that doesn't change the fact that most of the power will still be made by coal and that energy requirements are still going to rise. Coal plants should be decommissioned, energy efficiency should be increased, and nuclear plants should be built.

      2) Proponents never tell you that costs go up quite a bit in order to reprocess spent fuel.

      True. A lot of people are full of shit on this issue. But this doesn't change the fact that the reprocessing ban should be removed just in case some company happens to be smart enough to pull it off economically.

      3) Nuclear power has to be highly centralized and highly regulated in a way that solar and wind do not. If you like heavy government involvement, you'll love nuclear power. It's no coincidence that France -- the poster child for nuclear energy -- is a country that horrifies most nuclear proponents in just about every other way.

      Why do people always pick on the French? They seem to be running their country just fine. In fact, they are doing a lot better, in my humble opinion, than the US or the UK in the last 20 years (health care and energy problems solved and no stupid fucking wars). And why do people always pick on centralization as if it is automatically the worst thing you could do? Centralization increases efficiency and reduces the overall size of the infrastructure needed. This is the primary reason that cities exist in the first place.

      4) The costs of wind and solar are plummeting. You don't see the same sort of trends in nuclear power.

      And large centralized wind and solar power plants are being built in selected locations where it is economical. They aren't being built in the uneconomical places without massive subsidies.

      5) Once you build the infrastructure for solar and wind, the fuel is free. Uranium's price can fluctuate dramatically. I'm pretty sure it rose and plunged with the recent commodities bubble.

      True, but the cost of fuel is a small part of the cost of operating a nuclear power plant. The biggest issue is paying off the capital cost and paying the operating costs. You could increase the cost of fuel tenfold and nuclear plants would still be profitable.

      6) Nobody wants a nuclear power plant in their back yard. Okay, maybe you. But overall they're pretty unpopular.

      Have you actually asked anyone that has lived near a nuclear plant? I have. The response has been very positive.

      I'd greatly prefer nuclear to coal, but those aren't our only options. All forms of alternative energy are making quick progress, and will make even more progress over the thirty year lifespan of a fission reactor. Unless fusion comes along and makes the whole thing moot, I don't see nuclear as a viable candidate for future power generation.

      First off, nuclear plants are initially rated for 40 years and commonly get 20 year extensions. Secondly, even fusion power wouldn't win popular support. Environmental groups like the Sierra Club and Greenpeace already protest fusion research because of the potential to emit tritium into the groundwater.

    9. Re:Relative to other power sources... by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      On the other hand for solar power, the manufacturing costs $1
      No, one manufacturer claims to have got the cost for the raw cells down to that level.

      add on the panalising costs, the installation costs, the inverter costs and so on and I would expect the figure to increase dramatically.

      Plus i'm pretty sure the rating of a solar panel is what it will generate under ideal conditions. Average output will be much lower.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    10. Re:Relative to other power sources... by Jaeph · · Score: 1

      "Still, you have a bunch of radioactive crap to deal with."

      How much is a "bunch", precisely? How does the "radiocative crap" compare with the "crap" generated by other other technologies?

      Every single tech to generate power has a major downside. Sadly, the biggest hurdle in nuclear power isn't the bunch of crap it leaves, but people's fear of it simply because it has the label "radioactive".

      -Jeff

      --
      Please learn the difference between a dissenting opinion and a troll before you moderate.
    11. Re:Relative to other power sources... by forkazoo · · Score: 1

      nobody has a "shovel-ready" blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a practical, cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a cost effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a effective fusion reactor yet
      nobody has a blueprint for a fusion reactor yet

      People have built fusion reactors, and they have output more power than they consumed. It was slight, but they got there. And, like I said, I want to see money thrown at fusion R+D to get us to the point where we can build something sensible. That was the point of my comment. The basic science of fusion has been demonstrated in a lab, so it is largely a matter of engineering to make it practical now.

    12. Re:Relative to other power sources... by Dravik · · Score: 1

      The only reason that nuclear is so expensive is because of regulatory ratcheting from environmentalists. If you pile enough unnecessary regulations on anything you can then turn around and claim it isn't cost effective. Additionally, most of those subsidies, such as the government paying to mine the fuel, aren't subsidies, the government makes a profit selling the fuel to the power plants.

      --
      The purpose of language is communication, If the idea is clear the grammar ain't important
    13. Re:Relative to other power sources... by polar+red · · Score: 1

      regulatory ratcheting from environmentalists

      Three-mile island, chernobyl

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    14. Re:Relative to other power sources... by Dravik · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl was already completely covered by US regulations before it happened. Even the Russians actually had it covered in their rules. It only happened because they violated their own safety rules. Three-mile island is a testament to how US regulations work. Despite damn near everything going wrong the only release of radiation was some hydrogen gas. Hydrogen, most people know, is lighter than air and thus only a danger to whatever flock of birds may have flown over at the time. The correct response to three mile island was some regulatory tweaking to cover lessons learned, to include removing outdated or counterproductive rules. The problem with adding more and more rules every year is that the added complexity itself creates risk. Most of the rules added in that time period were the result of political pressure not necessity or any expectation of improved safety. They were put in place to intentionally delay construction and increase cost. It takes about five years to build a nuclear power plant in Japan. It takes over a decade in the US. The Japanese aren't building unsafe plants, they just don't have a bunch of nuts who lose their minds just because someone says "nuclear".

      --
      The purpose of language is communication, If the idea is clear the grammar ain't important
    15. Re:Relative to other power sources... by scotch · · Score: 1

      Link please. You first sentence; I'd quote, but I'm too lazy. I don't think were anywhere close to fusion as a power source, but I haven't paid much attention in the last 5 years. Based on the previous 45 years, I'm assuming it's still "15 years out".

      --
      XML causes global warming.
    16. Re:Relative to other power sources... by polar+red · · Score: 1

      It only happened because they violated their own safety rules.

      That is the CORE of the problem : the humans operating a nuclear power plant. Without very strict regulations, cost cuttings would lead to accidents.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    17. Re:Relative to other power sources... by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Actually, in South Korea its even faster to build a nuclear power plant, for some reason.

  12. Cadmium toxicity's a real problem too by billstewart · · Score: 1

    Cadmium's a really nasty material - even if it's available in significant enough quantities to transform the electric industry, it's not the kind of stuff you want to have getting into the water system.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    1. Re:Cadmium toxicity's a real problem too by Big+Bob+the+Finder · · Score: 1

      Well, so is tellurium. Individuals exposed to tellurium even at very low concentrations develop "tellurium breath," a foul garlic-like odor. As an undergrad in chemistry in college, I was informed only half-jokingly by a professor that was an occupational hazard that had restricted our knowledge of the element.

      However, from a production standpoint its scarcity is troubling; Wikipedia states its presence is lower in the crust than that of platinum, making it the rarest stable element by concentration. 500 tons of copper ore- apparently a decent source of the stuff- leads to the production of about one pound of tellurium. Perhaps that's one reason why First Solar settled here in copper country- Arizona.

      I can't seem to find how much Te is used to dope Cd to produce CdTe; even if it's not a lot (part-per-million concentrations), they will run into problems quickly, so I'd be interested in finding out how they plan on working around that.

      Personally, I wouldn't worry too much about toxicity, so long as the stuff is confined within panels. It's insoluble (can't seem to find at what level- surely some minute amount dissolves in water), but it seems to be safe enough once confined within panels. Presumably the designers worry enough about hail damage that the panels are reasonably well-constructed to prevent release of material.

    2. Re:Cadmium toxicity's a real problem too by afidel · · Score: 1

      Well others have posted that there are ~200tons of the stuff produced per year currently. Assuming 2g used per panel that means they would have to produce ~180M panels per YEAR to use up the current world supply. I doubt there have been 180M panels produced in the entirety of solar panel production, aka it's basically a moot point. Btw 190M panels per year wouldn't be maintained for long since after just a couple years supply would equal total demand for electricity.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  13. The fatal flaw with Grid Tied PV systems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The power companies aren't stupid.

    As more and more systems are installed, the first thing which will happen is the implemetation of time of use metering on residential customers.

    Once time of use metering is implemented, two things will happen: Either you will be forced to sell your PV produced power at a wholesale rate
    (a fraction of retail), or the power companies will move peak rates to nighttime, or both.

    Your investment in a grid tied system will then be rendered practically worthless.

    1. Re:The fatal flaw with Grid Tied PV systems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the power companies know most people still need quite a bit of electricity during non-daylight hours, so I doubt they're too worried. Also think about another option, what if they were to pay you for your excess solar generated power (assuming you are the point where you have more energy being generated than you can actually use)?

  14. Costs and usage by phorm · · Score: 1

    This goes with the assumption that the main benefit of use would go to users installing them as sources of power for a whole household.

    While that might eventually be the case, I'd imagine that the first step might be more in the integration of solar energy. Imagine if all A/C units came without a plug and instead had integrated solar panel(s). After market-penetration reached a high-enough level, there could be a huge reduction on grid-usage during the summer (after all, if it's sunny enough to be hot, it's sunny enough to provide power).

  15. Re:TCO including disposing of toxic cadmium by billstewart · · Score: 1

    Those panels aren't going to last forever, and unlike silicon panels which may involve some toxics during manufacturing but aren't bad once they're finished, cadmium's a nasty toxic material, so cadmium-telluride panels aren't going to be something you can send to the dump for free; I don't think anybody knows what the disposal costs will be.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  16. Don't forget it's peak power by kill-1 · · Score: 1

    One shouldn't forget that the watts in all these price per watt numbers are peak power. From Wikipedia:

    A common rule of thumb is that average power is equal to 20% of peak power, so that each peak kilowatt of solar array output power corresponds to energy production of 4.8 kWh per day (24 hours x 1kWh x 20% = 4.8 kWh)

    In many parts of the world it's even less.

    1. Re:Don't forget it's peak power by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      And in many parts, it's much more. That's especially true of the places where these panels will be initially installed. They're going almost entirely to big, centralized generation projects. See here

      I'm not sure what you're getting at here.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    2. Re:Don't forget it's peak power by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Can someone clarify the formula?

      24 hours x 1kWh X .2 = 4.8 kwh^2 ??

      I assume it is supposed to read

      24 hours x 1kWh x .2 = 4.8 kWh

      that would mesh with the description, but I would hate to correct wikipedia with a fail (as the author of that line has already failed the article once).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  17. Why $1 per watt is important by vlm · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The reason why $1 per watt is important, which isn't mentioned in the summary, is not just that it's a nice round number, but the capital cost of electricity for most major industrialized nations averages about a buck a watt. Some more, some less, depends on the cost of land and the economic conditions when the plants were built, technology level, pollution controls, etc, but your local electrical power company happily pays about a buck a watt to build a traditional non-solar plant.

    Solar only works half the day, but probably much lower maintenance, slower depreciation, and no fuel costs at all.

    So, it now costs "about the same" to build a 1 GW coal, a 1 GW natgas, a 1 GW nuke, OR A 1 GW SOLAR ... Which brings solar into the corporate boardroom.

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    1. Re:Why $1 per watt is important by shermo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You mentioned that solar only works half the time, but you seemed to dismiss it as irrelevant.

      Total capacity is a very misleading metric to measure power stations by, and is meaningless without information about it's utilization.

      Obviously solar panels only generate when the sun is shining, just like wind plants only generate when the wind is blowing. A very good wind farm will get 40% utilization. A very good solar farm will get maybe 25% utilization.

      And that's not the whole story either. It's also interesting to look at the demand weighted generation. This is a way of accounting for generation being more useful when demand is higher. In general, solar panels have a higher DWG in hot climates (air-con when sun is shining), and a lower DWG in cold climates (heating when sun isn't).

      Current installed prices are about $5/Wp, and I'd be suprised to see %1/Wp before 2015.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    2. Re:Why $1 per watt is important by maxume · · Score: 1

      2015 sounds fine.

      It seems like things are already at a point where subsidies should target people looking to offset AC, and the idea that they are going to continue to improve is great.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Why $1 per watt is important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much land do you need to lay 1 GW in solar panels? I mean, it is not only the solar panels cost.

    4. Re:Why $1 per watt is important by vlm · · Score: 1

      You mentioned that solar only works half the time, but you seemed to dismiss it as irrelevant.

      Not just seemed to, but very intentionally disregarded it.

      Check out some historical numbers

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_energy

      "... and Daryl Chapin created the silicon solar cell in 1954.[71] These early solar cells cost 286 USD/watt and reached efficiencies ..."

      Since 1954, an improvement of a factor of 286, plus or minus some marketing. You are commenting that a factor of 2 to 4 is more significant or otherwise outshines a factor of 286.

      Also note that a reasonably decent nuclear power plant might only have a capacity factor of 75%. Non-solar plants of any type never run quite at 100% capacity factor, at least for very long.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yankee_Rowe_Nuclear_Power_Station

      The small difference in capacity factor (maybe a factor of two in overall capital costs) can be made up over time by ZERO fuel costs, near-zero maintenance costs (near zero, in comparison to a full sized nuke plant, anyway, not near zero in comparison to say, my checkbook), near zero pollution issues (build the solar plant upwind of where ever you want), zero radioactivity so the terrified clueless masses won't complain, dramatically lower labor costs, etc.

      Like it or not, commercially competitive solar is here and/or on the way, since they cost around the same to build, but cost almost nothing to operate. It's not a "green" or enviro-loonie thing anymore to build a solar plant, its now cold hard inevitable capitalist economics at work.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    5. Re:Why $1 per watt is important by gbutler69 · · Score: 1

      The sun is shining 24-hours per day!

      --
      Over-the-top Response Guy! Giving "Over-the-Top Responses" since 1970.
  18. 1W/$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What, did solar just rise in cost, or should the article have said "Solar Panels reach 1W a $"?

    1. Re:1W/$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No, you're just insane.

      They just dropped in cost and reached the level of $1/W. "Reached" doesn't necessarily imply an increase.

  19. Supplier? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    May I ask where you're purchasing your panels from? I'm kicking around the idea of setting up solar for my house as well, but I have no idea where to start looking.

  20. Nanosolar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What about nanosolar? They have the capacity to produce cells at $.30 per watt. However, they aren't open to consumers as of yet. They are filled with large powerplant orders at the moment.

    (citation) http://www.naturalnews.com/023389.html

  21. First time $1 a Watt? by jmichaelg · · Score: 1

    An article over at Popular Mechanics announces that, for the first time, solar cells have been manufactured for the much sought-after figure of $1/Watt.

      What about this time? That was over a year ago.

  22. Common Misconceptions by SteelAvian · · Score: 1

    Having worked in the industry for a US based solar manufacturer, there are a couple of misconceptions that are extremely common. Thin-film amorphous Silicon modules are much less expensive to produce because they use a gas based deposition process rather than traditional (blue looking) crystalline modules. Crystalline must compete for silicon ingots with the semiconductor industry resulting in increased cost of materials. Thin-film however are not what you would put on the roof of your residence since they require more square footage to provide the same amount of kilowatt hours. In other words, the effort required to place either a single crystalline module or a single thin-film module is exactly the same, so if labor is the biggest cost in your installation you're better off paying more for a more energy dense panel and putting up less of them. The main reason thin-film is good for commercial applications is because they generate more kilowatt hours of energy per year per kilowatt installed. Crystalline modules "switch off" sooner and "turn on" later because they require more direct sunlight to function. Because of this, thin-film modules have a quicker energy payback. In summary, if you install 100kW of crystalline you will use less space (good thing), generate less power, and cost more money than thin-film panels. Even though you need more structures when you install thin-film, if you're putting up a megawatt you can take advantage of economy of scale and incur a proportionally lower installation cost per kW. That said, the inexpensive manufacturing cost of thin-film modules for commercial sized installations (the roof of Wal-Mart for instance, or a large desert install) makes sense in those quantities. If you're putting them on the roof of your house, use more expensive and more energy dense crystalline. Eventually thin-film technology will catch up to crystalline on efficiency, but keep in mind what commercial-scale installations need is the cheapest way to generate massive amounts of kilowatt hours per year while taking advantage of all the tax write-offs and solar credits.

  23. Re:TCO including disposing of toxic cadmium by amorsen · · Score: 1

    If the article is right, cadmium and telluride will become much sought-after as raw materials. You might get paid for the old panels.

    --
    Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  24. Don't forget the automatic service disconnect by zerofoo · · Score: 1

    Much like a backup generator installation that uses an automatic transfer switch, you'll also need an automatic disconnect switch to remove point of use generated power from the utility lines coming into your house if the power fails.

    The last thing you want to do is electrocute a utility worker when they are servicing your power lines.

    -ted

    1. Re:Don't forget the automatic service disconnect by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

      Its builtin to the inverter. As soon as the inverter detects loss of A/C sync from the utility, it cuts out. If it is a brief interruption, the inverter cuts out, waits until it resync's to the 60 cycle, and then re-activates the relay. It is explicitly designed so that if A/C is lost, the inverter disconnects as well.

  25. How to lie with numbers, part MCMMXII by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1

    $1 a watt sounds good. Until you think about it a bit. A one meter-square panel generates about 150 watts, so that would be $150. But the ancillary costs are many times that. First figure on the cost of a support frame and a glass cover. Then to get the 150 watts for more than an hour during the day you need a sun-tracking mount. For this all to last ten years it all has to be mighty sturdy to handle the anticipated peak winds during the interval. You're now up to at least $600 just in parts. Assuming the usual markups and installation the retail price is going to be upwards of $1000. So even if this miracle cell technology could be driven down to ZERO cost, you're only lowering the total system cost by 15 percent.

    1. Re:How to lie with numbers, part MCMMXII by raistlinwolf · · Score: 1

      All panels will need glass and frame, even $2,3,../watt ones (assuming they didn't achieve $1/watt by neglecting to calculate the rest of the manufacturing cost!). Some people just mount them flat on their roof - this is why the price per watt is such an important factor, they need to become cheap enough to justify using twice as many to double the output instead of using complex mounts/trackers.

  26. Marketing watts, or engineering watts? by Attila+the+Bun · · Score: 1
    Under what conditions do you get your 1W/$?

    Blazing sunshine at midday at the top of a mountain on the equator? On a moonless night? Or could it even be 1W/$ averaged over a year under typical working conditions at, say, a latitude of 45 degrees?

    The difference between maximum and average output could be huge. Direct sunlight can be more than 100x stronger than the light on an overcast day. Given the wild claims we keep hearing from pseudo-green con-men, I'd like to see some more data.

    1. Re:Marketing watts, or engineering watts? by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      The standard cell power rating is peak power in 1kW/m^2 sunlight pointing directly at the sun. In the highest-sunlight areas such as the Mojave you'll get about 6kWh/m^2 of gross sunlight power per day averaged over a year, or 6 hours of noon-equivalent sunlight per day, so if you have a 1kW rated panel in the Mojave you'll get about 6 kWh average per day. In more normal locations it'll be more like 4kWh/day, in bad regions maybe 2.5kWh/day.

      So that's 2,190kWh per year per kW rated output in ideal location, 1450kWh/year in an normal area.

      This comment had some good info on lease deals, which make solar pay immediately even with much more expensive cost per watt than $1.

      This commenthad detailed calculations on the effective cost per kWh counting all parts and expenses and came up with something under 10 cents per kWh

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
  27. $1 per Watt huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess that's why they still sell them to Joe Public at $10 per Watt.

  28. Mostly DIY by olddotter · · Score: 1

    Well it is a DIY job for 80% of the effort. And frankly a sizable percentage of the Slashdot readership is probably geeky enough to do it all. If you aren't an electrical geek then you will need an electrician to wire up the inverter and connect to the power grid. Really it not much more complicated than correctly wiring up a generator to your house for use during those weather related power outages. (Pretty common where I am; we get both hurricanes and winter ice storms.)

  29. Re:Wow WRONG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Try hooking things up to 170 VDC and watch the smoke signals begin.

    120 VAC is the equivalent power to VDC. Regular incan bulbs would be fine with 120 VDC and might last awhile at 170, but not for long. CFL's won't be okay at all. Computers won't work at all either.

    One could explain why, but short of it is this incorrect info by someone who doesn't understand what is going on here.

  30. MOD PARENT UP by Vellmont · · Score: 1

    This is very good advice, and said better than I could have said it. All too often people think of PV systems and think it's a way to be off the grid. That's pretty silly and wasteful.

    I don't know if it's true everywhere, but I've heard several times that a PV system will cause your electric meter to run backwards. So your electric bill at the end of the month is based on power consumed - power produced. As you point out that creates a strong incentive to match your PV system with your consumption.

    Some power companies are forced by law to buy the power back from you, but the rates are low compared to what you buy the same power for. (Actually it'd be very cool if you could sell the power to ANYONE at a market rate rather than the crappy rate the electric company will buy it for).

    --
    AccountKiller
    1. Re:MOD PARENT UP by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I don't know if it's true everywhere, but I've heard several times that a PV system will cause your electric meter to run backwards.

      It'd take a rather funky residential meter to NOT run backwards.

      (Actually it'd be very cool if you could sell the power to ANYONE at a market rate rather than the crappy rate the electric company will buy it for).

      They are buying it from you at market rate. They're selling it to you at retail though. The local coal plant gets like 3 cents per kwh, while I pay 10.

      A lot of the money goes towards maintaining the transmission grid and such. It'd be a bit like going to the store and wanting to sell them homemade(but identical) products at their retail prices - how is the store going to cover it's infrastructure and labor expenses?

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:MOD PARENT UP by Your+Pal+Dave · · Score: 1

      They are buying it from you at market rate. They're selling it to you at retail though. The local coal plant gets like 3 cents per kwh, while I pay 10.

      That really depends on what your states PUC rules are. Some states use net metering which amounts to the meter running "backwards" in that you get full credit for all the power you put in against what you have to get out of the grid at night/on cloudy days. If you provide more power than you consume then it varies by state if you get wholesale credit or something else.

      Compare this to being "off the grid". In that case any excess generation is simply lost, not to mention the capital cost of a battery bank. Of course, with net metering you are still vulnerable to power failures.

    3. Re:MOD PARENT UP by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I was assuming net metering; but what happens with any power after that is up to the local company, yes.

      with net metering you are still vulnerable to power failures.

      There are systems today that, while more expensive, allow net metering and still provide power during blackouts.

      I even saw one that would activate/deactivate circuits depending on load demands and power supply.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    4. Re:MOD PARENT UP by afidel · · Score: 1

      Is there any locality that includes net metering with time of day pricing? Because of the way the grid works this would actually best reflect the true gains for the electric company as they have a huge marginal cost to bring certain plants online (and build those peak hour plants!). I know certain things like diesel generators are so expensive to run that they offer large consumers very significant discount to be able to take them offline during peak periods. Solar is really the ideal power source for smoothing those peak loads since their output is peaking right along with demand.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  31. CdTe is a direct band-gap material, Si is indirect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The article seems to have a shallow understanding of the physics involved here... it presumes that extraction costs are the limiting factor:

    While silicon is the second-most abundant element in the Earth's crust, it requires enormous amounts of energy to convert into a usable crystalline form. This is a fundamental thermodynamic barrier that will keep silicon costs comparatively high.

    Almost certainly, the reason CdTe has won this particular race is that it's one of the compound semi-conductors, all of which are direct band-gap materials [1], and Silicon is an indirect band-gap material. With an "indirect" band-gap, for a photon of the right energy to be absorbed it has to hit the lattice at the same time as a phonon, but for a "direct" band-gap, the photon alone is enough -- this tends to limit the efficiency of photo cells made of the much simpler, more abundant Silicon... and unfortunately the compound semi-conductors are all composed of much rarer and more poisonous elements.

    Since this is slashdot, I will hazard an uninformed guess that there may be some tricks out there to get Silicon to act as efficiently as a direct-band gap material (e.g. an odd, nanoscale surface texture) -- but these tricks will up the cost of manufacture, and won't achieve wide-spread use. There's no free lunch, and the name of the game in ground-based solar power is to gather an extremely diffuse source of energy -- it's just not an easy problem (despite the repeated, proud announcements of Breakthroughs from it's enthusiasts).

    [1] When last I looked -- which was some time ago -- no one really knew why the compound semi-conductors were all direct band-gap materials, and the elemental ones were indirect.

  32. Solar Thermal by olddotter · · Score: 2, Informative

    There is an interesting link on Solar Thermal power at the bottom of the article. I think it is worth reading in relation to photovoltaic power options.

    Solar Thermal

    Blog Post on the articles.

  33. Thermal Solar by MrKaos · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Thermal Solar is making some great advances and even pushing the boundaries of Stirling engine design. The picture is an animated gif of a parabolic dish mounted generator - note the interesting design of the alternator off the power piston.

    There is a lot going on in Thermal Solar right now as it has the greatest potential to meet base load power needs when coupled with molten salt storage.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  34. High-tech Rainbow Ponies by crush · · Score: 1

    I hate to break it to you, but unless the costing includes factoring in all the external costs then the OP is correct to be suspicious of whether or not this is a reasonable technology. The "completely renewable energy infrastructure" is just high tech Rainbow Ponyism unless such complete audits are produced. There is absolutely no record of anyone "managing [our environmental impact] well" and plenty of history to suggest we'll do the opposite. Don't be so quick to sneer at people that are skeptical of the next "Green" boondoggle for industry.

  35. Re:TCO including disposing of toxic cadmium by maxume · · Score: 1

    With any luck, a manufacturer will want to buy them...

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  36. Warranties aren't everything by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Assuming, of course, that the warranting company is still around to provide the replacements, and at least partially that the problem isn't systematic, thus driving the company out of business when serious replacement requests start to hit. Or that they're counting on most people to simply not notice.

    Still, I'm more concerned about the occasional hail storm taking panels out than them degrading.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Warranties aren't everything by dwywit · · Score: 1
      They're from BP Solar, so they've a better chance than most of still being around in 20 years.

      The panels are climate rated for Australia - cyclone-rated panels and mounts, hail-rated up to (IIRC) golf-ball size.

      I'm more worried about bushfires.

      --
      They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom
  37. No money upfront, save money on solar from Day 1 by fullon604 · · Score: 3, Informative

    [A re-post of a comment from a few months ago] Guys -- you all seem to be neglecting the recent developments in solar financing. (Disclaimer -- I do work for SolarCity http://solarcity.com/ [solarcity.com] [solarcity.com], a leading installer of residential solar arrays in the SF Bay Area and beyond. We do use First Solar panels, in fact we're the only company using them for residential-scale projects in the US. I won't make a totally shameless plug here, I'm trying to be fair to the other good and clever solar companies out there. A rising tide lifts all boats!) By bringing in a 3rd party commercial owner via an Operating Lease or Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) structure, the customer can save money from solar on Day 1. The 3rd party (an investment fund, or perhaps the solar company themselves) owns the system and claim the full range of available incentives. Commercial owners can take accelerated depreciation on the system, and can utilize the full 30% federal tax credit , and they also get whatever state/local/utility incentives are available as per usual. The customer would have ZERO down-payment, and makes monthly payments over a period of ~15-18 years. There is no lien on the house. The tax investor receives a reasonable return on their investment over time, the installer makes reasonable margins on the installation, and the customers can save money from Day 1. Everybody wins! So to use the parent submitter's house as an example of what we can do -- For a $400/month average bill in Sunnyvale, CA, we might recommend a 7.7 kW DC system. Assuming the customer had decent credit (720 FICO), we would require no down payment, and then charge monthly lease payments of $216/mo, for 15 years. The monthly payments do go up at ~3-4% per year (we could alternatively have 0% escalation, but of course that would require a higher starting payment and so it's harder to show savings right away... there are many possible variations here. Also remember that local PG&E utility rates are increasing at >5% per year on average). With this 7.7kW system, they might expect their average monthly bill to go from $400 to $99 per month. Add the $216/month payment, and their new average monthly electricity cost is (216 + 99) = $315/month, for immediate savings of ~$85/mo!! [As a point of information, virtually all residential solar systems are grid-tied, so that when the panels are active during the daytime, the meter is often "spinning" backwards. This is how the utility-bill-savings part works.] The installers offering these plans usually include full service/maintenance for the life of the lease, including replacement of the DC/AC inverter if necessary. The customer is given the opportunity to purchase the system after years 6/10/15, or if they have to move or sell their house. The panels are warranted by the manufacturers to last 25+ years at 80-90%+ kWh output, so a long-term buy-and-hold strategy is solid. Or, if the customer looks around in 15 years and sees a better/cheaper technology, or just doesn't wish to renew or buy out), they are free to end the lease and we'll remove the panels at our cost. The customer who understands Net Present Value (NPV) calculations can easily demonstrate that this offers far superior savings compared to either a) doing nothing, or b) purchasing the system for cash. So before you all roll your eyes about solar being a poor investment with a many-year paybacks, please consider such alternative financing approaches.

  38. Fighting global warming by Jiyunatori · · Score: 1

    There's something I find really sad to read. At the begining they are talking about fighting global warming. Nice.

    And then, you have this :

    "First Solar is great, as long as we're talking
    megawatts or gigawatts," he says. "But as soon
    as they have to start rolling out terawatts,
    that's where I believe they will reach some
    limitations."

    Well, another solution could be to promote a lifestyle that doesn't make you count in terawatts.

    But no, we won't do that because we are too lazy, and some technology will solve ... the sideeffects of another technology.

    Of course I'm not saying solar panels or technology sucks, it's more about the way it is used. It reminds me of this prank made by the "Yes Men" to a french politician, tricking him into believing that boeing was planing to drop huge ice cube on the north pole to fight the polar ice melting.

    1. Re:Fighting global warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Well, another solution could be to promote a lifestyle that doesn't make you count in terawatts.

      Feel free to live in the Matrix; your individual energy consumption should be pretty tiny then. I'll stay in real world, thank you.

  39. It's cost per watt hour, not cost per watt by bartwol · · Score: 0, Troll

    It amazes me the lengths propagandists will go to to obfuscate simple questions of economics. The electric company charges me per Killowatt Hour. How much will the solar people charge me?

    The day I see them CHARGE a competitive rate (rather than SPECULATE what it will cost, or avoid stating the KwH cost) will be the day I understand solar to be competitive.

    <

    1. Re:It's cost per watt hour, not cost per watt by Shados · · Score: 1

      I could be wrong but i always thought they used that terminology because, really, lifespan of the unit aside, how many watt/hour the thing generates really just depend on how long you leave it on your roof. So if you pay 1000$ for a 1kw panel, and leave it in the sun for 10 hours, you got 10 kw/h...if you leave it for 20 hours, you get twice, and so on. Now, if the power company buys it, then yeah...but if YOU buy it and put it on your roof, then its really the price of the unit and how much it can generate at any given time that matters.

      Now, of course, how long it lasts matters too, of course :)

    2. Re:It's cost per watt hour, not cost per watt by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Solar panels will have different outputs depending on the weather and latitude where they are installed. Quoting the price per watt under idealized conditions isn't propaganda, it provides a reasonable basis for comparison.

      Though if some salesman comes to your house and quotes the price per watt, you should probably get all reactionary (unless he is comparing two different systems).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  40. Re:No money upfront, save money on solar from Day by maxume · · Score: 1

    If it works economically today, it will be a better deal next year.

    In other words, for people with reasonable electric bills, there isn't any reason to rush (especially if you aren't installing enough batteries to give you some independence from the grid (that's a nice feature...))

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  41. Nanosolar also had cheap panels by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    and a german ultility bought up every cell nanosolar will make for the next two years for a solar power plant.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  42. that's true, but it isn't instant by Trepidity · · Score: 1

    The current supply is what limits the near-term viability of the product; it means that it simply cannot become a large-scale product within the next year or two. If it started catching on and prices for tellurium went up significantly, that might spur mining companies to look for more. But now you're talking a 2-5-year lead time for prospecting and significant new mines to come online, by which point the technology will probably have been surpassed by others. So it might actually never catch on at all, if its popularity is nipped in the bud by restricted current supply. And knowing that, the mining companies may not even invest in new tellurium mines at all, since they aren't confident that demand isn't fleeting.

  43. There is no "one true energy" by dbIII · · Score: 1
    The answer, unless you are a salesman or on the take from lobbyists, is to use a mixture of different energy souces. Some of it is really obvious - if nothing else cheap solar panels would be incredibly useful in remote areas or even just outdoor powered equipment. Electronic portable road signs (eg. saying stuff about roadworks) are already solar powered where I live, and stuff like microwave repeaters on hilltops and navigation bouys have been powered that way for at least a decade.

    As for the nuclear lobby, they should have to do things the same way as everyone else and work on a decent design before money is comitted to building stuff - in the USA the only nuclear power option is incredibly expensive 1960s plants painted green.

    There are several reasons for this. Research into developing nuclear power effectively halted years ago which is a very sad state of affairs especially considering the vast amount of money spent on PR, advertising and more direct lobbying. The second is the "not invented here" option - there is no way Chinese, Indian, German or South African technology which is about twenty years ahead of what Westinghouse could do will be adopted - this is becuase it is not in the interest of those lobbying - they don't want the US government to buy just any nukes they want them to buy US made nukes. The third is that none of the more effective new designs can be used to produce weapons materials (makes sense since the dual use plants are a compromise and you can get better output if you focus), so you can't go hiding costs in military budgets anymore and have to be more open to the taxpayer. You need the goverment to put up the money since while you can have a lot of reasons to build a nuclear power plant (eg. resource poor Japan having something in case of blockade) making money is most definitely not one of them - otherwise you would see fully private nuclear power plants all over the place instead of taxpayer supported or military operations. If the government is going to buy anything down the road it is going to buy american, and it's pretty difficult to justify any of the options available there, and completely impossible with the current economic conditions.

    In an ideal world there would be far less bullshit spread by the lobbyists which is mostly counterproductive anyway, and there would be some money spent on R&D instead of pretending the problems that need to be solved don't exist - or even just optimising things to get that much closer to being cost effective enough for private enterprise to touch it. Westinghouse etc just see it as a way to fleece the taypayer - we need to get pretty well the entire nuclear lobby out of the picture before there will be any way to make progress or take advantage of the progress made elsewhere.

    Now as for the "clean" in bold print, while I understand it was one of the things pushed by huge amounts of PR it is absolute bullshit when applied to any industrial process and pretty well irrelevant to everything apart from washing powder. I used to ridicule people that used that word in the context of nuclear power as thinking it runs on magic beans and not an involved mining and processing proceedure that produces a lot of toxic waste (just like a lot of other things, only they don't pretend to be clean). Now I think people have used it so much that they simply don't have a clue what they are saying (and no - don't bring the coal strawman in here, we are talking about solar and nuclear).

    The final answer as to when all these nuclear plants will be built is that they will be done when your government decides it will do it. Nobody else is going to do it. The capital cost, long construction time and low return of even the best projections of what pebble bed will do means that nobody else will put in the money or the time.

    1. Re:There is no "one true energy" by afidel · · Score: 1

      Coal isn't a strawman, the fact is we need both peak and baseload plants and the only two currently available and growable options for baseload are coal and nuclear. So the question is which do you want to use to grow baseload generation capacity? Personally I would prefer in be modern nuclear. The only other way things could go would be is a wholesale shift to electric vehicles which could be used as distributed storage for solar and wind to even out production versus demand curves.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    2. Re:There is no "one true energy" by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Coal isn't a strawman

      In a discussion about solar power which has an offhand comment about nuclear power it most certainly is.

      BTW for your second point, hydro exists and it's a cheaper baseload power source than all the others - so long as you have enough snow or in the case of the fifty year old Le Havre plant, big enough tides. You also seem to have missed my point that you will not be getting "modern nuclear" unless you are in India or China. You will be stuck with the GM of nuclear power building the Hummer of nuclear power and only if there is a big enough government payout.

    3. Re:There is no "one true energy" by afidel · · Score: 1

      There is essentially no untapped source that can be used for additional hydro in the developed world. Wrt modern nuclear, GE and Westinghouse are designing and building modern plants all over the world. What makes you think they can't build them in the US?

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    4. Re:There is no "one true energy" by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Wrt modern nuclear, GE and Westinghouse are designing and building modern plants all over the world

      Modern? Please supply an example of such a plant which is superior in design for the purposes of power generation to something from Canada, South Africa or India. The old Westinghouse plants however would not be a bad choice for a nation with military nuclear ambitions. Every time they move a bolt location they bump up the "generation" number but due to an almost complete lack of R&D these are unfortunately almost identical to their stuff from the late 1960s. That wouldn't be so bad if they had reached a good design at that point, unfortunately they didn't, they just stopped working on it.

    5. Re:There is no "one true energy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AP1000

      Westinghouse's AP1000 reactor will be constructed in a few places in China. It's a significant improvement over previous generations in terms of passive (fail-safe) safety systems and taking up much less space. It is based on the AP600 reactor, which received final design certification in 1999.

      From a paper that I wrote for my nuclear engineering course two years ago on the topic (original source) -

      The AP1000 is unique in that it utilizes many passive safety features, such as gravity, natural circulation, and compressed gas instead of fans, pumps, diesels, chillers, or anything else that has the potential to break down over time. Passive safety measures provide automatic response to accidents and also limit the need for control systems, which, in addition to eliminating many possible sources for human error, cuts down on construction and implementation time for such control systems.

      Compared to a standard PWR safety system, the passive safety sub-systems of the AP1000 are much simpler. As there are fewer powered parts, the need for AC power, air conditioning and ventilation, cooling water systems, and seismic buildings is much smaller than traditional plants.

      Passive safety injection, passive residual heat removal and passive containment cooling are among the passive safety systems implemented in the AP1000's design.

      As far as 'moving a bolt location' and bumping up the generation number, I'll grant you that this isn't a complete redesign of the basic concepts of the plant (I wish there was a commercial IFR), but things like this are significantly improving upon what we already know and do. Besides, as far as marketing goes, it's much easier to take an already functional idea and make it better.

      -KovaaK - Posting anonymously as I moderated in this thread.

    6. Re:There is no "one true energy" by dbIII · · Score: 1
      With respect, adding a lot of safety features to an inefficient old design while a good idea for retrofitting existing plants is not such a good idea for building new plants - it only seems like a good idea in such a heavily economicly protected industry where no idea can lose. The US nuclear industry has not yet come to terms with Carter deciding that there was enough material for weapons stockpiled for about a century, which has rendered dual use plants an expensive way to produce electricity and a pile of material that is now worthless (except in nations with military nuclear ambitions). We need to move away from such compromises and head towards something that is actually decent at producing electricity.

      The downside is that becuase there are no decent established designs everything new has to be either a prototype or a vast waste of taxpayers money. With enough development there could be something that makes enough sense on economic grounds that it wouldn't necessarily have to be the taxpayer that funds it. However I very much doubt Westinghouse will have anything to do with it unless they buy another company with a clue. They have had little incentive to make something that works when they get a good feed from the government teat whether things work or not.

      Disclaimer, I no longer work in the electricity industry, never worked with nukes, and most of the engineers I worked with from nuclear plants were from Russian or Indonesian semi-military facilities or from research reactors in other countries. The Westinghouse stuff did feature prominently in case studies of equipment failures however.

    7. Re:There is no "one true energy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With respect, adding a lot of safety features to an inefficient old design while a good idea for retrofitting existing plants is not such a good idea for building new plants - it only seems like a good idea in such a heavily economicly protected industry where no idea can lose.

      If they were just new safety features, I may be inclined to agree with you. However, the safety features that they have added to this plant over previous designs are almost all A) Simpler in design, B) Require less (in some cases no) maintenance, C) Take less time to build, and D) Require no oversight while running.

      These types of improvements to the plant are about as good you can get without starting over from a better original design (Again, I point you to the IFR, which has already been through heavy research and design phases, so it shouldn't need to be funded much further). You are right in saying that Carter's policies heavily affected the nuclear industry, but you are missing the major one - reprocessing fuel is still illegal today for no good reason. His goal back then was to set an international standard of "Look, we don't do it since it can be used to create more nuclear weapons, so you should follow our example."

      As Carter was entirely aware, uranium is (still) fairly cheap to acquire without the need of reprocessing. He was also aware that it isn't dangerous by any means. If he was in charge of our nation's policies regarding nuclear power today, I would imagine he would have changed his stance on reprocessing to allow better reactor designs (IFR is my prime example, but there are others that use similar reprocessing techniques and fast neutron fission) that use fuel more efficiently, get rid of nuclear waste, and are inherently safer than anything we are using today.

      My Disclaimer - I currently work in market research, programming web surveys. In a week, I start my new job at a nuclear power plant. I've been a supporter of nuclear power since high school, and that support grew when I took a nuclear engineering course in college. Aside from that, I'm your typical Computer Engineer/Programming.

      --

      -KovaaK posting anonymously again to keep moderation in tact.

  44. Re:Wow (9.8 U.S. cents per KWhr) by prokaryote64 · · Score: 1

    Cost per KWhr at $0.98 cost per Watt ~ $0.098 installed. See below. Calculate KWhrs: Stated Efficiency = 10.8% (panels guaranteed to produce 80% of this value after 25 years of use, linear degradation with respect to time, see latest quarterly statement). Tested impinging irradiance energy = 1000Watts/Meter good yearly average value at solar noon across the latitudes spanning continental US. (USGS has irradiance values for different locals, NREL uses this value). Panel size = 2' X 4' minus edge effects = 23" x 46" = 0.683 Meters square. peak useable energy ~ 73 Watts per panel. Assume solar energy is positive sinusoidal (clipped at 0). Average day length = 12 hours. 12 hours * RMS factor * Watts per panel * ave degradation factor = .525 KWhr per day (12hours * 0.667RMS * 73Watts * 0.9aveDegradation). Assume 80% of solar energy available (due to cloudy days, diffuse light etc.). By the way, CdTe panels are much better at capturing diffuse light than Si panels. Because of this they don't need tracking devices. Panel guaranteed to produce 3835 KWhrs over 25 years (guaranteed panel lifetime (will produce 80% of initial power rating after 25 years)) given the assumptions. (25years * 365.25days * 0.8EnergyAvai l* 0.525KWh/day) Assume current cost of installation per Watt is ~2.5 times cost per Watt(includes cost of scaffolding, inverters, labor, connection to grid at source, does not include cost of land, cost of transmission (it's usually a separate item in your electric bill)). As a note, the cost per Watt includes the cost to collect, recycle and reuse the panels (CdTe is recovered and reused, glass recovered and reused, copper recovered and reused). So at $0.98 per Watt to make, we have $3.43 to make and install per Watt. Operating margin (See FSLR quarterly report ~50%) and assume the same for installers --> total cost = $5.15 per Watt --> 9.8 cents per KWhr; (($5.15 * 73Watt)/3835KWhr). Maintenance cost is minimal (no moving parts, don't have to wash the panels, etc.). A highly inflated cost would be 10% of cost per Watt --> $5.66 --> 10.8 cents per KWhr. As a note regarding Te availability check out FSLR SEC statements and see where they've been investing some of their money... With respect to CdTe toxicity, check out the studies about amount of Cd released when panels exposed to 1100C fires... If you check out their website and you believe the numbers, if they get to $1 Watt (sold so includes margin) to make and $2 Watt installed (sold so includes margin) then the cost per KWhr drops to 6.3 cents per KWhr by 2012.

  45. Beats $3.89:W by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Informative

    The current lowest price per PV watt is $3.89. Anything anywhere as cheap as $1:W would revolutionize the current photovoltaic solar industry, which is already just becoming a good priced alternative to getting power from the "city grid".

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  46. Night by tepples · · Score: 1

    So if a 1 kW panel costs $1000 (around 800 euros), it will generate enough energy to pay for itself in 4000 hours, i.e. about half a year.

    It doesn't generate anything at night, and it generates less closer to dawn and dusk. So your 1000 W panel might generate 250 W on average (or less?), ending up closer to 2 year payoff.

  47. That's the irony by DesScorp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wow, one pound on the whole Earth?
    That's pretty much not existent.

    It doesn't matter if you can make juice at a buck a watt if your panels are made of unobtainium.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
  48. Re:Wow (9.8 U.S. cents per KWhr) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which is still nearly triple what we pay in Canada from our publicly owned hydroelectric companies. 3.5cents! (Manitoba Hydro Corporation)

  49. more information on installation by j1m+5n0w · · Score: 1

    Make magazine had an article a few issues back about how to install solar panels on your house and do it according to code. It looked like a complicated process.

    You might want to look at this Google tech talk, as well.

  50. Re:Wow (9.8 U.S. cents per KWhr) by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

    Looks good, but you should do a NPV calculation for the value of the electricity. OTOH, the price of electricity will likely go up in real terms, so I think the interest rate for the NPV calculation should be the long term borrowing rate minus the expected rate of electricity price increases, which will be close to a wash, at least within the margin of error.

    --
    "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
  51. Not anymore by berend+botje · · Score: 1

    Most wall-warts use a switch-mode power supply. You can tell these apart from the old fashioned ones by weight and size. Lumpy, heavy: old transformer type. Light and small: new SMPS.

    Also, if your wall-wart says it auto ranges from 70V to 240V AC, there is a pretty good chance they run on DC as well.

    Not that I would like the grid to switch to DC, for a myriad of reasons.

  52. Re:Wow (9.8 U.S. cents per KWhr) by prokaryote64 · · Score: 1

    Good point. I looked up cost of production vs. total revenues ( http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat8p3.html ) and to have comparable returns, the cost of production is about 1/2 of the revenues. I think that implies that at the current price point, the total end consumer retail price (including transmission) would be 19.6 cents per kilowatt hour. This is about two times the cost of yearly average conventional generation in the areas most likely to adopt solar. If the US goes the route of Europe and charges for CO2 emissions, then this will drop in the price multiplier.

  53. Not quite just yet! by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    Don't tell me about 1$ per watt until it is actually sitting at the walmart and anyone can go in and buy what they need for making their home kit a finished one. There ia always a 5 year delay or so....
    for new technology to be mainstream....this isn't mainstream yet, although I am quite happy it will be shortly.

  54. Still a rich person's toy by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    Sorry guys, but the guy with a median income of $45 a year and one or two children can't afford this, even if they lived in a house instead of an apartment (Solar isn't much good without roof space). So all this twirling and whirling about solar power is a bunch of hooey until it either becomes a large, government-funded project that supplements existing power, or the costs per home come down to the $1000-$2000 level. Until then, the solar geeks are wasting our time.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  55. Ummm...I call bullsh*t by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Okay so I use 40 kilowatts per day. That works out to about $5 per day. So I'd have to have a $40,000 solar system which works out to about 21 years to pay it off. Unless I'm missing something, this make no sense at all. Probably why it's only economically feasible for the individual with massive government subsidy. Such was the case in the 70s. Once the subsidy evaporated, so did the solar industry.

  56. It almost seems as though some want solar to fail by spun · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Am I the only one who notices a strange knee-jerk antipathy to solar power amongst some people? Any time a solar power story comes out, you have people rushing to explain why solar sucks, has sucked, and will continue to suck. I'm guessing they just don't want the damn hippies to be right.

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  57. Re:TCO, disadvantages by criptos · · Score: 1

    Disadvantages

    The disadvantages of HVDC are in conversion, switching and control.

    The required static inverters are expensive and have limited overload capacity. At smaller transmission distances the losses in the static inverters may be bigger than in an AC transmission line. The cost of the inverters may not be offset by reductions in line construction cost and lower line loss. With two exceptions, all former mercury rectifiers worldwide have been dismantled or replaced by thyristor units.

    In contrast to AC systems, realizing multiterminal systems is complex, as is expanding existing schemes to multiterminal systems. Controlling power flow in a multiterminal DC system requires good communication between all the terminals; power flow must be actively regulated by the control system instead of by the inherent properties of the transmission line. High voltage DC circuit breakers are difficult to build because some mechanism must be included in the circuit breaker to force current to zero, otherwise arcing and contact wear would be too great to allow reliable switching. Multi-terminal lines are rare. One is in operation at the Hydro Québec - New England transmission from Radisson to Sandy Pond.[12] Another example is the Sardinia-mainland Italy link which was modified in 1989 to also provide power to the island of Corsica.

    from the same wiki page

  58. Re:It almost seems as though some want solar to fa by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

    Nope, I've noticed it too, and I don't get it either.
    Here we've got a massive, natural, clean nuclear fusion generator converting about 4 million metric tons of matter into energy every second and bombarding half the earth's entire surface with a portion of that 24/7, a generator which will last for another 5 billion years, yet people keep despairing of solar cell technology as though it's just a passing fad.
    Solar tech is sorely lagging behind where it *should* be, I'll admit - much like battery tech - but all we need is that breakthrough to find cheaper, more plentiful and efficient materials, and the payoff is unimaginable. On a related note, this weekend in the paper was a story about solar ovens being used now in Africa, these things are extremely low tech, and yet they're saving lives in Africa and India and boosting income for families as well.
    It doesn't make sense not to use such a powerful natural resource. We've got the greatest energy generator we'll probably ever encounter, hanging right in the sky, showering us in the whole EM spectrum. I see more potential in that than practically anything else.

    --

    Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
  59. Actually, state gov't wants you to use it by relguj9 · · Score: 1

    I'm sure you guys looked into this but... most state governments have a lot of incentives, both tax breaks and grants, for using alternative energy.

    There are a lot of sites on it:
    http://www.dsireusa.org/
    http://www.solarpowerrocks.com/

    Some even go so far as to eliminate 100% of property tax for businesses abiding by environmental regulations. They also have pretty big grants for the initial installation.

    I'm pretty confident the electric companies also want you to produce power and put it back on the grid. They still make money and don't have to produce as much power.

    I agree though, I hope power goes more distributed over the next few decades. Not only government and power companies making renewable sources, but individuals taking on the responsibility. I think it'll happen as it becomes more and more cost effective.

  60. Missed the point... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Actually grid-tie systems are REQUIRED to disconnect if the grid loses power.

    There's a difference between disconnecting from grid power and shutting off when it comes to local power generation - whether green or traditional.

    Conventional grid-tie systems shut off - IE if you lose grid power, there's no power to the house, even if you have plenty of power coming in from the solar panels or wind turbine to power everything. While safe for line workers, it's annoying for the home owner. Cheaper and easier to install though. All you need is to run the power into the breaker box.

    What I'm talking about is a system that combines the features of a grid-tie inverter with an automatic transfer switch. There's a disconnect in there, it's just not dependent on shutting the house down, so the workers are still safe(and you aren't trying to power the neighborhood). It works pretty much identical to standby generators, just optimized for 'green' power. For even more money, you can get a system that can power/depower circuits based on actual power availability and demand. Even the option for a(presumably smaller) battery bank 'just in case'.

    By keeping the grid tie even if you have batteries, you can avoid charge/discharge cycles and increase the longevity of the batteries. Not to mention system efficiency - you don't get as much power back from discharging batteries as you put in, but floating a charge is relatively cheap and the meter runs backwards at the same speed as forwards(100% effective charging efficiency).

    As a consequence, you need to install the inverter/ATS in between the grid connection and any circuits you want to power during offline operation. More expensive/complicated install, but if the power goes out when it's sunny you still have electricity.

    To keep it cheaper, you might set it up so that you need grid power to run the AC or washer, but not for the lights/refridgerator/computer/radio, assuming there's enough power.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  61. EndofDays uses multiple accounts to serve his ends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're not one to talk about being "good at heart" at all, especially due to the statement you made in the url below:

    http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1147437&cid=27056793

    * The End of Days * you're a loser that admitted to using multiple registered accounts to mod himself up and to make it appear that you had multiple supporters via said accounts (as well as his using anonymous coward posts to do so in addition on the latter, creating "illusory supporters").

    And you have the sheer nerve to say others commit bogus acts to serve their own ends? Talk about the pot calling the kettle black!